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Russian Metallics Market



             Madrid
         September 2007
Consumption of steel products in
      Russia



       According to the Program of strategic development of metallurgical industry of the Russian
       Federation till 2015 (approved by the Government in May 2007) consumption of steel
       products in Russia is expected to increase in 2015 by 53%.

         Consum ption flat products in Russia, m m t                   Consum ption long products in Russia, m m t
30                                                             30


25                                                             25


20                                                             20


15                                                             15


10                                                             10


 5                                                              5


 0                                                              0
         2003               2004          2005   2006   2015            2003               2004          2005   2006   2015
Source: Metallcourier, Minpromenergo RF                        Source: Metallcourier, Minpromenergo RF
Russia steel production



Crude steel production in Russia in 2006 was over 70 mln mt. Since 2002 average growth
rate of Russian steel production is 3.7%.
EAF production in 2007 will reach 19 mln. Mt. According to the forecast of the Russian
Government EAF steel production is expected to increase to 25 mln. Mt. by 2015.

                              Steel m aking by process in Russia, m m t
                 90,00

                 80,00          BOF        EAF    OH

                 70,00

                 60,00

                 50,00

                 40,00

                 30,00

                 20,00

                 10,00

                  0,00
                           2000     2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006   2007   2015
                 Source: IISI, Rosstat
Structure of rolled steel
production and sales


The main items of Russian steel export are slabs and billets. Share of semifinished
products is about 50%.



                              Structure of rolled steel production
                                    and sales 2006, M tons
                  35,0

                  30,0
                                                    8,2
                  25,0            5,8                         Slab export
                                                              Squares export
                  20,0            4,0               9,6
                                                              Rolled steel export
                  15,0                                        Domestic sales

                  10,0           16,8
                                                    14,2
                   5,0

                   0,0
                                Long               Flat

                  Source: Metall-Courier, GTK RF
Russian steel product shipments




In 2006 Russia produced 58 mln. mt. of finished steel products. 49% were exported.
According to optimistic scenario of the Government forecast In 2015 production of finished
steel products is expected to reach 76 mln. Mt. Export tonnage will drop by 2 M t. but its
share in total output will change from 50% to 35%. The share of semis in export will also
decrease.
                               Russian steel products shipm ents, m m t
                  90

                  80      Export
                          Domestic market
                  70
                                                                          27,0
                  60
                                                                  27,8
                                                           27,9
                  50                                29,0
                                   28,3      28,9
                  40    29,5
                  30
                                                                          49,6
                  20                                       40,1   43,6
                                             31,7   35,1
                        25,2       29,9
                  10

                   0
                         2005       2006     2007   2008   2009   2010    2015
                  Source: Minpromenergo RF
Continuous casting in Russia




In 2006 the share of continuous casting was 67%. By 2015 it will exceed 90%. Home scrap
amount shall drop.


                                  Continuous casting in Russia, m m t
                  90

                  80

                  70

                  60

                  50

                  40

                  30

                  20

                  10

                   0
                           2003              2004        2005   2006    2015
                  Source: Metallcourier, Metalloinvest
Steelmaking raw materials
structure


Due to increase of steel production and changes in steel production technology structure
(BOF, EAF, OH) the demand for steel making raw materials in Russia will raise. It should be
mentioned that scrap collection in Russia during the last 15 years was higher than
consumption of steel products.

                             Russian charge m etallics structure, m m t
                  100

                   90

                   80

                   70                                                 46
                   60
                                         44
                   50

                   40

                   30
                                                                      39
                   20
                                         32
                   10
                                                                       8
                    0                    2
                                       2006                           2015
                  Source: Minpromenergo RF, Metalloinvest   DRI/HBI    Scrap   Iron
Russian scrap export



      Within the next 3 years export of scrap from Russia will continue to decrease and it will
      drop to 1-1.5 mln mtpy.



