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GLOBAL RETAIL
DESTINATION
INDEX 2016
RANKING OUR GLOBAL RETAIL CENTRES
London’s West End is one of the world’s leading retail
destinations. London regularly tops the ranking for overseas
visitor numbers and spend (Mastercard Global Destination
Cities Index), and London’s West End retail district, centred
on Bond Street, Oxford Street and Regent Street is one of
the most successful in the world, with an annual turnover in
excess of £8.8bn. International visitors are key consumers
in London’s West End, accounting for 25% of total spend, yet
London’s West End’s global appeal as a shopping destination
and as a place to trade is less understood.
At New West End Company we want to strengthen and
better understand our position from a global benchmarking
perspective, to identify areas of the visitor and retailer
experience that need further investment and focus to ensure
we maintain our top tier position as a global destination to
shop, visit, trade and invest.
This comprehensive review, compiled by Savills, draws
together a range of metrics from visitor and retailer
perspectives, both quantitative and qualitative, at a city
and local level across seven global retail destinations.
Jace Tyrrell
New West End Company
2
GLOBAL RANKING HIGHLIGHTS
London is forecast to see retail sales
growth of 2.9% per annum over the
next five years, outperforming the
2.7% forecast for New York.
West End retail sales
forecast to increase
by 27.8% to £11.3
billion ($16.4 bn) by
2020. Visitors number
to increase by 30%
when Crossrail opens.
Overseas v
to expand b
to the end o
London’s W
a 55.3% inc
visitors ove
months of
96% of retailers stated they
would recommend London’s
West End as a place to trade.
96% +2.9%
New York 1st, Hong Kong 3rd,
Dubai 4th, Singapore 5th,
Paris 6th, Milan 7th
2 London’s West
End ranked number
2 in the World,
and 1 in Europe.
55
£11.3 bn
4
*Millward Brown’s 2015 Brandz list
s
Overseas visitors to London forecast
to expand by 3.9% per annum through
to the end of 2020.
London’s West End reported
a 55.3% increase in Chinese
visitors over the first nine
months of 2015 alone.
All 10 top ten
luxury brands in
the world are in
London’s West End*.
Chinese spend in the
West End accounted for
20% of all tax free spend
in 2015, with average
transaction spend of
over £1,600 (US$2,400)
on Bond Street.
+3.9%
20%
55.3%
bn TOP
10
5
GLOBAL RANKING HIGHLIGHTS
London is forecast to see retail sales
growth of 2.9% per annum over the
next five years, outperforming the
2.7% forecast for New York.
West End retail sales
forecast to increase
by 27.8% to £11.3
billion ($16.4 bn) by
2020. Visitors number
to increase by 30%
when Crossrail opens.
Overseas v
to expand b
to the end o
London’s W
a 55.3% inc
visitors ove
months of 2
96% of retailers stated they
would recommend London’s
West End as a place to trade.
96% +2.9%
New York 1st, Hong Kong 3rd,
Dubai 4th, Singapore 5th,
Paris 6th, Milan 7th
2 London’s West
End ranked number
2 in the World,
and 1 in Europe.
55
£11.3 bn
4
GLOBAL COMPETITORS AND METHODOLOGY
TABLE 2 GLO
TABLE 1
Global city/
retail location
type
Premier touris
domestic retail
location
Premier
international
flagship
location*
Premier luxury
location
Note*: Premier Intern
Note**: Dubai Mall lo
As a result each ‘strip
Savills, in partne
quantitative met
qualitative featu
marketing initia
scored separate
The ‘physical’ sc
generate separa
This was design
areas, attractive
The ‘perception’
over 1,500 surve
around quality o
and general sati
experience of Th
related to the sh
GLOBAL RETAIL CITY DESTINATION RANKING
The top ranking Global Retail City from the analysis is New York. London’s West End ranked
second alongside Hong Kong, followed by Dubai. New York’s top position was driven by its top
ranking ‘perception’ score and its strong ‘physical’ score.
Based purely on quantitative metrics, London’s West End is the top ranking Global City (Figure 1).
It ranked 5th in its qualitative ‘perception’ score’. (Figure 2). The fundamentals that make London
an attractive place to visit (cultural appeal, airline accessibility etc), which in turn attracts new
international retailers which improves the quality and variety of its retail environment, are
sound. It is these fundamentals that no doubt supported the 96% of London’s West End survey
respondents who would recommend it as a place to trade, the highest proportional response
across the Global Cities.
Source: Savills Research; The Retail Group;
Oxford Economics; MORI
The Global Cities selected for benchmarking were those, like London, that are key destinations
for international visitors, plus are those where shopping is a key tourist activity and/or attraction
of the city. This process identified New York, Paris, Hong Kong, Singapore and Dubai as suitable
comparator cities. Milan was included due to its ‘fashion capital’ reputation (see Table 1).
In each of the Global Cities, comparator retail locations to those of the prime retail streets of
the West End, Bond Street, Regent Street and Oxford Street (western end) were also identified.
This was to allow for some level of ‘like-for-like’ comparison in terms of retail offer.
2015 Global Retail City
Destination Index Ranking
1st New York
2nd London’s West End
3rd Hong Kong
4th Dubai
5th Singapore
6th Paris
7th Milan
FIGURE 1 ‘PHYSICAL’ QUANTITATIVE SCORE RANKING FIGURE 2 ‘PERCEPTION’ QUALITATIVE SCORE RANKING
Source: Savills Research; Oxford Economics; MORI
PHYSICAL (retail sales, tourist flows, property costs, retail mix)
Source: The Retail Group
PERCEPTION (quality of shopper services, facilities,
public realm, perceived issues, marketing initiatives)
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650
Milan
Singapore
Paris
Dubai
Hong Kong
New York
London’s
West End
WEIGHTED SCORE
Retailer attractiveness Visitor attractiveness Retail offer
0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600
SCORE
New York
Dubai
Hong Kong
Singapore
London's
West End
Paris
Milan
6
TABLE 2 GLOBAL CITY SELECTION
Global city/
retail location
type
London Paris Milan New York Dubai** Hong Kong Singapore
Premier tourist/
domestic retail
location
Oxford Street
West
Bvd. Hausmann C. Buenos Aires Soho, Broadway Dubai Mall,
Star/ Grand
Atrium strip
Times Square,
Causeway Bay
VivoCity
Premier
international
flagship
location*
Regent Street Champs-
Elysees
C. Vittorio
Emanuele
Fifth Avenue
(49th/60th)
Dubai Mall,
Fashion Catwalk
Canton Road,
TST
ION Orchard,
Orchard Rd
Premier luxury
location
Bond Street Ave. Montaigne Via Monte
Napoleone
Madison Avenue
(55th/72nd)
Dubai Mall,
Fashion Ave
The Landmark,
Central
Shoppes@
Marina Bay
Sands
Note*: Premier International flagship locations based on it having some luxury brand flagships but not exclusively.
Note**: Dubai Mall locations were based on their brand positioning in comparison to the key retail destinations in the West End.
As a result each ‘strip’ in the mall was treated like a ‘street’.
Savills, in partnership with The Retail Group, devised an approach to assess the ‘physical’
quantitative metrics (retail sales, tourist flows, property costs, retail mix) and more ‘perception’
qualitative features (quality of shopper services, facilities, public realm, perceived issues and
marketing initiatives) of London’s West End. The ‘physical’ and ‘perception’ attributes were
scored separately with both scores combined in order to rank the Global Cities.
The ‘physical’ score, which drew on various weighted data metrics, was broken down to
generate separate scores in regards to retailer and visitor attractiveness, and retail offer.
This was designed to assess those factors which makes a city, including its more localised
areas, attractive to international visitors and retailers.
The ‘perception’ score was derived from retailer surveys in each of the Global Cities, with
over 1,500 surveys distributed in total. The survey deployed consisted of 50 questions grouped
around quality of welcome/service; facilities; problem areas; marketing activity; themed events;
and general satisfaction. Approaching retailers rather than shoppers drew on the surveying
experience of The Retail Group in that they tend to be more aware of the strengths and weaknesses
related to the shopper and retailing experience in their local area than those visiting.
“This was designed to
assess those factors that
make a city, including its
more localised areas,
attractive to international
visitors and retailers.”
h; The Retail Group;
I
il City
x Ranking
st End
NG
1,400 1,600
7
GLOBAL COMPETITORS AND METHODOLOGY
TABLE 2 GLO
TABLE 1
Global city/
retail location
type
Premier touris
domestic retail
location
Premier
international
flagship
location*
Premier luxury
location
Note*: Premier Intern
Note**: Dubai Mall lo
As a result each ‘strip
Savills, in partne
quantitative met
qualitative featur
marketing initiat
scored separate
The ‘physical’ sc
generate separa
This was design
areas, attractive
The ‘perception’
over 1,500 surve
around quality o
and general sati
experience of Th
related to the sh
GLOBAL RETAIL CITY DESTINATION RANKING
The top ranking Global Retail City from the analysis is New York. London’s West End ranked
second alongside Hong Kong, followed by Dubai. New York’s top position was driven by its top
ranking ‘perception’ score and its strong ‘physical’ score.
Based purely on quantitative metrics, London’s West End is the top ranking Global City (Figure 1).
It ranked 5th in its qualitative ‘perception’ score’. (Figure 2). The fundamentals that make London
an attractive place to visit (cultural appeal, airline accessibility etc), which in turn attracts new
international retailers which improves the quality and variety of its retail environment, are
sound. It is these fundamentals that no doubt supported the 96% of London’s West End survey
respondents who would recommend it as a place to trade, the highest proportional response
across the Global Cities.
Source: Savills Research; The Retail Group;
Oxford Economics; MORI
The Global Cities selected for benchmarking were those, like London, that are key destinations
for international visitors, plus are those where shopping is a key tourist activity and/or attraction
of the city. This process identified New York, Paris, Hong Kong, Singapore and Dubai as suitable
comparator cities. Milan was included due to its ‘fashion capital’ reputation (see Table 1).
In each of the Global Cities, comparator retail locations to those of the prime retail streets of
the West End, Bond Street, Regent Street and Oxford Street (western end) were also identified.
This was to allow for some level of ‘like-for-like’ comparison in terms of retail offer.
2015 Global Retail City
Destination Index Ranking
1st New York
2nd London’s West End
3rd Hong Kong
4th Dubai
5th Singapore
6th Paris
7th Milan
FIGURE 1 ‘PHYSICAL’ QUANTITATIVE SCORE RANKING FIGURE 2 ‘PERCEPTION’ QUALITATIVE SCORE RANKING
Source: Savills Research; Oxford Economics; MORI
PHYSICAL (retail sales, tourist flows, property costs, retail mix)
Source: The Retail Group
PERCEPTION (quality of shopper services, facilities,
public realm, perceived issues, marketing initiatives)
0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650
Milan
Singapore
Paris
Dubai
Hong Kong
New York
London’s
West End
WEIGHTED SCORE
Retailer attractiveness Visitor attractiveness Retail offer
0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600
SCORE
New York
Dubai
Hong Kong
Singapore
London's
West End
Paris
Milan
6
GLOBAL COMPETITORS AND METHODOLOGY
TABLE 3 MASTERCARD GLOBAL DESTINATION CITIES INDEX 2015
Source: Mastercard
FIGURE 3 ‘PH
Source: Savills Resea
PHYSICAL (retail sale
London topped Mastercard’s Global Destination
Cities Index again in 2015 attracting 18.8 million
overseas visitors spending a total of £13.2 billion
(US$20.2 billion) (see Table 3). This influx of
international tourists alone has raised London’s,
and the West End’s, attractiveness to retailers
as a place to trade.
