Metsä Group’s Full Year Result 2020
Ilkka Hämälä
President and CEO
11 February 2021
• Sales EUR 5,055 million (2019: EUR 5,473 million)
• Operating result* EUR 368 million (EUR 495 million)
• Operating result* 7.3% of sales (9.0)
• Return on capital employed* 7.1% (9.6)
• Sales decreased due to lower sales prices of pulp
• Profitability decreased due to a decline in the sales prices of
pulp and the strikes in Finland in early 2020. The strikes had a
negative operating result impact of EUR 50 million
• Exchange rate fluctuations had a positive effect of EUR 51
million on the operating result
• Metsä Group advanced its investment projects as planned
Profitability improved towards
the end of the year
11.2.2021
Metsä Group – Result 2020
*comparable
• The price of long-fibre pulp increased and that of short-fibre
pulp remained stable compared to Q3/2020
• Paperboard deliveries were higher than in Q4/2019 and
declined seasonally from Q3/2020
• The market situation of sawn timber and veneer products
improved
• Environmental permit was granted to Kemi bioproduct mill
• A 30% share of Husum pulp mill in Sweden was divested to
Norra Skog. The final decision to renew the mill’s recovery
boiler and turbine was made
• The maintenance shutdowns postponed to the second half of
the year were implemented successfully
Events during the fourth quarter
11.2.2021
Metsä Group – Result 2020
11.2.2021 4
Sales
Metsä Group – Result 2020
EUR million
4,658
5,040
5,709
5,473
5,055
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
11.2.2021 5
1,156 1,184
1,143
1,175
1,216 1,235 1,260
1,328
1,428
1,477
1,386
1,419 1,438
1,372 1,374
1,290
1,253
1,200
1,245
1,357
0
200
400
600
800
1 000
1 200
1 400
1 600
Q1/16 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/17 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/19 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/20 Q2 Q3 Q4
Sales quarterly
EUR million
Metsä Group – Result 2020
11.2.2021 6
Comparable operating result
Metsä Group – Result 2020
EUR million
439
566
849
495
368
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
11.2.2021 7
109
120
103 107
128
119
134
185
208 210
223
208
180
128
110
76
62
96
115
94
0
50
100
150
200
250
Q1/16 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/17 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/19 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/20 Q2 Q3 Q4
Metsä Group – Result 2020
EUR million
Comparable operating result, quarterly
11.2.2021 8
Change in comparable operating result
Metsä Group – Result 2020
EUR million
Comparable operating result 1–12/2019 495
Sales prices -195
Sales volumes -44
Exchange rates (after hedging) 51
Change in wood raw material unit costs 34
Change in raw material, energy and other variable costs unit costs 67
Employee costs 8
Maintenance and other fixed costs -11
Change in inventories (including volume and valuation) -29
Depreciation and other -8
Comparable operating result 1–12/2020 368
11.2.2021 9
Items affecting comparability
Metsä Group – Result 2020
EUR million 2020
OPERATING RESULT (IFRS) 375.8
Items affecting comparability:
Metsä Tissue / Items related to the sales of napkin business 1.3
Metsä Board / Sale of non-business related land area -6.0
Metsä Tissue / Insurance indemnity and divestment of fixed assets -3.3
Items affecting comparability, total -8.1
COMPARABLE OPERATING RESULT 367.7
10.2
12.3
16.8
9.6
7.1
0
4
8
12
16
20
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
11.2.2021 10
Comparable ROCE
Metsä Group – Result 2020
%
Target > 12%
11.2.2021 11
Equity ratio
Metsä Group – Result 2020
43.9 45.0
53.1
56.2 57.2
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
%
11.2.2021 12
Interest-bearing net liabilities
Metsä Group – Result 2020
1,033
993
463
374
168
0
300
600
900
1 200
1 500
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
EUR million
11.2.2021 13
Capital expenditure
Metsä Group – Result 2020
762
631
274 260
401
0
200
400
600
800
1000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
EUR million
Includes investments in leased fixed assets.
