The annual survey of junior mining and exploration companies found the following:
1) Funding remains the most significant constraint for junior mining companies, as lack of accessible funding has hampered growth for many companies.
2) Competition for capital is intense, with many companies planning fundraisings and low cash balances. There are few signs of improved investor interest.
3) Junior miners are searching more globally than ever for investors to expand their potential pool of capital.
4) Business failures, consolidations and exits are expected to increase over the next two years due to low investor interest and lack of funding.
The PEO Industry in Transition, by Benjamin Gordon, BGSA CEOBenjamin Gordon
The PEO industry is consolidating as larger firms acquire smaller competitors. This document outlines the history and current state of the PEO industry in 4 phases:
1) Rapid growth in the 1990s as the industry enjoyed over 20% growth and several firms went public.
2) Sudden decline from 2000-2003 as the dot-com bust, 9/11, and an insurance crisis led to half of PEOs going out of business.
3) Maturation from 2004-present as recovery led to more stable growth, with industry leaders seeing share price increases of 500-1200%.
4) Consolidation is the current phase, as larger private equity backed firms acquire competitors to gain scale
The document summarizes key macro trends impacting the Australian legal market in 2016 and beyond. It finds that the pace of change is increasing for growth of digital technologies, growth of boutique/specialist firms, growth of new law models, and supply of legal graduates. Meanwhile, the pace is slowing for the entry of global firms into Australia and shifting of work in-house. Overall, the legal market faces challenges from increased competition and disruption driven by new technologies and business models.
This document provides an analysis of the Canadian asset management industry. It finds that the industry has matured but remains very profitable, with expected annual growth of around 8% driven by market performance of 6% and net sales of 2%. While industry consolidation has increased competition, the top 10 managers still control around 80% of retail assets under management. Banks have gained the most market share this decade. The document also examines trends like growth in balanced funds and segregated products, reflecting a reduced appetite for risk among retail investors. It provides ratings and price targets for several asset managers.
Raising external capital to drive NOC transformationEY
The coming years will be defining for NOCs as they fully embrace the need to embark on capital transformation. New capital can provide the catalyst to return the country’s finances to an equilibrium and act as an engine to drive greater economic diversity.
With momentum building towards the UN Climate Change Conference in Peru, new figures from IBR reveal that businesses leaders in emerging markets are more focused on the sustainability of their operations compared with peers in developed markets. In this short report Nathan Goode, global leader for energy & cleantech, calls for a change in the narrative around sustainability arguing that we need to start talking in language that resonates with businesses.
The document summarizes predictions from the National Venture Capital Association (NVCA) about the venture capital industry in 2005. Key points include:
- Venture capitalists will have fresh funds to invest in early stage companies, focusing on seed, startup, and early stage deals seeking breakthrough innovations. Competition for funding will remain fierce.
- Fundraising will continue strongly as demand persists for participation in the venture capital asset class. Limited partners will compete for spots in top performing funds.
- Technology, especially software and life sciences, will remain cornerstones of venture investing. Emerging areas like energy and clean tech may see more investment. Exits markets are expected to continue improving.
The fund invests in IPO securities listed in Greater China, Singapore, or the US that derive revenue from Greater China or Singapore. Over the past 2 years, the fund achieved a return of 138.39%, outperforming its benchmark by 42.07%. The manager uses quantitative and qualitative criteria to determine investments with a focus on IPOs that offer growth potential.
The PEO Industry in Transition, by Benjamin Gordon, BGSA CEOBenjamin Gordon
The PEO industry is consolidating as larger firms acquire smaller competitors. This document outlines the history and current state of the PEO industry in 4 phases:
1) Rapid growth in the 1990s as the industry enjoyed over 20% growth and several firms went public.
2) Sudden decline from 2000-2003 as the dot-com bust, 9/11, and an insurance crisis led to half of PEOs going out of business.
3) Maturation from 2004-present as recovery led to more stable growth, with industry leaders seeing share price increases of 500-1200%.
4) Consolidation is the current phase, as larger private equity backed firms acquire competitors to gain scale
The document summarizes key macro trends impacting the Australian legal market in 2016 and beyond. It finds that the pace of change is increasing for growth of digital technologies, growth of boutique/specialist firms, growth of new law models, and supply of legal graduates. Meanwhile, the pace is slowing for the entry of global firms into Australia and shifting of work in-house. Overall, the legal market faces challenges from increased competition and disruption driven by new technologies and business models.
This document provides an analysis of the Canadian asset management industry. It finds that the industry has matured but remains very profitable, with expected annual growth of around 8% driven by market performance of 6% and net sales of 2%. While industry consolidation has increased competition, the top 10 managers still control around 80% of retail assets under management. Banks have gained the most market share this decade. The document also examines trends like growth in balanced funds and segregated products, reflecting a reduced appetite for risk among retail investors. It provides ratings and price targets for several asset managers.
Raising external capital to drive NOC transformationEY
The coming years will be defining for NOCs as they fully embrace the need to embark on capital transformation. New capital can provide the catalyst to return the country’s finances to an equilibrium and act as an engine to drive greater economic diversity.
With momentum building towards the UN Climate Change Conference in Peru, new figures from IBR reveal that businesses leaders in emerging markets are more focused on the sustainability of their operations compared with peers in developed markets. In this short report Nathan Goode, global leader for energy & cleantech, calls for a change in the narrative around sustainability arguing that we need to start talking in language that resonates with businesses.
The document summarizes predictions from the National Venture Capital Association (NVCA) about the venture capital industry in 2005. Key points include:
- Venture capitalists will have fresh funds to invest in early stage companies, focusing on seed, startup, and early stage deals seeking breakthrough innovations. Competition for funding will remain fierce.
- Fundraising will continue strongly as demand persists for participation in the venture capital asset class. Limited partners will compete for spots in top performing funds.
- Technology, especially software and life sciences, will remain cornerstones of venture investing. Emerging areas like energy and clean tech may see more investment. Exits markets are expected to continue improving.
The fund invests in IPO securities listed in Greater China, Singapore, or the US that derive revenue from Greater China or Singapore. Over the past 2 years, the fund achieved a return of 138.39%, outperforming its benchmark by 42.07%. The manager uses quantitative and qualitative criteria to determine investments with a focus on IPOs that offer growth potential.
Mature food companies need to use aggressive cost reduction, portfolio simplification, and substantially new approaches to growth to deliver competitive returns.
This is the first edition of the Deloitte Outlook for oilfield services. The forward-looking report is based on in-depth interviews with 12 executives of oilfield services companies. Its purpose is to obtain companies’ views of their current business environment and where they think the market is heading, both in the short and long term.
Report: The Crude Downturn for E&Ps: One Situation, Diverse ResponsesMarcellus Drilling News
The document discusses how exploration and production companies have responded to low oil prices over the past 15-18 months. It analyzes five options companies have taken: filing for bankruptcy, borrowing more money, making acquisitions, adjusting financials, and optimizing operations. 35 US E&P companies filed for bankruptcy protection, with total debt of under $18 billion. Many companies also took on more debt, with 175 worldwide E&Ps considered "high risk" due to high leverage and low debt coverage. Some companies made acquisitions to gain assets and scale, though about half of these companies did not have the financial capacity for risk.
The document discusses how exploration and production companies have responded to low oil prices over the past 15-18 months. It analyzes five options companies have taken: filing for bankruptcy, borrowing more money, making acquisitions, adjusting financials like cutting costs, and optimizing operations. 35 US E&P companies filed for bankruptcy protection, totaling $18 billion in debt. Many companies significantly increased borrowing but nearly 175 global E&P companies, with over $150 billion in total debt, are considered high risk due to high leverage and low cash flow coverage. Some companies made acquisitions to gain assets and scale, though about half lacked the financial strength for risk.
The U.S. banking industry is overdue for consolidation as market structure is obsolete and profitability has been weak for a decade. Regulatory pressures and competition are making it hard for most banks to grow revenues and profits. Mid-tier banks with $10-250 billion in assets are expected to see significant consolidation through M&A to gain scale and lower costs. Consolidation can yield 30-35% cost savings by shedding excess capacity, spreading fixed costs over a larger base, and investing in digital capabilities. $600 billion in M&A among mid-tier banks is estimated to boost sector returns enough to reach banks' cost of capital.
Our global capabilities: financial servicesGrant Thornton
Grant Thornton provides audit, tax, and advisory services to financial institutions globally. It has over $300 million in combined global revenues from financial services. The document discusses challenges facing the financial services industry such as increased regulation, competition, and need for transparency. It also outlines Grant Thornton's solutions to help clients address issues like regulatory compliance, risk management, growth strategies, and data management.
This document provides a summary of the paper "It Ain't Broke: The Past, Present, and Future of Venture Capital" by Steven N. Kaplan and Josh Lerner. The paper presents a history of the US venture capital industry, discusses its current state, and makes predictions about its future. It finds that the US VC model has been very successful in funding many high-growth companies and IPOs. Historically, VC investments have remained a consistent small percentage of the total stock market value. The paper also finds that returns on VC funds this decade have not been unusually low compared to stock market returns overall, despite a decline in IPOs. It predicts that future returns on recent VC funds may be
- The document provides an investment outlook and strategy for 2022, discussing themes of survival, sustainability, and the changing global order.
- It suggests 2022 may see a continuation of 2021 trends but different outcomes for investors as central banks withdraw support. Moderate returns should be expected.
- The new normal may include continued remote working, ESG as standard practice, and electric vehicles, while lower growth, rates, and inflation become accepted.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the IDFC Emerging Businesses Fund, a small cap equity fund. It discusses 4 reasons to invest in small caps now: 1) small caps are the most beaten down segment currently, 2) small caps show emerging signs of value compared to large caps, 3) shrinking trading volumes indicate the market may be nearing bottom. It also outlines 4 reasons to invest in small caps generally: exposure to niche opportunities, potential for future large caps, ability to select from a broad range, and potential for alpha from active management. The document reviews the fund's current positioning and top sectors.
Our global capabilities: Energy and CleantechGrant Thornton
The document discusses Grant Thornton's global capabilities in the energy and cleantech sector. It summarizes that Grant Thornton has specialists around the world who help clients commercialize renewable technologies, understand industry trends, access investment, and reduce energy demand through efficiency programs. The specialists leverage Grant Thornton's global network and relationships to provide strategic advice tailored to clients' needs.
Estudo sobre as 900 maiores empresas familiares do mundo - Credit Suisse 17 de jul 2015
O Credit Suisse lançou em julho/2015 um estudo sobre as 900 maiores empresas familiares do mundo. Vale a pena conferir as maiores por região e também os inúmeros casos como por exemplo o Wall Mart.
