Beating Buffett 
Beating 
Buffett 
How You Can 
Too
Beating Buffett
Examples – Straight Ups
Examples – Straight Ups
Examples 
1 = It can take the market time to see value, but the stock rarely falls below our 
entry price because it was already undervalued 
2 = Market sees what we saw and price rises
Examples 
1 = It can take the market time to see value, but the stock rarely falls below our 
entry price because it was already undervalued 
2 = Market sees what we saw and price rises
Examples 
1 = It can take the market time to see value, but the stock rarely falls below our 
entry price because it was already undervalued 
2 = Market sees what we saw and price rises
Examples 
1 = It can take the market time to see value, but the stock rarely falls below our 
entry price because it was already undervalued 
2 = Market sees what we saw and price rises
Dear Alpesh, this is absolutely awesome !! Well 
done. Great going. 
Ashok Vaswani, CEO Barclays Business and 
Retail Banking 
Outstanding!!! Congratulations 
Ravi Bulchandani, Head, JP Morgan Private Bank
Source: Trustnet
How You Can Too
MISSION: THE BEST INVESTOR SOFTWARE IN THE WORLD
Financial Times 
Forecasting Competition 
Rank Number 1
‘Gets to the heart of the matter of trading by clearly 
elucidating the methodologies of successful trading 
strategies while capturing the ineffible ethos of 
singlular successful traders.’ Pat Arbor, Chairman, 
Chicago Board of Trade. (World’s Largest Exchange)
Top 5 Bestseller 
Published in 8 languages
 Thousands of live trades 
 20+ years of working with world’s 
leading traders 
 16 books on trading strategies based on 
research and interviews with leading 
industry experts 
 Worked with other traders to optimise 
accuracy 
 Since 1995 to present continuously 
perfected THIS system
Students 
Full Time Mothers 
Full Time Plumbers 
Professional Traders 
School Teachers 
Retirees 
My Talk At Bloomberg
23 
Growth 
Stocks 
Income 
Stocks 
Value 
Stocks 
•Disciplined security analysis: Valuation, Growth (eg. Earnings and revenue 
growth), Income (eg dividend yield). Thereby avoiding the pitfalls of each style and 
capturing the best of all three theories for selecting stocks. 
•Qualitative and Quantative: (i) determining the variables to use to identify stocks 
falling in each style (eg. PEG), and then (ii) determining the range of relevant values 
(eg. PEG 0.2-0.8) for each criteria (iii) weighting those criteria 
’000s Stocks 
Money 
Management 
Portfolio 
Circa 14 Positions 
Stocks 
Screen Transaction 
Risk 
Management 
•Low Transaction Costs: Our strategy is inherently not a 
high turnover strategy thereby reduces portfolio churn and 
transaction costs. 
•Money Management: 25% per position hard stop-loss means no position can impact portfolio 
more than 1.8%. 
•Risk impact of our 14 positions have same impact on portfolio downside as a GBP 200m equity 
funds largest 10-14 positions.
24 
Value Growth Income: USP 
Downside of Traditional Styles & 
Other Funds 
Our way for generating maximising risk-adjusted 
returns 
Value Stocks: can remain 
undervalued for long periods. Can be 
excessively undervalued because 
business is not viable. 
As our stocks are also growth stocks, they tend to be 
spotted earlier by big funds. We avoid extremely strongly 
valued, or strongly growing or strongly yielding stocks –as 
these too can be problematic. 
Income Stocks: Yields alone do not 
ensure shareholder returns 
Yields provide downside protection. If the stocks price 
should fall, yields increase, ensuring a floor to price falls. 
But growth and valuation criteria mean the company should 
get selected rapidly and rise again. 
Growth Stocks: Can be over-valued 
and not exceed expectations causing 
price declines 
Our stocks are already relatively undervalued so strong 
growth means expectations are usually exceeded resulting 
in strong price rises. 
Exits based on entry criteria We do not want to exit when our stocks are, say, fully 
valued. We want them to be overvalued when we exit. So 
our exits are based not on our entry criteria, but time – the 
optimal time, without back-test over-fitting, we think it takes 
for shareholder returns to be maximised, which based on 
VGI criteria is 12 months.
