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EDEXCEL GCSE 2010
   Decision Making Pre-Release
Analysis of the the resource booklet
The Issue: Housing demand
     in the UK (Unit A2)
What does it mean for the main paper?

30 mark questions on:
• Coping with Environmental Change: Coasts,
  River and Tectonic hazards
• Providing for population change

20 mark questions on:
• Use and abuse of the environment : water
• Use and abuse of the environment : Recreation
  and tourism
Do not revise:
•   Urbanisation in Sao Paulo
•   London waste/transport management
•   TNCs
•   Primark/ Nike
•   Child labour
•   Reading/ M4 corridor
The DME Paper
•   TIMING: Paper is 1¼ hours long. Your will need to plan your timing
    carefully – there will be lots of questions to answer. Some will be
    short – worth only 1 or 2 marks, some paragraph length - for 4 or 5,
    and the last question will be of one to 1 ½ sides and worth a lot e.g.
    12 marks. Clearly it is important to get the short answers right, (the
    marks all add up to make your brilliant final mark!), but it is not worth
    spending a long time on them at the expense of the long answer.
    The paper is worth 60 marks (+ 3 for English etc.). So work out how
    much time you should spend on the last question, for 12/60 marks.

•   How?- allow, say, 10 mins. to look through q. paper and organise
    resources, and at the end to check through. This leaves you 65
    minutes to earn 60 marks, i.e. just over 1 minute per mark –
    therefore for a 12 mark last question, you should leave about 15
    minutes. (Obviously if it’s worth, say 10, adjust time) This is very
    important!
Affordable housing   Houses which are provided below the market price. Developers are
                        now under obligation to build a certain number on large
                        estates. Housing associations also offer homes on a part
                        purchase and part rent basis for people unable to afford
                        mortgages.
Brownfield site      A site which has been used for buildings or other development and
                         has been left to run down/become derelict. It will need to be
                         improved or cleared before it can be used again.
Greenfield site      Land which has not been built on but which has been designated
                        for development.
Green belt           An area of open land around a city, which is protected from
                        development. This is to stop the city spreading further.
Urban sprawl         Urban growth, usually weakly controlled, into surrounding rural and
                        semi-rural areas.
New towns            The targeted and rapid expansion of a settlement (although they
                        may also be built from scratch) to alleviate the pressure of
                        overly high demand for housing in a region, especially on
                        existing cities.
Households           An individual or a collection of individuals, living in a housing unit.

Social housing       Housing owned either by the local authority or housing
                        associations, which is rented out, usually to people on low
                        incomes.
Other key words
Eco towns               New towns which are exemplar green developments of a
                        minimum of 5000 homes. They will be designed to meet
                        the highest standards of sustainability, including low and
                        zero carbon technologies and good public transport.

Property ladder         The term used to describe an individual or family's lifetime
                        progress from cheaper to more expensive housing
Dwelling                A house in which someone lives


Commerce                The buying and selling of goods and services


University of the 3rd   an organisation providing educational, creative and leisure
age                     activities for older people, including some vocational
                        education and training programs.
e.g figure 3, page 4




Which of the resources in the booklet relate to
each of the bullet points above?
Annotate your paper to show the links between
these issues and the resources on the following
pages.
Why affordable, and
why the urgency?




                                                            1.2 Million

1.8
million

Dense
urban
housing




 Ecotowns are seen as a balance between the need for new houses and
 environmental sustainability
Why is urban sprawl
                                                     needing to be
                                                     prevented?




                                                            e.g. Basildon.




This should warn us that ecotowns may not be successful if they
are built too close to existing large urban areas. They are aiming to
be as self sufficient as possible.
Middle Quinton,
  Warwickshire

Shipton, Oxfordshire




Micheldever, Hampshire
The two pieces of data are
                                                                                                                          linked. The higher the
                                                                                                                          population, the higher the
                                                                                                                          density of population.