Thought leadership from Credit Suisse Research
and the world’s foremost experts
ASML Holding NV is rated a buy based on its revenue growth, reasonable debt levels, growth in earnings per share, increased net income, and strong cash flow. The company's revenue grew 28.6% compared to a industry average of 12.9%. It has a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14 and high liquidity. Earnings per share increased 49.1% in the last quarter and the company has demonstrated consistent earnings growth. The recommendation is driven by these financial strengths which outweigh the stock's lackluster performance.
Practical Government Policies to address Growth in the SME Sector -Jamaica St...Audley Shaw
This document outlines Audley Shaw's presentation on government policies to address growth in small and medium businesses. It discusses Jamaica's challenging investment climate, including high interest rates, taxes, and costs of doing business. It calls for clarity on tax incentives and special initiatives to support small businesses, such as lowering taxes and fees, continuing incentives for the Junior Stock Exchange, and establishing receivables-backed financing for more access to credit. The presentation analyzes factors that have hindered strong economic growth in Jamaica over the past decades.
Aligning operating models and strategic prioritiesEY
EY Wealth & Asset Management’s comparison of globally integrated and multi-boutique operating models can help firms determine what’s more important: synergy or autonomy.
The decision to go public from an emerging market the ghanaian caseAlexander Decker
This document discusses research on the factors that influence a firm's decision to undertake an initial public offering (IPO) on the Ghana Stock Exchange. It first provides background on private sector financing challenges in Ghana and the role of the stock exchange. A literature review covers theoretical factors that could motivate an IPO, such as the need to raise capital, enhance firm value, and signal private information. The document then outlines some costs and benefits of going public. The research aims to identify which factors most influence IPO decisions for Ghanaian firms and how firm performance is impacted post-IPO. The methodology section indicates the study obtains data on both firms that conducted IPOs and non-IPO firms.
The document discusses research from the Enterprise Research Centre (ERC) on small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the UK. The ERC aims to understand what drives SME productivity and growth to support the UK economy. The research identified three types of firms - those that fail fast, sustain with modest growth, and sustain long-term with strong growth. It also found that leadership and management skills influence SME adoption of best practices and shape business performance. The Goldman Sachs 10,000 Small Businesses programme was shown to increase participating businesses' growth by 10-25% compared to non-participants.
This document discusses the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). It provides information about what the OECD is, lists the top OECD countries, and discusses why those countries are top in terms of higher education levels, openness to immigration, and economic growth and trade. The document also discusses corporate tax rates among OECD countries and why companies should consider doing business with OECD countries to access global markets and growth opportunities. It identifies characteristics companies should evaluate in potential OECD business partners like laws/regulations, culture/skills, and access to finance, markets, research, and technology.
EY India Attractiveness Survey 2015 – Top Reasons to Invest to Invest in India EY
Investors see India speeding up pace towards becoming world's top destinations for manufacturing. Check out this detailed infographic on what’s activating growth in India.
This document is a resume for Jijeesh KR, who has experience developing machine vision and image processing applications using Python and related technologies. He has over 5 years of experience in this field, currently working at Castalia Research Labs developing customized automation and vision systems. He has a M.Tech in remote sensing and wireless sensor networks from Amrita University and a B.Tech in electronics and communication engineering from Calicut University.
Mature food companies need to use aggressive cost reduction, portfolio simplification, and substantially new approaches to growth to deliver competitive returns.
This is the first edition of the Deloitte Outlook for oilfield services. The forward-looking report is based on in-depth interviews with 12 executives of oilfield services companies. Its purpose is to obtain companies’ views of their current business environment and where they think the market is heading, both in the short and long term.
Report: The Crude Downturn for E&Ps: One Situation, Diverse ResponsesMarcellus Drilling News
The document discusses how exploration and production companies have responded to low oil prices over the past 15-18 months. It analyzes five options companies have taken: filing for bankruptcy, borrowing more money, making acquisitions, adjusting financials, and optimizing operations. 35 US E&P companies filed for bankruptcy protection, with total debt of under $18 billion. Many companies also took on more debt, with 175 worldwide E&Ps considered "high risk" due to high leverage and low debt coverage. Some companies made acquisitions to gain assets and scale, though about half of these companies did not have the financial capacity for risk.
The document discusses how exploration and production companies have responded to low oil prices over the past 15-18 months. It analyzes five options companies have taken: filing for bankruptcy, borrowing more money, making acquisitions, adjusting financials like cutting costs, and optimizing operations. 35 US E&P companies filed for bankruptcy protection, totaling $18 billion in debt. Many companies significantly increased borrowing but nearly 175 global E&P companies, with over $150 billion in total debt, are considered high risk due to high leverage and low cash flow coverage. Some companies made acquisitions to gain assets and scale, though about half lacked the financial strength for risk.
The U.S. banking industry is overdue for consolidation as market structure is obsolete and profitability has been weak for a decade. Regulatory pressures and competition are making it hard for most banks to grow revenues and profits. Mid-tier banks with $10-250 billion in assets are expected to see significant consolidation through M&A to gain scale and lower costs. Consolidation can yield 30-35% cost savings by shedding excess capacity, spreading fixed costs over a larger base, and investing in digital capabilities. $600 billion in M&A among mid-tier banks is estimated to boost sector returns enough to reach banks' cost of capital.
Our global capabilities: financial servicesGrant Thornton
Grant Thornton provides audit, tax, and advisory services to financial institutions globally. It has over $300 million in combined global revenues from financial services. The document discusses challenges facing the financial services industry such as increased regulation, competition, and need for transparency. It also outlines Grant Thornton's solutions to help clients address issues like regulatory compliance, risk management, growth strategies, and data management.
This document provides a summary of the paper "It Ain't Broke: The Past, Present, and Future of Venture Capital" by Steven N. Kaplan and Josh Lerner. The paper presents a history of the US venture capital industry, discusses its current state, and makes predictions about its future. It finds that the US VC model has been very successful in funding many high-growth companies and IPOs. Historically, VC investments have remained a consistent small percentage of the total stock market value. The paper also finds that returns on VC funds this decade have not been unusually low compared to stock market returns overall, despite a decline in IPOs. It predicts that future returns on recent VC funds may be
- The document provides an investment outlook and strategy for 2022, discussing themes of survival, sustainability, and the changing global order.
- It suggests 2022 may see a continuation of 2021 trends but different outcomes for investors as central banks withdraw support. Moderate returns should be expected.
- The new normal may include continued remote working, ESG as standard practice, and electric vehicles, while lower growth, rates, and inflation become accepted.
This document provides an overview and analysis of the IDFC Emerging Businesses Fund, a small cap equity fund. It discusses 4 reasons to invest in small caps now: 1) small caps are the most beaten down segment currently, 2) small caps show emerging signs of value compared to large caps, 3) shrinking trading volumes indicate the market may be nearing bottom. It also outlines 4 reasons to invest in small caps generally: exposure to niche opportunities, potential for future large caps, ability to select from a broad range, and potential for alpha from active management. The document reviews the fund's current positioning and top sectors.
Our global capabilities: Energy and CleantechGrant Thornton
The document discusses Grant Thornton's global capabilities in the energy and cleantech sector. It summarizes that Grant Thornton has specialists around the world who help clients commercialize renewable technologies, understand industry trends, access investment, and reduce energy demand through efficiency programs. The specialists leverage Grant Thornton's global network and relationships to provide strategic advice tailored to clients' needs.
Estudo sobre as 900 maiores empresas familiares do mundo - Credit Suisse 17 de jul 2015
O Credit Suisse lançou em julho/2015 um estudo sobre as 900 maiores empresas familiares do mundo. Vale a pena conferir as maiores por região e também os inúmeros casos como por exemplo o Wall Mart.
Thought leadership from Credit Suisse Research
and the world’s foremost experts
ASML Holding NV is rated a buy based on its revenue growth, reasonable debt levels, growth in earnings per share, increased net income, and strong cash flow. The company's revenue grew 28.6% compared to a industry average of 12.9%. It has a low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.14 and high liquidity. Earnings per share increased 49.1% in the last quarter and the company has demonstrated consistent earnings growth. The recommendation is driven by these financial strengths which outweigh the stock's lackluster performance.
Practical Government Policies to address Growth in the SME Sector -Jamaica St...Audley Shaw
This document outlines Audley Shaw's presentation on government policies to address growth in small and medium businesses. It discusses Jamaica's challenging investment climate, including high interest rates, taxes, and costs of doing business. It calls for clarity on tax incentives and special initiatives to support small businesses, such as lowering taxes and fees, continuing incentives for the Junior Stock Exchange, and establishing receivables-backed financing for more access to credit. The presentation analyzes factors that have hindered strong economic growth in Jamaica over the past decades.
Aligning operating models and strategic prioritiesEY
EY Wealth & Asset Management’s comparison of globally integrated and multi-boutique operating models can help firms determine what’s more important: synergy or autonomy.
The decision to go public from an emerging market the ghanaian caseAlexander Decker
This document discusses research on the factors that influence a firm's decision to undertake an initial public offering (IPO) on the Ghana Stock Exchange. It first provides background on private sector financing challenges in Ghana and the role of the stock exchange. A literature review covers theoretical factors that could motivate an IPO, such as the need to raise capital, enhance firm value, and signal private information. The document then outlines some costs and benefits of going public. The research aims to identify which factors most influence IPO decisions for Ghanaian firms and how firm performance is impacted post-IPO. The methodology section indicates the study obtains data on both firms that conducted IPOs and non-IPO firms.
The document discusses research from the Enterprise Research Centre (ERC) on small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs) in the UK. The ERC aims to understand what drives SME productivity and growth to support the UK economy. The research identified three types of firms - those that fail fast, sustain with modest growth, and sustain long-term with strong growth. It also found that leadership and management skills influence SME adoption of best practices and shape business performance. The Goldman Sachs 10,000 Small Businesses programme was shown to increase participating businesses' growth by 10-25% compared to non-participants.
This document discusses the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development (OECD). It provides information about what the OECD is, lists the top OECD countries, and discusses why those countries are top in terms of higher education levels, openness to immigration, and economic growth and trade. The document also discusses corporate tax rates among OECD countries and why companies should consider doing business with OECD countries to access global markets and growth opportunities. It identifies characteristics companies should evaluate in potential OECD business partners like laws/regulations, culture/skills, and access to finance, markets, research, and technology.
EY India Attractiveness Survey 2015 – Top Reasons to Invest to Invest in India EY
Investors see India speeding up pace towards becoming world's top destinations for manufacturing. Check out this detailed infographic on what’s activating growth in India.
