Market Commodities
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www.CandleStickForums.com Market Commodities What are the market commodities that I can trade in? Market commodities, just in agricultural products, include corn, wheat, soybeans, rice, and oats. However, there is more to the commodities market in crops than just the grains listed. Corn includes mini-corn, corn swaps, and corn calendar spread options. Wheat also includes mini-wheat, wheat swaps, and wheat calendar spread options. Soybeans are the same but you add the same mix for soybean meal and then soybean crush. The commodities trader needs to keep commodity trading charts on each commodity that he or she is dealing in. Speaking of the use of charts for commodities trading, it brings us to the oldest recorded method of charting and predicting commodity prices which is still in use today, Candlestick trading. Active traders in market commodities may wish to follow more than just one or two commodities. The advantage of Candlestick chart analysis over following columns of figures is that Candlestick pattern formations are easier to recognize than the same information hidden in dense groupings of text. Commodity trading in rice used Candlestick basics as long as three hundred years ago. Traders developed Candlestick charting techniques that are in use today, not just in trading commodities but in the stock market, options trading, and the futures market as well. Fundamental analysis certainly applies to all market commodities. If industrial production is down in China, futures on steel products from Australia may suffer. The fact that the Asian economies seem to be leading the way out of the recession bodes well for raw goods that are imported for Chinese industry. News of the weather precedes crop reports and is a strong predictor of yield. However, it is rare that one person trading commodities is the only person with market news relative to the analysis of fundamentals. Because the trader does not have a head start on the market he or she needs to be aware of how the market is behaving or in order to be either bullish or bearish in the market.
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Trading agricultural commodities is the province of agricultural producers and the likes of multinational grain companies. It is also the province of traders speculating on movements in the agricultural commodities markets. Both groups trading commodities rely upon fundamental analysis of the commodity in question and engage in technical analysis using technical analysis tools such as Candlestick chart formations in order to judge when to stay with a market trend and when to expect a market reversal. The world needs food but growing conditions, food transport and storage, and diversion of food stuffs into energy all affect availability and, therefore, commodity price. This mixture of facts and conditions drives pricing in the futures markets in agricultural commodities. Whether you are interested in trading corn futures or live cattle Commodities and Futures Training will be a good place to start.
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When you start commodity trading you will be up against the likes of traders working for companies like Cargill and Archer Daniels Midland. These multinational food companies know the fundamentals of the agricultural commodities markets as it is their business. They will, in fact, know fundamentals before you do. Although their advantage may only be minutes or even seconds they will cause market movement to which you will have to react. They are typically the drivers of the commodities markets in wheat, corn, soybeans and other products. You will be in the pack with other traders doing Candlestick analysis to predict market reaction to the trades made by the big money.
Why They Trade
There are two types of traders in agricultural commodities. There are the producers and the buyers who are hedging commodities and their investment risk. There are traders looking to profit on market movement. Farm cooperatives growing sugar beets and sugar producers who buy sugar beets or cane each buy or sell commodities futures contacts to lock in price at a future date. Because these folks know the market in their commodity they may well also trade for profit but their primary motive is to maintain a stable price for their product. The trader speculates on market movement and market reversal in looking to profit. The producers and buyers want a stable market. The pure trader would like to see lots of market volatility.
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Winning with commodities starts with learning the basics through commodities and futures training. Learning what commodities are and which commodity to trade is a start. Commodity prices as recorded in commodity trading charts give traders a useful view of the commodities markets. Commodity trading with the use of Candlestick chart analysis has helped traders since Candlestick basics were developed by rice traders in Japan centuries ago. Those traders were winning with commodities when the Samurai were in power by letting the market tell them what the market would do. To win with commodities the trader will need to understand basic and fundamental analysis of individual commodities as well technical analysis. Through the use of technical analysis tools the trader will be able to predict commodity trends and market reversal. Through the use of Candlestick pattern formations the trader will have the tools necessary for winning with commodities.
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The fundamentals in commodities trading vary by commodity. The fundamentals for trading gold futures have to do with the economy and the ability to economically mine gold. Since many use gold bullion for hedging against inflation or even protection against economic and monetary collapse, a recession or persistent inflation will typically drive the price of gold up. Much of the gold in the developed world has been mined near to surface. Thus extraction is taking place at great depth in the mines of North America and South Africa. Newer mines where extraction is easier are often in developing and politically unstable countries. The commodity market for an agricultural product such as corn or soybeans will be very dependent upon the weather in the world’s major crop growing areas such as the United States Corn Belt. Knowing market analysis with the fundamentals is essential for winning with commodities for it is the fundamentals of supply and demand that will determine commodity price when the commodity futures contracts expire.
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Even the beginner can engage in successful commodities trading. Traders can make money in successful commodities trading by choosing commodities that they have an interest in and knowledge of. Commodities traders can use technical analysis tools such as Candlestick chart analysis to track and predict price changes in a given commodity. Successful commodities trading comes down to combining technical analysis with fundamental analysis. A good place to gain a firm knowledge of the fundamentals of commodities trading is with Commodity and Futures Training. Once traders have learned the fundamentals of trading commodities they will choose a commodity to trade such as oil futures or gold futures. Those with an agricultural background or interest may consider live cattle commodity trading or corn futures. Discipline, a trading strategy, and attention to detail will convert knowledge and commodity price patterns into profits for the hard working trader.