11.2.2021 14
Personnel
Metsä Group – Result 2020
9,300 9,126 9,310 9,265 9,213
0
3 000
6 000
9 000
12 000
2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
• The benefits of digital business were highlighted
in the pandemic. Half of the wood acquired from
private forest owners was purchased digitally
• Harvesting and transportation conditions in
Finland were normal, but the harvesting of winter
stands started only in December
• Deliveries were carried out smoothly. Wood was
delivered 32.7 million m3 (34.7)
• Wood prices were stable in the beginning of the
year, but the prices of log wood began to rise
during Q4/2020
11.2.2021 15
Wood deliveries progressed well
Metsä Forest – Wood Supply and Forest Services
Sales and comparable operating result
EUR million
490 496
471
526 526
508
474 465
431
471
449
469
8.7
5.8
8.9 8.9
11.3
5.6
5.0
5.6
3.4
3.9
6.2
8.9
0
3
6
9
12
15
18
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/19 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/20 Q2 Q3 Q4
Sales Operating result
• Market situation improved towards the end of
the year
• Profitability improved due to lower raw material,
energy and labour costs and the improved result of
the UK business
• The strike at Finnish mills and the pandemic
weakened profitability
• The delivery volumes of Kerto LVL and spruce
plywood declined slightly, but the delivery volumes
of birch plywood increased
11.2.2021 16
Full-year profitability of wood products improved
Metsä Wood – Wood Products Industry
Sales and comparable operating result
EUR million
109
119
106 108 111
119
111
93
87
104
122
117
6.2
5.5
2.8
2.2 1.8
3.3 3.1
-1.1
-3.3
1.3
6.6
4.7
-4
0
4
8
12
16
20
-30
0
30
60
90
120
150
Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/19 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/20 Q2 Q3 Q4
Sales Operating result
• Demand for pulp strengthened in Q4/2020,
particularly in China, and prices in Asia began to
increase. Europe follows Asia with a delay
• Demand for sawn timber, which had slowed down
at the beginning of the year, picked up towards the
end of the year in all main markets
• The USD-denominated average market prices of
long-fibre pulp in 2020 decreased by 14% in
Europe and by 7% in China
• Construction of the pine sawmill in Rauma
progressed as planned
• The investment decision for the Kemi bioproduct
mill was made in February 2021
11.2.2021 17
Market situation for pulp and sawn timber is recovering
Metsä Fibre – Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry
Sales and comparable operating result
EUR million
601
629 609
630 623
556 567
490
412 428
459
528
144.9
164.9
187.0
172.0
122.4
83.1
33.2
9.9
-21.3
16.0 17.1
-8.0
-40
0
40
80
120
160
200
240
280
-100
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/19 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/20 Q2 Q3 Q4
Sales Operating result
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
´12 ´13 ´14 ´15 ´16 ´17 ´18 ´19 ´20
Hardwood/EUR Softwood/EUR Hardwood/USD Softwood/USD Softwood/China/USD
11.2.2021 18
Price of pulp (PIX) in Europe and China
Metsä Fibre – Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry
USD EUR
Source: Fast Markets Foex
• Profitability was improved by lower production
costs and a positive exchange rate development
• The result was burdened by the Finnish paper
workers’ strike at the beginning of the year
• Metsä Board divested a 30% share of Husum pulp
mill to Norra Skog
• The investment decision for the first phase of the
renewal of the Husum pulp mill was made in
December 2020
• In January 2021, Metsä Board initiated pre-
engineering to increase the folding boxboard
production capacity by 200,000 tonnes at the
Husum mill in Sweden
11.2.2021 19
The operating result of the paperboard industry
improved clearly from the previous year
Metsä Board – Paperboard Industry
492
519
475
458
487 477 489 478 472 473 471 473
69.0
59.2
64.0
60.0 61.8
41.0 42.5
39.1
33.8
60.5 62.5 64.5
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/19 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/20 Q2 Q3 Q4
Sales Operating result
Sales and comparable operating result
EUR million
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
500
600
700
800
900
1000
1100
1200
2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Folding boxboard
White-top kraftliner
11.2.2021 20
Paperboard market price development in Europe
Metsä Board – Paperboard Industry
EUR/ tonne
Sources: Fastmarkets RISI & Fastmarkets FOEX
EUR/ tonne
• Operating profit was improved by efficiency
measures and lower variable costs
• After the strong growth caused by the pandemic,
demand started to decline, but picked up again
towards the end of the year
• Demand for greaseproof papers remained good
• The divestment of the napkin business was
completed at the beginning of the year
• Metsä Tissue renews a tissue paper machine at its
Mänttä mill
• In the spring of 2020, the company initiated an
environmental permit procedure for the renewal of
the Mariestad mill in Sweden
11.2.2021 21
Clear result improvement in tissue and
greaseproof papers
Metsä Tissue – Tissue and Greaseproof Papers
259 256 254
270 267 266 263 264
293
224
237
258
12.3 11.5
6.4 6.1
10.5
13.5
22.8
26.6
40.5
23.6 22.7
27.1
0
8
16
24
32
40
48
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/19 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/20 Q2 Q3 Q4
Sales Operating result
Sales and comparable operating result
EUR million
• Demand for Kerto LVL remains strong, particularly in North
America and Australia. Demand for softwood plywood is strong.
