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Technology Industry /
Finnish Economic Outlook
September 2020
Jukka Palokangas
Principal Economist
jukka.palokangas@techfind.fi
19/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
The Finnish Technology Industry Is Comprised of
Five Sub-Sectors
29/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
ELEKTRONICS AND ELECTROTECHNICAL
INDUSTRY
ABB, Ensto, Microsoft Mobile,
Murata Electronics, Nokia, Planmeca,
Polar Electro, Suunto, Vacon, Vaisala…
METALS INDUSTRY
Boliden, Componenta, Kuusakoski,
Luvata, Outokumpu, Outotec,
Ovako, Sacotec, SSAB …
MECHANICAL ENGINEERING
Abloy, Cargotec, Finn-Power, Fiskars,
Glaston, Kone, Konecranes, Metso,
Meyer Turku, Normet, Oras, Patria,
Pemamek, Ponsse, Stala, Valmet,
Valtra, Wärtsilä…
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
Affecto, Basware, Bilot, CGI, Comptel,
Digia, Efecte, Enfo, F-Secure, Fujitsu
Finland, IBM, Innofactor, Knowit,
Microsoft, Nixu, Tieto…
CONSULTING ENGINEERING
A-Insinöörit, Citec, Elomatic, Etteplan, FCG,
Granlund, Neste Jacobs, Pöyry, Ramboll,
Rejlers, SITO, SWECO, WSP…
The Finnish Technology Industry Is Comprised of
Five Sub-Sectors
3
ELEKTRONICS AND ELECTROTECHNICAL
INDUSTRY
• Data communications equipment, electrical
machinery, medical technology
• Turnover (2019): 18.0 billion euros
• Personnel (2019): 38,700
METALS INDUSTRY
• Steel products, non-ferrous metals,
castings, metallic minerals
• Turnover (2019): 10.7 billion euros
• Personnel (2019): 15,800
MECHANICAL ENGINEERING
• Machinery, metal products, vehicles
• Turnover (2019): 32.8 billion euros
• Personnel (2019): 134,200
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
• IT services, applications and
programming
• Turnover (2019): 14.8 billion euros
• Personnel (2019): 74,100
CONSULTING ENGINEERING
• Expertise for construction industry and
infrastructure
• Turnover (2019): 6.6 billion euros
• Personnel (2019): 56,200
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
The Technology Industry –
the Largest Export Sector in Finland
4
• Some 50 % of total exports.
• Some 320,000 employed directly in the
sector, including indirect effects 675,000
people.
• Effect on value added totaling € 57 billion,
or 28% of GDP value added.
• Bring to Finland € 18 billion tax revenue
annually.
• Investments about EUR 5.0 billion
annually in Finland.
• 70 % of private-sector R&D investment.
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
Value Added to the Economy Generated by the
Technology Industry Is EUR 55 Billion, or over 28%
of GDP * (2017)
510.9.2020 Teknologiateollisuus
28.8, 53%
15.6, 29%
10.1, 18%
A total of EUR 54.5 billion
Impact on technology industry
(direct influence)
Impact on other industries
(indirect influence)
Impact on private consumption
(income effect)
*) GDP value added was EUR 193.3 billion in 2017.
Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
Technology Industry Generates nearly 650,000
Jobs in Finland (over 25% of All Employees) (2017)
610.9.2020 Teknologiateollisuus
304,600, 47%
225,800, 35%
114,600, 18%
A total of 644 900 employees
Impact on technology industry
(direct influence)
Impact on other industries
(indirect influence)
Impact on private consumption
(income effect)
10 jobs in the technology industry bring
11 jobs to the rest of the economy
Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
Every Job in the Technology Industry Generates
almost another Job in the Services (2017)
710.9.2020 Teknologiateollisuus
295,100, 87%
12,200, 3%
33,100, 10%
Impact on other industries and on
private consumption: 340,300 employees
Services*
Primary production
Processing*
*) Excl. the services industries in the technology industry.
Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
Technology Industry Generates over 18 Billion
Euros in Tax Revenue Annually in Finland (2017)
810.9.2020 Teknologiateollisuus
9.2, 50%
4.3, 24%
4.7, 26%
A total of EUR 18.2 billion
Impact on technology industry
(direct influence)
Impact on other industries
(indirect influence)
Impact on private consumption
(income effect)
Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland
9Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland, Technology Industries of Finland9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
10*) In addition to goods exports the sector exported services worth some 14-15 billion euros.
Source: National Board of Customs, Statistics Finland
Export of Technology Industry Goods from Finland
by Area in 2019
Total goods exports 32.5 billion euros*
North America
3.15 billion €
9.2 %
Western Europe
18.23 billion €
53.3 %
South and
Middle America
0.99 billion €
2.9 %
Central and Eastern Europe
5.94 billion €
17.4 %
Africa
0.45 billion €
1.3 %
Middle and
Central East
0.51 billion €
1.5 %
Asia
4.93 billion €
14.4 %
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
Technology, Forest and Chemical Industries
Provide 81 % of Finland's Goods and Services
Exports Revenue
Goods and service exports: billion euros and the share of Finnish exports in 2017
11*) Service exports industry-specific data for the year 2017 are preliminary information.
