This document provides an overview of competitive US House races for the 2018 midterm elections that will indicate whether Democrats are having a good night in their goal of taking back the House majority. Key races to watch are listed for New York, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Minnesota, California and other states. Winning toss-up seats will be important for Democrats, while winning tilts and likely Republican districts would signal a strong Democratic wave. The document also promotes the work of the American Academy of Family Physicians in bringing its members together with legislators to advance its policy agenda.

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How unpopular is Donald Trump?

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ELECTION NIGHT BINGO
Watch these House races for a good signal of what kind of night Democrats are
having. Dems must win the Toss-up seats to have a shot at taking the House majority.
If Dems start winning the Tilts and Likely Republican seats, it’s a tsunami
New York
Competitive races: 5
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 2
Key Races: Rep. Claudia Tenney (R-22, TU);
Rep. John J. Faso (R-19, TU); Rep. John Katko (R-
24, LR); Rep. Dan Donovan (R-11, LR); Rep. Chris
Collins (R-27, LR)
Pennsylvania
Competitive races: 9
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 4
Key Races: Open 5th Meehan (LD); Open 6th Costello
(LD); Open 7th Dent (TD); Rep. Keith Rothfus (R-17) vs.
Rep. Conor Lamb (D; LeD); Rep. Brian Fitzpatrick (R-1,
TR); Rep. Scott Perry (R-10, LR); Rep. Mike Kelly (R-16,
LR).Possible R pick-ups: Open 14th; Rep. Matt
Cartwright (D-8, LD).
Illinois
Competitive races: 3
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 2
Key Races: Rep. Peter Roskam (R-6, TU); Rep. Mike
Bost (R-12, TR); Rep. Rodney Davis (R-13, LR)
Minnesota
Competitive races: 5
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 1
Key Races: Rep. Jason Lewis (R-2nd; TU); Rep. Erik
Paulsen (R- 3rd; TR)
Possible R pick-ups: Open 1st Walz (TU); Open 8th
Nolan (TU)

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ELECTION NIGHT BINGO
Watch these House races for a good signal of what kind of night Democrats are
having. Dems must win the Toss-up seats to have a shot at taking the House majority.
If Dems start winning the Tilts and Likely Republican seats, it’s a tsunami
California
Competitive races: 9
Target Democratic gain for a majority: 5
Key Races: Open 49th Issa (TD); Open 39th Royce (TU); Rep. Dana Rohrabacher (R-48; TU); Rep.
Jeff Denham (R-10, TR); Rep. Steve Knight (R-25, TR); Rep. Mimi Walters (R- 45, TR); Rep. Tom
McClintock (R-4, LR), Rep. David Valadao (R-21, LR), Rep. Duncan Hunter (R-50, LR)
Others to Watch
Kentucky-06: Rep. Andy Barr (R) vs. Amy McGrath (D)
Indiana Senate: Sen. Joe Donnelly (D) vs. Mike Braun (R)
Virginia-07: Rep. Dave Brat (R) vs. Abigail Spanberger (D)
Florida-27: Donna Shalala (D) vs. Maria Elvira Salazar (R)
Arizona Senate: Rep. Martha McSally (R) vs. Rep. Kyrsten Sinema (D)
Texas Senate: Rep. Beto O’Rourke (D) vs. Sen. Ted Cruz (R)

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20. Promoting AAFP’s Agenda!

21. Above: AAFP members, Drs. Jay Lee (far left) and
Lisa Ward with Sen. Diane Feinstein (D-CA)
Below: Dr. Jason Dees with
Cindy Hyde-Smith (R-MS)
Below: Dr. Robert Bourne with
Rep. Pete Aguilar (D-CA)
Above: Dr. Karen Smith with
Rep. David Rouzer (R-NC)
Bringing AAFP members and legislators together

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Since 2005, FamMedPAC
raised and contributed over $5
million to more than 400
candidates.

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