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A/W	
  15	
  Trend	
  Predic/on:	
  	
  
Chunky	
  Turtleneck	
  
Lauren	
  Eshelman	
  
Chunky	
  Turtleneck	
  	
  
Theme:	
  Chunky	
  knits,	
  
exaggerated	
  with	
  long	
  sleeves	
  
and/or	
  necks	
  to	
  create	
  volume	
  
Color:	
  Black,	
  charcoal,	
  mustard	
  
yellow,	
  navy	
  blue,	
  olive	
  green,	
  
burnt	
  orange,	
  burgundy,	
  dusty	
  
rose,	
  beige,	
  and	
  off-­‐white	
  
Silhoue,e:	
  Bulky,	
  oversized	
  
Fabrica1on:	
  Ply	
  one	
  end	
  of	
  fine	
  
mohair	
  with	
  a	
  compact	
  yarn,	
  
crea/ng	
  a	
  soK	
  and	
  downy	
  
surface	
  
Print:	
  Solid	
  colors	
  	
  
Source:	
  hMp://www.wgsn.com/content/board_viewer/#/52380/page/7	
  
H&M’s	
  ‘PaMern	
  Knit	
  Sweater’	
  is	
  available	
  in	
  
light	
  gray	
  and	
  dark	
  blue	
  as	
  predicted	
  on	
  
WGSN.	
  The	
  silhoueMe	
  is	
  a	
  cocoon	
  shape.	
  It	
  
is	
  baggy	
  and	
  oversized	
  as	
  predicted,	
  
however	
  the	
  sleeves	
  are	
  more	
  fiMed	
  so	
  as	
  
to	
  keep	
  a	
  more	
  feminine	
  shape.	
  It	
  is	
  made	
  
of	
  100%	
  coMon	
  instead	
  of	
  mohair	
  and	
  has	
  
cable	
  knit	
  details.	
  	
  
The	
  ‘Mohair	
  Blend	
  Turtleneck’	
  from	
  H&M	
  
is	
  on	
  trend	
  as	
  predicted.	
  It	
  comes	
  in	
  off-­‐
white	
  and	
  olive	
  green,	
  similar	
  to	
  the	
  
predicted	
  colors.	
  It	
  does	
  not	
  have	
  an	
  
exaggerated	
  neck	
  or	
  sleeves,	
  but	
  the	
  body	
  
is	
  wide-­‐cut	
  and	
  bulky	
  like	
  in	
  the	
  predicted	
  
examples.	
  It	
  is	
  made	
  of	
  a	
  mohair	
  blend,	
  as	
  
predicted.	
  The	
  theme	
  of	
  H&M’s	
  fall/winter	
  
line	
  is	
  Bohemian	
  Rocker.	
  	
  	
  	
  
Source:	
  hMp://www.hm.com/us/search/#!/products?q=turtleneck	
  
  	
  
	
   Rag	
  &	
  Bone	
  provide	
  several	
  
varia/ons	
  of	
  the	
  chunky	
  
turtleneck	
  sweater.	
  The	
  ‘Sarah	
  
Rib	
  Turtleneck’	
  comes	
  in	
  black	
  
and	
  tan	
  as	
  predicted.	
  It	
  is	
  made	
  
of	
  cashmere	
  and	
  features	
  a	
  
ribbed	
  cuff	
  and	
  hem	
  trim.	
  It	
  fits	
  	
  
oversized	
  like	
  the	
  predic/on;	
  with	
  
extra	
  long	
  sleeves	
  and	
  neck.	
  The	
  
silhoueMe	
  is	
  oversized	
  and	
  bulky	
  
as	
  predicted.	
  	
  
	
   	
  
	
   The	
  ‘Blithe	
  T-­‐neck’	
  is	
  also	
  
similar	
  to	
  the	
  predic/on.	
  It	
  comes	
  
in	
  charcoal	
  and	
  black;	
  similar	
  to	
  
the	
  predicted	
  colors.	
  The	
  
silhoueMe	
  is	
  oversized	
  as	
  
predicted	
  in	
  the	
  neck	
  and	
  sleeves,	
  
but	
  it	
  is	
  lacking	
  bulk.	
  It	
  also	
  
features	
  a	
  geometric	
  rib	
  layout	
  
and	
  is	
  made	
  of	
  100%	
  merino	
  
wool.	
  The	
  theme	
  can	
  be	
  
described	
  as	
  tailored	
  pieces	
  
mixed	
  with	
  military	
  references,	
  
statement	
  knits,	
  and	
  mosaic	
  
cable.	
  	
