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Technology Industry /
Finnish Economic Outlook
September 2018
19/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Overcoming the Gap in GDP Will Require 3.0%
Growth in Finland Annually in 2018-2023
220.9.2018 Teknologiateollisuus *) The IMF forecast for the euro area in April 2018: 2.4% in 2018, 2.0% in 2019, 1.7% in 2020, 1.5% in 2021, 1.5% in 2022,
1.4% in 2023
Source: Macrobond, IMF, Federation of Finnish Technology Industry
The Finnish Technology Industry Is Comprised of
Five Sub-Sectors
39/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
ELEKTRONICS AND ELECTROTECHNICAL
INDUSTRY
ABB, Ensto, Microsoft Mobile,
Murata Electronics, Nokia, Planmeca,
Polar Electro, Suunto, Vacon, Vaisala…
METALS INDUSTRY
Boliden, Componenta, Kuusakoski,
Luvata, Outokumpu, Outotec,
Ovako, Sacotec, SSAB …
MECHANICAL ENGINEERING
Abloy, Cargotec, Finn-Power, Fiskars,
Glaston, Kone, Konecranes, Metso,
Meyer Turku, Normet, Oras, Patria,
Pemamek, Ponsse, Stala, Valmet,
Valtra, Wärtsilä…
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
Affecto, Basware, Bilot, CGI, Comptel,
Digia, Efecte, Enfo, F-Secure, Fujitsu
Finland, IBM, Innofactor, Knowit,
Microsoft, Nixu, Tieto…
CONSULTING ENGINEERING
A-Insinöörit, Citec, Elomatic, Etteplan, FCG,
Granlund, Neste Jacobs, Pöyry, Ramboll,
Rejlers, SITO, SWECO, WSP…
The Finnish Technology Industry Is Comprised of
Five Sub-Sectors
4
ELEKTRONICS AND ELECTROTECHNICAL
INDUSTRY
• Data communications equipment, electrical
machinery, medical technology
• Turnover (2017): 14.4 billion euros
• Personnel (2017): 37,800
METALS INDUSTRY
• Steel products, non-ferrous metals,
castings, metallic minerals
• Turnover (2017): 10.1 billion euros
• Personnel (2017): 16,100
MECHANICAL ENGINEERING
• Machinery, metal products, vehicles
• Turnover (2017): 29.9 billion euros
• Personnel (2017): 127,900
INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY
• IT services, applications and
programming
• Turnover (2017): 12.3 billion euros
• Personnel (2017): 66,900
CONSULTING ENGINEERING
• Expertise for construction industry and
infrastructure
• Turnover (2017): 6.0 billion euros
• Personnel (2017): 50,900
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
The Technology Industry –
the Largest Export Sector in Finland
5
• 51 % of total Finnish exports.
• Companies invest about EUR 5.0 billion
annually in Finland.
• 70 % of private-sector R&D investment.
• Some 310,000 employed directly in the
sector.
• Technology Industries of Finland has over
1,600 member companies.
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland
6Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland, Technology Industries of Finland9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
7*) In addition to goods exports the sector exported services worth some 13 billion euros.
Source: National Board of Customs, Statistics Finland
Export of Technology Industry Goods from Finland
by Area in 2017
Total goods exports 30.6 billion euros*
North America
2.79 billion €
9.1 %
Western Europe
16.44 billion €
53.7 %
South and
Middle America
0.84 billion €
2.8 %
Central and Eastern Europe
5.11 billion €
16.6 %
Africa
0.43 billion €
1.4 %
Middle and
Central East
0.51 billion €
1.7 %
Asia
4.51 billion €
14.7 %
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Technology, Forest and Chemical Industries
Provide 81 % of Finland's Goods and Services
Exports Revenue
Goods and service exports: billion euros and the share of Finnish exports in 2017
8*) Service exports industry-specific data for the year 2017 are preliminary information.
Source: Board of Customs, Statistics Finland (National Accounts, Foreign trade in services), Federation of Finnish Technology Industries
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Technology industry,
43.6, 51%
Forest industry;
12.9; 15%
Chemical industry;
13; 15%
Other branches;
16.1; 19%
Turnover of the Industry and Technology Industry
in Finland
9Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland
10Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Value of New Orders in the Technology Industry*
in Finland
11Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation April-June 2018.
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
Combined
Export
Domestic
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Million euros, at current prices
Change: II,2018 / II,2017 II,2018 / I,2018
Export: -15 % +6 %
Domestic: +13 % -21 %
Combined: -9 % -1 %
*) Excl. metals
industry, game
industry and data
center companies
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Value of Order Books in the Technology Industry*
in Finland
12Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 30.6.2018.
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
20,000
22,000
24,000
26,000
Export
Domestic
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 30.6.2018 / 30.6.2017 30.6.2018 / 31.3.2018
Export: +13 % -2 %
Domestic: +9 % -7 %
Combined: +12 % -3 %
*) Excl. metals
industry, game
industry and data
center companies
Combined
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Tender Requests* Received by Technology
Industry Companies in Finland
13Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies,
the last questionnaire in July 2018
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Balance figure
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
*) Have you experienced a notable increase or decrease in the number of requests for tenders in recent weeks in comparison to the situation three
months ago?”. Balance figure = the number of companies receiving more requests - the number of companies receiving less requests.