This document is a resume for Jijeesh KR, who has experience developing machine vision and image processing applications using Python and related technologies. He has over 5 years of experience in this field, currently working at Castalia Research Labs developing customized automation and vision systems. He has a M.Tech in remote sensing and wireless sensor networks from Amrita University and a B.Tech in electronics and communication engineering from Calicut University.
Time management involves planning and controlling how time is spent on activities to increase effectiveness, productivity, and efficiency. It requires identifying time-wasting habits, setting goals and priorities, completing critical tasks first, delegating tasks, avoiding procrastination, and daily reviewing performance. Effective time management relies on planning, setting deadlines, prioritizing activities, and spending the right amount of time on each task.
In this paper, we present the motivation, process, results and analysis of results that we have worked on as part of our participation in the 2015 MediaEval Retrieving Diverse Social Images Task. This year, we adapted a recently-published technique for result diversification ("Relational Learning-to-Rank"), borrowed from the world of standard document retrieval. As compared to the original work, our version makes certain changes to the ranking and comparison algorithm, and explores a variety of feature combinations specic to an image retrieval context. The key idea behind our technique was a greedy iterative approach to ranking search results, which attempted to balance relevance with redundancy by comparing candidate results to those already selected by the algorithm. Our approach worked tolerably well on many queries, but there is clearly room for improvement.
http://ceur-ws.org/Vol-1436/
http://www.multimediaeval.org
Arturo Brenes' presentation in the framework of the expert consultation on th...cwr_use
The expert consultation on the use of crop wild relatives for pre-breeding in potato was a workshop organized by the Global Crop Diversity Trust in collaboration with CIP and took place from the 22nd – 24th of February 2012.
This document provides tips for effective meetings, including questioning if a meeting is necessary, considering the costs of meetings, making effective phone calls and sending emails to prepare, practicing roles for different meeting situations, reviewing the meeting right after, and creating clear minutes to document decisions and next steps. The overall guidance is to thoroughly prepare for each step of the meeting process to maximize efficiency and outcomes.
Differences in Discovery: How Seach Tools Affect Undergraduate ResearchNITLE
The document analyzes how different search tools affect undergraduate research. It finds that Summon and EBSCO Discovery Service (EDS) had higher percentages of sources found on the first page of results compared to Google Scholar, library catalogs/databases, or no specified tool. Summon users had the lowest mean scores and viewed the fewest pages, searches, and time spent compared to other tools. The majority of searches across all tools were simple keyword searches. Academic journal articles were the most common resource type found except when using the library catalog/databases.
Salah Al-Attar completed training to become a BitDefender Business Products Technical Support Engineer on April 21, 2011 as certified by Ovidiu Lepădatu, the Global Training Manager. The certification is valid for 12 months.
This document provides instructor notes for an 8-day lesson plan exploring the origins and developments of algebra, mathematics, and the number system within Islamic culture and the House of Wisdom in Baghdad. Some key points covered include:
1) Algebra originated from the first algebra book written by al-Kwarizmi in Baghdad in 780, which contained the word "al-jabr" in its title.
2) The House of Wisdom in Baghdad translated ancient Greek and Hindu mathematical texts into Arabic and advanced mathematical knowledge.
3) Al-Kwarizmi studied these translations and developed the Hindu-Arabic number system still used today based on the superior Hindu system.
The document describes the opening of a student horror film. It summarizes the key elements of the opening that develop conventions of the horror genre, including: a title with static noise that ends a dream sequence; rural outdoor settings that isolate characters; typical camping costumes and a hammer weapon inspired by horror films; handheld camerawork and editing for tension; fonts that complement the rural setting; a storyline where one character's paranoia divides the group; homemade special effects for blood and milk; and character introductions with name titles like the film Trainspotting. The opening aims to set up tensions and mystery that will continue throughout the film.
Innovation Policy by Fergus Harradence BISTal Oron
A presentation by the deputy director for innovation policy, Mr. Fergus Harradence @ a talk organized by the Entrepreneurs Interactive Society, Imperial Business School
The document summarizes private markets fundraising trends in 2017. Some key points:
- Private markets fundraising reached a record $750 billion globally in 2017, driven primarily by a surge in US buyout megafunds (funds over $5 billion).
- US buyout megafunds raised $173.7 billion in 2017, a 93% increase from 2016. This surge accounted for most of the overall private markets fundraising growth.
- Investors continue to allocate heavily to private markets like private equity due to the potential for higher returns compared to public markets. Pension funds and sovereign wealth funds see private markets as a way to address underfunding issues and volatility.
The document discusses right-sizing the U.S. venture capital industry. It argues that the industry is currently too large given poor returns in recent years. The size of the industry grew rapidly in the late 1990s, but performance has stagnated since. Returns have failed to exceed public market indices over 5 and 10 year periods. Additionally, the core information technology sector that drove past success is now mature with lower capital needs. For the industry to improve returns, its size likely needs to shrink through reduced commitments from limited partners.
Executive summary The report aims to determine whether the audit.docxSANSKAR20
Executive summary
The report aims to determine whether the auditing firm should engage in the audit of Alto Metals Limited. The research has used a number of analysis methods including collecting information from formal industry website such as aasb.gov.au, using horizontal analysis, as well as analysing financial ratios such as quick ratio, ROE, EPS. In relation to the report’s findings, the research has obtained general understanding of the client’s business and mining industry, and identified a number of business and audit risks for mining businesses including capital optimization, capital access, innovation, social license to operate, exploration risk. Further, it has also found certain unusual changes of several accounts from financial statements contributing to the auditor’s doubt, and calculated some common financial ratios to point out possible financial difficulties that Alto could encounter in the ongoing periods. Ultimately, it is concluded that the audit would not be undertaken based on the significant changes and likely financial difficulties of AME in the ongoing operation period. In facts, this report has also existed several limitations, including the lack of communication with the predecessor auditors to collect more essential information of the Company, and the insufficient resources to provide the detail assessment of the client’s business.
4
1. Body of the report
1.1.Overview of the client’s business and industry
• General information of mining industry
For mining industry, it has been known as a driving force for lots of the exploration of Australia’s remote inland and for Australia’s industrial development, from the gold rushes of the 19th Century, from the iron ore and nickel booms of the 1960s, from the later growth of the coal industry, and to the current booming demand for minerals to fuel throughout the world. Regarding Australia’s Mineral Commodities, Australia’s mineral resource sector covers the exploration, extraction and processing of resource such as coal, uranium, iron ore, nickel, bauxite, gold, lead, copper, mineral sands and diamonds. The main industry activities are coal mining, oil and gas extraction and mining, and contract and mining support services.
Most importantly, mining is viewed to be significant primary industry and contributor to the Australian economy through contributing relatively substantial benefits to Australia from the growth of recent resources, indicated in high rates of economic growth, reduction in the level of unemployment and increasing incomes for Australians.
• Overview of client’s business
Alto Metals Limited was known as a listed Australian public company on the 20 December 2012 with the name of Enterprise Uranium Limited. In 2016, the company has changed its name to Alto Metals Limited after completing the acquisition of Sandstone Exploration Company. The Group has comprised two key controlled entities, namely Cue metals Pty Ltd and Sandstone Exploration Pty Ltd, wh ...
The document discusses the current state and future of the U.S. venture capital industry. It argues that while venture capital has played an important role in financing growth companies, its importance is often overstated. Venture capital represents only a small fraction of startup financing. The performance of the venture capital industry has also stagnated in recent years, with 5-year and 10-year returns not significantly outperforming public markets. For the industry to remain viable and continue supporting entrepreneurs, it will need to improve its returns going forward.
Raportul PricewaterhouseCoopers (PwC) cu tendinte si recomandari referitoare la modul in care companiile isi raporteaza performantele de sustenabilitate
Venture capital investing totaled $4.6 billion in 674 companies in Q1 2005, below the previous quarter but within the $4-6 billion range seen over the past two years. First-time funding increased to $1.2 billion while life sciences investing declined for the first time in two years. Later stage deals accounted for 40% of funding while early stage deals received 16% of funding, similar to previous quarters. The software industry received the most funding of any sector at $1.1 billion.
The document summarizes discussions from the 15th Annual ELFA/IMN Investors Conference about developing strategies in an uncertain economic environment. There was a theme of uncertainty due to geopolitical issues like terrorism, the US election, and China's economic transition. Panelists discussed increasing costs of funds, a sluggish ABS market, and the need to develop strategies to deal with uncertainty and rising interest rates. However, others expressed optimism in the industry's resilience and ability to grow steadily despite challenges. New entrants in areas like marketplace lending and alternative financing were noted as ways the industry is adapting to changes.
Investors see Ireland's main competitive advantage as access to European markets. Survey respondents cited access to the EU market (46%) as Ireland's top competitive advantage over other factors like the corporate tax rate (29%) and legal/fiscal stability (30%). While the corporate tax rate is important, investors view Ireland's overall tax infrastructure - which includes double taxation agreements and sector incentives - as more significant. Investors also praise Ireland's talented workforce but have concerns about high income taxes potentially discouraging senior talent. The biggest disadvantages for investors are outside of Ireland's control, such as the country's small size, but respondents believe Ireland could reduce red tape and regulations.
Investing in Ireland: A survey of foreign direct investorsMatheson Law Firm
Investing in Ireland: A survey of foreign direct investors is an Economist Intelligence Unit report sponsored by Matheson Ormsby Prentice. It examines the main factors that bring foreign direct investment to Ireland and the main ongoing challenges in attracting investment. Ronan Lyons was the report author. Aviva Freudmann and Jason Sumner were the editors.
Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU) white paper produced at the height of the financial crisis in January 2009 outlining the opportunities to learn from the downturn and best practice to success in a changing environment.
Third point-q4-2014-investor-letter-tpoiFrank Ragol
This letter summarizes Third Point LLC's investment results and outlook for 2015. In 2014, Third Point achieved mid-single digit returns due to poor performance during market volatility and prematurely exiting some positions. Already in 2015, markets have been highly volatile. Third Point is focusing on companies with strong cash flows and consistent growth, and looking to take advantage of market dislocations. The letter discusses two of Third Point's largest equity positions - Amgen and Fanuc.
Venture Capital Investment Q4 04 – MoneyTree Survey mensa25
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gtal_2015_jumex
1. INDUSTRY POSITION SURVEY | OCTOBER 2015
JUMEX Survey
The annual survey of junior mining and exploration companies
2015
2.