The list of commodities to trade is long. Corn, mini-corn, corn swaps, corn calendar spread options, distiller’s dried grain futures, wheat, mini-wheat, wheat swaps, wheat calendar spread, soybean, min—soybean, soybean swaps and so forth is how the Nymex list of commodities products starts. Metals traded include industrial metals such as copper futures and precious metals with some industrial use such as gold and platinum. Energy products include crude oil futures as well as natural gas futures, coal futures, and energy credits. For successful commodities trading it is important to have a strong working knowledge of ones own traded commodities. It is always important to remember that the biggest traders in the commodities markets include the producers, processors, and commercial and industrial buyers of commodities. These companies are hedging their investment risk in buying and selling commodities. Having only a passing knowledge of a commodity that you are trading puts you at a distinct disadvantage compared to someone with a background in the industry in question and decades of trading experience.
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Commodity Price Breakout
In order to accurately anticipate a commodity price breakout, traders need to routinely do both fundamental and technical analysis. Of the two types of analysis, technical analysis is typically more important than fundamental analysis for predicting sharp turns in the market. When the fundamentals of a commodity change anyone who was able to correctly anticipate the commodity price and traded according will have profited. However, fundamental changes in commodities are often something that traders read about and not what most will typically predict. When the commodity price breakout has happened it is up to the day trader to effectively trade commodities market changes via trading signals. It is wise for the trader new to commodities trading to learn the basics through Commodities and Futures Trading before engaging in live commodity trading. For those interested in options trading on the commodities markets Options Training with Stephen Bigelow is a wise choice.
A commodity price breakout can be either up or down form an established trend. A large number of factors can cause a dramatic shift in commodities prices. Oil futures are obviously subject to different factors than are corn futures, or gold futures. What is important is for the trader to know and understand the commodity being traded. Economic factors can drastically change the commodity futures prices of oil and gold whereas weather conditions can strongly affect the price of corn futures. Fundamental commodity analysis will alert the trader to when a commodity may be ready for a commodity price breakout. However, it is through the use of technical analysis tools such as Candlestick pattern formations and Candlestick trading tactics that the trader may be able to anticipate the day, hour, or minute, as opposed to the month or year, that a commodity price breakout will occur.
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Basic Stock Trading
Basic stock trading is a recipe for success, even in today's complicated stock market . Basic stock trading requires both fundamental and technical analysis of stocks. Technical analysis of stocks using Candlestick stock charts provides traders with clear and accurate signals. Candlestick analysis allows traders to identify known stock price patterns to a volatile market. By doing so traders are able to profitably anticipate the upward and downward movement of stock prices , options prices, and futures prices on stocks . Fundamental analysis in basic stock trading provides traders with a clear view of a stock’s potential, both upward and downward. However, the market discounts stock fundamentals as soon as they are known, leaving technical analysis as the tool of choice for basic stock trading.
Regarding basic stock trading we mean the basics of buying stock and selling stock . Traders can use the tools of basic stock trading like both technical and fundamental analysis in trading derivatives, for example. However, no matter how complicated a trading strategy is, it is based on sound basic stock trading. Besides analyzing when to buy or sell stocks with Candlestick patterns , basic trading relies upon tactics for management of investment risk , diversifying a stock portfolio whether for short or long term trades, as well as the use of stop loss orders and limit orders in general.
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Commodity Price Trends
The ability to predict commodity price trends has made a number of traders rich. There are two ways to predict commodity price trends; they are by fundamental and technical analysis of the commodities involved. Analysis and prediction of longer term commodity trends requires a basic knowledge of each commodity traded and attention to the details that affect commodity prices. It comes down to long term trading supply and demand. Technical analysis for short term trading of commodities relies upon the fact that commodity price patterns repeat themselves. It is the nature of any equity market to come to a consensus with time. However, in doing so, the path is seldom straight. Commodities markets fluctuate up and down in establishing commodity price trends. Commodity prices also fluctuate in predictable ways before a market reversal. Learning to trade both long term and short term factors is a key to commodity trading success. Starting with Commodity and Futures Training the beginning trader will establish the basis for years of successful commodities trading.
It has been hundreds of years since rice traders in Japan as well as tulip bulb traders in Holland started making sense of commodity price trends. Traders kept records of price patterns and did the first types of trend analysis. They were able to understand that before entering into a price trend a commodity would go through a number of price patterns that were repetitive and highly predictive. Candlestick analysis of Candlestick pattern formations led to successful Candlestick trading tactics that made traders rich in the days of the Samurai. These technical analysis tools are still used and still effective today in predicting commodity price trends as well as breakouts from trends. Traders need to understand market fundamentals in order to understand the potential range in which a commodity will trade and its likely eventual price. The trader who is trading oil futures , corn futures, gold futures, or virtually any futures will need to understand a different set of fundamentals but the mechanics of the commodities markets and how traders trade are the same in each of these arenas. Learning the basics of technical trading, Candlestick basics, will allow the trader to stay a step ahead by letting the market say what the market will do.
Commodity News Reports
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Commodity News Reports
To successfully trade commodities, traders learn the basics of commodity trading with classes like Commodity and Futures Training. As part of a successful trading strategy for commodities, traders follow commodity news reports. There are many places to find commodity news reports. These include print media such as the Wall Street Journal, the online business news media such as Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance, Google News, and the like, and propriety news media affiliated with commodity dealers and commodity brokers. Much of what comprises news about commodities comes from following trading on the NYMEX or official reports such as the US Department of Agriculture Daily National Grain Market Summary. Commodity news reports ideally contain hard data first of all and reasoned analysis second. The hard data of commodity news reports can be used for fundamental analysis of the commodity in question. Opinions of commodities analysts may be useful in directing the trader where to focus his or her technical analysis of commodities markets.
The type of information in commodity news reports typically has to do with issues of commodity supply and demand. Useful analysis will be that which gives insight into supply and demand issues. For example, a drought in Europe and Asia is drastically reducing wheat production and driving up prices worldwide. The fact that the drought is continuing towards the fall tells us that the winter wheat crop to be planted this fall will also be affected. Thus, even if there is snow this winter in the Russian Steppes and good spring rains the wheat crop will still be poor next year. The next set of facts a trader will want to see is reports of how much wheat is planted in the Dakotas, Nebraska, Kansas, Manitoba, and so forth, this coming fall. Fundamental commodity analysis starts with commodity news reports.
