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Payments System Industry
Synopsis
Notice: Materials contained in this document are drawn from several media sources, and Dorado Industries is not responsible for their accuracy. Opinions expressed
herein are presented without warranty. Brand names are the trademarks of their respective service offerors.
TrendWatch 2.0
Q4 2015
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
Random Thoughts
So Much for Exclusivity
Americans just don’t care for exclusive arrangements, it seems.
Indeed, we prefer choices. For instance, when given an opportunity
to rid ourselves of the highly regulated and heavy-handed taxi
industry, we jumped at the chance and supported Uber and Lyft. In
San Francisco, our support was so strong that the largest cab
company is near filing for Chapter 11 and, in New York City, the
value of a taxi medallion has fallen by 40 percent. See? Choices
work.
We’ve seen this American characteristic in payments for decades.
“What do you mean you only accept Visa?” was heard loud and
clear by merchants in the 1970s, and duality ensued. When Visa
and MasterCard planned to jointly launch their Entrée debit card in
1987 to protect their credit card franchises, merchants (and
Attorneys General for 11 states) said “thanks, but no thanks” and the
45 debit card networks in existence at the time continued to provide
consumer and merchant choice.
Recently, merchants have begun to recall the consumer penchant for
choice and have been signing up for multiple mobile payments
schemes in addition to their own in-app payment programs. Why?
Because there are a number of us Americans who prefer to do things
our way, not just Dunkin Donuts’, Subway’s, or Walmart’s. In the
case of Walmart, consumers thankfully have lots of options ranging
from Walmart Pay to MasterPass with MCX CurrentC in the middle.
And, Dunkin Donuts is now an Apple Pay merchant while Subway
is covering its bets by taking both Android and Apple Pay.
Try as they might to stake out exclusive deals with, say, appliance
manufacturers in the IoT world, or wearable startups in hipster land,
payments schemes and card brands will continue to be taught the
lesson that Americans hate the notion of “one size fits all.” And,
that’s good for everyone; save for two, maybe.
2
Fan Boy? No, But Close
We don’t even like the term but when it comes to what we see in
JPMorgan Chase, we’re treading dangerously close to earning the
title.
Consider: Chase cut a ten-year deal with Visa in 2013 that gave it a
copy of VisaNet. With the stroke of pen, the bank formed its own
closed-loop network giving it an edge on the merchant services side
(the bank is zeroing in on a trillion dollars in annual processing
volume) and the ability to learn even more about its depositors’
purchasing activity.
Consider: The bank feels emboldened enough to launch Chase Pay,
an Apple, Android, Samsung (et al) Pay competitor and designed it
to work in the QR code environment. And, while the jury is still out
on QR versus NFC (or HCE), it’s tough to quibble with the decision
because of what Chase did next.
Consider: The bank signs up with MCX to become that mobile
payments coalition’s premier partner. Prior to doing the deal with
Chase, MCX found itself in an asymmetrical situation, i.e., no
issuers. Given Chase’s girth in the card world, the bank has rubbed
some salve on the coalition’s problem.
When you sum it all up, Chase has taken a very bold step in
payments (mobile and otherwise) – one with a ton of risk, mind you
– but, isn’t it about time somebody stopped the dithering? Sage
moves or not on Chase’s part, at least somebody else sees the folly
of banks and merchants spitting from the sidelines while card
brands, processors, and others play Lawn Darts with the payments
industry.
So it goes; off to a marathon.
Until next time.
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
3
Table of Contents
2015 Predictions Re-visited 4
2016 Predictions 7
TrendWatch Scorecard/Summary 8
2015 Payments Industry Yields 9
Interesting Quarterly News That Got No Respect 10
Q4 M&A/Investor Activity 15
Useful Links for Quieter Companies 21
Back in the Day! 22
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
2015 Predictions Re-visited
• While a Herfindahl index analysis of the third party EFT processor segment might suggest no further mergers
would pass the DoJ sniff test, that’s not the case for merchant services players. There should be room for two
more major M&A transactions. One will occur in 2015.
Mar: Nothing so far. No guts, no glory.
Jun: Well, this is going nowhere fast. A couple of small plays but nothing to write home about.
Sep: Another round of foreign currency devaluations should do it. Check out the “Industry Yields” page.
Dec: Half credit for the Global Payments/Heartland deal?
• Two digital wallet providers will fold up their tents and return to the desert.
Mar: Softcard is the first to go; Loop Pay became Samsung Pay (doesn’t count). Still waiting for number two.
Jun: Delays in Android Pay and Samsung Pay launches to Q4 gives new life for a few of the hangers-on.
Sep: Nothing this quarter; Christmas season will take its toll.
Dec: Didn’t happen. This prediction resurfaces in 2016 with a broader meaning.
• At least one mobile network operator (MNO) will leave the playing field for the sidelines.
Mar: Could claim victory with the players in Softcard but that’s not fair. Still waiting for a hard fall.
Jun: Still waiting for one of the southern U.S. MNOs to make a move.
Sep: (Aug) Apple’s entrance as an MVNO may spur someone to exit stage left.
Dec: Blew this one too. Still, do we really need a jillion wallets and MNOs? We think not.
4
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
More 2015 Predictions Re-visited
• Trade and popular press scribes will hail the three joint ventures that will occur in 2015 between issuers (or their
processors) and retailers.
Mar: Jungle drums are beating but, as yet, no major announcements.
Jun: Walmart/Green Dot re-up agreement doesn’t count but it looks a lot like what will happen.
Sep: AXP cuts a deal with Sam’s Club after being shown the door by Costco.
Dec: Guess the JPMorgan Chase/MCX deal makes two.
• A truly viable mobile payments solution for owners of Android phones will arrive late in 2015 to compete with iOS
(and Apple Pay.)
Mar: Acquisition of Loop Pay by Samsung sort of fits the bill but not quite. Google’s acquisition of the Softcard
carcass sort of fits the bill but not quite either. Still waiting.
Jun: Android Pay, though delayed, will give consumers something to consider. Merchant acceptance will be the
kicker.
Sep: Samsung Pay went live September 28, a bit light on issuers. Android Pay took its first breath on September
10. So far, Atlas hasn’t shrugged.
Dec: So, how does Walmart Pay fit in? Could make the iOS/Android speculation irrelevant.
• Try as it might (e.g., Buy With Twitter) to reverse its waning fortunes, Twitter’s year on year growth will be one-half
its current rate of 30 percent.
Mar: No statistics as yet but anecdotal evidence suggests that Twitter volume is on the wane. Probably a Q4
prediction.
Jun: Holding firm on this one until Twitter proves us wrong. Daily volume looks way down.
Sep: (Aug 3) Twitter shares hit an all time low since its IPO on a disappointing forecast and remain in the dumps.
Dec: Millennials tell us Twitter is for “dinosaurs.” So there you have it.
5
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
More 2015 Predictions Re-visited
6
• There is a deal to be had between MCX (CurrentC) and a banking consortium and it will be announced late in 2015.
Mar: MCX claims that issuers are lining up. Where, it won’t say.
Jun: Maybe the new leadership will warm up to the idea of a banking consortium becoming a partner.
Sep: Ohio CurrentC beta should tell the tale.
Dec: Bingo! Chase and ChaseNet sign up with MCX.
• Clinkle will disappear; but in a blaze of glory.
Mar: Still taking nourishment but through a straw.
Jun: Clinkle staffing down to about a dozen after seven key employees marched out en mass in May over sellout
rumors centered on Apple.
Sep: Still here, but hanging by a mere thread.
Dec: Geez, who’s the EMT crew giving these guys life support? Guess we blew this one too. It’s probably all those
Stanford students collecting their just desserts from Iowa Hawkeyes on Rose Bowl game wagers. Now, that there
was a blaze of glory!
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
2016 Predictions
• The Big Three – Alphabet, Apple, and Facebook – will go on an acquisition tear in the payments
arena to put some distance between each other and the rest of the pack.
• Lesser known payments schemes will begin closing up shop.
• VC/PE interest in payments startups will diminish while traditional bankers will step in with
partnership and investment deals.
• Despite intrigue created by CFPB’s interest in foreign transfers, the cross-border money
movement sector will heat up – new players and some M&A.
• Banks and credit unions will throw caution to the wind and begin offering their depositors
proprietary branded digital wallets to combat the zeal merchants have for steering customer
loyalty.
• In another search for scale, two established merchant services processors will merge.
• Blockchain will remain the new “glowing object on the horizon” but efforts to institutionalize it will
not move the needle much in 2016.
• In-app payment options (e.g., “One Click” by Amazon) will go on autopilot and become less of an
“end” and more of a “means to an end.”
7
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
8
TrendWatch Scorecard/Summary – Q4 2015
Market & Industry Situation
1 – Chase Pay and Walmart Pay will soon be in the wild. Let the games
begin.
2 – Check out what Diebold and NCR are doing; very cool.
3 – Huge pops in volume over the Christmas season.
4 – It’s an election year; no news, no nothing. Except for CFPB.
5 – Another good, but not great, year but some super big IPOs.
6 – Everyone’s making money, it seems. Except China.
7 – FinTech companies continue to probe ways to peel off some of the
payments sector income.