Source: Board of Customs, Statistics Finland (National Accounts, Foreign trade in services), Federation of Finnish Technology Industries
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
Technology industry,
43.6, 51%
Forest industry;
12.9; 15%
Chemical industry;
13; 15%
Other branches;
16.1; 19%
Turnover of the Industry and Technology Industry
in Finland
12Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland
13Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
Value of New Orders in the Technology Industry*
in Finland
14
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
Yhteensä
Vientiin
Kotimaahan
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Million euros, at current prices
Change: II/2020 / II,2019 II,2020 / I,2020
Export: -13 % -8 %
Domestic: -18 % -6 %
Combined: -14 % -8 %
*) Excl. metals
industry, game
industry and data
center companies
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation April-June 2020
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
Value of Order Books in the Technology Industry*
in Finland
15
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
26,000
28,000
30,000
Export
Domestic
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 30.6.2020 / 30.6.2019 30.6.2020 / 31.3.2020
Export: -4 % +1 %
Domestic: +3 % -2 %
Combined: -2 % 0 %
Combined
*) *) Excl. metals
industry, game
industry and data
center companies
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 30th June 2020.
Tender Requests* Received by the Technology
Industry Companies in Finland
16Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, the last questionnaire in
July 2020.
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Balance figure
*) ”Have you experienced a notable increase or decrease in the number of requests for tenders in recent weeks in comparison to the situation three
months ago?”. Balance figure = the number of companies receiving more requests - the number of companies receiving less requests.”
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Value of New Orders in the Electronics and
Electrotechnical Industry in Finland
17
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
Combined
Export
Domestic
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Million euros, at current prices
Change: II,2020 / II,2019 II,2020 / I,2020
Export: +13 % +19 %
Domestic: +1 % -1 %
Combined: +11 % +15 %
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation April-June 2020
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
Value of Order Books in the Electronics and
Electrotechnical Industry in Finland
18
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
8,000
8,500
Export
Domestic
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 30.6.2020 / 30.6.2019 30.6.2020 / 31.3.2020
Export: +13 % +16 %
Domestic: +2 % 0 %
Combined: +11 % +13 %
Combined
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 30th June 2020.
Value of New Orders in the Mechanical
Engineering in Finland
19
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
Combined
Export
Domestic
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Million euros, at current prices
Change: II,2020 / II,2019 II,2020 / I,2020
Export: -37 % -32 %
Domestic: -26 % -1 %
Combined: -34 % -26 %
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation April-June 2020
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
Value of Order Books in the Mechanical
Engineering in Finland
20
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
Export
Domestic
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 30.6.2020 / 30.6.2020 30.6.2020 / 31.3.2020
Export: -8 % -3 %
Domestic: +13 % -2 %
Combined: -5 % -3 %
Combined
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 30th June 2020.
Value of New Orders in the Consulting Engineering
in Finland
21
0
20
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
Combined
Export
Domestic
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Million euros, at current prices
Change: II,2020 / II,2019 II,2020 / I,2020
Export: -7 % -63 %
Domestic: +5 % -13 %
Combined: +4 % -22 %
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation April-June 2020
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
Value of Order Books in the Consulting
Engineering in Finland
22
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
Export
Domestic
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 30.6.2020 / 30.6.2019 30.6.2020 / 31.3.2020
Export: +14 % -21 %
Domestic: +4 % -3 %
Combined: +5 % -5 %
Combined
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 30th June 2020.
Value of New Orders in the Information
Technology* in Finland
23
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Million euros, at current prices
Change: II,2020 / II,2019 II,2020 / I,2020
Combined: -27 % -21 %
*) Excl. game industry and data center
companies
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation April-June 2020
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
Value of Order Books in the Information
Technology* in Finland
24
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
1,800
2,000
2,200
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 30.6.2020 / 30.6.2019 30.6.2020 / 31.3.2020
Combined: -8 % -2 %
*) Pl. pelialan ohjelmistoyritykset ja
datakeskukset
08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 30th June 2020.
Technology Industry Personnel
259/10/2020 Technology Industries of
Finland
Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond
Almost 50,000 employees
affected by temporary lay-
offs 30th June 2020
30th Jun
Technology Industry Personnel Recruitment in
Finland by Quarters
26Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey
-4,000
-2,000
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
2014Q3 2015Q1 2015Q3 2016Q1 2016Q3 2017Q1 2017Q3 2018Q1 2018Q3 2019Q1 2019Q3 2020Q1
Change in the number of personnel compared to the previous quarter Number of people recruited during the quarter
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
Technology Industry Personnel in Finland by
Industry
279/10/2020 Technology Industries of
Finland
Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond
30th Jun
Technology Industry Personnel in Subsidiaries
Abroad by Industry
289/10/2020 Technology Industries of
Finland
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond
Technology Industry Personnel in Subsidiaries
Abroad by Country
299/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey
Information from year 2019
China, 45,832, 15%
India, 29,658, 10%
USA, 28,391, 10%
Germany, 19,701, 7%
Poland, 18,522, 6%
Mexico, 14,365, 5%
Sweden, 14,192, 5%
France, 11,313, 4%
UK, 8,204, 3%
Russia, 7,096, 2%
Italy, 6,780, 2%
Brazil, 6,490, 2%
Canada, 5,171, 2%
Other countries, 81,921, 27%
Retirement of Technology Industry Personnel in
Finland
30
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
Salaried employees
Blue collar employees
Individuals per year
Source: Wage inquiry of the Techonology Industries of Finland, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
Retirement of Technology Industry Blue Collar
Employees in Finland
31
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
Mechanical engineering Metals industry Electronics and electrotechnical industry
Individuals per year
Source: Wage inquiry of the Techonology Industries of Finland, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
Number of individuals retiring
(estimation)
Number of individuals retired
Overview of the Situation in the Technology
Industry and Outlook for the Autumn 2020
32
- Turnover in Finland totalled some EUR 83 billion in 2019. The turnover was up 6% year-on-
year. In January-May the turnover was 3% higher than last year at the same period.