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Tender Requests* Received by Technology Industry
Anticipate Weaker Order Development in Autumn
14*) Four quarters moving average.
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies
50
60
70
80
90
100
110
120
-60
-50
-40
-30
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
Balance figure*
(left scale)
New orders*,
index 2008=100
(right scale)
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Value of New Orders in the Electronics and
Electrotechnical Industry in Finland
15
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
Combined
Export
Domestic
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Million euros, at current prices
Change: II,2018 / II,2017 II,2018 / I,2018
Export: +3 % -1 %
Domestic: +6 % 0 %
Combined: +3 % -1 %
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation April-June 2018.
Value of Order Books in the Electronics and
Electrotechnical Industry in Finland
16
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
8,000
8,500
Export
Domestic
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 30.6.2018 / 30.6.2017 30.6.2018 / 31.3.2018
Export: -3 % 0 %
Domestic: -2 % 0 %
Combined: -3 % 0 %
Combined
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 30.6.2018.
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Value of New Orders in the Mechanical
Engineering in Finland
17
0
500
1,000
1,500
2,000
2,500
3,000
3,500
4,000
4,500
5,000
5,500
6,000
6,500
7,000
7,500
Combined
Export
Domestic
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Million euros, at current prices
Change: II,2018 / II,2017 II,2018 / I,2018
Export: -24 % +13 %
Domestic: +3 % -30 %
Combined: -21 % +3 %
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation April-June 2018.
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Value of Order Books in the Mechanical
Engineering in Finland
18
0
2,000
4,000
6,000
8,000
10,000
12,000
14,000
16,000
18,000
Export
Domestic
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 30.6.2018 / 30.6.2017 30.6.2018 / 31.3.2018
Export: +18 % -3 %
Domestic: +11 % -10 %
Combined: +17 % -4 %
Combined
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 30.6.2018.
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Value of New Orders in the Consulting Engineering
in Finland
19
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
Combined
Export
Domestic
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Million euros, at current prices
Change: II,2018 / II,2017 II,2018 / I,2018
Export: +9 % -45 %
Domestic: +43 % +21 %
Combined: +48 % -9 %
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation April-June 2018.
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Value of Order Books in the Consulting
Engineering in Finland
20
0
100
200
300
400
500
600
700
800
Export
Domestic
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 30.6.2018 / 30.6.2017 30.6.2018 / 31.3.2018
Export: -24 % -11 %
Domestic: +38 % 0 %
Combined: +23 % -2 %
Combined
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 30.6.2018.
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Value of New Orders in the Information
Technology* in Finland
21
0
50
100
150
200
250
300
350
400
450
500
550
600
650
700
750
800
850
900
950
1,000
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Million euros, at current prices
Change: II,2018 / II,2017 II,2018 / I,2018
Combined: +46 % -27 %
*) Excl. game industry and data center
companies.
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation April-June 2018.
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Value of Order Books in the Information
Technology* in Finland
22
0
200
400
600
800
1,000
1,200
1,400
1,600
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
Million euros, at current prices
Change: 30.6.2018 / 30.6.2017 30.6.2018 / 31.3.2018
Combined: +3 % -7 %
*) Excl. game industry and data
center companies.
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent
companies, latest observation 30.6.2018.
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Technology Industry Personnel in Finland Has
Grown by 10,000 this Year
23Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey
150,000
170,000
190,000
210,000
230,000
250,000
270,000
290,000
310,000
330,000
350,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018
(30.6)
Personnel in Finland Personnel in subsidiaries abroad
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Technology Industry Personnel in Finland by
Branch
249/20/2018 Technology Industries of
Finland
Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond
(Jun 30)
Technology Industry Personnel in Subsidiaries
Abroad by Branch
259/20/2018 Technology Industries of
Finland
Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond
Retirement of Technology Industry Personnel in
Finland
26
0
1000
2000
3000
4000
5000
6000
7000
8000
9000
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
Number of individuals retired Number of individuals retiring (estimation)
Salaried employees
Blue collar employees
Individuals per year
Source: Wage inquiry of the Techonology Industries of Finland, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
Retirement of Technology Industry Blue Collar
Employees in Finland
27
0
500
1000
1500
2000
2500
3000
3500
2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030
Mechanical engineering Metals industry Electronics and electrotechnical industry
Individuals per year
Source: Wage inquiry of the Techonology Industries of Finland, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
Overview of the Situation in the Technology
Industry and Outlook for the Autumn of 2018
28
- Turnover in Finland totalled some EUR 72.7 billion in 2017. Turnover was 7 % higher than in
2016. In 2008, prior to the financial crises, the corresponding figure was EUR 86 billion.
- The monetary value of new orders reported between April-June 2018 was slightly lower than
in January-March, and 9 % lower than in the corresponding period in 2017.
- At the end of June, the value of order books was 3 % lower than at the end of March, but 12
% higher than in June 2017.
- The turnover of technology industry companies during the autumn of 2018 is expected to be
slightly higher than in the corresponding period last year.
- The number of personnel in Finland increased during January-June 2018. Personnel
increased by a good of three per cent, or by 10,000 employees from the average number in
2017. On average, the industry employed 310,000 people. In 2008, the industry employed a
total of 326,000 people in Finland.
