Positive signs of a continued recovery were prevalent in Q1 2021, with vaccinations gaining critical mass, GDP showing growth, and the country opening back up for business. Additionally, M&A continues to be a tidal wave of activity, preparing to make landfall in Q4 2021.
On 21 September 2018, Scope affirmed the US sovereign rating at AA/ Stable. What are the factors which contribute to the United States losing its AAA rating?
What North America’s top finance executives are thinking - and doingΔρ. Γιώργος K. Κασάπης
Each quarter (since 2Q10), CFO Signals has tracked the thinking and actions of CFOs representing many of North America’s largest and most influential companies. All respondents are CFOs from the US, Canada, and Mexico, and the vast majority are from companies with more than $1 billion in annual revenue. The 1Q 2021 survey was open from February 8-19, 2021. A total of 128 CFOs participated, 69% from public companies and 31% from privately held companies.
As governments and organizations continue to work toward containing COVID-19 and stem the growing humanitarian toll it is exacting, the economic effects are also beginning to be felt. Through a series of regular, global surveys, we are tracking how customers’ expectations, spending, and behaviors are changing throughout the crisis across multiple countries over time. Please check back regularly for updates.
Positive signs of a continued recovery were prevalent in Q1 2021, with vaccinations gaining critical mass, GDP showing growth, and the country opening back up for business. Additionally, M&A continues to be a tidal wave of activity, preparing to make landfall in Q4 2021.
On 21 September 2018, Scope affirmed the US sovereign rating at AA/ Stable. What are the factors which contribute to the United States losing its AAA rating?
What North America’s top finance executives are thinking - and doingΔρ. Γιώργος K. Κασάπης
Each quarter (since 2Q10), CFO Signals has tracked the thinking and actions of CFOs representing many of North America’s largest and most influential companies. All respondents are CFOs from the US, Canada, and Mexico, and the vast majority are from companies with more than $1 billion in annual revenue. The 1Q 2021 survey was open from February 8-19, 2021. A total of 128 CFOs participated, 69% from public companies and 31% from privately held companies.
As governments and organizations continue to work toward containing COVID-19 and stem the growing humanitarian toll it is exacting, the economic effects are also beginning to be felt. Through a series of regular, global surveys, we are tracking how customers’ expectations, spending, and behaviors are changing throughout the crisis across multiple countries over time. Please check back regularly for updates.
Summary The global economic situation
The pandemic caused by Covid 19 and the subsequent health and economic impact led to a 3 3 fall in global GDP in 2020 with China being the only major economy to register positive growth 2 3 After a year of the pandemic, a high level of uncertainty remains about how the future will pan out in both pidemiological and economic terms With good progress in the vaccination
programs and the stimulus measures, a return of confidence is expected, as well as the disappearance of any mobility and activity restrictions This, in turn, should lead to an upturn in growth which, according to the IMF, will reach 6 provided that any virus variants and doubts on the efficiency and safety of the vaccines do not dampen these expectations Recovery will be uneven among countries and in good measure it will depend on their productive structures Those with economies dependent on tourism and
sectors that require greater social contact will feel the negative effects of the crisis for longer
UK corporate environment - November 2019Deloitte UK
1. Macro environment - Global economy set to grow at slowest pace since 2010 this year, and remain below trend in 2020. UK growth to remain soft this year and next. Brexit and geopolitical uncertainty loom large.
2. Momentum – UK avoided recession in Q3, business investment declining, manufacturing activity soft, household spending holding up but slowing.
3. Operating costs – cost pressures due to tight labour market but may loosen as firms pull back on hiring. Commodity prices and rental values soft. Credit conditions expected to tighten.
4. Corporate stance – risk appetite near lowest level since 2008, focus on cost reduction, deleveraging and increasing cash flow.
5. Balance sheet – cash rich, credit still relatively cheap and easily available but signs of tightening, profits falling.
6. Risks – effects of Brexit and weak domestic demand, rising global geopolitical risk and protectionism also a worry for large UK corporates.
Commencis Covid-19 Playbook for Financial Services Aslı Yerci Eren
Download link for full report: https://lnkd.in/gp6xqYg
The novel coronavirus, COVID-19 has turned into a global crisis, evolving at an unprecedented speed and scale. As governments take immediate actions to cope with the outbreak, businesses are rapidly adapting to the changing needs of people, consumers and suppliers while also trying to overcome the financial and operational challenges.
As the pandemic continues, more and more industries are feeling the strain. The financial industry is certainly one of them. Whilst, the current situation is challenging for the industry, we believe that if well-handled it can also bring opportunities for innovation and long-term customer loyalty. The crisis has already revealed us that, now, more than ever, the industry must invest in digital and key critical capabilities to thrive in a post-COVID-19 world.
COVID-19 Playbook for Financial Services includes the implications of COVID-19 on financial industry, and recommendations on how banks can enhance their capabilities to survive during these rough times.
Main topics covered in this playbook are as below:
1 The impact of COVID-19 - Global Overview
2 How Banks Should Face the Crisis: COVID-19 Playbook
3 How to Invest in Digital Capabilities: Digital Roadmap
Data Digest #9: Vietnam Stock Market: Embracing New Normal amidst COVID!FiinGroup JSC
COVID-related impacts on the Value could be somehow predictable. In this Report, we conduct an in-depth analysis on factors determining SUPPLY in correlation with DEMAND, instead of purely analyzing corporate fundamentals like before. Under the current circumstance, factors determining DEMAND or affecting money flow and investor sentiment, in our view, are the most important and need taking into serious consideration.