- The monetary value of new orders reported between January-June 2020 was 8% lower than
in the preceding quarter, and 14% lower than in the corresponding period in 2019.
- At the end of June, the value of order books was at the same level as at the end of March,
but 2% lower than in June 2019.
- The turnover of the technology industry has started to decline, and is lower in the autumn
than at the same time last year.
- At the end of June, the number of employees in Finland was 0.7 per cent lower than last
year's average. At the end of June, there were 316,600 employees, which is about 2,100 less
than last year. In addition, there were about 13,000 summer employees during the summer.
Of the employees, almost 50,000 were covered by lay-off arrangements at the end of June.
- Recruitment of new staff decreased clearly in April – June. There were a total of 5,900,
compared to an average of 10,000 recruitments per quarter last year.
9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
World Economic Outlook
- Finland as a Part of Global
Economy
339/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
GDP Forecasts for 2020 Have Been Significantly
Reduced
34Source: Consensus Economics
-11
-10
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
GDP consensus forecasts for 2020, %
Eastern Europe
Finland
Sweden
Russia
France
Germany
Italy
Forecast period
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
In the Euro Area Countries, GDP Contracted more
Sharply in April-June than in Finland
35Lähde: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
Finland Is Clearly Behind in the Growth of Exports
Relative to the Euro Countries
36Source: Macrobond, Eurostat9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
Exports and Private Consumption Turned Finland’s
Economic Growth Negative in January-June
37Source: Macrobond, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
Corona Crisis Collapsed GDP in All Countries
38Souce: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
399/10/2020 Lähde: Macrobond
In China, the Economy Contracted Sharply in
January-March 2020, but Recovered in April-June
Technology Industries
of Finland
Purchasing Manager Indices for the Entire
Business Sector in Finland’s Most Important
Export Countries
40Source: Macrobond. Markit9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
In Finland, Industrial Production Has Withstood
Better than in Competing Countries
419/10/2020 Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
In Finland, Industrial Production Has Withstood
Better than in Most Other EU Countries
429/10/2020 Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
Industrial Production Is Already Recovering in
China and Globally
43Source: Macrobond, The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy AnalysisTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
Industrial Purchasing Managers' Indices Report a
Return to Growth in July at the Latest
4410.9.2020 Teknologiateollisuus Lähde: Macrobond, Markit
Industrial Production Grew in August in All Major
Developing Countries
4510.9.2020 Teknologiateollisuus Lähde: Macrobond, Markit
Exchange Rates (when the Curve Rises, the Value of
the Euro Strengthens Against the Other Currency)
46Source: Macrobond9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
47Source: Macrobond, The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis
Corona Crisis Has Affected World Trade by Force
Goods export volume
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
Chinese Imports Declined in the Spring but
Rebounded During the Summer
48Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
EU Exports to Russia Have Started to Decline Again
49Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
Russia’s* Share of the Technology Industry's
Finnish Exports Has Fallen to about 5 Percent
50*) Soviet Union up to 1991
Source: Finnish Customs
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40
42
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
2020(1-6)
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
%
51Source: IMF (June 2020)
The Global Economy Is Forecast to Shrink by 4.9%
in 2020, but to Grow by 5.4% in 2021
GDP growth 2020/2019, %
-11
-10
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
North America Western Europe Japan
China
India
Restof
Europe
Russia
Brazil
Mexico
Restof
Lat.Am.
Middle
Eastand
Africa
Kasvu keskimäärin:
-4,9 %
The width of the bar indicates the share of global GDP in 2019 (adjusted for purchasing power parity), %
Rest of
Asia
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
52Source: IMF (June 2020)
In the Export Market of the Technology Industry,
Demand Will Decrease by 7.6% in 2020
GDP growth 2020/2019, %
-11
-10
-9
-8
-7
-6
-5
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
North America Western Europe Japan
ChinaIndia
Restof
East.Euroe
Russia
Brazil
Mexico
RestofLat.Amer.
MiddleEast
andAfrica
Average growth:
-7,6 %
The width of the bar indicates the export share of technology industry from Finland in 2019, %
Rest
of
Asia
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
Finland’s Economic Growth
Relies on Exports and
Investments
53Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
Finland’s Exports Lagged behind Its Competitors
Even before the Corona Crisis
54Source: Macrobond, EurostatTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
55Source: Macrobond, Eurostat
Central and Local Government Debt Was Already
High Before the Corona Crisis
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
Unlike the Competitor Countries, in Finland
Business Investment Is Still Below the Level in 2008
56Source: OECD, Economic Outlook (June 2020)
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
145
150
155
160
165
170
175
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020e 2021e
Corporate investments, at fixed prices, index 2005=100
USA
Sweden
Switzerland
Belgium
Germany
Finland
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
5710.9.2020 Teknologiateollisuus Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Statistics Finland (Research and Development), EK Investment Survey (June
2020)
Investment Rate in the Technology Industry in
Finland Fell after the Financial Crisis
Tangible and intangible investments in Finland
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e
Tangible investments Intangible investments Investment rate, tangible
Investment rate, intangible Investment rate, combined
Investments, million euros,
at current prices
Investment rate (investments /
value added), %
Industrial Tangible and Intangible Investment* in
Finland Have Not Yet Reached the 2007-2008 Levels
58*) Including software investments.
Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2020
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020e
Tangible investment
Intangible investment
Intangible investment (excl.
electronics industry)
Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
Total Industrial Investment in Finland Is Now at
Around the Level of Capital Consumption
59*) Including software investments.
Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2020
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
12
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020e
Tangible and intangible
investment*
Consumption of Fixed
Capital
Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
Tangible Investments by Industry in Finland Are
Now at the Level of the Consumption of Capital
60Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2020
0
1
2
3
4
5
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020e
Tangible investment
Consumption of tangible
capital
Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
Industrial Production Capital in Finland Has
Disappeared Significantly, Especially after 2008
61Information on consumption of tangible capital is at 2010 prices.
Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts)
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019
Cumulative consumption
of tangible capital
Cumulative tangible
investment
Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
=6,4 bill. €
Industrial Tangible Investment Growth in Finland
Has Lagged behind that of Competitors
62Source: Eurostat (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ investment survey, January 2020
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
130
140
150
160
170
180
Hungary
Poland
Netherlands
Austria
Germany
Czech
Republic
Sweden
Belgium
Finland
Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices, index 2005=100
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
Investment Rate in Industrial Tangible
Investments Is at a Low Level in Finland
63Source: Eurostat (National Accounts)
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Hungary
Poland
Netherlands
Austria
Germany
Czech
Republic
Sweden
Belgium
Finland
Tangible investments / value added, %
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
Industrial Intangible Investments * in Finland
Have almost Halved since 2005
64*) Intangible investments include research and development and software investments etc.
Source: Eurostat (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ investment survey, January 2020
40
60
80
100
120
140
160
180
200
220
240
260
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e 2020e
Hungary
Poland
Netherlands
Austria
Germany
Czech Republic
Sweden
Belgium
Finland, excl.
electronics industry
Finland
Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices,
index 2005=100
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
Investment Rate of Industrial Intangible
Investments* Has Dropped Significantly in Finland
65*) Intangible investments include research and development and software investments.
Source: Eurostat (National Accounts)
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Hungary
Poland
Netherlands
Austria
Germany
Czech Republic
Sweden
Belgium
Finland, excl.
electronics industry
Finland
Intangible investments / value added, %
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
Investments and productivity* are Decisive for
Finland’s Success
669/10/2020 Technology Industries of
Finland
*) Productivity is measured as real value added per hours worked. When productivity grows
(the curve rises) value added grows more than hours worked.
Source: Statistics Finland
67Latest information January-March 2020.
Source: Eurostat: Quarterly National Accounts
Finland’s GDP Productivity Has Lagged Behind Other
EU and Euro Countries
GDP at fixed prices / hours worked
82
84
86
88
90
92
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
108
110
112
114
Euro countries
Sweden
Finland
Index 2008=100 (the year before the collapse of Finnish industrial production capacity)
9/10/2020 Technology Industries of
Finland
68Latest information January-March 2020.
Source: Eurostat: Quarterly National Accounts
In Industrial Productivity, Finland Is Still Behind
the EU and Eurozone Average
Industrial value added at fixed prices / hours worked
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
Euro countries
Sweden
Finland
2008=100 (the year before the collapse of Finnish industrial production capacity)
9/10/2020 Technology Industries of
Finland
69Lates information January-March 2020.
Source: Eurostat
The Investment Rate of Companies in Finland Is
Clearly Lower than the EU Average
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
Sweden
Austria
Belgium
EU countries
Finland
Corporate fixed investment compared to value added, % (excl. financial sector)
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
70
Finland’s Cost Competitiveness Has Begun to
Weaken Again
Unit labour costs in the whole economy = labour costs / productivity, including the influence of effective
exchange rates
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
108
110
112
114
2000=100
2005=100
2008=100
Finland’s price
and cost
competitiveness
declines
Finland’s price
and cost
competitiveness
improves
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
*) In the ECB Harmonised Competitiveness Index, the average effective exchange rate of each country is calculated vis-à-vis 38
main trade partners, as well as the development of unit labour costs for the total economy.
Latest information January-March 2020. Source: European Central Bank
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
Member Companies of the
Federation of Finnish
Technology Industries
719/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
The Federation’s Member Companies 2018
72
250–499 employees
70,029
39%
29,629
16%
26,793
15%
53,249
30%
1,440
92 %
86
5 %
38
2 % 24
1 %
Number of enterprises / 1,588 Number of personnel / 179,700
1–249 employees 500–999 employees
1000– employees
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/10/2020
The Federation’s SME Member Companies 2018
73
477
33%
483
33 %
285
20%
196
14%
Number of enterprises / 1,440 Number of personnel / 70,029
5,101
7%
15,705
23%
19,763
28%
29,460
42%
1–19 employees
20–49 employees
50–99 employees
100–249 employees
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
Operating Profit in the Member Companies of
Technology Industries of Finland in 2018
Operating profit-% = operating result / turnover * 100 (before taxes and financial income
and expenses)
74Source: Statistics Finland
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
(Median: 5.0 %)
Good (26 %)
Satisfactory (24 %)
Weak (29 %)
Unprofitable
(21 %)
9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
Companies in random order
Net Profit in the Member Companies of Technology
Industries of Finland in 2018
Net profit -% = net profit / turnover * 100 (after tax and financial income and expenses)
75
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
(Median: 4.0 %)
Unprofitable (23 %)
Good (21 %)
Satisfactory (23 %)
Weak (33 %)
Source: Statistics Finland9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
Companies in random order
Return on Assets in the Member Companies of
Technology Industries of Finland in 2018
Return on assets -% = (net income + financial expenses + taxes) / (capital invested in the
financial year) * 100
76
-30
-25
-20
-15
-10
-5
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
(Median: 12.7 %)
Good (44 %)
Satisfactory (12 %)
Mediocre (26 %)
Weak (18 %)
Companies in random order
Source: Statistics Finland9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland
Equity Ratio in the Member Companies of
