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Daily Technical Trader – Qatar
Monday, 25 May 2015
Stocks Covered Today
Ticker Price 1
st
Target
ORDS 96.00 98.00
NLCS 22.10 21.60
QSE Index
Level % Ch. Vol. (mn)
Last 12,443.42 0.0 11.7
Resistance/Support
Levels 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 12,600 12,800 13,000
Support 12,400 12,350 12,150
QSE Index Commentary
Overview:
The QSE Index closed flat and is not
moving in any certain direction; technical
indicators are growing flattish. As a result,
we can only stipulate that the downward
pressure is more prominent.
Expected Resistance Level: 12,600
Expected Support Level: 12,400
QSE Index (Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
QE Summary
Market Indicators 24 May 15 21 May 15 %Ch.
Value Traded (QR mn) 439.5 497.1 -11.6
Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 660.7 664.9 -0.6
Volume (mn) 13.6 15.7 -13.8
Number of Trans. 5,536 6,273 -11.7
Companies Traded 41 41 0.0
Market Breadth 11:24 24:13 –
QE Indices
Market Indices Close 1D% RSI
Total Return 19,337.72 0.0 61.9
All Share Index 3,313.24 -0.1 61.0
Banks 3,217.45 -0.4 44.5
Industrials 3,951.74 -0.6 41.7
Transportation 2,461.12 -0.2 45.3
Real Estate 2,996.99 1.5 72.0
Insurance 4,770.26 -0.1 73.6
Telecoms 1,288.51 -0.3 38.9
Consumer 7,307.85 -1.1 45.4
Al Rayan Islamic 4,734.85 -0.4 63.9
RSI 14 (Over Bought)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
QATI 97.00 0.0 72.6
IHGS 144.00 2.1 72.1
ERES 20.90 2.4 70.2
RSI 14 (Over Sold)
Ticker Close 1D% RSI
MPHC 25.25 -1.0 24.2
MARK 45.05 -1.6 28.5
QSE Index (30min)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6
ORDS
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 96.00 0.00 18,290
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 96.00 98.00 100.00
Support 94.00 93.00 92.00
Commentary
Overview:
Although the long term trend is down,
ORDS created three Doji candlesticks in
the past sessions. These indecision
candles suggest balance of forces after a
sharp drop. Price stability above QR94.00
is essential for a bounce.
Expected Target Price: 98.00 –
QR100.00
A break above QR96.00 is needed to
trigger the buy recommendation.
Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR95.00
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6
NLCS
Price % Ch. Volume
Last 22.10 4.54 2,277,156
Resistance/Support
Levels (QR) 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
Resistance 22.30 23.00 23.40
Support 22.00 21.60 21.15
Commentary
Overview:
NLCS has been trading in a range since
the beginning of the year. Heavy
resistance is expected around the current
levels. We expect a correction is more
likely given intraday indicators.
Expected Price Retreat: QR21.60 –
QR21.15
A breach below QR22.00 triggers the sell
recommendation.
(Daily)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
(Hourly)
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6
Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages
Support Levels Resistance Levels
Ticker Close 3
rd
2
nd
1
st
Pivot 1
st
2
nd
3
rd
50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA
QSE Index 12,443.42 12,380.93 12,409.50 12,427.14 12,455.70 12,484.27 12,501.91 12,530.47 11,983.19 12,092.32 12,723.48
Total Return 19,337.72 19,240.61 19,285.00 19,312.42 19,356.81 19,401.20 19,428.62 19,473.01 18,592.75 18,469.93 19,194.12
All Share 3,313.24 3,298.91 3,305.74 3,309.96 3,316.79 3,323.62 3,327.84 3,334.67 3,199.66 3,180.80 3,282.02
Al Rayan Islamic 4,734.85 4,712.02 4,723.02 4,729.81 4,740.80 4,751.80 4,758.59 4,769.58 4,491.88 4,362.76 4,440.33
Banks & Financials Services
MARK 45.05 44.38 44.75 44.97 45.33 45.70 45.92 46.28 47.50 46.87 49.36
CBQK 56.40 56.13 56.25 56.32 56.43 56.55 56.62 56.73 57.16 59.66 62.03
DHBK 55.60 55.00 55.23 55.37 55.60 55.83 55.97 56.20 52.94 54.88 56.86
QIBK 106.00 104.93 105.24 105.43 105.73 106.04 106.23 106.53 101.78 103.25 106.87
QIIK 79.50 79.03 79.30 79.47 79.73 80.00 80.17 80.43 79.68 81.53 83.71
Insurance
QATI 97.00 95.60 96.10 96.40 96.90 97.40 97.70 98.20 81.72 79.42 80.88
Consumer Goods & Services
MCGS 171.20 163.73 166.03 167.44 169.73 172.03 173.44 175.73 158.32 146.75 136.33
Industrials
IQCD 141.10 139.57 140.22 140.62 141.27 141.92 142.32 142.97 141.50 146.83 166.63
QEWS 213.50 211.70 212.69 213.31 214.30 215.29 215.91 216.90 199.92 195.94 191.62
GISS 79.90 77.97 78.54 78.89 79.47 80.04 80.39 80.97 87.56 93.19 103.91
QIGD 52.70 51.83 52.33 52.64 53.13 53.63 53.94 54.43 45.25 43.09 47.29
Real Estate