We are trying to make a plenty of data-driven comparisons on impacts of different COVID waves (the first in Q1-2020 and the fourth now) to support you in having assessments on your own. Accordingly, this Report aims to give in-depth analysis and data-driven findings on which sectors or companies could be beneficiaries from the pandemic, especially once the “Embracing the Covid-19” strategy is confirmed.
Download our full report: https://bit.ly/FiinPro-Digest-9-EN
Did you know total nonfarm payroll employment fell by 701,000 in March 2020, measuring the effects of COVID-19 and efforts to contain it? Employment in leisure and hospitality fell by 459,000, mainly in food services and drinking places. Notable declines also occurred in health care and social assistance, professional and business services, retail trade, and construction.
2020 ends with a world economic contraction above 4%, the biggest GDP decrease since World War 2. Among developed nations, growth comes to a standstill after the renewal of activity in Q3 as a result of the surge in cases and the movement restrictions. Services, especially those related to the hotel and leisure industry, experience the biggest losses. On the other hand, industry is advancing at a steady rhythm as international trade is reactivated.
In the US, the perspectives appear to indicate that the economy will register positive growth in Q4 2020, in spite of the recent surge in Covid-19 cases. In this context, the Fed has improved its growth forecasts and has announced that it will maintain its stimulus policy until there are improvements in employment and inflation reaches the target levels in the medium- to long-term (most likely at the end of 2022).
In the Eurozone, where restrictions have been tighter, a new contraction in GDP in Q4 is expected. Also, the outlook for Q1 2021 indicates that economic activity will not experience any significant growth, in spite of the vaccination campaigns in place by a variety of governments in member states.
In emerging economies, although a slight recovery is expected due to the reactivation of trade and the increase in prices for raw materials, different levels of performance can be observed. China, with the spread of the virus under control, is the country with the best economic data among the main powers. Other Asian economies such as Taiwan or Vietnam forecast annual growth rates close to 2% for 2020. On the other hand, India’s economy has slumped, with a decrease of -7.4%. In South America, the lack of control caused by the pandemic has added to several structural issues that are dragging down some economies (high levels of debt and unemployment), all of which is conditioning future recovery.
Update on National Commercial Real Estate Markets
"Commercial real estate sales transactions
picked up in the fourth quarter, but full –year
transactions were 32% below last year’s level." - NAR
In a time of high uncertainty 2 sectors stood out, Apartments and Industrial Real Estate.
Economic conditions always impact demand, construction, absorption rates, availability and vacancy rates.
These are major considerations for those looking to:
- Purchase commercial property for their business
- Those looking to obtain a commercial real estate loan
- Investors looking to find stable investment assets
- Landlords trying to determine lease concessions
- Tenants decisions on lease terms and options to renew negotiations
Brazil Digital Report: a first-edition dossier on the Brazilian digital economy. A comprehensive report on trends and facts for investors, public and private institutions, entrepreneurs, executives, students, and for digital savvy people who are curious about Brazil.
https://www.brazilatsiliconvalley.com/
Brazil Digital Report - 1st Edition By McKinsey & Company and Brazil at Silic...Ana Lucia Amaral
An amazing initiative by McKinsey and Brazil at Silicon Valley: A report that presents an overview of Brazil’s economy, including its innovation, digital and entrepreneurial landscape. Source: https://www.brazilatsiliconvalley.com/brazil-digital-report
#BSV19
Brazil Digital Report - 1st Edition
A first-edition dossier on the Brazilian digital economy
April 8th, 2019
The Report
A comprehensive 191-page report on the Brazilian digital economy, including macroeconomic indicators, Internet trends, investment facts, and data on the overall entrepreneurship and innovation landscape.
The Audience
This report is intended for all those who can play a part in driving the innovation agenda in the country – entrepreneurs, investors, public and private institutions, global business leaders, as well as digital savvy people who are curious about Brazil.
The Methodology
This is a curated compilation of public information and selected proprietary McKinsey data. We aspire to revise it annually with fresh data in order to tell the ongoing story of Brazil’s digital and innovation evolution.
Acknowledgments
McKinsey thanks the support it has received from Brazil at Silicon Valley, a student-led movement that started at Stanford University and whose mission is to improve Brazil’s competitiveness and global relevance through technology and innovation.
This report provides an evidence-based overview of developments in capital markets globally leading up to the COVID-19 crisis. It then documents the impact of the crisis on the use of capital markets and the introduction of temporary corporate governance measures.
Finch Capital issued its annual State of European fintech report for 2020. The report covers a range of topics impacting the fintech industry: where we are today; the impact of CV-19; the M&A conundrum; and trends the Finch Capital team anticipates will shape FinTech in 2021. This follows an analytical report published in April of this year titled ‘FinTech: The Future Post CV-19’.
Diaporama utilisé par Vincent Juvyns, stratégiste des marchés chez JP Morgan Asset Management, lors du webinaire qu'il a animé pour le Forum financier, le 12 octobre 2020.
Economic situation summary
The uncertainty surrounding the spread of Covid 19 is significantly conditioning economic agents’ expectations for the coming years In this context, most international organizations (the IMF, OECD, World Bank and European Commission) project a contraction of GDP above 3 yearly for 2020 and warn of risks such as rising unemployment and a possible spike in inflation above 2 in some economies, and a future increase of debt as a result of the fiscal and monetary stimulus packages That said, these organizations also point out that without these expansionary measures, the economic recession would have been a lot worse.