3. Contents
01 Foreword
02 Executive sponsor: Holly Stiles - Partner, Grant Thornton
03 Top 10 key findings
05 The external environment
11 Constraints on growth
16 Opportunities for innovation
17 Funding: a persistant constraint
20 Realising strategic growth ambitions
22 Regulation and reform agenda
24 Winning the talent battle
25 Survey methodology
26 Contributors
27 Key contacts
28 About Grant Thornton
4. 1 JUMEX Industry Position Survey
JUMEX Foreword
Simon Bennison
AMEC, Chief
Executive Officer
Gold Road Resources are one such
example. Ziggy Lubieniecki, Kyle Prentice
and Justin Osborne from Gold Road
Resources were awarded the AMEC
Prospector Award this year for the Gruyere
Gold Project. The discovery - from start to
finish - was made in just 12 months at a very
low cost. High quality geological modelling
and extensional targeting enabled the low
cost discovery. Ongoing drilling is providing
extremely promising results.
On another positive note the survey
has revealed a trend in recent years for
companies to refocus on Australia for future
project acquisitions. Eighty nine per cent
of respondents considering acquisitions
have Australia in their shortlist, followed
by Africa (19% of respondents considering
acquisitions).
Australia is also proving to be relatively
attractive for investment with 74% of
respondents having received an approach
or conducted a transaction with overseas
investors. Hopefully this translates into
increased investment in mineral exploration
since exploration is at its lowest levels in
the past ten years. Greenfields mineral
exploration is essential to discover the mines
of tomorrow.
The survey results highlight the top five
challenges facing companies with the number
one constraint being the lack of equity
finance for this sector. This has been the
number one constraint for the past three
years. However, only 15% of respondents
are seeing some signs of improved investor
interest.
Deterioration of company share price
and volatility of commodity prices are
ranked in second and third place respectively.
General stability of financial markets has
moved up from fifth place in 2014 to
fourth place in 2015 with the uncertainty
in the global markets. Regulatory challenges
remains in the top five business constraints,
now ranked fifth.
Despite these challenges companies have
continued to demonstrate their resilience
and ability to overcome the circumstances to
achieve some impressive results. Whilst the
number of new major discoveries is declining,
some companies are proving the value of
investing in exploration by generating some
significant results and value for money.
AMEC has been the leading advocate
for the Exploration Development Incentive
(EDI) which is now available for eligible
greenfield mineral exploration projects in
Australia. At this point, funding for the EDI
is available for three years. We need to ensure
that the uptake of the EDI is successful
in order to seek extension of the program
beyond this timeframe. AMEC has proposed
a number of changes to the EDI to simplify
its administration.
Whilst there have been some positive
policy changes such as the repeal of the
mining and carbon taxes last year and the
introduction of the EDI, there is still a lot
more to be done. Twenty five per cent of
respondents cited regulatory constraints
as a major impediment to business during
FY15. The most notable being land access
issues, delays or challenges in obtaining
environmental approvals, and delays or
challenges on the granting of exploration
permits or exploration licences.
AMEC has been working with the
State, Territory and Federal Governments
to streamline approval processes, improve
timeframes, reduce costs, increase exploration
and encourage investment. AMEC continues
to be the leading advocate for companies
on policy changes that will make Australia
an attractive, safe and stable investment
destination.
Simon Bennison
AMEC, Chief Executive Officer
The Association of Mining and Exploration Companies (AMEC) is pleased to once again
present the Foreword to the Grant Thornton JUMEX Survey. Grant Thornton’s annual
survey provides insight into the mineral exploration industry across Australia and the
key issues facing junior miners and explorers.
5. JUMEX Industry Position Survey 2
It almost goes without saying that FY15
was yet another extremely challenging year
for JUMEX companies. While mining
is a cyclical industry with periodic highs
and lows, many in the industry agree that
conditions are as tough as have ever been
seen, not just in Australia, but globally.
Of course, some companies have been
successful despite market conditions. Sirius
Resources is the brightest example, having
risen from a small JUMEX company with
greenfields exploration assets in July 2012
to being taken over by the Independence
Group NL in September 2015 at a point
where construction of its flagship Nova
project is progressing at a rapid rate. There
are many others that have achieved strong
success in developing projects and attracting
finance despite market conditions and those
companies must be highly commended.
However, of the over 700 JUMEX
companies in Australia, the majority are
not faring as well. Years of cash constraints,
falling share prices, volatile commodity
prices and disgruntled shareholders have
taken their toll. The demands of capital
raising in this market are a significant drain
on management time, with three quarters of
respondents that had a fund raising need in
FY15 experiencing moderate or significant
challenges in securing capital (2014: 79%).
The number of companies surviving
on very low cash balances is increasing,
with 29% of companies having less than
$500,000 of cash. At such low cash levels the
opportunities for management to develop
projects and add value is very limited and
survival is a key priority. Some companies
may be able to ride out another year or two
with minimal expenditure; however, for
those with slim cash reserves and smaller
hopes of a successful future fundraising
(nearly two thirds of respondents see no
sign of improvements in investor interest in
JUMEX companies this financial year), the
time may have arrived to make some hard
decisions.
Backdoor listings into mining-shells
have increased significantly over the last year
and, whilst it would not be the outcome
any mining executive would hope for, such
transactions may present an opportunity for
directors to provide some ongoing value to
shareholders when all other opportunities for
the company’s resource projects have been
exhausted.
Commodity prices have taken hits
across the board over the past year and
this volatility has again presented a major
constraint to business. In terms of the
outlook, of course some commodities are
more attractive than others. There is strong
consensus from our respondents that gold
is the commodity offering the greatest
opportunity over the next 12 month and we
are seeing relatively strong interest in gold
projects from a variety of investors.
In the current environment, making
the most of every dollar spent is critical and
there are a wide range of new and interesting
technologies that can assist. We strongly
believe that innovation and technological
developments are crucial for the survival
and future success of the mining industry.
We have also been encouraged to see various
examples of strong collaboration between
JUMEX companies and mining service
providers. We encourage JUMEX companies
to seek such opportunities and other creative
and innovative ways to add value to projects
and generate a return for shareholders.
Grant Thornton would like to
express our appreciation to those
who participated in the survey.
Holly Stiles
National Head of
Energy & Resources,
Grant Thornton Australia
We are pleased to present the findings from our sixth annual survey of junior mining and
exploration companies (JUMEX). This research forms part of our ongoing commitment
to independent industry insight and our focus on junior resource companies.
Executive sponsor
Our JUMEX survey seeks the views of the industry’s senior executives on a
range of issues, providing a comprehensive, independent industry snapshot.
6. The top 10 findings of our 2015 JUMEX survey are:
01
Funding, funding, funding
The almost complete lack of accessible funding is persistently the most significant issue impacting
all but those companies with particularly attractive assets and exceptional management. The vast
majority of JUMEX companies have been bereft of any meaningful funding for several years,
significantly hampering their ability to progress projects and add shareholder value.
02
Competition for capital
With half our respondents planning a fund raising within 6 months (2014: 45%) and 29% of
respondents having a cash balance of less than $500,000 competition for capital remains extremely
fierce and unfortunately there appear to be few positive signs of any improvement in investor interest
in the short term.
03
Search for investors more global than ever
Funding constraints push explorers to seek capital from global market to expand the potential pool
of investors. While investor interest in the mining sector is constrained globally, there are pockets
of investors willing to fund attractive projects and companies must work harder than ever to source
them.
04
Failure and consolidation expected
Unfortunately we foresee an increased number of business failures, consolidations and sector exits
(e.g. through back door listings) over the next two years. With such low investor interest, it seems
unlikely that the market will continue to sustain over 700 listed JUMEX companies.
Top 10 key findings
3 JUMEX Industry Position Survey
The JUMEX sector accounts for approximately 35% of all ASX listed companies and is
therefore a significant portion of the market. However, unfortunately it seems likely that
there will be increasing fallout from the ongoing lack of investor support for the sector.
Following years of constrained equity financing, exploration activities levels are low and
are declining, which is a significant concern for the future of the industry. It is imperative
that the broader industry collaborates and innovates to find ways to identify and exploit
resources in the most efficient way to restore investor confidence and to identify the mines
of tomorrow.
7. 05
A burning platform drives innovation
The drive and competitive nature of Australian explorers ensures they persist and continue to
collaborate with others (mining services and producers) to develop innovative responses to current
challenges. With technology playing an increasing role, cost-cutting and operational efficiency is
no longer enough. JUMEX companies need to embrace new technologies to maximise results from
activities they undertake and must be ever more creative in structuring solutions to fund and develop
their projects.
06
The future of Australia’s mining industry
Exploration activity is low and falling due to the severe capital shortage, compounded by
management teams reluctant to invest precious cash in exploration, particularly when markets
repeatedly fail to recognise successful results. As a result, metres drilled are at a low point, with
ABS data showing exploration expenditure at roughly the same point it was nine years ago and
expenditure levels for exploration lower than10 years ago. The bottom line is that explorers are
exploring less and less each year.
07
Regulatory challenges persist
Land access delays and the difficulty in obtaining environmental approvals, permits and mining
licences remain a concern. State and federal government bodies need to prioritise removing all such
impediments to an industry already severely challenged.
08
Refocus on Australia
While many of our respondents do have global operations and will continue to do so, these tougher
times bring added complexity, cost and risk to exploration activities located elsewhere and a number
of companies have been burnt by experiences overseas. There is therefore a strong trend to refocus on
Australia for future project opportunities.
09
Ongoing commodity pricing pressures
Commodity price volatility has again been a major constraint to business in FY15. Whilst our survey
respondents are generally optimistic about pricing for the key commodity of their flagship project,
analyst forecasts are not so positive. There are positive signs for a few commodities, however many
face ongoing challenges and the potential for further falls, which will not assist JUMEX companies in
their future funding raising efforts.
10
Employment to remain at low levels
Explorers are mostly expecting to keep employment numbers unchanged. Geologists in particular
continue to face high unemployment levels.
JUMEX Industry Position Survey 4
8. 5 JUMEX Industry Position Survey
The external environment
Economic commentary is
kindly supplied by ANZ.
Macro outlook
As global trade splutters, China’s momentum
weakens and commodity prices remain near
cyclical lows, expectations for economic
growth for 2016 and 2017 continue to be
lowered. The main weakness is in emerging
markets (EM). Many of the EM commodity
exporters have been in or near recession for
the past year. The arithmetic alone means
global growth is highly vulnerable to weaker
EM growth as these economies now make
up about half of world output. China is just
under 20% of the world economy alone.
