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Comp. Biochem. Physiol., 1975, Vol. 52A, pp, 19 to 20, Pergamon Press. Printed in Great Britain




                       ANALYSIS OF POLYNOMIAL FUNCTIONS FOR
                         DETERMINING MAXIMUM OR M I N I M U M
                          CONDITIONS IN BIOLOGICAL SYSTEMS

                               EUGENE H. STUDIER, RICHARD W. DAPSON AND ROGER E. BIGELOW
                               Department of Biology, University of Michigan, Flint, Flint, MI 48503, U.S.A.

                                                                (Received 31 July 1974)

            Abstract--1. When physiological condition is curvilinearly related to environmental conditions, the "op-
            timum" environmental condition is frequently determined by intersecting two straight lines.
               2. Errors in this method are discussed, and a more precise method is suggested.
               3. The curvilinear function is described by polynomial regression.
               4. Optimum values of the independent variable (i.e. those resulting in maximum or minimum physio-
            logical responses) are found where the slope is zero, and can be calculated easily from the first derivative
            of the regression line.
               5. Two examples are given: heart rate-temperature and oxygen consumption-pH.



MANY curvilinear functions are studied in a wide var-                             for maxima and underestimates for minima. Further-
iety of biological systems. Examples include enzyme                               more, the error in estimating X is proportional to the
reaction rates as affected by temperature or pH, meta-                            degree of skewness and inversely related to the direc-
bolic rates or heart rates as affected by temperature,                            tion of skewness.
etc. It is often desirable to determine maximum states                               At the risk of sounding trivial, we propose a more
for the dependent variable, such conditions often char-                           precise method, which is seldom used despite its ele-
acterizing physiological optima: e.g. pH optima, tem-                             mentary nature. Ideally, one would like an estimate of
perature optima, thermal neutral point. Frequently,                               the variables at the point where the slope of the curve
the optimal level of the independent variable is esti-                            is zero. This requires one equation for the entire curve,
mated from the intersection of two straight lines (Fig.                           and some means of locating points where the slope is
1). These lines are derived by least squares regression                           zero. The ready availability of computers now allows
analysis on data above and below the optimal level.                               for practical calculation of least squares polynomial
However, the shape of the curvilinear function affects                            regression lines of the form
the accuracy of the estimate. Error in the estimate of
Y is proportional to the difference between the slopes                                                ~'i=a+  Z bjXi
of the two straight lines, and produces overestimates                                                        j=t
                                                                                  where j is any exponent from I to m (Zar, 1974:
      I00                                                                         269). Procedures for fitting polynomial curves to
                                                                                  data are available from several standard biostatistics
                                                                                  texts (Steel & Torrie, 1960; Sokol & Rohlf, 1969;
                                                                                  and Zar, 1974); confidence limits are discussed by
 .E   90                                                                          Bliss (1970). The first derivative of a polynomial
  E                                                                               regression line is set equal to zero, using the equa-
                                                                                  tion:
 o
 o                                                                                                 dY/dX = 0 = Z (bj)(j)tX~-')
      80                                                                                                        j=l
                                                                                  Solved for X, the roots of this equation are the values
                                                                                  at which the slope is zero. However, not all will be
fie                                                                               optima, and visual inspection of the graph is needed to
      70                                                                          identify important values.
                                                                                     As an example (Fig. 1), we recently collected data on
                                                                                  heart beat rate (R in beats/min) of 18 college-aged men
-r-                                                                               and women at 5, 15, 25, 35 and 40°C ambient tempera-
      60                   i       /       i               I              I       tures (T). The second order regression line which best
            0        I0                  20      30     40                        describes the relationship of heart beat rate to ambient
                 Ambient               Temperolure ('C)                           temperature is:
Fig. 1. Linear and polynomial regression lines describing                                         R = 93.76 - 1.89 T + 0-04 T 2
heart beat rate of humans at different temperatures. Dashed
lines illustrate how optimum temperature is estimated with                          The first derivative of this equation is:
intersecting straight lines. Solid curve represents polynomial
                         regression line.                                                           dR/dT = - 1-89 + 0.08 T
                                                                               19
20                        EUGENE H. STUDIER, RICHARD W. DAPSON AND ROGER E. BIGELOW