BRES 50.80 49.60 50.10 50.40 50.90 51.40 51.70 52.20 48.27 47.20 45.14
UDCD 23.79 23.38 23.51 23.58 23.70 23.83 23.90 24.02 22.32 23.21 25.30
ERES 20.90 19.79 20.16 20.39 20.76 21.13 21.36 21.73 16.95 16.25 17.41
MRDS 19.42 19.24 19.32 19.36 19.44 19.52 19.56 19.64 18.29 18.53 20.06
Telecommunication
ORDS 96.00 94.93 95.24 95.43 95.73 96.04 96.23 96.53 100.45 107.82 116.15
VFQS 17.72 17.53 17.63 17.68 17.77 17.87 17.92 18.01 17.48 17.02 18.30
Transportation
QGTS 22.52 22.37 22.43 22.47 22.52 22.58 22.62 22.67 22.62 23.29 23.62
QNNS 98.00 97.93 97.97 98.00 98.03 98.07 98.10 98.13 99.70 100.89 98.71
Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6
Definitions:
Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening
and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is
lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they
compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices.
Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher.
Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the
security price to head lower.
SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus
considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative
price direction and potential support/resistance levels.
Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange.
MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in
a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data.
RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally
use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be
considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold.
Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head &
shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc.
Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These
levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement.
Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot
Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6
Contacts:
Saugata Sarkar Sahbi Kasraoui QNB Financial Services SPC
Head of Research Head of HNI Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666
Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 PO Box 24025
saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar
Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar
Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer,
promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or
indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We
therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that
QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy
and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or
contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the
views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included
in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.

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25 May Daily technical trader

  • 1. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 1 of 6 Daily Technical Trader – Qatar Monday, 25 May 2015 Stocks Covered Today Ticker Price 1 st Target ORDS 96.00 98.00 NLCS 22.10 21.60 QSE Index Level % Ch. Vol. (mn) Last 12,443.42 0.0 11.7 Resistance/Support Levels 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 12,600 12,800 13,000 Support 12,400 12,350 12,150 QSE Index Commentary Overview: The QSE Index closed flat and is not moving in any certain direction; technical indicators are growing flattish. As a result, we can only stipulate that the downward pressure is more prominent. Expected Resistance Level: 12,600 Expected Support Level: 12,400 QSE Index (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research QE Summary Market Indicators 24 May 15 21 May 15 %Ch. Value Traded (QR mn) 439.5 497.1 -11.6 Ex. Mkt. Cap. (QR bn) 660.7 664.9 -0.6 Volume (mn) 13.6 15.7 -13.8 Number of Trans. 5,536 6,273 -11.7 Companies Traded 41 41 0.0 Market Breadth 11:24 24:13 – QE Indices Market Indices Close 1D% RSI Total Return 19,337.72 0.0 61.9 All Share Index 3,313.24 -0.1 61.0 Banks 3,217.45 -0.4 44.5 Industrials 3,951.74 -0.6 41.7 Transportation 2,461.12 -0.2 45.3 Real Estate 2,996.99 1.5 72.0 Insurance 4,770.26 -0.1 73.6 Telecoms 1,288.51 -0.3 38.9 Consumer 7,307.85 -1.1 45.4 Al Rayan Islamic 4,734.85 -0.4 63.9 RSI 14 (Over Bought) Ticker Close 1D% RSI QATI 97.00 0.0 72.6 IHGS 144.00 2.1 72.1 ERES 20.90 2.4 70.2 RSI 14 (Over Sold) Ticker Close 1D% RSI MPHC 25.25 -1.0 24.2 MARK 45.05 -1.6 28.5 QSE Index (30min) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 2. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 2 of 6 ORDS Price % Ch. Volume Last 96.00 0.00 18,290 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 96.00 98.00 100.00 Support 94.00 93.00 92.00 Commentary Overview: Although the long term trend is down, ORDS created three Doji candlesticks in the past sessions. These indecision candles suggest balance of forces after a sharp drop. Price stability above QR94.00 is essential for a bounce. Expected Target Price: 98.00 – QR100.00 A break above QR96.00 is needed to trigger the buy recommendation. Suggested Stop-Loss Price: QR95.00 (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 3. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 3 of 6 NLCS Price % Ch. Volume Last 22.10 4.54 2,277,156 Resistance/Support Levels (QR) 1 st 2 nd 3 rd Resistance 22.30 23.00 23.40 Support 22.00 21.60 21.15 Commentary Overview: NLCS has been trading in a range since the beginning of the year. Heavy resistance is expected around the current levels. We expect a correction is more likely given intraday indicators. Expected Price Retreat: QR21.60 – QR21.15 A breach below QR22.00 triggers the sell recommendation. (Daily) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research (Hourly) Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research
  • 4. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 4 of 6 Intraday Fibonacci Support and Resistance Levels Daily Moving Averages Support Levels Resistance Levels Ticker Close 3 rd 2 nd 1 st Pivot 1 st 2 nd 3 rd 50 SMA 100 SMA 200 SMA QSE Index 12,443.42 12,380.93 12,409.50 12,427.14 12,455.70 12,484.27 12,501.91 12,530.47 11,983.19 12,092.32 12,723.48 Total Return 19,337.72 19,240.61 19,285.00 19,312.42 19,356.81 19,401.20 19,428.62 19,473.01 18,592.75 18,469.93 19,194.12 All Share 3,313.24 3,298.91 3,305.74 3,309.96 3,316.79 3,323.62 3,327.84 3,334.67 3,199.66 3,180.80 3,282.02 Al Rayan Islamic 4,734.85 4,712.02 4,723.02 4,729.81 4,740.80 4,751.80 4,758.59 4,769.58 4,491.88 4,362.76 4,440.33 Banks & Financials Services MARK 45.05 44.38 44.75 44.97 45.33 45.70 45.92 46.28 47.50 46.87 49.36 CBQK 56.40 56.13 56.25 56.32 56.43 56.55 56.62 56.73 57.16 59.66 62.03 DHBK 55.60 55.00 55.23 55.37 55.60 55.83 55.97 56.20 52.94 54.88 56.86 QIBK 106.00 104.93 105.24 105.43 105.73 106.04 106.23 106.53 101.78 103.25 106.87 QIIK 79.50 79.03 79.30 79.47 79.73 80.00 80.17 80.43 79.68 81.53 83.71 Insurance QATI 97.00 95.60 96.10 96.40 96.90 97.40 97.70 98.20 81.72 79.42 80.88 Consumer Goods & Services MCGS 171.20 163.73 166.03 167.44 169.73 172.03 173.44 175.73 158.32 146.75 136.33 Industrials IQCD 141.10 139.57 140.22 140.62 141.27 141.92 142.32 142.97 141.50 146.83 166.63 QEWS 213.50 211.70 212.69 213.31 214.30 215.29 215.91 216.90 199.92 195.94 191.62 GISS 79.90 77.97 78.54 78.89 79.47 80.04 80.39 80.97 87.56 93.19 103.91 QIGD 52.70 51.83 52.33 52.64 53.13 53.63 53.94 54.43 45.25 43.09 47.29 Real Estate BRES 50.80 49.60 50.10 50.40 50.90 51.40 51.70 52.20 48.27 47.20 45.14 UDCD 23.79 23.38 23.51 23.58 23.70 23.83 23.90 24.02 22.32 23.21 25.30 ERES 20.90 19.79 20.16 20.39 20.76 21.13 21.36 21.73 16.95 16.25 17.41 MRDS 19.42 19.24 19.32 19.36 19.44 19.52 19.56 19.64 18.29 18.53 20.06 Telecommunication ORDS 96.00 94.93 95.24 95.43 95.73 96.04 96.23 96.53 100.45 107.82 116.15 VFQS 17.72 17.53 17.63 17.68 17.77 17.87 17.92 18.01 17.48 17.02 18.30 Transportation QGTS 22.52 22.37 22.43 22.47 22.52 22.58 22.62 22.67 22.62 23.29 23.62 QNNS 98.00 97.93 97.97 98.00 98.03 98.07 98.10 98.13 99.70 100.89 98.71 Source: Bloomberg, QNBFS Research; Note: Numbers in Italics denote moving averages that are above the given index level/stock price
  • 5. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 5 of 6 Definitions: Candlestick: A chart that displays the high, low, opening and closing prices for a security in a single period. The body of the candle is made up by the opening and the closing prices, i.e., the taller the body the greater the range between these two prices and vice versa. A colored candle denotes a closing price that is lower than the opening price, while a white candle shows the opposite. The candlestick's shadows or wicks show the period's high and low prices and how they compare to the opening and closing price. In general, the shape of the candle will vary upon the positions of the period's high, low, opening and closing prices. Support: A level that could cause more buyers to step in in order to prevent the security from falling or causing the security price to head