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Liberalisation and the Future of Mail –  the German Case from a Supplier‘s Perspective Monika Plum, Francotyp-Postalia
Postal Market: Business Environment and Trends ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Customers Postal operators Postal market suppliers ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
Letter Mail Market – Germany ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],Letter Mail Volume Germany 10% - 4% Source: based on BNetzA, Annual report 2010
Future of mail? source: UPU data, estimates based on  UPU, postal operators, FEPE World Business Mail Volume - Projection - 20% minimum - 40% worst case Worldwide per day ~ 1,2 bn. letters ~ 250 bn. e-mails (90% spam) ~ 3 bn. requests  ~ 2 bn. Videos ~ 660 Mill. users @  Mail volume decline 2009 - 10 Source: ÖPAG, European Postal Services 2011
Extension of the Postal Value Chain Traditional postal value chain Collection Outward Sorting Inward Sorting Delivery Document-creation Address Manage-ment Print Inserting Franking Collection Consoli-dation Transport/sorting Delivery Inbound mail Archiving Response Manage-ment Integrated mail industry value chain  physical … hybrid … electronic Transport
From Physical to Electronic Mail classical letter mail Sender electronic physical electronic physical Recipient E-mail Secure e-mail E-signature Hybrid Mail Reverse Hybrid Mail
De-Mail: the German Government Initiative ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object]
De-Mail - Advantages Compared to E-mail  ,[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],[object Object],„ A legally certified web in the web“ Citizens  Businesses  Public Authorities  Banks/ Insurance companies
The Future of Mail: Customers Require a Multichannel Strategy Sender Recipient Businesses @  Public Authorities Consumers      Public Authorities Consumers      Businesses Hybrid Mail
The Supplier‘s Perspective: FP-Strategy into the Digital World Classical letter mail Sender electronic physical electronic physical Recipient E-Signature ELDOC Hybrid Mail Reverse Hybrid Mail
For further information: www.francotyp.com www.internet-access.de www.freesort.de www.mentana-claimsoft.de Dr. Monika Plum Market Research Business Development Fon: +49 -3303-525 973   E-Mail: m.plum@francotyp.com                                             Francotyp-Postalia GmbH Triftweg 21-26,  16547 Birkenwerder Germany Many thanks for your attention!

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Liberalisation and the Future of Mail - the German Case from a Supplier´s Perspective

  • 1. Liberalisation and the Future of Mail – the German Case from a Supplier‘s Perspective Monika Plum, Francotyp-Postalia
  • 2.
  • 3.
  • 4. Future of mail? source: UPU data, estimates based on UPU, postal operators, FEPE World Business Mail Volume - Projection - 20% minimum - 40% worst case Worldwide per day ~ 1,2 bn. letters ~ 250 bn. e-mails (90% spam) ~ 3 bn. requests ~ 2 bn. Videos ~ 660 Mill. users @  Mail volume decline 2009 - 10 Source: ÖPAG, European Postal Services 2011
  • 5. Extension of the Postal Value Chain Traditional postal value chain Collection Outward Sorting Inward Sorting Delivery Document-creation Address Manage-ment Print Inserting Franking Collection Consoli-dation Transport/sorting Delivery Inbound mail Archiving Response Manage-ment Integrated mail industry value chain physical … hybrid … electronic Transport
  • 6. From Physical to Electronic Mail classical letter mail Sender electronic physical electronic physical Recipient E-mail Secure e-mail E-signature Hybrid Mail Reverse Hybrid Mail
  • 7.
  • 8.
  • 9. The Future of Mail: Customers Require a Multichannel Strategy Sender Recipient Businesses @  Public Authorities Consumers    Public Authorities Consumers    Businesses Hybrid Mail
  • 10. The Supplier‘s Perspective: FP-Strategy into the Digital World Classical letter mail Sender electronic physical electronic physical Recipient E-Signature ELDOC Hybrid Mail Reverse Hybrid Mail
  • 11. For further information: www.francotyp.com www.internet-access.de www.freesort.de www.mentana-claimsoft.de Dr. Monika Plum Market Research Business Development Fon: +49 -3303-525 973 E-Mail: m.plum@francotyp.com                                         Francotyp-Postalia GmbH Triftweg 21-26, 16547 Birkenwerder Germany Many thanks for your attention!