It is more than just the arithmetic. The EM
countries have been an important source
of growth since the financial crisis of 2007-
09. Initially it was the huge fiscal stimulus,
particularly in China, that gave global trade
and activity a lift. More recently it has been
a significant leveraging of EM corporate
balance sheets that has helped support
growth. These factors are now less powerful
or even in retreat. We do not expect a major
EM slowdown at this stage but even a
modest one will make it hard to get any lift
in overall global growth in the next few years.
With the fast growing parts of the world
economy slowing down a bit and the
advanced economies unable to generate
much growth, the overall world economy
is expected to remain stuck in a 3 to 3.5%
growth range for the foreseeable future. We
struggle to see how growth can accelerate
in the next few years. The US economy is
running out of spare capacity while Europe
and Japan still face substantial structural
headwinds and deflation risks. The prospect
of a significant rise in leverage in the
advanced economies is dim given already
high debt levels and ageing populations.
The emerging world holds the key to the
global growth outlook over the next few
years. On this front all the risks appear
skewed to the downside, in particular in
China. The Chinese economy is slowing, and
in our opinion will continue to slow towards
annual growth of 6% by 2017. However,
any sudden weakening in growth will be met
with both monetary and fiscal stimulus.
The extent to which financial problems arise
in emerging economies as growth slows
will be a key determinant of the extent of
the impending global slowdown. More
specifically, a surge in financial distress can
turn a soft global economic outlook into a
global economic downturn fairly quickly.
Financial markets and investors will be on
high alert for these risks, constraining risk
appetite even as liquidity remains abundant.
This means that growth in the world
economy will be stuck in this tight 3% to
3.5% as it has been for the past three years.
9. JUMEX Industry Position Survey 6
The external environment
Commodities outlook
Iron ore prices have traded in a wide
30% range in the past two months as
nervousness around the Chinese economy
waxes and wanes. Prices have stabilised
around the mid US$50/tonne range, but
we think there is more downside risk in
the short term. Our concerns revolve
around the timing of slowing Chinese
steel demand while the seaborne iron ore
supply continues to rise. Australian and
Brazilian iron ore exports are increasing,
which is being reflected in rising robust
Capesize freight rates. The drag for prices
is that demand is unlikely to soak up the
additional supply. Chinese steel mills are
extending annual maintenance programs in
light of weak demand conditions. Expect
seaborne prices to breach US$50/tonne
and trade in the higher US$40/tonne range
in the coming months.
While coking coal prices look very
weak, the dynamics may be about to
change. Underlying demand conditions
are unlikely to improve, but supply-side
headwinds appear to be passing. Sinking
Chinese coal imports, down 30% since
the start of the year, have turned. Chinese
coking coal imports in June jumped 170%
to 5.1 million tonnes, the largest monthly
increase since December. However, flat
steel output over the same period suggests
Chinese coking coal supply is declining.
Competing Chinese coke exports have also
dipped heavily in recent times. In fact, the
profitable arbitrage with coking coal has
reverted (Figure 3), suggesting consumers
would prefer to import unrefined coking
coal in the near term. As a result, we think
spot prices should start to recover into the
mid to high US$80/tonne range.
Figure 1: Baltic Capesize Freight rates
Points
3,000
2,000
1,000
2,500
1,500
500
0
Jan-15 Feb-15 Mar-15 Apr-15 May-15 Jun-15 Jul-15 Aug-15 Sep-15
Source: Bloomberg, ANZ Research
Figure 2: Coking coal & Coke prices
USD/Tonne
250
150
50
200
100
300
USD/tonne
600
400
200
100
500
300
China Coke Export to Japan Australia Coking Coal CIF Japan (RHS)
2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Source: Bloomberg, ANZ Research
AustraliaCokingCoalCIFJapan
ChinaCokeExporttoJapan
10. 7 JUMEX Industry Position Survey
The external environment
Thermal coal appears to be holding up a
little better, but stronger seasonal demand
has helped out – particularly a hotter than
normal Chinese summer. Prices now are
facing a seasonal slowdown, accentuated
by government-enforced heavy industry
closures. Competing hydro power supply
is also at record seasonal levels, with heavy
rainfalls in recent months. Overall, Chinese
demand will remain pressured despite the
recent stimulus, which looks service- rather
than industry-targeted. Supply discipline
continues, albeit marginally, with recent
reports that Chinese producers are having
some success in lowering costs. We expect
seaborne prices to track sideways at about
US$60/tonne.
Base metals have come under severe pressure
as falling Chinese equity markets and mixed
economic data have raised doubts about
metals demand. However, we believe that
selling has been overdone. Recent data
suggest the fundamentals remain positive,
with trade data showed strong growth in
imports for various commodities. Investor
positioning remains particularly short,
and thus further falls cannot be ruled out.
However, we remain of the view that prices
will recover over the coming months as
fundamentals take hold.
Figure 3: China Hydro Power Production
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
BillionKwh
120
80
40
30
100
60
110
90
70
50
J F M A M J J A S O N D
20
Source: Bloomberg, ANZ Research
11. JUMEX Industry Position Survey 8
The external environment
Copper has taken the brunt of the selling in
recent weeks. Supply disruptions that created
some market tightness earlier this year have
been overrun by weaker than expected
demand in China. In particular, the deferral
of funds allocations at the China State Grid
has seen copper demand in the power sector
weaken this year. However, prices are now
inducing a supply response from producers,
which should see some support emerge.
Freeport recently announced that it was
conducting a review of its mine plans and
may cut production to preserve supplies for
when market conditions improve. Ok Tedi
suspended operations due to weak prices
and the recent dry weather. It produces
approximately 100 kilotonnes/year (ktpy) of
copper.
The continued outflow of aluminium
from China is quickly pushing what was a
relatively tight market into surplus. When
combined with worrying signs of weak
demand outside of China, prices are likely
to remain under pressure in the coming
months. Despite a collapse in the ‘all in’
aluminium prices (London Metal Exchange
(LME) + regional premia), there has also
been a lack of price-related supply cutbacks.
This has been partly due to active producer
hedging and forward selling earlier in the
year, which will likely protect some portion
of capacity for the time being. The fall in
LME prices could be exposing the true
fundamentals – that of a well over-supplied
market. As such, prices may have to fall
further in order to rebalance supply and
demand.
Figure 4: COPPER LME Non-commercial
Longs Shorts Total Net Position
‘000Contracts
150
-50
50
-150
100
0
-100
Jul-14 Sep-14 Nov-14 Jan-15 Mar-15 May-15 Jul-15
Source: Bloomberg, ANZ Research
Figure 5: China’s aluminium exports
%chgy/y
80
40
-20
60
20
100
ktonnes
600
400
200
100
500
300
Aluminium products Primary aluminium y/y chg (RHS)
Jan-14 Apr-14 Jul-14 Oct-14 Jul-15Jan-15 Apr-15
0
0
120
140
160
Source: NBS, Bloomberg, ANZ Research
12. “Legend has a positive outlook to exploration for nickel and copper
in the Fraser Range, driven by investor perception about the ongoing
demand for commodities from China coupled with the success of the
Sirius story.”
Mark Wilson
Managing Director
Legend Mining
9 JUMEX Industry Position Survey
The external environment
Signs of an emerging tightness in the nickel
market in China continue to strengthen.
Chinese nickel imports surged again in
June. Imports of refined metal were up 67%
month on month and 250% year on year
(y/y) to 38.8kt. Imports of ferronickel, a
direct substitute for nickel pig iron, were
also up strongly (255% y/y). At the same
time, stocks of nickel ore at Chinese ports
are at four year lows. However, prices have
remained under pressure due to excessively
higher inventories on the LME. While
they have been steadily declining over the
past two months, they remain close to the
record high of 458kt reached in June. This
is unlikely to remain the case if Chinese
imports maintain their current trajectory,
which should see support for nickel prices
return over the coming months.
After breaking through a key support level of
US$1,130/oz, gold traded to fresh five-year
lows in recent weeks. Market sentiment in
the metal still seems skewed to the downside,
and it looks unlikely that the extent of
negative investor positioning will reverse
any time soon. We have revised down our
forecasts for gold recently and expect prices
to trough in December at US$1,020/oz.
Silver will likely follow gold prices lower
and test US$14.0/oz in December, while
liquidation of investor long positions in
platinum group metals has seen palladium
and platinum forecasts revised lower.
Market positioning is reflecting a renewed
negativity towards gold. The biggest shift
recently has been the move in speculative
positioning in Comex, where non-
commercial traders are holding the largest
gross short position in at least nine years
(since the US Commodity Futures Trading
Commission started recording disaggregated
data). While an underlying theme driving
the gold market lower has been the prospect
of higher US interest rates and a stronger US
dollar, the downside break through the key
support level of US$1,130/oz has reset the
market in a lower range.
Figure 6: China’s imports of primary nickel
%chgy/y
100
0
50
-50
150
ktonnes
20
10
5
25
15
Refined nickel imports y/y % chg
Sep-13 Jan-14 May-14 Sep-14 Jan-15 May-15
0
200
250
Source: LME, ANZ Research
13. JUMEX Industry Position Survey 10
The external environment
Figure 7: CFTC speculative position (Commodity Futures Trading Commission)
Gold Short Gold Long Net Gold
‘000Contracts
30
0
20
-15
25
5
-5
06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15
10
15
-10
Source: Bloomberg, ANZ Research
Figure 8: US Mint Bullion sales
Tonnes
6
4
2
5
3
1
0
11 12 13 14 15
Source: Bloomberg, ANZ Research
Within this environment, demand for
physical gold seems to have risen – and not
just in China and India. Physical gold sales
by the US Mint rose to 5.1 tonnes in July,
the highest monthly sales total since April
2013. However, in the key consumer nations
of China and India, soft onshore physical
premiums suggest there is no shortage of
supply either, despite signs of improved
demand for physical gold. This is a key
difference between market characteristics
now and in 2013 when a scramble for
physical gold in those key markets saw
premiums reach record levels and supported
the global gold price. We therefore do not
expect that physical demand, despite being
solid, will provide much of an offsetting lift
to combat lower gold prices.
Investor positioning, particularly speculative
positions on Comex, has turned quite
negative in the past few weeks. Gross
speculative short positions reached a record
high of 202,000 contracts in the week to 21
July, while the gross long position is more in
line with the average of the past 18 months.
On a net basis, the net long position is at
a record low of 17,000 contracts. Gold
holdings of physically-backed exchange-
traded funds declined sharply in July, falling
by 53 tonnes in the month. Meanwhile,
volatility has picked up sharply and the gold
option markets suggest further downside risk
as risk reversals have shifted sharply lower.
We see little on the immediate horizon that
will change the market’s attitude towards the
yellow metal.