8 – Companies that haven’t gotten the message will have a hard time in
2016. Fortunately, there are some folks that take this stuff seriously.
Industry Players To Watch
“The Pays”: The summer of 2016 is shaping up to be a real slugfest.
MCX: When it’s the contrarians that are saying a company will survive,
it’s not a good sign.
Apple: Not that Apple gives a whit about share price but current pressure
may force the company to accelerate its Watch and iPhone plans.
Fed Faster Payments: The vote’s been taken and, though nothing’s public
yet, it’s a safe bet that there’s a consensus on direction in place.
Every Retailer With In-app Payments: Choice or no choice? Tough call
for a number of ideology-driven merchants.
The Internet of Things: If your refrigerator can pay for your milk, will
your toaster order the Pop Tarts?
5. New Venture Growth
4. Legal/Regulatory Issues
1. New Payment Forms
2. ATM Restructuring
3. POS Volume Trend
High
Med
High
Low
Med
High
High
Positive
Mixed
Negative
6. Earnings Announcements
7. Industry Investments
8. Payments Industry SecurityHigh
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
9
2015 Payments Industry YTD Yields
Sources: Company releases, Morningstar.com, Bloomberg.com, Coinbase.
2015 YTD yield excludes dividends; based on 12/31/14 and 12/31/15 closing prices.
Q4 did us as few favors as Q3; this includes the meager FDC and Square IPO yields but also the rich payoff
provided by the Global Payments bid for Heartland. So, why is this important? Ten years ago, it wouldn’t have been
but today’s mega-complex of payments scheme providers and hangers-on makes for a respectable investment
opportunity and attracts VC and PE firms in droves. As entrepreneurial readers will point out, this business runs on
investment dollars until the transactions materialize. Oh, and while the Dow took back 2.5 percent in 2015, our all-in
average yield before dividends was 7.7 percent. Bitcoin haters might take note of the resurgence BTC experienced
for the year – a hedge against traditional tender, or just a fluke? YGIAGAM.
Industry Player 12/31/2014 12/31/2015 Price r Cap Value r YTD 2015 Yield
Alliance Data Systems 284.05$ 276.57$ (7.48)$ (445.1)$ -2.6%
American Express 93.03$ 69.55$ (23.48)$ (25,353.0)$ -25.2%
Blackhawk Network Holdings 38.92$ 44.21$ 5.29$ 276.7$ 13.6%
Cardtronics 38.58$ 33.65$ (4.93)$ (200.7)$ -12.8%
Discover Financial Services 65.50$ 53.63$ (11.87)$ (5,708.3)$ -18.1%
Euronet Worldwide 54.90$ 72.43$ 17.53$ 883.5$ 31.9%
Fidelity National Information Services 62.21$ 60.56$ (1.65)$ (314.8)$ -2.7%
First Data (Since IPO) 15.75$ 16.03$ 0.28$ 50.4$ 1.8%
Fiserv Inc. 70.97$ 91.46$ 20.49$ 5,214.5$ 28.9%
Everi (fka GCA) 7.17$ 4.39$ (2.78)$ (214.4)$ -38.8%
Heartland Payment Systems M/A Pending 53.94$ 94.81$ 40.87$ 1,528.5$ 75.8%
Jack Henry & Associates 62.14$ 78.06$ 15.92$ 1,335.7$ 25.6%
MasterCard Worldwide 86.18$ 97.43$ 11.25$ 18,112.5$ 13.1%
MoneyGram International 9.09$ 6.27$ (2.82)$ (163.2)$ -31.0%
PayPal 41.60$ 36.20$ (5.40)$ (6,588.0)$ -13.0%
Square (Since IPO) 12.80$ 13.04$ 0.24$ 78.5$ 1.9%
Total System Services 33.95$ 49.80$ 15.85$ 5,197.8$ 46.7%
Western Union 17.91$ 17.92$ 0.01$ 5.7$ 0.1%
Vantiv 33.95$ 47.42$ 13.47$ 3,340.3$ 39.7%
Visa 65.55$ 77.55$ 12.00$ 10,150.8$ 18.3%
.
Bitcoin Closing Price 315.95$ 430.05$ 114.10$ 36.1%
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
10
Interesting News This Quarter
Subject Source/Date Substance
Samsung Finextra
January
The Consumer Electronics Show is always good for a couple chuckles and 2016 has started off on
the right foot. Samsung has partnered with MasterCard to deliver it’s pay-by-fridge solution for
harried households incapable of making out a shopping list. The new Samsung refrigerator comes
complete with a HUGE tablet in the appliance door that allows consumers to order and pay for
household groceries as supplies dwindle. FreshDirect and ShopRite are early partners in the
Samsung Family Hub ice box while MasterCard has trotted out its marketing team to brand the
offering “Groceries by MasterCard.” Wait, it gets better. The refrigerator has a camera in it so
homeowners can use a mobile app to “visualize” what’s in the box when ordering. Does this mean
that the light is always on? Gotta love the Internet of Things!
MasterCard Finextra
January
On a more serious note, MasterCard has come out swinging in the impendingslugfest for control
over payments made with wearable devices. MA has inked a partnership deal with Coin (heads up:
these things usually wind up being acquisitions), the startup that recently launched its multi-card
product (which, by the way, works like a dream.) Coin has considerable experience in
miniaturization of payments componentry and MasterCard is betting that being there first with
device partners like Atlas Wearables (fitness), Moov (training), and Omate (fashion smartwatches)
will solidify its claim to the wearables payments space.
Moven Bank Innovation
January
Bank want-to-be, Moven continues to redefine financial services with a new program that promotes
merchantproducts to the startup’s base of depositors. The latest offering includes four firms: Blue
Apron and Handy deliver food and cleaning plus handyman services while Cups and Arcade offer
discounts on coffee and restaurant meals. Earlier consumer-friendly Moven initiatives include gift
accounts and a referral service. What’s next, toasters?
Mozido
TabbedOut
Presser
October
Two TrendWatch favorites, Mozido and TabbedOut have partnered to enhance consumer dining
experiences through use of the TabbedOut mobile app. Mozido adds the ability to join restaurant
wait lists, make reservations and split the bill and pay to TabbedOut’s complement of services –
deal finding, restaurant locations, food ordering and bill review. Both companies have found each
other in their respective quests to saturate the value chains in consumer verticals, a match made in
heaven.
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
11
Interesting News This Quarter – Continued
Subject Source/Date Substance
Tender Armor PayBefore
December
There’s a new tool available for combating card not present (CNP) fraud. Or so claims new market
entrantTender Armor. The company’s service dubbed CvvPlus generates a daily security code sent to
enrolled consumers via text or email. The daily code is used in place of the on-card CVV when online
purchases are made or when ordering by telephone. Prepaid card scheme provider InComm will be
integratingthe service with its GPR cards beginning in 2016. We hope this works; Lord knows we’re
going to need it when issuers and retailers become EMV-compliant one of these days.
MagSpoof Wired
November
There’s a $10 tool in the wild that can make our lives hell. MagSpoof can predict the next number in a
sequence of PANs. Big deal, you say? What if the number being solved for is the new American
Express card you are about to receive after losing your current card? The device is about the size of a
quarter and is loaded with a learning algorithm to determine what your new card number will be. So, the
fraudster holding your old card and a MagSpoof tool is set to go on another shopping spree even after
your old card has been blocked. Hopefully, APX and others have gotten wind of MagSpoof and fixed
their systems. Anyone willing to bet not?
Campus Card Programs CU Times
December
Remember when you could have a credit card that would benefit your alma mater? Not so much these
days, it seems. Thank the CARD Act. Card issuer payments to universities in the U.S. plummeted by
60 percent in 2014 according to the CFPB due, in large part, to the CARD Act’s new reporting
requirements. Meanwhile, Capital One, a long time backer of Campus Card Programs, left the market
in 2014 and Bank of America has cut is number of programs by 50 percent. Credit unions have stepped
in to fill part of the void but are targeting alumni associations instead of colleges to avoid the specter
(and CFPB purview) of extending credit card offers to students. More than one way to skin a cat, they
say.
Money Transfer Industry BI Intelligence
January
Our 2016 prediction regarding the MTS industry notwithstanding, there may be good reason to weigh
the opportunity cautiously. The CFPB announced this month that complaints lodged againstMoney
Transfer Industry players rose by 49 percent in 2015 compared to the prior year. Eighty percent of the
filings named Western Union, MoneyGram, PayPal and Chase. Most of the complaints centered on the
level of fees charged. Doesn’t it follow, though, that the number of complaints would track with the
growth in service volume? We think so but suggest that FIs and merchants interested in the sector recall
past CFPB behavior as consumer claims begin to mount. In short, it isn’t pretty.
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
12
Interesting News This Quarter – Continued
Subject Source/Date Substance
Coinbase BI Intelligence
November
Coinbase is the largest provider of Bitcoin denominated wallets with 2.8 million in existence; existence that is,
but not necessarily use. Absence of usage makes the retailer community nervous so Coinbase now offers a
Bitcoin Visa debit card in hopes that the volume will climb. The thought is that the new form factor will
increase system symmetry and drag along more merchant acceptance. Good thought; and good luck.