25 
Value Growth Income: USP 
Transaction costs cause 
cost drag due to large 
number of portfolio holdings 
Our portfolio stocks have the same downside 
impact as the largest 10-20 holdings of a 
GBP200m fund. We don’t need 100 holdings 
and the costs inherent in them to diversify 
away risk. But our concentration generates 
Alpha due to our stock selection skills. 
Style Drift By having a combination of styles we should 
‘smooth’ the effects and downsides of any 
one style. 
Poor bear market 
performance 
Our stocks represent target ‘flight to quality’ 
stocks in bear markets.
26 
Pence 3 day bars (dyn.) DTZ Holdings PLC 
Ord 
450 450 
400 400 
DTZ 
Growth results beat 
expectations 
bring undervalued company 
350 350 
to market attention (i) in 
months not years (ii) with 
room for price rises due to 
low valuation 
300 300 
250 250 
Price drops limited because yield and valuations 
rise providing a protective floor to falls 
200 200 
2000 Volume (Daily) - th's 2000 
31/12/04 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 
30/12/05 
www.sharescope.co.uk Chart (c) ShareScope
27 
Growth results beat 
expectations 
bring undervalued company 
to market attention (i) in 
months not years (ii) with 
room for price rises due to 
low valuation 
Price drops limited because yield and valuations 
rise providing a protective floor to falls
MISSION: THE BEST PRIVATE INVESTOR SOFTWARE IN THE WORLD 
HOW TO GET INFRONT OF COMPETITORS – ALPESH PATEL SPECIAL EDITION SHARESCOPE 
AlpeshPatel.com 
CUSTOMER SUPPORT 
ON LINE HELP 
EMAIL HELP 
BETTER PRODUCTS 
PRICE 
PHONE HELP 
FREE UPGRADES 
STOCK IDEAS 
INTUITIVE 
NICE DESIGN 
ALL CHARTS 
FUNDAMENTALS 
ADVANCED 
DAILY & MONTHLY 
NEWSLETTER 
STOCK COMMENTARY 
STOCK/ ETF/ 
ADR/ US/ 
FUNDS? 
FX/ 
COMMODITIES 
BEGINNER/ 
INTERMEDIATE 
CHEAP? 
AVERAGE? 
LUXuRY? 
TEST IT 
SINCE 2004: 17% pa 
returns from Alpesh 
Patel Special Edition 
stock picks 
INDUSTRY 
AWARDS 
EG. ROE
www.sharescope.co.uk/alpesh
LinkedInSharescope
LinkedInSharescope
LinkedInSharescope
LinkedInSharescope
LinkedInSharescope
LinkedInSharescope
LinkedInSharescope
LinkedInSharescope

LinkedInSharescope

  • 1.
    Beating Buffett Beating Buffett How You Can Too
  • 2.
  • 4.
  • 5.
  • 6.
    Examples 1 =It can take the market time to see value, but the stock rarely falls below our entry price because it was already undervalued 2 = Market sees what we saw and price rises
  • 7.
    Examples 1 =It can take the market time to see value, but the stock rarely falls below our entry price because it was already undervalued 2 = Market sees what we saw and price rises
  • 8.
    Examples 1 =It can take the market time to see value, but the stock rarely falls below our entry price because it was already undervalued 2 = Market sees what we saw and price rises
  • 9.
    Examples 1 =It can take the market time to see value, but the stock rarely falls below our entry price because it was already undervalued 2 = Market sees what we saw and price rises
  • 10.
    Dear Alpesh, thisis absolutely awesome !! Well done. Great going. Ashok Vaswani, CEO Barclays Business and Retail Banking Outstanding!!! Congratulations Ravi Bulchandani, Head, JP Morgan Private Bank
  • 11.
  • 13.
  • 14.
    MISSION: THE BESTINVESTOR SOFTWARE IN THE WORLD
  • 16.
    Financial Times ForecastingCompetition Rank Number 1
  • 17.
    ‘Gets to theheart of the matter of trading by clearly elucidating the methodologies of successful trading strategies while capturing the ineffible ethos of singlular successful traders.’ Pat Arbor, Chairman, Chicago Board of Trade. (World’s Largest Exchange)
  • 18.
    Top 5 Bestseller Published in 8 languages
  • 19.
     Thousands oflive trades  20+ years of working with world’s leading traders  16 books on trading strategies based on research and interviews with leading industry experts  Worked with other traders to optimise accuracy  Since 1995 to present continuously perfected THIS system
  • 21.
