How does crime in the United States differ from crime committed in other countries around the world? For my project, I chose to research Honduras, Russia, and Colombia
June 2016 - Addressing the water and sanitation déficitFGV Brazil
Brazil needs to address the low efficiency of its investment in costly water and sanitation projects that delay development.
The Brazilian Economy is one of the oldest publications for expert economic analysis of both the Brazilian and international economies. Through this publication, FGV’s Brazilian Institute of Economics and Finance (FGV/IBRE) compares different periods of the economy, assessing both macroeconomic considerations and scenarios related to finance, administration, marketing, management, insurance, statistics, and price indices.
For more information, and Brazilian economic index results, visit: http://bit.ly/1EA1Loz
A proposed constitutional amendment to limit government spending renews the debate about the role of the Brazilian government in the economy, past and present.
The Brazilian Economy is one of the oldest publications for expert economic analysis of both the Brazilian and international economies. Through this publication, FGV’s Brazilian Institute of Economics and Finance (FGV/IBRE) compares different periods of the economy, assessing both macroeconomic considerations and scenarios related to finance, administration, marketing, management, insurance, statistics, and price indices.
For more information, and Brazilian economic index results, visit: http://bit.ly/1EA1Loz
How does crime in the United States differ from crime committed in other countries around the world? For my project, I chose to research Honduras, Russia, and Colombia
June 2016 - Addressing the water and sanitation déficitFGV Brazil
Brazil needs to address the low efficiency of its investment in costly water and sanitation projects that delay development.
The Brazilian Economy is one of the oldest publications for expert economic analysis of both the Brazilian and international economies. Through this publication, FGV’s Brazilian Institute of Economics and Finance (FGV/IBRE) compares different periods of the economy, assessing both macroeconomic considerations and scenarios related to finance, administration, marketing, management, insurance, statistics, and price indices.
For more information, and Brazilian economic index results, visit: http://bit.ly/1EA1Loz
A proposed constitutional amendment to limit government spending renews the debate about the role of the Brazilian government in the economy, past and present.
The Brazilian Economy is one of the oldest publications for expert economic analysis of both the Brazilian and international economies. Through this publication, FGV’s Brazilian Institute of Economics and Finance (FGV/IBRE) compares different periods of the economy, assessing both macroeconomic considerations and scenarios related to finance, administration, marketing, management, insurance, statistics, and price indices.
For more information, and Brazilian economic index results, visit: http://bit.ly/1EA1Loz
March 2011 - Electricity regulation needs to be rechargedFGV Brazil
The Brazilian Economy is one of the oldest publications for expert economic analysis of both the Brazilian and international economies. Through this publication, FGV’s Brazilian Institute of Economics and Finance (FGV/IBRE) compares different periods of the economy, assessing both macroeconomic considerations and scenarios related to finance, administration, marketing, management, insurance, statistics, and price indices.
For more information, and Brazilian economic index results, visit: http://bit.ly/1EA1Loz
COVID19 presentation of data and analysis by Radius Energy Solutions. We plot regional, country and state trends as well as model the US States using Mortality Rate as the variable.
On Strawberries and Grapes - An Update on the Political Situation in BrazilMSL
Everything is possible in Brazil. Despite her actions and amazing tendency to blunder, even Dilma Rousseff can hang on to power after leaving the Brazilian economy in tatters after just a few years.
With inflation in double-digit territory, unemployment rising to around 12% by the start of 2016 and a government deficit in the region of US$ 35 billion, Dilma’s administration will come crumbling down in the first half of next year. At least, it’s a pretty good bet.
Paulo Andreoli, Chairman MSLGROUP Latin America shares a perspective on the current political scenario in Brazil.
We hope you enjoy reading it and invite you to share your feedback and tips with us on Twitter @msl_group.