- The recruitment activities picked up markedly in 2017 and early 2018. The companies
recruited a total of 26,000 new employees during January-June, in 2017 a total of 42,500
employees.
9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
World Economic Outlook
- Finland as a Part of Global
Economy
299/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
GDP also Grows in Finland, but the Backlog for the
Other Euro Area Countries Is up to 8%
30Lähde: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
Finland’s Exports Jumped in Early 2017, but the
Backlog for the Other Euro Area Countries is 35 %
3120.9.2018 Teknologiateollisuus Source: Macrobond, Eurostat
Recently, Finland's Economic Growth Has also
Been Supported by an Increase in Exports
32Source: Macrobond, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
Gross Domestic Product Has Grown Long in
Europe and the USA, Finland is Lagging Behind
33Souce: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
349/20/2018 Lähde: Macrobond
In China and India Growth Continues, also Brazil
Is Now Growing
Share of global GDP in China, India, Brazil and Russia is 31 % (adjusted for PP)
Technology Industries
of Finland
359/20/2018 Latest information August 2018
Source: Markit
Economic Growth in the Euro Area Is Slowing
Down
Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI), 50 = no change from previous month
Technology Industries
of Finland
Industrial Production Has also Grown in Finland,
but the Backlog to Other EU Countries Is 15%
369/20/2018 Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
Industrial Production Volume in the EU Countries
379/20/2018 Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
Finland’s Industrial Production Has Lagged Behind
the Competition Countries
38Source: Macrobond, The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy AnalysisTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
399/20/2018 Latest information August 2018
Source: Markit
Industrial Production in China is Growing Slightly
Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) in manufacturing industry in China
Technology Industries
of Finland
409/20/2018 Latest information August 2018
Source: Markit
Industrial Production in Russia Is Decreasing
Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) in manufacturing industry in Russia
Technology Industries
of Finland
419/20/2018 Latest information August 2018
Source: Markit
Industrial Production in Brazil Remains Unchanged
Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) in manufacturing industry in Brazil
Technology Industries
of Finland
42Source: Macrobond
Industrial Production in the USA is Growing
Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) in manufacturing industry
50 = no change from previous month
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
43Souce: Macrobond
Fixed Investments Have also Grown in Brazil
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
44Source: Macrobond, The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis
Strongest Growth in World Trade Is already
Behind
Export volume
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Imports to China Have Increased from Several
Countries
45Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
EU Exports to Russia Have Recovered only Slightly
46Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
Russia’s Share* of Technology Industry Exports
from Finland Has Lowered to Some 5 Per Cent
47*) Soviet Union up to 1991
Source: Finnish Customs
0
2
4
6
8
10
12
14
16
18
20
22
24
26
28
30
32
34
36
38
40
42
1975
1976
1977
1978
1979
1980
1981
1982
1983
1984
1985
1986
1987
1988
1989
1990
1991
1992
1993
1994
1995
1996
1997
1998
1999
2000
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018(1-5)
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
%
48Source: IMF (July 2018)
The World Economy Is Projected to Grow by 3.9%
in 2018
GDP growth in 2018 / 2017, %
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
North America
Western Europe
Japan
China
India
RestofEastern
Europe
Russia
Brazil
Mexico
RestofLatin
America
MiddleEast
andAfrica
Average growth:
+3,9 %
The width of the bar indicates the share of global GDP in 2017 (adjusted for purchasing power parity), %
Rest
of Asia
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
49Source: IMF (July 2018), Finnish Customs
Demand in the Finnish Technology Industry Export
Market is Expected to Grow by 2.8 % in 2018
GDP growth in 2018 / 2017, %
-4
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100
North America Western Europe Japan
China
India
Rest
of Asia
Restof
Eastern
Europe
Russia
Brazil
RestofLatinAmerica
MiddleEastandAfrica
Average growth:
+2,8 %
Mexico
The width of the bar indicates the export share of technology industry from Finland in 2016, %
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
Finland’s Economic Growth
Relies on Exports and
Investments
50Technology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
Finnish Exports Have Lagged Behind the
Competition Countries
51Source: Macrobond, EurostatTechnology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
Growth Paradox: the Downsized Industry Has
Limited Opportunities to Increase Finnish Exports
52Source: Statistics Finland / industrial production volume index
55%
60%
65%
70%
75%
80%
85%
90%
95%
100%
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
Industrial
production, with
capacity in full use
(theoretical level),
left axis
Industrial
production, at fixed
prices (2008 = 100),
left axis
Industrial capacity
utilization,%, right
axis-17 %
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017
-18 %
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
53Source: Macrobond, Eurostat
The Decline in Exports and Recession: the Public
Debt and Total Tax Rate Increased Significantly
Increased cost burden requires cuts to public sector
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
Unlike the Competition Countries, in Finland
Business Investment Is Still Below the Level in 2008
5420.9.2018 Teknologiateollisuus Source: OECD, Economic Outlook (June 2018)
70
75
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
135
140
2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e 2019e
Corporate investments, at fixed prices, index 2008=100
USA
Sweden
Switzerland
Netherlands
Germany
Finland
55Source: Statistics Finland, (National Accounts), The Confederation of Finnish Industries* investment survey (June 2018)
Investments in the Manufacturing and Technology
Industry in Finland Do Not Promise Long-Term
Strong Growth
0
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
6,000
7,000
8,000
9,000
10,000
11,000
12,000
13,000
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e
Manufacturing industry (incl. technology industry)
Technology industry (incl. information technology and consulting engineering)
Production and R&D investments in Finland, million euros, at fixed 2017 prices
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
Industrial Productive and R&D Investment in Finland
Have Not Yet Reached the 2007-2008 Levels
56*) Including software investments.
Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2018
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e
Productive investment
R&D investment*
R&D investment (excl.
electronics industry)*
Billion euros, at fixed 2010 prices
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Total Industry Investment in Finland Are Below
the Consumption of Fixed Capital
57*) Including software investments.
Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2018
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
9
10
11
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e
Productive and R&D
investment*
Consumption of Fixed
Capital
Billion euros, at fixed 2010 prices
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Industrial Productive Investment in Finland Have
Reached the Level of Consumption of Productive
Capital
58Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2018
0
1
2
3
4
5
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e
Productive investment
Consumption of
productive capital
Billion euros, at fixed 2010 prices
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Industrial Production Capital in Finland Has
Disappeared Significantly, Especially after 2008
59Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2018
0
5
10
15
20
25
30
35
40
45
50
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e
Cumulative consumption
of productive capital
Cumulative productive
investment
Billion euros, at fixed 2010 prices
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
Investments and productivity* are Decisive for
Finland’s Success
Productivity of export sector is 10 % lower than in 2007-2008, productivity of entire
national economy is 3 % lower
60
*) Productivity is measured as real value added per hours worked. When productivity grows (the curve rises) value added grows
more than hours worked. Value added = turnover – purchasing of materials and services
Value added = labour costs + rents + depreciations + profits
Source: Statistics Finland / National Accounts
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
6120.9.2018 Teknologiateollisuus Latest information October-December 2017.
Source: Eurostat: Quarterly National Accounts
In Productivity Development, Finland Has a Gap of
25% Compared to EU Average and 20% Compared
to Sweden and Germany
Value added in manufacturing industry at fixed prices / hours worked
80
85
90
95
100
105
110
115
120
125
130
EU countries
Sweden
Germany
Finland
2008=100
6220.9.2018 Teknologiateollisuus Latest information October-December 2017.
Source: Eurostat: Quarterly National Accounts
In Productivity Development of the National
Economy, Finland Has a Gap of 6% Compared to
EU Average and 4% to Sweden and Germany
GDP at fixed prices / hours worked
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
108
110
112
EU countries
Sweden
Germany
Finland
2008=100
Investment Rate of Companies in Finland Is
Completely Inadequate to Close the Gap between
Finland and Other Small European Countries
6320.9.2018 Teknologiateollisuus Source: Eurostat
10
12
14
16
18
20
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Companies’ fixed investment compared to GDP, %
Switzerland
Sweden
Belgium
Austria
Euro countries
Finland
64
Finland’s Price and Cost Competitiveness vis-à-vis
the Euro Countries Is still to be Improved
Unit labour costs in the whole economy = labour costs / productivity, including the influence of effective
exchange rates
94
96
98
100
102
104
106
108
110
112
114
2000=100
2005=100
2008=100
Finland’s price
and cost
competitiveness
declines
Finland’s price
and cost
competitiveness
improves
00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland
*) In the ECB Harmonised Competitiveness Index, the average effective exchange rate of each country is calculated vis-à-vis 38
main trade partners, as well as the development of unit labour costs for the total economy.
Latest information January-March 2018. Source: European Central Bank
What Should Be Done in Finland?
65
• Support the renewal of the industry.
• Taxes should support growth and investment in Finland.
• Support decision making in companies related to compensation
and working time
• No new European nor national burdens on companies, which
are deteriorating the competitiveness.
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
Long-Term Outlook and Challenges
66
• Global Structural Change Set to Continue Apace
o Industrial production and services will relocate to rapidly developing economic areas
o Strong growth, large markets, cheap labour and increasing expertise will increase the
attractiveness of these regions.
• Competition over Skills and Raw Materials Set to Increase
o Due to an increase in retirement, the sector’s annual recruitment need in Finland will
rise considerably in the coming years.
