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Exane – Spain Investors Day
    Jacobo González-Robatto, Group CFO




                  London, October 6th 2011
Disclaimer



             This presentation has been prepared by Banco Popular solely for purposes of
             information. It may contain estimates and forecasts with respect to the future
             development of the business and to the financial results of the Banco Popular
             Group, which stem from the expectations of the Banco Popular Group and
             which, by their very nature, are exposed to factors, risks and circumstances that
             could affect the financial results in such a way that they might not coincide with
             such estimates and forecasts. These factors include, but are not restricted to, (i)
             changes in interest rates, exchange rates or any other financial variables, both
             on the domestic as well as on the international securities markets, (ii) the
             economic, political, social or regulatory situation, and (iii) competitive pressures.
             In the event that such factors or other similar factors were to cause the financial
             results to differ from the estimates and forecasts contained in this presentation,
             or were to bring about changes in the strategy of the Banco Popular Group,
             Banco Popular does not undertake to publicly revise the content of this
             presentation.

             This presentation contains summarised information and may contain unaudited
             information. In no case shall its content constitute an offer, invitation or
             recommendation to subscribe or acquire any security whatsoever, nor is it
             intended to serve as a basis for any contract or commitment whatsoever.



                                                                                                     2
Index




        1. Our short term priorities

           • Capital Management
           • Pastor Integration
           • Asset Quality

        2. Banco Popular: a solid and profitable franchise

        3. Conclusions and Q & A




                                                             3
1. Our short-term priorities: Capital Management

                 We have full confidence in bridging the gap to the new EBA definitions
                 without any kind of State capital injection.

                                                                                                                                      Summary new European
                      Reconciliation reported CT1 and new EBA CT1                                                                   capital standards:

                                                                                                               Sep 2011. €m

           Cyclical or temporary                                                                                                     • EBA CT1 ≥ 9% by June 2012
         deductions. Not expected                                                                                                    • MCN not considered as CT1 in contrast
           to be a B-3 deduction
                                                                                                                                     to Spanish regulation
                                                                                                                                     • Mark to Market of Sovereign debt and
                                                                                                                                     public loans (AFS net and HTM and loans
                                                             Not deductable
                                                               under B-3                                                             gross). Negative valuations deducted from
  9.76%          1.31%                                                                                                               CT1.
                         1.00%                                                                                                       • RWA under B-2.5
                                         0.81%                                                             1.32%        7.45%
                                                        0.08% 0.38%                                                                  • Local IRB models deductions (50%
                                                                                     0.05% 6.13%                                     against CT1) vs 50% TIER1/TIER2 under
                                                                                                                                     B-2
                                                                                                                                     • Insurance and financial stakes (50%
                                                            Structural deduction                                                     against CT1) vs 50% TIER1/TIER2 under
                                                            under B-3                                                                B-2
                                                                                                                                     • Intangibles: deductable gross against
                                                                                                                                     CT1 including software related intangibles
 Report ed CT1    MCNs   Sovereign       IRB models   Insurance and   Int angibles   B-2.5 and   EBA CT1     MCNs       EBA CT1 +    vs. Tier 1 under B-2.
                          port f olio                   f inancial                     ot her              conversion     MCN
                         adjust ment s                   st akes                                                        conversion




RWA      €89,931m                                                                                €89,979m



                                                                                                                                                                                  4
1. Our short-term priorities: Capital Management

   And we have already identified several measures to achieve the
   required buffer by June 2012.

             Capital measures to comply with the new EBA capital requirements




                                                                   >1.23%                 >9.00%
            7.45%                        0.32%




   EBA CT1 September-11 after   Internal capital generation   Assets and liabilities   EBA CT1 June-12E
        MCN conversion                                           optimization




                                                                                                          5
1. Our short-term priorities: Capital Management

                But it’s also important to bear in mind that not all capital ratios are
                comparable. New EBA standards focusing only on capital definition
                (numerator) and little on the RWA (denominator).