Fed Faster Payments Presser
October
Over 300 payments executives have been meeting by telephone and in person in an effort to build a framework
of criteria for use in crafting a newer, faster, payments system for the United States. It seems, however, that a
couple of industry players, FIS and The Clearing House, have jumped the gun with a preemptive move on the
Fed Faster Payments initiative. The two companies have announced plans to team for the creation of a
“ubiquitous real-time payment system for the United States.” For its part, FIS has a wealth of experience in
faster payments, having engineered a similar offering in the UK. TCH announced its intentionsto change the
playing field in payments over six months ago so this teaming effort should come as no surprise. Unless, of
course, you’re the Fed.
Early Warning Services Presser
November
Early Warning Services has partnered with Fiserv to provide the mega-processor with real-time verification
and funds availability services to enhance its existing NOW Network. The lash-up brings real-time bill payment
and deposit services to 50 percent of the country’s 12,000 banks and credit unions. An added dimension is that
bill payments feature loops in the SMB segment, a key factor in payments acceleration according to research
conducted in 2014 by none other than the Fed. Are we looking at a potential second respondent to the Fed’s
Faster Payments RFP when its released later this year? We’re counting on it. No one likes a one horse race.
Financial Innovation
Now
Presser
November
Sorry for being single-threaded but there’s another BB rolling around the Fed Faster Payments ballroom that
needs some air time. Financial Innovation Now is a consortium of Amazon, Apple, Google, Intuit, and PayPal
that has been formed to “. . . . promote policies to help foster greater innovation in financial services.” Hmm, no
bankers, processors, card companies, and other framers of the status quo have been invited to play. Favorite
policies the coalition wants to promote include (in its words): a) establishing the trust and safety of new
technologies, b) reducing barriers and enhancing system access for the underserved, c) enabling real-time
payments, d) expanding the consumer and small business lending marketplace, and e) unlocking the power of
financial applications. It has yet to be seen if FIN (catchy acronym) will be an advocacy group for new
regulations or yet another Fed Faster Payments RFP respondent (wouldn’t that be a hoot?)
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
Interesting News This Quarter – Continued
13
Subject Source/Date Substance
Apple ATM
Marketplace
January
ATM Marketplace cites a Quartz news outlet discovery of an Apple patent which might extend the iPhone
manufacturer’s reach in payments. The patent specifies how iPhone users could transfer funds among one another
using text, phone calls, or email. If the company proceeds with the offering, Apple could become a competitor to
Venmo and Square Cash along with a half dozen other players. There’s always room in the pool for one more, we
think.
JPMorgan Chase Finextra
October
JPMorgan Chase blows the doors off of the 2015 Money/2020 conference, twice. First, it announces the launch of
Chase Pay, it’s proprietary payments scheme for bank customers. When teamed with ChaseNet, the solution brings
benefits to both consumers and merchants, a concept lost on other mobile scheme operators. Second, Chase Pay has
become a premier partner with MCX, bringingWalmart, BestBuy, Shell and Target into the fold. Chase’s
announcementsraise a number of key questions about the technology (QR versus NFC), the future for
PayPal/Paydiant, and why it is going to take six to nine months for things to crystallize (after all, the MCX retailers
already have the scanners needed for Chase Pay?) Odd bedfellows or not, the Chase Pay/MCX move may change the
course of payments history. Then again, there’s the Sony Betamax and Walkman tales to learn from.
In a subsequent press release, Chase announced that it has partnered with P97 Networks to attack a problem that has
been bedeviling mobile payments (and EMV) for quite some time. P97’s Petrozone platform brings pay at the pump
convenience to gasoline retailers and benefits consumers wishing to use their smartphones as a payments form factor.
Slick as STP.
OmnyPay Mobile Payments
Today
October
Speaking of retailers and payments, OmnyPay has positioned itself as the retailers’ friend in mobile payments. Led
by three VeriFone veterans include Bill Melton, OmnyPay is a private label solution designed to “re-gain customer
loyalty lost to others.” Actual payments run on existing rails and the solution is integrated with existing POS systems
and backend analytics. Like other new entrants, OmnyPay takes advantage of existing scanner technology by using
QR codes. Competition is always good, they say, and we think any Melton-backed venture is hard to bet against.
Diebold ATM
Marketplace
October
What goes around, comes around. Decades ago, a very large Japanese company with very little ATM market share
(Omron) piloted an ATM that had no screen or keypad. It didn’t do so well because it was ahead of its time. Diebold,
the ATM industry giant, has taken the “less is more” concept a bit further and debuted a new device with no screen,
PIN pad, receipt printer or card reader. The “Irving” ATM uses both NFC and QR code technology for transactions.
(Iris-scan technology is also available for truly puckered up security worrywarts.) Good ideas are infrequently new;
merely recycled.
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
Interesting News This Quarter – Continued
14
Subject Source/Date Substance
Early Warning Services PYMNTS.com
October
Early Warning Services, the fraud prevention firm owned by a coalition of banks including Wells Fargo, Bank
of America, JPMorgan Chase, BB&T and Capital One, repositions Authentify, a company it acquired last April.
The new posture for Authentify combines multiple authentication layers into a single offering. Users can draw
on biometrics, NFC, two-factor, out-of-band (voice and text), and device binding to assure themselves that the
customer is, in fact, the customer. The offering moves the company farther out in the payments spectrum from
fraud prevention to fraud blocking, a not-so-subtle differentiation. Clever.
MCX Mobile Payments
Today
October
Well before the Chase Pay connection with MCX was made public, MCX, the retailer consortium for mobile
payments, announced a new relationshipwith Buy It Mobility Network, a TrendWatch 2.0 favorite. MCX will
use BIM technology to securely link consumer checking accounts to the CurrentC mobile wallet. The rationale
is elegantly put by the coalition’s CEO, Brian Mooney. “With BIM’s technology and ability to pay via a
checking account, consumers will soon have several options for paying for goods and services using CurrentC.”
(Emphasisadded.) Startup BIM already has 3.0 million customers using its platform so there’s an opportunity
to give CurrentC a bit more bulk from the get-go.
Walmart BI Intelligence
December
We conclude this quarter’s breezy news section with a hat-tip to Walmart. The largest U.S. grocery (among
other things) retailer announced that Walmart Pay will soon be imbedded in the existing Walmart app; good
news for the 22 million active app users. Tender types include the usual credit, debit and prepaid brands and
Walmart gift cards. Walmart Pay is QR code-based (not surprising)so existing store equipment will be
sufficient. Almost immediately following the announcement, industry pundits began writing about the demise
of CurrentC, the MCX offering long underwritten by Walmart and other major retailers. We’re not so sure; at
least not in the short term. Walmart Pay won’t be in full roll-out for another six months – similar to the
theoretical timing for Chase Pay. If both efforts (and others with similar timelines) stay on track, the summer of
‘16 might rival that of ‘67. (Millennials can Google that veiled reference to a happier time.)
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
15
M&A/Alliance Activity
Buyer/Investor Target Payments Emphasis Possible Strategy
Santander Ripple Cryptocurrency In keeping with our 2016 prediction, Spain-based Santander Group
has invested $4.0 million as part of Ripple’s $32 million Series A
round. The bank is not part of the R3 consortium of banks formed to
explore the options blockchain provides the financial services
industry; it appears to have already drunk the Kool Aid. Ripple also
announced “foreign exchange” and “currency exchange” solutions
concurrent with the new funding round.
Dan Henry,
MATH Venture
Partners
CardFlight mPOS terminals Seasoned entrepreneur, Dan Henry (ex-CEO of NetSpend) joins
others in a $4.2 million funding round for CardFlight, a developer of
mPOS terminals based on tablets and smartphones. This is one of
several funding rounds involving the terminal segment made in Q4 .
Since it’s a pretty safe bet that we won’t see a mobile payments
leader or standard soon, using these adaptable technologies for POS
acceptance sure looks like a sound bet.
Route 66 Ventures,
Anthemis Group,
Moneytime Ventures,
others
Moven Mobile banking platform Moven, the non-bank backed by CBW Bank of Weir, Kansas offers
free mobile banking services and supports decoupled debit.
Depositors receive fee-free ATM access plus budgeting tools and
PFM services. Returning investors pony up $12 million in Series B
financing to support Brett King’s non-branching “bank.” Simple, a
Moven competitor, was bought by BBVA for $117 million in 2014;
lot’s of money in the business of banking these days.
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
16
M&A/Alliance Activity - Continued
Buyer/Investor Target Payments Emphasis Possible Strategy
Oak HC/FT,
Stanford-StartX
Fund, Matrix
Partners, others
Poynt mPOS terminals Poynt, the mPOS terminal company launched by Osama Bedier two years
ago, gathers up another $28 million in capitalization funds to support a
manufacturing ramp-up. Mr. Bedier is the former Google executive charged
with getting Google Wallet off the ground. The Poynt terminal is also EMV
ready so folks who left their mobile phones behind (perish the thought) can
also insert their chip cards (assuming their bank is EMV compliant). We’ll
say it again, there’s lots of money in terminals.