o The availability of reasonably-priced energy also threatens to become an investment
bottleneck in Finland
• Combating Climate Change
o A challenge as costs are set to grow faster than in competitor countries
o An opportunity for new environmental and energy technologies
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
Technology Industries of
Finland
67Teknologiateollisuus9/20/2018
The Federation’s Member Companies 2016
68
250–499 employees
69,035
39%
29,787
17%
28,016
16%
50,683
28%
1,421
92 %
84
5 %
40
2 % 22
1 %
Number of enterprises / 1 567 Number of personnel / 177 521
1–249 employees 500–999 employees
1000– employees
Technology Industries
of Finland
9/20/2018
The Federation’s SME Member Companies 2016
69
481
34%
479
33 %
258
18%
203
14%
Number of enterprises / 1 421 Number of personnel / 69 035
5,109
7%
15,290
22%
17,924
26%
30,712
45%
1–19 employees
20–49 employees
50–99 employees
100–249 employees
9/20/2018 Technology Industries
of Finland

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Finnish Tech Industry Outlook

  • 1. Technology Industry / Finnish Economic Outlook September 2018 19/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 2. Overcoming the Gap in GDP Will Require 3.0% Growth in Finland Annually in 2018-2023 220.9.2018 Teknologiateollisuus *) The IMF forecast for the euro area in April 2018: 2.4% in 2018, 2.0% in 2019, 1.7% in 2020, 1.5% in 2021, 1.5% in 2022, 1.4% in 2023 Source: Macrobond, IMF, Federation of Finnish Technology Industry
  • 3. The Finnish Technology Industry Is Comprised of Five Sub-Sectors 39/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland ELEKTRONICS AND ELECTROTECHNICAL INDUSTRY ABB, Ensto, Microsoft Mobile, Murata Electronics, Nokia, Planmeca, Polar Electro, Suunto, Vacon, Vaisala… METALS INDUSTRY Boliden, Componenta, Kuusakoski, Luvata, Outokumpu, Outotec, Ovako, Sacotec, SSAB … MECHANICAL ENGINEERING Abloy, Cargotec, Finn-Power, Fiskars, Glaston, Kone, Konecranes, Metso, Meyer Turku, Normet, Oras, Patria, Pemamek, Ponsse, Stala, Valmet, Valtra, Wärtsilä… INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY Affecto, Basware, Bilot, CGI, Comptel, Digia, Efecte, Enfo, F-Secure, Fujitsu Finland, IBM, Innofactor, Knowit, Microsoft, Nixu, Tieto… CONSULTING ENGINEERING A-Insinöörit, Citec, Elomatic, Etteplan, FCG, Granlund, Neste Jacobs, Pöyry, Ramboll, Rejlers, SITO, SWECO, WSP…
  • 4. The Finnish Technology Industry Is Comprised of Five Sub-Sectors 4 ELEKTRONICS AND ELECTROTECHNICAL INDUSTRY • Data communications equipment, electrical machinery, medical technology • Turnover (2017): 14.4 billion euros • Personnel (2017): 37,800 METALS INDUSTRY • Steel products, non-ferrous metals, castings, metallic minerals • Turnover (2017): 10.1 billion euros • Personnel (2017): 16,100 MECHANICAL ENGINEERING • Machinery, metal products, vehicles • Turnover (2017): 29.9 billion euros • Personnel (2017): 127,900 INFORMATION TECHNOLOGY • IT services, applications and programming • Turnover (2017): 12.3 billion euros • Personnel (2017): 66,900 CONSULTING ENGINEERING • Expertise for construction industry and infrastructure • Turnover (2017): 6.0 billion euros • Personnel (2017): 50,900 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 5. The Technology Industry – the Largest Export Sector in Finland 5 • 51 % of total Finnish exports. • Companies invest about EUR 5.0 billion annually in Finland. • 70 % of private-sector R&D investment. • Some 310,000 employed directly in the sector. • Technology Industries of Finland has over 1,600 member companies. 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 6. Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland 6Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland, Technology Industries of Finland9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 7. 7*) In addition to goods exports the sector exported services worth some 13 billion euros. Source: National Board of Customs, Statistics Finland Export of Technology Industry Goods from Finland by Area in 2017 Total goods exports 30.6 billion euros* North America 2.79 billion € 9.1 % Western Europe 16.44 billion € 53.7 % South and Middle America 0.84 billion € 2.8 % Central and Eastern Europe 5.11 billion € 16.6 % Africa 0.43 billion € 1.4 % Middle and Central East 0.51 billion € 1.7 % Asia 4.51 billion € 14.7 % 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 8. Technology, Forest and Chemical Industries Provide 81 % of Finland's Goods and Services Exports Revenue Goods and service exports: billion euros and the share of Finnish exports in 2017 8*) Service exports industry-specific data for the year 2017 are preliminary information. Source: Board of Customs, Statistics Finland (National Accounts, Foreign trade in services), Federation of Finnish Technology Industries 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland Technology industry, 43.6, 51% Forest industry; 12.9; 15% Chemical industry; 13; 15% Other branches; 16.1; 19%
  • 9. Turnover of the Industry and Technology Industry in Finland 9Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 10. Turnover of the Technology Industry in Finland 10Source: Macrobond, Statistics Finland9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 11. Value of New Orders in the Technology Industry* in Finland 11Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation April-June 2018. 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 Combined Export Domestic 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Million euros, at current prices Change: II,2018 / II,2017 II,2018 / I,2018 Export: -15 % +6 % Domestic: +13 % -21 % Combined: -9 % -1 % *) Excl. metals industry, game industry and data center companies 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 12. Value of Order Books in the Technology Industry* in Finland 12Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 30.6.2018. 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 20,000 22,000 24,000 26,000 Export Domestic 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Million euros, at current prices Change: 30.6.2018 / 30.6.2017 30.6.2018 / 31.3.2018 Export: +13 % -2 % Domestic: +9 % -7 % Combined: +12 % -3 % *) Excl. metals industry, game industry and data center companies Combined 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 13. Tender Requests* Received by Technology Industry Companies in Finland 13Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, the last questionnaire in July 2018 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 Balance figure 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 *) Have you experienced a notable increase or decrease in the number of requests for tenders in recent weeks in comparison to the situation three months ago?”. Balance figure = the number of companies receiving more requests - the number of companies receiving less requests. 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 14. Tender Requests* Received by Technology Industry Anticipate Weaker Order Development in Autumn 14*) Four quarters moving average. Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies 50 60 70 80 90 100 110 120 -60 -50 -40 -30 -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 Balance figure* (left scale) New orders*, index 2008=100 (right scale) 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 15. Value of New Orders in the Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland 15 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500 Combined Export Domestic 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Million euros, at current prices Change: II,2018 / II,2017 II,2018 / I,2018 Export: +3 % -1 % Domestic: +6 % 0 % Combined: +3 % -1 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation April-June 2018.