                                                                       RWA over Total Assets 2010




86
     82
          76 75
                73 72 72
                         70 69
                                      66
                                           62 62
                                                   60 58 58
                                                            57 57 57 56 56 55
                                                                              55
                                                                                             52 51
                                                                                                   50 49                                                                           Euro Average 48%
                                                                                                         47 47
                                                                                                                       45 45 45
                                                                                                                                   41 41
                                                                                                                                            35 35
                                                                                                                                                  33 32 32 32 32 31
                                                                                                                                                                    30 30
                                                                                                                                                                                      27 26
                                                                                                                                                                                            25 25 23
                                                                                                                                                                                                       21
                                                                                                                                                                                                            18
                                                                                                                                                                                                                 15




      Source: KBW
      European Banks: Mediobanca, BES, OTP, Raiffeisen Int., Alpha Bank, UBI Banca, Banco Popolare, BPM, Piraeus Bank, Sabadell, Bank of Cyprus, Millennium bcp, Erste Bank, VanLanschot,
      Bankinter, BPI, BBVA, NBG, Credem, Banesto, EFG Eurobank, SpareBank SR1, Intesa Sanpaolo, Santander, Unicredito, Standard Chartered ,Bank of Ireland, DnB NOR, HSBC, MPS, KBC,
      Lloyds Banking Group, Commerzbank, ING, SEB, Natixis, Nordea, RBS, Swedbank, Deutsche Postbank, BNP Paribas, Société Générale, Barclays, Danske Bank, Handelsbanken, Dexia, Crédit
      Agricole, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, UBS.                                                                                                                                                          6
Index




        1. Our short term priorities
           • Capital Management
           • Pastor Integration

           • Asset Quality

        2. Banco Popular: a solid and profitable franchise

        3. Conclusions and Q & A




                                                             7
1. Our short-term priorities: Pastor Integration

          Pastor brings a similar business models to create value and enhance
          the franchise


1
    Financially attractive to our    EPS(1) accretive from day 1; ROI >15% by year 3
           shareholders
                                     Premium paid is 2.5x covered by the NPV of the synergies


2                                    Consolidates Banco Popular as a leading player in the
                                    Spanish market
       Strategically relevant
                                     Brings a profitable underlying business with a low execution
                                    risk given its similar business mix

3                                    Banco Popular will put aside €1.6bn (pre-tax) of allowances
                                    anticipating future provisioning needs (7x Banco Pastor’s current rate)
Balance sheet reinforcement
                                     NPA coverage rises from 47% to 54%, among the highest in the
                                    industry

4                                    Key Banco Pastor shareholders become key shareholders of
                                    Popular
    Shareholders Bases reinforced
        and Top Capital levels       We plan to issue €700m of EBA eligible capital instruments to offset the
             maintained             goodwill generated by anticipated new provisioning charges


1. Ex-restructuring costs                                                                                     8
1. Our short-term priorities: Pastor Integration

           Perfect fit with the highest margins and efficiency levels

         Banco Pastor’s underlying banking business is very profitable compared to the sector


                      1.66%    1.61%    1.59%
                                                 1.46%
                                                          1.31%      1.31%    1.30%                                                                                Average: 1.18%
                                                                                       1.17%     1.13%
                                                                                                         1.05%    1.01%
                                                                                                                           0.94%    0.92%       0.90%
                                                                                                                                                          0.82%
                                                                                                                                                                     0.72%
  Net Interest                                                                                                                                                                0.57%
    Margin1




                      Popular Popular + Sabadell Pastor   Unicaja     BBK     Sabadell Banca CaixaBankIbercaja     BMN      NCG         CAM     Bankinter Bankia     Unnim       Cat.
                               Pastor                                          + CAM Cívica                                                                                      Caixa

                                                                                                                                                                                  79.2%
                                                                                                                                                                      75.7%
                                                                                                                                                  65.8%    67.1%
                     Average 61.9%                                                                                          61.4%       61.7%
                                                                                                          55.8%    57.6%
                                                                                       53.4%     55.1%
                                                           49.5%     50.3%     50.7%
                                                 46.5%
                               42.1%    43.8%
                      40.1%
    Efficiency2




                      Popular Popular + Sabadell CaixaBank Unicaja   Bankia    Pastor Sabadell     BBK   Bankinter Ibercaja Catalunya    NCG      Unnim     BMN      B. Cívica     CAM
                               Pastor                                                  + CAM                                   C.