Brazil’s unfinished business - A view on the presidential electionsBrunswick Group
No sooner has hosting the World Cup ended than Brazil is in the throes of a new competition: a presidential election. And it’s proving to be as full as surprises - and as unpredictable - as the tourney that saw the home favorite routed in an unprecedented 7 to 1 defeat in the semi-finals to eventual winner Germany.
http://www.brunswickgroup.com/publications/reports/
The imminent impeachment of Brazil’s President, Dilmah Rousseff and a spiraling economy are among the many challenges facing Brazil. Our experts from MSLGROUP Andreoli have co-authored a paper that looks ahead to the formation of a new Brazilian government.
Analysis of what is happening in Brazil as the 2016 summer Olympic Games approach
As Brazil prepares to host the summer Olympic Games next month, the country faces a vexing question: Which of its two Presidents will open and close the games? Could one open and the other close?
If uncertainty were an Olympic sport, Brazil would be a top contender for the gold medal. It’s not just facing the usual host city questions, such as will the installations and infrastructure be ready, can Rio ensure the security of tourists who will throng the city and how will all this be financed? It’s also facing health challenges such as the Zika virus. Above all, Brazil is confronting an existential question: When will it emerge from its deep political and economic crisis?
For further information please contact Thomas Kamm or our São Paulo office: www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/são-paulo/
March 2011 - Electricity regulation needs to be rechargedFGV Brazil
The Brazilian Economy is one of the oldest publications for expert economic analysis of both the Brazilian and international economies. Through this publication, FGV’s Brazilian Institute of Economics and Finance (FGV/IBRE) compares different periods of the economy, assessing both macroeconomic considerations and scenarios related to finance, administration, marketing, management, insurance, statistics, and price indices.
For more information, and Brazilian economic index results, visit: http://bit.ly/1EA1Loz
COVID19 presentation of data and analysis by Radius Energy Solutions. We plot regional, country and state trends as well as model the US States using Mortality Rate as the variable.
On Strawberries and Grapes - An Update on the Political Situation in BrazilMSL
Everything is possible in Brazil. Despite her actions and amazing tendency to blunder, even Dilma Rousseff can hang on to power after leaving the Brazilian economy in tatters after just a few years.
With inflation in double-digit territory, unemployment rising to around 12% by the start of 2016 and a government deficit in the region of US$ 35 billion, Dilma’s administration will come crumbling down in the first half of next year. At least, it’s a pretty good bet.
Paulo Andreoli, Chairman MSLGROUP Latin America shares a perspective on the current political scenario in Brazil.
We hope you enjoy reading it and invite you to share your feedback and tips with us on Twitter @msl_group.
Brazil’s unfinished business - A view on the presidential electionsBrunswick Group
No sooner has hosting the World Cup ended than Brazil is in the throes of a new competition: a presidential election. And it’s proving to be as full as surprises - and as unpredictable - as the tourney that saw the home favorite routed in an unprecedented 7 to 1 defeat in the semi-finals to eventual winner Germany.
http://www.brunswickgroup.com/publications/reports/
The imminent impeachment of Brazil’s President, Dilmah Rousseff and a spiraling economy are among the many challenges facing Brazil. Our experts from MSLGROUP Andreoli have co-authored a paper that looks ahead to the formation of a new Brazilian government.
Analysis of what is happening in Brazil as the 2016 summer Olympic Games approach
As Brazil prepares to host the summer Olympic Games next month, the country faces a vexing question: Which of its two Presidents will open and close the games? Could one open and the other close?
If uncertainty were an Olympic sport, Brazil would be a top contender for the gold medal. It’s not just facing the usual host city questions, such as will the installations and infrastructure be ready, can Rio ensure the security of tourists who will throng the city and how will all this be financed? It’s also facing health challenges such as the Zika virus. Above all, Brazil is confronting an existential question: When will it emerge from its deep political and economic crisis?
For further information please contact Thomas Kamm or our São Paulo office: www.brunswickgroup.com/contact-us/são-paulo/
Why Islamic Common Market if not an Islamic Union is necessarySUN&FZ Associates
It is challenging but not impossible!
Economic Power of any country is its real power in today’s world. Every other tangible and intangible element of national power without substantive economic power is worthless in international relations and global power politics.
Expertise in commercial diplomacy is an essential pre-requisite to configure a country’s tangible and intangible elements of national power. This is exactly what the rulers of the emerging economies have done to break the barriers of demographic constraints and to get out of the debt trap.
