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Emerging Markets Strategy
Sessions 1-2
What is an Emerging Market?
• The term was coined by economists at IFC
(International Finance Corporation) in 1981
when the group was promoting the first
mutual fund investments in developing
countries.
• They are ‘emerging’ as they have yet not
‘emerged’.
Criteria for defining emerging markets
MSCI Emerging Market Index
Characteristics of emerging markets
• Prone to financial crisis
• Insecure intellectual property rights
• Bureaucratic hurdles
• Distribution is an important issue
• Sorting through investment opportunities or
performing due diligence on partners is often a
guessing game
• Corruption outweighs potential rewards
• Information asymmetry
The Challenges
• Higher transaction costs
• Operating challenges
Leading to ‘Institutional Voids’
In the wake of Institutional Voids Look
out for........
• Credibility Enhancers
• Information Analysers
• Aggregators & Distributors
• Transaction Facilitators
Reasons for Institutional Voids
• History & Politics
• Human Capital
• Mutual Dependency
• Vested Interests
Types of Institutional Voids
• Product Market
• Labour Market
• Capital Market
• Macro Context
Spotting Institutional Voids: Product
Markets
• Can companies easily obtain reliable data on consumer tastes
and behavior?
• Are there cultural barriers to market research?
• Do market research firms operate in this environment?
• Can consumers easily obtain unbiased information on the
quality of the goods and services they want to buy?
• Are there independent consumer groups?
• Can companies access raw materials and components of good
quality?
• Is there an extensive network of suppliers?
• Can companies enforce contracts with suppliers?
• How strong is the logistics and transportation infrastructure?
Spotting Institutional Voids: Product
Markets
• Have global logistics companies set up local operations?
• Do large retail chains exist?
• Do they reach all consumers or only the wealthiest ones?
• Do consumers use credit cards or does cash dominate
transactions?
• Can consumers get credit to make purchases?
• Are data on consumer creditworthiness readily available?
• How do companies deliver after-sales service to consumers?
• Is it possible to set up a nationwide service network?
• Are third-party service providers available?
• What kind of product-related environmental and safety
regulations are in place?
• How do the authorities enforce regulations?
Spotting Institutional Voids: Labour
Markets
• How strong is the education infrastructure, especially for
technical and management training?
• Is there good elementary and secondary education?
• Are data available to determine the quality of educational
institutions?
• Do people study and do business in English or in another
international language like Spanish, or do they mainly speak a
local language?
• Can employees move easily from one company to another?
• Does the culture support that movement?
• Do recruitment agencies facilitate executive mobility?
• Is pay for performance a standard practice?
Spotting Institutional Voids: Labour
Markets
• How much weight do executives give to seniority, as opposed
to merit, in making promotion decisions?
• Would a company be able to enforce employment contracts
with senior executives?
• Could it stop employees from stealing trade secrets and
intellectual property?
• How are the rights of workers protected? How strong are the
trade unions?
• Do the laws and regulations limit a firm’s ability to
restructure, downsize or shut down?
Spotting Institutional Voids: Capital
Markets
• Are financial institutions managed well?
• Is their decision making transparent?
• How effective are the banks, insurance companies and mutual
funds in collecting savings and channeling them into
investments?
• Can companies raise large amounts of equity capital in the
stock market?
• Is there a market for corporate debt?
• Does a venture capital industry exist? If so, does it allow
individuals with good ideas to raise funds?
• Do independent financial analysts, rating agencies and the
media offer unbiased information on companies?
Spotting Institutional Voids: Capital
Markets
• How effective are corporate governance norms and
standards?
• Are corporate boards independent and empowered, and do
they have independent directors?
• Are regulators effective in monitoring the banking industry
and stock markets?
• How well do the courts deal with fraud?
• Is there an orderly bankruptcy process that balances the
interests of owners, creditors and other stakeholders?
Macro Context
• To whom are politicians accountable?
• Are the roles of the legislative, executive and judiciary clearly
defined?