Note: Information as of 1H 2011 except Unicaja, BBK and Caja Vital as of 1Q2011
1.Net interest margin over average total assets                                                                                                                                           9
2.General and administration costs over total revenues
1. Our short-term priorities: Pastor Integration

          Balance sheet reinforcement. Extraordinary provisions and increased
          coverage levels

    The extraordinary provisions charged against reserves upon closing of the transaction will
         allow the group to significantly reduce provisioning requirements going forward



                                                      As a consequence of the transaction,
                                                     coverage levels of the combined entity
                                                     will increase by €1,583m (€1,108m net)




                                                      Pro-forma Combined Coverage Ratios

                                                                                                            54%


                                                                                7pp
                                                        47%




                                     Banco Popular Current NPA Coverage                Proforma Combined NPA Coverage Ratio
                                                   Ratio(1)




1. NPAs= NPLs + Real estate assets + written off loans. Coverage includes specific, generic provisions and R.E. assets provisions
                                                                                                                                    10
Index




        1. Our short term priorities
           • Capital Management
           • Pastor Integration

           • Asset Quality

        2. Banco Popular: a solid and profitable franchise

        3. Conclusions and Q & A




                                                             11
1. Our short-term priorities: Asset Quality

   Huge effort increasing total credit and RE provisions…




                        Provisioning stock Banco Popular ex-Pastor


                                                            €8,225m

                                                             2,319
                                    4.5x

                         €1,822m                             5,906

                           1,822

                            2007                              9M11


                                     Credit   Real Estate



         NPA’s coverage at 47% and will rise to 54% with Pastor Deal.



                                                                         12
1. Our short-term priorities: Asset Quality

              … Coupled with an active risk management that is paying-off: NPLs
              out-performing peers and we keep reducing the cost of risk
                                                                                                                 Ordinary specific provisions
                              NPL ratio evolution                                                                 cost of risk evolution(1)




                                                                                          7.15%
                                                                                                        1,93%
                                                                            6.69%
                                                                                                                          1,55%
                                                              6.11%                        130 b.p.
                                                 5.82%                                                                                    1,08%
                                     5.48%
              5.29%       5.32%                      55 b.p.                             5.85%
5.04%                                                                         5.58%
                                                               5.44%
                                                  5.27%
                                     5.17%
               4.91%      5.04%
 4.81%

 D e c- 0 9   M a r- 10   J un- 10   S e p- 10    D e c- 10     M a r- 11    J un- 11   S e p- 11     Average 2009      Average 2010       9M11




                      Banco Popular                           Average Spanish industry




                    We actively manage risk… Strong team in place: from 400 to 700
                      employees fully devoted on recoveries and AQ management


                   (1)     Average ordinary specific over average loans
                                                                                                                                                  13
Index




        1. Our short term priorities
           • Capital Management
           • Pastor Integration
           • Asset Quality

        2. Banco Popular: a solid and profitable franchise

        3. Conclusions and Q & A




                                                             14
2. Banco Popular: a solid and profitable franchise

    In spite of the crisis our strengths remain in good shape…
           A pure retail and commercial bank:
                                                                                                                                (1)
                     loan to assets                                                            A privileged operating margin

               74%                                                                                1.30%

                                69%

                                                                                                              0.92%
                                                                                                                         0.84%
                                                  44%




                               Spanish            European                                                    Spanish    European
                               Banks              Banks                                                       Banks      Banks


                                                    (2)
                  A strong core capital                                                     The most efficient bank: C/I ratio

                                                                                                                          60%
              9.76%
                                                                                                              50%
                               9.30%
                                                 9.00%                                             41%




                               Spanish            European                                                    Spanish    European
                               Banks              Banks                                                       Banks      Banks


  (1) Pre-provision profit/ ATAs
  (2) Core capital under local regulation, which includes MCNs and local deductions
  Source: Quarterly reports as of Sep 11; Spanish Banks: Caixabank, Sabadell, Bankia, Banesto and Bankinter                           15
  European Banks, KBW European Banks & Credit Suisse Banks valuation
2. Banco Popular: a solid and profitable franchise