In developed countries the gradual reactivation of the economy began in May with the easing of movement restrictions to contain the spread of the virus In the US the Fed improved its growth forecasts, envisioning a smaller decrease in GDP 3 4 yearly vs 6 5 previously), and revised its monetary policy goals with a more direct monitoring on the job creation objective In the Eurozone economic sentiment improved as the ECB continued its monetary stimulus plan, and the European Commission finalized details of a European recovery fund of 750 000 million.
In most emerging markets the spread of the virus continues to lower the expectations of economic agents, in some cases intensifying the structural risks to these economies (debt sustainability, unemployment In India and Brazil two of the countries most affected by the pandemic, GDP is forecast to contract in 2020 by 10 2 and 6 5 yearly and respectively In China the curve representing new cases seems to be under control, and economic activity has rebounded strongly in the second half of 2020 creating a V shaped recovery.
2. Elemental Economics - Mineral demand.pdfNeal Brewster
After this second you should be able to: Explain the main determinants of demand for any mineral product, and their relative importance; recognise and explain how demand for any product is likely to change with economic activity; recognise and explain the roles of technology and relative prices in influencing demand; be able to explain the differences between the rates of growth of demand for different products.
More Related Content
Similar to Insurance, Politics, and Economics in a Post- Pandemic World
Summary The global economic situation
The pandemic caused by Covid 19 and the subsequent health and economic impact led to a 3 3 fall in global GDP in 2020 with China being the only major economy to register positive growth 2 3 After a year of the pandemic, a high level of uncertainty remains about how the future will pan out in both pidemiological and economic terms With good progress in the vaccination
programs and the stimulus measures, a return of confidence is expected, as well as the disappearance of any mobility and activity restrictions This, in turn, should lead to an upturn in growth which, according to the IMF, will reach 6 provided that any virus variants and doubts on the efficiency and safety of the vaccines do not dampen these expectations Recovery will be uneven among countries and in good measure it will depend on their productive structures Those with economies dependent on tourism and
sectors that require greater social contact will feel the negative effects of the crisis for longer
UK corporate environment - November 2019Deloitte UK
1. Macro environment - Global economy set to grow at slowest pace since 2010 this year, and remain below trend in 2020. UK growth to remain soft this year and next. Brexit and geopolitical uncertainty loom large.
2. Momentum – UK avoided recession in Q3, business investment declining, manufacturing activity soft, household spending holding up but slowing.
3. Operating costs – cost pressures due to tight labour market but may loosen as firms pull back on hiring. Commodity prices and rental values soft. Credit conditions expected to tighten.
4. Corporate stance – risk appetite near lowest level since 2008, focus on cost reduction, deleveraging and increasing cash flow.
5. Balance sheet – cash rich, credit still relatively cheap and easily available but signs of tightening, profits falling.
6. Risks – effects of Brexit and weak domestic demand, rising global geopolitical risk and protectionism also a worry for large UK corporates.
Commencis Covid-19 Playbook for Financial Services Aslı Yerci Eren
Download link for full report: https://lnkd.in/gp6xqYg
The novel coronavirus, COVID-19 has turned into a global crisis, evolving at an unprecedented speed and scale. As governments take immediate actions to cope with the outbreak, businesses are rapidly adapting to the changing needs of people, consumers and suppliers while also trying to overcome the financial and operational challenges.
As the pandemic continues, more and more industries are feeling the strain. The financial industry is certainly one of them. Whilst, the current situation is challenging for the industry, we believe that if well-handled it can also bring opportunities for innovation and long-term customer loyalty. The crisis has already revealed us that, now, more than ever, the industry must invest in digital and key critical capabilities to thrive in a post-COVID-19 world.
COVID-19 Playbook for Financial Services includes the implications of COVID-19 on financial industry, and recommendations on how banks can enhance their capabilities to survive during these rough times.
Main topics covered in this playbook are as below:
1 The impact of COVID-19 - Global Overview
2 How Banks Should Face the Crisis: COVID-19 Playbook
3 How to Invest in Digital Capabilities: Digital Roadmap
Data Digest #9: Vietnam Stock Market: Embracing New Normal amidst COVID!FiinGroup JSC
COVID-related impacts on the Value could be somehow predictable. In this Report, we conduct an in-depth analysis on factors determining SUPPLY in correlation with DEMAND, instead of purely analyzing corporate fundamentals like before. Under the current circumstance, factors determining DEMAND or affecting money flow and investor sentiment, in our view, are the most important and need taking into serious consideration.
We are trying to make a plenty of data-driven comparisons on impacts of different COVID waves (the first in Q1-2020 and the fourth now) to support you in having assessments on your own. Accordingly, this Report aims to give in-depth analysis and data-driven findings on which sectors or companies could be beneficiaries from the pandemic, especially once the “Embracing the Covid-19” strategy is confirmed.
Download our full report: https://bit.ly/FiinPro-Digest-9-EN
Did you know total nonfarm payroll employment fell by 701,000 in March 2020, measuring the effects of COVID-19 and efforts to contain it? Employment in leisure and hospitality fell by 459,000, mainly in food services and drinking places. Notable declines also occurred in health care and social assistance, professional and business services, retail trade, and construction.
2020 ends with a world economic contraction above 4%, the biggest GDP decrease since World War 2. Among developed nations, growth comes to a standstill after the renewal of activity in Q3 as a result of the surge in cases and the movement restrictions. Services, especially those related to the hotel and leisure industry, experience the biggest losses. On the other hand, industry is advancing at a steady rhythm as international trade is reactivated.
