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Discussion About Yield
Global Economy Impact on Myanmar
0
2000
4000
6000
8000
10000
12000
14000
16000
18000
US$Million
Export and Import Value
Export
Import
Myanmar 10 years Import & Export Data
ျ မန္မာႏျျင္ငံ၏ ဆယ္ျာႏျစ္တမ တင္င္ြင္္ျ မ ာႏျင္္ျ တင္္ို႔မ ဆျင္ရမ အခ်က္အလက္္်မ
Sources: Ministry of Commerce
စ္ ပ မ က္ သန္ျ ဝနၾက္ ဌမန၏ စ္မရင္္ျ မ်မ အရ ၂၀၁၂-၁၃ခာႏျစ္အထ က္င္နြယ္ ေျပင္ျ ခ ါသည္။ ၂၀၁၃-၁၄ခာႏျစ္္ွစ္၍
က္င္နြယ္ လျေျပင္ျ လ်က္ရ ွရမ ယင္္ျ မမ က္င္နြယ္ ေျျ ေေလ်မမ မ်မ ေျၾက္မင္္ျ လ ငန္ျ အခ် ်ိဳ႕သည္ informal trade မ
formal trade သျ႔ ေျျ မင္္ျ လလမေျသမေျၾက္မင္္ျျ ေစ္္ျာႏျျင္္ေျၾက္မင္္ျ သံျျ သ ၾက္ ါသည္။
Current Situation of Dollar in Myanmar
လက္ရ ွေျဒၚလမေအျ ခေအန
857 Ks = US $1
1/1/2013
1/1/2016
1307 K= US $1
၂၀၁၃ခာႏျစ္္ ျာႏျစ္ဆန္ျ င္္ျ တတင္္
ျာႏျျင္ငံျ ခမ ေျပင္လာႏ န္ျ မမ ေအမရက္န္
တစ္္ေျဒၚလမလ်င္္ က္် ္ေျပင္ ၈၅၇
သမရခေျသမျ္လည္ျ ၂၀၁၆ခာႏျစ္္
ျာႏျစ္ဆန္ျ ျ္ျ္င္္ျ တတင္္ ၁၃၀၇ က္် အထ
ျ မင္္ျတက္္ ါသည္။
Myanmar
Kyat was
depreciated
by 52% in
past 5 years
Current US$ vs MMK
လက္ရ ွေျဒၚလမေျပင္ ျာႏျင္္ျ ျ ည္တတင္္ျ က္် ္ေျပင္ေအျ ခေအန
0% 0.10%
3.70%
1.13%
1.57%
0.27%
1.65%
2.26%
0.47%
-0.23%
0.23% 0.15% 0%
-1%
0%
1%
1%
2%
2%
3%
3%
4%
4%
900
1,000
1,100
1,200
1,300
1,400
1,500
Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan
Difference between CBM and Market Rate
Avg Market Rate CBM Exchange Rate Difference
Myanmar Kyat
was depreciated
by 26.23% in
past 12 months
-20
-10
0
10
20
30
40
0
200
400
600
800
1000
1200
1400
2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
10-year trend of average exchange rate (Kyat/USD)
Kyat per USD
Change %
တလန္သည္ျ ၁၀ာႏျစ္အတတင္္ျ ေျပင္လာႏ န္ျ တက္မျ ခမ မ မ်မ က္
ေျအမက္္ါ ံျအတျင္္ျ ေျတတ႔ရရ ါသည္။
ဗဟျဘဏ္
ေျပင္လာႏ န္ျ ျာႏျင္္ျ
ေျစ္် တက္က္္
ေျပင္လာႏ န္ျ သည္
၂၀၁၅ခာႏျစ္္ စ္က္တ င္ဘမလအထ
တက္မျ ခမ မ
ရခေျသမျ္လည္ျ
ယင္္ျ ေျနမက္္ိုျင္္ျ တတင္္
တက္မဟမ
မရေျတမေျၾက္မင္္ျ
ေျတတ႔ရ ါသည္။
5 Year Foreign Exchange Rates of Neighboring Countries
Thai Baht Philippines Peso Indonesia Rupiah
Singapore Dollar Viet nam Dong Malaysia Ringgit
19.59 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015)
9.46 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015
7.17 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015)
5.25 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015
53 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015)
10 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015
9.02 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015)
6.64 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015
17 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015)
7 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015
39 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015)
16 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015
ေျဒသတတင္္ျ ေျေပင္ၾက္ မ်မ ၏ တနဖိုျျ ေျျ မင္္ျ လမ သည္ ၂၀၁၅ခာႏျစ္အတတင္္ျ ၁၀%ခန္႔သမ
ေျျ မင္္ျ လခ ါသည္။
Laos Kip Cambodia Riel Japan Yen
Korea Won China Yuan Renminbi India Rupee
5 Year Foreign Exchange Rates of Neighboring Countries
1.32 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015)
0.89 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015
1.1 % Appreciation (2011 – 2015)
0 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015