14. Constraints on growth
A majority of our respondents (62%) again
cited lack of equity capital as the most
significant constraint to their business
growth. Looking back over past surveys, a
lack of skilled staff was the main constraint
for JUMEX companies in FY11. That
constraint quickly dissipated as global
market and commodity price instability hit,
impacting investor appetite. The consequent
scarcity of equity funding is now pervasive,
with almost all respondents (92%) raising
“lack of availability of financing” as the key
issue for the industry as a whole for FY16.
As in 2014, the second key constraint to
business in 2015 was the deterioration of
company share price, reported by 48% of
respondents. In the past two JUMEX surveys
deterioration of company share price was
predicted to be a much lower constraint to
business than it actually became. Ongoing
declines in share prices are extremely
frustrating for JUMEX executives whose
strategic options are significantly impacted
by tumbling share prices.
The third most pressing constraint, cited
by 43% of respondents, is volatility in
commodity prices. Raising capital in volatile
markets is extremely challenging and the
continuing volatility in commodity prices
over FY15 has further impacted efforts
to raise capital and led to shareholder
dissatisfaction.
For other companies, regulatory challenges,
lack of debt funding and delays or challenges
in negotiating arrangements for local
government or community participation
have been real constraints to business.
“Although there is over
$100bn of resource sector-
focused private equity
sitting on the sidelines,
only a small proportion is
prepared to participate in
traditional 5%–15% junior
company placements.
The majority of private
equity is looking to make
100% project or corporate
acquisitions, which are
essentially a termination
point for juniors …
… All mining deals need
some risk capital to
complete. A key barometer
for the appetite for risk is
the number of ASX mining
IPOs in each calendar year.
In 2011, mining IPOs were
70 (approximately 50%
of total ASX IPOs). Since
then they have steadily
fallen, with 2015 being the
worst year in living memory
without a single mining IPO
getting up since 1 January
this year! ”
Liam Twigger
Managing Director
PCF Capital
11 JUMEX Industry Position Survey
15. 1
Lack of availability of
equity funding.
2
Deterioration of
company share price.
3
Volatility of commodity
prices.
4
Regulatory challenges
(e.g. project approval
delays).
5
General stability of
financial markets.
FY14 experience
1
Lack of availability of
equity funding.
2
Deterioration of
company share price.
3
Volatility of commodity
prices.
4
General stability of
financial markets.
5
Regulatory challenges
(e.g. project approval
delays).
FY15 experience
1
Lack of availability of
equity funding.
2
Volatility of commodity
prices.
3
General stability of
financial markets.
4
Deterioration of
company share price.
5
Regulatory challenges
(e.g. project approval
delays).
FY16 prediction
JUMEX Industry Position Survey 12
Constraints on growth
Top 5 key constraints to business
16. Respondent quote:
“Times are tough. There is money out there but there is
intense competition for it.”
“In our experience recently, any investor interest is very short
term. Investors are still looking for reasons not to invest.
Those that are investing are likely ‘in the stock’ already.”
13 JUMEX Industry Position Survey
Constraints on growth
Figure 9: Expectations for investor interest in JUMEX companies %
Seeing strong investor interest
Seeing some signs of improvement in investor interest
Expect investor interest levels to improve over the
coming 6-12 months
Expect investor interest levels to improve from
July 2015/2016 onwards
Expect investor interest levels to improve from
July 2016/2017 onwards
No prospects for improvement in investor interest
levels in the short to medium term
Unsure
15
18
18
37
26
6
23
20
10
7
14
42
2
014
In the early months of FY15 there was a short period of improved optimism, which was
shown clearly in the findings of our 2014 JUMEX survey. At the time of our 2014 survey
(July and August 2014), 41% of respondents saw signs of improved investor interest,
including a few who were seeing strong investor interest. Unfortunately the window was brief
and closed in September 2014, when global markets experienced a few jitters and investors
rapidly retreated, halting any contemplation of more speculative investments. Since then,
investor interest in the JUMEX section of the market has remained very low. This year only
15% of respondents are seeing some signs of improved investor interest although the majority
(56%) expect interest to improve from the later part of FY16 to FY18. Nearly a quarter
(23%) see no prospects for improvements in investor interest levels in the short to medium
term (up from 14% in FY14).
2
015
17. Respondent quote:
“We are not at the bottom of the
commodity cycle yet.”
Media report:
“Australian stocks plummeted today on
the back of weak manufacturing data
out of China, with the S&P/ASX 200
closing below 5000 points for the first
time in more than two years.”
www.miningnews.net
- 23 September 2015
JUMEX Industry Position Survey 14
Constraints on growth
Figure 10: Expectations for pricing of key resource commodity - next 12 months
100%
60%
20%
0%
80%
40%
FY13 FY14 FY15
6
33
33
23
5
3
20
32
27
14
4
3
30
36
15
12
4
1
Overall, our respondents were cautiously optimistic of commodity price improvements, with
69% expecting an increase in the price of their key resource commodity over the next 12
months (a slight decrease from 72% in FY14).
However, looking at expectations by commodity is more revealing. Respondents with copper,
gold or zinc projects are the most optimistic. For iron ore, the majority (57%) anticipate
a moderate decrease in the iron ore price over the coming 12 months. A summary of
expectations of respondents with projects focused on the main commodities is set out below:
Change expected in commodity pricing (%)
Substantial increase
Moderate increase
Small increase
No change
Small decrease
Moderate decrease
Substantial decrease
Unsure
100
2023
33
40
25
46
50
60
20
38
14
23
20
-25
-14-8
-20 -20
-57
100
60
20
0
80
40
-40
-80
-20
-60
4
-4
Coal Copper Gold Iron Ore Nickel Uranium Zinc
8%
unsure
14%
unsure
13%
unsure
Unsure
Large decrease
Moderate decrease
Small decrease
No change
Small increase
Moderate increase
Substantial increase
18. “It’s tough out there, so you have to look/think outside the box.”
Respondent quotes:
“It takes a very brave company to invest in innovation when cash is constrained even
though there is no more important time to innovate.”
“… Particularly encouraged by research into new and cheaper drilling technologies,
and ongoing research into multi-element geochemistry continues to impress.”
“If innovation means making a big discovery, then that’s about the only thing that
would make a difference. Any other innovation probably won’t add any value, no
matter how good it is.”
15 JUMEX Industry Position Survey
Opportunities for innovation
Fundamental to the mining sector is the excitement generated by high quality discoveries,
and for the best part of the decade to 2012 we saw ever-increasing money spent on new and
existing deposits (albeit with a relatively short interruption to this trend at the peak of the
global financial crisis). That spend was underpinned by a commodities pricing super cycle.
The strong commodities price growth also drove a focus on production over margin
and, not surprisingly, more and more high cost projects came on line. However, with the
commodity price cycle having turned sharply since then and the spotlight now on an industry
with businesses operating at varying degrees of efficiency, producers have needed to adapt
quickly to changed conditions and exploration interest has deteriorated sharply, matched by
substantial falls since the peak in spending and meters drilled.
On Opportunities/
Innovation
“From a Grant Thornton perspective
we have seen a significant
rationalisation of permit holdings and
more and more partnerships via farm-
out arrangements as companies with
limited funding look at ways to advance
their most prospective assets”
Brock Mackenzie
Partner - Audit & Assurance
“Innovation must be measurement led.
There is nothing more motivating than
seeing the impact of technology or
process redesign on the performance
of the operations however localised
that may be. Without measurement we
are never sure what we have achieved
and therefore can lose the drive to do
more.”
David Singleton
CEO & MD, Poseidon Nickel Limited
It is disappointing that a third of respondents see innovation as having minimal or no
impact on the sector in the coming 12 to 24 months. Many respondents commented that
innovation and new technology is irrelevant if there is no money to pay for such things.
However, we firmly believe that innovation and technological development are crucial
factors for the survival and success of the mining industry. The sector has been relatively
slow historically to adapt to technological change; however, this is beginning to change. It is
imperative that the industry innovates and it’s typically these periods in the lower part of the
cycle where necessity breeds innovation. Advancement in exploration techniques and drilling
methods are examples of developments that are occurring currently, partly from necessity,
and these will lead to better outcomes in the long term.
The challenge for the industry and juniors is to focus on high quality discoveries, which
is particularly difficult given the funding constraints at the junior end of the market and the
tightening of exploration spend within the majors. A cultural shift to portfolio management
for juniors is something that is essential, with continuous movement in the project portfolios,
rather than spending money on less prospective areas simply due to previous efforts and the
need to justify prior spend.
19. JUMEX Industry Position Survey 16
For the fourth consecutive year, the percentage of companies running
low cash balances increased. At the time of our 2015 survey, 52%
of companies had a cash balance under $2 million, up slightly from
50% in 2014, but a significant increase if you look back a few years.
There was a 53% increase in the number of companies running a
cash balance under $2 million in FY15 compared to FY12. When we
started the JUMEX survey six years ago, $2 million was considered a
level of cash balance at which companies could start thinking about
the next fund raising, so we had that level as the lowest banding, yet
now less than half of JUMEX companies have over $2m of cash.
In today’s market, much lower levels of cash have become the
norm. The percentage of companies with very low cash balances
increased dramatically in 2015, with 29% of the companies surveyed
having cash balances of less than $500,000 compared to 18% in
2014, while 9% had cash of less than $100,000. At such low cash
levels, short-term survival becomes a priority, with little opportunity
to focus on operational or strategic direction and insufficient funding
to undertake corporate transactions.
On a more positive note, 12% of respondents had cash balances
over $20 million and these companies will clearly have a much wider
range of strategic options available to them.
Figure 11: Current cash balance (%)
<$2m
$2m–5m
$5m–10m
$10m–20m
$20m–100m
>$100m
10%
0%
30%
20%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
201520142013
41
26
12
11
7
4
50
19
20
5
5
1
52
19
12
5
12
1
2012
35
29
14
14
7
0
Running lower cash balances undoubtedly impacts a JUMEX
company’s ability to progress its projects, with 62% of JUMEX
companies identifying a lack of equity funding as a key business
constraint in FY15. While 50% of respondents are expecting to
require a fundraising within six months (45% in 2014), for most
companies the prospects of a successful raising at a level that would
enable them to materially advance their projects seem negligible.
Figure 12: Anticipated timing of next required fund raising (%)
0–3 months
3–6 months
6 months –
1 year
1–2 years
2 years
No need
anticipated
10%
0%
30%
20%
40%
50%
60%
70%
80%
90%
100%
2015201420132012
4
4
27
18
28
18
7
25
21
31
13
4
10
28
22
19
18
3
6
5
22
21
25
21
Funding: a persistent constraint
20. “Lack of working capital has caused significant delays in the implementation of exploration programs and influenced how the work
programs have been carried out. To preserve funds, the company has reduced the working hours of all staff and sold assets.”
