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Japan’s Earthquake
   and Tsunami
  IMPACT ON AUTO MAKERS
"This is a one time shock and overall it will not have a long term impact
on the global economy…”


                "According to our estimates, the effect [on the Japanese
                                           GDP] will not be that large…”

    The World Bank’s Chief Economist, Justin Yifu Lin, said
     on Wednesday that the tsunami in Japan will not
    have a long term impact on the world economy…

We are sure the Japanese economy will bounce
back quick.
                       With reconstruction, Japan can increase its growth
                                                                     rate.
  "We hope the world community will give assistance to
  the Japanese government.”
Friday's earthquake and tsunami
   left parts of Japan's economy
 "frozen", but analysts forecast that
 it will bounce back later this year.
The country's global   car
giants are expected to be
    amongst the worst
       affected.
Cars waiting for export
    burn after an 8.9
    magnitude strong
earthquake on March 12,
  2011 in Tokai, Ibaraki,
         Japan.
In the six months following the Kobe
earthquake of January 1995, shares
  of Toyota, Honda and Nissan fell
  22%, 35%, and 40% respectively,
 according to Tong Yang Securities,
   and needed up to 13 months to
              recover.
Toyota, Honda, Nissan and Subaru (Fuji
Heavy Industries) have stopped operation in
     several of their factories after the 8.9
 magnitude earthquake. Toyota has closed
down 3, Honda has shut 2, Nissan has closed
  4, and Fuji Heavy Industries, the maker of
      Subaru cars, has closed 5 factories.
Nomura suggested that annual
operating profits at Toyota, Honda and
Nissan would be dented by between 3%
           and 8% this year.
Firefighters hose down smoldering cars Saturday
following Friday's devastating tsunami in Hitachi,
Ibaraki Prefecture, northeast of Tokyo.
Some of the country's leading producers, including
the world's biggest carmaker, Toyota, have closed
          all of their plants in the country.
According to Automotive News, Toyota dispatched 2
  convoys of rescue vehicles -- 6 water tankers, 2-fuel
 tankers, and 9 cargo carriers -- to heavily-damaged
   northern Japan carrying food, water, and portable
toilets. Toyota wanted to bring relief to an area where
it operates 2 parts plants, as do 2 Toyota subsidiaries.
       All 4 facilities had been shut down since the
 earthquake on Friday. The mission got some welcome
 news. A Toyota spokesman said there were no reports
    of deaths or injuries, though the plants themselves
                  suffered some damage.
Toyota Motor Co said it will continue
  to halt operations at its 12 main
assembly plants in Japan, extending
the suspension until March 22. The
closure of the factories, since Monday,
   will result in lost production of
         95,000 vehicles.
But it will restart production of spare
 parts on Thursday at seven plants
near its base in Toyota City, central
  Japan, to be shipped to service
    centers for repairs to Toyota
vehicles already on the road. From
  March 21, Toyota will also begin
making car parts at the same plant
for assembly factories overseas, the
              company said.
Honda Motor Co reiterated its
plans to suspend all production in
   Japan until at least Sunday.
       [ID:L3E7EE109]Honda
   manufactured 69,170 cars in
January in Japan, where it made
      24 percent of its cars.
Both Honda and Mazda announced that they
were suspending production for the rest of the
week. For Honda, it means the loss of 16,600
    vehicles. Overall, HIS figures a global
  production loss of some 36,700 vehicles a
   day. That means more demand for used
 Japanese vehicles and hence higher prices.
Nissan Motor Co said output has
 been stopped at all four of its car
assembly factories in Japan. Nissan
  made81,851 cars in January in
  Japan, where it manufactured
     23percent of its vehicles.
"We've stopped production as of
 today," said Andy Palmer, Nissan's
head of production, in an interview
 with BBC World Business Report in
     Tokyo, in line with its rivals.
Fuji Heavy Industries Co said all five
  of its car and car parts-related
plants for its Subaru-brand vehicles
  in Gunma prefecture, north of
 Tokyo, will be closed until at least
                Sunday.
"It's not just our factories, it's also some of
  our suppliers. Some of our suppliers are
  even in the exclusion zone around the
                nuclear plant."
Mazda Motor Corp
said they will suspend
 production at two
plants in southwestern
Japan until March 20,
but have not decided
on how to proceed
     after that.
None of the carmakers feel
able to predict




     when production will be
                resumed.
Goldman Sachs said in a report
 that rough calculations indicated
   the profit impact of stopping
 production for one day would be
about 6 billion yen ($74.3 million) for
 Toyota and 2billion yen for Honda
             and Nissan.
In the U.S., Bank of America Merrill Lynch figures that
big, publicly-traded car dealers have the most exposure
 to the Japanese catastrophe, because production halts
    mean fewer exports of Japanese brands, and thus
   fewer sales. AutoNation (AN, Fortune 500), Penske
   Automotive Group (PAG, Fortune 500), and Group
    One all get more than a third of their sales from
 Toyota, Honda, and Nissan. Overall, however, Bank
      of America figures the impact will be small --
equivalent to one day of supply disruption over a full
                          year.

