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Mark Reynolds
Mark Reynolds
Digital Transformation &Data Driven Solutions
Principal Architect / Systems Engineer
Machine Learning in O&G
The New IT Paradigm in a Data Driven Energy
April 18-19, 2018
Presentation Synopsis
The New IT Paradigm in Data Driven Energy
Three years ago, Machine Learning, 4th Scientific Paradigm, and
eScience were seldom discussed in O&G. Today, these topics and the
role of data, data knowledge, and artificial intelligence are topics
found in planning, engineering, and improvement. The New IT
Paradigm and the pragmatic realities of Data Driven Energy are
explored in this presentation.
The Structure of Scientific Revolutions
• Normal Science
• Equilibrium, harmony
• Model Drift
• Outliers cease to be outliers
• Ripples turn to discontinuity
• Model Crisis
• Alternate methods permitted
• Out-of-the-box reconsidered
• Model Revolution
• New model becomes the new-normal
• Paradigm Change
• (Textbooks play catch-up)
Normal
Science
Model
Drift
(Anomaly)
Model
CrisisModel
Revolution
Paradigm
Change Kuhn
Cycle
Source: Thomas Kuhn, (1962) The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. University of Chicago Press
Mark Reynolds, compilation
Past Paradigm Shifts
• Seismic
• Horizontal Drilling
• Off Shore
• Factory Drilling
• The New Normal
• Economics
• Health Safety Environmental Regulatory
(HSER)
• Big Crew Change
• Mobility (anytime, anywhere)
Paradigm Shifts in Process
• The New Normal
• Economics
• Health Safety Environmental Regulatory
(HSER)
• Big Crew Change
• Mobility (anytime, anywhere)
• Big Data (aka ML, AI, etc)
• IIoT (+ Edge Computing)
• Uber Real-Time
• Cloud
• DevOps
Data Driven Energy: Shifting Paradigms in O&G, OT, and IT
Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
Data Driven Energy: The 4th Scientific Paradigm
Descriptive
and
Formulaic
Hypothetical
and
Investigative
Expertise
Driven
Models and
Cases
Multivariant
Differential
Modelling
eScience
Traditional Science
Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
The eScience Scientific Paradigm in Data Driven Energy
• O&G is where we found itEmpirical
• O&G is where we expect itTheoretical
• O&G is where we estimate itComputational
• O&G is where we infer it
Data
Exploration
Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
Machine Learning
IIoT + Edge
Uber Real-Time
Cloud
DevOps
ML + AI
IIoT + Edge
Uber Real-Time
Cloud
DevOps
The New IT Paradigm in Data Driven Energy
Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
Continuous Improvement Alone
Won’t Be Enough
• “Continuous improvement
never transformed a candle
into a light”
• “Horses have never improved
to the point they become cars”
Why All of these Paradigm Shifts
Matter
• “There is more oil in our filing
cabinets than we’ve ever
pumped”
• “If you want to find the new
oil, look under the old oil”
Quotes and Quips Along the Journey
Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
The 4th Paradigm Quantum Shift in Data Driven Energy
Acquire Analyze Annunciate Archive Analyze Anticipate Apply
Data
Information
Visualization
Knowledge
Forensics
Understanding
Analysis & Mining
Wisdom
Anticipating
Application
 Creating Informational Accessibility and Transparency
 Discovering Experiential Performance Improvements
 Segmenting Processes and Process Results
 Automating Decisions and Processes
 Innovating New Models, Products, Services
Real-Time & 24/7 Data-Intensive Scientific Discovery --- the 4th Paradigm
 Creating
 Discovering
 Segmenting
 Automating
 Innovating
Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
Descriptive Analytics Diagnostic Analytics Predictive Analytics Prescriptive Analytics Cognitive Analytics
Operations Technology
• engineering applications
• operations and field automation
(SCADA) systems
Information Technology
• data center
• networks (WAN & LAN)
• desktop support
• enterprise application platforms
The New OT & IT Paradigm in Data Driven Energy
Source: Jim Crompton,, NOAH Consulting Operational Technology (OT) vs. Information Technology (IT), February 2017
http://www.infosysblogs.com/noah-consulting/2017/02/operational_technology_ot_vs_i.html
Shadow IT
Informal community of highly digitally literate engineers and
operators … This "Innovation on the Edge" approach often
competes quietly with the "standardization from the center"
initiatives from corporate IT.