Respondent quotes:
“Threatening insolvency …”
“Working capital constraints have meant staff are unpaid or their incomes have been reduced.”
17 JUMEX Industry Position Survey
Funding: a persistent constraint
In terms of fundraising methods, private
placements still remain the most popular,
with 75% of companies planning such a
fundraising in the next two years, a very
consistent percentage compared to the
previous two years. Interestingly, rights issues
have recently become a lot less popular,
under consideration by 45% of companies,
a significant reduction on previous years.
Historically, rights issues were a relatively
quick and inexpensive way to top up
working capital without diluting supportive
shareholders; however, in recent times many
companies have struggled to attract much
interest, and have closed rights issues with
very low levels of funds raised. There has
also been a significant fall in the number of
companies expecting to raise funds through
an asset sale (16% in 2015 compared to
29% in 2014). Often a last resort option,
convertible notes are now being considered
by a higher percentage of companies (21% in
2015 compared to 11% in 2014).
Figure 13: Sources of funds considered for next raising (%)
2015 2014 2013
75
75
73
Private placement
Rights issue
Public offer
Joint venture
Asset sale
Debt/project
finance
Private equity
Convertible notes
Royalty agreement
or streaming
Other
45
59
68
18
14
15
34
32
32
16
29
22
29
19
30
19
18
0
21
11
0
8
5
0
2
4
9
21. Respondent quote:
JUMEX Industry Position Survey 18
Funding: a persistent constraint
“Equity-raising for juniors is impossible.”
“Even with good, tangible projects
across a range of metals, retail funding
is limited.”
Reflecting market conditions in Australia,
62% of respondents plan overseas investor
presentations to expand the potential pool
of investors, compared to 45% in 2014.
Many JUMEX company directors have
been supporting their companies financially
for some time through reduced or even nil
remuneration, or shares in lieu of cash. That
support is expected to continue as 26%
of companies are anticipating significant
investment by directors as a proportion of
the next fund raising, compared to only
12% in 2014. A consistent percentage of
companies anticipate having to price their
next equity raising at a significant discount
(2015 38%; 2014 40%).
Despite numerous media articles about
the billions of dollars earmarked by private
equity investors for mining investments,
there have been very few transactions
completed. Nineteen percent of respondents
are considering private equity for their next
raising and there are a number of reputable
private equity houses focused on the mining
sector available to be approached by relevant
companies. However, limited projects will
appeal to the private equity sector, whose
criteria for investment tend to be relatively
narrow, with early stage exploration activities
unlikely to be supported.
The IPO market remained strong in FY15, with another year of increases in the number
of IPOs to 94 in FY15 (up from 78 in FY14). There were again some very significant IPOs,
including Healthscope (raising $2.3 billion in July 2014) and Medibank Private (raising $5.7
billion in November 2014); consequently the total value raised on IPOs increased to $17.8
billion (up from $12.6 billion in FY14). There was also a significant increase in the average
market capitalisation of companies on IPO in FY15 to $414 million, up from $355 million
in FY13. However, this average is influenced significantly by South32, the spinout from
BHP Billiton, which had a market capitalisation on IPO of nearly $11 billion. If South32
is excluded from the statistics, the average market capitalisation in IPO fell in FY15 to $290
million.
FY14
FY13
FY12
FY11
FY10
Figure 14: IPOs on ASX
Number of IPOs Number of Mining IPOs
94
5
78
9
71
32
84
56
139
98
78
44
FY15
FY09
31
21
Source: Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) and Grant Thornton analysis
22. 19 JUMEX Industry Position Survey
Funding: a persistent constraint
Despite the continued positive market conditions for IPOs in FY15, investor appetite for
mining assets remained at very low levels. Hence, the number of mining IPOs fell again, to
only five in FY15 (four in the first half of the financial year and the spinout of South32 from
BHP Billiton in May 2015) and the average funds raised by mining companies on IPO fell to
$2.8 million.
Figure 15: Mining IPOs on ASX
Average value raised on IPO Average market on listing
$9m
$20m
$4m
$27m
$7m
$52m
$13m
$48m
$8m
$53m
$11m
$24m
FY14
FY13
FY12
FY11
FY10
FY15
FY09
$3m
$8m
Source: Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) and Grant Thornton analysis
One major trend in FY15 was the increase in backdoor listings on the ASX, which
more than doubled in FY15, from 22 in FY14 to 45 in FY15. There were very few mining
assets/businesses that undertook a backdoor listing in either year. However, given the lack
of available equity, particularly for early stage mining projects, many JUMEX companies
have effectively become shells. There were 27 backdoor listings into mining shells in FY15,
compared to only 6 in FY14.
Figure 16: Backdoor listings on ASX
Mining assets Other businesses
FY14
FY15
18
42
4
3
Source: Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) and
Grant Thornton analysis
“The press would have us
believe that the resources
boom is over and that
China is slowing down and
in economic difficulties.
While the Chinese GDP is
reducing, and the huge
infrastructure spending
may have peaked, in my
view it isn’t so much that
China is slowing down but
more that there is a re-
alignment of the economy,
including a move to a
more consumption-based
economy. There is still a
lot of urban development
happening in inner city
transport infrastructure,
but there is now also an
increasing emphasis on the
use of its massive foreign
capital reserves (which
are greater than those of
the next seven countries
combined), to focus on
overseas investments,
including construction in
regard to its Silk Road
Strategy in Central Asia and
in Africa.”
Michael Atkins
Director, Corporate Finance
Patersons Securities
16
27
6
18
Figure 17: Backdoor listings on ASX by type of
shell company
Mining shell Other shell
FY14
FY15
Source: Australian Securities Exchange (ASX) and
Grant Thornton analysis
23. “Mining companies with quality development or early stage mining projects continue to successfully raise funds, albeit at a
discount to the upside potential. Greenfield explorers with grass roots projects continue to struggle as capital-raising becomes
less successful and more frequent.”
“You don’t grow by standing still. Even with challenging markets you have to be active and maximise output while minimising costs.”
“Mergers between like small-cap resource stocks will continue, and is being demanded by shareholders to some extent as a
means of reducing overheads.”
Respondent quotes:
JUMEX Industry Position Survey 20
Compared to many other industries JUMEX companies have always been very transactional,
due to the nature of the business model. This continues to be the case, with only 20%
of companies not considering a major corporate transaction in the next 12 months.
Joint ventures remain the most common proposed transaction, under consideration by
46% of companies, while mergers have increased in popularity, with 26% of companies
contemplating such a move in the next 12 months.
Figure 18: Any major corporate transactions considered to grow the business in
the next 12 months? (%)
2015 2014 2013
Acquisition of a
project/projects
Acquisition of another
company/takeover
Divestment of a
project/subsidiary
Joint venture
Merger
Other potential
transaction
No major corporate
transaction anticipated
in the next 12 months
32
42
44
16
16
12
26
30
27
46
52
53
26
18
14
6
-
-
20
19
27
Realising strategic growth ambitions
A major shift we have noticed in recent
years has been a trend to refocus on Australia
for future project acquisitions, following
a period where many companies looked
overseas, citing the high cost of doing
business in Australia. Of those respondents
considering acquisitions (either directly
or via corporate acquisitions), 89% have
Australia in their shortlist of jurisdictions to
focus on, followed by 19% who are looking
closely at Africa. The refocus on Australia
seems to be driven by negative experiences
in a wide range of countries overseas, as a
result of political, social and other challenges.
The cost of investigating and developing
acquisition opportunities is also likely to be
higher for opportunities overseas, increasing
the attraction of local projects.
In terms of organic growth, 66% of
companies have plans to expand their
portfolio of assets through exploration in the
coming 12 months, broadly consistent with
2014 (68%). However, the planned spend by
many of these companies is relatively modest:
32% of such companies are planning to
spend less than $500,000 and only 30% of
companies are planning to spend more than
$2 million (2014: 41%).
24. 46
44
39
26
21
27
15
16
27
9
2
6
19
16
29
7
2
4
2
3
4
11
-
-
4
7
2
26
34
28
Figure 19: What interest in your projects/company have you experienced from overseas
investors in the past 12 months? (%)
FY15 FY14 FY13
Overseas investors have
approached us regarding equity
investment in our company
We have obtained equity finance
from overseas investors
Overseas investors have
approached us regarding debt
finance for our business
We have obtained debt finance
from overseas investors
Overseas investors have
approached us seeking to acquire
one or more of our projects
We have sold a project/projects
to overseas investors
We have had a takeover approach
from an overseas company
We have had approaches from
overseas investors regarding
off-take arrangements
Other
No specific approaches or
transactions with overseas
investors in the past 12 months
“This is a truly terrible environment − much worse than the GFC because juniors
went into the GFC with cash. Now no-one has cash, and no ability to raise cash.
Accordingly, everything must stop while we wait for better times, and hope we can
survive that long ...”
Respondent quotes:
However, despite cash constraints facing
many JUMEX companies, 40% are planning
a resource update in the coming 12 months,
35% are planning or already have underway
a scoping study or PFS, with a further 20%
planning or have underway a BFS. This
suggests that many companies are, despite
market conditions, managing to advance
projects in a way that should add value to
shareholders. Furthermore, 29% have a
corporate strategy for FY16 that focuses
on development of an asset into (full)
production.
Despite these positive suggestions, 43%
of companies have a key corporate strategy
that is based on minimising expenditure
until the company’s funding position
allows increased activity (2014: 44%). Only
23% include in their corporate strategy for
FY16 the acquisition of attractive projects/
companies as a result of current valuations
(2014: 28%) and this is consistent with a
fall in the number of companies considering
project acquisitions during FY16 to 32%
(2014: 42%).
Reflecting the truly global nature of the
industry, 74% of respondents had received
an approach or conducted a transaction
with overseas investors in FY15. Nearly half
(46%) had been approached by overseas
investors regarding equity investment (FY14:
44%) and over a quarter had obtained
equity finance over the past 12 months from
overseas investors. China continues to be
the most frequent source of approaches/
transactions, with 46% of companies being
approached or transacting with China
(FY14: 48%). After China, other most
common jurisdictions were North America
(33%), other parts of Asia (33%) and
Europe (25%).
21 JUMEX Industry Position Survey
Realising strategic growth ambitions
25. JUMEX Industry Position Survey 22
The most recent (June 2015) release from the Australian Bureau of
Statistics regarding exploration figures sheds light on the significant role
government needs to play from both a funding and access perspective.
