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Flowers Industries, Inc
         BMGT440 Financial Case Analysis




                            Xufei Xu
                                Yi Li
                       Sin Tung Chan
                       Xiaoqiao Wang
                            Minyi Xu
Introduction
 A largest U.S. wholesale baking company
 Based in Thomasville, Georgia
 Founded in 1919
 Produced baked food, snack foods, & convenience
  food
 Goal : most profitable Least-Cost Producer
 1970s – 1980s: Grown through Acquisition strategy
  which has served the company for many years
Flowers Industry, Inc.’s History
 1984 — Sales of $603 mil
 1985 — Became a Fortune 500 company
 Significant Sales Growth came from Acquisition
   50-60% Sale Growth – from acquisition
   100% Earnings Growth – from internal development

 1974-1984        Industry      S&500   Flowers
 Compound         3%            8%      17%
 Revenue Growth
 EPS              Decrease 6%   6%      17%
Anticipate Opportunities
 Marty Wood tried to find an opportunity to raise 50
  million dollars to finance the company.
 Three alternatives:
1. Common stock issue
2. Straight debt issue
3. Convertible Subordinated debentures
      - Not immediately require capital
Company’s Financial Status
 Financially profitable during 1974- 1984.
 Sales growth=17%
 S&P 500 average=8%
 High EPS growth
EPS Analysis
 Fact: Raise approximately 50 million dollars to
  continue their acquisition opportunities


 Three ways need to be consider:
     Straight debt financing
     Common Stock
     Convertible bond
Step 1: Calculate Net Income
Step2: Calculate Number of Shares
Step3: Calculate EPS




However, the fully diluted EPS in the case of convertible debt adjusts for
the assumed conversion of the debt by adding back the after-tax cost of
debt which equals:

(Net income +new interest expense*(1-45%))/number of diluted shares outstanding


     Choose Convertible Stock!
Other Factors
• Financial Risks
• Flexibility
• Voting Control
• Timing of Financing
Financial Risk
Debt Financing:
Advantages
 Less risky for investor; therefore cheaper source
  of capital than stock
 Tax deduction for interest results in lower after tax
  cost to company
 Increase return to Stockholders (ROE)
Disadvantages
 High Financial Risk
 Payment obligations are enforceable under law
Financial Risk
Equity financing:
Advantage:
 No legal obligation to pay dividends if not making any
  profit
 Low financial risk
Disadvantage:
 More risky for investors makes it more expensive form of
  capital
 Require higher return for investing in stock
Flexibility
Debt Financing:
 Have specific monthly payment
 Potential to go bankrupt


Equity financing:
 Preferred; because lower regular cash payment
  requirements
Voting Control
 Debt financing have more percentage of voting control
 Straight debt has no dilution on ownership at all
  Best option from Voting control perspective
Timing
 When interest rate is high, the company will choose to
  use equity financing method rather than debt financing.

 However, if the stock price of the company is high, the
  company is willing to issue stock rather than debt
  because the stock price is somewhat overvalued.

 Market interest rate is relatively low and the stock
  market is not well, choose convertible stock!
When should the company call the
            option?

           3-step Analysis:
 1. Price without calling the option
 2. Term to call
 3. Confirm that the term is fair to call
1. Price without calling
2.Term to call




                  Dividend
3. Is it a fair estimate?
 To confirm, we use two approaches:

1.   Market value
2.   Black-Scholes Value
    evaluating whether option contracts are fairly priced
    comparing the price of this instrument, the exercise
     price of the option, the volatility of the instrument,
     the time remaining until the expiration of the option
     contract, and current interest rates
Market Price Valuation at year 4.31
Black-Scholes Valuation at Year 4.31
Recommendation and Decision
 Best choice: Convertible bonds
 Yields the highest EPS
 Better control over the leveraging process
 EPS growth was maintained at 15%
 Stock price went above conversion price in late 1987
  and early 1988.
 Convertible bonds were called only in August 1992.
Questions?