In the US, the perspectives appear to indicate that the economy will register positive growth in Q4 2020, in spite of the recent surge in Covid-19 cases. In this context, the Fed has improved its growth forecasts and has announced that it will maintain its stimulus policy until there are improvements in employment and inflation reaches the target levels in the medium- to long-term (most likely at the end of 2022).
In the Eurozone, where restrictions have been tighter, a new contraction in GDP in Q4 is expected. Also, the outlook for Q1 2021 indicates that economic activity will not experience any significant growth, in spite of the vaccination campaigns in place by a variety of governments in member states.
In emerging economies, although a slight recovery is expected due to the reactivation of trade and the increase in prices for raw materials, different levels of performance can be observed. China, with the spread of the virus under control, is the country with the best economic data among the main powers. Other Asian economies such as Taiwan or Vietnam forecast annual growth rates close to 2% for 2020. On the other hand, India’s economy has slumped, with a decrease of -7.4%. In South America, the lack of control caused by the pandemic has added to several structural issues that are dragging down some economies (high levels of debt and unemployment), all of which is conditioning future recovery.
Update on National Commercial Real Estate Markets
"Commercial real estate sales transactions
picked up in the fourth quarter, but full –year
transactions were 32% below last year’s level." - NAR
In a time of high uncertainty 2 sectors stood out, Apartments and Industrial Real Estate.
Economic conditions always impact demand, construction, absorption rates, availability and vacancy rates.
These are major considerations for those looking to:
- Purchase commercial property for their business
- Those looking to obtain a commercial real estate loan
- Investors looking to find stable investment assets
- Landlords trying to determine lease concessions
- Tenants decisions on lease terms and options to renew negotiations
Brazil Digital Report: a first-edition dossier on the Brazilian digital economy. A comprehensive report on trends and facts for investors, public and private institutions, entrepreneurs, executives, students, and for digital savvy people who are curious about Brazil.
https://www.brazilatsiliconvalley.com/
Brazil Digital Report - 1st Edition By McKinsey & Company and Brazil at Silic...Ana Lucia Amaral
An amazing initiative by McKinsey and Brazil at Silicon Valley: A report that presents an overview of Brazil’s economy, including its innovation, digital and entrepreneurial landscape. Source: https://www.brazilatsiliconvalley.com/brazil-digital-report
#BSV19
Brazil Digital Report - 1st Edition
A first-edition dossier on the Brazilian digital economy
April 8th, 2019
The Report
A comprehensive 191-page report on the Brazilian digital economy, including macroeconomic indicators, Internet trends, investment facts, and data on the overall entrepreneurship and innovation landscape.
The Audience
This report is intended for all those who can play a part in driving the innovation agenda in the country – entrepreneurs, investors, public and private institutions, global business leaders, as well as digital savvy people who are curious about Brazil.
The Methodology
This is a curated compilation of public information and selected proprietary McKinsey data. We aspire to revise it annually with fresh data in order to tell the ongoing story of Brazil’s digital and innovation evolution.
Acknowledgments
McKinsey thanks the support it has received from Brazil at Silicon Valley, a student-led movement that started at Stanford University and whose mission is to improve Brazil’s competitiveness and global relevance through technology and innovation.
This report provides an evidence-based overview of developments in capital markets globally leading up to the COVID-19 crisis. It then documents the impact of the crisis on the use of capital markets and the introduction of temporary corporate governance measures.
Finch Capital issued its annual State of European fintech report for 2020. The report covers a range of topics impacting the fintech industry: where we are today; the impact of CV-19; the M&A conundrum; and trends the Finch Capital team anticipates will shape FinTech in 2021. This follows an analytical report published in April of this year titled ‘FinTech: The Future Post CV-19’.
Diaporama utilisé par Vincent Juvyns, stratégiste des marchés chez JP Morgan Asset Management, lors du webinaire qu'il a animé pour le Forum financier, le 12 octobre 2020.
Economic situation summary
The uncertainty surrounding the spread of Covid 19 is significantly conditioning economic agents’ expectations for the coming years In this context, most international organizations (the IMF, OECD, World Bank and European Commission) project a contraction of GDP above 3 yearly for 2020 and warn of risks such as rising unemployment and a possible spike in inflation above 2 in some economies, and a future increase of debt as a result of the fiscal and monetary stimulus packages That said, these organizations also point out that without these expansionary measures, the economic recession would have been a lot worse.
In developed countries the gradual reactivation of the economy began in May with the easing of movement restrictions to contain the spread of the virus In the US the Fed improved its growth forecasts, envisioning a smaller decrease in GDP 3 4 yearly vs 6 5 previously), and revised its monetary policy goals with a more direct monitoring on the job creation objective In the Eurozone economic sentiment improved as the ECB continued its monetary stimulus plan, and the European Commission finalized details of a European recovery fund of 750 000 million.
In most emerging markets the spread of the virus continues to lower the expectations of economic agents, in some cases intensifying the structural risks to these economies (debt sustainability, unemployment In India and Brazil two of the countries most affected by the pandemic, GDP is forecast to contract in 2020 by 10 2 and 6 5 yearly and respectively In China the curve representing new cases seems to be under control, and economic activity has rebounded strongly in the second half of 2020 creating a V shaped recovery.