London’s West End retail sales profile, including tourist expenditure, is reflected in the influx of
new international retail brands that have opened their first store in the city. Between January
2014 and December 2015, 57 retail brands opened their first ever store in London, 60% of which
were located within the West End. If new international restaurant operators and gallery openings
were included the number increases to 77. With a further 13 new international brands already
committed in the pipeline for 2016, London and the West End’s retailer appeal continues.
Additional attributes such as domestic retail spend and total occupational costs, along with the
tourist metrics, were examined across the seven global cities in order to rank their attractiveness
from a retailer perspective. The results from this analysis ranked London second to New York
(see Figure 3).
New York’s top r
including that on
visitor in 2015. A
totalled approxim
was £121.7 billio
when examining
the region of £8,
higher than the £
is also reflected
on the luxury ind
personal luxury
2014, twice that
billion (US$12.6
International overnight visitors International overnight visitor spend (US$) Average spend per international visitor (US$)
London 18.8m £13.2bn ($20.2bn) £703 ($1,075)
Paris 16.1m £10.9bn ($16.6bn) £676 ($1,034)
Dubai 14.3m £7.6bn ($11.7bn) £535 ($819)
New York 12.3m £11.4bn ($17.4bn) £926 ($1,416)
Singapore 11.9m £9.5bn ($14.6bn) £805 ($1,232)
Hong Kong 8.7m £4.8bn ($7.4bn) £562 ($859)
Milan 7.2m £3.2bn ($4.9bn) £447 ($683)
0 20
Milan
New York
London’s
West End
Hong Kong
Dubai
Paris
Singapore
8
FIGURE 3 ‘PHYSICAL’ SCORE INDEX: RETAILER ATTRACTIVENESS
Source: Savills Research; Oxford Economics
PHYSICAL (retail sales, tourist flows, property costs, retail mix)
FIGURE 4 TOTAL 2015 RETAIL SALES AND FORECAST
GROWTH PER ANNUM
Source: Oxford Economics
PERCEPTION (quality of shopper services, facilities,
public realm, perceived issues, marketing initiatives)
$258.3
$186.2
$152.4
$64.3
$49.9
$33.3 $32.0
0.0%
0.5%
1.0%
1.5%
2.0%
2.5%
3.0%
3.5%
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
New York London Paris Hong Kong Milan Dubai Singapore
RETAILSALESGROWTHPERANNUM2016-20
2015RETAILSALESUS$BN
Forecast growth per annum 2016-20
New York’s top ranking position was driven by its retail sales volume;
including that on personal luxury goods and inbound travel spend per
visitor in 2015. According to Oxford Economics, retail sales in New York
totalled approximately £168.9 billion (US$258.3 billion), in London it
was £121.7 billion (US$186.2 billion) (Figure 4). A similar pattern exists
when examining this on a per capita basis with annual retail spend in
the region of £8,500 (US$13,000) per inhabitant in New York, marginally
higher than the £8,200 (US$12,500) reported for London. This difference
is also reflected in luxury sales. Altagamma & Bain (consultants focused
on the luxury industry) estimated that New York had the highest level of
personal luxury goods spend totalling £16.3 billion (US$24.9 billion) in
2014, twice that of second and third placed Paris and London with £8.2
billion (US$12.6 billion) and £7.4 billion (US$11.3 billion) respectively.
The gap in retail sales between the two cities is set to narrow with the
growth in London’s retail sales forecast to outpace that of New York with
average growth of 2.9% per annum through to the end of 2020; 2.7% per
annum is forecast for New York (Figure 4). Dubai is expected to report
the most rapid level of growth over the same period although this does
reflect growth off a lower base.
al visitor (US$)
0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300
Milan
WEIGHTED SCORE
Retailer attractiveness
New York
London’s
West End
Hong Kong
Dubai
Paris
Singapore
9
GLOBAL COMPETITORS AND METHODOLOGY
TABLE 3 MASTERCARD GLOBAL DESTINATION CITIES INDEX 2015
Source: Mastercard
FIGURE 3 ‘PH
Source: Savills Resea
PHYSICAL (retail sale
London topped Mastercard’s Global Destination
Cities Index again in 2015 attracting 18.8 million
overseas visitors spending a total of £13.2 billion
(US$20.2 billion) (see Table 3). This influx of
international tourists alone has raised London’s,
and the West End’s, attractiveness to retailers
as a place to trade.
London’s West End retail sales profile, including tourist expenditure, is reflected in the influx of
new international retail brands that have opened their first store in the city. Between January
2014 and December 2015, 57 retail brands opened their first ever store in London, 60% of which
were located within the West End. If new international restaurant operators and gallery openings
were included the number increases to 77. With a further 13 new international brands already
committed in the pipeline for 2016, London and the West End’s retailer appeal continues.
Additional attributes such as domestic retail spend and total occupational costs, along with the
tourist metrics, were examined across the seven global cities in order to rank their attractiveness
from a retailer perspective. The results from this analysis ranked London second to New York
(see Figure 3).
New York’s top r
including that on
visitor in 2015. Ac
totalled approxim
was £121.7 billion
when examining
the region of £8,5
higher than the £
is also reflected
on the luxury ind
personal luxury
2014, twice that o
billion (US$12.6 b
International overnight visitors International overnight visitor spend (US$) Average spend per international visitor (US$)
London 18.8m £13.2bn ($20.2bn) £703 ($1,075)
Paris 16.1m £10.9bn ($16.6bn) £676 ($1,034)
Dubai 14.3m £7.6bn ($11.7bn) £535 ($819)
New York 12.3m £11.4bn ($17.4bn) £926 ($1,416)
Singapore 11.9m £9.5bn ($14.6bn) £805 ($1,232)
Hong Kong 8.7m £4.8bn ($7.4bn) £562 ($859)
Milan 7.2m £3.2bn ($4.9bn) £447 ($683)
0 20
Milan
New York
London’s
West End
Hong Kong
Dubai
Paris
Singapore
8
THE CROSSRAIL EFFECT
While major infr
retail sales that
growth at a city l
per annum over
with economic g
has been attribu
of its workforce
businesses and
of other Global C
The retail sales
When asked if th
the greatest pro
End it was 69.5%
performance do
have been heavi
fluctuations whi
bulk of overseas
emphasised by th
as a place to trad
FIGURE 5 PRO
THE
Source: The Retail GrTfL upgrade to Tottenham Court Road Station, New Plaza Entrance
In the case of London’s West End, the expansion in
retail sales may be even more pronounced due to
the arrival of Crossrail in 2018. Harper Dennis Hobbs,
on behalf of New West End Company, estimate that
Crossrail could result in a 27.8% increase in West End
retail sales to £11.3 billion by 2020 due to an additional
60 million visits each year, and major infrastructure
developments with substantial retail, office and
residential developments.
9
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Lo
We
%OFRESPONDENTSAGREEING
TOSTRONGLYAGREEING
10
While major infrastructure projects, like Crossrail, will have a beneficial impact on the volume of
retail sales that could be captured by the West End, macro drivers such as population and economic
growth at a city level will also be instrumental. London is forecast to see population growth of 1.2%
per annum over the next five years exceeding the 0.5% growth forecast for both New York and Paris
with economic growth forecast to average 3.2% over the same period. This faster level of growth
has been attributed in part to London’s time zone, sitting between the US and Asia, the quality
of its workforce, and its relatively low corporation and personal tax regime, which attracts new
businesses and fuels expansion. This is aiding population growth and in turn retail spend ahead
of other Global Cities particularly those in Europe.
The retail sales profile across the Global Cities is also evident in the location survey responses.
When asked if they were happy with current trading performance, retailers in New York reported
the greatest proportion who stated they were satisfied to very satisfied (90.5%). In London’s West
End it was 69.5%, ranking it fifth ahead of Milan and Singapore. This sentiment regarding trade
performance does reflect a specific point in time. In the case of London’s West End it is likely to
have been heavily influenced by the disruption experienced during Crossrail works and currency
fluctuations which contributed to a squeeze in retail spend from Eurozone visitors, who form the
bulk of overseas visitors to London. This potential short term impact on trading performance is
emphasised by the fact that 96.0% of these same respondents would recommend London’s West End
as a place to trade, the highest proportional response across the seven Global Cities (see Figure 5).
FIGURE 5 PROPORTION WHO AGREED/STRONGLY AGREED WITH RECOMMENDING
THEIR CITY/LOCATION AS A PLACE TO TRADE
Source: The Retail Group
96.0% 93.0% 89.5%
83.3% 83.3%
76.5%
50.0%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
London's
West End
Dubai New York Paris Milan Hong Kong Singapore
%OFRESPONDENTSAGREEING
TOSTRONGLYAGREEING
11
THE CROSSRAIL EFFECT
While major infra
retail sales that c
growth at a city l
per annum over
with economic g
has been attribu
of its workforce,
businesses and
of other Global C
The retail sales
When asked if th
the greatest pro
End it was 69.5%
performance do
have been heavi
fluctuations whi
bulk of overseas
emphasised by th
as a place to trad
FIGURE 5 PRO
THE
Source: The Retail GrTfL upgrade to Tottenham Court Road Station, New Plaza Entrance
In the case of London’s West End, the expansion in
retail sales may be even more pronounced due to
the arrival of Crossrail in 2018. Harper Dennis Hobbs,
on behalf of New West End Company, estimate that
Crossrail could result in a 27.8% increase in West End
retail sales to £11.3 billion by 2020 due to an additional
60 million visits each year, and major infrastructure
developments with substantial retail, office and
residential developments.
9
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Lo
We
%OFRESPONDENTSAGREEING
TOSTRONGLYAGREEING
10
AN AFFORDABLE OPTION
London’s West End’s relatively lower occupational costs also enhances
its attractiveness to retailers. Examining prime total occupational costs
on a per sq ft basis across the Global Cities, London’s Bond Street ranks
fourth with New York’s Fifth Avenue being the most expensive (Table 4).
While cost of occupation is an important consideration it is really
profitability that determines a locations strength. The ability to assess
profitability is difficult as there is very little transparency surrounding
sales at store level. One potential gauge of profitability however, is to
examine retail sales at a city level relative to indicative occupational
costs, as detailed in Figure 6.
Based on this, London appears to be the most ‘profitable’ based
on 2015 retail spend and total occupational costs with £57.4 million
(US$87.8 million) of sales per sq ft of total occupational costs.
TABLE 4 INDICATIVE PRIME TOTAL OCCUPATIONAL COSTS AS OF Q4 2015
FIGURE 6 TOTAL RETAIL SALES PER SQ FT OF OCCUPATIONAL COST
Source: Savills Research
Note: Additional occupational costs includes typical service charge, Government/property tax, typical agent fee paid by retailer and any other additional costs paid by the retailer when
acquiring a new store. The rent reflects cost across the entire property and not just Zone A rents in the case of London. Currency exchange based on average for December 2015.
