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Weekly Chart Book
February 17, 2014

Global Clients…Global Portfolios

disclosure: The opinions expressed in this Weekly Chart Book report are those of the author. The materials and commentary are strictly informational and should be used for
research use only. This bulletin is not intended to provide investing or other advice or guidance with respect to the matters addressed in the bulletin. All relevant facts,
including individual circumstances, need to be considered by the reader to arrive at investment conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this bulletin. Charts and
information used in this report are sourced from Bloomberg.
Financial Conditions
Developed Markets

4
Emerging Markets

5
US Financial Conditions vs. 52 weeks & 2000-2007 Period

6
1 Year Default Probability – Developed Markets

7
1 Year Default Probability – Emerging Markets

8
Developed Market – CDS

9
Emerging Market – CDS

10
The VIX Index (S&P 500 Implied Volatility)

11
Global Financial Stress Index

12
Citi Macro Risk Index

13
Margin Debt & S&P 500

14
Fixed Income & Credit
US Yield Curve (Current vs. 1 Month & 12 Months Ago)

16
UST Curve vs. US Investment Grade Curve

17
U.S. Treasury 30 Year Yield

18
U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield

19
Fed’s 5 Year Forward Breakeven (Inflation Expectations)

20
Investment Grade Bond Prices

21
Investment Grade Credit Spread (BBB – 10 Yr. UST Yield)

22
High Yield Bond Prices

23
High Yield Credit Spreads (HY – 10 Yr. UST Yield)

24
Emerging Market Debt (USD Denominated)

25
Emerging Market Bond Spreads

26
Global Equities
World Equity Indices

28
Earnings Scorecard

29
MSCI All Country World Index

30
S&P 500 Index

31
MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index

32
MSCI Emerging Markets Index

33
Equity Risk Premiums by Country

34
The Economy
Last week’s Economic Calendar

36
Next week’s Economic Calendar

37
Economic Surprise Monitor (Deviations from Expectations)

38
Currencies & Commodities
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (6 Month Spot Returns)

40
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (Spot Forecast: Q1 2014)

41
Emerging Mrkt. Currency Implied Volatility – Time Series

42
US Dollar Index

43
Euro €

44
Japanese Yen ¥

45
Mexican Peso

46
Turkish Lira

47
Russian Ruble

48
Indian Rupee

49
Global Commodity Prices

50
Continuous Commodity Index – 5 Years

51
Gold Prices – 5 Years

52
Crude Oil Prices – 5 Years

53
Copper Prices – 5 Years

54

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Chart Book and Financial Market Update (2/17/14)