Crosslink Capital,
Wildcat Venture
Partners, Leapfrog
Ventures,
Correlation Partners
Zebit Credit card program Zebit is a service offered by employers to employees who fall into the
underserved category. Users receive credit card-like purchasing benefits for
goods offered through the Zebit Market and pay zero interest on their
purchases. Series A investors like the concept and have added $10 million to
the company’s coffers to finance working capital and for platform expansion
opportunities. Product lines participating in the Zebit Market include
Panasonic, Canon, Garmin, HP, LG, Cuisinart, and others. Bankers looking
to make a play in the emerging FinTech world might take a look here.
Simon Williams,
Camelot Financial
Capital Management
NerdWallet Financial services
information
It’s not a wallet in the truest sense but NerdWallet does contain value. The
four year old company attempts to provide unbiased information in response
to the 30 million-plus inquiries it receives each year from consumers looking
for help. An ex-Citibank executive invests $5.0 million to raise total Series
A capitalization to $69 million. A whole lot of money for answering
questions.
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
17
M&A/Alliance Activity - Continued
Buyer/Investor Target Payments
Emphasis
Possible Strategy
Visa Inc. Visa Europe Payments scheme Visa Inc. does what it should have done when it went public in 2007 and acquires
Visa Europe for €21.2 billion. All the regulatory approvals will take nine more
months to complete – why is this so hard? V Europe owners will reap a huge
windfall gain just like US banks did from the 2007 IPO. One downside of the deal
for the US parent is the removal of the regulatory moat the Atlantic Ocean has
provided for the past few decades. The indirect consequences of new regulatory
exposure could be considerable for Visa as suggested by the recent ruling on
interchange in Europe; 20 bps for debit and 30 bps for credit. Yikes.
Dead Pool Amazon
Register
POS device It took Amazon just 18 months to realize that it’s not particularly good at the brick
and mortar side of things. The company has dropped its Amazon Register device,
a dongle and application which allowed merchants to plug the reader into a tablet
or smartphone and accept plastic payments. Even its impressive pricing (100 bps
below the rest) couldn’t save the effort. Meanwhile, Amazon is also dumping its
daily deals and Amazon Local app to become more svelte for 2016.
Heartland Payments Digital
Dining
Restaurant POS systems Heartland does another dive into the hospitality vertical and buys Digital Dining, a
provider of restaurant POS acceptance and management services. Heartland
already has 130,000 restaurants and suppliers in its stable and Digital Dining ups
its market share and brings along new hospitality tools that HPY was missing.
Good move.
Securitas Diebold’s
electronic
security
business line
Electronic security Sweden-based Securitas makes a bold move into the U.S. electronic security realm
by acquiring ATM giant Diebold’s business line for approximately $350 million or
roughly one times revenues. Diebold was the third largest provider of these
services and the buyer gets 1,100 employees and 55,000 monitored customer
locations. Wonder what Diebold is going to do with the cash?
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
M&A/Alliance Activity - Continued
18
Buyer/Investor Target Payments Emphasis Possible Strategy
Columbia Pacific
Advisors, Fenway
Summer Ventures
CARD.com Mobile banking platform Is there a pattern developing here? CARD.com offers banking services to
consumers equipped with a mobile phone and debit card. This prepaid debit
card offeror (The Bancorp Bank is the issuer) is posting high marks for funds
gathered ($450 million) and month-over-month new account openings as it
competes in the non-branch banking space. Sadly, there’s an overly cute
twist to CARD.com; it has licensed characters from Fox, DreamWorks and
others to attract the hipster set with quaint card designs.
KPCB Align
Commerce
Blockchain payments Kleiner Perkins offers up $12.5 million to help Align Commerce penetrate
the SMB market for foreign and domestic peer-to-peer transfers for B2B
purchases. The Align system confirms the invoice issued by the seller who
receives an email advice. The funds are then remitted locally and settled with
the seller in its local currency. Align isn’t the first to use blockchain
technology to emulate the Western Union model, nor will it be the last.
Q2 Holdings Social Money Digital banking software Bank software provider, Q2, buys Social Money, the inventor of SmartyPig,
among other business lines. SmartyPig is a goals-based savings program
offered by banks who utilized Social Money’s other direct-to-digital banking
platforms. SM offers a real-time core product named CorePro, the real
nugget in the $10.6 million deal. Appropriately, Social Money and
SmartyPig are headquartered in Iowa, hog heaven.
Diebold Wincor
Nixdorf
ATM manufacturing So, here’s where Diebold is parking its money (and a bit more) received in
the Securitas deal. The long rumored takeover of Wincor Nixdorf by
someone will cost Diebold $1.8 billion. WN has sold one million ATMs
around the world and had recently suffered earnings declines. The combined
company will be branded as Diebold Nixdorf. Hope this isn’t the case of the
weaker becoming strong through affiliation. Tough industry these days.
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
M&A/Alliance Activity - Continued
19
Buyer/Investor Target Payments Emphasis Possible Strategy
GoCoin Ziftr Cryptocurrency processing GoCoin is one of three processors who handle three off-brand digital
currencies – Litecoin, Dogecoin, and Tether. Ziftr is a credit card processor.
The business combination creates a company that will offer a Swiss Army
knife-like digital wallet complete with Visa, MasterCard and blockchain
currency options. GoCoin made headlines last year when it integrated with
Shopify’s e-commerce platform and cut a deal with Apriva. GoCoin’s
merchant base is pretty small – 12,000 – so there’s lots of room for growth.
Or, so the story goes.
TransUnion Trustev Fraud protection There big money in fraud (protection) they say and one of the Big 3 in credit
data reporting firms, TransUnion, wants a piece of the action. The recently
IPO-ed TU pays $44 million for Ireland’s Trustev so that it can expand its
presence in e-commerce fraud detection and protection. Trustev uses
behavior analysis and machine learning tools to build threat matrices which
should help TransUnion with its already robust anti-fraud offerings.
Global Payments Heartland
Payment
Systems
Merchant services
processing
We never saw this one coming (others, yes, but not this one.) Global
Payments will pay $4.3 billion for Heartland in a deal which still has some
regulatory hurdles to clear but should make shareholders of both companies
happy. The combined company will generate $3.0 billion in revenues and
$1.0 billion in EBITDA, annually. One downside of the deal is that
Heartland’s CEO, Robert O. Carr might become less vocal on payments
industry issues and that would be a bad thing. Good luck, gentlemen.
Investors like us WorldPay and
First Data
Payments processors Two industry giants re-entered onto the publicly traded scene in Q4.
WorldPay squeezed out $3.3 billion in its IPO while First Data ginned up
nearly $2.6 billion. Total capitalization for both remains a bit murky because
of legacy ownership trails but at least there will be a bit more transparency as
each slug it out in an evermore competitive corral.
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
M&A/Alliance Activity - Continued
20
Buyer/Investor Target Payments Emphasis Possible Strategy
Bessemer Venture
Partners, GV
(formerly Google
Ventures), others
Toast POS terminals Four year old startup, Toast, rounds up $30 million in Series B funding to
expand its Android-based tablet POS system from today’s 1,400
installations across 43 states to the rest of the world. Toast focuses on the
food and hospitality sector and competes with Square Stand, Revel Systems,
and First Data’s Clover. Heady competition, to be sure, but Toast thinks
that its Android platform is superior to existing iPad offerings. Time will
tell.
CVC Capital
Partners
Kount Fraud detection/prevention Boise-based Kount offers online and mobile fraud detection services for the
retail, financial services, and gaming industries. CVC recognizes the
company for its current offerings with Chase Paymentech, New Balance,
Spotify, Braintree and other marquee players and invests $80 million to
accelerate innovation and to provide better customer support. Lots of
money in fraud prevention, we say, again.
Corazon Capital,
Charge Ventures,
others
DipJar Digital donations and tips We regretted losing TipJar three years ago; it seems the concept of paying
for digital content was just too early. Now, DipJar has surfaced and has
raised $2.4 million in VC funding. DipJar provides digital boxes to allow
tips and donations to be made by consumers wanting to use a credit or debit
card to show their appreciation and largess. Tips and donations represent a
significant slice of the world’s trade and companies like DipJar will ensure
that it stays that way as consumers shy away from carrying cash.
Early Warning
Services
clearXchange Digital payments network Fraud prevention and risk management titan, Early Warning, will acquire
clearXchange, the digital payments network formed in 2011 by six large
U.S. banks. EWS is owned by most of the clearXchange banks and the
others will fold into the combined ownership group. All FIs will be able to
participate in the resulting effort to bring a new, safer and faster payments
system to the United States. Looks like there will be at least three
respondents to the Fed’s Faster Payments RFP.
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
21
Useful Links for More Information
Here are some companies that haven’t received press coverage lately but which are
worth a look-see.
Company Role Link
SOLE Payroll card program with portability
features
www.solepaycard.com
Backbase Digital banking platform with super
analytics and end-user marketing
campaigns. 60+ FI clients and 70
million enrolled users.
www.backbase.com
Billhighway Nonprofit and association focused
payments integration platforms designed
to enable periodic payments (i.e., dues)
and donation campaigns.
www.billhighway.com
Chargebacks911 Chargeback remediation system
designed with merchants selling big
ticket items in mind. Impressive ROI
warranty program.
www.chargebacks911.com
Dorado Industries
655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P
Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274
(310) 544-1316
jmacallister@doradoindustries.com
www.doradoindustries.com
Back in the day!