Source: Savills Research; Oxford Economics
$0
$20
$40
$60
$80
$100
London’s
West End
Singapore New York Paris Dubai Milan Hong Kong
TOTALSALESPER$OFTOTAL
OCCUPATIONALCOSTS(MM)
US$ per sq ft per annum Prime rent per sq ft Additional occupational costs per sq ft Total occupational costs per sq ft
New York (Fifth Ave) £2,330 ($3,500) £270 ($400) £2,600 ($3,900)
Hong Kong (Canton Rd, TST) £1,500 ($2,300) £270 ($400) £1,770 ($2,700)
Paris (Champs Elysées) £1,400 ($2,100) £130 ($200) £1,530 ($2,300)
London (Bond Street) £1,000 ($1,500) £400 ($600) £1,400 ($2,100)
Milan (Via Monte Napoleone) £500 ($760) £50 ($80) £550 ($840)
Singapore (Orchard Road) £170 ($260) £60 ($90) £230 ($350)
Dubai (Dubai Mall) £160 ($240) £40 ($60) £200 ($300)
13
A PLACE TO SHOP
London’s West End achieved the highest visitor
attractiveness score as part of the quantitative
analysis, performing well in terms of overall
accessibility and cultural amenities. This is
reflected in London’s position as one of the
most visited city destinations by international
tourists (MasterCard’s Global Destination
Cities Index).
Visa requirem
city for intern
that can visit
waiver. While
scored bette
France and I
highlighted b
an initiative N
forward. The
lobbying to in
visa for Chin
of the British
attracting an
These visa im
will help mai
for internatio
overnight vis
of 3.9% betw
some of the o
Kong and Du
visitors of 9.8
The drivers of London’s appeal to international visitors
London’s 2012 Olympics did an incredible job at marketing London on
the global stage but it is not the only reason why international tourist
numbers continue to grow. In MORI’s 2015 Global Power City Index
London was ranked first and second in terms of Cultural Interaction
and Accessibility, respectively across the 40 cities they examined
globally. It is this cultural appeal and ease of access that has helped
to underpin the growing attraction of London to international visitors.
London’s strong international accessibility is demonstrated in the
passenger numbers handled by London’s two principle airports,
Heathrow and Gatwick. Both airports serve an average of 190
destinations and handled a total of 115 million passengers in 2015,
3.4% up on the previous year (see Figure 7). This exceeds the passenger
numbers handled by its comparator city airports, although in growth
terms it lagged behind Dubai, Hong Kong and New York pointing to
some potential capacity constraints.
FIGURE 7 2015 ANNUAL PASSENGER NUMBERS BY CITY
Source: Anna Aero; Airport websites; CAA
Note*: Estimated totals for 2015 based on YTD performance.
Data is based on the two largest international airports in each city, where relevant.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
London Paris New York* Dubai* Hong Kong Singapore* Milan
%CHANGEON2014
2015ANNUALPASSENGERNUMBERS(MILLION)
2015 % change on 2014
“Ease of
also crit
improve
an initia
been ins
14
Visa requirements play a key role in determining the attractiveness of a
city for international visitors. There are approximately 90 nationalities
that can visit the UK (London) without a visa or on an electronic visa
waiver. While this is lower than Hong Kong and Singapore, the UK
scored better against the US and even the Eurozone countries of
France and Italy. Ease of the visa application process is also critical as
highlighted by the need to improve the system for Chinese nationals,
an initiative New West End Company has been instrumental in driving
forward. The UK China Visa Alliance (UKCVA) has been successful in its
lobbying to introduce a simplified visa process, including a new 2 year
visa for Chinese nationals visiting the UK and London. This extension
of the British visitor visa will help to redress this balance potentially
attracting an additional 265,000 Chinese visitors to the UK each year.
These visa improvements and London’s continued international appeal
will help maintain its position as one of the top Global City destinations
for international tourists. Forecasts from Oxford Economics suggest that
overnight visitor numbers to Central London will expand by an average
of 3.9% between 2016 and 2020. However, the gap between London and
some of the other Global Cities could narrow over this period with Hong
Kong and Dubai forecast to report average growth in overnight overseas
visitors of 9.8% and 9.7% respectively (Figure 8).
FIGURE 8 OVERNIGHT INTERNATIONAL VISITOR GROWTH
FORECASTS: AVERAGE GROWTH PER ANNUM 2016-2020
Source: Oxford Economics
CITY
relevant.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
re* Milan
%CHANGEON2014
% change on 2014
9.8% 9.7%
6.3% 6.0%
3.9% 3.8%
3.3%
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
Hong Kong Dubai Singapore New York London Milan Paris
AVERAGEGROWTHPERANNUM2016-20
“Ease of the visa application process is
also critical as highlighted by the need to
improve the system for Chinese nationals,
an initiative New West End Company has
been instrumental in driving forward.”
15
A PLACE TO SHOP
London’s West End achieved the highest visitor
attractiveness score as part of the quantitative
analysis, performing well in terms of overall
accessibility and cultural amenities. This is
reflected in London’s position as one of the
most visited city destinations by international
tourists (MasterCard’s Global Destination
Cities Index).
Visa requirem
city for intern
that can visit
waiver. While
scored bette
France and I
highlighted b
an initiative N
forward. The
lobbying to in
visa for Chin
of the British
attracting an
These visa im
will help mai
for internatio
overnight vis
of 3.9% betw
some of the o
Kong and Du
visitors of 9.8
The drivers of London’s appeal to international visitors
London’s 2012 Olympics did an incredible job at marketing London on
the global stage but it is not the only reason why international tourist
numbers continue to grow. In MORI’s 2015 Global Power City Index
London was ranked first and second in terms of Cultural Interaction
and Accessibility, respectively across the 40 cities they examined
globally. It is this cultural appeal and ease of access that has helped
to underpin the growing attraction of London to international visitors.
London’s strong international accessibility is demonstrated in the
passenger numbers handled by London’s two principle airports,
Heathrow and Gatwick. Both airports serve an average of 190
destinations and handled a total of 115 million passengers in 2015,
3.4% up on the previous year (see Figure 7). This exceeds the passenger
numbers handled by its comparator city airports, although in growth
terms it lagged behind Dubai, Hong Kong and New York pointing to
some potential capacity constraints.
FIGURE 7 2015 ANNUAL PASSENGER NUMBERS BY CITY
Source: Anna Aero; Airport websites; CAA
Note*: Estimated totals for 2015 based on YTD performance.
Data is based on the two largest international airports in each city, where relevant.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
London Paris New York* Dubai* Hong Kong Singapore* Milan
%CHANGEON2014
2015ANNUALPASSENGERNUMBERS(MILLION)
2015 % change on 2014
“Ease of
also crit
improve
an initia
been ins
14
London’s West End’s retail district offer is an added draw for
international visitors. It is home to over 600 stores and 120 international
brands, with globally recognised addresses such as Bond Street,
Regent Street and Oxford Street, making it one of the world’s largest
retail destinations. Shopping unsurprisingly therefore features as a
key activity for international visitors to London with 81% engaging in
the activity at some point during their trip. Two percent of these state
that their only reason for visiting London is to shop.
The reason why shopping is a key activity for international visitors is
due to the quality and variety of retail brands concentrated in London’s
West End’s retail district, ranking second only to Dubai in terms of its
retail offer as assessed via the quantitative metrics (see Figure 9).
The retail offer score takes into account the proportion of units occupied
by retail brands, brand variety, brand profile and presence of flagships
across its three streets relative to their comparator retail locations
in the other Global Cities. London’s West End’s retail district premier
luxury destination, Bond Street, scored very well in terms of its retail
offer topping the luxury street rankings of the Global Cities. For
example, 96.5% of all ground floor uses on Bond Street are occupied
by retail brands as opposed to 82.1% on Avenue Montaigne in Paris
suggesting a more focused retail experience on Bond Street. This meant
it also scored well in relation to its brand profile. All of the top 10 luxury
brands by value, as identified in Millward Brown’s 2015 Brandz list, have
a presence on Bond Street. The only other luxury location to achieve this
was Shoppes @ Marina Sands Singapore, which considering its size and
the fact that it is purpose built is understandable.
London’s West E
location survey r
said they agreed
End ‘has the bes
third behind New
compared to Par
A feature not tak
which has added
is the walkable p
Street, Regent S
transport acces
means London’s
further enhancin
FIGURE 9 ‘PHYSICAL’ QUANTITATIVE SCORE: RETAIL OFFER
Source: Savills Research
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150
Paris
WEIGHTED SCORE
Retail offer
Dubai
London's
West End
New York
Singapore
Milan
Hong Kong
“...its stron
and its cul
means Lo
internatio
enhancing
A PLACE TO SHOP
London’s West End achieved the highest visitor
attractiveness score as part of the quantitative
analysis, performing well in terms of overall
accessibility and cultural amenities. This is
reflected in London’s position as one of the
most visited city destinations by international
tourists (MasterCard’s Global Destination
Cities Index).
Visa requirem
city for intern
that can visit
waiver. While
scored bette
France and I
highlighted b
an initiative N
forward. The
lobbying to in
visa for Chin
of the British
attracting an
These visa im
will help mai
for internatio
overnight vis
of 3.9% betw
some of the o
Kong and Du
visitors of 9.8
The drivers of London’s appeal to international visitors
London’s 2012 Olympics did an incredible job at marketing London on
the global stage but it is not the only reason why international tourist
numbers continue to grow. In MORI’s 2015 Global Power City Index
London was ranked first and second in terms of Cultural Interaction
and Accessibility, respectively across the 40 cities they examined
globally. It is this cultural appeal and ease of access that has helped
to underpin the growing attraction of London to international visitors.
London’s strong international accessibility is demonstrated in the
passenger numbers handled by London’s two principle airports,
Heathrow and Gatwick. Both airports serve an average of 190
destinations and handled a total of 115 million passengers in 2015,
3.4% up on the previous year (see Figure 7). This exceeds the passenger
numbers handled by its comparator city airports, although in growth
terms it lagged behind Dubai, Hong Kong and New York pointing to
some potential capacity constraints.
FIGURE 7 2015 ANNUAL PASSENGER NUMBERS BY CITY
Source: Anna Aero; Airport websites; CAA
Note*: Estimated totals for 2015 based on YTD performance.
Data is based on the two largest international airports in each city, where relevant.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
London Paris New York* Dubai* Hong Kong Singapore* Milan
%CHANGEON2014
2015ANNUALPASSENGERNUMBERS(MILLION)
2015 % change on 2014
“Ease of
also crit
improve
an initia
been ins
14
A PLACE TO SHOP
London’s West End achieved the highest visitor
attractiveness score as part of the quantitative
analysis, performing well in terms of overall
accessibility and cultural amenities. This is
reflected in London’s position as one of the
most visited city destinations by international
tourists (MasterCard’s Global Destination
Cities Index).