  
Source:	
  hMp://www.rag-­‐bone.com/womens/sweaters/	
  
Sarah	
  Rib	
  Turtleneck	
  
Blithe	
  T-­‐Neck	
  
  Helmut	
  Lang	
  only	
  has	
  one	
  turtleneck	
  featured	
  on	
  their	
  website.	
  The	
  
‘Wool	
  Cashmere	
  Turtleneck’	
  is	
  similar	
  to	
  the	
  predic/on,	
  but	
  the	
  
turtleneck	
  is	
  not	
  exaggerated,	
  nor	
  are	
  the	
  sleeves.	
  The	
  fit	
  is	
  regular,	
  
rather	
  than	
  oversized	
  and	
  bulky.	
  The	
  ‘Wool	
  Cashmere	
  Turtleneck’	
  is	
  
made	
  of	
  a	
  three-­‐ply	
  knit	
  wool	
  and	
  cashmere	
  blend	
  and	
  is	
  hand-­‐s/tched.	
  
The	
  theme	
  is	
  simple	
  elegance.	
  It	
  is	
  available	
  in	
  the	
  colors	
  black,	
  dark	
  
green,	
  and	
  navy	
  blue,	
  all	
  of	
  which	
  were	
  predicted	
  on	
  WGSN.	
  	
  
Source:	
  hMp://www.helmutlang.com/knitwear/womens-­‐knitwear,default,sc.html	
  
Conclusion/Analysis	
  
	
   	
   	
   Of	
  the	
  three	
  brands	
  I	
  researched,	
  Helmut	
  Lang	
  did	
  not	
  have	
  as	
  many	
  op/ons	
  
that	
  were	
  similar	
  to	
  the	
  forecasted	
  ‘Chunky	
  Turtleneck’	
  trend.	
  The	
  available	
  colors	
  were	
  
predicted,	
  but	
  the	
  turtleneck	
  was	
  not	
  oversized	
  or	
  exaggerated.	
  The	
  sleeves	
  were	
  not	
  
long,	
  and	
  the	
  overall	
  silhoueMe	
  was	
  not	
  voluminous.	
  Though	
  Helmut	
  Lang	
  offers	
  some	
  
oversized	
  pieces,	
  most	
  of	
  their	
  knitwear	
  is	
  form-­‐figng.	
  Because	
  Helmut	
  Lang’s	
  line	
  is	
  
more	
  expensive	
  than	
  Rag	
  &	
  Bone	
  and	
  H&M,	
  they	
  have	
  an	
  older	
  target	
  market	
  that	
  is	
  
more	
  conserva/ve.	
  Rag	
  &	
  Bone	
  and	
  H&M	
  have	
  a	
  younger	
  target	
  market	
  whom	
  is	
  more	
  
open	
  to	
  adop/ng	
  new	
  trends,	
  therefore	
  the	
  brand	
  is	
  able	
  to	
  create	
  trendier	
  pieces.	
  	
  
	
   	
   	
   Rag	
  &	
  Bone’s	
  ‘Sarah	
  Rib	
  Turtleneck’	
  was	
  almost	
  iden/cal	
  to	
  the	
  forecast.	
  The	
  
fit	
  was	
  baggy	
  and	
  exaggerated	
  in	
  all	
  areas:	
  neck,	
  sleeves,	
  and	
  body.	
  Their	
  ‘Blithe	
  T-­‐neck’	
  
was	
  also	
  similar	
  with	
  extra	
  long	
  sleeves	
  and	
  neck,	
  but	
  it	
  was	
  less	
  bulky	
  and	
  more	
  form-­‐
figng.	
  This	
  would	
  be	
  a	
  good	
  op/on	
  for	
  someone	
  who	
  wanted	
  to	
  stay	
  on-­‐trend	
  without	
  
adding	
  volume	
  to	
  their	
  figure.	
  In	
  addi/on	
  to	
  these	
  two	
  turtlenecks,	
  Rag	
  &	
  Bone	
  had	
  
