Dynamic Industrial Planning: Pakistan in the 4th Industrial Revolution - Presentation by Dr. Usman W. Chohan, Director, Economics & National Affairs, Centre for Aerospace & Security Studies (CASS). Delivered at Institute of Strategic Studies (ISSI).

1. DYNAMIC INDUSTRIAL PLANNING
PAKISTAN IN THE 4TH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION
DR. USMAN W. CHOHAN
PRESENTATION @ ISSI THINK TANK MARCH 11, 2020

2. CONTENTS
 How to gauge the present?
 The future of industry
 Can we learn from the past
Past
Inspiration from the Past
Present
Reviewing the Challenges &
Uncertainties
Future
Preparing for 4th Industrial
Revolution

3. THESIS
 4th industrial revolution:
 not plan for 20th century but a 22nd century industrial base
 The nature of manufacturing different
 Knowledge driven
 Work isn’t replaced:
 it’s a think tank everywhere
 Industry = R&D, Science
 We can plan in uncertain times
 be inspired by our forefathers
 Private investment has to invest step in with public sector facilitation and civil society awareness

4. MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY: GDP + R&D
Manufacturing represents 16% of
global GDP but manufacturing
industries account for 64% of
global R&D spend.
Global GDP
Manufacturing Other Sectors
Global R&D
Manufacturing Other Sectors

5. 4TH INDUSTRIAL REVOLUTION

6. MILLS & FACTORIES
 Labor will not be the largest
cost-saving factor of
production
 Transportation will.
 So the 3rd world sweatshop
approach will not work

7. PRIVATE INVESTMENT HAS TO BE MADE

8. MANUAL WORK ISN’T GOING EXTINCT

9. CAN WE PLAN UNDER
UNCERTAIN
CONDITIONS?
Imagine planning for “the Pakistan areas” in 1943
Bengal Famine World War 2 Hindu-Muslim Riots

10. “If Pakistan is to play its proper role in the world to which its size, manpower
and resources entitle it, it must develop industrial potential side by side with
its agriculture and give its economy an industrial bias” – Quaid-e-Azam
CAN WE PLAN UNDER
UNCERTAIN
CONDITIONS?
Food Self-Sufficiency
Agricultural
Development
Education & Human Resource
Mass Literacy
Advanced
Training
Industrial Base
Manufacturin
g
Import
Substitution
Standard of
Living
Raising
Standards
Eliminating
Gross

11. INDUSTRIAL BASE: AB INITIO

12. MULTISTAKEHOLDER APPROACHES

13. PUBLIC VALUE
APPROACHES
Recognition
• 4th industrial
revolution
Communication
• Deliberative
Councils
• Industry
Outreach
Formalization
• Tax net /
registries
Macro-trends
• CPEC /
Surplus
Recycling
Mech.
Leapfrogging
Global PR /
Marketing
• Quality
Assurance

14. THANK YOU
DISCUSSION
PRESENTATION @ ISSI THINK TANK MARCH 11, 2020