Visa requirem
city for intern
that can visit
waiver. While
scored bette
France and I
highlighted b
an initiative N
forward. The
lobbying to in
visa for Chin
of the British
attracting an
These visa im
will help mai
for internatio
overnight vis
of 3.9% betw
some of the o
Kong and Du
visitors of 9.8
The drivers of London’s appeal to international visitors
London’s 2012 Olympics did an incredible job at marketing London on
the global stage but it is not the only reason why international tourist
numbers continue to grow. In MORI’s 2015 Global Power City Index
London was ranked first and second in terms of Cultural Interaction
and Accessibility, respectively across the 40 cities they examined
globally. It is this cultural appeal and ease of access that has helped
to underpin the growing attraction of London to international visitors.
London’s strong international accessibility is demonstrated in the
passenger numbers handled by London’s two principle airports,
Heathrow and Gatwick. Both airports serve an average of 190
destinations and handled a total of 115 million passengers in 2015,
3.4% up on the previous year (see Figure 7). This exceeds the passenger
numbers handled by its comparator city airports, although in growth
terms it lagged behind Dubai, Hong Kong and New York pointing to
some potential capacity constraints.
FIGURE 7 2015 ANNUAL PASSENGER NUMBERS BY CITY
Source: Anna Aero; Airport websites; CAA
Note*: Estimated totals for 2015 based on YTD performance.
Data is based on the two largest international airports in each city, where relevant.
0%
2%
4%
6%
8%
10%
12%
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
London Paris New York* Dubai* Hong Kong Singapore* Milan
%CHANGEON2014
2015ANNUALPASSENGERNUMBERS(MILLION)
2015 % change on 2014
“Ease of
also crit
improve
an initia
been ins
14
London’s West End’s healthy retail offer score is reflected in the
location survey responses. Eighty-six per cent of West End respondents
said they agreed/strongly agreed with the statement that London’s West
End ‘has the best choice and quality of shops in the World’ ranking it
third behind New York and Dubai and making it a European leader when
compared to Paris and Milan (Figure 10).
A feature not taken into account in the retail offer score, but one
which has added to the appeal of the West End as a retail destination
is the walkable proximity of the three premier destinations of Bond
Street, Regent Street and Oxford Street. Add to this its strong public
transport accessibility and its cultural and hospitality amenities,
means London’s West End’s is a unique international retail destination,
further enhancing its visitor appeal.
OFFER
120 130 140 150
Retail offer
FIGURE 10 SURVEY RESPONSE TO ‘THIS CITY HAS THE BEST CHOICE
AND QUALITY OF SHOPS IN THE WORLD’
Source: Oxford Economics
94.7%
88.4% 86.0%
76.5% 75.0% 73.3%
46.0%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
New York Dubai London's
West End
Hong Kong Milan Paris Singapore
%OFRESPONDENTSWHO
AGREEDTOSTRONGLYAGREED
“...its strong public transport accessibility
and its cultural and hospitality amenities,
means London’s West End is a unique
international retail destination, further
enhancing its visitor appeal.”
While the retail offer draws international visitors
into London’s West End to shop, the retailing
experience is critical to its global reputation
and driving repeat visits.
The individual su
experience scor
in Figure 12. On
all the individua
‘connectivity to a
proportion of re
above the Globa
the top three sco
and Dubai), Lond
shopping’. The b
three Global Citi
a feature that co
While the retail offer draws international visitors into London’s West
End’s retail district to shop, the retailing experience is critical to its
global reputation and driving repeat visits. The shopper ‘experience’ was
assessed via the location surveys focusing on those responses related
to ease of shopping, connectivity, service levels and directional signage.
Based on this assessment the West End scored well being a European
leader as it outperformed Paris and Milan, and ranked fourth across the
Global Cities (see Figure 11).
A SHOPPING EXPERIENCE
FIGURE 11 ‘PERCEPTION’ QUALITATIVE SCORE: THE SHOPPING EXPERIENCE FIGURE 12 LON
Source: The Retail Group Source: The Retail Gr
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
Hong Kong London's
West End
AGGREGATESCORE
MilanSingaporeParisDubaiNew York
94.0
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Ease
shopp
%OFRESPONDENTS
STATINGGOODTOVERYGOOD
18
The individual survey metrics that made up the aggregate shopping
experience score for London’s West End’s retail district is detailed
in Figure 12. On the whole London’s West End scored very well across
all the individual metrics. Its key strength areas are ‘ease of shopping’,
‘connectivity to attractions and ‘service levels in shops’ with the
proportion of respondents stating it as good to very good slightly
above the Global City average. When compared to the average across
the top three scoring shopper experience cities (Hong Kong, New York
and Dubai), London’s West End underperformed bar that for ‘ease of
shopping’. The biggest rating gap between London’s West End and the top
three Global Cities is for the public realm feature of directional signage,
a feature that could be easily improved through greater investment.
FIGURE 12 LONDON WEST END’S SHOPPING EXPERIENCE BREAKDOWN BY METRIC
Source: The Retail Group
94.0%
89.5% 88.0% 87.5% 83.5% 82.0%
74.0%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Ease of
shopping
Connectivity
to main
attractions
Service levels
in shops
Connectivity
from major
arrival points
Friendliness
of shop staff
Service levels
in cafes and
restaurants
Directional
signage to
shopping areas
%OFRESPONDENTS
STATINGGOODTOVERYGOOD
Global City average Top 3 Global City average
19
While the retail offer draws international visitors
into London’s West End to shop, the retailing
experience is critical to its global reputation
and driving repeat visits.
The individual su
experience scor
in Figure 12. On
all the individua
‘connectivity to a
proportion of re
above the Globa
the top three sco
and Dubai), Lond
shopping’. The b
three Global Citi
a feature that co
While the retail offer draws international visitors into London’s West
End’s retail district to shop, the retailing experience is critical to its
global reputation and driving repeat visits. The shopper ‘experience’ was
assessed via the location surveys focusing on those responses related
to ease of shopping, connectivity, service levels and directional signage.
Based on this assessment the West End scored well being a European
leader as it outperformed Paris and Milan, and ranked fourth across the
Global Cities (see Figure 11).
A SHOPPING EXPERIENCE
FIGURE 11 ‘PERCEPTION’ QUALITATIVE SCORE: THE SHOPPING EXPERIENCE FIGURE 12 LON
Source: The Retail Group Source: The Retail Gr
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
Hong Kong London's
West End
AGGREGATESCORE
MilanSingaporeParisDubaiNew York
94.0
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Ease
shopp
%OFRESPONDENTS
STATINGGOODTOVERYGOOD
18
Investment in the public realm is a further major challenge
for London’s West End retail district. The responses from
the location surveys saw it rank ahead of Paris and Milan
in regards the overall quality of its facilities and amenities,
albeit scored far behind the other Global Cities (see Figure 13).
This is largely due to its lower rated public realm features
including pedestrian walkways, rubbish collection, WiFi,
seating and public toilets. This relative underperformance
is even more pronounced when compared against the top
three facility and amenity scoring cities of Dubai, New York
and Hong Kong although its public transport accessibility
and street lighting is rated highly (see Figure 14).
IMPROVING FACILITIES
London’s
Dubai an
sense th
shopping
and ame
have bee
The fact that sho
means that it is f
New York achiev
environment to L
from how the cit
has partially attr
over-optimism.
Property Owner
interests of the m
This will help wit
realm such as th
FIGURE 13 ‘PERCEPTION’ QUALITATIVE SCORE: FACILITIES AND AMENITIES
Source: The Retail Group
Source: The Retail Gr
AGGREGATESCORE
2,033 1,952
1,812
1,511
982 963
138
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
Dubai New York Hong Kong Singapore London's
West End
Paris Milan
FIGURE 14 LON
91.5%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Accessibility
by public
transport
%OFRESPONDENTSSTATINGGOODTOVERYGOOD
20
London’s West End’s lower score relative to
Dubai and Hong Kong is understandable in the
sense that shopping in these cities is focused on
shopping centres, where the provision of facilities
and amenities as part of the public realm would
have been designed in ahead of development.
The fact that shopping centres tend to be under single ownership also
means that it is far easier to implement improvements. Considering that
New York achieved a higher score despite it having a very similar retail
environment to London suggests there may be lessons to be learned
from how the city manages its public realm. However, The Retail Group
has partially attributed New York’s high score to a certain level of cultural
over-optimism. New West End Company was formally instated as a
Property Owner Business Improvement District (BID), combining the
interests of the multiple property owners in the West End’s retail district.
This will help with the provision of new facilities and an improved public
realm such as the £11m Bond Street Development Plan (see image).
Public realm issues were also identified when survey respondents were
asked to rate how problematic certain features were in London’s West
End, with pavement condition and litter highlighted as major problems
by 14.0% and 13.5% of West End respondents respectively. In contrast,
no Hong Kong respondents noted pavement condition as a major problem
with 9.5% doing so in the New York surveys. While there are clear
challenges facing the West End’s retail environment, investment in the
public realm will mitigate some of these thereby improving the retail
experience for international and domestic shoppers, thus enhancing
retail spend and in turn the London’s West End’s global ranking.
Source: The Retail Group
CGI’s courtesy of Publica – Burlington Square,
Bond Street, before and after
FIGURE 14 LONDON’S WEST END FACILITY & AMENITY SCORE BREAKDOWN BY METRIC
Global City average Top 3 Global City average
91.5% 90.5%
63.5% 63.0% 63.0%
38.5%
29.5%
17.0%
12.5%
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
100%
Accessibility
by public
transport
Street Information,
maps andlighting
plans
Pedestrian
walkways &
priority
Rubbish
recycling bins
Digital
access / freeand
WiFi
Seating Public
toilets
Car
parking
%OFRESPONDENTSSTATINGGOODTOVERYGOOD
21
CONCLUSION ABOUT US
This study highlighted that the fundamentals that make
London’s West End an attractive place to visit and shop,
as well as a place to trade, are extremely robust. As a
result it is the premier Global Retail Destination in Europe,
ranking second globally behind New York. Current growth
forecasts in terms of retail spend and international
visitors to London as a whole suggest this global position
at a city level should be maintained. London’s West End
could in fact outperform the growth forecast for the wider
London area aided by the improvements to the British visa
system for Chinese nationals, the largest source market
for international tourists and spend globally, and the
arrival of Crossrail.
NEW WE
New We
for Lond
and orga
destinat
services
including
Its aim is
West En
growth a
of the ar
annual c
SAVILLS
Savills is
listed on
establish
growth.
and now
employin
While the fundamentals are robust the location surveys indicated some
challenges related to the quality of service, facilities, the public realm,
international marketing reach and operational difficulties associated
with opening stores. The positive, however, is that these are challenges
that can be addressed through the work of New West End Company
and its partners. Tackling these challenges will be vital to the West
End maintaining and even improving its global position as the rankings
presented in this study are not fixed. For example, Dubai is forecast to
report the strongest growth in retail sales over the next five years of
the seven Global Cities examined, potentially challenging London’s
West End’s current global position. Likewise an improvement in Hong
Kong’s retailing environment, which has suffered on the back of the
slowdown in the Chinese economy and decline in mainland Chinese
visitors, could also destabilise the current rankings.
The real immediate challenge however, is that of the West End’s public
realm. The location surveys highlighted that the West End underperforms
against its international competitors in regards to a number of public
realm features. As a result public realm investment offers the West End a
crucial opportunity to maintain and even improve its global positioning and
reputation in the face of mounting competition from other international
retail destinations.
