Dr. Peter Drucker was a renowned 20th century management consultant and writer. This debate discusses his predictions about future societal trends from his work "The Near Future." Specifically, Drucker predicted that declining birth rates would lead to an aging population in developed nations by 2050. This would significantly change markets and make immigration a divisive political issue as countries seek more workers. He also believed knowledge work would become more prevalent and create opportunities for upward mobility regardless of gender or age in a future knowledge-based society. Overall, the document analyzes Drucker's logical assumptions about upcoming demographic shifts and their implications for workforces, economies, and politics in rich countries.

1. The Implications of
Future and Theory
This debate is based on Dr. Peter
Ferdinand Drucker and his findings from
“The Near Future” - Claudia Sanchez
and Syed Ehsan Azam

2. Who is Dr. Peter Ferdinand
Drucker
O Dr. Peter Ferdinand Drucker (born
1909) is known as the father of modern
management.
O A prolific writer, business consultant
and self-described “social ecologist”,
and lecturer
O Survived WWI and WWII (Lived in Both
EU and North American Society)
O Famous Professor and Business
Consultant to Masatoshi Ito of Ito –
Yokado Group

3. Case
O “Be it resolved that Peter Drucker’s
vision of the future of society is sound”
– based on “The Near Future”
O Representing in favor of the findings
from Dr. Peter Ferdinand Drucker and his
logical, realistic assumptions

4. First Case Argument
O Current and future demographics of
shrinking younger population in
Workforce and major predictions by
2050 is visible
O (FACT: Birth rate of females in China and
Brazil is suffering from Live Births per
woman of reproductive age is 2.2% less
than the replacement rate its own)
O (FACT: USA, Australia and Japan is up
Next to suffer the side effects of low birth
rate 2050)

6. Immigration and It’s implications
(Needed but Unwanted)
• Dependencies among countries and
political ties may change based on these
facts (Trade Barriers, Political threats at
times)
• Immigrants can be taken advantage of at
times as cheap labor (USA is a big
example)
• Discrimination and crime rate can arise
based on some theorists

7. Immigration rate in U.S.A
Amount of
immigration (%) Age Category

8. Third Case Argument
O Knowledge Based society – The theory
for solution of future demand of a
workforce that is adverse and “UNISEX”
without Age discrimination
O History shows example of Gender
Discrimination (Knowledge based
economy and workforce will create
meaningful, unbiased and more freedom
for individuals)
O Creates value for everyone – Purpose for
everyone

9. Change in Demography

10. What does those charts mean how
does it relate to Dr. Drucker's
findings?
O “Economically, the decline in the young
population will change markets in fundamental
ways”
O “Politically, This means that immigration will
become and highly divisive issue in all rich
countries”
O By 2030 at the latest, the age at which full
retirement benefits start will have risen to the
mid-70s in all developed countries, and
benefits for healthy pensioners will be
substantially lower than they are today.

11. So.. What Else did he believe
in?
O Knowledge is the Key to the future
O Knowledge based society creating skilled
job that we can already see examples of
(More white color with less on
manufacturing jobs)
O “Upward mobility potentially unlimited” -
O Knowledge is highly portable among both
sex and it is a fact

12. The End
O Citation : “Survey: The Near Future”,
Peter. Drucker, The Economist, November
2, 2001
O Pictures : www.Google.com