1. JA N UA RY 2 0 1 2
How Do You Handle
Market Volatility?
During the past year, markets have
fallen and rebounded like bungee
jumpers. The emotion evoked by
volatile markets may divert some
Brian D LaHue investors from their long-term financial
Financial Representative goals. Those who stay focused, however,
may find some terrific opportunities.
(812) 738-2198
VOLATILITY CAN SPARK IRRATIONAL DECISIONS
blahue@lincolninvestment.com
Volatility sometimes causes investors to make decisions that contradict their long-term
financial goals.1 Consider George, a fictional 45-year-old investor, whose long-term goal is to
accumulate adequate savings for retirement. His investments need to grow by 6 percent each
year to reach his retirement goal at his current rate of saving. Several years ago, however,
Automatic George moved his portfolio into conservative investments with a much lower expected return
because he was worried about market volatility. Behavioral economists might say that this was
Investing
irrational behavior because:
By continuing to
1. George was focusing on short-term market fluctuations instead of his long-term investment
invest, George goal.
may lower his 2. George had the means to manage risk effectively and the potential to earn a more attractive
average cost return over the long-term by investing in a risk-appropriate, well-diversified portfolio.
per share. When George refocuses on his long-term goal, he may have to increase his savings
contributions and attempt to earn a higher return by investing more aggressively (which may
be an inappropriate risk level for him) or choose to retire later in order to achieve his long-term
Amount Price Per # Shares goal.
Invested Share Purchased
January $250 $6.00 41.7 VOLATILITY CAN CREATE OPPORTUNITIES
February $250 $6.50 38.5 Periods of market fluctuation can create buying opportunities for investors who keep their eye
March $250 $6.75 37.0 on the long-term. For example, if George had not reallocated his portfolio, he might have
April $250 $6.25 40.0 benefitted from lower investment prices. Market fluctuations often create opportunities for
May $250 $6.00 41.7 individuals to invest in undervalued investments.
June $250 $6.50 38.5
July $250 $7.00 35.7 George may also have been able to lower his overall cost by investing more in opportunities
August $250 $7.25 34.5 he believed would be strong long-term performers. As the table shows, George might have
September $250 $6.50 38.5 lowered his average cost per share, which means more growth over time.
October $250 $5.75 43.5
BEWARE OF THE SWORD
November $250 $6.75 37.0
Market volatility is a double-edged sword that provides investors with opportunities to make
December $250 $8.50 29.4
both rational and irrational decisions about portfolio management. Utilizing a financial advisor
Total: $3,000 456 shares
can provide the necessary guidance to help remove emotion from the decision-making
Average cost $3,000 divided by 456 shares process.
per share: = $6.58/share
1
Morningstar, More Ways of Managing Loss Aversion, www.morningstar.com, December 15, 2011