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Flowers industries, inc

  • 1. Flowers Industries, Inc BMGT440 Financial Case Analysis Xufei Xu Yi Li Sin Tung Chan Xiaoqiao Wang Minyi Xu
  • 2. Introduction  A largest U.S. wholesale baking company  Based in Thomasville, Georgia  Founded in 1919  Produced baked food, snack foods, & convenience food  Goal : most profitable Least-Cost Producer  1970s – 1980s: Grown through Acquisition strategy which has served the company for many years
  • 3. Flowers Industry, Inc.’s History  1984 — Sales of $603 mil  1985 — Became a Fortune 500 company  Significant Sales Growth came from Acquisition 50-60% Sale Growth – from acquisition 100% Earnings Growth – from internal development 1974-1984 Industry S&500 Flowers Compound 3% 8% 17% Revenue Growth EPS Decrease 6% 6% 17%
  • 4. Anticipate Opportunities  Marty Wood tried to find an opportunity to raise 50 million dollars to finance the company.  Three alternatives: 1. Common stock issue 2. Straight debt issue 3. Convertible Subordinated debentures - Not immediately require capital
  • 5. Company’s Financial Status  Financially profitable during 1974- 1984.  Sales growth=17%  S&P 500 average=8%  High EPS growth
  • 6. EPS Analysis  Fact: Raise approximately 50 million dollars to continue their acquisition opportunities  Three ways need to be consider:  Straight debt financing  Common Stock  Convertible bond
  • 7.
  • 8. Step 1: Calculate Net Income
  • 10. Step3: Calculate EPS However, the fully diluted EPS in the case of convertible debt adjusts for the assumed conversion of the debt by adding back the after-tax cost of debt which equals: (Net income +new interest expense*(1-45%))/number of diluted shares outstanding  Choose Convertible Stock!
  • 11. Other Factors • Financial Risks • Flexibility • Voting Control • Timing of Financing
  • 12. Financial Risk Debt Financing: Advantages  Less risky for investor; therefore cheaper source of capital than stock  Tax deduction for interest results in lower after tax cost to company  Increase return to Stockholders (ROE) Disadvantages  High Financial Risk  Payment obligations are enforceable under law
  • 13. Financial Risk Equity financing: Advantage:  No legal obligation to pay dividends if not making any profit  Low financial risk Disadvantage:  More risky for investors makes it more expensive form of capital  Require higher return for investing in stock
  • 14. Flexibility Debt Financing:  Have specific monthly payment  Potential to go bankrupt Equity financing:  Preferred; because lower regular cash payment requirements
  • 15. Voting Control  Debt financing have more percentage of voting control  Straight debt has no dilution on ownership at all Best option from Voting control perspective
  • 16. Timing  When interest rate is high, the company will choose to use equity financing method rather than debt financing.  However, if the stock price of the company is high, the company is willing to issue stock rather than debt because the stock price is somewhat overvalued.  Market interest rate is relatively low and the stock market is not well, choose convertible stock!
  • 17. When should the company call the option? 3-step Analysis: 1. Price without calling the option 2. Term to call 3. Confirm that the term is fair to call
  • 18. 1. Price without calling
  • 19. 2.Term to call  Dividend
  • 20. 3. Is it a fair estimate?  To confirm, we use two approaches: 1. Market value 2. Black-Scholes Value  evaluating whether option contracts are fairly priced  comparing the price of this instrument, the exercise price of the option, the volatility of the instrument, the time remaining until the expiration of the option contract, and current interest rates
  • 21. Market Price Valuation at year 4.31
  • 23. Recommendation and Decision  Best choice: Convertible bonds  Yields the highest EPS  Better control over the leveraging process  EPS growth was maintained at 15%  Stock price went above conversion price in late 1987 and early 1988.  Convertible bonds were called only in August 1992.