Similar to Insurance, Politics, and Economics in a Post- Pandemic World (20)
2. Elemental Economics - Mineral demand.pdfNeal Brewster
After this second you should be able to: Explain the main determinants of demand for any mineral product, and their relative importance; recognise and explain how demand for any product is likely to change with economic activity; recognise and explain the roles of technology and relative prices in influencing demand; be able to explain the differences between the rates of growth of demand for different products.
how to sell pi coins effectively (from 50 - 100k pi)DOT TECH
Anywhere in the world, including Africa, America, and Europe, you can sell Pi Network Coins online and receive cash through online payment options.
Pi has not yet been launched on any exchange because we are currently using the confined Mainnet. The planned launch date for Pi is June 28, 2026.
Reselling to investors who want to hold until the mainnet launch in 2026 is currently the sole way to sell.
Consequently, right now. All you need to do is select the right pi network provider.
Who is a pi merchant?
An individual who buys coins from miners on the pi network and resells them to investors hoping to hang onto them until the mainnet is launched is known as a pi merchant.
debuts.
I'll provide you the Telegram username
@Pi_vendor_247
What website can I sell pi coins securely.DOT TECH
Currently there are no website or exchange that allow buying or selling of pi coins..
But you can still easily sell pi coins, by reselling it to exchanges/crypto whales interested in holding thousands of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
Who is a pi merchant?
A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell to these crypto whales and holders of pi..
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale. The only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners and pi merchants stands in between the miners and the exchanges.
How can I sell my pi coins?
Selling pi coins is really easy, but first you need to migrate to mainnet wallet before you can do that. I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi merchant to trade with.
Tele-gram.
@Pi_vendor_247
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.DOT TECH
Well as we all know pi isn't launched yet. But you can still sell your pi coins effortlessly because some whales in China are interested in holding massive pi coins. And they are willing to pay good money for it. If you are interested in selling I will leave a contact for you. Just telegram this number below. I sold about 3000 pi coins to him and he paid me immediately.
Telegram: @Pi_vendor_247
What price will pi network be listed on exchangesDOT TECH
The rate at which pi will be listed is practically unknown. But due to speculations surrounding it the predicted rate is tends to be from 30$ — 50$.
So if you are interested in selling your pi network coins at a high rate tho. Or you can't wait till the mainnet launch in 2026. You can easily trade your pi coins with a merchant.
A merchant is someone who buys pi coins from miners and resell them to Investors looking forward to hold massive quantities till mainnet launch.
I will leave the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor to trade with.
@Pi_vendor_247
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.DOT TECH
There is no set date for when Pi coins will enter the market.
However, the developers are working hard to get them released as soon as possible.
Once they are available, users will be able to exchange other cryptocurrencies for Pi coins on designated exchanges.
But for now the only way to sell your pi coins is through verified pi vendor.
Here is the telegram contact of my personal pi vendor
@Pi_vendor_247
1. Elemental Economics - Introduction to mining.pdfNeal Brewster
After this first you should: Understand the nature of mining; have an awareness of the industry’s boundaries, corporate structure and size; appreciation the complex motivations and objectives of the industries’ various participants; know how mineral reserves are defined and estimated, and how they evolve over time.
how to sell pi coins in South Korea profitably.DOT TECH
Yes. You can sell your pi network coins in South Korea or any other country, by finding a verified pi merchant
What is a verified pi merchant?
Since pi network is not launched yet on any exchange, the only way you can sell pi coins is by selling to a verified pi merchant, and this is because pi network is not launched yet on any exchange and no pre-sale or ico offerings Is done on pi.
Since there is no pre-sale, the only way exchanges can get pi is by buying from miners. So a pi merchant facilitates these transactions by acting as a bridge for both transactions.
How can i find a pi vendor/merchant?
Well for those who haven't traded with a pi merchant or who don't already have one. I will leave the telegram id of my personal pi merchant who i trade pi with.
Tele gram: @Pi_vendor_247
#pi #sell #nigeria #pinetwork #picoins #sellpi #Nigerian #tradepi #pinetworkcoins #sellmypi
Falcon stands out as a top-tier P2P Invoice Discounting platform in India, bridging esteemed blue-chip companies and eager investors. Our goal is to transform the investment landscape in India by establishing a comprehensive destination for borrowers and investors with diverse profiles and needs, all while minimizing risk. What sets Falcon apart is the elimination of intermediaries such as commercial banks and depository institutions, allowing investors to enjoy higher yields.
how can I sell pi coins after successfully completing KYCDOT TECH
Pi coins is not launched yet in any exchange 💱 this means it's not swappable, the current pi displaying on coin market cap is the iou version of pi. And you can learn all about that on my previous post.
RIGHT NOW THE ONLY WAY you can sell pi coins is through verified pi merchants. A pi merchant is someone who buys pi coins and resell them to exchanges and crypto whales. Looking forward to hold massive quantities of pi coins before the mainnet launch.
This is because pi network is not doing any pre-sale or ico offerings, the only way to get my coins is from buying from miners. So a merchant facilitates the transactions between the miners and these exchanges holding pi.
I and my friends has sold more than 6000 pi coins successfully with this method. I will be happy to share the contact of my personal pi merchant. The one i trade with, if you have your own merchant you can trade with them. For those who are new.
Message: @Pi_vendor_247 on telegram.
I wouldn't advise you selling all percentage of the pi coins. Leave at least a before so its a win win during open mainnet. Have a nice day pioneers ♥️
#kyc #mainnet #picoins #pi #sellpi #piwallet
#pinetwork
How to get verified on Coinbase Account?_.docxBuy bitget
t's important to note that buying verified Coinbase accounts is not recommended and may violate Coinbase's terms of service. Instead of searching to "buy verified Coinbase accounts," follow the proper steps to verify your own account to ensure compliance and security.