22
Tsk, tsk. Nobody even bothered to Google the answer to last
quarter’s trivia contest. The Viewtron videotext partners were
AT&T and Knight Ridder newspapers. Damn, it’s a terrible
burden having a brain bucket cluttered with useless facts.
(Don’t ask me to reel off the birthdays of my grandchildren,
though.)
This quarter’s trivia question comes out of the same bucket
and targets the non-millennial set.
Who is the woman pictured here and what word did she add
to the lexicon of computer programming?
First correct email response wins some Dorado-wear.
Good luck!

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Dorado TrendWatch Q4 2015

  • 1. Payments System Industry Synopsis Notice: Materials contained in this document are drawn from several media sources, and Dorado Industries is not responsible for their accuracy. Opinions expressed herein are presented without warranty. Brand names are the trademarks of their respective service offerors. TrendWatch 2.0 Q4 2015
  • 2. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com Random Thoughts So Much for Exclusivity Americans just don’t care for exclusive arrangements, it seems. Indeed, we prefer choices. For instance, when given an opportunity to rid ourselves of the highly regulated and heavy-handed taxi industry, we jumped at the chance and supported Uber and Lyft. In San Francisco, our support was so strong that the largest cab company is near filing for Chapter 11 and, in New York City, the value of a taxi medallion has fallen by 40 percent. See? Choices work. We’ve seen this American characteristic in payments for decades. “What do you mean you only accept Visa?” was heard loud and clear by merchants in the 1970s, and duality ensued. When Visa and MasterCard planned to jointly launch their Entrée debit card in 1987 to protect their credit card franchises, merchants (and Attorneys General for 11 states) said “thanks, but no thanks” and the 45 debit card networks in existence at the time continued to provide consumer and merchant choice. Recently, merchants have begun to recall the consumer penchant for choice and have been signing up for multiple mobile payments schemes in addition to their own in-app payment programs. Why? Because there are a number of us Americans who prefer to do things our way, not just Dunkin Donuts’, Subway’s, or Walmart’s. In the case of Walmart, consumers thankfully have lots of options ranging from Walmart Pay to MasterPass with MCX CurrentC in the middle. And, Dunkin Donuts is now an Apple Pay merchant while Subway is covering its bets by taking both Android and Apple Pay. Try as they might to stake out exclusive deals with, say, appliance manufacturers in the IoT world, or wearable startups in hipster land, payments schemes and card brands will continue to be taught the lesson that Americans hate the notion of “one size fits all.” And, that’s good for everyone; save for two, maybe. 2 Fan Boy? No, But Close We don’t even like the term but when it comes to what we see in JPMorgan Chase, we’re treading dangerously close to earning the title. Consider: Chase cut a ten-year deal with Visa in 2013 that gave it a copy of VisaNet. With the stroke of pen, the bank formed its own closed-loop network giving it an edge on the merchant services side (the bank is zeroing in on a trillion dollars in annual processing volume) and the ability to learn even more about its depositors’ purchasing activity. Consider: The bank feels emboldened enough to launch Chase Pay, an Apple, Android, Samsung (et al) Pay competitor and designed it to work in the QR code environment. And, while the jury is still out on QR versus NFC (or HCE), it’s tough to quibble with the decision because of what Chase did next. Consider: The bank signs up with MCX to become that mobile payments coalition’s premier partner. Prior to doing the deal with Chase, MCX found itself in an asymmetrical situation, i.e., no issuers. Given Chase’s girth in the card world, the bank has rubbed some salve on the coalition’s problem. When you sum it all up, Chase has taken a very bold step in payments (mobile and otherwise) – one with a ton of risk, mind you – but, isn’t it about time somebody stopped the dithering? Sage moves or not on Chase’s part, at least somebody else sees the folly of banks and merchants spitting from the sidelines while card brands, processors, and others play Lawn Darts with the payments industry. So it goes; off to a marathon. Until next time.
  • 3. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com 3 Table of Contents 2015 Predictions Re-visited 4 2016 Predictions 7 TrendWatch Scorecard/Summary 8 2015 Payments Industry Yields 9 Interesting Quarterly News That Got No Respect 10 Q4 M&A/Investor Activity 15 Useful Links for Quieter Companies 21 Back in the Day! 22
  • 4. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com 2015 Predictions Re-visited • While a Herfindahl index analysis of the third party EFT processor segment might suggest no further mergers would pass the DoJ sniff test, that’s not the case for merchant services players. There should be room for two more major M&A transactions. One will occur in 2015. Mar: Nothing so far. No guts, no glory. Jun: Well, this is going nowhere fast. A couple of small plays but nothing to write home about. Sep: Another round of foreign currency devaluations should do it. Check out the “Industry Yields” page. Dec: Half credit for the Global Payments/Heartland deal? • Two digital wallet providers will fold up their tents and return to the desert. Mar: Softcard is the first to go; Loop Pay became Samsung Pay (doesn’t count). Still waiting for number two. Jun: Delays in Android Pay and Samsung Pay launches to Q4 gives new life for a few of the hangers-on. Sep: Nothing this quarter; Christmas season will take its toll. Dec: Didn’t happen. This prediction resurfaces in 2016 with a broader meaning. • At least one mobile network operator (MNO) will leave the playing field for the sidelines. Mar: Could claim victory with the players in Softcard but that’s not fair. Still waiting for a hard fall. Jun: Still waiting for one of the southern U.S. MNOs to make a move. Sep: (Aug) Apple’s entrance as an MVNO may spur someone to exit stage left. Dec: Blew this one too. Still, do we really need a jillion wallets and MNOs? We think not. 4
  • 5. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com More 2015 Predictions Re-visited • Trade and popular press scribes will hail the three joint ventures that will occur in 2015 between issuers (or their processors) and retailers. Mar: Jungle drums are beating but, as yet, no major announcements. Jun: Walmart/Green Dot re-up agreement doesn’t count but it looks a lot like what will happen. Sep: AXP cuts a deal with Sam’s Club after being shown the door by Costco. Dec: Guess the JPMorgan Chase/MCX deal makes two. • A truly viable mobile payments solution for owners of Android phones will arrive late in 2015 to compete with iOS (and Apple Pay.) Mar: Acquisition of Loop Pay by Samsung sort of fits the bill but not quite. Google’s acquisition of the Softcard carcass sort of fits the bill but not quite either. Still waiting. Jun: Android Pay, though delayed, will give consumers something to consider. Merchant acceptance will be the kicker. Sep: Samsung Pay went live September 28, a bit light on issuers. Android Pay took its first breath on September 10. So far, Atlas hasn’t shrugged. Dec: So, how does Walmart Pay fit in? Could make the iOS/Android speculation irrelevant. • Try as it might (e.g., Buy With Twitter) to reverse its waning fortunes, Twitter’s year on year growth will be one-half its current rate of 30 percent. Mar: No statistics as yet but anecdotal evidence suggests that Twitter volume is on the wane. Probably a Q4 prediction. Jun: Holding firm on this one until Twitter proves us wrong. Daily volume looks way down. Sep: (Aug 3) Twitter shares hit an all time low since its IPO on a disappointing forecast and remain in the dumps. Dec: Millennials tell us Twitter is for “dinosaurs.” So there you have it. 5
  • 6. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com More 2015 Predictions Re-visited 6 • There is a deal to be had between MCX (CurrentC) and a banking consortium and it will be announced late in 2015. Mar: MCX claims that issuers are lining up. Where, it won’t say. Jun: Maybe the new leadership will warm up to the idea of a banking consortium becoming a partner. Sep: Ohio CurrentC beta should tell the tale. Dec: Bingo! Chase and ChaseNet sign up with MCX. • Clinkle will disappear; but in a blaze of glory. Mar: Still taking nourishment but through a straw. Jun: Clinkle staffing down to about a dozen after seven key employees marched out en mass in May over sellout rumors centered on Apple. Sep: Still here, but hanging by a mere thread. Dec: Geez, who’s the EMT crew giving these guys life support? Guess we blew this one too. It’s probably all those Stanford students collecting their just desserts from Iowa Hawkeyes on Rose Bowl game wagers. Now, that there was a blaze of glory!