• Does the government go beyond regulating business to
interfering with it or running companies?
• Do the laws articulate and protect private property rights?
• Is the judiciary independent?
• Do the courts adjudicate and enforce contracts in a timely and
impartial manner?
• How vibrant and independent are the media?
• Are non-governmental organizations, civil rights groups and
environmental groups active?
Macro-Context
• Do people tolerate corruption in business? Can strangers be
trusted to honor a contract?
• What restrictions does the government place on foreign
investment?
• Is the presence of foreign intermediaries allowed, including
market research and advertising firms, media companies,
banks, management consulting firms and educational
institutions?
• How long does it take to start a new business?
• How cumbersome are the procedures for permitting the
launch of a wholly foreign-owned business?
• Are there free trade agreements with other nations?
• If so, do those agreements favour investments by companies
from some parts of the world over others?
There is a bit of ‘Emerging-ness’ in
developed markets too
Continuum of Institutional voids and market definition
Changing Role of Emerging Markets
Phase 1: Latin American Leadership within the Emerging Market
OFDI (1970-1982)
Phase II: The start of Asian OFDI and the Debt Crisis in Latin
America (1983-1992)
Phase III: The ‘Washington Consensus’ and Integration of
Emerging Markets in the Global Economy (1993-2003)
Phase IV: The golden decade of emerging markets – South-South
Investments (2003-2014)
Phase V: Changing times for emerging markets – One Belt, One
Road initiative, new emerging market –led multilateral
organisations (2015-present)
Real Economic activity in emerging markets
Ease of Doing
Digital
Business
Ease of Doing Business
The reality behind BRIC
Distinction between emerging markets
and developed markets –
The institutional voids
• Product market
• Capital market
• Labour market
Product Markets
Product Markets
Product Markets
Capital Market
Capital Market
Labour Market
Labour Market
Responding to Institutional Voids in
emerging markets
• Replicate or adapt its existing business model?
• Compete alone or collaborate?
• Accept or attempt to change market context?
• Enter, wait or exit?
Responding to Institutional Voids
Source: Winning in
emerging markets by
Tarun Khanna &
Krishna Palepu

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EMS 1 for the managing director,let's d0

  • 2. What is an Emerging Market? • The term was coined by economists at IFC (International Finance Corporation) in 1981 when the group was promoting the first mutual fund investments in developing countries. • They are ‘emerging’ as they have yet not ‘emerged’.
  • 3. Criteria for defining emerging markets
  • 5. Characteristics of emerging markets • Prone to financial crisis • Insecure intellectual property rights • Bureaucratic hurdles • Distribution is an important issue • Sorting through investment opportunities or performing due diligence on partners is often a guessing game • Corruption outweighs potential rewards • Information asymmetry
  • 6. The Challenges • Higher transaction costs • Operating challenges Leading to ‘Institutional Voids’
  • 7. In the wake of Institutional Voids Look out for........ • Credibility Enhancers • Information Analysers • Aggregators & Distributors • Transaction Facilitators
  • 8. Reasons for Institutional Voids • History & Politics • Human Capital • Mutual Dependency • Vested Interests
  • 9. Types of Institutional Voids • Product Market • Labour Market • Capital Market • Macro Context
  • 10. Spotting Institutional Voids: Product Markets • Can companies easily obtain reliable data on consumer tastes and behavior? • Are there cultural barriers to market research? • Do market research firms operate in this environment? • Can consumers easily obtain unbiased information on the quality of the goods and services they want to buy? • Are there independent consumer groups? • Can companies access raw materials and components of good quality? • Is there an extensive network of suppliers? • Can companies enforce contracts with suppliers? • How strong is the logistics and transportation infrastructure?