           O.lO                                                 ima apparent, a n d polynomial regression analysis is
                                                                the only practical way to estimate their values. The
                                                                equation is:
      t.
           0.08                                                 Y = - 2 3 . 5 6 8 9 + 11.7874X - 2-1942X 2
                                                                                                + 0"1808X 3 - 0'0056X*
     c                                                          a n d its first derivative is:
     .2 0 . 0 6

                                                                dY/dX = 11.7874 - 4.3885X + 0'5423X 2 - 0"0222X 3
           0.04                                                 Solving for X when dY/dX = 0 produces three real
     0
                                                                roots corresponding to the p H values at which the
     g                                                          slope is zero: 7'2, 8'2 a n d 9-0. The first a n d last values
     ~-~0.02                                                    represent maxima. The polynomial equation can now
     0                                                          be solved with these X values to give corresponding
                                                                metabolic rates: 0.076 a n d 0'075 cc/hr at p H 7.2 a n d
           O.OC       I          I        I          I
                                                                9.0 respectively.
                  6   7         8         9         I0
                                 pH                               Acknowledgement--We thank Dr. Jerrold H. Zar for his
                                                                comments on an earlier draft of this paper.
Fig. 2. Oxygen consumption in snails as a function of pH.
For each pH value studied, mean oxygen comsumption _+2
               standard errors are shown.
                                                                                         REFERENCES

W h e n dR/dT equals zero, T = 23.6°C. The corre-               BLISS C. I. (1970) Statistics in Biology, Vol. II, p 639.
sponding value of heart beat rate, derived from the               McGraw-Hill, New York.
regression equation, is 71.5 beats/min. Solving two             SOKOL R. R. & ROHLF F. J. (1969) Biometry. W. H. Freeman,
straight line equations generated from the data at 5, 15          San Francisco. p 776.
a n d 25 ° a n d at 25, 35 a n d 40°C yields a n optimal T      STEEL R. G. D. & TORRm J. H. (1960) Principles and pro-
value of 25"8°C at a n estimated m i n i m u m of 69.9 beats/     cedures of statistics. McGraw-Hill, New York. p 481.
min.                                                            ZAR J. H. 0974) Biostatistical Analysis. Prentice-Hall,
    A more complex case using higher order polynom-               Englewood Cliffs, N.J. p 620.
ials is shown in Fig. 2. Metabolic rate (cm a O2/hr ) of
snails (Viviparus contectoides) was measured at various            Key Word Index--Polynomial functions; optimum con-
p H values ranging from 6.1 to 10.1. There are two max-         ditions; heart rate; oxygen consumption.