  • 16. Value of Order Books in the Electronics and Electrotechnical Industry in Finland 16 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500 8,000 8,500 Export Domestic Million euros, at current prices Change: 30.6.2018 / 30.6.2017 30.6.2018 / 31.3.2018 Export: -3 % 0 % Domestic: -2 % 0 % Combined: -3 % 0 % Combined 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 30.6.2018. 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 17. Value of New Orders in the Mechanical Engineering in Finland 17 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 4,500 5,000 5,500 6,000 6,500 7,000 7,500 Combined Export Domestic 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Million euros, at current prices Change: II,2018 / II,2017 II,2018 / I,2018 Export: -24 % +13 % Domestic: +3 % -30 % Combined: -21 % +3 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation April-June 2018. 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 18. Value of Order Books in the Mechanical Engineering in Finland 18 0 2,000 4,000 6,000 8,000 10,000 12,000 14,000 16,000 18,000 Export Domestic Million euros, at current prices Change: 30.6.2018 / 30.6.2017 30.6.2018 / 31.3.2018 Export: +18 % -3 % Domestic: +11 % -10 % Combined: +17 % -4 % Combined 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 30.6.2018. 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 19. Value of New Orders in the Consulting Engineering in Finland 19 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 Combined Export Domestic 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Million euros, at current prices Change: II,2018 / II,2017 II,2018 / I,2018 Export: +9 % -45 % Domestic: +43 % +21 % Combined: +48 % -9 % Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation April-June 2018. 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 20. Value of Order Books in the Consulting Engineering in Finland 20 0 100 200 300 400 500 600 700 800 Export Domestic 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Million euros, at current prices Change: 30.6.2018 / 30.6.2017 30.6.2018 / 31.3.2018 Export: -24 % -11 % Domestic: +38 % 0 % Combined: +23 % -2 % Combined Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 30.6.2018. 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 21. Value of New Orders in the Information Technology* in Finland 21 0 50 100 150 200 250 300 350 400 450 500 550 600 650 700 750 800 850 900 950 1,000 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Million euros, at current prices Change: II,2018 / II,2017 II,2018 / I,2018 Combined: +46 % -27 % *) Excl. game industry and data center companies. Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation April-June 2018. 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 22. Value of Order Books in the Information Technology* in Finland 22 0 200 400 600 800 1,000 1,200 1,400 1,600 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 Million euros, at current prices Change: 30.6.2018 / 30.6.2017 30.6.2018 / 31.3.2018 Combined: +3 % -7 % *) Excl. game industry and data center companies. Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ order book survey’s respondent companies, latest observation 30.6.2018. 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 23. Technology Industry Personnel in Finland Has Grown by 10,000 this Year 23Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey 150,000 170,000 190,000 210,000 230,000 250,000 270,000 290,000 310,000 330,000 350,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 (30.6) Personnel in Finland Personnel in subsidiaries abroad 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 24. Technology Industry Personnel in Finland by Branch 249/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland Source: Statistics Finland, The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond (Jun 30)
  • 25. Technology Industry Personnel in Subsidiaries Abroad by Branch 259/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland Source: The Federation of Finnish Technology Industries’ labour force survey, Macrobond
  • 26. Retirement of Technology Industry Personnel in Finland 26 0 1000 2000 3000 4000 5000 6000 7000 8000 9000 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 Number of individuals retired Number of individuals retiring (estimation) Salaried employees Blue collar employees Individuals per year Source: Wage inquiry of the Techonology Industries of Finland, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 27. Retirement of Technology Industry Blue Collar Employees in Finland 27 0 500 1000 1500 2000 2500 3000 3500 2000 2002 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 2014 2016 2018 2020 2022 2024 2026 2028 2030 Mechanical engineering Metals industry Electronics and electrotechnical industry Individuals per year Source: Wage inquiry of the Techonology Industries of Finland, Finnish Centre for Pensions, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 28. Overview of the Situation in the Technology Industry and Outlook for the Autumn of 2018 28 - Turnover in Finland totalled some EUR 72.7 billion in 2017. Turnover was 7 % higher than in 2016. In 2008, prior to the financial crises, the corresponding figure was EUR 86 billion. - The monetary value of new orders reported between April-June 2018 was slightly lower than in January-March, and 9 % lower than in the corresponding period in 2017. - At the end of June, the value of order books was 3 % lower than at the end of March, but 12 % higher than in June 2017. - The turnover of technology industry companies during the autumn of 2018 is expected to be slightly higher than in the corresponding period last year. - The number of personnel in Finland increased during January-June 2018. Personnel increased by a good of three per cent, or by 10,000 employees from the average number in 2017. On average, the industry employed 310,000 people. In 2008, the industry employed a total of 326,000 people in Finland. - The recruitment activities picked up markedly in 2017 and early 2018. The companies recruited a total of 26,000 new employees during January-June, in 2017 a total of 42,500 employees. 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 29. World Economic Outlook - Finland as a Part of Global Economy 299/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 30. GDP also Grows in Finland, but the Backlog for the Other Euro Area Countries Is up to 8% 30Lähde: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 31. Finland’s Exports Jumped in Early 2017, but the Backlog for the Other Euro Area Countries is 35 % 3120.9.2018 Teknologiateollisuus Source: Macrobond, Eurostat