  • 7. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com 2016 Predictions • The Big Three – Alphabet, Apple, and Facebook – will go on an acquisition tear in the payments arena to put some distance between each other and the rest of the pack. • Lesser known payments schemes will begin closing up shop. • VC/PE interest in payments startups will diminish while traditional bankers will step in with partnership and investment deals. • Despite intrigue created by CFPB’s interest in foreign transfers, the cross-border money movement sector will heat up – new players and some M&A. • Banks and credit unions will throw caution to the wind and begin offering their depositors proprietary branded digital wallets to combat the zeal merchants have for steering customer loyalty. • In another search for scale, two established merchant services processors will merge. • Blockchain will remain the new “glowing object on the horizon” but efforts to institutionalize it will not move the needle much in 2016. • In-app payment options (e.g., “One Click” by Amazon) will go on autopilot and become less of an “end” and more of a “means to an end.” 7
  • 8. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com 8 TrendWatch Scorecard/Summary – Q4 2015 Market & Industry Situation 1 – Chase Pay and Walmart Pay will soon be in the wild. Let the games begin. 2 – Check out what Diebold and NCR are doing; very cool. 3 – Huge pops in volume over the Christmas season. 4 – It’s an election year; no news, no nothing. Except for CFPB. 5 – Another good, but not great, year but some super big IPOs. 6 – Everyone’s making money, it seems. Except China. 7 – FinTech companies continue to probe ways to peel off some of the payments sector income. 8 – Companies that haven’t gotten the message will have a hard time in 2016. Fortunately, there are some folks that take this stuff seriously. Industry Players To Watch “The Pays”: The summer of 2016 is shaping up to be a real slugfest. MCX: When it’s the contrarians that are saying a company will survive, it’s not a good sign. Apple: Not that Apple gives a whit about share price but current pressure may force the company to accelerate its Watch and iPhone plans. Fed Faster Payments: The vote’s been taken and, though nothing’s public yet, it’s a safe bet that there’s a consensus on direction in place. Every Retailer With In-app Payments: Choice or no choice? Tough call for a number of ideology-driven merchants. The Internet of Things: If your refrigerator can pay for your milk, will your toaster order the Pop Tarts? 5. New Venture Growth 4. Legal/Regulatory Issues 1. New Payment Forms 2. ATM Restructuring 3. POS Volume Trend High Med High Low Med High High Positive Mixed Negative 6. Earnings Announcements 7. Industry Investments 8. Payments Industry SecurityHigh
  • 9. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com 9 2015 Payments Industry YTD Yields Sources: Company releases, Morningstar.com, Bloomberg.com, Coinbase. 2015 YTD yield excludes dividends; based on 12/31/14 and 12/31/15 closing prices. Q4 did us as few favors as Q3; this includes the meager FDC and Square IPO yields but also the rich payoff provided by the Global Payments bid for Heartland. So, why is this important? Ten years ago, it wouldn’t have been but today’s mega-complex of payments scheme providers and hangers-on makes for a respectable investment opportunity and attracts VC and PE firms in droves. As entrepreneurial readers will point out, this business runs on investment dollars until the transactions materialize. Oh, and while the Dow took back 2.5 percent in 2015, our all-in average yield before dividends was 7.7 percent. Bitcoin haters might take note of the resurgence BTC experienced for the year – a hedge against traditional tender, or just a fluke? YGIAGAM. Industry Player 12/31/2014 12/31/2015 Price r Cap Value r YTD 2015 Yield Alliance Data Systems 284.05$ 276.57$ (7.48)$ (445.1)$ -2.6% American Express 93.03$ 69.55$ (23.48)$ (25,353.0)$ -25.2% Blackhawk Network Holdings 38.92$ 44.21$ 5.29$ 276.7$ 13.6% Cardtronics 38.58$ 33.65$ (4.93)$ (200.7)$ -12.8% Discover Financial Services 65.50$ 53.63$ (11.87)$ (5,708.3)$ -18.1% Euronet Worldwide 54.90$ 72.43$ 17.53$ 883.5$ 31.9% Fidelity National Information Services 62.21$ 60.56$ (1.65)$ (314.8)$ -2.7% First Data (Since IPO) 15.75$ 16.03$ 0.28$ 50.4$ 1.8% Fiserv Inc. 70.97$ 91.46$ 20.49$ 5,214.5$ 28.9% Everi (fka GCA) 7.17$ 4.39$ (2.78)$ (214.4)$ -38.8% Heartland Payment Systems M/A Pending 53.94$ 94.81$ 40.87$ 1,528.5$ 75.8% Jack Henry & Associates 62.14$ 78.06$ 15.92$ 1,335.7$ 25.6% MasterCard Worldwide 86.18$ 97.43$ 11.25$ 18,112.5$ 13.1% MoneyGram International 9.09$ 6.27$ (2.82)$ (163.2)$ -31.0% PayPal 41.60$ 36.20$ (5.40)$ (6,588.0)$ -13.0% Square (Since IPO) 12.80$ 13.04$ 0.24$ 78.5$ 1.9% Total System Services 33.95$ 49.80$ 15.85$ 5,197.8$ 46.7% Western Union 17.91$ 17.92$ 0.01$ 5.7$ 0.1% Vantiv 33.95$ 47.42$ 13.47$ 3,340.3$ 39.7% Visa 65.55$ 77.55$ 12.00$ 10,150.8$ 18.3% . Bitcoin Closing Price 315.95$ 430.05$ 114.10$ 36.1%
  • 10. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com 10 Interesting News This Quarter Subject Source/Date Substance Samsung Finextra January The Consumer Electronics Show is always good for a couple chuckles and 2016 has started off on the right foot. Samsung has partnered with MasterCard to deliver it’s pay-by-fridge solution for harried households incapable of making out a shopping list. The new Samsung refrigerator comes complete with a HUGE tablet in the appliance door that allows consumers to order and pay for household groceries as supplies dwindle. FreshDirect and ShopRite are early partners in the Samsung Family Hub ice box while MasterCard has trotted out its marketing team to brand the offering “Groceries by MasterCard.” Wait, it gets better. The refrigerator has a camera in it so homeowners can use a mobile app to “visualize” what’s in the box when ordering. Does this mean that the light is always on? Gotta love the Internet of Things! MasterCard Finextra January On a more serious note, MasterCard has come out swinging in the impendingslugfest for control over payments made with wearable devices. MA has inked a partnership deal with Coin (heads up: these things usually wind up being acquisitions), the startup that recently launched its multi-card product (which, by the way, works like a dream.) Coin has considerable experience in miniaturization of payments componentry and MasterCard is betting that being there first with device partners like Atlas Wearables (fitness), Moov (training), and Omate (fashion smartwatches) will solidify its claim to the wearables payments space. Moven Bank Innovation January Bank want-to-be, Moven continues to redefine financial services with a new program that promotes merchantproducts to the startup’s base of depositors. The latest offering includes four firms: Blue Apron and Handy deliver food and cleaning plus handyman services while Cups and Arcade offer discounts on coffee and restaurant meals. Earlier consumer-friendly Moven initiatives include gift accounts and a referral service. What’s next, toasters? Mozido TabbedOut Presser October Two TrendWatch favorites, Mozido and TabbedOut have partnered to enhance consumer dining experiences through use of the TabbedOut mobile app. Mozido adds the ability to join restaurant wait lists, make reservations and split the bill and pay to TabbedOut’s complement of services – deal finding, restaurant locations, food ordering and bill review. Both companies have found each other in their respective quests to saturate the value chains in consumer verticals, a match made in heaven.
  • 11. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com 11 Interesting News This Quarter – Continued Subject Source/Date Substance Tender Armor PayBefore December There’s a new tool available for combating card not present (CNP) fraud. Or so claims new market entrantTender Armor. The company’s service dubbed CvvPlus generates a daily security code sent to enrolled consumers via text or email. The daily code is used in place of the on-card CVV when online purchases are made or when ordering by telephone. Prepaid card scheme provider InComm will be integratingthe service with its GPR cards beginning in 2016. We hope this works; Lord knows we’re going to need it when issuers and retailers become EMV-compliant one of these days. MagSpoof Wired November There’s a $10 tool in the wild that can make our lives hell. MagSpoof can predict the next number in a sequence of PANs. Big deal, you say? What if the number being solved for is the new American Express card you are about to receive after losing your current card? The device is about the size of a quarter and is loaded with a learning algorithm to determine what your new card number will be. So, the fraudster holding your old card and a MagSpoof tool is set to go on another shopping spree even after your old card has been blocked. Hopefully, APX and others have gotten wind of MagSpoof and fixed their systems. Anyone willing to bet not? Campus Card Programs CU Times December Remember when you could have a credit card that would benefit your alma mater? Not so much these days, it seems. Thank the CARD Act. Card issuer payments to universities in the U.S. plummeted by 60 percent in 2014 according to the CFPB due, in large part, to the CARD Act’s new reporting requirements. Meanwhile, Capital One, a long time backer of Campus Card Programs, left the market in 2014 and Bank of America has cut is number of programs by 50 percent. Credit unions have stepped in to fill part of the void but are targeting alumni associations instead of colleges to avoid the specter (and CFPB purview) of extending credit card offers to students. More than one way to skin a cat, they say. Money Transfer Industry BI Intelligence January Our 2016 prediction regarding the MTS industry notwithstanding, there may be good reason to weigh the opportunity cautiously. The CFPB announced this month that complaints lodged againstMoney Transfer Industry players rose by 49 percent in 2015 compared to the prior year. Eighty percent of the filings named Western Union, MoneyGram, PayPal and Chase. Most of the complaints centered on the level of fees charged. Doesn’t it follow, though, that the number of complaints would track with the growth in service volume? We think so but suggest that FIs and merchants interested in the sector recall past CFPB behavior as consumer claims begin to mount. In short, it isn’t pretty.
