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Metsä Group
Interim report Q1/2018
Ilkka Hämälä
President and CEO
3 May 2018
• Sales EUR 1,428 million (Q1/2017: EUR 1,216 million)
• Operating result* EUR 208 million (EUR 128 million)
• Operating result of sales* 14.6% (10.5%)
• Return on capital employed* 16.6% (12.5%)
• The growth of sales and result was mainly due to higher
delivery volumes and higher pulp and paperboard prices
• Exchange rate changes and cost inflation had a negative effect
on the result
3 May 2018 Metsä Group3
Metsä Group’s profit-making ability
improved considerably
Metsä Group – Q1
*comparable
• The market prices of long-fibre and short-fibre pulp continued to
increase
• The market prices of folding boxboard and white kraftliner rose
compensating for the unfavourable exchange rate changes
• Metsä Group will pay double bonuses on pulpwood from
owner-members between 1 March and 31 May 2018
• Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services raised Metsä Board’s
credit rating to investment grade
• Ilkka Hämälä started as the President and CEO of Metsä Group
on 1 April 2018
3 May 2018 Metsä Group4
Events in the first quarter of 2018
Metsä Group – Q1
3 May 2018 Metsä Group5
1 254 1 265
1 204
1 248 1 255
1 330
1 225 1 205
1 156 1 184 1 143 1 175 1 216 1 235 1 260
1 328
1 428
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18
Sales quarterly
Metsä Group – Q1
EUR million
3 May 2018 Metsä Group6
105
92
104
117
129
137
149
123
109
120
103 107
128
119
134
185
208
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
200
225
Q1/14
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1/15
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1/16
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1/17
Q2
Q3
Q4
Q1/18
Q2
Q3
Q4
Comparable operating result
Metsä Group – Q1
EUR million
Change in comparable operating result
3 May 2018 Metsä Group7
Metsä Group – Q1
EUR million
Comparable operating result Q1/2017 127.9
Sales prices 141.8
Sales volumes 40.6
Exchange rates -41.7
Raw materials and energy -21.2
Employee costs -11.6
Maintenance and other fixed costs -19.8
Other -8.1
Comparable operating result Q1/2018 207.9
3 May 2018 Metsä Group8
Comparable ROCE
Metsä Group – Q1
12.3
13.5
10.6
12.5
16.6
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
Q1/2014 Q1/2015 Q1/2016 Q1/2017 Q1/2018
%
Target >10%
3 May 2018 Metsä Group9
Equity ratio
Metsä Group – Q1
37.9
43.2 43.9 45.0
46.5
0,0
5,0
10,0
15,0
20,0
25,0
30,0
35,0
40,0
45,0
50,0
12/2014 12/2015 12/2016 12/2017 3/2018
%
3 May 2018 Metsä Group10
Interest-bearing net liabilities
Metsä Group – Q1
938
610
1,033
993
1,039
0
250
500
750
1 000
1 250
1 500
12/2014 12/2015 12/2016 12/2017 3/2018
EUR million
3 May 2018 Metsä Group11
Capital expenditure
Metsä Group – Q1
143
492
758
608
480
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
1–12/2014 1–12/2015 1–12/2016 1–12/2017 1–3/2018
EUR million
Full year
estimate
3 May 2018 Metsä Group12
Personnel
Metsä Group – Q1
10,410
9,599 9,300 9,126 9,281
0
2 000
4 000
6 000
8 000
10 000
12 000
12/2014 12/2015 12/2016 12/2017 3/2018
Metsä Group’s purchasing volumes of wood are
increasing
• Wood was harvested according to targets,
and deliveries to customers were smooth
• Metsä Forest delivered a total of 9.6 million
cubic metres (8.7) of wood
• Poor harvesting and transportation
conditions improved during the beginning
of the year
• More wood was purchased than the year
before by Metsä Forest
• A total of 30% of the wood was bought
digitally. In the sale of forest management
services, the figure was 45%
3 May 2018 Metsä Group13
Sales and comparable operating result
EUR million
Metsä Forest –Wood Supply and Forest Services
401
378
356
399
433
397
376
429
490
7.8
6.5
7.7
8.9 8.5
4.4
5.9
5.4
8.7
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Q1/16 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/17 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4
Sales Operating result
Demand for engineered wood products remained good
despite of the UK
• The decline of sales was mainly attributable
to smaller delivery volumes to the UK
• Metsä Wood’s profitability declined due to
the decline in the result of the UK operations
and the costs of the new mills
• The investment at Kerto mill in Lohja has
progressed to the normal production phase
• The start-up of equipment at the plywood
mill in Pärnu has begun as planned
• The construction work for the new Kerto
production line at Punkaharju mill has
started
3 May 2018 Metsä Group14