Technology Industries of Finland in 2018
Equity ratio -% = (total equity + total appropriations accrued) / adjusted balance sheet * 100
77
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
55
60
65
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
(Median: 41.8 %)
Good (52 %)
Satisfactory (24 %)
Weak (24 %)
Companies in random order
Source: Statistics Finland9/10/2020 Technology Industries
of Finland

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Finnish technology industry, September 2020

  • 1. Technology Industry / Finnish Economic Outlook September 2020 Jukka Palokangas Principal Economist jukka.palokangas@techfind.fi 19/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 2. The Finnish Technology Industry Is Comprised of Five Sub-Sectors 29/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland ELEKTRONICS AND ELECTROTECHNICAL INDUSTRY ABB, Ensto, Microsoft Mobile, Murata Electronics, Nokia, Planmeca, Polar Electro, Suunto, Vacon, Vaisala… METALS INDUSTRY Boliden, Componenta, Kuusakoski, Luvata, Outokumpu, Outotec, Ovako, Sacotec, SSAB … MECHANICAL ENGINEERING Abloy, Cargotec, Finn-Power, Fiskars, Glaston, Kone, Konecranes, Metso, Meyer Turku, Normet, Oras, Patria, Pemamek, Ponsse, Stala, Valmet, Valtra, Wärtsilä… INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY Affecto, Basware, Bilot, CGI, Comptel, Digia, Efecte, Enfo, F-Secure, Fujitsu Finland, IBM, Innofactor, Knowit, Microsoft, Nixu, Tieto… CONSULTING ENGINEERING A-Insinöörit, Citec, Elomatic, Etteplan, FCG, Granlund, Neste Jacobs, Pöyry, Ramboll, Rejlers, SITO, SWECO, WSP…
  • 3. The Finnish Technology Industry Is Comprised of Five Sub-Sectors 3 ELEKTRONICS AND ELECTROTECHNICAL INDUSTRY • Data communications equipment, electrical machinery, medical technology • Turnover (2019): 18.0 billion euros • Personnel (2019): 38,700 METALS INDUSTRY • Steel products, non-ferrous metals, castings, metallic minerals • Turnover (2019): 10.7 billion euros • Personnel (2019): 15,800 MECHANICAL ENGINEERING • Machinery, metal products, vehicles • Turnover (2019): 32.8 billion euros • Personnel (2019): 134,200 INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY • IT services, applications and programming • Turnover (2019): 14.8 billion euros • Personnel (2019): 74,100 CONSULTING ENGINEERING • Expertise for construction industry and infrastructure • Turnover (2019): 6.6 billion euros • Personnel (2019): 56,200 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 4. The Technology Industry – the Largest Export Sector in Finland 4 • Some 50 % of total exports. • Some 320,000 employed directly in the sector, including indirect effects 675,000 people. • Effect on value added totaling € 57 billion, or 28% of GDP value added. • Bring to Finland € 18 billion tax revenue annually. • Investments about EUR 5.0 billion annually in Finland. • 70 % of private-sector R&D investment. 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 5. Value Added to the Economy Generated by the Technology Industry Is EUR 55 Billion, or over 28% of GDP * (2017) 510.9.2020 Teknologiateollisuus 28.8, 53% 15.6, 29% 10.1, 18% A total of EUR 54.5 billion Impact on technology industry (direct influence) Impact on other industries (indirect influence) Impact on private consumption (income effect) *) GDP value added was EUR 193.3 billion in 2017. Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
  • 6. Technology Industry Generates nearly 650,000 Jobs in Finland (over 25% of All Employees) (2017) 610.9.2020 Teknologiateollisuus 304,600, 47% 225,800, 35% 114,600, 18% A total of 644 900 employees Impact on technology industry (direct influence) Impact on other industries (indirect influence) Impact on private consumption (income effect) 10 jobs in the technology industry bring 11 jobs to the rest of the economy Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
  • 7. Every Job in the Technology Industry Generates almost another Job in the Services (2017) 710.9.2020 Teknologiateollisuus 295,100, 87% 12,200, 3% 33,100, 10% Impact on other industries and on private consumption: 340,300 employees Services* Primary production Processing* *) Excl. the services industries in the technology industry. Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
  • 8. Technology Industry Generates over 18 Billion Euros in Tax Revenue Annually in Finland (2017) 810.9.2020 Teknologiateollisuus 9.2, 50% 4.3, 24% 4.7, 26% A total of EUR 18.2 billion Impact on technology industry (direct influence) Impact on other industries (indirect influence) Impact on private consumption (income effect) Source: Economic Impact of the Technology Industry in Finland 11/2018
  • 9. Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland 9Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland, Technology Industries of Finland9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 10. 10*) In addition to goods exports the sector exported services worth some 14-15 billion euros. Source: National Board of Customs, Statistics Finland Export of Technology Industry Goods from Finland by Area in 2019 Total goods exports 32.5 billion euros* North America 3.15 billion € 9.2 % Western Europe 18.23 billion € 53.3 % South and Middle America 0.99 billion € 2.9 % Central and Eastern Europe 5.94 billion € 17.4 % Africa 0.45 billion € 1.3 % Middle and Central East 0.51 billion € 1.5 % Asia 4.93 billion € 14.4 % 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 11. Technology, Forest and Chemical Industries Provide 81 % of Finland's Goods and Services Exports Revenue Goods and service exports: billion euros and the share of Finnish exports in 2017 11*) Service exports industry-specific data for the year 2017 are preliminary information. Source: Board of Customs, Statistics Finland (National Accounts, Foreign trade in services), Federation of Finnish Technology Industries 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland Technology industry, 43.6, 51% Forest industry; 12.9; 15% Chemical industry; 13; 15% Other branches; 16.1; 19%
  • 12. Turnover of the Industry and Technology Industry in Finland 12Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 13. Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland 13Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 14. Value of New Orders in the Technology Industry* in Finland 14 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 Yhteensä Vientiin Kotimaahan 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Million euros, at current prices Change: II/2020 / II,2019 II,2020 / I,2020 Export: -13 % -8 % Domestic: -18 % -6 % Combined: -14 % -8 % *) Excl. metals industry, game industry and data center companies Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation April-June 2020 Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 15. Value of Order Books in the Technology Industry* in Finland 15 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 22,000 24,000 26,000 28,000 30,000 Export Domestic 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Million euros, at current prices Change: 30.6.2020 / 30.6.2019 30.6.2020 / 31.3.2020 Export: -4 % +1 % Domestic: +3 % -2 % Combined: -2 % 0 % Combined *) *) Excl. metals industry, game industry and data center companies Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 30th June 2020.