Purchase Commodities
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Purchase Commodities
Traders will often purchase commodities because of the potential for wide commodity price variation. Especially in agricultural commodities, prices can fluctuate fifty percent or more in a year. Producers and processors of commodities will often engage in hedging commodities in order to guarantee a stable price structure for their business operations. The hedging by producers and processors of commodities provides a base market in which the trader can profit in commodities trading. In order to purchase commodities, traders will post a margin. Margin requirements to purchase commodities include the maintenance margin which is what the trader must maintain in his account in order to trade. A performance bond margin is monies deposited by both buyer and sells of commodity futures contracts to guarantee performance of the contract. This is essentially a security deposit. To purchase commodities the trader will want to track return on investment. Return on margin is typically used as a measure of success for those who purchase commodities. This is the gain or loss in trading compared to money invested. It should be noted that this is not return on money per commodity purchased or sold but return on the amount of money dedicated to the margin account in order to purchase commodity futures and sell commodity futures. To learn to effectively trade commodities a good place to start is Commodity and Futures Training.
Because of the potential for rapid changes in commodity futures price there is the potential for substantial commodity futures profits. When a trader decides to purchase commodities he or she will decide on the commodity and the delivery date. Commodity delivery dates can be next month, next year, or several years hence depending upon the commodity traded. However, the trader need not hold the commodity contract for its duration. He or she can make the opposite trade to exit the contract. That is the trader can sell the same commodity with the same delivery date. If market fundamentals change or technical factors lead to a substantial market change the trader can exit the trade with a profit long before the contract expires. Traders will follow both fundamental and technical analysis in order to profitably anticipate commodity price movement. The use of Candlestick analysis can help the trader see potentially profitable market patterns and market trends allowing them to purchase commodities and sell commodities in a timely and profitable fashion.
Hedging commodities
There are records of traders hedging commodities as early as 17th century Holland and Japan (Tulips and Rice). It was in 1848 that the Chicago Board of Trade was founded. Centrally located for United States agriculture the commodities exchange became the most important in the world for hedging commodities. The necessity for trading commodity futures comes from the uncertainties of crop and livestock production. A drought with a subsequent bad harvest or loss of livestock can be devastating for farmers and ranchers. Thus many large operations and, especially, cooperatives have engaged in hedging commodities for many years. Commodity and futures training will show beginning commodities traders how profits are made from trading commodities.
Commodities trading began with producers and their buyers coming together to create a stable market for agricultural products. Today commodity futures are still largely the province of those actively involved in agriculture. However, trading in commodities is not limited to growers and processors of agricultural products. Many who are trading commodities online are able to profit from the movements in the grain and meat markets without ever planting a row of corn or butchering a steer. Candlestick basics have worked in Japanese rice trading for centuries and Candlestick chart analysis is useful today in trading everything from rice to gold to environmental credits.
Commodity Price Patterns
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Commodity Price Patterns
Although commodity prices may or may not repeat themselves commodity price patterns do. In fact, it is because history repeats itself that technical analysis tools work to predict the next move in a commodity price. Certainly commodities traders have long had an intuitive sense about the commodities markets. However, it was not until Japanese rice traders developed Candlestick charting techniques in the days of the Samurai more than three centuries ago that there was an organized and teachable system for commodity trading. Today a beginning commodity trader can take commodity and futures training to learn about Candlestick trading tactics as well as modern technical analysis terms for the same Candlestick pattern formations that guided traders centuries ago.
The basic price of a commodity comes from the law of supply and demand. Inflation will make commodity prices higher in dollars even when a commodity such as gold will still buy the same amount of food or a house for the same weight that it did a century ago. Predicting changes in the basic price of a commodity is a matter of fundamental analysis. Following commodity price patterns is a matter of technical commodity analysis.
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Rice is a major industry and export in Pakistan. It is the 4th largest rice producer globally and rice exports earn 13% of Pakistan's foreign exchange. Punjab and Sindh are the top rice producing provinces. While production has increased in recent years, post-harvest losses remain high. The China-Pakistan Economic Corridor aims to boost trade and investment, including for the rice sector, by improving infrastructure connectivity between the countries. To further develop the rice industry, Pakistan needs strategies like increasing exports, expanding production capacity, improving quality control and attracting more foreign investment.
Challenges to Commodity Markets in India
This project lists the numerous bottlenecks and hurdles in the way of a smoothly operating commodity markets. It covers Forward Contracts (Regulations) Act and its amendments in recent years, the role of Forward Market Commission in the market, various legal, regulatory, infrastructural challenges along with major initiatives taken in 2010-11
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Entry strategy for branded rice in India - Keerthan G
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Similar to Market Commodities
Agricultural Commodities
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Agricultural commodities
Trading agricultural commodities is the province of agricultural producers and the likes of multinational grain companies. It is also the province of traders speculating on movements in the agricultural commodities markets. Both groups trading commodities rely upon fundamental analysis of the commodity in question and engage in technical analysis using technical analysis tools such as Candlestick chart formations in order to judge when to stay with a market trend and when to expect a market reversal. The world needs food but growing conditions, food transport and storage, and diversion of food stuffs into energy all affect availability and, therefore, commodity price. This mixture of facts and conditions drives pricing in the futures markets in agricultural commodities. Whether you are interested in trading corn futures or live cattle Commodities and Futures Training will be a good place to start.
