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Economic Update
   Presented by
   Anton Stetner
Real GDP Growth
US GDP and Employment




  Data Normalized to Recession Start 2007 Q4 = 0
U.S. Unemployment Rate is 7.9%




               Unemployment Rate Seasonally Adjusted
               Data from US Bureau of Labor Statistics
U.S. Consumer Confidence
Washington Unemployment Rate is 8.3%




                  Unemployment Rate Seasonally Adjusted
                  Data from US Bureau of Labor Statistics
King County Unemployment Rate is 7.1%




                   Unemployment Rate Seasonally Adjusted
                   Data from US Bureau of Labor Statistics
Snohomish County Unemployment Rate is 8.4%




                      Unemployment Rate Seasonally Adjusted
                      Data from US Bureau of Labor Statistics
WA Major Employer - Boeing Orders
WA State Employment Recovery
WA State Personal Income Recovery
WA State Vehicles Sales
WA State Housing Permits
Puget Sound Housing Permits
   35,000

                                                                                                     Skagit
   30,000                                                                                            Kitsap
                                                                                                     Thurston
   25,000                                                                                            Snohomish
                                                                                                     Pierce
   20,000                                                                                            King



   15,000


   10,000


       5,000


           0
                                                                                                      2011 (Jan.-
               2001    2002     2003    2004     2005     2006     2007     2008     2009    2010
                                                                                                         Apr.)
Skagit         719      887     904      851     1,018    1,009     807      366     234     200            55
Kitsap         1,138   1,229    1,460   1,366    1,611    1,236    1,370     578     388     304            95
Thurston       1,479   1,835    2,014   2,253    2,570    3,204    2,603    1,006    1,161   949            283
Snohomish      5,396   4,973    5,592   6,164    6,659    5,662    4,853    2,704    2,183   2,126       1,051
Pierce         5,734   5,467    5,152   6,026    6,826    6,006    5,132    2,368    2,094   1,898          582
King           9,967   10,551   9,857   11,945   12,034   14,075   15,418   10,317   3,220   5,957       1,484




                                                 Data courtesy of Chicago Title Insurance Co. Everett
WA State Multi-Family
WA State Single Family Home Prices
WA State Median Price




All NWMLS Data was use for all of WA State. NWMLS does not cover every part of WA but it
does cover a majority. Data From Broker Metrics via of Keller Williams Realty Marysville
WA State Supply and Demand




      Data From Broker Metrics via of Keller Williams Realty Marysville
WA State Months of Supply




     Data From Broker Metrics via of Keller Williams Realty Marysville
Washington Foreclosure Inventories




Schedule for Sale are total number of properties with an Auction Date from a Notice of
Trustees Sale. Bank Owned / REO is total number of foreclosed on Properties.
Data from Foreclosureradar.com
King County Foreclosure Inventories




Schedule for Sale are total number of properties with an Auction Date from a Notice of
Trustees Sale. Bank Owned / REO is total number of foreclosed on Properties.
Data from Foreclosureradar.com
Snohomish County Foreclosure Inventories




Schedule for Sale are total number of properties with an Auction Date from a Notice of
Trustees Sale. Bank Owned / REO is total number of foreclosed on Properties.
Data from Foreclosureradar.com
King County Months of Supply




       Data From Broker Metrics via of Keller Williams Realty Marysville
King County Supply and Demand




       Data From Broker Metrics via of Keller Williams Realty Marysville
King County Closed Sales




          Based on Residential Closed Sales from NWMLS
Snohomish County Months Supply




        Data From Broker Metrics via of Keller Williams Realty Marysville
Snohomish County Supply and Demand




         Data From Broker Metrics via of Keller Williams Realty Marysville
Snohomish County Closed Sales




              Based on Residential Closed Sales from NWMLS
From Gary Keller’s Vision Speech at Family Reunion 2012
Why is the Market Improving?
1.Historically Low Interest Rates
2.Lower Number of Foreclosures
3.Decreasing Unemployment
4.Affordability of Housing
5.Strong Investor Demand
6.Lack of Inventory
From Survive to THRIVE




