Overview of the Economic and Social Impacts of the New Manzanillo Port. Alejandro Diaz-Bautista, Ph.D. Professor of Economics and Researcher adiazbau@gmail.com

1. Overview of the Economic and Social Impacts of the New Manzanillo Port Alejandro Díaz-Bautista, Ph.D. Professor of Economics and Researcher at the Department of Economics at Colef. Ph.D. Economic Consultant. Visiting Research Fellow and Guest Scholar 2008, Center for U.S.-Mexican Studies, University of California San Diego (UCSD). January 30, 2008 . [email_address]

8. The economic role that the port of Manzanillo plays is significant. Manzanillo is the principle gateway for the Center and Bajio zones of Mexico. This area is integrated by 16 states that represent more than 60 percent of the integral gross production and 47 percent of the national population, for the foreign exchange by maritime traffic. The geographic position both internationally as well as nationally counts with an extensive influential zone in Mexico.

10. Sector Configuration in Mexican Ports

11. Mexican Ports in Development

17. 821 hectares = 9,819,078.28 yrd² 9000 meters = 5.59 miles NewPort Manzanillo, Colima

21. NewPort Manzanillo, Colima

32. Newport Manzanillo National and International Economic Perspective

35. NewPort Manzanillo Econometric Model for Forecasting Cargo Traffic CROSS BORDER CROSS BORDER NATIONAL HINTERLAND COLIMA ECONOMY TRANSHIPMENT IMPORT EXPORT PORT RELATED INDUSTRIES

36. Increasing World Transhipments (in Thousands of TEU’s)

38. China is expanding its markets, and the U.S. becomes less important, Latin America also expands Source: GIWTM

39. Latin America could absorb 10% of China’s container exports by 2010 Source: GIWTM

40. Latin Americas containers to the U.S. in 2006 were close to 3 million TEUs 2007 3.2 million TEUs 2015 4.2 million TEUs Almost 4% average annual growth Exports from Latin America to the Far East (China) will grow by 6.0%/year and hit 1.4 million TEUs in 2015. Far East

41. Latin America imported 1.5 million TEUs from the U.S. in 2006. 2007 1.5 million TEUs 2015 2.0 million TEUs 3% average annual growth Imports from the Far East (China) will grow by 7.1%/year and hit 2 million TEUs in 2015. Far East

47. Mexico’s Multimodal Systems and Port Infrastructure in 2012 FUENTE: Programa Nacional de Infraestructura, Secretaría de Comunicaciones y Transportes

50. Manzanillo in Nafta’s Superhighway Colima has a total of 1,225 miles (1,971.5 kilometers) of highways. Colima’s highways connect with the NAFTA route, beginning in Manzanillo, passing through the cities of Tecomán and Colima and continuing on to Jalisco state where it joins the Guadalajara-Mexico highway to the U.S. and Canada.

54. Alternative to NAFTA Superhighway, the Expansion of Panama Canal A secondary southern route for Asian containers traveling through the Panama Canal and linking up with Canadian National routes in Louisiana, or heading north into the Atlantic to connect with Canadian National in Halifax. The development of the port in Prince Rupert, B.C., as an official "Asian Gateway“ is another alternative to NAFTA super highway.

58. Overview of the Economic and Social Impacts of the New Manzanillo Port Alejandro Díaz-Bautista, Ph.D. Professor of Economics and Researcher at the Department of Economics at Colef. Ph.D. Economic Consultant. Visiting Research Fellow and Guest Scholar 2008, Center for U.S.-Mexican Studies, University of California San Diego (UCSD). January 30, 2008 . [email_address]