47 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015)
0.18 % Appreciation since 1/1/2015
11 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015)
5.82 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015
2.17 % Appreciation (2011 – 2015)
4.19 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015
47 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015)
4.27 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015
ေျအမက္္ါ ေျဒသတတင္္ျ ေျေပင္ၾက္ မ်မ ၏ တနဖိုျျ ေျျ မင္္ျ လမ သည္ ၂၀၁၅ခာႏျစ္အတတင္္ျ
အမ်မ ဆံျျ ၆%ခန္႔သမ ေျျ မင္္ျ လခ ါသည္။
• Hoarding
Factors Influencing Exchange Rate
ေျပင္လာႏ န္ျ က္ လႊမ္ျ မ ေျေနသမ အခ်က္္်မ
ျ မန္မာႏျျင္ငံတတင္္ ရင္္ျ ျာႏျျျ ျ မ်ိဳ ္ျာႏျျံရန္
ေျေပင္ၾက္ ေျစ္် တက္က္္ ျာႏျင္္ျ
အရင္္ျ အာႏျျျ ေျစ္် တက္က္္
မရေျသ သ ေင္္ျ ေျဒၚလမေျပင္က္ က္နညည္
သပေယ္
စ္ေျဆမင္္ျ ထမ ေျလရၾက္ ါသည္။
ေျပင္က္စ္မ သမ်မ က္
ေျဒၚလမတနဖိုျျျ တက္္တဟို
သတင္္ျ လႊင္္ျမ မ်မ ေျၾက္မင္္ျလည္ျ
ေျဒၚလမေျပင္က္ စ္ေျဆမင္္ျ သ၀က္္ မ မ
မ်မ ေျၾက္မင္္ျလည္ျ ေျဒၚလမတနဖို
ျ မင္္ျတက္လ ်က္ရ ွ ါသည္။
1 Trillion
[1,000 Billion]
One Hundred
17 Trillion $ US Debt
SO
For Every US$ you earn…
You are buying US$12.20
of Debt…
Obama Dollar Rally Is Forecast to Join Clinton, Reagan Upturns
• Bloombberg by Ari Alstedter
Negative Interest Rates and Countries
So share me your opinion
• Negative interest rates and countries
• Negative interest rates and gold
• Negative interest rates and inflation
• Negative interest rates and mortgages
• Negative interest rates and real estate
Thank you

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Discussion about yield

  • 1. Discussion About Yield Global Economy Impact on Myanmar
  • 2. 0 2000 4000 6000 8000 10000 12000 14000 16000 18000 US$Million Export and Import Value Export Import Myanmar 10 years Import & Export Data ျ မန္မာႏျျင္ငံ၏ ဆယ္ျာႏျစ္တမ တင္င္ြင္္ျ မ ာႏျင္္ျ တင္္ို႔မ ဆျင္ရမ အခ်က္အလက္္်မ Sources: Ministry of Commerce စ္ ပ မ က္ သန္ျ ဝနၾက္ ဌမန၏ စ္မရင္္ျ မ်မ အရ ၂၀၁၂-၁၃ခာႏျစ္အထ က္င္နြယ္ ေျပင္ျ ခ ါသည္။ ၂၀၁၃-၁၄ခာႏျစ္္ွစ္၍ က္င္နြယ္ လျေျပင္ျ လ်က္ရ ွရမ ယင္္ျ မမ က္င္နြယ္ ေျျ ေေလ်မမ မ်မ ေျၾက္မင္္ျ လ ငန္ျ အခ် ်ိဳ႕သည္ informal trade မ formal trade သျ႔ ေျျ မင္္ျ လလမေျသမေျၾက္မင္္ျျ ေစ္္ျာႏျျင္္ေျၾက္မင္္ျ သံျျ သ ၾက္ ါသည္။
  • 3. Current Situation of Dollar in Myanmar လက္ရ ွေျဒၚလမေအျ ခေအန 857 Ks = US $1 1/1/2013 1/1/2016 1307 K= US $1 ၂၀၁၃ခာႏျစ္္ ျာႏျစ္ဆန္ျ င္္ျ တတင္္ ျာႏျျင္ငံျ ခမ ေျပင္လာႏ န္ျ မမ ေအမရက္န္ တစ္္ေျဒၚလမလ်င္္ က္် ္ေျပင္ ၈၅၇ သမရခေျသမျ္လည္ျ ၂၀၁၆ခာႏျစ္္ ျာႏျစ္ဆန္ျ ျ္ျ္င္္ျ တတင္္ ၁၃၀၇ က္် အထ ျ မင္္ျတက္္ ါသည္။
  • 4. Myanmar Kyat was depreciated by 52% in past 5 years Current US$ vs MMK လက္ရ ွေျဒၚလမေျပင္ ျာႏျင္္ျ ျ ည္တတင္္ျ က္် ္ေျပင္ေအျ ခေအန 0% 0.10% 3.70% 1.13% 1.57% 0.27% 1.65% 2.26% 0.47% -0.23% 0.23% 0.15% 0% -1% 0% 1% 1% 2% 2% 3% 3% 4% 4% 900 1,000 1,100 1,200 1,300 1,400 1,500 Jan Feb Mar Apr May June July Aug Sept Oct Nov Dec Jan Difference between CBM and Market Rate Avg Market Rate CBM Exchange Rate Difference Myanmar Kyat was depreciated by 26.23% in past 12 months -20 -10 0 10 20 30 40 0 200 400 600 800 1000 1200 1400 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 10-year trend of average exchange rate (Kyat/USD) Kyat per USD Change % တလန္သည္ျ ၁၀ာႏျစ္အတတင္္ျ ေျပင္လာႏ န္ျ တက္မျ ခမ မ မ်မ က္ ေျအမက္္ါ ံျအတျင္္ျ ေျတတ႔ရရ ါသည္။ ဗဟျဘဏ္ ေျပင္လာႏ န္ျ ျာႏျင္္ျ ေျစ္် တက္က္္ ေျပင္လာႏ န္ျ သည္ ၂၀၁၅ခာႏျစ္္ စ္က္တ င္ဘမလအထ တက္မျ ခမ မ ရခေျသမျ္လည္ျ ယင္္ျ ေျနမက္္ိုျင္္ျ တတင္္ တက္မဟမ မရေျတမေျၾက္မင္္ျ ေျတတ႔ရ ါသည္။