                  Scrap export from CIS, m ln. ton                    Russian EAF steel production and scrap
18
                                                                           export from Russia, m ln. ton
                                                            20
                                                            19
                                                            18
16                                                                           Scrap export
                                                            17               EAF steel production
                                                            16
14                                                          15
                                                            14
                                                            13
12                                                          12
                                                            11
                                                            10
10
                                                             9
                                                             8
 8                                                           7
           2004            2005         2006         2007              2004                 2005    2006   2007
Source: CRU                                                 Source: Rosstat, CRU
Russian scrap resources



Due to changes in Russian steel industry the structure of scrap origin by source will
change. Certain increase in industrial scrap will not compensate decrease of home scrap
generation and obsolete scrap collection.

                                     Russian scrap resources, m m t
                  45

                  40

                  35                    12
                                                                  7
                  30

                  25                     9                        12
                  20

                  15

                  10                    21                        19
                   5

                   0
                                        2006                     2015
                  Source: MAIR, Metalloinvest        Old scrap   New scrap   Home
Net steel scrap trade on the
world market


There is no reason to expect that the volume of the global scrap market will increase in the
nearest few years. Unless China turns into exporter of scrap.




                                    Scrap international m arket, m m t
                    70


                    60


                    50


                    40


                    30


                    20


                    10


                     0
                             2002         2003       2004        2005    2006
                    Source: UN
Pig iron international market



According to the UN statistics international pig iron trade has been growing during the last
5 years. According Russian official forecast pig iron production in Russia is not going to
increase. By 2015 pig iron output in Russia is expected to drop by 2-3%.


                                   Pig iron international m arket, m m t
                   18,0

                   16,0

                   14,0

                   12,0

                   10,0

                    8,0

                    6,0

                    4,0

                    2,0

                    0,0
                          1995   1996   1997   1998   1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006
World DRI/HBI production



      After a relatively long period of stagnation DRI/HBI production now is booming. During the
      next 4 years global HBI/DRI production will grow by 60%. Only relatively small amount of
      additional material will be supplied to the market. The most part will be used for
      steelmaking on the spot.

              World DRI/HBI production, m m t                                        DRI/HBI international m arket, m m t
100                                                                      9

 90                                                                      8
 80
                                                                         7
 70
                                                                         6
 60
                                                                         5
 50
                                                                         4
 40
                                                                         3
 30

 20                                                                      2

 10                                                                      1

  0                                                                      0
     1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2010*      1995 1996 1997   1998   1999   2000   2001   2002   2003   2004   2005   2006
Source: Midrex                                              * forecast   Source: ISSB, UN
Russia on the World SRM
       market


        After 2010 Russia will stop massive export of steel scrap




      Russia on international m etallics m arkets, 2006          Russia on international m etallics m arkets, 2015
45%                                                        50%

40%                                                        45%

                                                           40%
35%
                                                           35%
30%
                                                           30%
25%
                                                           25%
20%          39%                                                                                             44%
                                                           20%
15%
                                                           15%              30%
10%                                                        10%
                               17%               17%
5%                                                          5%
                                                                                           0%
0%                                                          0%
             Pig iron        Steel scrap         DRI/HBI                   Pig iron     Steel scrap         DRI/HBI
Source: UN                                                 Source: Metalloinvest
Metalloinvest DRI/HBI shipments



By 2015 Metalloivest will supply to the world market 5 mln. Tpy of HBI.


                       M etalloinvest m erchant DRI/HBI shipm ents, m m t
                   6


                   5


                   4


                   3


                   2


                   1


                   0
                         2006         2007   2008   2009   2010   2011   2015
                   Source: Metalloinvest
Structure of Metalloinvest
Holding, 2006


                               Metalloinvest


      Iron Ore Products                         Steel Products


     Lebedinsky GOK                                Ural Steel
     Mikhailovsky GOK                               OEMK

       Saleable Material                       Production Volumes
   Pellets          18,2 m t               Pig Iron             2,5 m t
   Concentrate      16,2 m t               Steel                6,3 m t
   Ore              2,5 m t                Rolled Products      5,2 m t
   HBI              1,0 m t
Main Targets of Metalloinvest mining




