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Cicle "La internacionalització de l'empresa“
9a sessió: Europa II, el cas de Rússia




   A quick overview on the Russian Federation
    and the main Eastern European countries

                         Prof. Alex Makarevich,
     People Management and Organization department, ESADE
Russia has a large population and GDP but its GDP per
         capita has a lot of catching up to do
                                    Russian                                    Czech
                                                   Hungary        Poland                      Spain
                                   Federation                                 Republic




    GDP nominal
                                    1,850.4         140.3         513.8         215.3        1,493.5
    (bilions US$)

    GDP per capita
                                     12,993         14,050       13,540        20,444        32,360
    (in US$)

    Population (milion
                                     147.1           10.4          39.7         10.9          48.8
    inhabitants)


     Source: World Economic Forum. Global Competitiveness Report, 2012-2013. 2011 figures.




                                                                                                       2
Russia keeps a positive momentum with respect to large Eastern EU
  members, for which the Euro zone crisis its taking a heavier toll
  GDP, year over year percent change




  Source: IMF. World Economic Outlook, Update Jan. 23, 2013

                                                                      3
Retail price inflation in Russia is higher than in Eastern EU states but has
                  declined significantly from the mid-200s

                                 Retail prices, year over year percent change




 Source: IMF. World Economic Outlook . October 2012




                                                                                4
Poland and Russia are the two largest export markets for Spanish
       companies in Eastern Europe, while exports to Russia are growing
                                   faster…
                                          Value of Spanish exports (in milion euros)
                 4,000


                 3,500


                 3,000


                 2,500


                 2,000


                 1,500


                 1,000


                   500


                     0
                          RUSSIAN FEDERATION          HUNGARY                  POLAND   CZECK REPUBLIC
                                                                                         CZECH REPUBLIC

                                                   2008   2009   2010   2011     2012
Source: DataComex accesed Feb. 27, 2013

                                                                                                          5
… however the number of Spanish firms exporting to Russia regularly has not
 increased much compared to the other major Eastern European countries

       3,500                     Number of regularly exporting Spanish firms


       3,000                                                                                      2,893
                                                                                          2,722
                                                                                  2,552
       2,500                                                              2,361
                                                                                                                                  2,179
                                                                                                                          2,097
                                                                                                                  1,982
       2,000            1,839 1,854 1,848                                                                 1,879
                1,776
                                                          1,566 1,590
                                            1,503 1,541
       1,500



       1,000



        500



          0
                RUSSIAN FEDERATION                HUNGARY                          POLAND                    CZECK REPUBLIC
                                                                                                             CZECH REPUBLIC

                                                   2007       2008      2009      2010
               Source: ICEX (2011): La empresa exportadora española 2007-2010

                                                                                                                                          6
At the beginning of 2011, the presence of Spanish
companies in Russia as direct investors was very modest

                                                 Russian                                 Czeck
                                                           Hungary             Poland
                                                Federation                              Republic

 Outward FDI Stock (% over total)
 (Posición Inversión Española en el                0.28%            1.43%      0.66%     0.80%
 Exterior a 31/12/2010)

 # of Spanish firms with affiliates
                                                     68               66        188       83
 and subsidiaries (OEME database)

 # of foreign affiliates and
 subsidiaries of Spanish companies                   103             116        321       153
 (OEME database)

  Source: Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad, 2011; OEME database, 2012




                                                                                                   7
According to Doing Business Report, since 2005 the Eastern
         EU-members have made significant progress in improving the business
            environment while Russia is making progress at a slower pace
                            Ease of doing business
                                        (2012 rank)
                                                                              The most problematic factors
                        (185 countries, rank #1 refers to the country           for doing business (GCR)
                            with more pro-business regulations

                                                                          Corruption
  Russian
                                            112                           Inefficient government bureaucracy
 Federation
                                                                          Access to financing
                                                                          Policy instability
   Hungary                                   54                           Access to financing
                                                                          Tax rates
                                                                          Tax regulations
    Poland                                   55                           Restrictive labor laws
                                                                          Inefficient government bureaucracy
                                                                             Corruption
Czech Republic                               65                              Inefficient government bureaucracy
                                                                             Tax regulations
                                                                             Access to financing
     Spain                                   44                              Restrictive labor laws
                                                                             Inefficient government bureaucracy
 Source: IFC; Doing Business Report 2013; WEF,The Global Competitiveness Report 2012-2013