22
ABOUT US
NEW WEST END COMPANY
New West End Company is a leading business voice
for London’s West End, representing the retailers
and organisations behind the world’s largest retail
destination. It delivers management and marketing
services to 25 streets within London’s retail heartland
including Bond Street, Oxford Street and Regent Street.
Its aim is to drive the change to create a truly unique
West End experience, unlock barriers for economic
growth and further strengthen the commercial success
of the area with its 65,000 employees and £8.8 billion
annual contribution to UK GDP.
SAVILLS
Savills is a leading global real estate service provider
listed on the London Stock Exchange. The company
established in 1855, has a rich heritage with unrivalled
growth. It is a company that leads rather than follows,
and now has over 700 owned and associate offices,
employing more than 30,000 people in over 60 countries.
End’s public
underperforms
er of public
s the West End a
l positioning and
international
23
For more information, please contact us:
Jace Tyrrell
T +44 (0)20 7462 0680
E jace.tyrrell@newwestend.com
Steven Medway
T +44 (0)20 7462 0680
Esteven.medway@newwestend.com
Marie Hickey
T +44 (0)20 3320 8288
E mlhickey@savills.com
For media enquiries please contact:
Dan Innes
T +44 (0)7973 387 545
E dan.innes@innesco.co.uk
@newwestend
newwestend.com

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Global Retail Destination Index 2016

  • 2. RANKING OUR GLOBAL RETAIL CENTRES London’s West End is one of the world’s leading retail destinations. London regularly tops the ranking for overseas visitor numbers and spend (Mastercard Global Destination Cities Index), and London’s West End retail district, centred on Bond Street, Oxford Street and Regent Street is one of the most successful in the world, with an annual turnover in excess of £8.8bn. International visitors are key consumers in London’s West End, accounting for 25% of total spend, yet London’s West End’s global appeal as a shopping destination and as a place to trade is less understood. At New West End Company we want to strengthen and better understand our position from a global benchmarking perspective, to identify areas of the visitor and retailer experience that need further investment and focus to ensure we maintain our top tier position as a global destination to shop, visit, trade and invest. This comprehensive review, compiled by Savills, draws together a range of metrics from visitor and retailer perspectives, both quantitative and qualitative, at a city and local level across seven global retail destinations. Jace Tyrrell New West End Company 2
  • 3.
  • 4. GLOBAL RANKING HIGHLIGHTS London is forecast to see retail sales growth of 2.9% per annum over the next five years, outperforming the 2.7% forecast for New York. West End retail sales forecast to increase by 27.8% to £11.3 billion ($16.4 bn) by 2020. Visitors number to increase by 30% when Crossrail opens. Overseas v to expand b to the end o London’s W a 55.3% inc visitors ove months of 96% of retailers stated they would recommend London’s West End as a place to trade. 96% +2.9% New York 1st, Hong Kong 3rd, Dubai 4th, Singapore 5th, Paris 6th, Milan 7th 2 London’s West End ranked number 2 in the World, and 1 in Europe. 55 £11.3 bn 4
  • 5. *Millward Brown’s 2015 Brandz list s Overseas visitors to London forecast to expand by 3.9% per annum through to the end of 2020. London’s West End reported a 55.3% increase in Chinese visitors over the first nine months of 2015 alone. All 10 top ten luxury brands in the world are in London’s West End*. Chinese spend in the West End accounted for 20% of all tax free spend in 2015, with average transaction spend of over £1,600 (US$2,400) on Bond Street. +3.9% 20% 55.3% bn TOP 10 5 GLOBAL RANKING HIGHLIGHTS London is forecast to see retail sales growth of 2.9% per annum over the next five years, outperforming the 2.7% forecast for New York. West End retail sales forecast to increase by 27.8% to £11.3 billion ($16.4 bn) by 2020. Visitors number to increase by 30% when Crossrail opens. Overseas v to expand b to the end o London’s W a 55.3% inc visitors ove months of 2 96% of retailers stated they would recommend London’s West End as a place to trade. 96% +2.9% New York 1st, Hong Kong 3rd, Dubai 4th, Singapore 5th, Paris 6th, Milan 7th 2 London’s West End ranked number 2 in the World, and 1 in Europe. 55 £11.3 bn 4
  • 6. GLOBAL COMPETITORS AND METHODOLOGY TABLE 2 GLO TABLE 1 Global city/ retail location type Premier touris domestic retail location Premier international flagship location* Premier luxury location Note*: Premier Intern Note**: Dubai Mall lo As a result each ‘strip Savills, in partne quantitative met qualitative featu marketing initia scored separate The ‘physical’ sc generate separa This was design areas, attractive The ‘perception’ over 1,500 surve around quality o and general sati experience of Th related to the sh GLOBAL RETAIL CITY DESTINATION RANKING The top ranking Global Retail City from the analysis is New York. London’s West End ranked second alongside Hong Kong, followed by Dubai. New York’s top position was driven by its top ranking ‘perception’ score and its strong ‘physical’ score. Based purely on quantitative metrics, London’s West End is the top ranking Global City (Figure 1). It ranked 5th in its qualitative ‘perception’ score’. (Figure 2). The fundamentals that make London an attractive place to visit (cultural appeal, airline accessibility etc), which in turn attracts new international retailers which improves the quality and variety of its retail environment, are sound. It is these fundamentals that no doubt supported the 96% of London’s West End survey respondents who would recommend it as a place to trade, the highest proportional response across the Global Cities. Source: Savills Research; The Retail Group; Oxford Economics; MORI The Global Cities selected for benchmarking were those, like London, that are key destinations for international visitors, plus are those where shopping is a key tourist activity and/or attraction of the city. This process identified New York, Paris, Hong Kong, Singapore and Dubai as suitable comparator cities. Milan was included due to its ‘fashion capital’ reputation (see Table 1). In each of the Global Cities, comparator retail locations to those of the prime retail streets of the West End, Bond Street, Regent Street and Oxford Street (western end) were also identified. This was to allow for some level of ‘like-for-like’ comparison in terms of retail offer. 2015 Global Retail City Destination Index Ranking 1st New York 2nd London’s West End 3rd Hong Kong 4th Dubai 5th Singapore 6th Paris 7th Milan FIGURE 1 ‘PHYSICAL’ QUANTITATIVE SCORE RANKING FIGURE 2 ‘PERCEPTION’ QUALITATIVE SCORE RANKING Source: Savills Research; Oxford Economics; MORI PHYSICAL (retail sales, tourist flows, property costs, retail mix) Source: The Retail Group PERCEPTION (quality of shopper services, facilities, public realm, perceived issues, marketing initiatives) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 Milan Singapore Paris Dubai Hong Kong New York London’s West End WEIGHTED SCORE Retailer attractiveness Visitor attractiveness Retail offer 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 SCORE New York Dubai Hong Kong Singapore London's West End Paris Milan 6
  • 7. TABLE 2 GLOBAL CITY SELECTION Global city/ retail location type London Paris Milan New York Dubai** Hong Kong Singapore Premier tourist/ domestic retail location Oxford Street West Bvd. Hausmann C. Buenos Aires Soho, Broadway Dubai Mall, Star/ Grand Atrium strip Times Square, Causeway Bay VivoCity Premier international flagship location* Regent Street Champs- Elysees C. Vittorio Emanuele Fifth Avenue (49th/60th) Dubai Mall, Fashion Catwalk Canton Road, TST ION Orchard, Orchard Rd Premier luxury location Bond Street Ave. Montaigne Via Monte Napoleone Madison Avenue (55th/72nd) Dubai Mall, Fashion Ave The Landmark, Central Shoppes@ Marina Bay Sands Note*: Premier International flagship locations based on it having some luxury brand flagships but not exclusively. Note**: Dubai Mall locations were based on their brand positioning in comparison to the key retail destinations in the West End. As a result each ‘strip’ in the mall was treated like a ‘street’. Savills, in partnership with The Retail Group, devised an approach to assess the ‘physical’ quantitative metrics (retail sales, tourist flows, property costs, retail mix) and more ‘perception’ qualitative features (quality of shopper services, facilities, public realm, perceived issues and marketing initiatives) of London’s West End. The ‘physical’ and ‘perception’ attributes were scored separately with both scores combined in order to rank the Global Cities. The ‘physical’ score, which drew on various weighted data metrics, was broken down to generate separate scores in regards to retailer and visitor attractiveness, and retail offer. This was designed to assess those factors which makes a city, including its more localised areas, attractive to international visitors and retailers. The ‘perception’ score was derived from retailer surveys in each of the Global Cities, with over 1,500 surveys distributed in total. The survey deployed consisted of 50 questions grouped around quality of welcome/service; facilities; problem areas; marketing activity; themed events; and general satisfaction. Approaching retailers rather than shoppers drew on the surveying experience of The Retail Group in that they tend to be more aware of the strengths and weaknesses related to the shopper and retailing experience in their local area than those visiting. “This was designed to assess those factors that make a city, including its more localised areas, attractive to international visitors and retailers.” h; The Retail Group; I il City x Ranking st End NG 1,400 1,600 7 GLOBAL COMPETITORS AND METHODOLOGY TABLE 2 GLO TABLE 1 Global city/ retail location type Premier touris domestic retail location Premier international flagship location* Premier luxury location Note*: Premier Intern Note**: Dubai Mall lo As a result each ‘strip Savills, in partne quantitative met qualitative featur marketing initiat scored separate The ‘physical’ sc generate separa This was design areas, attractive The ‘perception’ over 1,500 surve around quality o and general sati experience of Th related to the sh GLOBAL RETAIL CITY DESTINATION RANKING The top ranking Global Retail City from the analysis is New York. London’s West End ranked second alongside Hong Kong, followed by Dubai. New York’s top position was driven by its top ranking ‘perception’ score and its strong ‘physical’ score. Based purely on quantitative metrics, London’s West End is the top ranking Global City (Figure 1). It ranked 5th in its qualitative ‘perception’ score’. (Figure 2). The fundamentals that make London an attractive place to visit (cultural appeal, airline accessibility etc), which in turn attracts new international retailers which improves the quality and variety of its retail environment, are sound. It is these fundamentals that no doubt supported the 96% of London’s West End survey respondents who would recommend it as a place to trade, the highest proportional response across the Global Cities. Source: Savills Research; The Retail Group; Oxford Economics; MORI The Global Cities selected for benchmarking were those, like London, that are key destinations for international visitors, plus are those where shopping is a key tourist activity and/or attraction of the city. This process identified New York, Paris, Hong Kong, Singapore and Dubai as suitable comparator cities. Milan was included due to its ‘fashion capital’ reputation (see Table 1). In each of the Global Cities, comparator retail locations to those of the prime retail streets of the West End, Bond Street, Regent Street and Oxford Street (western end) were also identified. This was to allow for some level of ‘like-for-like’ comparison in terms of retail offer. 2015 Global Retail City Destination Index Ranking 1st New York 2nd London’s West End 3rd Hong Kong 4th Dubai 5th Singapore 6th Paris 7th Milan FIGURE 1 ‘PHYSICAL’ QUANTITATIVE SCORE RANKING FIGURE 2 ‘PERCEPTION’ QUALITATIVE SCORE RANKING Source: Savills Research; Oxford Economics; MORI PHYSICAL (retail sales, tourist flows, property costs, retail mix) Source: The Retail Group PERCEPTION (quality of shopper services, facilities, public realm, perceived issues, marketing initiatives) 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 Milan Singapore Paris Dubai Hong Kong New York London’s West End WEIGHTED SCORE Retailer attractiveness Visitor attractiveness Retail offer 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 SCORE New York Dubai Hong Kong Singapore London's West End Paris Milan 6