  • 12. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com 12 Interesting News This Quarter – Continued Subject Source/Date Substance Coinbase BI Intelligence November Coinbase is the largest provider of Bitcoin denominated wallets with 2.8 million in existence; existence that is, but not necessarily use. Absence of usage makes the retailer community nervous so Coinbase now offers a Bitcoin Visa debit card in hopes that the volume will climb. The thought is that the new form factor will increase system symmetry and drag along more merchant acceptance. Good thought; and good luck. Fed Faster Payments Presser October Over 300 payments executives have been meeting by telephone and in person in an effort to build a framework of criteria for use in crafting a newer, faster, payments system for the United States. It seems, however, that a couple of industry players, FIS and The Clearing House, have jumped the gun with a preemptive move on the Fed Faster Payments initiative. The two companies have announced plans to team for the creation of a “ubiquitous real-time payment system for the United States.” For its part, FIS has a wealth of experience in faster payments, having engineered a similar offering in the UK. TCH announced its intentionsto change the playing field in payments over six months ago so this teaming effort should come as no surprise. Unless, of course, you’re the Fed. Early Warning Services Presser November Early Warning Services has partnered with Fiserv to provide the mega-processor with real-time verification and funds availability services to enhance its existing NOW Network. The lash-up brings real-time bill payment and deposit services to 50 percent of the country’s 12,000 banks and credit unions. An added dimension is that bill payments feature loops in the SMB segment, a key factor in payments acceleration according to research conducted in 2014 by none other than the Fed. Are we looking at a potential second respondent to the Fed’s Faster Payments RFP when its released later this year? We’re counting on it. No one likes a one horse race. Financial Innovation Now Presser November Sorry for being single-threaded but there’s another BB rolling around the Fed Faster Payments ballroom that needs some air time. Financial Innovation Now is a consortium of Amazon, Apple, Google, Intuit, and PayPal that has been formed to “. . . . promote policies to help foster greater innovation in financial services.” Hmm, no bankers, processors, card companies, and other framers of the status quo have been invited to play. Favorite policies the coalition wants to promote include (in its words): a) establishing the trust and safety of new technologies, b) reducing barriers and enhancing system access for the underserved, c) enabling real-time payments, d) expanding the consumer and small business lending marketplace, and e) unlocking the power of financial applications. It has yet to be seen if FIN (catchy acronym) will be an advocacy group for new regulations or yet another Fed Faster Payments RFP respondent (wouldn’t that be a hoot?)
  • 13. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com Interesting News This Quarter – Continued 13 Subject Source/Date Substance Apple ATM Marketplace January ATM Marketplace cites a Quartz news outlet discovery of an Apple patent which might extend the iPhone manufacturer’s reach in payments. The patent specifies how iPhone users could transfer funds among one another using text, phone calls, or email. If the company proceeds with the offering, Apple could become a competitor to Venmo and Square Cash along with a half dozen other players. There’s always room in the pool for one more, we think. JPMorgan Chase Finextra October JPMorgan Chase blows the doors off of the 2015 Money/2020 conference, twice. First, it announces the launch of Chase Pay, it’s proprietary payments scheme for bank customers. When teamed with ChaseNet, the solution brings benefits to both consumers and merchants, a concept lost on other mobile scheme operators. Second, Chase Pay has become a premier partner with MCX, bringingWalmart, BestBuy, Shell and Target into the fold. Chase’s announcementsraise a number of key questions about the technology (QR versus NFC), the future for PayPal/Paydiant, and why it is going to take six to nine months for things to crystallize (after all, the MCX retailers already have the scanners needed for Chase Pay?) Odd bedfellows or not, the Chase Pay/MCX move may change the course of payments history. Then again, there’s the Sony Betamax and Walkman tales to learn from. In a subsequent press release, Chase announced that it has partnered with P97 Networks to attack a problem that has been bedeviling mobile payments (and EMV) for quite some time. P97’s Petrozone platform brings pay at the pump convenience to gasoline retailers and benefits consumers wishing to use their smartphones as a payments form factor. Slick as STP. OmnyPay Mobile Payments Today October Speaking of retailers and payments, OmnyPay has positioned itself as the retailers’ friend in mobile payments. Led by three VeriFone veterans include Bill Melton, OmnyPay is a private label solution designed to “re-gain customer loyalty lost to others.” Actual payments run on existing rails and the solution is integrated with existing POS systems and backend analytics. Like other new entrants, OmnyPay takes advantage of existing scanner technology by using QR codes. Competition is always good, they say, and we think any Melton-backed venture is hard to bet against. Diebold ATM Marketplace October What goes around, comes around. Decades ago, a very large Japanese company with very little ATM market share (Omron) piloted an ATM that had no screen or keypad. It didn’t do so well because it was ahead of its time. Diebold, the ATM industry giant, has taken the “less is more” concept a bit further and debuted a new device with no screen, PIN pad, receipt printer or card reader. The “Irving” ATM uses both NFC and QR code technology for transactions. (Iris-scan technology is also available for truly puckered up security worrywarts.) Good ideas are infrequently new; merely recycled.
  • 14. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com Interesting News This Quarter – Continued 14 Subject Source/Date Substance Early Warning Services PYMNTS.com October Early Warning Services, the fraud prevention firm owned by a coalition of banks including Wells Fargo, Bank of America, JPMorgan Chase, BB&T and Capital One, repositions Authentify, a company it acquired last April. The new posture for Authentify combines multiple authentication layers into a single offering. Users can draw on biometrics, NFC, two-factor, out-of-band (voice and text), and device binding to assure themselves that the customer is, in fact, the customer. The offering moves the company farther out in the payments spectrum from fraud prevention to fraud blocking, a not-so-subtle differentiation. Clever. MCX Mobile Payments Today October Well before the Chase Pay connection with MCX was made public, MCX, the retailer consortium for mobile payments, announced a new relationshipwith Buy It Mobility Network, a TrendWatch 2.0 favorite. MCX will use BIM technology to securely link consumer checking accounts to the CurrentC mobile wallet. The rationale is elegantly put by the coalition’s CEO, Brian Mooney. “With BIM’s technology and ability to pay via a checking account, consumers will soon have several options for paying for goods and services using CurrentC.” (Emphasisadded.) Startup BIM already has 3.0 million customers using its platform so there’s an opportunity to give CurrentC a bit more bulk from the get-go. Walmart BI Intelligence December We conclude this quarter’s breezy news section with a hat-tip to Walmart. The largest U.S. grocery (among other things) retailer announced that Walmart Pay will soon be imbedded in the existing Walmart app; good news for the 22 million active app users. Tender types include the usual credit, debit and prepaid brands and Walmart gift cards. Walmart Pay is QR code-based (not surprising)so existing store equipment will be sufficient. Almost immediately following the announcement, industry pundits began writing about the demise of CurrentC, the MCX offering long underwritten by Walmart and other major retailers. We’re not so sure; at least not in the short term. Walmart Pay won’t be in full roll-out for another six months – similar to the theoretical timing for Chase Pay. If both efforts (and others with similar timelines) stay on track, the summer of ‘16 might rival that of ‘67. (Millennials can Google that veiled reference to a happier time.)
  • 15. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com 15 M&A/Alliance Activity Buyer/Investor Target Payments Emphasis Possible Strategy Santander Ripple Cryptocurrency In keeping with our 2016 prediction, Spain-based Santander Group has invested $4.0 million as part of Ripple’s $32 million Series A round. The bank is not part of the R3 consortium of banks formed to explore the options blockchain provides the financial services industry; it appears to have already drunk the Kool Aid. Ripple also announced “foreign exchange” and “currency exchange” solutions concurrent with the new funding round. Dan Henry, MATH Venture Partners CardFlight mPOS terminals Seasoned entrepreneur, Dan Henry (ex-CEO of NetSpend) joins others in a $4.2 million funding round for CardFlight, a developer of mPOS terminals based on tablets and smartphones. This is one of several funding rounds involving the terminal segment made in Q4 . Since it’s a pretty safe bet that we won’t see a mobile payments leader or standard soon, using these adaptable technologies for POS acceptance sure looks like a sound bet. Route 66 Ventures, Anthemis Group, Moneytime Ventures, others Moven Mobile banking platform Moven, the non-bank backed by CBW Bank of Weir, Kansas offers free mobile banking services and supports decoupled debit. Depositors receive fee-free ATM access plus budgeting tools and PFM services. Returning investors pony up $12 million in Series B financing to support Brett King’s non-branching “bank.” Simple, a Moven competitor, was bought by BBVA for $117 million in 2014; lot’s of money in the business of banking these days.
  • 16. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com 16 M&A/Alliance Activity - Continued Buyer/Investor Target Payments Emphasis Possible Strategy Oak HC/FT, Stanford-StartX Fund, Matrix Partners, others Poynt mPOS terminals Poynt, the mPOS terminal company launched by Osama Bedier two years ago, gathers up another $28 million in capitalization funds to support a manufacturing ramp-up. Mr. Bedier is the former Google executive charged with getting Google Wallet off the ground. The Poynt terminal is also EMV ready so folks who left their mobile phones behind (perish the thought) can also insert their chip cards (assuming their bank is EMV compliant). We’ll say it again, there’s lots of money in terminals. Crosslink Capital, Wildcat Venture Partners, Leapfrog Ventures, Correlation Partners Zebit Credit card program Zebit is a service offered by employers to employees who fall into the underserved category. Users receive credit card-like purchasing benefits for goods offered through the Zebit Market and pay zero interest on their purchases. Series A investors like the concept and have added $10 million to the company’s coffers to finance working capital and for platform expansion opportunities. Product lines participating in the Zebit Market include Panasonic, Canon, Garmin, HP, LG, Cuisinart, and others. Bankers looking to make a play in the emerging FinTech world might take a look here. Simon Williams, Camelot Financial Capital Management NerdWallet Financial services information It’s not a wallet in the truest sense but NerdWallet does contain value. The four year old company attempts to provide unbiased information in response to the 30 million-plus inquiries it receives each year from consumers looking for help. An ex-Citibank executive invests $5.0 million to raise total Series A capitalization to $69 million. A whole lot of money for answering questions.