                                                                                                                   8
Cicle "La internacionalització de l'empresa“
9a sessió: Europa II, el cas de Rússia




    Una rápida visión comparativa de Rusia
en relación con otros países de Europa del Este

                         Prof. Alex Makarevich,
     People Management and Organization department, ESADE

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Russia vs Eastern EU Countries Business Comparison

  • 1. Cicle "La internacionalització de l'empresa“ 9a sessió: Europa II, el cas de Rússia A quick overview on the Russian Federation and the main Eastern European countries Prof. Alex Makarevich, People Management and Organization department, ESADE
  • 2. Russia has a large population and GDP but its GDP per capita has a lot of catching up to do Russian Czech Hungary Poland Spain Federation Republic GDP nominal 1,850.4 140.3 513.8 215.3 1,493.5 (bilions US$) GDP per capita 12,993 14,050 13,540 20,444 32,360 (in US$) Population (milion 147.1 10.4 39.7 10.9 48.8 inhabitants) Source: World Economic Forum. Global Competitiveness Report, 2012-2013. 2011 figures. 2
  • 3. Russia keeps a positive momentum with respect to large Eastern EU members, for which the Euro zone crisis its taking a heavier toll GDP, year over year percent change Source: IMF. World Economic Outlook, Update Jan. 23, 2013 3
  • 4. Retail price inflation in Russia is higher than in Eastern EU states but has declined significantly from the mid-200s Retail prices, year over year percent change Source: IMF. World Economic Outlook . October 2012 4
  • 5. Poland and Russia are the two largest export markets for Spanish companies in Eastern Europe, while exports to Russia are growing faster… Value of Spanish exports (in milion euros) 4,000 3,500 3,000 2,500 2,000 1,500 1,000 500 0 RUSSIAN FEDERATION HUNGARY POLAND CZECK REPUBLIC CZECH REPUBLIC 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 Source: DataComex accesed Feb. 27, 2013 5
  • 6. … however the number of Spanish firms exporting to Russia regularly has not increased much compared to the other major Eastern European countries 3,500 Number of regularly exporting Spanish firms 3,000 2,893 2,722 2,552 2,500 2,361 2,179 2,097 1,982 2,000 1,839 1,854 1,848 1,879 1,776 1,566 1,590 1,503 1,541 1,500 1,000 500 0 RUSSIAN FEDERATION HUNGARY POLAND CZECK REPUBLIC CZECH REPUBLIC 2007 2008 2009 2010 Source: ICEX (2011): La empresa exportadora española 2007-2010 6
  • 7. At the beginning of 2011, the presence of Spanish companies in Russia as direct investors was very modest Russian Czeck Hungary Poland Federation Republic Outward FDI Stock (% over total) (Posición Inversión Española en el 0.28% 1.43% 0.66% 0.80% Exterior a 31/12/2010) # of Spanish firms with affiliates 68 66 188 83 and subsidiaries (OEME database) # of foreign affiliates and subsidiaries of Spanish companies 103 116 321 153 (OEME database) Source: Ministerio de Economía y Competitividad, 2011; OEME database, 2012 7
  • 8. According to Doing Business Report, since 2005 the Eastern EU-members have made significant progress in improving the business environment while Russia is making progress at a slower pace Ease of doing business (2012 rank) The most problematic factors (185 countries, rank #1 refers to the country for doing business (GCR) with more pro-business regulations  Corruption Russian 112  Inefficient government bureaucracy Federation  Access to financing  Policy instability Hungary 54  Access to financing  Tax rates  Tax regulations Poland 55  Restrictive labor laws  Inefficient government bureaucracy  Corruption Czech Republic 65  Inefficient government bureaucracy  Tax regulations  Access to financing Spain 44  Restrictive labor laws  Inefficient government bureaucracy Source: IFC; Doing Business Report 2013; WEF,The Global Competitiveness Report 2012-2013 8
  • 9. Cicle "La internacionalització de l'empresa“ 9a sessió: Europa II, el cas de Rússia Una rápida visión comparativa de Rusia en relación con otros países de Europa del Este Prof. Alex Makarevich, People Management and Organization department, ESADE