  • 16. Tender Requests* Received by the Technology Industry Companies in Finland 16Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, the last questionnaire in July 2020. -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 Balance figure *) ”Have you experienced a notable increase or decrease in the number of requests for tenders in recent weeks in comparison to the situation three months ago?”. Balance figure = the number of companies receiving more requests - the number of companies receiving less requests.” Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
  • 17. Value of New Orders in the Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland 17 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500 Combined Export Domestic 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Million euros, at current prices Change: II,2020 / II,2019 II,2020 / I,2020 Export: +13 % +19 % Domestic: +1 % -1 % Combined: +11 % +15 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation April-June 2020 Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 18. Value of Order Books in the Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland 18 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 Export Domestic Million euros, at current prices Change: 30.6.2020 / 30.6.2019 30.6.2020 / 31.3.2020 Export: +13 % +16 % Domestic: +2 % 0 % Combined: +11 % +13 % Combined 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 30th June 2020.
  • 19. Value of New Orders in the Mechanical Engineering in Finland 19 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 Combined Export Domestic 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Million euros, at current prices Change: II,2020 / II,2019 II,2020 / I,2020 Export: -37 % -32 % Domestic: -26 % -1 % Combined: -34 % -26 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation April-June 2020 Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 20. Value of Order Books in the Mechanical Engineering in Finland 20 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 22,000 Export Domestic Million euros, at current prices Change: 30.6.2020 / 30.6.2020 30.6.2020 / 31.3.2020 Export: -8 % -3 % Domestic: +13 % -2 % Combined: -5 % -3 % Combined 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 30th June 2020.
  • 21. Value of New Orders in the Consulting Engineering in Finland 21 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 Combined Export Domestic 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Million euros, at current prices Change: II,2020 / II,2019 II,2020 / I,2020 Export: -7 % -63 % Domestic: +5 % -13 % Combined: +4 % -22 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation April-June 2020 Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 22. Value of Order Books in the Consulting Engineering in Finland 22 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 Export Domestic Million euros, at current prices Change: 30.6.2020 / 30.6.2019 30.6.2020 / 31.3.2020 Export: +14 % -21 % Domestic: +4 % -3 % Combined: +5 % -5 % Combined 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 30th June 2020.
  • 23. Value of New Orders in the Information Technology* in Finland 23 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Million euros, at current prices Change: II,2020 / II,2019 II,2020 / I,2020 Combined: -27 % -21 % *) Excl. game industry and data center companies Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation April-June 2020 Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 24. Value of Order Books in the Information Technology* in Finland 24 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 1,800 2,000 2,200 Million euros, at current prices Change: 30.6.2020 / 30.6.2019 30.6.2020 / 31.3.2020 Combined: -8 % -2 % *) Pl. pelialan ohjelmistoyritykset ja datakeskukset 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 30th June 2020.
  • 25. Technology Industry Personnel 259/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond Almost 50,000 employees affected by temporary lay- offs 30th June 2020 30th Jun
  • 26. Technology Industry Personnel Recruitment in Finland by Quarters 26Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey -4,000 -2,000 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 2014Q3 2015Q1 2015Q3 2016Q1 2016Q3 2017Q1 2017Q3 2018Q1 2018Q3 2019Q1 2019Q3 2020Q1 Change in the number of personnel compared to the previous quarter Number of people recruited during the quarter Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 27. Technology Industry Personnel in Finland by Industry 279/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond 30th Jun
  • 28. Technology Industry Personnel in Subsidiaries Abroad by Industry 289/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond
  • 29. Technology Industry Personnel in Subsidiaries Abroad by Country 299/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey Information from year 2019 China, 45,832, 15% India, 29,658, 10% USA, 28,391, 10% Germany, 19,701, 7% Poland, 18,522, 6% Mexico, 14,365, 5% Sweden, 14,192, 5% France, 11,313, 4% UK, 8,204, 3% Russia, 7,096, 2% Italy, 6,780, 2% Brazil, 6,490, 2% Canada, 5,171, 2% Other countries, 81,921, 27%
  • 30. Retirement of Technology Industry Personnel in Finland 30 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 Salaried employees Blue collar employees Individuals per year Source: Wage inquiry of the Techonology Industries of Finland, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 31. Retirement of Technology Industry Blue Collar Employees in Finland 31 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 Mechanical engineering Metals industry Electronics and electrotechnical industry Individuals per year Source: Wage inquiry of the Techonology Industries of Finland, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020 Number of individuals retiring (estimation) Number of individuals retired
  • 32. Overview of the Situation in the Technology Industry and Outlook for the Autumn 2020 32 - Turnover in Finland totalled some EUR 83 billion in 2019. The turnover was up 6% year-on- year. In January-May the turnover was 3% higher than last year at the same period. - The monetary value of new orders reported between January-June 2020 was 8% lower than in the preceding quarter, and 14% lower than in the corresponding period in 2019. - At the end of June, the value of order books was at the same level as at the end of March, but 2% lower than in June 2019. - The turnover of the technology industry has started to decline, and is lower in the autumn than at the same time last year. - At the end of June, the number of employees in Finland was 0.7 per cent lower than last year's average. At the end of June, there were 316,600 employees, which is about 2,100 less than last year. In addition, there were about 13,000 summer employees during the summer. Of the employees, almost 50,000 were covered by lay-off arrangements at the end of June. - Recruitment of new staff decreased clearly in April – June. There were a total of 5,900, compared to an average of 10,000 recruitments per quarter last year. 