                                                                                                                 500
                        70




                                                                        Population density (People per squ km)
                        60
                                                                                                                 450
                        50
Population (millions)




                        40
                                                                                                                 400
                        30

                        20                                                                                       350

                        10

                         0                                                                                       300
                         2009       2014     2019     2024       2029                                              2009      2014     2019    2024     2029
                                                                                                                                      Year
                                              Year




                             Describe the pattern of predicted                                                   Describe the pattern of predicted
                             population increase                                                                 population density increase
Be careful reading this divided bar chart-
              there is bound to be a data response
              question on it! Can you work out the
              figures for each group for 2016?




Using data from the graph, give as many reasons as possible why there the
number of households has increased and is predicted to increase.
Why is the quality of social housing lower than private?




                    What is the change over time?




                           Why?
                                     Where might many of
                                     these homes be located?
Market slows as
                                                       affordability becomes
                                                       a big issue, especially
                                                       amongst first time
                                                       buyers.




Post- war
boom in social
housing e.g
Dagenham


                                                      Young people find it
                                                      difficult to get on the
                                                      housing ladder so
           Margaret Thatcher sells off a lot of the   they start renting.
           social (council) housing in the UK         Many landlords take
                                                      advantage of this by
                                                      purchasing
                                                      apartments/ houses
                                                      for rent (buy to let)
Will any of the three options help reduce the number of homeless households?
Why does
London have the
highest %
homeless
households?
Be able to compare the two sets of information using data.
What impact has this had on low earners and the young wanting to buy homes?
Why is the
property ladder
so difficult to get
on to?




                      Increase due to
                      demand from second
                      home owners. Note:
                      Ecotowns will be built
                      in rural areas
Be able to identify trends in the data.
Suggest reasons for these trends
Brownfield site
Land which has been developed previously and
is or has been occupied by a permanent
structure. It may be in an urban or rural
setting. It does not include agricultural land,
forest or parks.

Greenfield site
Land which has not been occupied by a permanent
structure. It usually applies to land in the
countryside but can be undeveloped land within an
urban setting.
Inadequate
  Clean uncontaminated                             services.
  land.                    Appealing
                           environment.
Reduced                                                     Fewer job
development                                                 opportunities
cost.                                                       for residents.



 Demand for
 housing.
                                                            Settlements
                                                            become
                                                            dormitories.
May
encourage
rural
development.                 Difficult to get            Wide-ranging
                             planning                    opposition.
  ‘Clean                     permission.
  sheet’ for                                    Damages
                No
  planning                                      environment and
                infrastructure
  design.                                       habitats.
                in place.
Improved                  Increase the                 Quality of life and
environmental             economic value of the        housing stock can
and human                 land and increases           improve in
health as areas           the city’s tax base.         neighbouring areas.
get cleaned up.

Urban                                                         Fears of liability
revitalisation                                                if land not
and the                                                       cleaned
snowball                                                      adequately.
effect.
                                                              Developers find it
Makes efficient                                               hard to get
use of existing                                               financial backing
infrastructure.                                               because of the
                                                              liability issue.


Developing a                                               Uncertain market
brownfield site is more       Lack of information          value – stigma
costly and more time          about available sites.       attached to
consuming.                                                 brownfield sites.
To reduce homelessness?




                     Especially in cities


Sources of domestic Carbon emmisions?
Fill in the table to work out how sustainable each of the
three options is.
Read http://www.guardian.co.uk/society/2008/feb/10/communities.planning
Why do many people think that eco-towns will be eco-disasters?
What conflict can you foresee in each of the three options?
What issues
does this cartoon
raise?
Which of the three options do these views
support or oppose?
Not in my back yard
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=v37f5odx6ZM
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=uJylaGk4gf4
Identify different viewpoints held by the players/stakeholders indicated in these Figs. Are they in favour of
eco-towns or not? What aspect is their particular concern? - briefly summarise their viewpoint in the
correct box(es)

Aspect of                    In Favour of Eco-towns                           Vs Eco-towns
concern
Housing Need


Energy Use


Transport
issues

Protection of
wildlife &
countryside

Brown vs
Greenfield
Issues

Community
 Aspects
Using each map…
   Factor       +   -
Road
Rail
Airports

Flood Risk
Proximity to
environmental
ly sensitive
areas
Layout


Location in
relation to
other
settlements
Existing use
Site A: Micheldever Station, Hampshire