The Traders
When you start commodity trading you will be up against the likes of traders working for companies like Cargill and Archer Daniels Midland. These multinational food companies know the fundamentals of the agricultural commodities markets as it is their business. They will, in fact, know fundamentals before you do. Although their advantage may only be minutes or even seconds they will cause market movement to which you will have to react. They are typically the drivers of the commodities markets in wheat, corn, soybeans and other products. You will be in the pack with other traders doing Candlestick analysis to predict market reaction to the trades made by the big money.
Why They Trade
There are two types of traders in agricultural commodities. There are the producers and the buyers who are hedging commodities and their investment risk. There are traders looking to profit on market movement. Farm cooperatives growing sugar beets and sugar producers who buy sugar beets or cane each buy or sell commodities futures contacts to lock in price at a future date. Because these folks know the market in their commodity they may well also trade for profit but their primary motive is to maintain a stable price for their product. The trader speculates on market movement and market reversal in looking to profit. The producers and buyers want a stable market. The pure trader would like to see lots of market volatility.
Winning With Commodities
Winning With Commodities
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Winning with commodities starts with learning the basics through commodities and futures training. Learning what commodities are and which commodity to trade is a start. Commodity prices as recorded in commodity trading charts give traders a useful view of the commodities markets. Commodity trading with the use of Candlestick chart analysis has helped traders since Candlestick basics were developed by rice traders in Japan centuries ago. Those traders were winning with commodities when the Samurai were in power by letting the market tell them what the market would do. To win with commodities the trader will need to understand basic and fundamental analysis of individual commodities as well technical analysis. Through the use of technical analysis tools the trader will be able to predict commodity trends and market reversal. Through the use of Candlestick pattern formations the trader will have the tools necessary for winning with commodities.
Fundaments of Commodity Trading
The fundamentals in commodities trading vary by commodity. The fundamentals for trading gold futures have to do with the economy and the ability to economically mine gold. Since many use gold bullion for hedging against inflation or even protection against economic and monetary collapse, a recession or persistent inflation will typically drive the price of gold up. Much of the gold in the developed world has been mined near to surface. Thus extraction is taking place at great depth in the mines of North America and South Africa. Newer mines where extraction is easier are often in developing and politically unstable countries. The commodity market for an agricultural product such as corn or soybeans will be very dependent upon the weather in the world’s major crop growing areas such as the United States Corn Belt. Knowing market analysis with the fundamentals is essential for winning with commodities for it is the fundamentals of supply and demand that will determine commodity price when the commodity futures contracts expire.
Commodity Market History
The document discusses how understanding commodity market history is essential for traders. It notes that market patterns, such as candlestick formations, tend to repeat over time. Traders can take advantage of this by learning from historical market data and identifying patterns that may predict future market moves. Maintaining knowledge of commodity market history allows traders to anticipate how groups of traders may react to different market conditions based on past behavior.
Commodity Trading Signals
The document discusses how learning candlestick chart patterns and commodity trading signals can help traders profit in the commodities market. There are over 40 candlestick patterns that can predict market behavior, and candlestick analysis is effective for both fundamental analysis of commodities and technical analysis of price trends. Mastering candlestick techniques along with a trading strategy tailored for specific commodities allows traders to identify profitable opportunities and manage risk in the commodities futures market.
Successful Commodities Trading
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Successful Commodities Trading
Even the beginner can engage in successful commodities trading. Traders can make money in successful commodities trading by choosing commodities that they have an interest in and knowledge of. Commodities traders can use technical analysis tools such as Candlestick chart analysis to track and predict price changes in a given commodity. Successful commodities trading comes down to combining technical analysis with fundamental analysis. A good place to gain a firm knowledge of the fundamentals of commodities trading is with Commodity and Futures Training. Once traders have learned the fundamentals of trading commodities they will choose a commodity to trade such as oil futures or gold futures. Those with an agricultural background or interest may consider live cattle commodity trading or corn futures. Discipline, a trading strategy, and attention to detail will convert knowledge and commodity price patterns into profits for the hard working trader.
The list of commodities to trade is long. Corn, mini-corn, corn swaps, corn calendar spread options, distiller’s dried grain futures, wheat, mini-wheat, wheat swaps, wheat calendar spread, soybean, min—soybean, soybean swaps and so forth is how the Nymex list of commodities products starts. Metals traded include industrial metals such as copper futures and precious metals with some industrial use such as gold and platinum. Energy products include crude oil futures as well as natural gas futures, coal futures, and energy credits. For successful commodities trading it is important to have a strong working knowledge of ones own traded commodities. It is always important to remember that the biggest traders in the commodities markets include the producers, processors, and commercial and industrial buyers of commodities. These companies are hedging their investment risk in buying and selling commodities. Having only a passing knowledge of a commodity that you are trading puts you at a distinct disadvantage compared to someone with a background in the industry in question and decades of trading experience.
Commodity Price Breakout
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Commodity Price Breakout
In order to accurately anticipate a commodity price breakout, traders need to routinely do both fundamental and technical analysis. Of the two types of analysis, technical analysis is typically more important than fundamental analysis for predicting sharp turns in the market. When the fundamentals of a commodity change anyone who was able to correctly anticipate the commodity price and traded according will have profited. However, fundamental changes in commodities are often something that traders read about and not what most will typically predict. When the commodity price breakout has happened it is up to the day trader to effectively trade commodities market changes via trading signals. It is wise for the trader new to commodities trading to learn the basics through Commodities and Futures Trading before engaging in live commodity trading. For those interested in options trading on the commodities markets Options Training with Stephen Bigelow is a wise choice.