  • 32. Recently, Finland's Economic Growth Has also Been Supported by an Increase in Exports 32Source: Macrobond, Statistics FinlandTechnology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 33. Gross Domestic Product Has Grown Long in Europe and the USA, Finland is Lagging Behind 33Souce: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 34. 349/20/2018 Lähde: Macrobond In China and India Growth Continues, also Brazil Is Now Growing Share of global GDP in China, India, Brazil and Russia is 31 % (adjusted for PP) Technology Industries of Finland
  • 35. 359/20/2018 Latest information August 2018 Source: Markit Economic Growth in the Euro Area Is Slowing Down Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI), 50 = no change from previous month Technology Industries of Finland
  • 36. Industrial Production Has also Grown in Finland, but the Backlog to Other EU Countries Is 15% 369/20/2018 Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland
  • 37. Industrial Production Volume in the EU Countries 379/20/2018 Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland
  • 38. Finland’s Industrial Production Has Lagged Behind the Competition Countries 38Source: Macrobond, The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy AnalysisTechnology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 39. 399/20/2018 Latest information August 2018 Source: Markit Industrial Production in China is Growing Slightly Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) in manufacturing industry in China Technology Industries of Finland
  • 40. 409/20/2018 Latest information August 2018 Source: Markit Industrial Production in Russia Is Decreasing Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) in manufacturing industry in Russia Technology Industries of Finland
  • 41. 419/20/2018 Latest information August 2018 Source: Markit Industrial Production in Brazil Remains Unchanged Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) in manufacturing industry in Brazil Technology Industries of Finland
  • 42. 42Source: Macrobond Industrial Production in the USA is Growing Purchase Managers’ Index (PMI) in manufacturing industry 50 = no change from previous month Technology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 43. 43Souce: Macrobond Fixed Investments Have also Grown in Brazil Technology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 44. 44Source: Macrobond, The CPB Netherlands Bureau for Economic Policy Analysis Strongest Growth in World Trade Is already Behind Export volume 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 45. Imports to China Have Increased from Several Countries 45Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 46. EU Exports to Russia Have Recovered only Slightly 46Source: MacrobondTechnology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 47. Russia’s Share* of Technology Industry Exports from Finland Has Lowered to Some 5 Per Cent 47*) Soviet Union up to 1991 Source: Finnish Customs 0 2 4 6 8 10 12 14 16 18 20 22 24 26 28 30 32 34 36 38 40 42 1975 1976 1977 1978 1979 1980 1981 1982 1983 1984 1985 1986 1987 1988 1989 1990 1991 1992 1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018(1-5) Technology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018 %
  • 48. 48Source: IMF (July 2018) The World Economy Is Projected to Grow by 3.9% in 2018 GDP growth in 2018 / 2017, % -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 North America Western Europe Japan China India RestofEastern Europe Russia Brazil Mexico RestofLatin America MiddleEast andAfrica Average growth: +3,9 % The width of the bar indicates the share of global GDP in 2017 (adjusted for purchasing power parity), % Rest of Asia Technology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 49. 49Source: IMF (July 2018), Finnish Customs Demand in the Finnish Technology Industry Export Market is Expected to Grow by 2.8 % in 2018 GDP growth in 2018 / 2017, % -4 -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100 North America Western Europe Japan China India Rest of Asia Restof Eastern Europe Russia Brazil RestofLatinAmerica MiddleEastandAfrica Average growth: +2,8 % Mexico The width of the bar indicates the export share of technology industry from Finland in 2016, % Technology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 50. Finland’s Economic Growth Relies on Exports and Investments 50Technology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 51. Finnish Exports Have Lagged Behind the Competition Countries 51Source: Macrobond, EurostatTechnology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 52. Growth Paradox: the Downsized Industry Has Limited Opportunities to Increase Finnish Exports 52Source: Statistics Finland / industrial production volume index 55% 60% 65% 70% 75% 80% 85% 90% 95% 100% 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 Industrial production, with capacity in full use (theoretical level), left axis Industrial production, at fixed prices (2008 = 100), left axis Industrial capacity utilization,%, right axis-17 % 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 -18 % Technology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 53. 53Source: Macrobond, Eurostat The Decline in Exports and Recession: the Public Debt and Total Tax Rate Increased Significantly Increased cost burden requires cuts to public sector Technology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 54. Unlike the Competition Countries, in Finland Business Investment Is Still Below the Level in 2008 5420.9.2018 Teknologiateollisuus Source: OECD, Economic Outlook (June 2018) 70 75 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 135 140 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e 2019e Corporate investments, at fixed prices, index 2008=100 USA Sweden Switzerland Netherlands Germany Finland