Convergence of OT and IT
“As more companies work toward IT/OT alignment, the CIO and
the IT organization will be at the forefront of fostering
relationships and changing the culture of the organization,” said
Kristian Steenstrup, distinguished analyst and Gartner Fellow.
“This will require a hybrid of traditional IT and OT skills and
development of new intellectual property, while experience
external to the company will be tapped into to assist with cross-
topic education.”
Source: Christy Pettey,, When IT and Operational Technology Converge, January 2017
https://www.gartner.com/smarterwithgartner/when-it-and-operational-technology-converge/
Crossing the OT-IT Paradigm
Today Tomorrow
Integrated Systems Engineering
Entropy  Data
Data  Information
Information  Knowledge
Knowledge  Understanding
Understanding  Wisdom
Wisdom  Application
Application  Cognitive
Integrated Systems Engineering – the New OT-IT Paradigm
Systems &
Knowledge
Engineer
O&G
Systems
Control
Systems
Remote
Systems
Information
Systems
Embedded
Systems
Robotic
Systems
Data Fusion
Real-Time
Systems
Look-Back
Analysis
Look-Ahead
Systems
Land and Regulatory
Geology Geophysics
Drilling Engineering
Completion Engineering
Production Engineering
Reservoir Engineering
Systems Engineering
Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
Integrated Systems Engineering – the New OT-IT Paradigm
Land
Drilling
Reservoir Completion
Water
Production
Steering Regulatory
Midstream
Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
Integrated Systems Engineering – the New OT-IT Paradigm
Proactive &
Closed-Loop
Systems
Mining and
Analytics
Forensics
Control
Visualization
and
Observation
Source
Capture and
Utilization
• Intelligence during operations (Observation and Anticipation)
• Intelligence reviewing operations (Forensic)
• Intelligence planning operations (Historical and Analytical)
Well
Plan RT
Prod
RT
Drill
Geo-
steer
RT
Frac
Daily
Rpts
AFE
  
  
Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
Applying Systems Engineering to Data Driven Energy
• Physical Layer
• Electronic Interfaces – seismic, drilling, completions, production
• Data Layer
• Acquisition, filtering and cleansing, organization, accessibility
• Business Process Layer
• Procedures, workflows, best practices
• Visualization and Surveillance Layer
• Unified dashboards and integrated surveillance
• Intelligence, prediction, and automation layer
Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
The New OT-IT Paradigm in Data Driven Energy
Traditional Technologies
• Computers
• Cell Phones
• LAN / WAN
• Master Data
• Applications
• Services
• Security
• Servers
• Data Movement
New Paradigm Technologies
• IIoT
• Edge Computing
• Real-Time Up-Time
• In-Situ Processing
• After-Action Reduction
• Data Dispersion
• Cross Application Integration
• Cross Platform Integration
• ML / AI
Crisis and Recovery Occurring Today in the Paradigm Shift
Pre-Crisis
Precipitating
event
Crisis mode
Time period of
Reconsidering, Realignment
Reassessing, and Reimagining
Enhanced capacity to cope
Diminished capacity to cope
Inability to cope
Normal
Science
Model
Drift
Model
Crisis
Model
Revolution
Paradigm
Changed Kuhn Cycle
Keep Your Eye on the Prize
Data
Information
Knowledge
Understanding
Wisdom
Application
The question is NOT
“How can we … ?”
But instead
“What is the objective?”