A commodity price breakout can be either up or down form an established trend. A large number of factors can cause a dramatic shift in commodities prices. Oil futures are obviously subject to different factors than are corn futures, or gold futures. What is important is for the trader to know and understand the commodity being traded. Economic factors can drastically change the commodity futures prices of oil and gold whereas weather conditions can strongly affect the price of corn futures. Fundamental commodity analysis will alert the trader to when a commodity may be ready for a commodity price breakout. However, it is through the use of technical analysis tools such as Candlestick pattern formations and Candlestick trading tactics that the trader may be able to anticipate the day, hour, or minute, as opposed to the month or year, that a commodity price breakout will occur.
Basic Stock Trading
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Basic Stock Trading
Basic stock trading is a recipe for success, even in today's complicated stock market . Basic stock trading requires both fundamental and technical analysis of stocks. Technical analysis of stocks using Candlestick stock charts provides traders with clear and accurate signals. Candlestick analysis allows traders to identify known stock price patterns to a volatile market. By doing so traders are able to profitably anticipate the upward and downward movement of stock prices , options prices, and futures prices on stocks . Fundamental analysis in basic stock trading provides traders with a clear view of a stock’s potential, both upward and downward. However, the market discounts stock fundamentals as soon as they are known, leaving technical analysis as the tool of choice for basic stock trading.
Regarding basic stock trading we mean the basics of buying stock and selling stock . Traders can use the tools of basic stock trading like both technical and fundamental analysis in trading derivatives, for example. However, no matter how complicated a trading strategy is, it is based on sound basic stock trading. Besides analyzing when to buy or sell stocks with Candlestick patterns , basic trading relies upon tactics for management of investment risk , diversifying a stock portfolio whether for short or long term trades, as well as the use of stop loss orders and limit orders in general.
Commodity Price Trends
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Commodity Price Trends
The ability to predict commodity price trends has made a number of traders rich. There are two ways to predict commodity price trends; they are by fundamental and technical analysis of the commodities involved. Analysis and prediction of longer term commodity trends requires a basic knowledge of each commodity traded and attention to the details that affect commodity prices. It comes down to long term trading supply and demand. Technical analysis for short term trading of commodities relies upon the fact that commodity price patterns repeat themselves. It is the nature of any equity market to come to a consensus with time. However, in doing so, the path is seldom straight. Commodities markets fluctuate up and down in establishing commodity price trends. Commodity prices also fluctuate in predictable ways before a market reversal. Learning to trade both long term and short term factors is a key to commodity trading success. Starting with Commodity and Futures Training the beginning trader will establish the basis for years of successful commodities trading.
It has been hundreds of years since rice traders in Japan as well as tulip bulb traders in Holland started making sense of commodity price trends. Traders kept records of price patterns and did the first types of trend analysis. They were able to understand that before entering into a price trend a commodity would go through a number of price patterns that were repetitive and highly predictive. Candlestick analysis of Candlestick pattern formations led to successful Candlestick trading tactics that made traders rich in the days of the Samurai. These technical analysis tools are still used and still effective today in predicting commodity price trends as well as breakouts from trends. Traders need to understand market fundamentals in order to understand the potential range in which a commodity will trade and its likely eventual price. The trader who is trading oil futures , corn futures, gold futures, or virtually any futures will need to understand a different set of fundamentals but the mechanics of the commodities markets and how traders trade are the same in each of these arenas. Learning the basics of technical trading, Candlestick basics, will allow the trader to stay a step ahead by letting the market say what the market will do.
Commodity News Reports
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Commodity News Reports
To successfully trade commodities, traders learn the basics of commodity trading with classes like Commodity and Futures Training. As part of a successful trading strategy for commodities, traders follow commodity news reports. There are many places to find commodity news reports. These include print media such as the Wall Street Journal, the online business news media such as Bloomberg, Yahoo Finance, Google News, and the like, and propriety news media affiliated with commodity dealers and commodity brokers. Much of what comprises news about commodities comes from following trading on the NYMEX or official reports such as the US Department of Agriculture Daily National Grain Market Summary. Commodity news reports ideally contain hard data first of all and reasoned analysis second. The hard data of commodity news reports can be used for fundamental analysis of the commodity in question. Opinions of commodities analysts may be useful in directing the trader where to focus his or her technical analysis of commodities markets.
The type of information in commodity news reports typically has to do with issues of commodity supply and demand. Useful analysis will be that which gives insight into supply and demand issues. For example, a drought in Europe and Asia is drastically reducing wheat production and driving up prices worldwide. The fact that the drought is continuing towards the fall tells us that the winter wheat crop to be planted this fall will also be affected. Thus, even if there is snow this winter in the Russian Steppes and good spring rains the wheat crop will still be poor next year. The next set of facts a trader will want to see is reports of how much wheat is planted in the Dakotas, Nebraska, Kansas, Manitoba, and so forth, this coming fall. Fundamental commodity analysis starts with commodity news reports.
Purchase Commodities
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Purchase Commodities
Traders will often purchase commodities because of the potential for wide commodity price variation. Especially in agricultural commodities, prices can fluctuate fifty percent or more in a year. Producers and processors of commodities will often engage in hedging commodities in order to guarantee a stable price structure for their business operations. The hedging by producers and processors of commodities provides a base market in which the trader can profit in commodities trading. In order to purchase commodities, traders will post a margin. Margin requirements to purchase commodities include the maintenance margin which is what the trader must maintain in his account in order to trade. A performance bond margin is monies deposited by both buyer and sells of commodity futures contracts to guarantee performance of the contract. This is essentially a security deposit. To purchase commodities the trader will want to track return on investment. Return on margin is typically used as a measure of success for those who purchase commodities. This is the gain or loss in trading compared to money invested. It should be noted that this is not return on money per commodity purchased or sold but return on the amount of money dedicated to the margin account in order to purchase commodity futures and sell commodity futures. To learn to effectively trade commodities a good place to start is Commodity and Futures Training.