  • 8. GLOBAL COMPETITORS AND METHODOLOGY TABLE 3 MASTERCARD GLOBAL DESTINATION CITIES INDEX 2015 Source: Mastercard FIGURE 3 ‘PH Source: Savills Resea PHYSICAL (retail sale London topped Mastercard’s Global Destination Cities Index again in 2015 attracting 18.8 million overseas visitors spending a total of £13.2 billion (US$20.2 billion) (see Table 3). This influx of international tourists alone has raised London’s, and the West End’s, attractiveness to retailers as a place to trade. London’s West End retail sales profile, including tourist expenditure, is reflected in the influx of new international retail brands that have opened their first store in the city. Between January 2014 and December 2015, 57 retail brands opened their first ever store in London, 60% of which were located within the West End. If new international restaurant operators and gallery openings were included the number increases to 77. With a further 13 new international brands already committed in the pipeline for 2016, London and the West End’s retailer appeal continues. Additional attributes such as domestic retail spend and total occupational costs, along with the tourist metrics, were examined across the seven global cities in order to rank their attractiveness from a retailer perspective. The results from this analysis ranked London second to New York (see Figure 3). New York’s top r including that on visitor in 2015. A totalled approxim was £121.7 billio when examining the region of £8, higher than the £ is also reflected on the luxury ind personal luxury 2014, twice that billion (US$12.6 International overnight visitors International overnight visitor spend (US$) Average spend per international visitor (US$) London 18.8m £13.2bn ($20.2bn) £703 ($1,075) Paris 16.1m £10.9bn ($16.6bn) £676 ($1,034) Dubai 14.3m £7.6bn ($11.7bn) £535 ($819) New York 12.3m £11.4bn ($17.4bn) £926 ($1,416) Singapore 11.9m £9.5bn ($14.6bn) £805 ($1,232) Hong Kong 8.7m £4.8bn ($7.4bn) £562 ($859) Milan 7.2m £3.2bn ($4.9bn) £447 ($683) 0 20 Milan New York London’s West End Hong Kong Dubai Paris Singapore 8
  • 9. FIGURE 3 ‘PHYSICAL’ SCORE INDEX: RETAILER ATTRACTIVENESS Source: Savills Research; Oxford Economics PHYSICAL (retail sales, tourist flows, property costs, retail mix) FIGURE 4 TOTAL 2015 RETAIL SALES AND FORECAST GROWTH PER ANNUM Source: Oxford Economics PERCEPTION (quality of shopper services, facilities, public realm, perceived issues, marketing initiatives) $258.3 $186.2 $152.4 $64.3 $49.9 $33.3 $32.0 0.0% 0.5% 1.0% 1.5% 2.0% 2.5% 3.0% 3.5% 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 New York London Paris Hong Kong Milan Dubai Singapore RETAILSALESGROWTHPERANNUM2016-20 2015RETAILSALESUS$BN Forecast growth per annum 2016-20 New York’s top ranking position was driven by its retail sales volume; including that on personal luxury goods and inbound travel spend per visitor in 2015. According to Oxford Economics, retail sales in New York totalled approximately £168.9 billion (US$258.3 billion), in London it was £121.7 billion (US$186.2 billion) (Figure 4). A similar pattern exists when examining this on a per capita basis with annual retail spend in the region of £8,500 (US$13,000) per inhabitant in New York, marginally higher than the £8,200 (US$12,500) reported for London. This difference is also reflected in luxury sales. Altagamma & Bain (consultants focused on the luxury industry) estimated that New York had the highest level of personal luxury goods spend totalling £16.3 billion (US$24.9 billion) in 2014, twice that of second and third placed Paris and London with £8.2 billion (US$12.6 billion) and £7.4 billion (US$11.3 billion) respectively. The gap in retail sales between the two cities is set to narrow with the growth in London’s retail sales forecast to outpace that of New York with average growth of 2.9% per annum through to the end of 2020; 2.7% per annum is forecast for New York (Figure 4). Dubai is expected to report the most rapid level of growth over the same period although this does reflect growth off a lower base. al visitor (US$) 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 280 300 Milan WEIGHTED SCORE Retailer attractiveness New York London’s West End Hong Kong Dubai Paris Singapore 9 GLOBAL COMPETITORS AND METHODOLOGY TABLE 3 MASTERCARD GLOBAL DESTINATION CITIES INDEX 2015 Source: Mastercard FIGURE 3 ‘PH Source: Savills Resea PHYSICAL (retail sale London topped Mastercard’s Global Destination Cities Index again in 2015 attracting 18.8 million overseas visitors spending a total of £13.2 billion (US$20.2 billion) (see Table 3). This influx of international tourists alone has raised London’s, and the West End’s, attractiveness to retailers as a place to trade. London’s West End retail sales profile, including tourist expenditure, is reflected in the influx of new international retail brands that have opened their first store in the city. Between January 2014 and December 2015, 57 retail brands opened their first ever store in London, 60% of which were located within the West End. If new international restaurant operators and gallery openings were included the number increases to 77. With a further 13 new international brands already committed in the pipeline for 2016, London and the West End’s retailer appeal continues. Additional attributes such as domestic retail spend and total occupational costs, along with the tourist metrics, were examined across the seven global cities in order to rank their attractiveness from a retailer perspective. The results from this analysis ranked London second to New York (see Figure 3). New York’s top r including that on visitor in 2015. Ac totalled approxim was £121.7 billion when examining the region of £8,5 higher than the £ is also reflected on the luxury ind personal luxury 2014, twice that o billion (US$12.6 b International overnight visitors International overnight visitor spend (US$) Average spend per international visitor (US$) London 18.8m £13.2bn ($20.2bn) £703 ($1,075) Paris 16.1m £10.9bn ($16.6bn) £676 ($1,034) Dubai 14.3m £7.6bn ($11.7bn) £535 ($819) New York 12.3m £11.4bn ($17.4bn) £926 ($1,416) Singapore 11.9m £9.5bn ($14.6bn) £805 ($1,232) Hong Kong 8.7m £4.8bn ($7.4bn) £562 ($859) Milan 7.2m £3.2bn ($4.9bn) £447 ($683) 0 20 Milan New York London’s West End Hong Kong Dubai Paris Singapore 8
  • 10. THE CROSSRAIL EFFECT While major infr retail sales that growth at a city l per annum over with economic g has been attribu of its workforce businesses and of other Global C The retail sales When asked if th the greatest pro End it was 69.5% performance do have been heavi fluctuations whi bulk of overseas emphasised by th as a place to trad FIGURE 5 PRO THE Source: The Retail GrTfL upgrade to Tottenham Court Road Station, New Plaza Entrance In the case of London’s West End, the expansion in retail sales may be even more pronounced due to the arrival of Crossrail in 2018. Harper Dennis Hobbs, on behalf of New West End Company, estimate that Crossrail could result in a 27.8% increase in West End retail sales to £11.3 billion by 2020 due to an additional 60 million visits each year, and major infrastructure developments with substantial retail, office and residential developments. 9 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Lo We %OFRESPONDENTSAGREEING TOSTRONGLYAGREEING 10
  • 11. While major infrastructure projects, like Crossrail, will have a beneficial impact on the volume of retail sales that could be captured by the West End, macro drivers such as population and economic growth at a city level will also be instrumental. London is forecast to see population growth of 1.2% per annum over the next five years exceeding the 0.5% growth forecast for both New York and Paris with economic growth forecast to average 3.2% over the same period. This faster level of growth has been attributed in part to London’s time zone, sitting between the US and Asia, the quality of its workforce, and its relatively low corporation and personal tax regime, which attracts new businesses and fuels expansion. This is aiding population growth and in turn retail spend ahead of other Global Cities particularly those in Europe. The retail sales profile across the Global Cities is also evident in the location survey responses. When asked if they were happy with current trading performance, retailers in New York reported the greatest proportion who stated they were satisfied to very satisfied (90.5%). In London’s West End it was 69.5%, ranking it fifth ahead of Milan and Singapore. This sentiment regarding trade performance does reflect a specific point in time. In the case of London’s West End it is likely to have been heavily influenced by the disruption experienced during Crossrail works and currency fluctuations which contributed to a squeeze in retail spend from Eurozone visitors, who form the bulk of overseas visitors to London. This potential short term impact on trading performance is emphasised by the fact that 96.0% of these same respondents would recommend London’s West End as a place to trade, the highest proportional response across the seven Global Cities (see Figure 5). FIGURE 5 PROPORTION WHO AGREED/STRONGLY AGREED WITH RECOMMENDING THEIR CITY/LOCATION AS A PLACE TO TRADE Source: The Retail Group 96.0% 93.0% 89.5% 83.3% 83.3% 76.5% 50.0% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% London's West End Dubai New York Paris Milan Hong Kong Singapore %OFRESPONDENTSAGREEING TOSTRONGLYAGREEING 11 THE CROSSRAIL EFFECT While major infra retail sales that c growth at a city l per annum over with economic g has been attribu of its workforce, businesses and of other Global C The retail sales When asked if th the greatest pro End it was 69.5% performance do have been heavi fluctuations whi bulk of overseas emphasised by th as a place to trad FIGURE 5 PRO THE Source: The Retail GrTfL upgrade to Tottenham Court Road Station, New Plaza Entrance In the case of London’s West End, the expansion in retail sales may be even more pronounced due to the arrival of Crossrail in 2018. Harper Dennis Hobbs, on behalf of New West End Company, estimate that Crossrail could result in a 27.8% increase in West End retail sales to £11.3 billion by 2020 due to an additional 60 million visits each year, and major infrastructure developments with substantial retail, office and residential developments. 9 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Lo We %OFRESPONDENTSAGREEING TOSTRONGLYAGREEING 10
  • 12.