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 33. World Economic Outlook - Finland as a Part of Global Economy 339/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 34. GDP Forecasts for 2020 Have Been Significantly Reduced 34Source: Consensus Economics -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 GDP consensus forecasts for 2020, % Eastern Europe Finland Sweden Russia France Germany Italy Forecast period 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 35. In the Euro Area Countries, GDP Contracted more Sharply in April-June than in Finland 35Lähde: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 36. Finland Is Clearly Behind in the Growth of Exports Relative to the Euro Countries 36Source: Macrobond, Eurostat9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 37. Exports and Private Consumption Turned Finland’s Economic Growth Negative in January-June 37Source: Macrobond, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 38. Corona Crisis Collapsed GDP in All Countries 38Souce: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 39. 399/10/2020 Lähde: Macrobond In China, the Economy Contracted Sharply in January-March 2020, but Recovered in April-June Technology Industries of Finland
  • 40. Purchasing Manager Indices for the Entire Business Sector in Finland’s Most Important Export Countries 40Source: Macrobond. Markit9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 41. In Finland, Industrial Production Has Withstood Better than in Competing Countries 419/10/2020 Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland
  • 42. In Finland, Industrial Production Has Withstood Better than in Most Other EU Countries 429/10/2020 Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland
  • 43. Industrial Production Is Already Recovering in China and Globally 43Source: Macrobond, The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy AnalysisTechnology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 44. Industrial Purchasing Managers' Indices Report a Return to Growth in July at the Latest 4410.9.2020 Teknologiateollisuus Lähde: Macrobond, Markit
  • 45. Industrial Production Grew in August in All Major Developing Countries 4510.9.2020 Teknologiateollisuus Lähde: Macrobond, Markit
  • 46. Exchange Rates (when the Curve Rises, the Value of the Euro Strengthens Against the Other Currency) 46Source: Macrobond9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 47. 47Source: Macrobond, The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis Corona Crisis Has Affected World Trade by Force Goods export volume Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 48. Chinese Imports Declined in the Spring but Rebounded During the Summer 48Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 49. EU Exports to Russia Have Started to Decline Again 49Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 50. Russia’s* Share of the Technology Industry's Finnish Exports Has Fallen to about 5 Percent 50*) Soviet Union up to 1991 Source: Finnish Customs 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020(1-6) Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020 %
  • 51. 51Source: IMF (June 2020) The Global Economy Is Forecast to Shrink by 4.9% in 2020, but to Grow by 5.4% in 2021 GDP growth 2020/2019, % -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 North America Western Europe Japan China India Restof Europe Russia Brazil Mexico Restof Lat.Am. Middle Eastand Africa Kasvu keskimäärin: -4,9 % The width of the bar indicates the share of global GDP in 2019 (adjusted for purchasing power parity), % Rest of Asia Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 52. 52Source: IMF (June 2020) In the Export Market of the Technology Industry, Demand Will Decrease by 7.6% in 2020 GDP growth 2020/2019, % -11 -10 -9 -8 -7 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 North America Western Europe Japan ChinaIndia Restof East.Euroe Russia Brazil Mexico RestofLat.Amer. MiddleEast andAfrica Average growth: -7,6 % The width of the bar indicates the export share of technology industry from Finland in 2019, % Rest of Asia Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 53. Finland’s Economic Growth Relies on Exports and Investments 53Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 54. Finland’s Exports Lagged behind Its Competitors Even before the Corona Crisis 54Source: Macrobond, EurostatTechnology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 55. 55Source: Macrobond, Eurostat Central and Local Government Debt Was Already High Before the Corona Crisis Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 56. Unlike the Competitor Countries, in Finland Business Investment Is Still Below the Level in 2008 56Source: OECD, Economic Outlook (June 2020) 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140 145 150 155 160 165 170 175 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020e 2021e Corporate investments, at fixed prices, index 2005=100 USA Sweden Switzerland Belgium Germany Finland 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 57. 5710.9.2020 Teknologiateollisuus Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Statistics Finland (Research and Development), EK Investment Survey (June 2020) Investment Rate in the Technology Industry in Finland Fell after the Financial Crisis Tangible and intangible investments in Finland 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e Tangible investments Intangible investments Investment rate, tangible Investment rate, intangible Investment rate, combined Investments, million euros, at current prices Investment rate (investments / value added), %
  • 58. Industrial Tangible and Intangible Investment* in Finland Have Not Yet Reached the 2007-2008 Levels 58*) Including software investments. Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2020 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020e Tangible investment Intangible investment Intangible investment (excl. electronics industry) Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 59. Total Industrial Investment in Finland Is Now at Around the Level of Capital Consumption 59*) Including software investments. Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2020 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020e Tangible and intangible investment* Consumption of Fixed Capital Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 60. Tangible Investments by Industry in Finland Are Now at the Level of the Consumption of Capital 60Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2020 0 1 2 3 4 5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020e Tangible investment Consumption of tangible capital Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 61. Industrial Production Capital in Finland Has Disappeared Significantly, Especially after 2008 61Information on consumption of tangible capital is at 2010 prices. Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts) 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 Cumulative consumption of tangible capital Cumulative tangible investment Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland =6,4 bill. €
