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COVID 19
Vaccinez-vous
En France :
Semaine du 26 Juillet au 1 Aout:Augmentation
• du nombre de cas : + 17% ( variant Delta dans 91,7 %)
• prépondérante chez les plus de 40 ans
Augmentation en une semaine chez les plus de 20 ans de :
• 55% des hospitalisations (âge moyen : 57 ans)
• 63% en services de réanimation (âge moyen : 59 ans)
Décès : Majoration de 56%
Covid 19 en Normandie
Du 26/7/21 au 1/8/21
Nouveaux cas + 15%
Variant Delta dans 92,6 %
Hospitalisations + 53%
Admissions en réanimation : + 100%
Taux de vaccination complète 58,5%
Evolution
• Présence d’autres variants source de
• contamination accrue
• sévérité variable de la maladie
• Risque d’échappement vaccinal
• Loi statistique d’échappement vaccinal :
1 − (1 − 𝑝)𝑁
• P : probabilité de mutation; N : nombre de
cas quotidiens observés
• Cela signifie que la majoration du risque de
mutation est d’autant plus élevée que le
nombre de malades atteints du Covid 19
augmente
• Donc plus le virus peut contaminer des non
vaccinés plus il peut muter
Conclusion
Vaccinez-vous

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Covid 19 : vaccinez-vous

  • 2. En France : Semaine du 26 Juillet au 1 Aout:Augmentation • du nombre de cas : + 17% ( variant Delta dans 91,7 %) • prépondérante chez les plus de 40 ans Augmentation en une semaine chez les plus de 20 ans de : • 55% des hospitalisations (âge moyen : 57 ans) • 63% en services de réanimation (âge moyen : 59 ans) Décès : Majoration de 56%
  • 3. Covid 19 en Normandie Du 26/7/21 au 1/8/21 Nouveaux cas + 15% Variant Delta dans 92,6 % Hospitalisations + 53% Admissions en réanimation : + 100% Taux de vaccination complète 58,5%
  • 4. Evolution • Présence d’autres variants source de • contamination accrue • sévérité variable de la maladie • Risque d’échappement vaccinal • Loi statistique d’échappement vaccinal : 1 − (1 − 𝑝)𝑁 • P : probabilité de mutation; N : nombre de cas quotidiens observés • Cela signifie que la majoration du risque de mutation est d’autant plus élevée que le nombre de malades atteints du Covid 19 augmente • Donc plus le virus peut contaminer des non vaccinés plus il peut muter