Sales and comparable operating result
EUR million
Metsä Wood –Wood Products Industry
121
130
115 115
120 122
110 108 109
8.2
13.2
9
8.3
10.7
8.4
7.6
6.9
6.2
0
3
6
9
12
15
0
30
60
90
120
150
Q1/16 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/17 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4
Sales Operating result
Strong financial performance in Pulp Industry
• Demand for pulp remained strong
• Market price of long-fibre and short-fibre
pulp increased by 10% and 18%,
respectively, compared to last year
• The sales volume of pulp was
approximately 28% higher than in the
corresponding period in the previous year
due to Äänekoski bioproduct mill’s
growing volumes
• The balance between supply and demand
in sawn timber has improved, and average
prices increased by 14% compared to
previous year
3 May 2018 Metsä Group15
Sales and comparable operating result
EUR million
Metsä Fibre – Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry
409 423
389
416 422 427
475
552
601
61.2
53.2
46.4
53.7 54.5
70.8 68.4
125.9
144.9
0
25
50
75
100
125
150
175
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Q1/16 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/17 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4
Sales Operating result
3 May 2018 Metsä Group16
Price of pulp (PIX) 2010–Q1/2018
Metsä Fibre – Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry
450
550
650
750
850
950
1050
1150
450
550
650
750
850
950
1050
1150
´10 ´11 ´12 ´13 ´14 ´15 ´16 ´17 ´18
Hardwood/EUR Softwood/EUR Hardwood/USD Softwood/USD
USD EUR
Source: Foex
Paperboard Industry had a strong start for the year
• The sales and operating result improved
due to the increased delivery volumes and
higher sales prices of paperboard and
market pulp
• Especially market prices of white kraftliner
increased in local currencies
• Exchange rate changes had a negative
impact on the result
• Production efficiency was good, and
several units set new production records
3 May 2018 Metsä Group17
Sales and comparable operating result
EUR million
Metsä Board – Paperboard Industry
436 423
440
422
445
474 479
451
492
35 35.8 34 32.8
45.2 43.5
50.4
54.4
69
0
15
30
45
60
75
90
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Q1/16 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/17 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4
Sales Operating result
3 May 201818
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Folding boxboard White-top kraftliner Sources: RISI, Inc. & FOEX Indexes Ltd
Prices of folding boxboard and white-top kraftliner in
Europe 2011–Q1/2018
EUR/ tonne
Metsä Group
Tissue and Cooking Papers’ production efficiency
is being improved
• The sales of Metsä Tissue grew due to
increased sales volumes
• The result was weakened by the price of
pulp, the exchange rate changes of the
Norwegian krone, Swedish krona and UK
pound against euro
• There are several ongoing investments in
the internal efficiency and product portfolio
of tissue and cooking papers
3 May 2018 Metsä Group19
Sales and comparable operating result
EUR million
Metsä Tissue – Tissue and Cooking Papers
246 249 247 249 252 251 250
261 259
13.5 13.2
15.8
20.6
17.6
16.3 16.8
23.3
12.3
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Q1/16 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/17 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4
Sales Operating result
• Demand for wood will focus on regeneration and thinning felling
that can be harvested in the summer and, in energy wood,
primarily on crown wood
• Market demand for wood products is expected to remain
strong, which improves order book levels, particularly in
plywood. Uncertainty in the UK market is expected to continue
• The pulp market is expected to remain at its current, good level.
Demand for sawn timber is also expected to remain good
• Demand for consumer packaging paperboard is expected to
continue to grow. The market prices of folding boxboard in local
currencies are expected to remain stable or to rise slightly
• In the tissue and cooking paper markets, demand is expected
to remain stable in all market areas
3 May 2018 Metsä Group20
Summary
Outlook for the business areas
• Metsä Group’s comparable operating
result in the second quarter of 2018
expected to be roughly at the same
level as in the first quarter of 2018
3 May 2018 Metsä Group21
Near-term outlook
Summary
Metsa Group's interim report presentation January-March 2018

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Metsa Group's interim report presentation January-March 2018

  • 1.