Insurance, Politics, and Economics in a Post- Pandemic World
1. Insurance, Politics, and Economics in a Post-
Pandemic World
Insurance Information Institute w 110 William Street w New York, NY 10038
michell@iii.org w 646.498.9607 w www.iii.org
Prepared for NAMIC’s 2021 Commercial and Personal Lines Seminar | Chicago, July 21, 2021
Dr. Michel Leonard, CBE, Senior Economist and Vice President
2. Triple-I and Its Mission
2
A world with MORE insurance
We are the trusted source of unique,
data-driven insights on insurance…
……to inform and empower
consumers.
2
3. Insurance & Economic Leadership
1AM Best and FDIC; 2PC 360, Insurance Industry Crisis; 3U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis, 2020; 4U.S. Department of Commerce, 2020; 5Federal Reserve, 2019; 62011–2014,
Insurance Industry Charitable Foundation – amount donated so far to fight Covid-19.
$630B 3.0%
US GDP3
Premium Taxes Paid4 $23.6B
Muni Bond Investment5 $500B
Charity/Volunteerism6 $280M
2.8M Employed
Need to Fill
400K+ by 20222
2010
Bank Failures: 157
Insurance Impairments1: 4
Policyholder Surplus:
~$914B
Economic Growth
Promoter/Facilitator
Strong Jobs Pool/
Provider
Sustainable
Business Model
End
Q4/20
3
5. Economic Outlook and Recovery: Two Competing Views
The Market View
Exponential growth in 2021 and slower growth in 2022
The Fed View
Some growth in 2021 and continued growth in 2022
The Fed View: Better for the Insurance Industry
5
6. The Fed: All About Employment
Q1: 6.3% (BLS)
Aug: 6% (BLS)
Fed Goal: 4-5%
6
7. Markets: All About Inflation
Markets: Could reach as high as 8% in 2021
Fed: Currently forecasted to reach 2.4% by year end
7
8. Inflation Trends & Forecasts
Awaiting Q2
results to revise
our forecast.
Likely accelerating
price increases.
Fed raising forecast from
1.7% to 2.4%.
Inflation remains
“transitionary.”
8
9. Runaway Inflation: The Meaning of “Transitionary”
All inflation is local: significant differences across categories
YoY Change (%) Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun
Poultry 6.1 4.8 4.4 0.7 0.4 1.2
Housing 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.6 2.9 3.1
Lumber 57.4 59.8 65.3 89.7 114.3 97.5
Motor Vehicles Parts 1.0 1.6 1.6 2.3 2.4 2.1
9
10. GDP Outlook and Forecasts BEA raised GDP
forecast from 3.3% to
5.0%
Awaiting Q2 results
to revise our
forecast.
Likely accelerating
price increases.
GDP Growth’s Math: 0% < 3%: Back to Q4 2019 Output
3% < 5%: Back to Q4 2020 Output estimates pre-COVID
5% < 7%: Back to Q2 2021 Output estimates pre-COVID
7% < : Real above 5-year average 2021 growth
10
11. “Don’t Fight the Fed”
Central banks allowing inflation above interest rates is a tacit admission that
the only way for governments and individuals to meet the debt burden is
through inflation.
This is about managed debt deflation – with central banks aiming to
redistribute the historical wealth transition from Baby Boomers to Millennials
to reduce the debt burden to sustainable levels.
11
14. COVID-19 and Variants Threat to Recovery
Continued COVID-19 increases abroad pose ongoing risks to supply chains – especially for
those commodities and products causing “transitionary” inflation
14
26. Agency Mergers & Acquisitions, 2018 – 2020
Sources: Independent Insurance Agents of America (Big I), 2020 Agency Universe Report.
50%
28%
27%
15%
9%
5%
12%
33%
30%
21%
13%
4%
3%
10%
Jumbo
Large
Medium-
Large
Medium
Medium-
Small
Small
Total
24%
12%
9%
3%
4%
2%
4%
19%
9%
6%
10%
3%
3%
5%
55%
41%
39%
29%
29%
26%
29%
39%
48%
32%
35%
31%
33%
31% 2020
2018
One in ten agencies have been involved in acquisitions or mergers within the past two
years. M&A activity is widespread among medium-large, large and jumbo agencies.
Done In Past Two Years Currently in Process Planning for Next Two Years
26
28. Industry Outlook
Data sources: NAIC data sourced through S&P Global Market Intelligence, MarketScout, Blue Chip Economic Indicators, Congressional Budget Office, PCS, Aon, Munich Re, Energy
Information Agency, FRED (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis).
Analysis: Insurance Information Institute, Milliman.
99% 99%
99% 99%
2%
6% 6%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
94%
96%
98%
100%
102%
104%
106%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 E 2021 F 2022 F
Premium
Growth
Combined
Ratio
Combined Ratio DWP Growth NWP Growth
7.1%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
2004:Q2
2005:Q1
2005:Q4
2006:Q3
2007:Q2
2008:Q1
2008:Q4
2009:Q3
2010:Q2
2011:Q1
2011:Q4
2012:Q3
2013:Q2
2014:Q1
2014:Q4
2015:Q3
2016:Q2
2017:Q1
2017:Q4
2018:Q3
2019:Q2
2020:Q1
2020:Q4
%
Chg
from
Yr
Prior
-2.3%
6.0%
5.4%
-3%
0%
3%
6%
9%
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020E
2021F
2022F
%
Chg
from
Yr
Prior
2021 Commentary
Healthy premium growth this year thanks to recovery and hard market
• Interest rates will tighten though slowly, pressuring rates
and the need for underwriting profits.
