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GEA32876 Offshore_Study_Paper_R11
1. GE Oil & Gas
The Impact of Digital on
Unplanned DowntimeAN OFFSHORE OIL AND GAS PERSPECTIVE
OCTOBER 2016
2. 2 | Oil & Gas
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Unplanned downtime continues to plague the oil and gas
industry.The offshore sector, in particular, has been saddled
with unnecessarily high costs and exposed to unnecessary
risks as a result.This was made clear in a study by Kimberlite,
an international oil and gas market research and analytics
company, in Summer 2016. And the problem is only going to
get worse as budget cuts, aging assets, and the loss of industry
experience take theirtoll.
There is a solution. Digitization enables offshore operators to
reduce unplanned downtime while simultaneously reducing
risks.This paper discusses the Kimberlite data and provides a set
of recommendations for moving forward.
KEY FINDINGS
• Offshore oil and gas organizations experience on average
$49 million annually in financial impacts due to unplanned
downtime. Forthe worst performers the negative financial
impact can be upwards of $88 million.
• Fewerthan 24% of operators describe their maintenance
approach as a predictive one based on data and analytics. Over
three-quarters eithertake a reactive ortime-based approach.
• Operators using a predictive, data-based approach experience
36% less unplanned downtime than those with a reactive
approach.This can result in, on average, $17 million dropping to
the bottom line annually.
“DIGITIZATION ENABLES OFFSHORE OPERATORS
TO REDUCE UNPLANNED DOWNTIME WHILE
SIMULTANEOUSLY REDUCING RISKS.”
3. INTRODUCTION
Oil and gas companies are definitely feeling the crunch
these days:
• Oil prices fell nearly 50% between 2015 and 2014, averaging
$52 per barrel in 2015 compared to $99 in 2014, according to
the Energy Information Administration.
• A 2014 Mercer study reveals that over 50% of oil and gas
professionals are set to retire overthe next 5 to 10 years.This
situation is aggravated by the current industry downturn which
is accelerating “the great shift change”. These dynamics may
also have a negative impact on recruiting.
• Approximately 42% of offshore facilities worldwide in a recent
Kimberlite study were over 15 years old and the average age is
likely to increase due to limited new investments.
Low oil prices have significantly diminished profit margins,
and have made operational efficiency a choke point for many
oil and gas organizations. But how do companies find greater
operational efficiency with less experienced employees
and aging assets?
Challenges such as these actually bring opportunities to
transform the way oil and gas does business, and ultimately
become increasingly efficient. Digitization isproviding
organizations with the ability to address these ever-changing
demands.
Over 67% of the oil and gas industry expects moderate-to-great
impacts from digital disruptions. In particular, analytics will
remain important and the internet of things (IoT) will become
much more important in the next 3 to 5 years. However, less
than 25% feel adequately prepared for it1
.
This paper explores how digitization can reduce unplanned
downtime in offshore oil and gas. A Kimberlite study interviewed
50 operators globally between June and August 2016 to learn
how their maintenance approaches impact unplanned
downtime. (Figure 1)The study suggests that adopting
a more digital, predictive approach to maintenance will
reduce unplanned downtime and offer organizations greater
operational efficiency.
1
Deloitte and MIT Sloan Management Review
FIGURE 1. KIMBERLITE STUDY PARTICIPANTS
LOCATION
36%
North America
64%
International
DAILY PRODUCTION OF
OFFSHORE FACILITIES
10%
101,000 to
200,000 BPD
2%
More than
200,000 BPD
30%
20,000 to
50,000 BPD
13%
51,000 to
100,000 BPD
45%
Less than
200,000 BPD
ORGANIZATIONTYPE
22%
NOCs
20%
Majors
38%
Large Independents
20%
Medium/small
Independents
AGE OF OFFSHORE
FACILITIES
42%
Older than 15 years
24%
5 to 10 years
9%
Less than 5 years
25%
11 to 15 years
3
4. 4 | Oil Gas
Repair Costs 71%
Labor Costs 40%
Transportation/
Logistics
37%
Equipment/
Spares
14%
2
With a median 27,200 BPD and oil at $50.00 per barrel
3
Assumes 22.5 unplanned downtime days
THE COSTS OF
UNPLANNED DOWNTIME
As Frost and Sullivan recently noted, in a world of low oil prices
organizations must move from chasing barrels to chasing
efficiency. “Operational Excellence is a requirement for success
in today’s marketplace, and reducing unplanned downtime plays
a critical role in that success,” said Leif Eriksen, Industry Solution
Executive, GE Digital.
The industry has grappled with quantifying the cost of
unplanned downtime, but the Kimberlite study revealed that
just 1% of unplanned downtime—or 3.65 downtime days per
year—can cost organizations $5.037 million each year. Averaging
just over 27 days of downtime each year, offshore oil and gas
organizations experience $38 million in financial impacts from
unplanned downtime. Forthe worst performers the costs can be
upwards of $88 million.
These hits to the bottom line include repair costs as well as the
costs associated with lost and/or deferred production. Direct
costs like repair and labor cost certainly impact organizations,
but the hidden costs of lost or deferred production often have
the most significant impact on organizations. $20,000 per day
with an annual financial impact of $450,0003
.
When looking at repair costs, the typical offshore oil and gas
field worldwide most often incurs expenses resulting from
unplanned downtime in the areas of repair costs (71%), followed
by labor costs (40%) and transportation/logistics (37%). (Figure
2)The median daily financial impact of expenses such as these is
approximately $20,000 per day with an annual financial impact
of $450,000.