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Japan's Earthquak

  • 1. Japan’s Earthquake and Tsunami IMPACT ON AUTO MAKERS
  • 2.
  • 3. "This is a one time shock and overall it will not have a long term impact on the global economy…” "According to our estimates, the effect [on the Japanese GDP] will not be that large…” The World Bank’s Chief Economist, Justin Yifu Lin, said on Wednesday that the tsunami in Japan will not have a long term impact on the world economy… We are sure the Japanese economy will bounce back quick. With reconstruction, Japan can increase its growth rate. "We hope the world community will give assistance to the Japanese government.”
  • 4. Friday's earthquake and tsunami left parts of Japan's economy "frozen", but analysts forecast that it will bounce back later this year.
  • 5. The country's global car giants are expected to be amongst the worst affected.
  • 6. Cars waiting for export burn after an 8.9 magnitude strong earthquake on March 12, 2011 in Tokai, Ibaraki, Japan.
  • 7. In the six months following the Kobe earthquake of January 1995, shares of Toyota, Honda and Nissan fell 22%, 35%, and 40% respectively, according to Tong Yang Securities, and needed up to 13 months to recover.
  • 8. Toyota, Honda, Nissan and Subaru (Fuji Heavy Industries) have stopped operation in several of their factories after the 8.9 magnitude earthquake. Toyota has closed down 3, Honda has shut 2, Nissan has closed 4, and Fuji Heavy Industries, the maker of Subaru cars, has closed 5 factories.
  • 9. Nomura suggested that annual operating profits at Toyota, Honda and Nissan would be dented by between 3% and 8% this year.
  • 10. Firefighters hose down smoldering cars Saturday following Friday's devastating tsunami in Hitachi, Ibaraki Prefecture, northeast of Tokyo.
  • 11. Some of the country's leading producers, including the world's biggest carmaker, Toyota, have closed all of their plants in the country.
  • 12. According to Automotive News, Toyota dispatched 2 convoys of rescue vehicles -- 6 water tankers, 2-fuel tankers, and 9 cargo carriers -- to heavily-damaged northern Japan carrying food, water, and portable toilets. Toyota wanted to bring relief to an area where it operates 2 parts plants, as do 2 Toyota subsidiaries. All 4 facilities had been shut down since the earthquake on Friday. The mission got some welcome news. A Toyota spokesman said there were no reports of deaths or injuries, though the plants themselves suffered some damage.
  • 13.
  • 14. Toyota Motor Co said it will continue to halt operations at its 12 main assembly plants in Japan, extending the suspension until March 22. The closure of the factories, since Monday, will result in lost production of 95,000 vehicles.
  • 15. But it will restart production of spare parts on Thursday at seven plants near its base in Toyota City, central Japan, to be shipped to service centers for repairs to Toyota vehicles already on the road. From March 21, Toyota will also begin making car parts at the same plant for assembly factories overseas, the company said.
  • 16.
  • 17. Honda Motor Co reiterated its plans to suspend all production in Japan until at least Sunday. [ID:L3E7EE109]Honda manufactured 69,170 cars in January in Japan, where it made 24 percent of its cars.
  • 18. Both Honda and Mazda announced that they were suspending production for the rest of the week. For Honda, it means the loss of 16,600 vehicles. Overall, HIS figures a global production loss of some 36,700 vehicles a day. That means more demand for used Japanese vehicles and hence higher prices.
  • 19.
  • 20. Nissan Motor Co said output has been stopped at all four of its car assembly factories in Japan. Nissan made81,851 cars in January in Japan, where it manufactured 23percent of its vehicles.
  • 21. "We've stopped production as of today," said Andy Palmer, Nissan's head of production, in an interview with BBC World Business Report in Tokyo, in line with its rivals.
  • 22.
  • 23. Fuji Heavy Industries Co said all five of its car and car parts-related plants for its Subaru-brand vehicles in Gunma prefecture, north of Tokyo, will be closed until at least Sunday.
  • 24. "It's not just our factories, it's also some of our suppliers. Some of our suppliers are even in the exclusion zone around the nuclear plant."
  • 25. Mazda Motor Corp said they will suspend production at two plants in southwestern Japan until March 20, but have not decided on how to proceed after that.
  • 26. None of the carmakers feel able to predict when production will be resumed.
  • 27. Goldman Sachs said in a report that rough calculations indicated the profit impact of stopping production for one day would be about 6 billion yen ($74.3 million) for Toyota and 2billion yen for Honda and Nissan.
  • 28. In the U.S., Bank of America Merrill Lynch figures that big, publicly-traded car dealers have the most exposure to the Japanese catastrophe, because production halts mean fewer exports of Japanese brands, and thus fewer sales. AutoNation (AN, Fortune 500), Penske Automotive Group (PAG, Fortune 500), and Group One all get more than a third of their sales from Toyota, Honda, and Nissan. Overall, however, Bank of America figures the impact will be small -- equivalent to one day of supply disruption over a full year.