               Micheldever
              •   Largest site (520 hectares)
              •   Greenfield site (High quality farmland)
              •   28,000 population with 12,500 dwellings of
                  which 5,000 affordable homes.
              •   16,000 jobs (many working from home)
              •   Quick build
              •   Nucleated pattern
              •   Built around existing settlement
“The Agricultural Land Classification (ALC) provides a method for assessing the
quality of farmland to enable informed choices to be made about its future use
within the planning system. It helps underpin the principles of sustainable
development. The ALC system classifies land into five grades, with Grade 3
subdivided into Subgrades 3a and 3b. The best and most versatile land is
defined as Grades 1, 2 and 3a This is the land which is most flexible, productive
and efficient.”


                                                      Affected?

                          Rare birds
Site B: Shipton, Oxfordshire

          Shipton
          •   Smallest site (180 hectares)
          •   Flood risk
          •   Brownfield site (Quarry and cement works)
          •   Extremely important for wildlife although
              lake will remain in plans. Fossils found
              here too
          •   11, 400 population with 5,000 dwellings
              (1,500 affordable homes)
          •   500 + 2000 jobs
          •   Layout split into small areas
Site C: Middle Quinton,
     Warwickshire

       Middle Quinton
      •   240 hectares
      •   Flood risk
      •   Brownfield site (MOD)
      •   15,000 population with 6,000 dwellings
          (2,000 affordable homes)
      •   3,000 new jobs
      •   Quick build
      •   Housing built amongst woodland and
          lakes
      •   Improved access to M40
How sustainable is each option?
    Use the resources to rank each factor -3 to +3

   Factor           Option A   Option B   Option C
  Governance

  Transport &
  connectivity
   Services

Environmental

     Equity

   Economy

 Housing & the
   built env
Social & cultural

  TOTALS
THE LAST QUESTION: Here you have to make your decision (note title of
paper!) This must be based on the evidence provided, but also on the
knowledge, skills and understanding you have acquired over the course.
You may well have to decide between a number of options – which do you
think is the best one? In the past they have asked pupils to choose two or
even to rank the options. Make sure your choice answers the question set-
don’t just prepare an essay for one option! It is possible that there could be
more than one suitable option; it doesn’t matter if your choice is different to
someone else’s, providing that:
                  • It ‘fits the bill’ i.e. it is a suitable choice for whatever the
                  scheme is required to do.
                  • You can justify your decision – can you make a good
                  argument for this? -
                     Why did you choose this in preference to others?
                  • This decision is based on the evidence in the resources
    • The evidence suggests that the other options are less suitable