Competition in the birch plywood continues to be tough in Europe
• The rise in softwood pulp prices that began at the end of 2020
has continued during Q1/2021. Demand for pulp is growing,
particularly in Asia. Demand for sawn timber remains strong
• Paperboard deliveries are expected to increase in Q1/2021
compared to Q4/2020. Linerboard prices are expected to rise
and folding boxboard prices to remain stable
• Demand for tissue paper is expected to grow as pandemic
restrictions are lifted. Demand for greaseproof papers is expected
to continue in growth trend
11.2.2021 22
Market outlook
Summary
Metsä Group’s comparable operating result
is in the first quarter of 2021 expected to
improve from the fourth quarter of 2020
11.2.2021 23
Near-term
result outlook
Summary
• Increase of the value of Finnish forests
• Profitable growth together with customers
• Reduction of fossil fuel consumption
• Increase of renewable energy production
• Replacing fossil materials with renewables
• Higher amount of carbon stored in wood based products
that have a long life span
11.2.2021 24
Metsä Group’s main
strategic objectives
25
Being a forerunner requires investments
2015–2018: Investments of EUR 2 billion 2019–2023: Investments of EUR 2.5 billion
Äänekoski bioproduct mill
Punkaharju, Lohja and
Pärnu mills
Husum
paperboard machine
11.2.2021
Husum pulp and
paperboard mills
Textile fibre
demo plant
Kemi
linerboard mill
Kemi
bioproduct mill
Rauma sawmill
• Strong customer demand for the new capacity
• Wood sourcing plans finalized
• Finnish State’s investments to logistics
infrastructure ensure improved transportation of
raw materials and products
• Permissions to commence operations granted
• Financing agreed
• Good and active cooperation with Finnish
government, authorities and other stakeholders
New EUR 1.6 billion
bioproduct mill will be
built in Kemi
11.2.2021
Your partner in profitable growth

Metsa Group's full year result 2020

  • 1.
    Metsä Group’s FullYear Result 2020 Ilkka Hämälä President and CEO 11 February 2021
  • 2.
    • Sales EUR5,055 million (2019: EUR 5,473 million) • Operating result* EUR 368 million (EUR 495 million) • Operating result* 7.3% of sales (9.0) • Return on capital employed* 7.1% (9.6) • Sales decreased due to lower sales prices of pulp • Profitability decreased due to a decline in the sales prices of pulp and the strikes in Finland in early 2020. The strikes had a negative operating result impact of EUR 50 million • Exchange rate fluctuations had a positive effect of EUR 51 million on the operating result • Metsä Group advanced its investment projects as planned Profitability improved towards the end of the year 11.2.2021 Metsä Group – Result 2020 *comparable
  • 3.
    • The priceof long-fibre pulp increased and that of short-fibre pulp remained stable compared to Q3/2020 • Paperboard deliveries were higher than in Q4/2019 and declined seasonally from Q3/2020 • The market situation of sawn timber and veneer products improved • Environmental permit was granted to Kemi bioproduct mill • A 30% share of Husum pulp mill in Sweden was divested to Norra Skog. The final decision to renew the mill’s recovery boiler and turbine was made • The maintenance shutdowns postponed to the second half of the year were implemented successfully Events during the fourth quarter 11.2.2021 Metsä Group – Result 2020
  • 4.
    11.2.2021 4 Sales Metsä Group– Result 2020 EUR million 4,658 5,040 5,709 5,473 5,055 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
  • 5.
    11.2.2021 5 1,156 1,184 1,143 1,175 1,2161,235 1,260 1,328 1,428 1,477 1,386 1,419 1,438 1,372 1,374 1,290 1,253 1,200 1,245 1,357 0 200 400 600 800 1 000 1 200 1 400 1 600 Q1/16 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/17 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/19 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/20 Q2 Q3 Q4 Sales quarterly EUR million Metsä Group – Result 2020
  • 6.
    11.2.2021 6 Comparable operatingresult Metsä Group – Result 2020 EUR million 439 566 849 495 368 0 200 400 600 800 1000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
  • 7.
    11.2.2021 7 109 120 103 107 128 119 134 185 208210 223 208 180 128 110 76 62 96 115 94 0 50 100 150 200 250 Q1/16 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/17 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/19 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/20 Q2 Q3 Q4 Metsä Group – Result 2020 EUR million Comparable operating result, quarterly
  • 8.
