As we expected, the QSE Index lost ground last Thursday; the current correction is a marginal one so far. Momentum remains to be weaker than before and we consider the 10,000 level to be the most important level to maintain above.

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Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Sunday, 27 March 2016
Stocks Covered Today
Ticker Price Target
NLCS 16.73 15.50
MCCS 92.80 88.00
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 10,285.50 -1.60 6.1
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 10,400 10,500 10,700
Support 10,250 10,000 9,800
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
As we expected, the QSE Index lost
ground last Thursday; the current
correction is a marginal one so far.
Momentum remains to be weaker than
before and we consider the 10,000 level to
be the most important level to maintain
above.
Expected Resistance Level: 10,400
Expected Support Level: 10,250
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QE Summary
Market Indicators 24 Mar 23 Mar %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 336.8 407.7 -17.4
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 544.7 552.0 -1.3
Volume (mn) 9.7 12.1 -20.2
Number of Trans. 5,271 5,474 -3.7
Companies Traded 41 40 2.5
Market Breadth 7:28 12:23 –
QE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 16,516.56 -1.3 60.9
All Share Index 2,830.53 -1.2 63.7
Banks 2,789.31 -1.1 57.8
Industrials 3,084.14 -0.8 60.3
Transportation 2,528.15 -0.5 69.9
Real Estate 2,471.10 -2.0 63.6
Insurance 4,484.39 -2.7 54.8
Telecoms 1,092.60 -1.4 54.2
Consumer Goods 6,622.75 0.1 78.7
Al Rayan Islamic 3,945.26 -1.4 67.9
RSI 14 (Over Bought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
MRDS 14.15 -1.7 74.5
ZHCD 92.00 2.2 73.9
QFLS 157.00 0.8 70.7
RSI 14 (Over Sold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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NLCS
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 16.73 -3.29 307,729
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 17.00 17.50 18.00
Support 16.66 15.50 14.00
Commentary
Overview:
The good news for NLCS is that the short-
term trend is up and the price broke above
an important downtrend line. That been
said, the price might see some correction;
the Histogram is showing weakness.
Expected Price Retreat: QR15.50 –
QR14.00
A price breach below QR16.66 triggers the
sell recommendation.
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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MCCS
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 92.80 -4.62 75,411
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 96.20 100.00 105.50
Support 92.00 88.00 80.00
Commentary
Overview:
The name has been in a downtrend over
the long term and just created a lower
highs and lower lows on a smaller time
frame. This indicates further weakness
that might take place.
Expected Price Retreat: QR88.00 –
QR80.00
A price breach below QR92.00 triggers the
sell recommendation.
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research

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Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 10,285.50 10,191.24 10,240.44 10,270.84 10,320.04 10,369.24 10,399.64 10,448.84 9,736.55 10,073.45 10,891.08
Total Return 16,516.56 16,365.19 16,444.20 16,493.01 16,572.02 16,651.03 16,699.84 16,778.85 15,312.20 15,746.79 16,972.83
All Share 2,830.53 2,803.26 2,817.58 2,826.43 2,840.76 2,855.08 2,863.93 2,878.26 2,617.39 2,696.41 2,910.06
Al Rayan Islamic 3,945.26 3,896.47 3,924.43 3,941.70 3,969.65 3,997.61 4,014.88 4,042.83 3,549.64 3,712.70 4,109.74
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 35.70 35.40 35.50 35.55 35.65 35.75 35.80 35.90 34.64 36.12 40.14
CBQK 41.60 40.67 41.09 41.35 41.77 42.19 42.45 42.87 42.46 44.73 50.08
DHBK 37.00 36.60 36.81 36.94 37.15 37.36 37.49 37.70 38.51 41.82 46.76
QIBK 107.00 105.67 106.24 106.59 107.17 107.74 108.09 108.67 96.07 103.73 107.64
QIIK 71.60 69.20 69.96 70.44 71.20 71.96 72.44 73.20 66.72 66.84 71.93
Insurance
QATI 83.00 82.53 82.72 82.84 83.03 83.22 83.34 83.53 74.44 73.24 77.64
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 113.00 110.40 111.62 112.38 113.60 114.82 115.58 116.80 98.40 113.87 144.45
Industrials
IQCD 107.90 106.63 107.02 107.25 107.63 108.02 108.25 108.63 102.99 105.23 118.20
QEWS 199.00 196.33 197.10 197.57 198.33 199.10 199.57 200.33 194.15 201.50 208.82
GISS 36.10 35.27 35.71 35.98 36.42 36.86 37.13 37.57 37.28 44.84 56.97
QIGD 41.00 34.63 37.56 39.36 42.28 45.21 47.01 49.93 33.59 36.02 42.57
Real Estate
BRES 35.00 34.33 34.64 34.83 35.13 35.44 35.63 35.93 34.83 37.62 42.44
UDCD 19.40 19.05 19.22 19.33 19.49 19.66 19.77 19.93 19.85 20.51 22.38
ERES 17.84 17.48 17.69 17.81 18.02 18.23 18.35 18.56 15.14 15.73 17.00
MRDS 14.15 13.65 13.94 14.11 14.40 14.69 14.86 15.15 11.66 12.84 14.64
Telecommunication
ORDS 86.90 85.50 86.30 86.80 87.60 88.40 88.90 89.70 83.67 78.03 78.47
VFQS 12.31 12.05 12.20 12.29 12.44 12.59 12.68 12.83 11.06 11.64 13.34
Transportation
QGTS 23.17 22.83 22.93 23.00 23.10 23.20 23.27 23.37 22.31 22.98 22.76
QNNS 93.00 90.60 91.29 91.71 92.40 93.09 93.51 94.20 91.82 93.82 95.66
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price

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Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and
the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower
than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered
a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price
direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.

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Contacts:
Zaid al-Nafoosi, CMT, CFTe Saugata Sarkar Shahan Keushgerian
Senior Research Analyst Head of Research Senior Research Analyst
Tel: (+974) 4476 6535 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6509
zaid.alnafoosi@qnbfs.com.qa saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa shahan.keushgerian@qnbfs.com.qa
QNB Financial Services SPC
Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
PO Box 24025
Doha, Qatar
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