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Dme pre release

  • 1. EDEXCEL GCSE 2010 Decision Making Pre-Release Analysis of the the resource booklet
  • 2. The Issue: Housing demand in the UK (Unit A2)
  • 3. What does it mean for the main paper? 30 mark questions on: • Coping with Environmental Change: Coasts, River and Tectonic hazards • Providing for population change 20 mark questions on: • Use and abuse of the environment : water • Use and abuse of the environment : Recreation and tourism
  • 4. Do not revise: • Urbanisation in Sao Paulo • London waste/transport management • TNCs • Primark/ Nike • Child labour • Reading/ M4 corridor
  • 5. The DME Paper • TIMING: Paper is 1¼ hours long. Your will need to plan your timing carefully – there will be lots of questions to answer. Some will be short – worth only 1 or 2 marks, some paragraph length - for 4 or 5, and the last question will be of one to 1 ½ sides and worth a lot e.g. 12 marks. Clearly it is important to get the short answers right, (the marks all add up to make your brilliant final mark!), but it is not worth spending a long time on them at the expense of the long answer. The paper is worth 60 marks (+ 3 for English etc.). So work out how much time you should spend on the last question, for 12/60 marks. • How?- allow, say, 10 mins. to look through q. paper and organise resources, and at the end to check through. This leaves you 65 minutes to earn 60 marks, i.e. just over 1 minute per mark – therefore for a 12 mark last question, you should leave about 15 minutes. (Obviously if it’s worth, say 10, adjust time) This is very important!
  • 6. Affordable housing Houses which are provided below the market price. Developers are now under obligation to build a certain number on large estates. Housing associations also offer homes on a part purchase and part rent basis for people unable to afford mortgages. Brownfield site A site which has been used for buildings or other development and has been left to run down/become derelict. It will need to be improved or cleared before it can be used again. Greenfield site Land which has not been built on but which has been designated for development. Green belt An area of open land around a city, which is protected from development. This is to stop the city spreading further. Urban sprawl Urban growth, usually weakly controlled, into surrounding rural and semi-rural areas. New towns The targeted and rapid expansion of a settlement (although they may also be built from scratch) to alleviate the pressure of overly high demand for housing in a region, especially on existing cities. Households An individual or a collection of individuals, living in a housing unit. Social housing Housing owned either by the local authority or housing associations, which is rented out, usually to people on low incomes.
  • 7. Other key words Eco towns New towns which are exemplar green developments of a minimum of 5000 homes. They will be designed to meet the highest standards of sustainability, including low and zero carbon technologies and good public transport. Property ladder The term used to describe an individual or family's lifetime progress from cheaper to more expensive housing Dwelling A house in which someone lives Commerce The buying and selling of goods and services University of the 3rd an organisation providing educational, creative and leisure age activities for older people, including some vocational education and training programs.
  • 8. e.g figure 3, page 4 Which of the resources in the booklet relate to each of the bullet points above? Annotate your paper to show the links between these issues and the resources on the following pages.
  • 9. Why affordable, and why the urgency? 1.2 Million 1.8 million Dense urban housing Ecotowns are seen as a balance between the need for new houses and environmental sustainability
  • 10. Why is urban sprawl needing to be prevented? e.g. Basildon. This should warn us that ecotowns may not be successful if they are built too close to existing large urban areas. They are aiming to be as self sufficient as possible.
  • 11. Middle Quinton, Warwickshire Shipton, Oxfordshire Micheldever, Hampshire
  • 12. The two pieces of data are linked. The higher the population, the higher the density of population. 500 70 Population density (People per squ km) 60 450 50 Population (millions) 40 400 30 20 350 10 0 300 2009 2014 2019 2024 2029 2009 2014 2019 2024 2029 Year Year Describe the pattern of predicted Describe the pattern of predicted population increase population density increase
  • 13. Be careful reading this divided bar chart- there is bound to be a data response question on it! Can you work out the figures for each group for 2016? Using data from the graph, give as many reasons as possible why there the number of households has increased and is predicted to increase.
  • 14. Why is the quality of social housing lower than private? What is the change over time? Why? Where might many of these homes be located?
  • 15. Market slows as affordability becomes a big issue, especially amongst first time buyers. Post- war boom in social housing e.g Dagenham Young people find it difficult to get on the housing ladder so Margaret Thatcher sells off a lot of the they start renting. social (council) housing in the UK Many landlords take advantage of this by purchasing apartments/ houses for rent (buy to let)
  • 16. Will any of the three options help reduce the number of homeless households?
  • 17. Why does London have the highest % homeless households?