Editor's Notes

  1. Trends im Postmarkt: Liberalisierung ist einer der wesentlichsten Veränderungen im Postmarkt, in der EU muss bis Anfang nächsten Jahres in den meisten Ländern der Postmarkt vollständig liberalisiert sein, für restlichen (11) Länder ist dies bis Ende 2012 vorgesehen. Deutschland ist neben GB, NL und Schweden einer der Vorreiter in diesem Prozess und hat den Markt schrittweise seit 1998 und vollständig 2008 geöffnet Liberalisierung ist allerdings kein Selbstzweck, sondern verfolgt eine klare Zielsetzung: Libersalisierung verankert die Grundprinzipien des Wettbewerbs, an denen sich unser Wirtschaftssystem orientiert auch im Postmarkt. Durch einen chancengleichen und funktionsfähigen Wettbewerb soll ein vielfältiges Angebot für alle Kunden geschaffen werden. Der im Grundgesetz verankerte Auftrag einer flächendeckende Versorgung zu erschwinglichen Preisen – der Universaldienst - soll im Wettbewerb sichergestellt werden. Als zweites ist der technologische Wandel zu nennen, der in den letzten 15-20 Jahren zu mehr Veränderung im Postmarkt geführt hat als in den 500 Jahren zuvor. Die Digitalisierung, das Internet, Vernetzung führt zu einer Vielzahl von neuen Kommunikationsmöglichkeiten und einem rasant veränderten Kommunikationsverhalten. Mittlerweile sind 72% der Deutschen Bürger und bereits 89% der Unternehmen Online, vor 10 Jahren sahen diese Zahlen noch ganz anders aus. In den letzten Jahren haben sich zusätzlich die Möglichkeiten der mobilen Kommunikation extrem verstärkt. Ebenso verändern soziale Netzwerke und Kommunikationskanäle wie facebook, twitter, blogs die Kommunikationsstrukturen. Dies führt in den letzten Jahren zu einem Rückgang des Briefvolumens aufgrund von Substitutionseffekten – in Deutschland zwar noch nicht so ausgeprägt wie in anderen ländern, aber durchaus spürbar in einigen Bereichen Ein weiteres Trend ist, dass diese Veränderungen nicht an Grenzen haltmachen, sondern die Internationalisierung immer stärker voranschreitet. Eine global agierende Wirtschaft verlangt auch nach globalen Kommunikationsströmen, die durch den technologischen Wandel möglich werden. Die Liberalisierung öffnet auch die zuvor nationalen Postmärkte immer stärker international. Eine wesentliche Konsequenz dieser Entwicklungen ist die zunehmende Kooperation und Bildung strategischer Allianzen. Es gibt zunehmend spezialisierte Anbieter aus den unterschiedlichsten Bereichen, die über verschiedenste Formen der Zusammenarbeit ihre Kompetenzen bündeln. So entstehen wiederum Komplettangebote für den Kunden aus einer Hand, die ein einzelnes Unternehmen allein oft nicht bieten kann. Danben gibt es natürlich auch weitere Trends und Entwicklungen, die auch den Postmarkt prägen, als Stichworte seien hier nur „Ökologisierung / Nachhaltigkeit“, „Wirtschaftskrise“, Datenschutz genannt Diese Entwicklungen führen im Briefmarkt zu einer Veränderung sowohl der postalischen Wertschöpfungskette und damit verbunden auch dem Wettbewerbsumfeld
  2. Liberalisation in Germany has been a process of gradual market opening. A major step was the new regulatory framework in 1998 that introduced a competitive framework in the letter mail market with a partial exclusive license for Deutsche Post. The scope of the exclusive license was reduced subsequently over the time until full market opening in 2008. Competition started in 1998 mainly in the so called D-license area, where letters with higher quality features were opened up to competition. Since a major element of higher quality was delivery same day or early morning delivery, mainly small local or regional letter mail businesses developed. The specific German licensing policy resulted in hundreds of small regional operators with their own local delivery networks. Only in 2005 network access for competitors was forced by a decision of the federal cartel office in Germany and introduced downstream access competition as a second element besides end-to-end-competition into the German postal market. Since then, nationwide delivery became an option for regional players through downstream access to Deutsche Post network. It also opened the way for cooperation and networks of regional players. Current market share of competitors in the letter mail market after more than ten years of gradual liberalisation is 10%. [1] Downstream access by competitors accounts for app. 8% of total mail volume. [2] The development of competition in Germany was negatively influenced by the minimum wage debate and VAT-regime which exempted large part of the incumbent’s mail services from VAT. [3] Both issues have recently been eased with court decisions and new VAT-legislation, but it is still not considered to be a self-supporting competitive market. [4] The general objectives of liberalizing former monopoly areas are to provide innovative and customer oriented products and services, to achieve productivity gains and lead to lower prices and higher quality.