• Uncertainty from COVID will continue to put pressure on rates.
• This assumes average year for cats (but won’t be!)
Commercial Lines Rate Change
Growth in Nominal GDP (Real GDP + Inflation)
Calendar Year Written Premium and Net Combined Ratio Projections
28
33. Personal Auto
99%
92%
100% 100%
-1%
5%
4%
-2%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
85%
90%
95%
100%
105%
110%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 E 2021 F 2022 F
Premium
Growth
Combined
Ratio
Combined Ratio DWP Growth NWP Growth
YTD Vehicle Miles Traveled Through December
Total Vehicle Sales
Calendar Year Written Premium and Net Combined Ratio Projections
-4%
-40%
-30%
-20%
-10%
0%
10%
2015:Q1
2015:Q2
2015:Q3
2015:Q4
2016:Q1
2016:Q2
2016:Q3
2016:Q4
2017:Q1
2017:Q2
2017:Q3
2017:Q4
2018:Q1
2018:Q2
2018:Q3
2018:Q4
2019:Q1
2019:Q2
2019:Q3
2019:Q4
2020:Q1
2020:Q2
2020:Q3
2020:Q4
%
Chg
from
Yr
Prior
13%
-15%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020
%
Chg
from
Yr
Prior
Data sources: NAIC data sourced through S&P Global Market Intelligence, MarketScout, Blue Chip Economic Indicators, Congressional Budget Office, PCS, Aon, Munich Re, Energy
Information Agency, FRED (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis).
Analysis: Insurance Information Institute, Milliman.
2020/2021 Commentary
• Excellent 2020 results from changes in driving patterns.
• Premium growth and underwriting results will return to normal.
Watch for: Interest remains high in telematics; will post-
pandemic stay-at-homes drive more near home?
33
34. Trucks and Cars Getting More Expensive
But BEA reporting that prices are up only 2.4%!
34
35. While Repair Costs Increase Even More
But BEA reporting that prices are up only 2.1%!
35
36. Workers’ Compensation
89%
94% 93% 94%
-9%
3% 3%
-10%
-5%
0%
5%
10%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 E 2021 F 2022 F
Premium
Growth
Combined
Ratio
Combined Ratio DWP Growth NWP Growth
-9.7%
-12%
-9%
-6%
-3%
0%
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
%
Chg
from
Yr
Prior
1.35%
-6%
-3%
0%
3%
6%
2016:Q1
2016:Q2
2016:Q3
2016:Q4
2017:Q1
2017:Q2
2017:Q3
2017:Q4
2018:Q1
2018:Q2
2018:Q3
2018:Q4
2019:Q1
2019:Q2
2019:Q3
2019:Q4
2020:Q1
2020:Q2
2020:Q3
2020:Q4
%
Chg
from
Yr
Prior
Data sources: NAIC data sourced through S&P Global Market Intelligence, MarketScout, Blue Chip Economic Indicators, Congressional Budget Office, PCS, Aon, Munich Re, Energy
Information Agency, FRED (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis).
Analysis: Insurance Information Institute, Milliman.
2020/2021 Commentary
• Through Q4, 2020 results were similar to 2019.
• WC exposures usually recover from recession more slowly than other lines.
• Exposures further depressed by the stay-at-homes who stay at home post
pandemic.
Watch for:
Expansion of presumptive claims; long-haul COVID cases. How will the
variant coronavirus affect the return to work?
Rate Changes
Employee Compensation
Calendar Year Written Premium and Net Combined Ratio Projections
36
37. U.S. Cyber Liability Insurance Renewal Rate
Source: Marsh, Global Insurance Market Index, May 2021
Cyber rates up 35% in Q1 2021, double the increase in Q4 2020 and largest increase since 2015.
! Not not all cyber
risks are insurable by
the private sector !
37
41. Insurers’ ESG Focus At A Glance
Driving Resilience Giving Back Sharing Insights
y From “recovery and repair” to “predict
and prevent”
y Risk partners and financial first
responders for families, businesses,
and communities
y Sophisticated hazard modeling and
data-driven loss control support
informed risk taking
COVID:
y U.S. auto insurers returned over $14
billion to customers in response to
reduced driving during COVID-19
pandemic
y Insurers have pledged more than
$280 million in donations to
organizations fighting the pandemic
Nonprofits driving understanding of
insurance for diverse audiences:
y Griffith Foundation
y Insurance Information Institute
y Insurance Institute for Business and
Home Safety
y Insurance Research Council
y National Association of Insurance
Commissioners
y Society of Insurance Research
41
42. How Insurance Drives Economic Growth
Safety/
Security
Insurers are
financial first
responders
Economic/
Financial Stability
Development
Insurers
are risk
mitigators
Insurers
are capital
protectors
Insurers
are credit
facilitators
Insurance
sustains the
supply chain
Insurance
is a partner in
social policy
Insurers
are capital
infusers
Insurers are
community
builders
Insurance
enables
infrastructure
improvements
Insurers are
innovation
catalysts
1
2
3
5
4
6
7
9
8
10
42
45. COVID-19 Market Challenge An Industry Campaign
y The Future of American Insurance & Reinsurance
(FAIR) campaign launched in May and has served as a
source of education surrounding pivotal industry activity,
including Congressional hearings, White House
roundtables, state legislation, and media stories.
y With a separate website, valuable explanatory assets,
stakeholder outreach, and digital promotions, this
integrated campaign provides the Triple-I with a
separate platform and voice to present information in a
digestible, influential manner to key audiences.
y The campaign takes on overarching industry issues (i.e.
business interruption) and emphasizes its essential role
in supporting and rebuilding communities in these
uncertain times.
www.fairinsure.org
45
46. A better place: FAIR guiding principles:
A defined perspective on potential policy solutions
Proposed solutions must:
y Maintain the federal government as a primary provider of relief, reflecting the reality that pandemic risks
are not privately insurable.
y Provide widely accessible relief payments to businesses in a fast and efficient manner once a pandemic is
declared by the government, with minimal chance of abuse.
y Protect businesses from losses, and incentivize businesses to retain employees, without jeopardizing
insurers' existing commitments.