  • 2. Metsä Group Interim report Q1/2018 Ilkka Hämälä President and CEO 3 May 2018
  • 3. • Sales EUR 1,428 million (Q1/2017: EUR 1,216 million) • Operating result* EUR 208 million (EUR 128 million) • Operating result of sales* 14.6% (10.5%) • Return on capital employed* 16.6% (12.5%) • The growth of sales and result was mainly due to higher delivery volumes and higher pulp and paperboard prices • Exchange rate changes and cost inflation had a negative effect on the result 3 May 2018 Metsä Group3 Metsä Group’s profit-making ability improved considerably Metsä Group – Q1 *comparable
  • 4. • The market prices of long-fibre and short-fibre pulp continued to increase • The market prices of folding boxboard and white kraftliner rose compensating for the unfavourable exchange rate changes • Metsä Group will pay double bonuses on pulpwood from owner-members between 1 March and 31 May 2018 • Standard & Poor’s Ratings Services raised Metsä Board’s credit rating to investment grade • Ilkka Hämälä started as the President and CEO of Metsä Group on 1 April 2018 3 May 2018 Metsä Group4 Events in the first quarter of 2018 Metsä Group – Q1
  • 5. 3 May 2018 Metsä Group5 1 254 1 265 1 204 1 248 1 255 1 330 1 225 1 205 1 156 1 184 1 143 1 175 1 216 1 235 1 260 1 328 1 428 0 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 Q1/14 Q2/14 Q3/14 Q4/14 Q1/15 Q2/15 Q3/15 Q4/15 Q1/16 Q2/16 Q3/16 Q4/16 Q1/17 Q2/17 Q3/17 Q4/17 Q1/18 Sales quarterly Metsä Group – Q1 EUR million
  • 6. 3 May 2018 Metsä Group6 105 92 104 117 129 137 149 123 109 120 103 107 128 119 134 185 208 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 200 225 Q1/14 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/15 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/16 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/17 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Comparable operating result Metsä Group – Q1 EUR million
  • 7. Change in comparable operating result 3 May 2018 Metsä Group7 Metsä Group – Q1 EUR million Comparable operating result Q1/2017 127.9 Sales prices 141.8 Sales volumes 40.6 Exchange rates -41.7 Raw materials and energy -21.2 Employee costs -11.6 Maintenance and other fixed costs -19.8 Other -8.1 Comparable operating result Q1/2018 207.9
  • 8. 3 May 2018 Metsä Group8 Comparable ROCE Metsä Group – Q1 12.3 13.5 10.6 12.5 16.6 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 Q1/2014 Q1/2015 Q1/2016 Q1/2017 Q1/2018 % Target >10%
  • 9. 3 May 2018 Metsä Group9 Equity ratio Metsä Group – Q1 37.9 43.2 43.9 45.0 46.5 0,0 5,0 10,0 15,0 20,0 25,0 30,0 35,0 40,0 45,0 50,0 12/2014 12/2015 12/2016 12/2017 3/2018 %
  • 10. 3 May 2018 Metsä Group10 Interest-bearing net liabilities Metsä Group – Q1 938 610 1,033 993 1,039 0 250 500 750 1 000 1 250 1 500 12/2014 12/2015 12/2016 12/2017 3/2018 EUR million
  • 11. 3 May 2018 Metsä Group11 Capital expenditure Metsä Group – Q1 143 492 758 608 480 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 1–12/2014 1–12/2015 1–12/2016 1–12/2017 1–3/2018 EUR million Full year estimate
  • 12. 3 May 2018 Metsä Group12 Personnel Metsä Group – Q1 10,410 9,599 9,300 9,126 9,281 0 2 000 4 000 6 000 8 000 10 000 12 000 12/2014 12/2015 12/2016 12/2017 3/2018
  • 13. Metsä Group’s purchasing volumes of wood are increasing • Wood was harvested according to targets, and deliveries to customers were smooth • Metsä Forest delivered a total of 9.6 million cubic metres (8.7) of wood • Poor harvesting and transportation conditions improved during the beginning of the year • More wood was purchased than the year before by Metsä Forest • A total of 30% of the wood was bought digitally. In the sale of forest management services, the figure was 45% 3 May 2018 Metsä Group13 Sales and comparable operating result EUR million Metsä Forest –Wood Supply and Forest Services 401 378 356 399 433 397 376 429 490 7.8 6.5 7.7 8.9 8.5 4.4 5.9 5.4 8.7 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Q1/16 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/17 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Sales Operating result