( or “Why?” )
Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
Mark Reynolds
Mark Reynolds Vitae
• Southwestern Energy
• Lone Star College
• Intent Driven Designs
• Scan Systems
• Sikorsky Aircraft
• General Dynamics
Personal Email: mark@DataDriven.Energy
Linkedin: www.linkedin.com/in/MarkDataDriven
Twitter: @MarkDataDriven
http://DigitalTransformation.Engineer
Copyright 2018 by Mark Reynolds 20

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Machine Learning in Oil and Gas - April 18-19, 2018

  • 1. Mark Reynolds Mark Reynolds Digital Transformation &Data Driven Solutions Principal Architect / Systems Engineer Machine Learning in O&G The New IT Paradigm in a Data Driven Energy April 18-19, 2018
  • 2. Presentation Synopsis The New IT Paradigm in Data Driven Energy Three years ago, Machine Learning, 4th Scientific Paradigm, and eScience were seldom discussed in O&G. Today, these topics and the role of data, data knowledge, and artificial intelligence are topics found in planning, engineering, and improvement. The New IT Paradigm and the pragmatic realities of Data Driven Energy are explored in this presentation.
  • 3. The Structure of Scientific Revolutions • Normal Science • Equilibrium, harmony • Model Drift • Outliers cease to be outliers • Ripples turn to discontinuity • Model Crisis • Alternate methods permitted • Out-of-the-box reconsidered • Model Revolution • New model becomes the new-normal • Paradigm Change • (Textbooks play catch-up) Normal Science Model Drift (Anomaly) Model CrisisModel Revolution Paradigm Change Kuhn Cycle Source: Thomas Kuhn, (1962) The Structure of Scientific Revolutions. University of Chicago Press Mark Reynolds, compilation
  • 4. Past Paradigm Shifts • Seismic • Horizontal Drilling • Off Shore • Factory Drilling • The New Normal • Economics • Health Safety Environmental Regulatory (HSER) • Big Crew Change • Mobility (anytime, anywhere) Paradigm Shifts in Process • The New Normal • Economics • Health Safety Environmental Regulatory (HSER) • Big Crew Change • Mobility (anytime, anywhere) • Big Data (aka ML, AI, etc) • IIoT (+ Edge Computing) • Uber Real-Time • Cloud • DevOps Data Driven Energy: Shifting Paradigms in O&G, OT, and IT Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
  • 5. Data Driven Energy: The 4th Scientific Paradigm Descriptive and Formulaic Hypothetical and Investigative Expertise Driven Models and Cases Multivariant Differential Modelling eScience Traditional Science Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
  • 6. The eScience Scientific Paradigm in Data Driven Energy • O&G is where we found itEmpirical • O&G is where we expect itTheoretical • O&G is where we estimate itComputational • O&G is where we infer it Data Exploration Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation Machine Learning IIoT + Edge Uber Real-Time Cloud DevOps
  • 7. ML + AI IIoT + Edge Uber Real-Time Cloud DevOps The New IT Paradigm in Data Driven Energy Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
  • 8. Continuous Improvement Alone Won’t Be Enough • “Continuous improvement never transformed a candle into a light” • “Horses have never improved to the point they become cars” Why All of these Paradigm Shifts Matter • “There is more oil in our filing cabinets than we’ve ever pumped” • “If you want to find the new oil, look under the old oil” Quotes and Quips Along the Journey Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
  • 9. The 4th Paradigm Quantum Shift in Data Driven Energy Acquire Analyze Annunciate Archive Analyze Anticipate Apply Data Information Visualization Knowledge Forensics Understanding Analysis & Mining Wisdom Anticipating Application  Creating Informational Accessibility and Transparency  Discovering Experiential Performance Improvements  Segmenting Processes and Process Results  Automating Decisions and Processes  Innovating New Models, Products, Services Real-Time & 24/7 Data-Intensive Scientific Discovery --- the 4th Paradigm  Creating  Discovering  Segmenting  Automating  Innovating Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation Descriptive Analytics Diagnostic Analytics Predictive Analytics Prescriptive Analytics Cognitive Analytics
  • 10. Operations Technology • engineering applications • operations and field automation (SCADA) systems Information Technology • data center • networks (WAN & LAN) • desktop support • enterprise application platforms The New OT & IT Paradigm in Data Driven Energy Source: Jim Crompton,, NOAH Consulting Operational Technology (OT) vs. Information Technology (IT), February 2017 http://www.infosysblogs.com/noah-consulting/2017/02/operational_technology_ot_vs_i.html Shadow IT Informal community of highly digitally literate engineers and operators … This "Innovation on the Edge" approach often competes quietly with the "standardization from the center" initiatives from corporate IT.