   Our priorities remain focused…
             Solvency: Core capital                                             Reinforce credit & RE provisions

                                                                                                                          € 8,224m
                                                   9.76%
                                                                                                   4.5x
                                        8.66%                                                                              2,319
                             7.85%
      6.47%       6.78%


                                                                                    € 1,822 m                              5,905

                                                                                     1,822

      3Q07         3Q08       3Q09       3Q10      3Q11                               2007                                 9M11

                                                                                                   Credit   Real Estate

    Reduce wholesale funding reliance;
                 Commercial Gap (1)                                                  Gain quality market share(2)


                                                                                                                                   5.20%
     50,752 47,963                                                                                               5.10% 5.10%

                             36,513
                                        29,411     28,231
                                                                                             4,60% 4,63%
                                                                                    4,53%




      3Q07         3Q08       3Q09       3Q10      3Q11                              1Q07     1Q08        1Q09   3Q10     1Q11     2Q11


       *      Core Capital definition under local criteria
      (1    ) Commercial Gap= Loan ex repos – Deposits ex repos
      (2)   Business market share: credits and deposits. Source: T7 form. Latest available data.                                           16
2. Banco Popular: a solid and profitable franchise

                 Our business model is the most profitable by far

   Branch network                 (€ million), 9M11                 Total credit(2)(€ million), 9M11                             Pre-provision margin(3) (€ million), 9M11

X2.6                                                             x2.1                                                                                           1.071
             CAIXA                                       5.192               BKIA                                    187.530                 POP
POP                                                              POP
                                                                              (4)



X1.7                                                                                                                            x0.9                           1.007
               BKIA                          3.362                x2        CAIXA                                   181.671                 CAIXA
POP                                                                                                                             POP
                                                                 POP          (4)



                                                                                                90.527                          x0.9         BKIA              1.004
               POP                 1.969                                      POP
                                                                                                                                POP




x0.7                                                             x0.8         SAB          70.629                               x0.6         SAB         636
              B.CIV             1.415
                                                                 POP                                                            POP
POP



x0.7                                                             x0.5       B.CIV      49.263                                   x0.04        BCIV   50
POP             SAB            1.343                             POP                                                             POP
                (1)




                                             Popular is the most profitable in terms of pre-provision margin(4),
                                           although “La Caixa” and Bankia are significantly bigger (branches and credits)


       Source: Companies Annual reports. Bank of Spain, N+1 Banca Cívica report (June 2011), Bankia and Cívica IPO prospectus (June 2011)
       (1) Banco Guipuzcoano included
       (2) Ex repos
       (3) NII + net fees and commissions – operating expenses, non recurring income not included
                                                                                                                                                                          17
       (4) Total Client loans
Index




        1. Our short term priorities
           • Capital Management
           • Pastor Integration
           • Asset Quality

        2. Banco Popular: a solid and profitable franchise

        3. Conclusions and Q & A




                                                             18
3. Conclusions and Q&A

   Outlook

         Macro, micro and regulatory environment will remain very
          challenging.


         Ordinary Revenues should start improving within the next two
          quarters.


         2011 Net profit within the range of current market consensus.


         New EBA Capital Requirements do not alter our plans. We 100%
          rule out any public capital injection.

         2011 has being a tough year for banking, but Popular starts 2012
          in a very good position, being able to

          i.    benefit from Pastor acquisition, both in terms of lower
                combined provisioning needs and in terms of NPAs higher
                coverage

          ii.   benefit from the build up of NPV €800m of synergies and

          iii. hopefully enjoy    a   clearer   regulatory   and   sovereign
               environment.
                                                                               19
Many Thanks.
Happy to take any questions.