       To increase the share of higher value added products
      (HBI) in the sales mix
       To save production costs
       To improve product quality
       To unify management technologies and processes
       To introduce advanced technical and solutions
       To realize efficient energy saving program

    The principal strategic target of the Iron Ore Division
                is to increase the production of
                     HBI by 2015 to 8 mtpa


                                                              16
Technical Development of
Metalloinvest Iron Ore Division


              Iron Ore Division Development Strategy

                                                            2.8 m tons of
                   2015                                      briquettes
                  8 m tons
                  of                                        5.2 m tons of
                                                             briquettes
              briquettes
                             Estimated HBI production

        2006                             2008                     2015
     1.0 m tons                       2.5 m tons                8 m tons




     LGOK – 100%                     LGOK – 100%        MGOK – 35% LGOK – 65%

                                                                            17

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Metalloinvest Presentation on Raw Materials in Russia

  • 1. Russian Metallics Market Madrid September 2007
  • 2. Consumption of steel products in Russia According to the Program of strategic development of metallurgical industry of the Russian Federation till 2015 (approved by the Government in May 2007) consumption of steel products in Russia is expected to increase in 2015 by 53%. Consum ption flat products in Russia, m m t Consum ption long products in Russia, m m t 30 30 25 25 20 20 15 15 10 10 5 5 0 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2015 2003 2004 2005 2006 2015 Source: Metallcourier, Minpromenergo RF Source: Metallcourier, Minpromenergo RF
  • 3. Russia steel production Crude steel production in Russia in 2006 was over 70 mln mt. Since 2002 average growth rate of Russian steel production is 3.7%. EAF production in 2007 will reach 19 mln. Mt. According to the forecast of the Russian Government EAF steel production is expected to increase to 25 mln. Mt. by 2015. Steel m aking by process in Russia, m m t 90,00 80,00 BOF EAF OH 70,00 60,00 50,00 40,00 30,00 20,00 10,00 0,00 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2015 Source: IISI, Rosstat
  • 4. Structure of rolled steel production and sales The main items of Russian steel export are slabs and billets. Share of semifinished products is about 50%. Structure of rolled steel production and sales 2006, M tons 35,0 30,0 8,2 25,0 5,8 Slab export Squares export 20,0 4,0 9,6 Rolled steel export 15,0 Domestic sales 10,0 16,8 14,2 5,0 0,0 Long Flat Source: Metall-Courier, GTK RF
  • 5. Russian steel product shipments In 2006 Russia produced 58 mln. mt. of finished steel products. 49% were exported. According to optimistic scenario of the Government forecast In 2015 production of finished steel products is expected to reach 76 mln. Mt. Export tonnage will drop by 2 M t. but its share in total output will change from 50% to 35%. The share of semis in export will also decrease. Russian steel products shipm ents, m m t 90 80 Export Domestic market 70 27,0 60 27,8 27,9 50 29,0 28,3 28,9 40 29,5 30 49,6 20 40,1 43,6 31,7 35,1 25,2 29,9 10 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2015 Source: Minpromenergo RF
  • 6. Continuous casting in Russia In 2006 the share of continuous casting was 67%. By 2015 it will exceed 90%. Home scrap amount shall drop. Continuous casting in Russia, m m t 90 80 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2003 2004 2005 2006 2015 Source: Metallcourier, Metalloinvest