    11.2.2021 8 Change incomparable operating result Metsä Group – Result 2020 EUR million Comparable operating result 1–12/2019 495 Sales prices -195 Sales volumes -44 Exchange rates (after hedging) 51 Change in wood raw material unit costs 34 Change in raw material, energy and other variable costs unit costs 67 Employee costs 8 Maintenance and other fixed costs -11 Change in inventories (including volume and valuation) -29 Depreciation and other -8 Comparable operating result 1–12/2020 368
  • 9.
    11.2.2021 9 Items affectingcomparability Metsä Group – Result 2020 EUR million 2020 OPERATING RESULT (IFRS) 375.8 Items affecting comparability: Metsä Tissue / Items related to the sales of napkin business 1.3 Metsä Board / Sale of non-business related land area -6.0 Metsä Tissue / Insurance indemnity and divestment of fixed assets -3.3 Items affecting comparability, total -8.1 COMPARABLE OPERATING RESULT 367.7
  • 10.
    10.2 12.3 16.8 9.6 7.1 0 4 8 12 16 20 2016 2017 20182019 2020 11.2.2021 10 Comparable ROCE Metsä Group – Result 2020 % Target > 12%
  • 11.
    11.2.2021 11 Equity ratio MetsäGroup – Result 2020 43.9 45.0 53.1 56.2 57.2 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 %
  • 12.
    11.2.2021 12 Interest-bearing netliabilities Metsä Group – Result 2020 1,033 993 463 374 168 0 300 600 900 1 200 1 500 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 EUR million
  • 13.
    11.2.2021 13 Capital expenditure MetsäGroup – Result 2020 762 631 274 260 401 0 200 400 600 800 1000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 EUR million Includes investments in leased fixed assets.
  • 14.
    11.2.2021 14 Personnel Metsä Group– Result 2020 9,300 9,126 9,310 9,265 9,213 0 3 000 6 000 9 000 12 000 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
  • 15.
    • The benefitsof digital business were highlighted in the pandemic. Half of the wood acquired from private forest owners was purchased digitally • Harvesting and transportation conditions in Finland were normal, but the harvesting of winter stands started only in December • Deliveries were carried out smoothly. Wood was delivered 32.7 million m3 (34.7) • Wood prices were stable in the beginning of the year, but the prices of log wood began to rise during Q4/2020 11.2.2021 15 Wood deliveries progressed well Metsä Forest – Wood Supply and Forest Services Sales and comparable operating result EUR million 490 496 471 526 526 508 474 465 431 471 449 469 8.7 5.8 8.9 8.9 11.3 5.6 5.0 5.6 3.4 3.9 6.2 8.9 0 3 6 9 12 15 18 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/19 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/20 Q2 Q3 Q4 Sales Operating result
  • 16.
    • Market situationimproved towards the end of the year • Profitability improved due to lower raw material, energy and labour costs and the improved result of the UK business • The strike at Finnish mills and the pandemic weakened profitability • The delivery volumes of Kerto LVL and spruce plywood declined slightly, but the delivery volumes of birch plywood increased 11.2.2021 16 Full-year profitability of wood products improved Metsä Wood – Wood Products Industry Sales and comparable operating result EUR million 109 119 106 108 111 119 111 93 87 104 122 117 6.2 5.5 2.8 2.2 1.8 3.3 3.1 -1.1 -3.3 1.3 6.6 4.7 -4 0 4 8 12 16 20 -30 0 30 60 90 120 150 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/19 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/20 Q2 Q3 Q4 Sales Operating result
  • 17.
    • Demand forpulp strengthened in Q4/2020, particularly in China, and prices in Asia began to increase. Europe follows Asia with a delay • Demand for sawn timber, which had slowed down at the beginning of the year, picked up towards the end of the year in all main markets • The USD-denominated average market prices of long-fibre pulp in 2020 decreased by 14% in Europe and by 7% in China • Construction of the pine sawmill in Rauma progressed as planned • The investment decision for the Kemi bioproduct mill was made in February 2021 11.2.2021 17 Market situation for pulp and sawn timber is recovering Metsä Fibre – Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry Sales and comparable operating result EUR million 601 629 609 630 623 556 567 490 412 428 459 528 144.9 164.9 187.0 172.0 122.4 83.1 33.2 9.9 -21.3 16.0 17.1 -8.0 -40 0 40 80 120 160 200 240 280 -100 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/19 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/20 Q2 Q3 Q4 Sales Operating result
  • 18.