                               20
21

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Ángel Ron en el spain investors day

  • 1. Exane – Spain Investors Day Jacobo González-Robatto, Group CFO London, October 6th 2011
  • 2. Disclaimer This presentation has been prepared by Banco Popular solely for purposes of information. It may contain estimates and forecasts with respect to the future development of the business and to the financial results of the Banco Popular Group, which stem from the expectations of the Banco Popular Group and which, by their very nature, are exposed to factors, risks and circumstances that could affect the financial results in such a way that they might not coincide with such estimates and forecasts. These factors include, but are not restricted to, (i) changes in interest rates, exchange rates or any other financial variables, both on the domestic as well as on the international securities markets, (ii) the economic, political, social or regulatory situation, and (iii) competitive pressures. In the event that such factors or other similar factors were to cause the financial results to differ from the estimates and forecasts contained in this presentation, or were to bring about changes in the strategy of the Banco Popular Group, Banco Popular does not undertake to publicly revise the content of this presentation. This presentation contains summarised information and may contain unaudited information. In no case shall its content constitute an offer, invitation or recommendation to subscribe or acquire any security whatsoever, nor is it intended to serve as a basis for any contract or commitment whatsoever. 2
  • 3. Index 1. Our short term priorities • Capital Management • Pastor Integration • Asset Quality 2. Banco Popular: a solid and profitable franchise 3. Conclusions and Q & A 3
  • 4. 1. Our short-term priorities: Capital Management We have full confidence in bridging the gap to the new EBA definitions without any kind of State capital injection.  Summary new European  Reconciliation reported CT1 and new EBA CT1 capital standards: Sep 2011. €m Cyclical or temporary • EBA CT1 ≥ 9% by June 2012 deductions. Not expected • MCN not considered as CT1 in contrast to be a B-3 deduction to Spanish regulation • Mark to Market of Sovereign debt and public loans (AFS net and HTM and loans Not deductable under B-3 gross). Negative valuations deducted from 9.76% 1.31% CT1. 1.00% • RWA under B-2.5 0.81% 1.32% 7.45% 0.08% 0.38% • Local IRB models deductions (50% 0.05% 6.13% against CT1) vs 50% TIER1/TIER2 under B-2 • Insurance and financial stakes (50% Structural deduction against CT1) vs 50% TIER1/TIER2 under under B-3 B-2 • Intangibles: deductable gross against CT1 including software related intangibles Report ed CT1 MCNs Sovereign IRB models Insurance and Int angibles B-2.5 and EBA CT1 MCNs EBA CT1 + vs. Tier 1 under B-2. port f olio f inancial ot her conversion MCN adjust ment s st akes conversion RWA €89,931m €89,979m 4
  • 5. 1. Our short-term priorities: Capital Management And we have already identified several measures to achieve the required buffer by June 2012.  Capital measures to comply with the new EBA capital requirements >1.23% >9.00% 7.45% 0.32% EBA CT1 September-11 after Internal capital generation Assets and liabilities EBA CT1 June-12E MCN conversion optimization 5
  • 6. 1. Our short-term priorities: Capital Management But it’s also important to bear in mind that not all capital ratios are comparable. New EBA standards focusing only on capital definition (numerator) and little on the RWA (denominator).  RWA over Total Assets 2010 86 82 76 75 73 72 72 70 69 66 62 62 60 58 58 57 57 57 56 56 55 55 52 51 50 49 Euro Average 48% 47 47 45 45 45 41 41 35 35 33 32 32 32 32 31 30 30 27 26 25 25 23 21 18 15 Source: KBW European Banks: Mediobanca, BES, OTP, Raiffeisen Int., Alpha Bank, UBI Banca, Banco Popolare, BPM, Piraeus Bank, Sabadell, Bank of Cyprus, Millennium bcp, Erste Bank, VanLanschot, Bankinter, BPI, BBVA, NBG, Credem, Banesto, EFG Eurobank, SpareBank SR1, Intesa Sanpaolo, Santander, Unicredito, Standard Chartered ,Bank of Ireland, DnB NOR, HSBC, MPS, KBC, Lloyds Banking Group, Commerzbank, ING, SEB, Natixis, Nordea, RBS, Swedbank, Deutsche Postbank, BNP Paribas, Société Générale, Barclays, Danske Bank, Handelsbanken, Dexia, Crédit Agricole, Credit Suisse, Deutsche Bank, UBS. 6