  • 5. 5 Year Foreign Exchange Rates of Neighboring Countries Thai Baht Philippines Peso Indonesia Rupiah Singapore Dollar Viet nam Dong Malaysia Ringgit 19.59 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015) 9.46 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015 7.17 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015) 5.25 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015 53 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015) 10 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015 9.02 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015) 6.64 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015 17 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015) 7 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015 39 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015) 16 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015 ေျဒသတတင္္ျ ေျေပင္ၾက္ မ်မ ၏ တနဖိုျျ ေျျ မင္္ျ လမ သည္ ၂၀၁၅ခာႏျစ္အတတင္္ျ ၁၀%ခန္႔သမ ေျျ မင္္ျ လခ ါသည္။
  • 6. Laos Kip Cambodia Riel Japan Yen Korea Won China Yuan Renminbi India Rupee 5 Year Foreign Exchange Rates of Neighboring Countries 1.32 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015) 0.89 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015 1.1 % Appreciation (2011 – 2015) 0 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015 47 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015) 0.18 % Appreciation since 1/1/2015 11 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015) 5.82 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015 2.17 % Appreciation (2011 – 2015) 4.19 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015 47 % Depreciation (2011 – 2015) 4.27 % Depreciation since 1/1/2015 ေျအမက္္ါ ေျဒသတတင္္ျ ေျေပင္ၾက္ မ်မ ၏ တနဖိုျျ ေျျ မင္္ျ လမ သည္ ၂၀၁၅ခာႏျစ္အတတင္္ျ အမ်မ ဆံျျ ၆%ခန္႔သမ ေျျ မင္္ျ လခ ါသည္။
  • 7. • Hoarding Factors Influencing Exchange Rate ေျပင္လာႏ န္ျ က္ လႊမ္ျ မ ေျေနသမ အခ်က္္်မ ျ မန္မာႏျျင္ငံတတင္္ ရင္္ျ ျာႏျျျ ျ မ်ိဳ ္ျာႏျျံရန္ ေျေပင္ၾက္ ေျစ္် တက္က္္ ျာႏျင္္ျ အရင္္ျ အာႏျျျ ေျစ္် တက္က္္ မရေျသ သ ေင္္ျ ေျဒၚလမေျပင္က္ က္နညည္ သပေယ္ စ္ေျဆမင္္ျ ထမ ေျလရၾက္ ါသည္။ ေျပင္က္စ္မ သမ်မ က္ ေျဒၚလမတနဖိုျျျ တက္္တဟို သတင္္ျ လႊင္္ျမ မ်မ ေျၾက္မင္္ျလည္ျ ေျဒၚလမေျပင္က္ စ္ေျဆမင္္ျ သ၀က္္ မ မ မ်မ ေျၾက္မင္္ျလည္ျ ေျဒၚလမတနဖို ျ မင္္ျတက္လ ်က္ရ ွ ါသည္။
  • 10.
  • 11. 17 Trillion $ US Debt
  • 12. SO For Every US$ you earn… You are buying US$12.20 of Debt…
  • 13. Obama Dollar Rally Is Forecast to Join Clinton, Reagan Upturns • Bloombberg by Ari Alstedter
  • 14. Negative Interest Rates and Countries
  • 15. So share me your opinion • Negative interest rates and countries • Negative interest rates and gold • Negative interest rates and inflation • Negative interest rates and mortgages • Negative interest rates and real estate

Editor's Notes

  1. The dollars Price is growing high and high to 1300 Kyats per dollar. In 2013, the price was 857 Kyats per dollar. In 2015, the price is 1300 Kyats per dollar.