  • 13. AN AFFORDABLE OPTION London’s West End’s relatively lower occupational costs also enhances its attractiveness to retailers. Examining prime total occupational costs on a per sq ft basis across the Global Cities, London’s Bond Street ranks fourth with New York’s Fifth Avenue being the most expensive (Table 4). While cost of occupation is an important consideration it is really profitability that determines a locations strength. The ability to assess profitability is difficult as there is very little transparency surrounding sales at store level. One potential gauge of profitability however, is to examine retail sales at a city level relative to indicative occupational costs, as detailed in Figure 6. Based on this, London appears to be the most ‘profitable’ based on 2015 retail spend and total occupational costs with £57.4 million (US$87.8 million) of sales per sq ft of total occupational costs. TABLE 4 INDICATIVE PRIME TOTAL OCCUPATIONAL COSTS AS OF Q4 2015 FIGURE 6 TOTAL RETAIL SALES PER SQ FT OF OCCUPATIONAL COST Source: Savills Research Note: Additional occupational costs includes typical service charge, Government/property tax, typical agent fee paid by retailer and any other additional costs paid by the retailer when acquiring a new store. The rent reflects cost across the entire property and not just Zone A rents in the case of London. Currency exchange based on average for December 2015. Source: Savills Research; Oxford Economics $0 $20 $40 $60 $80 $100 London’s West End Singapore New York Paris Dubai Milan Hong Kong TOTALSALESPER$OFTOTAL OCCUPATIONALCOSTS(MM) US$ per sq ft per annum Prime rent per sq ft Additional occupational costs per sq ft Total occupational costs per sq ft New York (Fifth Ave) £2,330 ($3,500) £270 ($400) £2,600 ($3,900) Hong Kong (Canton Rd, TST) £1,500 ($2,300) £270 ($400) £1,770 ($2,700) Paris (Champs Elysées) £1,400 ($2,100) £130 ($200) £1,530 ($2,300) London (Bond Street) £1,000 ($1,500) £400 ($600) £1,400 ($2,100) Milan (Via Monte Napoleone) £500 ($760) £50 ($80) £550 ($840) Singapore (Orchard Road) £170 ($260) £60 ($90) £230 ($350) Dubai (Dubai Mall) £160 ($240) £40 ($60) £200 ($300) 13
  • 14. A PLACE TO SHOP London’s West End achieved the highest visitor attractiveness score as part of the quantitative analysis, performing well in terms of overall accessibility and cultural amenities. This is reflected in London’s position as one of the most visited city destinations by international tourists (MasterCard’s Global Destination Cities Index). Visa requirem city for intern that can visit waiver. While scored bette France and I highlighted b an initiative N forward. The lobbying to in visa for Chin of the British attracting an These visa im will help mai for internatio overnight vis of 3.9% betw some of the o Kong and Du visitors of 9.8 The drivers of London’s appeal to international visitors London’s 2012 Olympics did an incredible job at marketing London on the global stage but it is not the only reason why international tourist numbers continue to grow. In MORI’s 2015 Global Power City Index London was ranked first and second in terms of Cultural Interaction and Accessibility, respectively across the 40 cities they examined globally. It is this cultural appeal and ease of access that has helped to underpin the growing attraction of London to international visitors. London’s strong international accessibility is demonstrated in the passenger numbers handled by London’s two principle airports, Heathrow and Gatwick. Both airports serve an average of 190 destinations and handled a total of 115 million passengers in 2015, 3.4% up on the previous year (see Figure 7). This exceeds the passenger numbers handled by its comparator city airports, although in growth terms it lagged behind Dubai, Hong Kong and New York pointing to some potential capacity constraints. FIGURE 7 2015 ANNUAL PASSENGER NUMBERS BY CITY Source: Anna Aero; Airport websites; CAA Note*: Estimated totals for 2015 based on YTD performance. Data is based on the two largest international airports in each city, where relevant. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 London Paris New York* Dubai* Hong Kong Singapore* Milan %CHANGEON2014 2015ANNUALPASSENGERNUMBERS(MILLION) 2015 % change on 2014 “Ease of also crit improve an initia been ins 14
  • 15. Visa requirements play a key role in determining the attractiveness of a city for international visitors. There are approximately 90 nationalities that can visit the UK (London) without a visa or on an electronic visa waiver. While this is lower than Hong Kong and Singapore, the UK scored better against the US and even the Eurozone countries of France and Italy. Ease of the visa application process is also critical as highlighted by the need to improve the system for Chinese nationals, an initiative New West End Company has been instrumental in driving forward. The UK China Visa Alliance (UKCVA) has been successful in its lobbying to introduce a simplified visa process, including a new 2 year visa for Chinese nationals visiting the UK and London. This extension of the British visitor visa will help to redress this balance potentially attracting an additional 265,000 Chinese visitors to the UK each year. These visa improvements and London’s continued international appeal will help maintain its position as one of the top Global City destinations for international tourists. Forecasts from Oxford Economics suggest that overnight visitor numbers to Central London will expand by an average of 3.9% between 2016 and 2020. However, the gap between London and some of the other Global Cities could narrow over this period with Hong Kong and Dubai forecast to report average growth in overnight overseas visitors of 9.8% and 9.7% respectively (Figure 8). FIGURE 8 OVERNIGHT INTERNATIONAL VISITOR GROWTH FORECASTS: AVERAGE GROWTH PER ANNUM 2016-2020 Source: Oxford Economics CITY relevant. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% re* Milan %CHANGEON2014 % change on 2014 9.8% 9.7% 6.3% 6.0% 3.9% 3.8% 3.3% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% Hong Kong Dubai Singapore New York London Milan Paris AVERAGEGROWTHPERANNUM2016-20 “Ease of the visa application process is also critical as highlighted by the need to improve the system for Chinese nationals, an initiative New West End Company has been instrumental in driving forward.” 15 A PLACE TO SHOP London’s West End achieved the highest visitor attractiveness score as part of the quantitative analysis, performing well in terms of overall accessibility and cultural amenities. This is reflected in London’s position as one of the most visited city destinations by international tourists (MasterCard’s Global Destination Cities Index). Visa requirem city for intern that can visit waiver. While scored bette France and I highlighted b an initiative N forward. The lobbying to in visa for Chin of the British attracting an These visa im will help mai for internatio overnight vis of 3.9% betw some of the o Kong and Du visitors of 9.8 The drivers of London’s appeal to international visitors London’s 2012 Olympics did an incredible job at marketing London on the global stage but it is not the only reason why international tourist numbers continue to grow. In MORI’s 2015 Global Power City Index London was ranked first and second in terms of Cultural Interaction and Accessibility, respectively across the 40 cities they examined globally. It is this cultural appeal and ease of access that has helped to underpin the growing attraction of London to international visitors. London’s strong international accessibility is demonstrated in the passenger numbers handled by London’s two principle airports, Heathrow and Gatwick. Both airports serve an average of 190 destinations and handled a total of 115 million passengers in 2015, 3.4% up on the previous year (see Figure 7). This exceeds the passenger numbers handled by its comparator city airports, although in growth terms it lagged behind Dubai, Hong Kong and New York pointing to some potential capacity constraints. FIGURE 7 2015 ANNUAL PASSENGER NUMBERS BY CITY Source: Anna Aero; Airport websites; CAA Note*: Estimated totals for 2015 based on YTD performance. Data is based on the two largest international airports in each city, where relevant. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 London Paris New York* Dubai* Hong Kong Singapore* Milan %CHANGEON2014 2015ANNUALPASSENGERNUMBERS(MILLION) 2015 % change on 2014 “Ease of also crit improve an initia been ins 14
  • 16. London’s West End’s retail district offer is an added draw for international visitors. It is home to over 600 stores and 120 international brands, with globally recognised addresses such as Bond Street, Regent Street and Oxford Street, making it one of the world’s largest retail destinations. Shopping unsurprisingly therefore features as a key activity for international visitors to London with 81% engaging in the activity at some point during their trip. Two percent of these state that their only reason for visiting London is to shop. The reason why shopping is a key activity for international visitors is due to the quality and variety of retail brands concentrated in London’s West End’s retail district, ranking second only to Dubai in terms of its retail offer as assessed via the quantitative metrics (see Figure 9). The retail offer score takes into account the proportion of units occupied by retail brands, brand variety, brand profile and presence of flagships across its three streets relative to their comparator retail locations in the other Global Cities. London’s West End’s retail district premier luxury destination, Bond Street, scored very well in terms of its retail offer topping the luxury street rankings of the Global Cities. For example, 96.5% of all ground floor uses on Bond Street are occupied by retail brands as opposed to 82.1% on Avenue Montaigne in Paris suggesting a more focused retail experience on Bond Street. This meant it also scored well in relation to its brand profile. All of the top 10 luxury brands by value, as identified in Millward Brown’s 2015 Brandz list, have a presence on Bond Street. The only other luxury location to achieve this was Shoppes @ Marina Sands Singapore, which considering its size and the fact that it is purpose built is understandable. London’s West E location survey r said they agreed End ‘has the bes third behind New compared to Par A feature not tak which has added is the walkable p Street, Regent S transport acces means London’s further enhancin FIGURE 9 ‘PHYSICAL’ QUANTITATIVE SCORE: RETAIL OFFER Source: Savills Research 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 Paris WEIGHTED SCORE Retail offer Dubai London's West End New York Singapore Milan Hong Kong “...its stron and its cul means Lo internatio enhancing A PLACE TO SHOP London’s West End achieved the highest visitor attractiveness score as part of the quantitative analysis, performing well in terms of overall accessibility and cultural amenities. This is reflected in London’s position as one of the most visited city destinations by international tourists (MasterCard’s Global Destination Cities Index). Visa requirem city for intern that can visit waiver. While scored bette France and I highlighted b an initiative N forward. The lobbying to in visa for Chin of the British attracting an These visa im will help mai for internatio overnight vis of 3.9% betw some of the o Kong and Du visitors of 9.8 The drivers of London’s appeal to international visitors London’s 2012 Olympics did an incredible job at marketing London on the global stage but it is not the only reason why international tourist numbers continue to grow. In MORI’s 2015 Global Power City Index London was ranked first and second in terms of Cultural Interaction and Accessibility, respectively across the 40 cities they examined globally. It is this cultural appeal and ease of access that has helped to underpin the growing attraction of London to international visitors. London’s strong international accessibility is demonstrated in the passenger numbers handled by London’s two principle airports, Heathrow and Gatwick. Both airports serve an average of 190 destinations and handled a total of 115 million passengers in 2015, 3.4% up on the previous year (see Figure 7). This exceeds the passenger numbers handled by its comparator city airports, although in growth terms it lagged behind Dubai, Hong Kong and New York pointing to some potential capacity constraints. FIGURE 7 2015 ANNUAL PASSENGER NUMBERS BY CITY Source: Anna Aero; Airport websites; CAA Note*: Estimated totals for 2015 based on YTD performance. Data is based on the two largest international airports in each city, where relevant. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 London Paris New York* Dubai* Hong Kong Singapore* Milan %CHANGEON2014 2015ANNUALPASSENGERNUMBERS(MILLION) 2015 % change on 2014 “Ease of also crit improve an initia been ins 14
  • 17. A PLACE TO SHOP London’s West End achieved the highest visitor attractiveness score as part of the quantitative analysis, performing well in terms of overall accessibility and cultural amenities. This is reflected in London’s position as one of the most visited city destinations by international tourists (MasterCard’s Global Destination Cities Index). Visa requirem city for intern that can visit waiver. While scored bette France and I highlighted b an initiative N forward. The lobbying to in visa for Chin of the British attracting an These visa im will help mai for internatio overnight vis of 3.9% betw some of the o Kong and Du visitors of 9.8 The drivers of London’s appeal to international visitors London’s 2012 Olympics did an incredible job at marketing London on the global stage but it is not the only reason why international tourist numbers continue to grow. In MORI’s 2015 Global Power City Index London was ranked first and second in terms of Cultural Interaction and Accessibility, respectively across the 40 cities they examined globally. It is this cultural appeal and ease of access that has helped to underpin the growing attraction of London to international visitors. London’s strong international accessibility is demonstrated in the passenger numbers handled by London’s two principle airports, Heathrow and Gatwick. Both airports serve an average of 190 destinations and handled a total of 115 million passengers in 2015, 3.4% up on the previous year (see Figure 7). This exceeds the passenger numbers handled by its comparator city airports, although in growth terms it lagged behind Dubai, Hong Kong and New York pointing to some potential capacity constraints. FIGURE 7 2015 ANNUAL PASSENGER NUMBERS BY CITY Source: Anna Aero; Airport websites; CAA Note*: Estimated totals for 2015 based on YTD performance. Data is based on the two largest international airports in each city, where relevant. 0% 2% 4% 6% 8% 10% 12% 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 London Paris New York* Dubai* Hong Kong Singapore* Milan %CHANGEON2014 2015ANNUALPASSENGERNUMBERS(MILLION) 2015 % change on 2014 “Ease of also crit improve an initia been ins 14 London’s West End’s healthy retail offer score is reflected in the location survey responses. Eighty-six per cent of West End respondents said they agreed/strongly agreed with the statement that London’s West End ‘has the best choice and quality of shops in the World’ ranking it third behind New York and Dubai and making it a European leader when compared to Paris and Milan (Figure 10). A feature not taken into account in the retail offer score, but one which has added to the appeal of the West End as a retail destination is the walkable proximity of the three premier destinations of Bond Street, Regent Street and Oxford Street. Add to this its strong public transport accessibility and its cultural and hospitality amenities, means London’s West End’s is a unique international retail destination, further enhancing its visitor appeal. OFFER 120 130 140 150 Retail offer FIGURE 10 SURVEY RESPONSE TO ‘THIS CITY HAS THE BEST CHOICE AND QUALITY OF SHOPS IN THE WORLD’ Source: Oxford Economics 94.7% 88.4% 86.0% 76.5% 75.0% 73.3% 46.0% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% New York Dubai London's West End Hong Kong Milan Paris Singapore %OFRESPONDENTSWHO AGREEDTOSTRONGLYAGREED “...its strong public transport accessibility and its cultural and hospitality amenities, means London’s West End is a unique international retail destination, further enhancing its visitor appeal.”