  • 7. Index 1. Our short term priorities • Capital Management • Pastor Integration • Asset Quality 2. Banco Popular: a solid and profitable franchise 3. Conclusions and Q & A 7
  • 8. 1. Our short-term priorities: Pastor Integration Pastor brings a similar business models to create value and enhance the franchise 1 Financially attractive to our  EPS(1) accretive from day 1; ROI >15% by year 3 shareholders  Premium paid is 2.5x covered by the NPV of the synergies 2  Consolidates Banco Popular as a leading player in the Spanish market Strategically relevant  Brings a profitable underlying business with a low execution risk given its similar business mix 3  Banco Popular will put aside €1.6bn (pre-tax) of allowances anticipating future provisioning needs (7x Banco Pastor’s current rate) Balance sheet reinforcement  NPA coverage rises from 47% to 54%, among the highest in the industry 4  Key Banco Pastor shareholders become key shareholders of Popular Shareholders Bases reinforced and Top Capital levels  We plan to issue €700m of EBA eligible capital instruments to offset the maintained goodwill generated by anticipated new provisioning charges 1. Ex-restructuring costs 8
  • 9. 1. Our short-term priorities: Pastor Integration Perfect fit with the highest margins and efficiency levels Banco Pastor’s underlying banking business is very profitable compared to the sector 1.66% 1.61% 1.59% 1.46% 1.31% 1.31% 1.30% Average: 1.18% 1.17% 1.13% 1.05% 1.01% 0.94% 0.92% 0.90% 0.82% 0.72% Net Interest 0.57% Margin1 Popular Popular + Sabadell Pastor Unicaja BBK Sabadell Banca CaixaBankIbercaja BMN NCG CAM Bankinter Bankia Unnim Cat. Pastor + CAM Cívica Caixa 79.2% 75.7% 65.8% 67.1% Average 61.9% 61.4% 61.7% 55.8% 57.6% 53.4% 55.1% 49.5% 50.3% 50.7% 46.5% 42.1% 43.8% 40.1% Efficiency2 Popular Popular + Sabadell CaixaBank Unicaja Bankia Pastor Sabadell BBK Bankinter Ibercaja Catalunya NCG Unnim BMN B. Cívica CAM Pastor + CAM C. Note: Information as of 1H 2011 except Unicaja, BBK and Caja Vital as of 1Q2011 1.Net interest margin over average total assets 9 2.General and administration costs over total revenues
  • 10. 1. Our short-term priorities: Pastor Integration Balance sheet reinforcement. Extraordinary provisions and increased coverage levels The extraordinary provisions charged against reserves upon closing of the transaction will allow the group to significantly reduce provisioning requirements going forward As a consequence of the transaction, coverage levels of the combined entity will increase by €1,583m (€1,108m net)  Pro-forma Combined Coverage Ratios 54% 7pp 47% Banco Popular Current NPA Coverage Proforma Combined NPA Coverage Ratio Ratio(1) 1. NPAs= NPLs + Real estate assets + written off loans. Coverage includes specific, generic provisions and R.E. assets provisions 10
  • 11. Index 1. Our short term priorities • Capital Management • Pastor Integration • Asset Quality 2. Banco Popular: a solid and profitable franchise 3. Conclusions and Q & A 11
  • 12. 1. Our short-term priorities: Asset Quality Huge effort increasing total credit and RE provisions…  Provisioning stock Banco Popular ex-Pastor €8,225m 2,319 4.5x €1,822m 5,906 1,822 2007 9M11 Credit Real Estate  NPA’s coverage at 47% and will rise to 54% with Pastor Deal. 12