  • 18. Be able to compare the two sets of information using data. What impact has this had on low earners and the young wanting to buy homes?
  • 19. Why is the property ladder so difficult to get on to? Increase due to demand from second home owners. Note: Ecotowns will be built in rural areas
  • 20. Be able to identify trends in the data. Suggest reasons for these trends
  • 21. Brownfield site Land which has been developed previously and is or has been occupied by a permanent structure. It may be in an urban or rural setting. It does not include agricultural land, forest or parks. Greenfield site Land which has not been occupied by a permanent structure. It usually applies to land in the countryside but can be undeveloped land within an urban setting.
  • 22. Inadequate Clean uncontaminated services. land. Appealing environment. Reduced Fewer job development opportunities cost. for residents. Demand for housing. Settlements become dormitories. May encourage rural development. Difficult to get Wide-ranging planning opposition. ‘Clean permission. sheet’ for Damages No planning environment and infrastructure design. habitats. in place.
  • 23. Improved Increase the Quality of life and environmental economic value of the housing stock can and human land and increases improve in health as areas the city’s tax base. neighbouring areas. get cleaned up. Urban Fears of liability revitalisation if land not and the cleaned snowball adequately. effect. Developers find it Makes efficient hard to get use of existing financial backing infrastructure. because of the liability issue. Developing a Uncertain market brownfield site is more Lack of information value – stigma costly and more time about available sites. attached to consuming. brownfield sites.
  • 24. To reduce homelessness? Especially in cities Sources of domestic Carbon emmisions?
  • 25. Fill in the table to work out how sustainable each of the three options is.
  • 26.
  • 27.
  • 28. Read http://www.guardian.co.uk/society/2008/feb/10/communities.planning Why do many people think that eco-towns will be eco-disasters? What conflict can you foresee in each of the three options?
  • 29. What issues does this cartoon raise?
  • 30. Which of the three options do these views support or oppose?
  • 31. Not in my back yard
  • 34. Identify different viewpoints held by the players/stakeholders indicated in these Figs. Are they in favour of eco-towns or not? What aspect is their particular concern? - briefly summarise their viewpoint in the correct box(es) Aspect of In Favour of Eco-towns Vs Eco-towns concern Housing Need Energy Use Transport issues Protection of wildlife & countryside Brown vs Greenfield Issues Community Aspects
  • 35. Using each map… Factor + - Road Rail Airports Flood Risk Proximity to environmental ly sensitive areas Layout Location in relation to other settlements Existing use
  • 36. Site A: Micheldever Station, Hampshire Micheldever • Largest site (520 hectares) • Greenfield site (High quality farmland) • 28,000 population with 12,500 dwellings of which 5,000 affordable homes. • 16,000 jobs (many working from home) • Quick build • Nucleated pattern • Built around existing settlement
  • 37.
  • 38. “The Agricultural Land Classification (ALC) provides a method for assessing the quality of farmland to enable informed choices to be made about its future use within the planning system. It helps underpin the principles of sustainable development. The ALC system classifies land into five grades, with Grade 3 subdivided into Subgrades 3a and 3b. The best and most versatile land is defined as Grades 1, 2 and 3a This is the land which is most flexible, productive and efficient.” Affected? Rare birds
  • 39.
  • 40.
  • 41.
  • 42. Site B: Shipton, Oxfordshire Shipton • Smallest site (180 hectares) • Flood risk • Brownfield site (Quarry and cement works) • Extremely important for wildlife although lake will remain in plans. Fossils found here too • 11, 400 population with 5,000 dwellings (1,500 affordable homes) • 500 + 2000 jobs • Layout split into small areas
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  • 48. Site C: Middle Quinton, Warwickshire Middle Quinton • 240 hectares • Flood risk • Brownfield site (MOD) • 15,000 population with 6,000 dwellings (2,000 affordable homes) • 3,000 new jobs • Quick build • Housing built amongst woodland and lakes • Improved access to M40
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  • 54. How sustainable is each option? Use the resources to rank each factor -3 to +3 Factor Option A Option B Option C Governance Transport & connectivity Services Environmental Equity Economy Housing & the built env Social & cultural TOTALS
  • 55. THE LAST QUESTION: Here you have to make your decision (note title of paper!) This must be based on the evidence provided, but also on the knowledge, skills and understanding you have acquired over the course. You may well have to decide between a number of options – which do you think is the best one? In the past they have asked pupils to choose two or even to rank the options. Make sure your choice answers the question set- don’t just prepare an essay for one option! It is possible that there could be more than one suitable option; it doesn’t matter if your choice is different to someone else’s, providing that: • It ‘fits the bill’ i.e. it is a suitable choice for whatever the scheme is required to do. • You can justify your decision – can you make a good argument for this? - Why did you choose this in preference to others? • This decision is based on the evidence in the resources • The evidence suggests that the other options are less suitable