Because of the potential for rapid changes in commodity futures price there is the potential for substantial commodity futures profits. When a trader decides to purchase commodities he or she will decide on the commodity and the delivery date. Commodity delivery dates can be next month, next year, or several years hence depending upon the commodity traded. However, the trader need not hold the commodity contract for its duration. He or she can make the opposite trade to exit the contract. That is the trader can sell the same commodity with the same delivery date. If market fundamentals change or technical factors lead to a substantial market change the trader can exit the trade with a profit long before the contract expires. Traders will follow both fundamental and technical analysis in order to profitably anticipate commodity price movement. The use of Candlestick analysis can help the trader see potentially profitable market patterns and market trends allowing them to purchase commodities and sell commodities in a timely and profitable fashion.
Hedging commodities
There are records of traders hedging commodities as early as 17th century Holland and Japan (Tulips and Rice). It was in 1848 that the Chicago Board of Trade was founded. Centrally located for United States agriculture the commodities exchange became the most important in the world for hedging commodities. The necessity for trading commodity futures comes from the uncertainties of crop and livestock production. A drought with a subsequent bad harvest or loss of livestock can be devastating for farmers and ranchers. Thus many large operations and, especially, cooperatives have engaged in hedging commodities for many years. Commodity and futures training will show beginning commodities traders how profits are made from trading commodities.
Commodities trading began with producers and their buyers coming together to create a stable market for agricultural products. Today commodity futures are still largely the province of those actively involved in agriculture. However, trading in commodities is not limited to growers and processors of agricultural products. Many who are trading commodities online are able to profit from the movements in the grain and meat markets without ever planting a row of corn or butchering a steer. Candlestick basics have worked in Japanese rice trading for centuries and Candlestick chart analysis is useful today in trading everything from rice to gold to environmental credits.
Commodity Price Patterns
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Commodity Price Patterns
Although commodity prices may or may not repeat themselves commodity price patterns do. In fact, it is because history repeats itself that technical analysis tools work to predict the next move in a commodity price. Certainly commodities traders have long had an intuitive sense about the commodities markets. However, it was not until Japanese rice traders developed Candlestick charting techniques in the days of the Samurai more than three centuries ago that there was an organized and teachable system for commodity trading. Today a beginning commodity trader can take commodity and futures training to learn about Candlestick trading tactics as well as modern technical analysis terms for the same Candlestick pattern formations that guided traders centuries ago.
The basic price of a commodity comes from the law of supply and demand. Inflation will make commodity prices higher in dollars even when a commodity such as gold will still buy the same amount of food or a house for the same weight that it did a century ago. Predicting changes in the basic price of a commodity is a matter of fundamental analysis. Following commodity price patterns is a matter of technical commodity analysis.
Fundamentals of Trading Commodities
The fundamentals of trading commodities are those basic principles from which everything else flows. The nuts and bolts, the fundamentals of trading commodities, derive from basic information about commodity supply and demand and, technical commodity trading, how the market reads and reacts to those basics. The eventual price of a commodity on the delivery date of a commodity futures contract will be absolutely based upon supply and demand of the commodity in question. The prices of futures contracts will always be based upon knowledgeable estimates of what that price will be on the delivery date. Traders follow commodities fundamentals with fundamental analysis of factors influencing production, demand, and supply chains. They follow commodities markets with technical analysis tools in order to anticipate short term market trends and market reversal. In beginning commodity futures trading the trader will be well served by taking commodity and futures training.
Learn Commodity Trading
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Learn Commodity Trading
To learn commodity trading, consider Commodity and Futures Training. In Commodity and Futures Training you will learn the types of commodities that can be traded, how futures contracts are set up, and how prices for futures are arrived at. To learn commodity trading you will want to understand why traders trade and how they do it. The point of trading commodities futures or futures options is to make money but that means effective handling of investment risk as well as scouting out commodity trading opportunities. Learning fundamental analysis and technical analysis of the commodities market are both essential for successful trading.
Both agricultural and industrial commodities are traded in their unprocessed state. Wheat is traded but not bread or flour. Gold bullion is traded but not rings and bracelets. A traded commodity is something that varies in price over time. Otherwise there is no point in trading it. Although trading of commodities takes place at the Chicago Board of Trade and the New York Mercantile Exchange traders can access these markets trading online.
Commodity trading is in commodity futures. There are two basic types of traders. Many commodity producers trade in order to hedge their risk. Agricultural cooperatives, mining operations, and large food processing corporations commonly buy and sell commodity futures. For example, a gold mining company may contract to sell half of its expected production of gold bullion at $1,000 an ounce next year even though the current spot price is closer to $1,100 an ounce. This guarantees that, should the gold market collapse, the company will still have a profit on part of its production. Traders who are not hedging on commodities are speculating on commodity prices. The addition of those who simply trade the commodities markets but are not buyers or producers of commodities adds liquidity to the markets by increasing trading volume.
Sell Commodity Futures
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Sell Commodity Futures
Traders will sell commodity futures when they believe that the price of the commodity will drop substantially between the time they sell the commodities contract and the contract settlement date. The trader will rarely hold contracts to settlement but will buy a commodity futures contract with the same settlement date in order to exit the commodities trading position. When the spot price is sufficiently below the contract price it is profitable to sell commodity futures and then buy at the lower price to profit from trading commodities. Traders will commonly use both fundamental and technical analysis tools in order accurately predict commodity price movements. Technical analysis tools such as Candlestick analysis have helped commodities traders for centuries in anticipating how a commodity will trade in coming hours, days, weeks, and months. Anyone beginning commodity futures trading will do well to take Commodity and Futures training in order to understand basic commodity trading and to profit by successfully trading commodity futures.