  • 11. Convergence of OT and IT “As more companies work toward IT/OT alignment, the CIO and the IT organization will be at the forefront of fostering relationships and changing the culture of the organization,” said Kristian Steenstrup, distinguished analyst and Gartner Fellow. “This will require a hybrid of traditional IT and OT skills and development of new intellectual property, while experience external to the company will be tapped into to assist with cross- topic education.” Source: Christy Pettey,, When IT and Operational Technology Converge, January 2017 https://www.gartner.com/smarterwithgartner/when-it-and-operational-technology-converge/
  • 12. Crossing the OT-IT Paradigm Today Tomorrow Integrated Systems Engineering Entropy  Data Data  Information Information  Knowledge Knowledge  Understanding Understanding  Wisdom Wisdom  Application Application  Cognitive
  • 13. Integrated Systems Engineering – the New OT-IT Paradigm Systems & Knowledge Engineer O&G Systems Control Systems Remote Systems Information Systems Embedded Systems Robotic Systems Data Fusion Real-Time Systems Look-Back Analysis Look-Ahead Systems Land and Regulatory Geology Geophysics Drilling Engineering Completion Engineering Production Engineering Reservoir Engineering Systems Engineering Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
  • 14. Integrated Systems Engineering – the New OT-IT Paradigm Land Drilling Reservoir Completion Water Production Steering Regulatory Midstream Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
  • 15. Integrated Systems Engineering – the New OT-IT Paradigm Proactive & Closed-Loop Systems Mining and Analytics Forensics Control Visualization and Observation Source Capture and Utilization • Intelligence during operations (Observation and Anticipation) • Intelligence reviewing operations (Forensic) • Intelligence planning operations (Historical and Analytical) Well Plan RT Prod RT Drill Geo- steer RT Frac Daily Rpts AFE       Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
  • 16. Applying Systems Engineering to Data Driven Energy • Physical Layer • Electronic Interfaces – seismic, drilling, completions, production • Data Layer • Acquisition, filtering and cleansing, organization, accessibility • Business Process Layer • Procedures, workflows, best practices • Visualization and Surveillance Layer • Unified dashboards and integrated surveillance • Intelligence, prediction, and automation layer Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
  • 17. The New OT-IT Paradigm in Data Driven Energy Traditional Technologies • Computers • Cell Phones • LAN / WAN • Master Data • Applications • Services • Security • Servers • Data Movement New Paradigm Technologies • IIoT • Edge Computing • Real-Time Up-Time • In-Situ Processing • After-Action Reduction • Data Dispersion • Cross Application Integration • Cross Platform Integration • ML / AI
  • 18. Crisis and Recovery Occurring Today in the Paradigm Shift Pre-Crisis Precipitating event Crisis mode Time period of Reconsidering, Realignment Reassessing, and Reimagining Enhanced capacity to cope Diminished capacity to cope Inability to cope Normal Science Model Drift Model Crisis Model Revolution Paradigm Changed Kuhn Cycle
  • 19. Keep Your Eye on the Prize Data Information Knowledge Understanding Wisdom Application The question is NOT “How can we … ?” But instead “What is the objective?” ( or “Why?” ) Source: Mark Reynolds, compilation
  • 20. Mark Reynolds Mark Reynolds Vitae • Southwestern Energy • Lone Star College • Intent Driven Designs • Scan Systems • Sikorsky Aircraft • General Dynamics Personal Email: mark@DataDriven.Energy Linkedin: www.linkedin.com/in/MarkDataDriven Twitter: @MarkDataDriven http://DigitalTransformation.Engineer Copyright 2018 by Mark Reynolds 20