  • 62. Industrial Tangible Investment Growth in Finland Has Lagged behind that of Competitors 62Source: Eurostat (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ investment survey, January 2020 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 130 140 150 160 170 180 Hungary Poland Netherlands Austria Germany Czech Republic Sweden Belgium Finland Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices, index 2005=100 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 63. Investment Rate in Industrial Tangible Investments Is at a Low Level in Finland 63Source: Eurostat (National Accounts) 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Hungary Poland Netherlands Austria Germany Czech Republic Sweden Belgium Finland Tangible investments / value added, % 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 64. Industrial Intangible Investments * in Finland Have almost Halved since 2005 64*) Intangible investments include research and development and software investments etc. Source: Eurostat (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ investment survey, January 2020 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 200 220 240 260 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019e 2020e Hungary Poland Netherlands Austria Germany Czech Republic Sweden Belgium Finland, excl. electronics industry Finland Billion euros, at fixed 2015 prices, index 2005=100 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 65. Investment Rate of Industrial Intangible Investments* Has Dropped Significantly in Finland 65*) Intangible investments include research and development and software investments. Source: Eurostat (National Accounts) 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Hungary Poland Netherlands Austria Germany Czech Republic Sweden Belgium Finland, excl. electronics industry Finland Intangible investments / value added, % 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 66. Investments and productivity* are Decisive for Finland’s Success 669/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland *) Productivity is measured as real value added per hours worked. When productivity grows (the curve rises) value added grows more than hours worked. Source: Statistics Finland
  • 67. 67Latest information January-March 2020. Source: Eurostat: Quarterly National Accounts Finland’s GDP Productivity Has Lagged Behind Other EU and Euro Countries GDP at fixed prices / hours worked 82 84 86 88 90 92 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 108 110 112 114 Euro countries Sweden Finland Index 2008=100 (the year before the collapse of Finnish industrial production capacity) 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 68. 68Latest information January-March 2020. Source: Eurostat: Quarterly National Accounts In Industrial Productivity, Finland Is Still Behind the EU and Eurozone Average Industrial value added at fixed prices / hours worked 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 Euro countries Sweden Finland 2008=100 (the year before the collapse of Finnish industrial production capacity) 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 69. 69Lates information January-March 2020. Source: Eurostat The Investment Rate of Companies in Finland Is Clearly Lower than the EU Average 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 Sweden Austria Belgium EU countries Finland Corporate fixed investment compared to value added, % (excl. financial sector) 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 70. 70 Finland’s Cost Competitiveness Has Begun to Weaken Again Unit labour costs in the whole economy = labour costs / productivity, including the influence of effective exchange rates 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 108 110 112 114 2000=100 2005=100 2008=100 Finland’s price and cost competitiveness declines Finland’s price and cost competitiveness improves 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland *) In the ECB Harmonised Competitiveness Index, the average effective exchange rate of each country is calculated vis-à-vis 38 main trade partners, as well as the development of unit labour costs for the total economy. Latest information January-March 2020. Source: European Central Bank 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20
  • 71. Member Companies of the Federation of Finnish Technology Industries 719/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 72. The Federation’s Member Companies 2018 72 250–499 employees 70,029 39% 29,629 16% 26,793 15% 53,249 30% 1,440 92 % 86 5 % 38 2 % 24 1 % Number of enterprises / 1,588 Number of personnel / 179,700 1–249 employees 500–999 employees 1000– employees Technology Industries of Finland 9/10/2020
  • 73. The Federation’s SME Member Companies 2018 73 477 33% 483 33 % 285 20% 196 14% Number of enterprises / 1,440 Number of personnel / 70,029 5,101 7% 15,705 23% 19,763 28% 29,460 42% 1–19 employees 20–49 employees 50–99 employees 100–249 employees 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 74. Operating Profit in the Member Companies of Technology Industries of Finland in 2018 Operating profit-% = operating result / turnover * 100 (before taxes and financial income and expenses) 74Source: Statistics Finland -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 (Median: 5.0 %) Good (26 %) Satisfactory (24 %) Weak (29 %) Unprofitable (21 %) 9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland Companies in random order
  • 75. Net Profit in the Member Companies of Technology Industries of Finland in 2018 Net profit -% = net profit / turnover * 100 (after tax and financial income and expenses) 75 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 (Median: 4.0 %) Unprofitable (23 %) Good (21 %) Satisfactory (23 %) Weak (33 %) Source: Statistics Finland9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland Companies in random order
  • 76. Return on Assets in the Member Companies of Technology Industries of Finland in 2018 Return on assets -% = (net income + financial expenses + taxes) / (capital invested in the financial year) * 100 76 -30 -25 -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 (Median: 12.7 %) Good (44 %) Satisfactory (12 %) Mediocre (26 %) Weak (18 %) Companies in random order Source: Statistics Finland9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 77. Equity Ratio in the Member Companies of Technology Industries of Finland in 2018 Equity ratio -% = (total equity + total appropriations accrued) / adjusted balance sheet * 100 77 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 55 60 65 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 (Median: 41.8 %) Good (52 %) Satisfactory (24 %) Weak (24 %) Companies in random order Source: Statistics Finland9/10/2020 Technology Industries of Finland