SlideShare a Scribd company logo
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US Economy
Stay Positive!
www.andrewbusch.com
Problems and Solutions
US & Intl Economic Situation
2016 Presidential Race
Future Growth
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www.andrewbusch.com
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www.andrewbusch.com
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www.andrewbusch.com
Rate Dilemma
“There are limits to what monetary policy can and,
indeed, should, do. The burden must also fall on
fiscal and other policies to do their part to help
create conditions conducive to economic stability.”
SF Fed President John Williams
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www.andrewbusch.com
Productivity=Growth
www.andrewbusch.com
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Solutions for growth
Free Trade=lower tariffs
Reg. Relief=reduced costs
Tax reform=capital formation
w/incentives
Infrastructure=efficiency
Energy Production
www.andrewbusch.com
Trump Econ/Tax Plan
Cut Corp Tax to 15%
Limit Pass Thru 15%
1x 10% Repat Tax
Ag TPP and NAFTA
Impose tariffs on
imported goods
Big Drop in Interest
Deductibility
New $500B infrastructureFull expensing!
www.andrewbusch.com
100 Day Energy & Reg Plan
Save coal industry, Pass Keystone,
Lift moratorium for energy on Fed. lands
Cancel Paris Climate Agreement
Rescind and Reform:
Obama executive actions,
Climate Action Plan,
WOTUS, Obamacare,
Dodd-Frank
DOL Fiduciary Rule
www.andrewbusch.com
Trump plans help/hurt
Help: big tech & big pharma
Hurt: debt heavy balance sheets
Help: industrials & manufacturers
Hurt: free trade
Help: energy production
Help: Transportation/Engineering
Help: banking, IAs
www.andrewbusch.com
The Good and the Bad
Source: Tax Foundation
www.andrewbusch.com
CLINTON PLAN
Fair share C tax
No Free Trade
Exit Tax
$275B Infrastructure
plan
Extend/expand
Obama regulation
programs
www.andrewbusch.com
Big Change to Cap Gains
www.andrewbusch.com
Fin Reg & Energy Plan
500mln solar panels by 2021
Implement Clean Power Plan &
Paris Agreements
$60B Clean energy challenge
Risk fee on the largest financial institutions
No hedge fund investing
Hold senior bankers accountable for losses
No financial firm is ever too big or too risky
HFT tax, close carried interest
www.andrewbusch.com
Clinton plans help/hurt
Hurt: MNCs competitiveness
Hurt: raises taxes on top earners/
capital formation
Help: transportation/enginering
Help: energy/alternatives
Hurt: energy/hydrocarbon production
Hurt: banking, IAs
www.andrewbusch.com
Good, Bad and Complicated
Source: Tax Foundation
www.andrewbusch.com Source: PIIE
www.andrewbusch.com
2016 Recap
Clinton:
biz tax hikes
build on regs
cap gains tax
no free trade
big alternatives
big infra
create pathway
implement DOL FR
Trump:
biz tax cuts
reduce regs
full expensing
no free trade
big hydro carbon
big infra
build a wall
end DOL FR
www.andrewbusch.com
What is the hope?
Trump is a “businessman”
Clinton is a “compromiser”
www.andrewbusch.com
www.andrewbusch.com
www.andrewbusch.com
www.andrewbusch.com
Major Investing Issues
Inside/outside competition
Rising costs due to regulations
Slow growth & low rates
www.andrewbusch.com
Policy solution summary
www.andrewbusch.com
Future Growth Solutions
AI, Big Data, Analytics
Fintech: disruptive vs. collaborative
Millenials: visual, social, digital
www.andrewbusch.com Source: ABA
www.andrewbusch.com
Big Data, Analytics, AI
www.andrewbusch.com
Fintech
Block Chain isn’t just for Bitcoin
Robo advisors: Betterment & Wealthfront
Real estate crowdfunding: Peer Street,
Real Crow, Realty Mogul
www.andrewbusch.com
Big challenge, big opportunity
Digital natives, distrust of big,
community focused
Giving HOPE
www.andrewbusch.com
Final Thoughts…

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