                   From the Book SHIFT
Connect With Me
AntonStetner.com
    Twitter.com/AntonStetner
    Facebook.com/RealEstateSolutionsGroup
    YouTube.com/AntonStetner

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Economic update For Washington State and the Puget Sound Region

  • 1. Economic Update Presented by Anton Stetner
  • 3. US GDP and Employment Data Normalized to Recession Start 2007 Q4 = 0
  • 4. U.S. Unemployment Rate is 7.9% Unemployment Rate Seasonally Adjusted Data from US Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 6. Washington Unemployment Rate is 8.3% Unemployment Rate Seasonally Adjusted Data from US Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 7. King County Unemployment Rate is 7.1% Unemployment Rate Seasonally Adjusted Data from US Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 8. Snohomish County Unemployment Rate is 8.4% Unemployment Rate Seasonally Adjusted Data from US Bureau of Labor Statistics
  • 9. WA Major Employer - Boeing Orders
  • 11. WA State Personal Income Recovery
  • 13. WA State Housing Permits
  • 14. Puget Sound Housing Permits 35,000 Skagit 30,000 Kitsap Thurston 25,000 Snohomish Pierce 20,000 King 15,000 10,000 5,000 0 2011 (Jan.- 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 Apr.) Skagit 719 887 904 851 1,018 1,009 807 366 234 200 55 Kitsap 1,138 1,229 1,460 1,366 1,611 1,236 1,370 578 388 304 95 Thurston 1,479 1,835 2,014 2,253 2,570 3,204 2,603 1,006 1,161 949 283 Snohomish 5,396 4,973 5,592 6,164 6,659 5,662 4,853 2,704 2,183 2,126 1,051 Pierce 5,734 5,467 5,152 6,026 6,826 6,006 5,132 2,368 2,094 1,898 582 King 9,967 10,551 9,857 11,945 12,034 14,075 15,418 10,317 3,220 5,957 1,484 Data courtesy of Chicago Title Insurance Co. Everett
  • 16. WA State Single Family Home Prices
  • 17. WA State Median Price All NWMLS Data was use for all of WA State. NWMLS does not cover every part of WA but it does cover a majority. Data From Broker Metrics via of Keller Williams Realty Marysville
  • 18. WA State Supply and Demand Data From Broker Metrics via of Keller Williams Realty Marysville
  • 19. WA State Months of Supply Data From Broker Metrics via of Keller Williams Realty Marysville
  • 20. Washington Foreclosure Inventories Schedule for Sale are total number of properties with an Auction Date from a Notice of Trustees Sale. Bank Owned / REO is total number of foreclosed on Properties. Data from Foreclosureradar.com
  • 21. King County Foreclosure Inventories Schedule for Sale are total number of properties with an Auction Date from a Notice of Trustees Sale. Bank Owned / REO is total number of foreclosed on Properties. Data from Foreclosureradar.com
  • 22. Snohomish County Foreclosure Inventories Schedule for Sale are total number of properties with an Auction Date from a Notice of Trustees Sale. Bank Owned / REO is total number of foreclosed on Properties. Data from Foreclosureradar.com
  • 23. King County Months of Supply Data From Broker Metrics via of Keller Williams Realty Marysville
  • 24. King County Supply and Demand Data From Broker Metrics via of Keller Williams Realty Marysville
  • 25. King County Closed Sales Based on Residential Closed Sales from NWMLS
  • 26. Snohomish County Months Supply Data From Broker Metrics via of Keller Williams Realty Marysville
  • 27. Snohomish County Supply and Demand Data From Broker Metrics via of Keller Williams Realty Marysville
  • 28. Snohomish County Closed Sales Based on Residential Closed Sales from NWMLS
  • 29. From Gary Keller’s Vision Speech at Family Reunion 2012
  • 30. Why is the Market Improving? 1.Historically Low Interest Rates 2.Lower Number of Foreclosures 3.Decreasing Unemployment 4.Affordability of Housing 5.Strong Investor Demand 6.Lack of Inventory
  • 31. From Survive to THRIVE From the Book SHIFT
  • 32. Connect With Me AntonStetner.com Twitter.com/AntonStetner Facebook.com/RealEstateSolutionsGroup YouTube.com/AntonStetner