Although a trader will enter into a contract to sell commodity futures he or she will only rarely deliver on the contract. This is the business of producers and buyers of commodities and is called hedging. In this case a gold mining company may sell gold futures or an agricultural cooperative may sell corn futures. An oil company could, in fact, sell oil futures. In each case the seller will be in the business of the commodity in question and will, in fact, be able to produce the commodity for delivery. The company is hedging as a technique of controlling investment risk. This is a common practice and the backbone of the commodities markets. The large volume and liquidity caused by large buyers hedging risk provide the trader with an excellent opportunity to buy commodity futures or sell commodity futures for profit. The trader learns to predict market movement with the use of Candlestick pattern formations and similar technical analysis tools in order to decide whether it will be profitable to buy or to sell commodity futures.
Commodity Market Liquidity
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Commodity Market Liquidity
Commodity market liquidity often correlates very well with commodity market trading profits. There are three benefits to traders in high commodity market liquidity. The first is that it is easier to enter and exit trades. The second is that bid and ask prices are commonly closer. The third is that with high trading volume and liquidity the statistics of online trading software as well as the predictive ability of time honored tools such as Candlestick pattern formations tend to be more precise. Traders can find reports of the previous day’s trading volume online as well as updates during the trading day. A useful measure of trading volume and a useful predictor of trading volume is open interest. This measure is the number of open contracts between buyers and sellers in commodity futures trading. To learn to use commodity market liquidity to the maximum advantage in profiting from commodity trading, traders are wise to take Commodity and Futures Training and to develop their skills in Candlestick analysis of commodity prices.
Commodities that can offer good commodity market liquidity include trading in corn futures, oil futures, and gold futures. Each of these is a commodity that trades at high volume and high liquidity. In the case of each commodity both fundamental and technical analysis are necessary to understand the scope of trading and the day by day or minute by minute changes in commodity price. Candlestick charts of these commodities will help predict price movement and allow traders to buy or sell commodity futures contracts with the reasonable expectation of making a profit with anticipated market moves. The tight spreads between bid and ask prices on commodity futures contracts will allow the trader to profit by buying and selling at smaller intervals in a market trend than when the market is less liquid and the spread is greater. Understanding the fundamental analysis of gold, oil, or corn futures will give the trader an overall perspective of the market. However, it is technical analysis that predicts the next price move. The use of Candlestick chart patterns will predict market moves within the trading range dictated by commodity fundamentals.
Basics of Commodity Trading
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Basics of Commodity Trading
To trade commodities successfully traders ought to start by learning the basics of commodity trading. Trading commodities is really commodities futures trading. Producers and processors of commodities buy and sell futures contracts for delivery on a specific date during any of the next months or years. Producers and processors are typically hedging their investment risk and helping to provide a stable market for the commodity in question. Speculators can trade the samecommodity futures contracts by buying and selling futures or they can buy options and sell options on futures contracts. Commodity and futures training is a good place to start learning the basics of commodity trading. For those interested options trading in commodities markets, Options Training with Stephen Bigalow will provide basic knowledge as well as the deeper insight gained from experience trading options in commodity futures.
Commodity Trading Profits in a Recession
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Commodity Trading Profits in a Recession
The US markets have been focused on two issues. One is the prospect of more bailouts of the European economies and the other is the falloff in Chinese exports. Europe may be headed back into a recession due to excessively strict austerity measures. Europe is China’s biggest customer. A recession in Europe affects trade with Asia as well as the Americas. A weak Chinese manufacturing report also has implications for commodity consumption and does not just have to do with trading a Chinese stock decline . Here our interest is in gaining commodity trading profits in a recession. In trading commodities there are profits to be made in both up and down markets. Traders can find commodity trading profits in a recession both as it worsens and as it recovers.
Timing an Economic Downturn
Traditional thinking has been that stocks and commodities fall during the first half of a recession and start to recover at the midpoint. Stocks recover on the promise of future profits and commodities recover based on high anticipated consumption. Commodity trading profits in a recession come from successfully reading the fundamentals and market sentiment. Traders use fundamental analysis to successfully anticipate where commodity prices will be in the coming weeks and months. They use technical analysis of market sentiment to time their trades.
Which Commodities to Trade and How
In the current situation stocks pop up every time that the Euro Zone puts some money aside to rescue failing banks or economies. Then they fall on the next dismal economic report. Industrial and energy commodities react similarly. However, agricultural commodities may act differently. Prices of industrial metals are down because of reduced global demand. Oil futures are falling on the prospect of falling energy needs. But crops and livestock are still in demand as people need to eat. Supply is a stronger factor in agricultural commodities. A drought in Eurasia, Latin America, or the American Great Plains threatens a fall in wheat, soybean, and corn harvests. This sort of news drives prices up regardless of the state of the global economy. A short rule of thumb for how to trade commodities is to watch global demand when trading energy and industrial commodities and watch supply when trading products in the food chain.
Methods for Commodity Trading Profits in a Recession
In a fast moving market with clear trends, traders may buy and sell, scalping, in small increments to make daily profits. In an extremely volatile market without any well-established trend many traders prefer buying options. Buying puts on commodity futures gives the trader the right to sell a futures contract at a set price, the strike price, no matter how low the market price might fall.
Day Trading Basics
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Day Trading Basics
Anyone who wants to make money day trading needs to learn day trading basics. Day trading basics are whether you engage in fundamental analysis or technical analysis of stocks, commodities, or futures. Which equity market to trade in is important, as is how much to invest per trade. Managing investment risk involves deciding when to trade and when to stop. Day trading basics start with the old adage that ninety percent of life is just showing up. Day trading takes time and patience from which come skill and wisdom. From the days of rice traders in ancient Japan technical analysis tools such as Candlestick chart analysis have worked well for those who learn and practice them.