Exploration figures in terms of total metres
drilled are at the lowest level in the past 12
years and total exploration expenditure is the
lowest since March 2006. The implications
are significant as current exploration levels
will determine the quality and extent of
pipeline projects ready for development in
the next cycle.
With the landscape and immediate
economic outlook particularly challenging,
it is imperative that public policy continues
to seek initiatives designed to facilitate
investment in exploration and the assets
advancement.
The Exploration Development Incentive
(EDI)* has been warmly received (provided
for in the 2014/15 federal budget, with $100
million over three years), and provides an
opportunity for participants to supplement
other forms of capital. In further good news,
the reversal of the controversial tax changes
applied in 2009 to employee share schemes
(ESS) passed through parliament and
became effective 01 July 2015.
Regulation and reform agenda
“While we commend the
introduction of the EDI, it is
imperative that the regulatory
environment continues to
adapt and assist the flow
of capital within the mining
sector”
Brock Mackenzie
Partner, Audit & Assurance
Figure 20: If regulatory challenges have been a constraint to business, what have the main
issues been? (%)
2015 2014
Delays or challenges in obtaining water
permits
Cultural heritage issues
Regulatory issues in conservation
areas
Land access issues
Delays or challenges in obtaining
environmental approvals
Delays or challenges on the granting of
exploration permits and mining licences
Other
17
4
38
41
7
19
48
39
48
41
45
30
21
16
Figure 21: Mineral exploration, seasonally adjusted
Expenditure($Million)
1,100
400
200
-
900
600
300
1,000
700
100
800
500
1,200
MetresDrilled(‘000)
2,500
1,500
500
-
3,500
2,000
4,000
1,000
3,000
Jun-1990
Jun-1991
Jun-1992
Jun-1993
Jun-1994
Jun-1995
Jun-1996
Jun-1997
Jun-1998
Jun-1999
Jun-2000
Jun-2001
Jun-2002
Jun-2003
Jun-2004
Jun-2005
Jun-2006
Jun-2007
Jun-2008
Jun-2009
Jun-2010
Jun2011
Jun-2012
Jun-2013
Jun-2014
Jun-2015
Metres drilled, total deposits (‘000) Expenditure, total deposits ($ millions)
8412.0 - Mineral and Petroleum Exploration, Australia, Jun 2015
“Mineral Exploration (other than for Petroleum)”
26. 23 JUMEX Industry Position Survey
Regulation and reform agenda
The regulatory environment has further
changed recently, with certain fringe
benefits arrangements receiving some relief,
specifically fly-in and fly-out arrangements.
Other proposals include opportunities to
address stamp duty on exploration licenses
across all states and territories, and, of course,
the permit approval processes in each state
and territory.
While these changes are undeniably
positive, there is still much to be done.
Governments (state and federal) can assist
not only with funding, but also with
approvals and permits. With 25 percent
of respondents identifying regulatory
constraints as a major impediment to
business during FY15 it is clear that
more needs to be done. The major issues
for respondents identifying regulatory
constraints impacting business growth
regarded environmental approvals, land
access, exploration permit approval and
heritage issues. Addressing these constraints
is particularly important during this phase of
the investment cycle.
Increasing compliance risks –
foreign bribery
Significant changes to Australia’s foreign
bribery laws are back on the political
agenda. The Senate Economics References
Committee is conducting an inquiry into
foreign bribery, with its report due on 1
July 2016. A key issue that may arise is the
potential removal of the statutory defence
to the foreign bribery offence under the
Criminal Code Act 1995, being that a
payment was not a bribe but instead a
facilitation payment.
In summary, a facilitation payment is
a nominal value (the term is not defined in
the Code) paid to a foreign official for the
sole or predominant purpose of expediting a
minor routine action, documented as soon as
possible. This defence is not available under
the Bribery Act in the United Kingdom and
is effectively treated as a bribe. A facilitation
payment is not meant to influence a decision
of a foreign official, only the timing. The
defence creates the opportunity for payments
that are in effect bribes to be rationalised as a
facilitation payments and recorded as such in
a company’s books and records.
The potential removal of the statutory
defence for facilitation payments is a call
for action for junior minors to assess the
risks of impending non-compliance and to
put a plan in place to manage compliance.
This will include the necessity to identify
if facilitation payments are being made,
the circumstances of such payments, how
they have been accounted for and the
impact of not been able to make them in
future. Of particular risk is control over
agents, distributors and contractors acting
on behalf of JUMEX companies who may
themselves be non-compliant which in some
circumstances can create an offence of the
JUMEX company itself. JUMEX companies
operating in high risk countries such as
many in Africa and Asia may see risks to
their competitiveness which will need to be
managed.
Insight provided by Shane MacDonald
and Courtney Gibson both fraud and
forensic specialists and Partners with
Grant Thornton.
*See our commentary regarding the EDI here:
The deadline is looming for the Exploration Development Incentive
“With such tight capital
markets it is key that JUMEX
companies maximise the value
of all expenditure. Regulators
need to support the industry
by minimising the cost and
time commitments involved in
obtaining necessary approvals
and licenses.”
Nicolas Smietana
Senior Manager, Audit & Assurance
27. “The downturn has led to more realistic labour costs and scheduling. Looking at
partnering with mining service companies on projects”
Respondent quote:
JUMEX Industry Position Survey 2424 JUMEX Industry Position Survey
The ongoing transition for JUMEX companies from the investment phase
to the production phase of the mining cycle, combined with softening
commodity prices and a severe shortage of capital continues to put
downward pressure on mining employment.
The cautious approach to employment
which was reported last year remains, with
43% (2014:44%) of respondents indicating
they were planning to maintain employee
and contractor levels broadly at the same
levels over the coming twelve months.
Similarly, the number of respondents with
declining and expansionary intentions also
remained consistent with the prior survey.
With the Australian economy at the time
of this report generating some surprisingly
weak numbers (0.2% GDP for the June
Quarter), and fresh concerns about China’s
contracting economy, a number of analysts
are revising their forecasts for the Australian
dollar and the economy more generally.
Undoubtedly this continues to place
pressure on the broader economy and the
mining sector. The Australian Department
of Employment in its most recent release
last year forecast a decline in mining sector
employment of some 4.2% for the five
years to November 2018, representing a
significant change from the 10 years to May
2014, which saw an annual growth rate of
10.3%. The forecast declines have and will
impact Western Australia, Queensland and
New South Wales more so than other states
in terms of direct mining employment;
however, the flow-on impact of the decline
will be felt most by industries supporting
the mining sector. These satellite industries
include construction (development of mine
sites and infrastructure), transport, postal
and warehousing (materials handling and
transport), manufacturing (downstream
processing) and professional, scientific and
technical services (engineering and technical
support services).
Remuneration strategies remain
consistent with the previous two
surveys. The preferred non-cash form of
remuneration is equity-based remuneration.
Sixty-four per cent of companies
(2014:65%) are supplementing base
remuneration with share-based payments.
The number of companies offering flexible
working hours did increase significantly to
42% from 28%.
Winning the talent battle
On winning the talent
battle conditions:
“With non-cash remuneration
likely to become ever less
appealing given the returns on
smaller cap stocks, and cash
at a premium, a significant
challenge for the sector is to
retain talent and corporate
knowledge”
Brock Mackenzie
Partner – Audit & Assurance
“The cost differential in relation
to developing nations seems
to have diminished due to
increased labour costs and the
weaker Australian dollar.”
Dr Mike Jones
Managing Director
Impact Minerals
28. 25 JUMEX Industry Position Survey
Survey methodology
About the survey
This is the sixth survey of junior mining and
exploration companies commissioned by
Grant Thornton Australia.
The survey was conducted via a combination of online
surveys and face-to-face interviews during July and
August 2015, with 108 responses received. The majority
of responses (67%) were received from Managing
Directors, CFOs, CEOs and Executive Directors. The
remainder were primarily non-executive directors,
company secretaries and board chairman.
NT 5%
TAS 1%
NSW 7%
QLD 13%
SA 8%
71%
Figure 23: Stage of flagship project (%)
Greenfield
Exploration
Brownfield
Exploration
Scoping
Study
Pre-
Feasibility
Bankable
Feasibility
Development
Mining
11
17
7
22
15
9
19
Enquiries regarding
this survey may be
directed to:
Holly Stiles
Partner
T +61 2 8297 2487
E holly.stiles@au.gt.com
Brock Mackenzie
Partner
T +61 3 8663 6273
E brock.mackenzie@au.gt.com
Location of flagship asset
3%
1%
4%
11%
Figure 22: Key resource of flagship project (%)
Coal
Copper
Gold
Graphite
Iron Ore
Lithium
Mineral
sands
Nickel
Other
Uranium
Zinc
6
22
25
3
7
3
2
8
12
6
7
Figure 24: Current market capitalisation (%)
<$1m
$1m – $2m
$2m – $5m
$5m –
$10m
$10m –
$20m
$20m –
$100m
$100m –
$500m
>$500m
2
4 7
15
21
15
30
6
VIC 0%
WA 37%
ACT 0%
2%
2%
6%
29. JUMEX Industry Position Survey 26
ANZ provide a range of banking and financial products and services to around eight million
customers and employ 48,000 people worldwide. Thank you in particular to Daniel Hynes
who assisted with the macro-economic view and commodities outlook which is presented in
the paper.
The Association of Mining and Exploration Companies (AMEC), which is the peak
industry representative body for mineral exploration and mining companies throughout
Australia. Our sincere thanks to Simon Bennison and his team for participating in our
boardroom research discussions and helping us communicate the results.
Our sincere appreciation is extended to those that assisted us with this research and
contributed to developing our deeper understanding of the market. We reached out to
and were supported by a number of parties including:
Contributors
30. 27 JUMEX Industry Position Survey
Holly Stiles
Sydney
Partner – Corporate Finance
T +61 2 8297 2487
E holly.stiles@au.gt.com
Justin Humphrey
Adelaide
Partner – Audit & Assurance
T +61 8 8372 6621
E justin.humphrey@au.gt.com
Tim Hands
Brisbane
Partner – Tax
T +61 7 3222 0367
E tim.hands@au.gt.com
Gerry Mier
Cairns
Market Leader
T +61 7 4046 8800
E gerry.mier@au.gt.com
Brad Taylor
Melbourne
Partner – Audit & Assurance
T +61 3 8663 6137
E brad.taylor@au.gt.com
Peter Hills
Perth
Partner – Tax
T +61 8 9480 2126
E peter.hills@au.gt.com
Key contacts
31. JUMEX Industry Position Survey 28
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