    400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 ´12 ´13 ´14´15 ´16 ´17 ´18 ´19 ´20 Hardwood/EUR Softwood/EUR Hardwood/USD Softwood/USD Softwood/China/USD 11.2.2021 18 Price of pulp (PIX) in Europe and China Metsä Fibre – Pulp and Sawn Timber Industry USD EUR Source: Fast Markets Foex
  • 19.
    • Profitability wasimproved by lower production costs and a positive exchange rate development • The result was burdened by the Finnish paper workers’ strike at the beginning of the year • Metsä Board divested a 30% share of Husum pulp mill to Norra Skog • The investment decision for the first phase of the renewal of the Husum pulp mill was made in December 2020 • In January 2021, Metsä Board initiated pre- engineering to increase the folding boxboard production capacity by 200,000 tonnes at the Husum mill in Sweden 11.2.2021 19 The operating result of the paperboard industry improved clearly from the previous year Metsä Board – Paperboard Industry 492 519 475 458 487 477 489 478 472 473 471 473 69.0 59.2 64.0 60.0 61.8 41.0 42.5 39.1 33.8 60.5 62.5 64.5 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/19 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/20 Q2 Q3 Q4 Sales Operating result Sales and comparable operating result EUR million
  • 20.
    500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 500 600 700 800 900 1000 1100 1200 2010 2011 20122013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 Folding boxboard White-top kraftliner 11.2.2021 20 Paperboard market price development in Europe Metsä Board – Paperboard Industry EUR/ tonne Sources: Fastmarkets RISI & Fastmarkets FOEX EUR/ tonne
  • 21.
    • Operating profitwas improved by efficiency measures and lower variable costs • After the strong growth caused by the pandemic, demand started to decline, but picked up again towards the end of the year • Demand for greaseproof papers remained good • The divestment of the napkin business was completed at the beginning of the year • Metsä Tissue renews a tissue paper machine at its Mänttä mill • In the spring of 2020, the company initiated an environmental permit procedure for the renewal of the Mariestad mill in Sweden 11.2.2021 21 Clear result improvement in tissue and greaseproof papers Metsä Tissue – Tissue and Greaseproof Papers 259 256 254 270 267 266 263 264 293 224 237 258 12.3 11.5 6.4 6.1 10.5 13.5 22.8 26.6 40.5 23.6 22.7 27.1 0 8 16 24 32 40 48 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 Q1/18 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/19 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1/20 Q2 Q3 Q4 Sales Operating result Sales and comparable operating result EUR million
  • 22.
    • Demand forKerto LVL remains strong, particularly in North America and Australia. Demand for softwood plywood is strong. Competition in the birch plywood continues to be tough in Europe • The rise in softwood pulp prices that began at the end of 2020 has continued during Q1/2021. Demand for pulp is growing, particularly in Asia. Demand for sawn timber remains strong • Paperboard deliveries are expected to increase in Q1/2021 compared to Q4/2020. Linerboard prices are expected to rise and folding boxboard prices to remain stable • Demand for tissue paper is expected to grow as pandemic restrictions are lifted. Demand for greaseproof papers is expected to continue in growth trend 11.2.2021 22 Market outlook Summary
  • 23.
    Metsä Group’s comparableoperating result is in the first quarter of 2021 expected to improve from the fourth quarter of 2020 11.2.2021 23 Near-term result outlook Summary
  • 24.
    • Increase ofthe value of Finnish forests • Profitable growth together with customers • Reduction of fossil fuel consumption • Increase of renewable energy production • Replacing fossil materials with renewables • Higher amount of carbon stored in wood based products that have a long life span 11.2.2021 24 Metsä Group’s main strategic objectives
  • 25.
    25 Being a forerunnerrequires investments 2015–2018: Investments of EUR 2 billion 2019–2023: Investments of EUR 2.5 billion Äänekoski bioproduct mill Punkaharju, Lohja and Pärnu mills Husum paperboard machine 11.2.2021 Husum pulp and paperboard mills Textile fibre demo plant Kemi linerboard mill Kemi bioproduct mill Rauma sawmill
  • 26.
    • Strong customerdemand for the new capacity • Wood sourcing plans finalized • Finnish State’s investments to logistics infrastructure ensure improved transportation of raw materials and products • Permissions to commence operations granted • Financing agreed • Good and active cooperation with Finnish government, authorities and other stakeholders New EUR 1.6 billion bioproduct mill will be built in Kemi 11.2.2021
  • 28.
    Your partner inprofitable growth