Futures Analysis
The document discusses Japanese candlestick signals and their use in futures analysis. It explains that candlestick signals were developed by Japanese rice traders hundreds of years ago to predict commodity price movements. These same signals can effectively predict trends in other commodities and financial markets today because they consider human emotions like greed and fear, which are consistent over time. The document advocates for using candlestick signals in technical analysis and futures trading because they provide more visual information on market sentiment than simple bar charts.
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Cryptocurrency prices are volatile in the short-term due to market sentiment, but follow longer-term trends driven by fundamentals and macroeconomic factors like interest rates and inflation. While crypto prices fell during the recent period of US Federal Reserve interest rate hikes, with rate increases pausing, crypto and stock prices may rise over the next few years. Approval of spot Bitcoin ETFs could also stimulate greater Bitcoin trading volume and prices. However, the regulatory outlook remains uncertain and new rules may increase stability but also compliance costs. Overall, the document predicts 2024 will be a good year for cryptocurrencies.
Should You Diversify Your Crypto Investments?
Should you diversify your crypto investments and, if so, how would you go about doing that?
https://youtu.be/iOSxnp5qJ6o
Obligations of a Crypto Business
What are the obligations of a crypto business? How are some crypto businesses now paying a price for forgetting this part of doing business?
https://youtu.be/8PAEU0g5pdE
Does Crypto Finance Terrorism?
One reason that governments want to regulate cryptocurrencies is their use by terrorists to finance their operations. Does crypto finance terrorism and, if so, how does that work?
https://youtu.be/AeWLcHK_rx4
Are Smart Contracts Legal?
What happens when someone reneges on a crypto blockchain business deal? How can such problems be resolved or mediated? What rules could or should apply when problems arise? A question at the bottom of this issue is this. Are smart contracts legal?
https://youtu.be/q8tsUwaHsdo
Can the Law Fix Crypto’s Problems?
Part of what we are seeing today is the dealing with specific crypto-related crimes. Part is sorting out who makes the rules that crypto needs to follow. We wonder this. Can the law fix crypto’s problems?
https://youtu.be/VjGIk5aYFac
Apple as a Model for Crypto’s Future
A lukewarm future is about the best that many see for crypto. We are reminded of Apple when it was so desperate that it accepted a $150 million bailout from Bill Gates and archrival Microsoft. Today we see Apple as the model for crypto’s future.
https://youtu.be/ZIQXs0j7jlE
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Market Commodities
- 2. www.CandleStickForums.com What are the market commodities that I can trade in?
- 3. www.CandleStickForums.com Market commodities, just in agricultural products, include corn, wheat, soybeans, rice, and oats.
- 4. www.CandleStickForums.com However, there is more to the commodities market in crops than just the grains listed.
- 5. www.CandleStickForums.com Corn includes mini-corn, corn swaps, and corn calendar spread options.
- 6. www.CandleStickForums.com Wheat also includes mini-wheat, wheat swaps, and wheat calendar spread options.
- 7. www.CandleStickForums.com Soybeans are the same but you add the same mix for soybean meal and then soybean crush.
- 8. www.CandleStickForums.com The commodities trader needs to keep commodity trading charts on each commodity that he or she is dealing in.
- 9. www.CandleStickForums.com Speaking of the use of charts for commodities trading, it brings us to the oldest recorded method of charting and predicting commodity prices which is still in use today, Candlestick trading.
- 10. www.CandleStickForums.com Active traders in market commodities may wish to follow more than just one or two commodities.
- 11. www.CandleStickForums.com The advantage of Candlestick chart analysis over following columns of figures is that Candlestick pattern formations are easier to recognize than the same information hidden in dense groupings of text.
- 12. www.CandleStickForums.com Commodity trading in rice used Candlestick basics as long as three hundred years ago.
- 13. www.CandleStickForums.com Traders developed Candlestick charting techniques that are in use today, not just in trading commodities but in the stock market, options trading, and the futures market as well.
- 14. www.CandleStickForums.com Fundamental analysis certainly applies to all market commodities.
- 15. www.CandleStickForums.com If industrial production is down in China, futures on steel products from Australia may suffer.
- 16. www.CandleStickForums.com The fact that the Asian economies seem to be leading the way out of the recession bodes well for raw goods that are imported for Chinese industry.
- 17. www.CandleStickForums.com News of the weather precedes crop reports and is a strong predictor of yield.
- 18. www.CandleStickForums.com However, it is rare that one person trading commodities is the only person with market news relative to the analysis of fundamentals.
- 19. www.CandleStickForums.com Because the trader does not have a head start on the market he or she needs to be aware of how the market is behaving or in order to be either bullish or bearish in the market.
- 20. www.CandleStickForums.com What the use of Candlestick patterns tells the commodities trader is the sum of what all the other traders are thinking and, more importantly, how they are trading.
- 21. www.CandleStickForums.com Although we all are individuals and think that we act individually there is predictability to groups of people and groups of traders.
- 22. www.CandleStickForums.com It does not matter if market movement is the result of the psychology of trading or just that everyone sees the same opportunity and reacts accordingly.
- 23. www.CandleStickForums.com Those who get in early and buy when the price is low will be ready to sell when the last in to the market arrive.
- 24. www.CandleStickForums.com Everyone may have the same idea but slight differences in commodity pricing will bring about different reactions as the market progresses.
- 25. www.CandleStickForums.com This is the sort of thing that Candlestick trading tactics take advantage of.
- 26. www.CandleStickForums.com Whether you are a newcomer to trading market commodities or an old hand with a successful trading system, the use of Candlestick basics is a valuable tool for profiting in the commodities market.
- 27. www.CandleStickForums.com Candlestick basics are trading tools that have stood the test of time and are just as valuable to day in trading things like random length wood or West Texas Crude Oil as they were in creating wealth for astute rice traders in Japan centuries ago.