several	
  other	
  varia/ons	
  of	
  the	
  predicted	
  trend.	
  Some	
  styles	
  were	
  bulky	
  and	
  oversized	
  
with	
  a	
  cowl	
  neck	
  and	
  no	
  sleeves,	
  while	
  others	
  had	
  exaggerated	
  sleeves	
  but	
  a	
  short	
  
turtleneck.	
  Out	
  of	
  the	
  three	
  brands,	
  Rag	
  &	
  Bone	
  had	
  the	
  largest	
  selec/on	
  of	
  items	
  
similar	
  to	
  the	
  predicted	
  trend.	
  	
  
	
   	
   	
   Finally	
  I	
  looked	
  at	
  H&M’s	
  sweaters.	
  The	
  ‘Mohair	
  Blend	
  Turtleneck’	
  was	
  
extremely	
  similar	
  to	
  the	
  predicted	
  trend.	
  It	
  was	
  oversized	
  with	
  an	
  extra	
  long	
  neck	
  and	
  a	
  
wide-­‐cut	
  body.	
  The	
  main	
  difference	
  from	
  the	
  predicted	
  trend	
  was	
  that	
  its	
  sleeves	
  were	
  
fiMed;	
  this	
  was	
  done	
  to	
  maintain	
  feminine	
  shape.	
  Similar	
  to	
  Rag	
  &	
  Bone,	
  H&M	
  had	
  a	
  
wide	
  variety	
  of	
  similar	
  but	
  not	
  exact	
  trend	
  pieces.	
  The	
  biggest	
  difference	
  between	
  the	
  
merchandise	
  and	
  the	
  predic/on	
  was	
  that	
  though	
  the	
  pieces	
  were	
  oversized,	
  they	
  
weren’t	
  bulky	
  and	
  didn’t	
  add	
  a	
  lot	
  of	
  volume	
  to	
  the	
  silhoueMe.	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  	
  