  • 11. Spotting Institutional Voids: Product Markets • Have global logistics companies set up local operations? • Do large retail chains exist? • Do they reach all consumers or only the wealthiest ones? • Do consumers use credit cards or does cash dominate transactions? • Can consumers get credit to make purchases? • Are data on consumer creditworthiness readily available? • How do companies deliver after-sales service to consumers? • Is it possible to set up a nationwide service network? • Are third-party service providers available? • What kind of product-related environmental and safety regulations are in place? • How do the authorities enforce regulations?
  • 12. Spotting Institutional Voids: Labour Markets • How strong is the education infrastructure, especially for technical and management training? • Is there good elementary and secondary education? • Are data available to determine the quality of educational institutions? • Do people study and do business in English or in another international language like Spanish, or do they mainly speak a local language? • Can employees move easily from one company to another? • Does the culture support that movement? • Do recruitment agencies facilitate executive mobility? • Is pay for performance a standard practice?
  • 13. Spotting Institutional Voids: Labour Markets • How much weight do executives give to seniority, as opposed to merit, in making promotion decisions? • Would a company be able to enforce employment contracts with senior executives? • Could it stop employees from stealing trade secrets and intellectual property? • How are the rights of workers protected? How strong are the trade unions? • Do the laws and regulations limit a firm’s ability to restructure, downsize or shut down?
  • 14. Spotting Institutional Voids: Capital Markets • Are financial institutions managed well? • Is their decision making transparent? • How effective are the banks, insurance companies and mutual funds in collecting savings and channeling them into investments? • Can companies raise large amounts of equity capital in the stock market? • Is there a market for corporate debt? • Does a venture capital industry exist? If so, does it allow individuals with good ideas to raise funds? • Do independent financial analysts, rating agencies and the media offer unbiased information on companies?
  • 15. Spotting Institutional Voids: Capital Markets • How effective are corporate governance norms and standards? • Are corporate boards independent and empowered, and do they have independent directors? • Are regulators effective in monitoring the banking industry and stock markets? • How well do the courts deal with fraud? • Is there an orderly bankruptcy process that balances the interests of owners, creditors and other stakeholders?
  • 16. Macro Context • To whom are politicians accountable? • Are the roles of the legislative, executive and judiciary clearly defined? • Does the government go beyond regulating business to interfering with it or running companies? • Do the laws articulate and protect private property rights? • Is the judiciary independent? • Do the courts adjudicate and enforce contracts in a timely and impartial manner? • How vibrant and independent are the media? • Are non-governmental organizations, civil rights groups and environmental groups active?
  • 17. Macro-Context • Do people tolerate corruption in business? Can strangers be trusted to honor a contract? • What restrictions does the government place on foreign investment? • Is the presence of foreign intermediaries allowed, including market research and advertising firms, media companies, banks, management consulting firms and educational institutions? • How long does it take to start a new business? • How cumbersome are the procedures for permitting the launch of a wholly foreign-owned business? • Are there free trade agreements with other nations? • If so, do those agreements favour investments by companies from some parts of the world over others?
  • 18. There is a bit of ‘Emerging-ness’ in developed markets too Continuum of Institutional voids and market definition
  • 19. Changing Role of Emerging Markets Phase 1: Latin American Leadership within the Emerging Market OFDI (1970-1982) Phase II: The start of Asian OFDI and the Debt Crisis in Latin America (1983-1992) Phase III: The ‘Washington Consensus’ and Integration of Emerging Markets in the Global Economy (1993-2003) Phase IV: The golden decade of emerging markets – South-South Investments (2003-2014) Phase V: Changing times for emerging markets – One Belt, One Road initiative, new emerging market –led multilateral organisations (2015-present)
  • 20. Real Economic activity in emerging markets
  • 22. Ease of Doing Business
  • 24. Distinction between emerging markets and developed markets – The institutional voids • Product market • Capital market • Labour market
  • 32. Responding to Institutional Voids in emerging markets • Replicate or adapt its existing business model? • Compete alone or collaborate? • Accept or attempt to change market context? • Enter, wait or exit?
  • 33. Responding to Institutional Voids Source: Winning in emerging markets by Tarun Khanna & Krishna Palepu