  • 18. While the retail offer draws international visitors into London’s West End to shop, the retailing experience is critical to its global reputation and driving repeat visits. The individual su experience scor in Figure 12. On all the individua ‘connectivity to a proportion of re above the Globa the top three sco and Dubai), Lond shopping’. The b three Global Citi a feature that co While the retail offer draws international visitors into London’s West End’s retail district to shop, the retailing experience is critical to its global reputation and driving repeat visits. The shopper ‘experience’ was assessed via the location surveys focusing on those responses related to ease of shopping, connectivity, service levels and directional signage. Based on this assessment the West End scored well being a European leader as it outperformed Paris and Milan, and ranked fourth across the Global Cities (see Figure 11). A SHOPPING EXPERIENCE FIGURE 11 ‘PERCEPTION’ QUALITATIVE SCORE: THE SHOPPING EXPERIENCE FIGURE 12 LON Source: The Retail Group Source: The Retail Gr 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 Hong Kong London's West End AGGREGATESCORE MilanSingaporeParisDubaiNew York 94.0 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Ease shopp %OFRESPONDENTS STATINGGOODTOVERYGOOD 18
  • 19. The individual survey metrics that made up the aggregate shopping experience score for London’s West End’s retail district is detailed in Figure 12. On the whole London’s West End scored very well across all the individual metrics. Its key strength areas are ‘ease of shopping’, ‘connectivity to attractions and ‘service levels in shops’ with the proportion of respondents stating it as good to very good slightly above the Global City average. When compared to the average across the top three scoring shopper experience cities (Hong Kong, New York and Dubai), London’s West End underperformed bar that for ‘ease of shopping’. The biggest rating gap between London’s West End and the top three Global Cities is for the public realm feature of directional signage, a feature that could be easily improved through greater investment. FIGURE 12 LONDON WEST END’S SHOPPING EXPERIENCE BREAKDOWN BY METRIC Source: The Retail Group 94.0% 89.5% 88.0% 87.5% 83.5% 82.0% 74.0% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Ease of shopping Connectivity to main attractions Service levels in shops Connectivity from major arrival points Friendliness of shop staff Service levels in cafes and restaurants Directional signage to shopping areas %OFRESPONDENTS STATINGGOODTOVERYGOOD Global City average Top 3 Global City average 19 While the retail offer draws international visitors into London’s West End to shop, the retailing experience is critical to its global reputation and driving repeat visits. The individual su experience scor in Figure 12. On all the individua ‘connectivity to a proportion of re above the Globa the top three sco and Dubai), Lond shopping’. The b three Global Citi a feature that co While the retail offer draws international visitors into London’s West End’s retail district to shop, the retailing experience is critical to its global reputation and driving repeat visits. The shopper ‘experience’ was assessed via the location surveys focusing on those responses related to ease of shopping, connectivity, service levels and directional signage. Based on this assessment the West End scored well being a European leader as it outperformed Paris and Milan, and ranked fourth across the Global Cities (see Figure 11). A SHOPPING EXPERIENCE FIGURE 11 ‘PERCEPTION’ QUALITATIVE SCORE: THE SHOPPING EXPERIENCE FIGURE 12 LON Source: The Retail Group Source: The Retail Gr 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 Hong Kong London's West End AGGREGATESCORE MilanSingaporeParisDubaiNew York 94.0 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Ease shopp %OFRESPONDENTS STATINGGOODTOVERYGOOD 18
  • 20. Investment in the public realm is a further major challenge for London’s West End retail district. The responses from the location surveys saw it rank ahead of Paris and Milan in regards the overall quality of its facilities and amenities, albeit scored far behind the other Global Cities (see Figure 13). This is largely due to its lower rated public realm features including pedestrian walkways, rubbish collection, WiFi, seating and public toilets. This relative underperformance is even more pronounced when compared against the top three facility and amenity scoring cities of Dubai, New York and Hong Kong although its public transport accessibility and street lighting is rated highly (see Figure 14). IMPROVING FACILITIES London’s Dubai an sense th shopping and ame have bee The fact that sho means that it is f New York achiev environment to L from how the cit has partially attr over-optimism. Property Owner interests of the m This will help wit realm such as th FIGURE 13 ‘PERCEPTION’ QUALITATIVE SCORE: FACILITIES AND AMENITIES Source: The Retail Group Source: The Retail Gr AGGREGATESCORE 2,033 1,952 1,812 1,511 982 963 138 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 Dubai New York Hong Kong Singapore London's West End Paris Milan FIGURE 14 LON 91.5% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Accessibility by public transport %OFRESPONDENTSSTATINGGOODTOVERYGOOD 20
  • 21. London’s West End’s lower score relative to Dubai and Hong Kong is understandable in the sense that shopping in these cities is focused on shopping centres, where the provision of facilities and amenities as part of the public realm would have been designed in ahead of development. The fact that shopping centres tend to be under single ownership also means that it is far easier to implement improvements. Considering that New York achieved a higher score despite it having a very similar retail environment to London suggests there may be lessons to be learned from how the city manages its public realm. However, The Retail Group has partially attributed New York’s high score to a certain level of cultural over-optimism. New West End Company was formally instated as a Property Owner Business Improvement District (BID), combining the interests of the multiple property owners in the West End’s retail district. This will help with the provision of new facilities and an improved public realm such as the £11m Bond Street Development Plan (see image). Public realm issues were also identified when survey respondents were asked to rate how problematic certain features were in London’s West End, with pavement condition and litter highlighted as major problems by 14.0% and 13.5% of West End respondents respectively. In contrast, no Hong Kong respondents noted pavement condition as a major problem with 9.5% doing so in the New York surveys. While there are clear challenges facing the West End’s retail environment, investment in the public realm will mitigate some of these thereby improving the retail experience for international and domestic shoppers, thus enhancing retail spend and in turn the London’s West End’s global ranking. Source: The Retail Group CGI’s courtesy of Publica – Burlington Square, Bond Street, before and after FIGURE 14 LONDON’S WEST END FACILITY & AMENITY SCORE BREAKDOWN BY METRIC Global City average Top 3 Global City average 91.5% 90.5% 63.5% 63.0% 63.0% 38.5% 29.5% 17.0% 12.5% 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 100% Accessibility by public transport Street Information, maps andlighting plans Pedestrian walkways & priority Rubbish recycling bins Digital access / freeand WiFi Seating Public toilets Car parking %OFRESPONDENTSSTATINGGOODTOVERYGOOD 21
  • 22. CONCLUSION ABOUT US This study highlighted that the fundamentals that make London’s West End an attractive place to visit and shop, as well as a place to trade, are extremely robust. As a result it is the premier Global Retail Destination in Europe, ranking second globally behind New York. Current growth forecasts in terms of retail spend and international visitors to London as a whole suggest this global position at a city level should be maintained. London’s West End could in fact outperform the growth forecast for the wider London area aided by the improvements to the British visa system for Chinese nationals, the largest source market for international tourists and spend globally, and the arrival of Crossrail. NEW WE New We for Lond and orga destinat services including Its aim is West En growth a of the ar annual c SAVILLS Savills is listed on establish growth. and now employin While the fundamentals are robust the location surveys indicated some challenges related to the quality of service, facilities, the public realm, international marketing reach and operational difficulties associated with opening stores. The positive, however, is that these are challenges that can be addressed through the work of New West End Company and its partners. Tackling these challenges will be vital to the West End maintaining and even improving its global position as the rankings presented in this study are not fixed. For example, Dubai is forecast to report the strongest growth in retail sales over the next five years of the seven Global Cities examined, potentially challenging London’s West End’s current global position. Likewise an improvement in Hong Kong’s retailing environment, which has suffered on the back of the slowdown in the Chinese economy and decline in mainland Chinese visitors, could also destabilise the current rankings. The real immediate challenge however, is that of the West End’s public realm. The location surveys highlighted that the West End underperforms against its international competitors in regards to a number of public realm features. As a result public realm investment offers the West End a crucial opportunity to maintain and even improve its global positioning and reputation in the face of mounting competition from other international retail destinations. 22
  • 23. ABOUT US NEW WEST END COMPANY New West End Company is a leading business voice for London’s West End, representing the retailers and organisations behind the world’s largest retail destination. It delivers management and marketing services to 25 streets within London’s retail heartland including Bond Street, Oxford Street and Regent Street. Its aim is to drive the change to create a truly unique West End experience, unlock barriers for economic growth and further strengthen the commercial success of the area with its 65,000 employees and £8.8 billion annual contribution to UK GDP. SAVILLS Savills is a leading global real estate service provider listed on the London Stock Exchange. The company established in 1855, has a rich heritage with unrivalled growth. It is a company that leads rather than follows, and now has over 700 owned and associate offices, employing more than 30,000 people in over 60 countries. End’s public underperforms er of public s the West End a l positioning and international 23
  • 24. For more information, please contact us: Jace Tyrrell T +44 (0)20 7462 0680 E jace.tyrrell@newwestend.com Steven Medway T +44 (0)20 7462 0680 Esteven.medway@newwestend.com Marie Hickey T +44 (0)20 3320 8288 E mlhickey@savills.com For media enquiries please contact: Dan Innes T +44 (0)7973 387 545 E dan.innes@innesco.co.uk @newwestend newwestend.com