The world’s richest natural resource and human talent market with close to more than two billion potential consumers is a reasonably promising consumer community to start thinking of and working on!
EXPERIENCES OF THE WORLD’S LARGEST AND THE MOST SUCCESSFUL DEMOCRACIES ,
“DEMOCRACY NEVER LASTS LONG. IT SOON WASTES, EXHAUSTS AND MURDERS ITSELF”
FAILED REASON: FAILED DEMOCRACY,
THE IDEA OF DEMOCRACY TOPS ALL HUMAN ACHIEVEMENTS, BUT IT AILS IF REASON FAILS .
RULE OF LAW BACKED BY COLLECTIVE REASON CAN BEST ANSWER THE DEMOCRATIC DECAY .
The dismantling of political and legal super structure in brazilFernando Alcoforado
The Brazilian nation is facing the impasse of having to live with a solution that means to maintain in power until the presidential elections of 2018 the kleptocracy that governs Brazil. This solution is unacceptable to all Brazilians who want Brazil to go through the path of economic, social, political and moral progress. This solution would aggravate further the gigantic economic crisis that has affected Brazil since 2014.
2. 1
National Stability Report 2015
Table of Contents
Introduction………………………………………………………………………………………..2
Columbia……………………………………………………………………………………….3 – 7
Political Climate……………………………………………………………………………………3
Economics……………………………………………………………………………………….....4
Legal Climate………………………………………………………………………………...…5 – 6
Social Climate…………………………………………………………………………………...….7
Political Climate………………………………………………………………………………....8 - 9
Indonesia……………………………………………………………………………………...8 – 12
Economics………………………………………………………………………………………...10
Legal……………………………………………………………………………………………...11
Social……………………………………………………………………………………………...12
Bibliography………………………………………………………………………………….13 - 14
3. 2
National Stability Report 2015
Introduction
Expanding a business into a foreign country can have great advantages and
disadvantaged to their success. Companies must take into consideration a
great deal of information to understand if the move may be right for them.
Expanding to other countries occurs for many developmental reasons such
as labour and work force issues, a desire to reach new markets, to lower
costs and increase cash flow. The stability of the political and social climate
has a significant effect on the investment of the expansion and the success
of your business. Columbia and Indonesia are both up and coming
countries that offer a positive outlook into the future. I have outlines the
political, social and legal climate for both countries and any concerns that
this expansion may face.
4. 3
National Stability Report 2015
Columbia
Political Climate
Columbia is run by a presidential system of government. The
president is elected for a term of four years, which can be
renewed once, and appoints the government. This government
is approved by the Congress and legislative powers are led by
the House of Representatives, which holds 163 members and
the Senate, which holds 102 members. Columbia has been
divided into 31 departments and district and those departments are run by governors that are also
elected.
The current President today is Juan Manuel Santos Calderon. President Calderon was born in
Bogota on August 10, 1951. He is married to Maria Clemencia Rodrigues and has three children;
Martin (21), Maria Antonia (19), and Estaban (16). He was a cadet of the Navy Academy in
Cartagena, the Chief of the Columbian delegation, a recent Designate to the Presidency and
Columbia’s first Foreign Trade Minister, the Minister of Finance & National Defense. He studied
Economics and Business Administration at the London’s School of Economics, Harvard University
and the Fletcher School of Law and Diplomacy. He also founded Columbia’s largest political party
the Partido de la U in 2005, and created the Good Government Foundation. When he was a
journalist he was the Deputy Director of the newspaper El Tempo and a columnist. During that
time he was awarded the King of Spain prize. He was also the President of the Freedom of
Expression Commission for the Inter American Press Association (IAPA). Juan Calderon has
5. 4
National Stability Report 2015
published several books such as The Third Way, which was co-written by the former British Prime
Minister Tony Blair, and the book Check on Terror.