MAINTENANCE IMPACT ON DOWNTIME
Unplanned downtime is not cheap, but the market’s most
frequently used approaches to maintenance—which should
ideally help reduce unplanned downtime—are not as effective in
reducing it as more modern approaches.
Fewerthan 24% of operators describe their maintenance
approach as a predictive one based on data and analytics.The
rest eithertook a reactive ortime-based approach. (Figure 3)
In terms of the unplanned downtime associated with each
approach, reactive approaches averaged 8.43% annually, with
7.96% for planned, and 5.42% for data/monitoring approaches.
FIGURE 2. MAJOR EXPENSES WITH
UNPLANNED DOWNTIME
FIGURE 3. APPROACH TO EQUIPMENT REPAIR
AND MAINTENANCE
46%
Planned
24%
Predictive/proactive
30%
Reactive
“Maintenance approaches do matter, and yet
companies still rely on outdated maintenance
approaches.”
5. 5
FIGURE 4. COSTS OF UNPLANNED DOWNTIME BY MAINTENANCE APPROACH
($MILLIONS)
MAINTENANCE APPROACH
100.00
50.00
75.00
25.00
0.00
REACTIVE
Annual Unplanned Downtime DaysUnplanned Downtime Rate (%)Annual Financial Impact ($MM)
58.03
8.43%
PLANNED
59.78
7.95%
USE DATA AND
MONITORING
24.03
5.42%
10.00%
6.00%
2.00%
8.00%
4.00%
0.00%
DIGITALLY CARVING DOWN UNPLANNED DOWNTIME
There is a connection between maintenance approach and
unplanned downtime.The unplanned downtime for respondents
using more predictive data- and condition-based monitoring
approaches is 36% lowerthan respondents using a more
reactive approach. (Figure 4)
Furthermore, the negative annual financial impact is
approximately 60% lowerfor respondents using data- and
condition-based monitoring approaches versus respondents
using reactive or planned maintenance approaches.
“Updating maintenance practices to more predictive
efforts—driven by digital technologies and data-based
optimization—can enable offshore production facilities to
reduce their unplanned downtime and drive better
operational efficiency,” added Eriksen.
Opportunities for embracing data-based and analytics-driven
maintenance are numerous, and include approaches such as:
• Efficient and effective collection, management and visualization
of data related to equipment condition and performance.
• Utilizing existing industry knowledge and applying advanced
analytics to become more predictive.
• Implementing optimization tools to create and maintain a
financially-optimized maintenance strategy.
6. 6 | Oil Gas
NEEDS FOR DIGITAL TECHNOLOGY
As offshore oil and gas production moves toward a more digital
and data-enabled environment, it is important to keep in mind
the many needs for organizations as they build more predictive
and data-driven approaches to asset operations and processes.
Just because your organization obtains more data does not
mean that it will know what to do with all of the data.
According to a recent study by Accenture, 60% of operators
cite dealing with outcomes of data gathered as a major
challenge. It is important to understand the reasons for
collecting increasing amounts of data and how the data can
be applied to improve condition-based monitoring and
predictive maintenance, including:
•The ability to identify data-based patterns
• Cognitive learning capabilities
• Opportunities to leverage data in the Cloud for cross-
organization/industry comparisons
•The ability to share data with trusted service providers for
additional analysis and insights
As the digital worlds of organizations grow, privacy, control
and security will continue to be top concerns. Evolving
digitization has made sensitive data vulnerable, but it has
ultimately triggered a wave of innovation as companies work
to stay ahead of threats and be able to isolate and minimize
their impact when they occur.
Another common concern when taking on digital initiatives is
system integration. Oil and gas organizations are becoming
increasingly connected across their organizations in terms of
not just applications, but data as well, so there is a need to
ensure that new application and technologies for better asset
management can fit well into the broader organization.
60% OF OPERATORS
CITE DEALING WITH
OUTCOMES OF DATA
GATHERED AS A
MAJOR CHALLENGE.
7. 7
RECOMMENDATIONS AND NEXT STEPS
There is a significant opportunity to continuing carving down
unplanned downtime through digitization, but as Deloitte noted
in a recent report, “Simply ‘doing’ digital things will not make
an organization digital.” Organizations need to go beyond just
technology changes to truly embrace the benefits of digitization.
RECOMMENDATIONS:
• Oil and gas executives responsible for offshore operations
should work with theirtechnology teams to create a digital
strategy to reduce unplanned downtime that will be based on
a foundation of data and analytics. Oftentimes there is a lack of
comprehensive and specific strategies for digital opportunities
with asset repair and maintenance. Strategies should be
developed at a high enough level to ensure that digitization
does not happen in pockets, and it is able to scale.
• Challenge your OEMs to provide digitally-enabled equipment
and machines that will provide the data necessary for
reducing downtime, and they can assist with building a more
comprehensive digital strategy for your asset management
efforts. Ask your OEMs questions about their digital strategies,
and truly understand their approaches and plans.
• Evaluate asset performance management (APM) tools and
technology to manage machine data and support more timely,
data-based decision processes.
• Consider cloud-based solutions and outsourced services. It is
important to consider your organization’s core competencies
and how much digitization aligns with them. Cloud-based
and outsourced services can offer additional expertise and
scalability to support data-driven approaches as they continue
to grow and evolve.
NEXT STEPS:
1) Baseline your current digital industrial capabilities.
2) Build out a roadmap with milestones.
3) Generate quick wins with APM.
Millions are at stake with unplanned downtime, and now is the
time to embrace new digitization opportunities that will improve
margins and profitability. GE is helping oil and gas companies
see returns from digitization. Contact us to accelerate your path
to mitigating risk resulting from unplanned downtime and to
driving enhanced operational efficiency.
info.geoilandgas.com/APM_Offshore.html