  • 13. 1. Our short-term priorities: Asset Quality … Coupled with an active risk management that is paying-off: NPLs out-performing peers and we keep reducing the cost of risk  Ordinary specific provisions  NPL ratio evolution cost of risk evolution(1) 7.15% 1,93% 6.69% 1,55% 6.11% 130 b.p. 5.82% 1,08% 5.48% 5.29% 5.32% 55 b.p. 5.85% 5.04% 5.58% 5.44% 5.27% 5.17% 4.91% 5.04% 4.81% D e c- 0 9 M a r- 10 J un- 10 S e p- 10 D e c- 10 M a r- 11 J un- 11 S e p- 11 Average 2009 Average 2010 9M11 Banco Popular Average Spanish industry  We actively manage risk… Strong team in place: from 400 to 700 employees fully devoted on recoveries and AQ management (1) Average ordinary specific over average loans 13
  • 14. Index 1. Our short term priorities • Capital Management • Pastor Integration • Asset Quality 2. Banco Popular: a solid and profitable franchise 3. Conclusions and Q & A 14
  • 15. 2. Banco Popular: a solid and profitable franchise In spite of the crisis our strengths remain in good shape…  A pure retail and commercial bank: (1) loan to assets  A privileged operating margin 74% 1.30% 69% 0.92% 0.84% 44% Spanish European Spanish European Banks Banks Banks Banks (2)  A strong core capital  The most efficient bank: C/I ratio 60% 9.76% 50% 9.30% 9.00% 41% Spanish European Spanish European Banks Banks Banks Banks (1) Pre-provision profit/ ATAs (2) Core capital under local regulation, which includes MCNs and local deductions Source: Quarterly reports as of Sep 11; Spanish Banks: Caixabank, Sabadell, Bankia, Banesto and Bankinter 15 European Banks, KBW European Banks & Credit Suisse Banks valuation
  • 16. 2. Banco Popular: a solid and profitable franchise Our priorities remain focused…  Solvency: Core capital  Reinforce credit & RE provisions € 8,224m 9.76% 4.5x 8.66% 2,319 7.85% 6.47% 6.78% € 1,822 m 5,905 1,822 3Q07 3Q08 3Q09 3Q10 3Q11 2007 9M11 Credit Real Estate  Reduce wholesale funding reliance; Commercial Gap (1)  Gain quality market share(2) 5.20% 50,752 47,963 5.10% 5.10% 36,513 29,411 28,231 4,60% 4,63% 4,53% 3Q07 3Q08 3Q09 3Q10 3Q11 1Q07 1Q08 1Q09 3Q10 1Q11 2Q11 * Core Capital definition under local criteria (1 ) Commercial Gap= Loan ex repos – Deposits ex repos (2) Business market share: credits and deposits. Source: T7 form. Latest available data. 16
  • 17. 2. Banco Popular: a solid and profitable franchise Our business model is the most profitable by far  Branch network (€ million), 9M11  Total credit(2)(€ million), 9M11 Pre-provision margin(3) (€ million), 9M11 X2.6 x2.1 1.071 CAIXA 5.192 BKIA 187.530 POP POP POP (4) X1.7 x0.9 1.007 BKIA 3.362 x2 CAIXA 181.671 CAIXA POP POP POP (4) 90.527 x0.9 BKIA 1.004 POP 1.969 POP POP x0.7 x0.8 SAB 70.629 x0.6 SAB 636 B.CIV 1.415 POP POP POP x0.7 x0.5 B.CIV 49.263 x0.04 BCIV 50 POP SAB 1.343 POP POP (1) Popular is the most profitable in terms of pre-provision margin(4), although “La Caixa” and Bankia are significantly bigger (branches and credits) Source: Companies Annual reports. Bank of Spain, N+1 Banca Cívica report (June 2011), Bankia and Cívica IPO prospectus (June 2011) (1) Banco Guipuzcoano included (2) Ex repos (3) NII + net fees and commissions – operating expenses, non recurring income not included 17 (4) Total Client loans
  • 18. Index 1. Our short term priorities • Capital Management • Pastor Integration • Asset Quality 2. Banco Popular: a solid and profitable franchise 3. Conclusions and Q & A 18
  • 19. 3. Conclusions and Q&A Outlook  Macro, micro and regulatory environment will remain very challenging.  Ordinary Revenues should start improving within the next two quarters.  2011 Net profit within the range of current market consensus.  New EBA Capital Requirements do not alter our plans. We 100% rule out any public capital injection.  2011 has being a tough year for banking, but Popular starts 2012 in a very good position, being able to i. benefit from Pastor acquisition, both in terms of lower combined provisioning needs and in terms of NPAs higher coverage ii. benefit from the build up of NPV €800m of synergies and iii. hopefully enjoy a clearer regulatory and sovereign environment. 19
  • 20. Many Thanks. Happy to take any questions. 20
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