President Calderon received the largest votes during the first round of the presidential election. He
was elected for his first four year term from August 7, 2010 to August 7, 2014. During his first
campaign he promised national unity that would carry out the transition of Democratic Security to
Democratic Prosperity. After a successful term as President Calderon decided to run for a second
term and was given approval to run again for presidential election. Calderon won the vote by
50.95% in the second round of the election.
Although Columbia is a parliamentary democracy there are still concerns surrounding corruption
and irregularities. Claims of corruption within the election itself have been made with incidents such
as candidates being threatened to pull out. The biggest concern is the battle against FARC, the
revolutionary armed forces of Columbia, and the ineffective drug war policy. Reports do show that
negotiation for peace between FARC and the government look promising, which could end a 50
year old conflict that has claimed thousands of lives. If negotiations can be met the economy of
Columbia is expected to boom and that can divert $13 billion away from defense and into
infrastructure and allowing future foreign
investments.
Economics
Columbia has ranked 28th
for economic freedom
for the 2015 index, which put them one point
higher than last year. Columbia scored their
highest rating in history for 2015 and has shown
improvements in 6 of the 10 economic freedoms.
The diminished threat from FARC, open
economy and the government reform programs
will open the country further to trade,
investments, and financial flows. Mauricio
Cardenas was able to keep his job as Minister of Finance for a second term due to the investment
boom and the country’s economic growth of 6.4% in the first quarter.
Much of Columbia’s economy is built off of the agricultural industry with a large variety of crops
grown such as bananas, cotton, sugarcane, oil palm, tobacco, beans, grains, flowers, temperate-zone
fruit and vegetables, and coffee Columbia’s largest market and biggest contributor to their economic
health. Columbia also relies on the sale of minerals such as petroleum, natural gas, coal, iron, nickel,
gold, copper, emeralds, and platinum. These exports bring in approximately $59.96 billion a year.
Although Columbia’s expected GDP growth has already been reduced from 4.8% to 4.2% it is still
expected that they will still continue to develop.
6. 5
National Stability Report 2015
The average monthly salary is $692, which totals to $8,304 a year. Columbia ranks 54 of 72
countries on the global pay scale. Although this standard is low it’s higher than Mexico’s average
salary of $609.
The average Columbian worker has seen an increase in benefit from the heightened cost of labour,
although that has reduced the attraction to Multinational Corporation into the country. Overall 81%
of average Columbian workers have job satisfaction, 5% are very satisfied and 14% are dissatisfied
with their job. Columbia’s unemployment rates have been the lowest in 14 years and have been
steadily declining since 2013.
Legal Climate
Supreme Court
Structure
Civilian
Superior Judiciary
Council
ncil)
Administrative
Council of State
Constitutional
Constitutional
Court
Special
Supreme Court of
Justice
7. 6
National Stability Report 2015
The Colombian Constitution 1991 is the source of all legislation and overrides all other forms of
judge-made law etc. It is based on the Spanish law and follows a criminal code based on US
procedures.
All levels of court have judges that have been chosen by their peers and serve and 8 year term. The
Supreme Court of Justice has 23 judges and has the highest jurisdiction over civil, family, labor,
commercial, and criminal cases. The Council of the State has 27 judges and is the highest court of
administrative law and takes appealsfrom departmental administrative courts and some national
officials. The Constitutional Court has 9 judges and rather than being nominees of the Superiors
Judicial Council they are nominees of the President, the Supreme Court, and the Council of State.
They are responsible for the constitutional validityof laws approved by the legislative branch. The
Superior Judicial Council has two chambers; administrative and jurisdiction and disciplinary and
consists of 13 members that are selected by the three highest courts and by Congress from nominees
of Executive for an 8 year term.
Columbia has been well known for the production of cocaine since the 1980’s with Pablo Escobar.
Fortunately due to the strong efforts of both the government and law enforcement Columbia has
seen a 60% drop in cocaine production. Violent crimes, especially murder, has been the biggest
concern in Columbia with a murder rate of 30.8 per 100,000 population and only a 2.7% rate for
solved homicides. Bogota once known in the 90’s as one of the most violent cities in the world sees
approximately a crime rate of 19 per 100,000 for murder each year. Cali has seen an increase of
violent crimes and murder since 2011 from 62 to 71 murders per 100,000. According to Columbia’s
most influential magazine has about 1,700 assassins working for various groups in the city. Although
these numbers are high Columbia has shown a decline in violence and murder over the years.