Given their universal scope, pandemics are largely uninsurable. Therefore, only the
government has the financial capacity to provide the relief small and large businesses
need to weather this crisis.
46
47. Policy wording: Insurers minimized risk
Insurers understood threat of pandemics well before most
Who Is Suing?
Insurer Defenses
Cumulative Filings
1542
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
23-Mar
6-Apr
20-Apr
4-May
18-May
1-Jun
15-Jun
29-Jun
13-Jul
27-Jul
10-Aug
24-Aug
7-Sep
21-Sep
5-Oct
19-Oct
2-Nov
16-Nov
30-Nov
14-Dec
28-Dec
11-Jan
25-Jan
8-Feb
22-Feb
Industry
“Pressure Point”
89
95
197
564
0 100 200 300 400 500 600
Accommodation
Personal & Laundry
Ambulatory Health Care
Food & Drinking Places
y No physical damage
y Exclusion for loss due to virus or bacteria
(2006)
Source: COVID Coverage Litigation Tracker, cclt.law.upenn.edu
47
48. FAIR Campaign Educated Media and Created Positive
Media Coverage for Insurers
Source: Meltwater.
• Through education and outreach to reporters, FAIR has been able to better contain spikes in negative coverage on
pandemic-related business interruption lawsuits
• FAIR campaign also prompted a steady stream of content highlighting favorable court rulings for insurers and
advocating for government-led solutions to pandemic insurance
• Given the decrease in BI coverage volume, FAIR will transition to other emerging industry issues in 2021
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,500
7/23-
7/29
9/10-
9/16
8/6-
8/12
7/30
-8/5
8/27
-9/2
8/13-
8/19
8/20-
8/26
9/3-
9/9
9/17-
9/23
9/24-
9/30
10/1-
10/7
10/8-
10/14
10/15-
10/21
10/22-
10/28
10/29
-11/4
11/5-
11/11
11/12-
11/18
12/3-
12/9
11/19-
11/25
11/26
-12/2
12/10-
12/16
Number Of Stories
BI Lawsuit Coverage Referencing
States With Favorable Rulings
BI Lawsuit Coverage Overall
48
50. 50
50
Drive behavioral change to help people
and communities better manage risk and
become more resilient
Objective
Create a resilience movement giving
households and communities a stake in risk
mitigation
Educate and empower stakeholders about
protection gaps and their impact on their
recovery
Fast-track the use of cost-effective tools to
drive risk mitigation, transfer and retention
Strategies
50
51. 41
38
80
111
51
24
67
1980s:$5 B
1990s: $15 B
2000s: $25 B 2010s: $35 B
$0
$10
$20
$30
$40
$50
$60
$70
$80
$90
$100
$110
80 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 00 02 04 06 08 10 12 14 16 18 20
$
Billions,
2019
Average for Decade
Hurricane
Andrew
Harvey, Irma, Maria
Insured Cat Losses Are Increasing At An Alarming Rate –Nearly 700% Since 80’s
WTC
Katrina, Rita, Wilma
Inflation-Adjusted Insured Cat Losses
51
52. GDP and Population Adjusted Insured Cat Losses
Average multipliers: From Inflation at 2.6 times to GDP growth at 7.7 times original loss!
Insured Property
Loss ($ in
Year Name States Impacted Year of Storm Multiple
Inflation
(Country) Multiple
GDP
(States) Multiple
Population
(States)
1965 Hurricane Betsy FL, LA, MS, AL, AR, TN, KY, IL 525 8.2 4,322 40 21,000 2.0 1,050
1979 Hurricane Frederic FL, AL, MS, TN, KY, OH, PA, NY, NH, VT, ME, NJ, MA
800 3.4 2,728 8.0 6,400 1.0 800
1992 Hurricane Andrew FL, LA 15,670 1.8 28,877 4.0 62,680 1.0 15,670
2001 Tropical Storm Allison LA, TX, MS, NC, SC, GA 3,650 1.5 5,395 2.0 7,300 1.0 3,650
2005 Hurricane Katrina AL, FL, GA, LA, MS, TN 65,000 1.3 86,042 2.0 130,000 1.0 65,000
2017 Hurricane Harvey TX, LA, MS, AL, FL, TN 30,000 1.1 31,755 1.0 30,000 1.0 30,000
2017 Hurricane Irma FL, GA, SC, NC, GA, AL, TN 19,500 1.1 20,641 1.0 19,500 1.0 19,500
2020 Hurricane Laura TX, LA, AR, MO, IL, KY, IN 18,200 1.0 18,247 1.0 18,200 1.0 18,200
U.S. Named Storms 1963 to 2020 Insured Property Loss: Adjusted to 2020 ($ in Millions)
52