  • 7. Steelmaking raw materials structure Due to increase of steel production and changes in steel production technology structure (BOF, EAF, OH) the demand for steel making raw materials in Russia will raise. It should be mentioned that scrap collection in Russia during the last 15 years was higher than consumption of steel products. Russian charge m etallics structure, m m t 100 90 80 70 46 60 44 50 40 30 39 20 32 10 8 0 2 2006 2015 Source: Minpromenergo RF, Metalloinvest DRI/HBI Scrap Iron
  • 8. Russian scrap export Within the next 3 years export of scrap from Russia will continue to decrease and it will drop to 1-1.5 mln mtpy. Scrap export from CIS, m ln. ton Russian EAF steel production and scrap 18 export from Russia, m ln. ton 20 19 18 16 Scrap export 17 EAF steel production 16 14 15 14 13 12 12 11 10 10 9 8 8 7 2004 2005 2006 2007 2004 2005 2006 2007 Source: CRU Source: Rosstat, CRU
  • 9. Russian scrap resources Due to changes in Russian steel industry the structure of scrap origin by source will change. Certain increase in industrial scrap will not compensate decrease of home scrap generation and obsolete scrap collection. Russian scrap resources, m m t 45 40 35 12 7 30 25 9 12 20 15 10 21 19 5 0 2006 2015 Source: MAIR, Metalloinvest Old scrap New scrap Home
  • 10. Net steel scrap trade on the world market There is no reason to expect that the volume of the global scrap market will increase in the nearest few years. Unless China turns into exporter of scrap. Scrap international m arket, m m t 70 60 50 40 30 20 10 0 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Source: UN
  • 11. Pig iron international market According to the UN statistics international pig iron trade has been growing during the last 5 years. According Russian official forecast pig iron production in Russia is not going to increase. By 2015 pig iron output in Russia is expected to drop by 2-3%. Pig iron international m arket, m m t 18,0 16,0 14,0 12,0 10,0 8,0 6,0 4,0 2,0 0,0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006
  • 12. World DRI/HBI production After a relatively long period of stagnation DRI/HBI production now is booming. During the next 4 years global HBI/DRI production will grow by 60%. Only relatively small amount of additional material will be supplied to the market. The most part will be used for steelmaking on the spot. World DRI/HBI production, m m t DRI/HBI international m arket, m m t 100 9 90 8 80 7 70 6 60 5 50 4 40 3 30 20 2 10 1 0 0 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2010* 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Source: Midrex * forecast Source: ISSB, UN
  • 13. Russia on the World SRM market After 2010 Russia will stop massive export of steel scrap Russia on international m etallics m arkets, 2006 Russia on international m etallics m arkets, 2015 45% 50% 40% 45% 40% 35% 35% 30% 30% 25% 25% 20% 39% 44% 20% 15% 15% 30% 10% 10% 17% 17% 5% 5% 0% 0% 0% Pig iron Steel scrap DRI/HBI Pig iron Steel scrap DRI/HBI Source: UN Source: Metalloinvest
  • 14. Metalloinvest DRI/HBI shipments By 2015 Metalloivest will supply to the world market 5 mln. Tpy of HBI. M etalloinvest m erchant DRI/HBI shipm ents, m m t 6 5 4 3 2 1 0 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2015 Source: Metalloinvest
  • 15. Structure of Metalloinvest Holding, 2006 Metalloinvest Iron Ore Products Steel Products Lebedinsky GOK Ural Steel Mikhailovsky GOK OEMK Saleable Material Production Volumes Pellets 18,2 m t Pig Iron 2,5 m t Concentrate 16,2 m t Steel 6,3 m t Ore 2,5 m t Rolled Products 5,2 m t HBI 1,0 m t
  • 16. Main Targets of Metalloinvest mining To increase the share of higher value added products (HBI) in the sales mix To save production costs To improve product quality To unify management technologies and processes To introduce advanced technical and solutions To realize efficient energy saving program The principal strategic target of the Iron Ore Division is to increase the production of HBI by 2015 to 8 mtpa 16
  • 17. Technical Development of Metalloinvest Iron Ore Division Iron Ore Division Development Strategy 2.8 m tons of 2015 briquettes 8 m tons of 5.2 m tons of briquettes briquettes Estimated HBI production 2006 2008 2015 1.0 m tons 2.5 m tons 8 m tons LGOK – 100% LGOK – 100% MGOK – 35% LGOK – 65% 17