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EshelmanLauren_Backcasting

  • 1. A/W  15  Trend  Predic/on:     Chunky  Turtleneck   Lauren  Eshelman  
  • 2. Chunky  Turtleneck     Theme:  Chunky  knits,   exaggerated  with  long  sleeves   and/or  necks  to  create  volume   Color:  Black,  charcoal,  mustard   yellow,  navy  blue,  olive  green,   burnt  orange,  burgundy,  dusty   rose,  beige,  and  off-­‐white   Silhoue,e:  Bulky,  oversized   Fabrica1on:  Ply  one  end  of  fine   mohair  with  a  compact  yarn,   crea/ng  a  soK  and  downy   surface   Print:  Solid  colors     Source:  hMp://www.wgsn.com/content/board_viewer/#/52380/page/7  
  • 3. H&M’s  ‘PaMern  Knit  Sweater’  is  available  in   light  gray  and  dark  blue  as  predicted  on   WGSN.  The  silhoueMe  is  a  cocoon  shape.  It   is  baggy  and  oversized  as  predicted,   however  the  sleeves  are  more  fiMed  so  as   to  keep  a  more  feminine  shape.  It  is  made   of  100%  coMon  instead  of  mohair  and  has   cable  knit  details.     The  ‘Mohair  Blend  Turtleneck’  from  H&M   is  on  trend  as  predicted.  It  comes  in  off-­‐ white  and  olive  green,  similar  to  the   predicted  colors.  It  does  not  have  an   exaggerated  neck  or  sleeves,  but  the  body   is  wide-­‐cut  and  bulky  like  in  the  predicted   examples.  It  is  made  of  a  mohair  blend,  as   predicted.  The  theme  of  H&M’s  fall/winter   line  is  Bohemian  Rocker.         Source:  hMp://www.hm.com/us/search/#!/products?q=turtleneck  
  • 4.       Rag  &  Bone  provide  several   varia/ons  of  the  chunky   turtleneck  sweater.  The  ‘Sarah   Rib  Turtleneck’  comes  in  black   and  tan  as  predicted.  It  is  made   of  cashmere  and  features  a   ribbed  cuff  and  hem  trim.  It  fits     oversized  like  the  predic/on;  with   extra  long  sleeves  and  neck.  The   silhoueMe  is  oversized  and  bulky   as  predicted.           The  ‘Blithe  T-­‐neck’  is  also   similar  to  the  predic/on.  It  comes   in  charcoal  and  black;  similar  to   the  predicted  colors.  The   silhoueMe  is  oversized  as   predicted  in  the  neck  and  sleeves,   but  it  is  lacking  bulk.  It  also   features  a  geometric  rib  layout   and  is  made  of  100%  merino   wool.  The  theme  can  be   described  as  tailored  pieces   mixed  with  military  references,   statement  knits,  and  mosaic   cable.     Source:  hMp://www.rag-­‐bone.com/womens/sweaters/   Sarah  Rib  Turtleneck   Blithe  T-­‐Neck  
  • 5.   Helmut  Lang  only  has  one  turtleneck  featured  on  their  website.  The   ‘Wool  Cashmere  Turtleneck’  is  similar  to  the  predic/on,  but  the   turtleneck  is  not  exaggerated,  nor  are  the  sleeves.  The  fit  is  regular,   rather  than  oversized  and  bulky.  The  ‘Wool  Cashmere  Turtleneck’  is   made  of  a  three-­‐ply  knit  wool  and  cashmere  blend  and  is  hand-­‐s/tched.   The  theme  is  simple  elegance.  It  is  available  in  the  colors  black,  dark   green,  and  navy  blue,  all  of  which  were  predicted  on  WGSN.     Source:  hMp://www.helmutlang.com/knitwear/womens-­‐knitwear,default,sc.html  
  • 6. Conclusion/Analysis         Of  the  three  brands  I  researched,  Helmut  Lang  did  not  have  as  many  op/ons   that  were  similar  to  the  forecasted  ‘Chunky  Turtleneck’  trend.  The  available  colors  were   predicted,  but  the  turtleneck  was  not  oversized  or  exaggerated.  The  sleeves  were  not   long,  and  the  overall  silhoueMe  was  not  voluminous.  Though  Helmut  Lang  offers  some   oversized  pieces,  most  of  their  knitwear  is  form-­‐figng.  Because  Helmut  Lang’s  line  is   more  expensive  than  Rag  &  Bone  and  H&M,  they  have  an  older  target  market  that  is   more  conserva/ve.  Rag  &  Bone  and  H&M  have  a  younger  target  market  whom  is  more   open  to  adop/ng  new  trends,  therefore  the  brand  is  able  to  create  trendier  pieces.           Rag  &  Bone’s  ‘Sarah  Rib  Turtleneck’  was  almost  iden/cal  to  the  forecast.  The   fit  was  baggy  and  exaggerated  in  all  areas:  neck,  sleeves,  and  body.  Their  ‘Blithe  T-­‐neck’   was  also  similar  with  extra  long  sleeves  and  neck,  but  it  was  less  bulky  and  more  form-­‐ figng.  This  would  be  a  good  op/on  for  someone  who  wanted  to  stay  on-­‐trend  without   adding  volume  to  their  figure.  In  addi/on  to  these  two  turtlenecks,  Rag  &  Bone  had   several  other  varia/ons  of  the  predicted  trend.  Some  styles  were  bulky  and  oversized   with  a  cowl  neck  and  no  sleeves,  while  others  had  exaggerated  sleeves  but  a  short   turtleneck.  Out  of  the  three  brands,  Rag  &  Bone  had  the  largest  selec/on  of  items   similar  to  the  predicted  trend.           Finally  I  looked  at  H&M’s  sweaters.  The  ‘Mohair  Blend  Turtleneck’  was   extremely  similar  to  the  predicted  trend.  It  was  oversized  with  an  extra  long  neck  and  a   wide-­‐cut  body.  The  main  difference  from  the  predicted  trend  was  that  its  sleeves  were   fiMed;  this  was  done  to  maintain  feminine  shape.  Similar  to  Rag  &  Bone,  H&M  had  a   wide  variety  of  similar  but  not  exact  trend  pieces.  The  biggest  difference  between  the   merchandise  and  the  predic/on  was  that  though  the  pieces  were  oversized,  they   weren’t  bulky  and  didn’t  add  a  lot  of  volume  to  the  silhoueMe.