    Students Full TimeMothers Full Time Plumbers Professional Traders School Teachers Retirees My Talk At Bloomberg
  • 23.
    23 Growth Stocks Income Stocks Value Stocks •Disciplined security analysis: Valuation, Growth (eg. Earnings and revenue growth), Income (eg dividend yield). Thereby avoiding the pitfalls of each style and capturing the best of all three theories for selecting stocks. •Qualitative and Quantative: (i) determining the variables to use to identify stocks falling in each style (eg. PEG), and then (ii) determining the range of relevant values (eg. PEG 0.2-0.8) for each criteria (iii) weighting those criteria ’000s Stocks Money Management Portfolio Circa 14 Positions Stocks Screen Transaction Risk Management •Low Transaction Costs: Our strategy is inherently not a high turnover strategy thereby reduces portfolio churn and transaction costs. •Money Management: 25% per position hard stop-loss means no position can impact portfolio more than 1.8%. •Risk impact of our 14 positions have same impact on portfolio downside as a GBP 200m equity funds largest 10-14 positions.
  • 24.
    24 Value GrowthIncome: USP Downside of Traditional Styles & Other Funds Our way for generating maximising risk-adjusted returns Value Stocks: can remain undervalued for long periods. Can be excessively undervalued because business is not viable. As our stocks are also growth stocks, they tend to be spotted earlier by big funds. We avoid extremely strongly valued, or strongly growing or strongly yielding stocks –as these too can be problematic. Income Stocks: Yields alone do not ensure shareholder returns Yields provide downside protection. If the stocks price should fall, yields increase, ensuring a floor to price falls. But growth and valuation criteria mean the company should get selected rapidly and rise again. Growth Stocks: Can be over-valued and not exceed expectations causing price declines Our stocks are already relatively undervalued so strong growth means expectations are usually exceeded resulting in strong price rises. Exits based on entry criteria We do not want to exit when our stocks are, say, fully valued. We want them to be overvalued when we exit. So our exits are based not on our entry criteria, but time – the optimal time, without back-test over-fitting, we think it takes for shareholder returns to be maximised, which based on VGI criteria is 12 months.
  • 25.
    25 Value GrowthIncome: USP Transaction costs cause cost drag due to large number of portfolio holdings Our portfolio stocks have the same downside impact as the largest 10-20 holdings of a GBP200m fund. We don’t need 100 holdings and the costs inherent in them to diversify away risk. But our concentration generates Alpha due to our stock selection skills. Style Drift By having a combination of styles we should ‘smooth’ the effects and downsides of any one style. Poor bear market performance Our stocks represent target ‘flight to quality’ stocks in bear markets.
  • 26.
    26 Pence 3day bars (dyn.) DTZ Holdings PLC Ord 450 450 400 400 DTZ Growth results beat expectations bring undervalued company 350 350 to market attention (i) in months not years (ii) with room for price rises due to low valuation 300 300 250 250 Price drops limited because yield and valuations rise providing a protective floor to falls 200 200 2000 Volume (Daily) - th's 2000 31/12/04 Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov 30/12/05 www.sharescope.co.uk Chart (c) ShareScope
  • 27.
    27 Growth resultsbeat expectations bring undervalued company to market attention (i) in months not years (ii) with room for price rises due to low valuation Price drops limited because yield and valuations rise providing a protective floor to falls
  • 29.
    MISSION: THE BESTPRIVATE INVESTOR SOFTWARE IN THE WORLD HOW TO GET INFRONT OF COMPETITORS – ALPESH PATEL SPECIAL EDITION SHARESCOPE AlpeshPatel.com CUSTOMER SUPPORT ON LINE HELP EMAIL HELP BETTER PRODUCTS PRICE PHONE HELP FREE UPGRADES STOCK IDEAS INTUITIVE NICE DESIGN ALL CHARTS FUNDAMENTALS ADVANCED DAILY & MONTHLY NEWSLETTER STOCK COMMENTARY STOCK/ ETF/ ADR/ US/ FUNDS? FX/ COMMODITIES BEGINNER/ INTERMEDIATE CHEAP? AVERAGE? LUXuRY? TEST IT SINCE 2004: 17% pa returns from Alpesh Patel Special Edition stock picks INDUSTRY AWARDS EG. ROE
  • 32.