The Columbian National Police (CNP) if often overworked and tends to lack sufficient resources to
deter crime. The CNP can take up to 15 minutes to respond to an emergency. Although they have
police and military personnel, referred to as Centro de Atencion Immedietas (CAIs), posted at
kiosks and random acts of thefts and violence on roads and intersections still occur without police
interruption.
Lower
Court
Structure
Ordinary, civil, family,
commercial, criminal
Administrative Indigenous Jurisdiction Peace, minor criminal
and civil matters
8. 7
National Stability Report 2015
Social Climate
Columbia is full of heritage and culture and is a very diverse country. With ethnic groups that
ranging from Mestizo (58%), Caucasian’s (20%), mulatto’s (14%), black (4%), mixed black-
American’s (3%), and Amerindian’s (1%). Columbian’s ranked 3 out of 151 countries on the Happy
Planet Index reflecting high life expectancy, 73.7 years, relatively high levels of well-being and
moderate ecological footprint. Despite the stats surrounding happiness and life expectancy a large
portion of Columbians live poorly (23 million) or below the extreme poverty levels (6 million).
Approximately 47% of the population lives below the poverty line.
With a decline in corruption, and increase in crime fighting the Columbian population has a positive
outlook and encourages foreign business into their country.
10. 9
National Stability Report 2015
The Indonesian politicalsystem consists of three branches the executive,legislative,
and judicial. The executive branch consists of the President,the Vice President,and
the cabinet.The legislative branch is the People’s Consultative Assembly (MPR) and
consists of the People’s Representative Council(DPR) and the Regional
RepresentativeCouncil(DPD).The DPD consists of132 members that oversees 33
provinces and stands for a five year term. The judiciary system is the independent
Supreme Court.
The highest political institution is an elected MPR and convenes every 5 years to
approve state policies. The President is responsible to the MPR. The legislative
institutions consist ofthe MPR and the DPR.
Jokowi Widodo was born June 21, 1961 in Surakarta, CentralJava, Indonesia.Widodo
served as governor of Jakarta from 2012-2014.In 2005 he was a memberof the
Indonesian Democratic Party Struggle and also won election to become mayorof
Surakarta. Jokowi won admittance to Gadjah Mada University in Yogyakarta and
11. 10
National Stability Report 2015
graduated with a degree in forestry engineering.With Jokowi’s work he was very
effective in reducing crime, which attracted foreign tourists. He also served a second
term as mayorwith a 90% vote and was ranked the 3rd
best mayorin the world by the
internationalCity Mayors Foundation. In 2014 the PDI selected Jokowi to be a
candidate forthe Indonesian presidentialelection. He won with 53% vote on July 9.
As a part of his presidentialplan he made statements to clamping down on corruption
and attemptingto attract more foreign direct investment to the country,along with
his nine-point plan to improve public services, implementing land reforms,
developing more-affordable housing,and helping the poor.
Indonesia still faces the darkness of corruption,drug smuggling,and human rights
issues throughout its country. Jokowi faces media back lash due to his stand for
capitalpunishment. There have been accusations ofblackmail within the political
structure and Indonesia has been regarded as the most corrupt government ofall.
Economics
Indonesia was ranked 105th
for economic freedom forthe 2015 index.It score has
decreased by 0.4 points since last year. This decline is reflected on business freedom,
the controlof governmentspending,and monetary freedom.There may have been a
decline in some areas such as freedom from corruption and labor freedom.Indonesia
has seen a 5.8% growth overthe last year.
12. 11
National Stability Report 2015
Indonesia majorexports contribute to theireconomy some ofthese exports are from
its generous natural resources such as; crude oil, natural gas, tin, copper, and gold.
And some of their key exports include machinery and equipment,chemicals, fuels,
foodstuff,electrical appliances, plywood,rubber and textiles. Indonesia has seen a
6.5% increase and sees approximately $1 trillion in revenue from their major exports.