higher. Resistance: An inverse of a support level. A resistance area or level could cause more sellers to step in in order to prevent the security from rising or causing the security price to head lower. SMA (Simple Moving Average): Is an arithmetic average, which calculates the average price of a security over a defined number of periods and is thus considered a lagging indicator. SMAs used in our analysis refer to closing prices. In general, SMAs serve many purposes, such as a smoothing tool, an indicative price direction and potential support/resistance levels. Market Breadth: Breadth indicates the number of securities that have closed higher vs. the number of decliners in a particular exchange. MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence): Is a trading indicator, which shows changes in the strength, direction, momentum and duration of a trend in a stock's price through a collection of three time series calculated from historical closing price data. RSI (Relative Strength Index): Is a momentum indicator that compares a security’s price gains to its losses for a predetermined number of periods (we generally use 14 periods). The RSI attempts to point out how a security, in relative terms, is in the overbought/oversold zone. Securities with a RSI above 70 could be considered as overbought, and below 30 could be considered as oversold. Pattern/Formation: Is a graphical presentation of a security’s price activity over a certain period of time. Formations come in different shapes (such as, head & shoulders, triangles, flags, and so on). They can be used to identify potential trends, reversal of trends, price targets, entry and exit points, etc. Fibonacci Retracements: Are horizontal lines that indicate expected areas of support/resistance for a security based on a predetermined price movement. These levels are usually indicated by Fibonacci ratios of 23.6%, 38.2%, 50.0%, 61.8% and 100% from that particular movement. Fibonacci Pivot and Intra-day Support/Resistance: A Pivot Point is generally used to formulate expected future support/resistance levels. From the base Pivot Point, Fibonacci multiples of the high-low differential are added to form resistance levels and subtracted to form support levels.
  • 6. COPYRIGHT: No part of this document may be reproduced without the explicit written permission of QNBFS Page 6 of 6 Contacts: Saugata Sarkar Sahbi Kasraoui QNB Financial Services SPC Head of Research Head of HNI Contact Center: (+974) 4476 6666 Tel: (+974) 4476 6534 Tel: (+974) 4476 6544 PO Box 24025 saugata.sarkar@qnbfs.com.qa sahbi.alkasraoui@qnbfs.com.qa Doha, Qatar Disclaimer and Copyright Notice: This publication has been prepared by QNB Financial Services SPC (“QNBFS”) a wholly-owned subsidiary of QNB SAQ (“QNB”). QNBFS is regulated by the Qatar Financial Markets Authority and the Qatar Exchange QNB SAQ is regulated by the Qatar Central Bank. This publication expresses the views and opinions of QNBFS at a given time only. It is not an offer, promotion or recommendation to buy or sell securities or other investments, nor is it intended to constitute legal, tax, accounting, or financial advice. QNBFS accepts no liability whatsoever for any direct or indirect losses arising from use of this report. Any investment decision should depend on the individual circumstances of the investor and be based on specifically engaged investment advice. We therefore strongly advise potential investors to seek independent professional advice before making any investment decision. Although the information in this report has been obtained from sources that QNBFS believes to be reliable, we have not independently verified such information and it may not be accurate or complete. QNBFS does not make any representations or warranties as to the accuracy and completeness of the information it may contain, and declines any liability in that respect. For reports dealing with Technical Analysis, expressed opinions and/or recommendations may be different or contrary to the opinions/recommendations of QNBFS Fundamental Research as a result of depending solely on the historical technical data (price and volume). QNBFS reserves the right to amend the views and opinions expressed in this publication at any time. It may also express viewpoints or make investment decisions that differ significantly from, or even contradict, the views and opinions included in this report. This report may not be reproduced in whole or in part without permission from QNBFS.