  3. Under monopoly, the traditional postal value chain consists of collection, sorting, transport and final delivery and was reserved to the incumbent. Upstream and downstream activities have been mainly provided by senders and recipients themselves utilizing mail management products like meters, inserters, software etc. This traditional postal value chain has changed in many respects (see figure 1). The traditional reserved area from collection to final delivery has been opened up to competitors. They created new products and services, which have not been provided under the monopoly. Examples are defined delivery days, post-payment or downstream access, giving also smaller senders access to postal discounts. Technological change has enabled new options in upstream and downstream activities, like data management, address selection and address management or digitalization of incoming mail. More and more senders and recipients outsource these activities to specialised businesses. These services are often provided by suppliers not originating in the postal market, but e.g. from the software industry. At the same time, the classical sequencing of the postal value chain is no longer fixed, since new options are available. The classical order was printing a letter, inserting, franking, dispatch, collection, transport, sorting and delivery. With new hybrid and electronic options, several elements of the value chain are processed in one step, e.g. printing, franking and sorting, and only than the letter is inserted and handed over for final delivery. Thus the physical value chain may be provided partially electronic as hybrid mail. Cryptography, qualified signatures and improved data processing enabled secure fully electronic mail options. Finally there is a migration of operators and suppliers along the postal value chain. Those formerly tied to one or two areas of the value chain expand into neighbouring elements of the value chain. This is valid for postal operators, expanding into other business fields to compensate losses in the former monopoly area. But it is equally valid for other suppliers, like postage meter suppliers entering into hybrid mail, consolidation etc. And also totally new suppliers enter the postal arena, e.g. from the software or printing industry.
  4. Secure communication infrastructure The basic security, functionality and interoperability requirements were drawn up jointly by the federal government and the future De-Mail providers and defined in BSI Technical Guidelines. Adherence to these guidelines by the De-Mail providers is verified in a legally regulated accreditation and certification process. De-Mail services are thus offered by competing companies that are able to differentiate themselves from each other on the basis of the standard framework by offering additional products and services. De-Mail therefore forms the basis for a nationwide, competition-friendly infrastructure – in the interests of secure electronic communication.
  5. Critical to the success of De-Mail is that the providers of the services should actually guarantee the security they promise. The primary basis for this is a suitable IT framework security concept covering everything that is relevant to the infrastructure. To be accredited as a De-Mail service provider, companies need to produce security certificates covering the themes of security, interoperability and functionality which they can obtain by following the BSI's tried and tested certification process. The aim is to enable potential suppliers to achieve a reasonable level of security, while at the same time allowing them sufficient leeway to design their own application environment. The BSI is responsible for the security and certification concept and is thus contributing its core competencies to the project. In doing so it is making an important contribution to implementing the vision of a secure and reliable infrastructure for trusted and binding electronic communication. State and Business Community Together Define the Framework – Business Implements De-Mail The basic security, functionality and interoperability requirements were drawn up jointly by the federal government and the future De-Mail providers and defined in BSI Technical Guidelines. Adherence to these guidelines by the De-Mail providers is verified in a legally regulated accreditation and certification process. De-Mail services are thus offered by competing companies that are able to differentiate themselves from each other on the basis of the standard framework by offering additional products and services. De-Mail therefore forms the basis for a nationwide, competition-friendly infrastructure – in the interests of secure electronic communication.