  • 55. 55Source: Statistics Finland, (National Accounts), The Confederation of Finnish Industries* investment survey (June 2018) Investments in the Manufacturing and Technology Industry in Finland Do Not Promise Long-Term Strong Growth 0 1,000 2,000 3,000 4,000 5,000 6,000 7,000 8,000 9,000 10,000 11,000 12,000 13,000 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e Manufacturing industry (incl. technology industry) Technology industry (incl. information technology and consulting engineering) Production and R&D investments in Finland, million euros, at fixed 2017 prices Technology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 56. Industrial Productive and R&D Investment in Finland Have Not Yet Reached the 2007-2008 Levels 56*) Including software investments. Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2018 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e Productive investment R&D investment* R&D investment (excl. electronics industry)* Billion euros, at fixed 2010 prices 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 57. Total Industry Investment in Finland Are Below the Consumption of Fixed Capital 57*) Including software investments. Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2018 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e Productive and R&D investment* Consumption of Fixed Capital Billion euros, at fixed 2010 prices 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 58. Industrial Productive Investment in Finland Have Reached the Level of Consumption of Productive Capital 58Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2018 0 1 2 3 4 5 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e Productive investment Consumption of productive capital Billion euros, at fixed 2010 prices 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 59. Industrial Production Capital in Finland Has Disappeared Significantly, Especially after 2008 59Source: Statistics Finland (National Accounts), Confederation of Finnish Industries’ Investment Survey June 2018 0 5 10 15 20 25 30 35 40 45 50 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018e Cumulative consumption of productive capital Cumulative productive investment Billion euros, at fixed 2010 prices 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland
  • 60. Investments and productivity* are Decisive for Finland’s Success Productivity of export sector is 10 % lower than in 2007-2008, productivity of entire national economy is 3 % lower 60 *) Productivity is measured as real value added per hours worked. When productivity grows (the curve rises) value added grows more than hours worked. Value added = turnover – purchasing of materials and services Value added = labour costs + rents + depreciations + profits Source: Statistics Finland / National Accounts Technology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 61. 6120.9.2018 Teknologiateollisuus Latest information October-December 2017. Source: Eurostat: Quarterly National Accounts In Productivity Development, Finland Has a Gap of 25% Compared to EU Average and 20% Compared to Sweden and Germany Value added in manufacturing industry at fixed prices / hours worked 80 85 90 95 100 105 110 115 120 125 130 EU countries Sweden Germany Finland 2008=100
  • 62. 6220.9.2018 Teknologiateollisuus Latest information October-December 2017. Source: Eurostat: Quarterly National Accounts In Productivity Development of the National Economy, Finland Has a Gap of 6% Compared to EU Average and 4% to Sweden and Germany GDP at fixed prices / hours worked 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 108 110 112 EU countries Sweden Germany Finland 2008=100
  • 63. Investment Rate of Companies in Finland Is Completely Inadequate to Close the Gap between Finland and Other Small European Countries 6320.9.2018 Teknologiateollisuus Source: Eurostat 10 12 14 16 18 20 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Companies’ fixed investment compared to GDP, % Switzerland Sweden Belgium Austria Euro countries Finland
  • 64. 64 Finland’s Price and Cost Competitiveness vis-à-vis the Euro Countries Is still to be Improved Unit labour costs in the whole economy = labour costs / productivity, including the influence of effective exchange rates 94 96 98 100 102 104 106 108 110 112 114 2000=100 2005=100 2008=100 Finland’s price and cost competitiveness declines Finland’s price and cost competitiveness improves 00 01 02 03 04 05 06 07 08 09 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 17 18 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland *) In the ECB Harmonised Competitiveness Index, the average effective exchange rate of each country is calculated vis-à-vis 38 main trade partners, as well as the development of unit labour costs for the total economy. Latest information January-March 2018. Source: European Central Bank
  • 65. What Should Be Done in Finland? 65 • Support the renewal of the industry. • Taxes should support growth and investment in Finland. • Support decision making in companies related to compensation and working time • No new European nor national burdens on companies, which are deteriorating the competitiveness. Technology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 66. Long-Term Outlook and Challenges 66 • Global Structural Change Set to Continue Apace o Industrial production and services will relocate to rapidly developing economic areas o Strong growth, large markets, cheap labour and increasing expertise will increase the attractiveness of these regions. • Competition over Skills and Raw Materials Set to Increase o Due to an increase in retirement, the sector’s annual recruitment need in Finland will rise considerably in the coming years. o The availability of reasonably-priced energy also threatens to become an investment bottleneck in Finland • Combating Climate Change o A challenge as costs are set to grow faster than in competitor countries o An opportunity for new environmental and energy technologies Technology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 68. The Federation’s Member Companies 2016 68 250–499 employees 69,035 39% 29,787 17% 28,016 16% 50,683 28% 1,421 92 % 84 5 % 40 2 % 22 1 % Number of enterprises / 1 567 Number of personnel / 177 521 1–249 employees 500–999 employees 1000– employees Technology Industries of Finland 9/20/2018
  • 69. The Federation’s SME Member Companies 2016 69 481 34% 479 33 % 258 18% 203 14% Number of enterprises / 1 421 Number of personnel / 69 035 5,109 7% 15,290 22% 17,924 26% 30,712 45% 1–19 employees 20–49 employees 50–99 employees 100–249 employees 9/20/2018 Technology Industries of Finland