  • 17. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com 17 M&A/Alliance Activity - Continued Buyer/Investor Target Payments Emphasis Possible Strategy Visa Inc. Visa Europe Payments scheme Visa Inc. does what it should have done when it went public in 2007 and acquires Visa Europe for €21.2 billion. All the regulatory approvals will take nine more months to complete – why is this so hard? V Europe owners will reap a huge windfall gain just like US banks did from the 2007 IPO. One downside of the deal for the US parent is the removal of the regulatory moat the Atlantic Ocean has provided for the past few decades. The indirect consequences of new regulatory exposure could be considerable for Visa as suggested by the recent ruling on interchange in Europe; 20 bps for debit and 30 bps for credit. Yikes. Dead Pool Amazon Register POS device It took Amazon just 18 months to realize that it’s not particularly good at the brick and mortar side of things. The company has dropped its Amazon Register device, a dongle and application which allowed merchants to plug the reader into a tablet or smartphone and accept plastic payments. Even its impressive pricing (100 bps below the rest) couldn’t save the effort. Meanwhile, Amazon is also dumping its daily deals and Amazon Local app to become more svelte for 2016. Heartland Payments Digital Dining Restaurant POS systems Heartland does another dive into the hospitality vertical and buys Digital Dining, a provider of restaurant POS acceptance and management services. Heartland already has 130,000 restaurants and suppliers in its stable and Digital Dining ups its market share and brings along new hospitality tools that HPY was missing. Good move. Securitas Diebold’s electronic security business line Electronic security Sweden-based Securitas makes a bold move into the U.S. electronic security realm by acquiring ATM giant Diebold’s business line for approximately $350 million or roughly one times revenues. Diebold was the third largest provider of these services and the buyer gets 1,100 employees and 55,000 monitored customer locations. Wonder what Diebold is going to do with the cash?
  • 18. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com M&A/Alliance Activity - Continued 18 Buyer/Investor Target Payments Emphasis Possible Strategy Columbia Pacific Advisors, Fenway Summer Ventures CARD.com Mobile banking platform Is there a pattern developing here? CARD.com offers banking services to consumers equipped with a mobile phone and debit card. This prepaid debit card offeror (The Bancorp Bank is the issuer) is posting high marks for funds gathered ($450 million) and month-over-month new account openings as it competes in the non-branch banking space. Sadly, there’s an overly cute twist to CARD.com; it has licensed characters from Fox, DreamWorks and others to attract the hipster set with quaint card designs. KPCB Align Commerce Blockchain payments Kleiner Perkins offers up $12.5 million to help Align Commerce penetrate the SMB market for foreign and domestic peer-to-peer transfers for B2B purchases. The Align system confirms the invoice issued by the seller who receives an email advice. The funds are then remitted locally and settled with the seller in its local currency. Align isn’t the first to use blockchain technology to emulate the Western Union model, nor will it be the last. Q2 Holdings Social Money Digital banking software Bank software provider, Q2, buys Social Money, the inventor of SmartyPig, among other business lines. SmartyPig is a goals-based savings program offered by banks who utilized Social Money’s other direct-to-digital banking platforms. SM offers a real-time core product named CorePro, the real nugget in the $10.6 million deal. Appropriately, Social Money and SmartyPig are headquartered in Iowa, hog heaven. Diebold Wincor Nixdorf ATM manufacturing So, here’s where Diebold is parking its money (and a bit more) received in the Securitas deal. The long rumored takeover of Wincor Nixdorf by someone will cost Diebold $1.8 billion. WN has sold one million ATMs around the world and had recently suffered earnings declines. The combined company will be branded as Diebold Nixdorf. Hope this isn’t the case of the weaker becoming strong through affiliation. Tough industry these days.
  • 19. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com M&A/Alliance Activity - Continued 19 Buyer/Investor Target Payments Emphasis Possible Strategy GoCoin Ziftr Cryptocurrency processing GoCoin is one of three processors who handle three off-brand digital currencies – Litecoin, Dogecoin, and Tether. Ziftr is a credit card processor. The business combination creates a company that will offer a Swiss Army knife-like digital wallet complete with Visa, MasterCard and blockchain currency options. GoCoin made headlines last year when it integrated with Shopify’s e-commerce platform and cut a deal with Apriva. GoCoin’s merchant base is pretty small – 12,000 – so there’s lots of room for growth. Or, so the story goes. TransUnion Trustev Fraud protection There big money in fraud (protection) they say and one of the Big 3 in credit data reporting firms, TransUnion, wants a piece of the action. The recently IPO-ed TU pays $44 million for Ireland’s Trustev so that it can expand its presence in e-commerce fraud detection and protection. Trustev uses behavior analysis and machine learning tools to build threat matrices which should help TransUnion with its already robust anti-fraud offerings. Global Payments Heartland Payment Systems Merchant services processing We never saw this one coming (others, yes, but not this one.) Global Payments will pay $4.3 billion for Heartland in a deal which still has some regulatory hurdles to clear but should make shareholders of both companies happy. The combined company will generate $3.0 billion in revenues and $1.0 billion in EBITDA, annually. One downside of the deal is that Heartland’s CEO, Robert O. Carr might become less vocal on payments industry issues and that would be a bad thing. Good luck, gentlemen. Investors like us WorldPay and First Data Payments processors Two industry giants re-entered onto the publicly traded scene in Q4. WorldPay squeezed out $3.3 billion in its IPO while First Data ginned up nearly $2.6 billion. Total capitalization for both remains a bit murky because of legacy ownership trails but at least there will be a bit more transparency as each slug it out in an evermore competitive corral.
  • 20. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com M&A/Alliance Activity - Continued 20 Buyer/Investor Target Payments Emphasis Possible Strategy Bessemer Venture Partners, GV (formerly Google Ventures), others Toast POS terminals Four year old startup, Toast, rounds up $30 million in Series B funding to expand its Android-based tablet POS system from today’s 1,400 installations across 43 states to the rest of the world. Toast focuses on the food and hospitality sector and competes with Square Stand, Revel Systems, and First Data’s Clover. Heady competition, to be sure, but Toast thinks that its Android platform is superior to existing iPad offerings. Time will tell. CVC Capital Partners Kount Fraud detection/prevention Boise-based Kount offers online and mobile fraud detection services for the retail, financial services, and gaming industries. CVC recognizes the company for its current offerings with Chase Paymentech, New Balance, Spotify, Braintree and other marquee players and invests $80 million to accelerate innovation and to provide better customer support. Lots of money in fraud prevention, we say, again. Corazon Capital, Charge Ventures, others DipJar Digital donations and tips We regretted losing TipJar three years ago; it seems the concept of paying for digital content was just too early. Now, DipJar has surfaced and has raised $2.4 million in VC funding. DipJar provides digital boxes to allow tips and donations to be made by consumers wanting to use a credit or debit card to show their appreciation and largess. Tips and donations represent a significant slice of the world’s trade and companies like DipJar will ensure that it stays that way as consumers shy away from carrying cash. Early Warning Services clearXchange Digital payments network Fraud prevention and risk management titan, Early Warning, will acquire clearXchange, the digital payments network formed in 2011 by six large U.S. banks. EWS is owned by most of the clearXchange banks and the others will fold into the combined ownership group. All FIs will be able to participate in the resulting effort to bring a new, safer and faster payments system to the United States. Looks like there will be at least three respondents to the Fed’s Faster Payments RFP.
  • 21. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com 21 Useful Links for More Information Here are some companies that haven’t received press coverage lately but which are worth a look-see. Company Role Link SOLE Payroll card program with portability features www.solepaycard.com Backbase Digital banking platform with super analytics and end-user marketing campaigns. 60+ FI clients and 70 million enrolled users. www.backbase.com Billhighway Nonprofit and association focused payments integration platforms designed to enable periodic payments (i.e., dues) and donation campaigns. www.billhighway.com Chargebacks911 Chargeback remediation system designed with merchants selling big ticket items in mind. Impressive ROI warranty program. www.chargebacks911.com
  • 22. Dorado Industries 655 Deep Valley Drive, Suite 125-P Rolling Hills Estates, CA 90274 (310) 544-1316 jmacallister@doradoindustries.com www.doradoindustries.com Back in the day! 22 Tsk, tsk. Nobody even bothered to Google the answer to last quarter’s trivia contest. The Viewtron videotext partners were AT&T and Knight Ridder newspapers. Damn, it’s a terrible burden having a brain bucket cluttered with useless facts. (Don’t ask me to reel off the birthdays of my grandchildren, though.) This quarter’s trivia question comes out of the same bucket and targets the non-millennial set. Who is the woman pictured here and what word did she add to the lexicon of computer programming? First correct email response wins some Dorado-wear. Good luck!