  • 14. Demand for engineered wood products remained good despite of the UK • The decline of sales was mainly attributable to smaller delivery volumes to the UK • Metsä Wood’s profitability declined due to the decline in the result of the UK operations and the costs of the new mills • The investment at Kerto mill in Lohja has progressed to the normal production phase • The start-up of equipment at the plywood mill in Pärnu has begun as planned • The construction work for the new Kerto production line at Punkaharju mill has started 3 May 2018 Metsä Group14 Sales and comparable operating result EUR million Metsä Wood –Wood Products Industry 121 130 115 115 120 122 110 108 109 8.2 13.2 9 8.3 10.7 8.4 7.6 6.9 6.2 0 3 6 9 12 15 0 30 60 90 120 150 Q1/16 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/17 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Sales Operating result
  • 15. Strong financial performance in Pulp Industry • Demand for pulp remained strong • Market price of long-fibre and short-fibre pulp increased by 10% and 18%, respectively, compared to last year • The sales volume of pulp was approximately 28% higher than in the corresponding period in the previous year due to Äänekoski bioproduct mill’s growing volumes • The balance between supply and demand in sawn timber has improved, and average prices increased by 14% compared to previous year 3 May 2018 Metsä Group15 Sales and comparable operating result EUR million Metsä Fibre – Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry 409 423 389 416 422 427 475 552 601 61.2 53.2 46.4 53.7 54.5 70.8 68.4 125.9 144.9 0 25 50 75 100 125 150 175 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Q1/16 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/17 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Sales Operating result
  • 16. 3 May 2018 Metsä Group16 Price of pulp (PIX) 2010–Q1/2018 Metsä Fibre – Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry 450 550 650 750 850 950 1050 1150 450 550 650 750 850 950 1050 1150 ´10 ´11 ´12 ´13 ´14 ´15 ´16 ´17 ´18 Hardwood/EUR Softwood/EUR Hardwood/USD Softwood/USD USD EUR Source: Foex
  • 17. Paperboard Industry had a strong start for the year • The sales and operating result improved due to the increased delivery volumes and higher sales prices of paperboard and market pulp • Especially market prices of white kraftliner increased in local currencies • Exchange rate changes had a negative impact on the result • Production efficiency was good, and several units set new production records 3 May 2018 Metsä Group17 Sales and comparable operating result EUR million Metsä Board – Paperboard Industry 436 423 440 422 445 474 479 451 492 35 35.8 34 32.8 45.2 43.5 50.4 54.4 69 0 15 30 45 60 75 90 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Q1/16 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/17 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Sales Operating result
  • 18. 3 May 201818 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Folding boxboard White-top kraftliner Sources: RISI, Inc. & FOEX Indexes Ltd Prices of folding boxboard and white-top kraftliner in Europe 2011–Q1/2018 EUR/ tonne Metsä Group
  • 19. Tissue and Cooking Papers’ production efficiency is being improved • The sales of Metsä Tissue grew due to increased sales volumes • The result was weakened by the price of pulp, the exchange rate changes of the Norwegian krone, Swedish krona and UK pound against euro • There are several ongoing investments in the internal efficiency and product portfolio of tissue and cooking papers 3 May 2018 Metsä Group19 Sales and comparable operating result EUR million Metsä Tissue – Tissue and Cooking Papers 246 249 247 249 252 251 250 261 259 13.5 13.2 15.8 20.6 17.6 16.3 16.8 23.3 12.3 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Q1/16 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/17 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Sales Operating result
  • 20. • Demand for wood will focus on regeneration and thinning felling that can be harvested in the summer and, in energy wood, primarily on crown wood • Market demand for wood products is expected to remain strong, which improves order book levels, particularly in plywood. Uncertainty in the UK market is expected to continue • The pulp market is expected to remain at its current, good level. Demand for sawn timber is also expected to remain good • Demand for consumer packaging paperboard is expected to continue to grow. The market prices of folding boxboard in local currencies are expected to remain stable or to rise slightly • In the tissue and cooking paper markets, demand is expected to remain stable in all market areas 3 May 2018 Metsä Group20 Summary Outlook for the business areas
  • 21. • Metsä Group’s comparable operating result in the second quarter of 2018 expected to be roughly at the same level as in the first quarter of 2018 3 May 2018 Metsä Group21 Near-term outlook Summary