  6. Sehen wir uns nun die Veränderungen aus der Perspektive der Kunden an Die Kunden sind die Versender und Empfänger. Das Kundenbedürfnis, das hinter dem Brief steht, ist die schriftliche Kommunikation bzw. der Austausch von Dokumenten. In der alten Monopolwelt war der Brief durch geringe Produkt- und Preisdifferenzierung sowie geringe Kundenorientierung gekennzeichnet Durch Liberalisierung und technologischen Wandel hat sich jedoch das Bild des Briefes deutlich gewandelt. Zum einen ist beim klassischen Brief durch den Wettbewerbsdruck das Angebot wesentlich vielseitiger geworden (z.B. unterschiedliche Laufzeiten, Preisdifferenzierung nicht nur nach Inhalt, Zusatzleistungen wie track&trace, Abholung, Dirketmarktingdienst / Transpromo) Es sind aber auch ganz neue Produkt und Dienstleistlungen entstanden, die vor allem durch den technologischen Wandel möglich geworden sind Hybrid mail, elektronische Konsolidierung Digitalisierung der Eingangspost, reverse hybrid mail Secure e-mail, De-Mail, Epostbrief Die Kunden haben somit ein wesentlich breiteres und differenzierteres Angebotsspektrum, um ihre Kommunikationsbedürfnisse zu befriedigen. Dabei wird sicherlich auch ein Teil der klassischen Briefkommunikation durch e-mail, De-Mail oder E-Postbrief ersetzt, aber der Praxis- und Akzeptanztest für diese neuen Lösungen in der breiten Öffentlchkeit steht ja noch aus. Der Brief wird auch in Zukunft – mit veränderten Erfolgsfaktoren seien Berechtigung und Position im Kommunikationsmarkt haben. Es wird eine Reihe von Sendungen geben, die sich nicht durch elektronische Kommunikation ersetzen lassen und weiterhin physisch versandt werden (z.B. Buchsendungen, Kataloge). Der klassische physische Brief erzielt auch und gerade im Zeitalter der digitalen Kommunika­tion hohe Aufmerksamkeit beim Empfänger und ist daher für viele Versender auch zukünftig ein att­raktives Kommunikationsmedium (z.B. Premiumwerbung). Es wird eine Reihe von Empfängern geben, die ihre Sendungen in physischer Form empfangen wollen. Gerade bei der business-to-consumer Kommunikation werden in Zukunft auch die Präferenzen des Empfängers eine stärkere Rolle spielen als bislang, wo im Wesentlichen der Versender den Kommunikationsweg bestimmt. Für die Kunden wird es daher wichtig, aus einer ganzen Bandbreite von Kommunikationsmöglichkeiten, die für ihre Anforderungen entsprechende Lösung, gegebenenfalls auch situationsspezifisch auswählen zu können. Was bedeutet das nun für ein Unternehmen wie FP- einem mittelständischen Unternehmen im Markt für Postbearbeitung mit mehr als 80jähriger Tradition - und damit stehen wir stellvertretend für eine Reihe von Unternehmen in diesem Markt. Wir sehen die Libersalisierung und den technologischen Wandel als Herausforderugn und Chance für unser Unternehmen Nur wenn wir diese Chance annehmen und die Notwendigekeit des Wandel sehen, können wir auch morgen noch am Markt mit kundenorientierten Produtkien und Dienstleistungen bestehen. Eine besondere Herausforderung ist dabei, und nun möchte ich nochmals auf das Wettbewrbsumfeld zu sprechen kommen, das wir uns im Spannungsfeld von Wettbewerb und Kooperation befinden.