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Weekly Chart Book
February 3, 2014

Global Clients…Global Portfolios

disclosure: The opinions expressed in this Weekly Chart Book report are those of the author. The materials and commentary are strictly informational and should be used for
research use only. This bulletin is not intended to provide investing or other advice or guidance with respect to the matters addressed in the bulletin. All relevant facts,
including individual circumstances, need to be considered by the reader to arrive at investment conclusions that comply with matters addressed in this bulletin. Charts and
information used in this report are sourced from Bloomberg.
Financial Conditions
Developed Markets

4
Emerging Markets

5
US Financial Conditions vs. 52 weeks & 2000-2007 Period

6
1 Year Default Probability – Developed Markets

7
1 Year Default Probability – Emerging Markets

8
Developed Market – CDS

9
Emerging Market – CDS

10
Global Banks – CDS

11
The VIX Index (S&P 500 Implied Volatility)

12
Global Financial Stress Index

13
Citi Macro Risk Index

14
Margin Debt & S&P 500

15
Fixed Income & Credit
US Yield Curve (Current vs. 1 Month & 12 Months Ago)

17
UST Curve vs. US Investment Grade Curve

18
U.S. Treasury 30 Year Yield

19
U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield

20
U.S. Treasury 10 Year Yield – Forecast

21
Fed’s 5 Year Forward Breakeven (Inflation Expectations)

22
Investment Grade Bond Prices

23
Investment Grade Credit Spread (BBB – 10 Yr. UST Yield)

24
High Yield Bond Prices

25
High Yield Credit Spreads (HY – 10 Yr. UST Yield)

26
Emerging Market Debt (USD Denominated)

27
Emerging Market Bond Spreads

28
Global Equities
World Equity Indices

30
Earnings Scorecard

31
MSCI All Country World Index

32
ACWI Earnings Estimates (Forward 12 Months)

33
S&P 500 Index

34
S&P 500 Earnings Estimates (Forward 12 Months)

35
MSCI EAFE (Europe, Australia, Far East) Index

36
MSCI EAFE Earnings Estimates (Forward 12 Months)

37
MSCI Emerging Markets Index

38
MSCI EM Earnings Estimates (Forward 12 Months)

39
Equity Risk Premiums by Country

40
The Economy
Last week’s Economic Calendar

42
Next week’s Economic Calendar

43
Economic Surprise Monitor (Deviations from Expectations)

44
Currencies & Commodities
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (6 Month Spot Returns)

46
World Currencies vs. U.S. Dollar (Spot Forecast: Q1 2014)

47
Developed Market Currency Implied Volatility

48
Emerging Market Currency Implied Volatility

49
Developed Mrkt. Currency Implied Volatility – Time Series

50
Emerging Mrkt. Currency Implied Volatility – Time Series

51
US Dollar Index

52
Euro €

53
Japanese Yen ¥

54
Mexican Peso

55
Turkish Lira

56
Russian Ruble

57
Indian Rupee

58
Global Commodity Prices

59
Continuous Commodity Index – 5 Years

60
Gold Prices – 5 Years

61
Crude Oil Prices – 5 Years

62
Copper Prices – 5 Years

63

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