Although Indonesia’s expected GDP growth has already been reduced from 5.6% to
5.2% it is still expected thatthey will still continue to develop.
Indonesia has one of the largest economies in South East Asia and is a memberof the
G-20.Although they have a great success in theireconomy Indonesiastill has an
unemployment rate of 7%, which means that a 7th
of its population in living below the
poverty line. Minimum wage is approximately $100 (USD) a month,which totals to
about $1200 (USD) a year. As of 2014 11% of the population lives in relative poverty
and 28 million live in absolute poverty.
Indonesia is working hard towards growing
a strongereconomy to compete in the
global economy.They’re working on
increasing the minimum wage for the
average workerin hopes to become more
attractive as an FDI destination.It’s been
said that investors shouldn’t overlook the
country with what they have to offer in the
labor intensive industry.Although the
governmentis working hard towards
bettering the minimum wage and attracting
investors Indonesian’s are not happy.
Approximately 76% on Indonesian citizens are dissatisfied with theirjobs.
Legal Climate
The judicial system consists of several types of courts all under the oversight of the
Supreme Court (MahkamahAgung) Indonesia in different from most common courts
because they don’t apply the principle of precedents. Most disputesappearbefore the
courts of generaljurisdiction such as the State Court (Pengadilan Negeri).There are
approximately 250 courts throughout ofall Indonesia each with its own jurisdiction.
The High Court (Pengadilan Tinggi) is the district court of appealand hears the
appeals from the State Courts. In the event of a cassation appeal,which is a final
13. 12
National Stability Report 2015
appealfrom lower courts, the Supreme Court will hear such appeals. The Supreme
Court can also hear case reviews in the event that new evidence justifies a new
hearing. CommercialCourt, established in 1988, handles bankruptcy and insolvency
applications and has the ability to extend jurisdiction to othercommercialmatters. In
the event that there is an appealfrom the CommercialCourt the Supreme Court will
oversee that appeal. Any administrativelaw cases filed against the governement are
heard by the State Administrative Court (Pengadilan Tata Usaha Negara).
Indonesia’s biggestconcern is the high violent crime rate.In 2014 11,776 violent
crimes were reported in the city of Jakarta most of those being aggravated assaults and
burglaries. Crime rates have decreased overthe years due to the ongoing work of the
Indonesian NationalPolice (INP).Although they have worked hard towards reducing
violent crimes that are occurring in the cities of Indonesia little has been done
surrounding the organized crime occurring.Organized crime is responsible for most
of the illegal logging/fishing,human trafficking,sales of illicit and counterfeit drugs,
corruption and othermajor problems. The prosecution has been unsuccessful in
capturing those committing these crimes because of the corruption that continues
with government officials. Since Indonesia has a high Muslim rate crime always
increases before the Ramadan because ofthe need to giving family members presents
for the Eld-Al-Fitri holiday.
Social Climate
The Indonesian Constitutionallows for freedom of religion. Indonesia has the largest
Muslim population with 88%.The remaining 12% worship Protestantism,
Catholicism, Hinduism,Buddhism,and Confucianism.Much of Indonesia’s culture is
influenced by religion. Art forms such as dance dramas ofthe Java and Bali are
influenced from Hindu mythology. The demographic ofIndonesian citizens goes as
follows; Javanese 45%, Sundanese 14%,Madurese 7.5%,CoastalMalays 7.5% and the
remaining 26% is other.
14. 13
National Stability Report 2015
Indonesia ranked 14 out of 151 countries on the Happy Planet Index reflecting
medium life expectancy,69.4years, medium levels of well-being and low ecological
footprint.Despite the stats surrounding happinessand life expectancy a large portion
of Indonesian citizens live poorly 11% of the population lives in relative poverty and
28 million live in absolute poverty.
Indonesia is very traditionaland because of this tradition they celebrate multiple
festivals throughout the year. Some of those festivals are; Bali Spirit Festival, Sanur
Village Festival, Eid ul Fitr, Kuta Karnival.
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20140722-zvv5a.html
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15. 14
National Stability Report 2015
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