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  • 1. Comp. Biochem. Physiol., 1975, Vol. 52A, pp, 19 to 20, Pergamon Press. Printed in Great Britain ANALYSIS OF POLYNOMIAL FUNCTIONS FOR DETERMINING MAXIMUM OR M I N I M U M CONDITIONS IN BIOLOGICAL SYSTEMS EUGENE H. STUDIER, RICHARD W. DAPSON AND ROGER E. BIGELOW Department of Biology, University of Michigan, Flint, Flint, MI 48503, U.S.A. (Received 31 July 1974) Abstract--1. When physiological condition is curvilinearly related to environmental conditions, the "op- timum" environmental condition is frequently determined by intersecting two straight lines. 2. Errors in this method are discussed, and a more precise method is suggested. 3. The curvilinear function is described by polynomial regression. 4. Optimum values of the independent variable (i.e. those resulting in maximum or minimum physio- logical responses) are found where the slope is zero, and can be calculated easily from the first derivative of the regression line. 5. Two examples are given: heart rate-temperature and oxygen consumption-pH. MANY curvilinear functions are studied in a wide var- for maxima and underestimates for minima. Further- iety of biological systems. Examples include enzyme more, the error in estimating X is proportional to the reaction rates as affected by temperature or pH, meta- degree of skewness and inversely related to the direc- bolic rates or heart rates as affected by temperature, tion of skewness. etc. It is often desirable to determine maximum states At the risk of sounding trivial, we propose a more for the dependent variable, such conditions often char- precise method, which is seldom used despite its ele- acterizing physiological optima: e.g. pH optima, tem- mentary nature. Ideally, one would like an estimate of perature optima, thermal neutral point. Frequently, the variables at the point where the slope of the curve the optimal level of the independent variable is esti- is zero. This requires one equation for the entire curve, mated from the intersection of two straight lines (Fig. and some means of locating points where the slope is 1). These lines are derived by least squares regression zero. The ready availability of computers now allows analysis on data above and below the optimal level. for practical calculation of least squares polynomial However, the shape of the curvilinear function affects regression lines of the form the accuracy of the estimate. Error in the estimate of Y is proportional to the difference between the slopes ~'i=a+ Z bjXi of the two straight lines, and produces overestimates j=t where j is any exponent from I to m (Zar, 1974: I00 269). Procedures for fitting polynomial curves to data are available from several standard biostatistics texts (Steel & Torrie, 1960; Sokol & Rohlf, 1969; and Zar, 1974); confidence limits are discussed by .E 90 Bliss (1970). The first derivative of a polynomial E regression line is set equal to zero, using the equa- tion: o o dY/dX = 0 = Z (bj)(j)tX~-') 80 j=l Solved for X, the roots of this equation are the values at which the slope is zero. However, not all will be fie optima, and visual inspection of the graph is needed to 70 identify important values. As an example (Fig. 1), we recently collected data on heart beat rate (R in beats/min) of 18 college-aged men -r- and women at 5, 15, 25, 35 and 40°C ambient tempera- 60 i / i I I tures (T). The second order regression line which best 0 I0 20 30 40 describes the relationship of heart beat rate to ambient Ambient Temperolure ('C) temperature is: Fig. 1. Linear and polynomial regression lines describing R = 93.76 - 1.89 T + 0-04 T 2 heart beat rate of humans at different temperatures. Dashed lines illustrate how optimum temperature is estimated with The first derivative of this equation is: intersecting straight lines. Solid curve represents polynomial regression line. dR/dT = - 1-89 + 0.08 T 19
  • 2. 20 EUGENE H. STUDIER, RICHARD W. DAPSON AND ROGER E. BIGELOW O.lO ima apparent, a n d polynomial regression analysis is the only practical way to estimate their values. The equation is: t. 0.08 Y = - 2 3 . 5 6 8 9 + 11.7874X - 2-1942X 2 + 0"1808X 3 - 0'0056X* c a n d its first derivative is: .2 0 . 0 6 dY/dX = 11.7874 - 4.3885X + 0'5423X 2 - 0"0222X 3 0.04 Solving for X when dY/dX = 0 produces three real 0 roots corresponding to the p H values at which the g slope is zero: 7'2, 8'2 a n d 9-0. The first a n d last values ~-~0.02 represent maxima. The polynomial equation can now 0 be solved with these X values to give corresponding metabolic rates: 0.076 a n d 0'075 cc/hr at p H 7.2 a n d O.OC I I I I 9.0 respectively. 6 7 8 9 I0 pH Acknowledgement--We thank Dr. Jerrold H. Zar for his comments on an earlier draft of this paper. Fig. 2. Oxygen consumption in snails as a function of pH. For each pH value studied, mean oxygen comsumption _+2 standard errors are shown. REFERENCES W h e n dR/dT equals zero, T = 23.6°C. The corre- BLISS C. I. (1970) Statistics in Biology, Vol. II, p 639. sponding value of heart beat rate, derived from the McGraw-Hill, New York. regression equation, is 71.5 beats/min. Solving two SOKOL R. R. & ROHLF F. J. (1969) Biometry. W. H. Freeman, straight line equations generated from the data at 5, 15 San Francisco. p 776. a n d 25 ° a n d at 25, 35 a n d 40°C yields a n optimal T STEEL R. G. D. & TORRm J. H. (1960) Principles and pro- value of 25"8°C at a n estimated m i n i m u m of 69.9 beats/ cedures of statistics. McGraw-Hill, New York. p 481. min. ZAR J. H. 0974) Biostatistical Analysis. Prentice-Hall, A more complex case using higher order polynom- Englewood Cliffs, N.J. p 620. ials is shown in Fig. 2. Metabolic rate (cm a O2/hr ) of snails (Viviparus contectoides) was measured at various Key Word Index--Polynomial functions; optimum con- p H values ranging from 6.1 to 10.1. There are two max- ditions; heart rate; oxygen consumption.