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www.gavi.org
CEO Board update
Immunising children together
Seth Berkley, MD
7th December 2016, Côte d’Ivoire
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
2
Global
landscape
2Reporting back on
Board decisions
1 Health threats
3 Alliance fit
for purpose
4
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
HPV
support
review
Yellow
fever
approach
Stockpile
strategy
Côte d’Ivoire: road to recovery
• High coverage before crisis: 85% in 2010
• During crisis coverage dropped: 62% in 2011
• Rapid system recovery – waived coverage
requirement for pneumococcal and rotavirus
vaccines in 2014
• Focus on routine – improved coverage:
pentavalent 83%, pneumococcal 72% in 2015
• HPV demonstration project: 98% coverage,
preparation for national introduction
• No Ebola cases despite bordering Guinea and
Sierra Leone
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Fragility
policy
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Côte d’Ivoire: issues remain
• Yellow fever: campaign 2011-2012, no confirmed
cases since but routine coverage just 49%
• Equity: focus on low-coverage districts and
communities
• Data quality: country-tailored approach has plan
to improve quality and flow of data from service
delivery to national level
• Sustainability: challenge to shift from preparatory
to accelerated transition (expected by 2020)
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
1
5
Reporting back on
Board decisions
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Malaria vaccine pilots
• June Board approved up to US$ 27.5m for pilots, to be
matched by other donors
• Full funding now secured for first phase:
• Global Fund: US$ 15m
• UNITAID: US$ 9.6m
• WHO responded to Gavi’s review committee request to
reduce budget: 8% reduction means pilots should go ahead
• Historic partnership to tackle one of the biggest child killers
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
June 2016:
Board approved funding for pilots
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Measles-rubella strategy
• Implementation: 10 applications
so far, implementation from 2017
• Joint appraisals: incidence,
coverage, surveillance
• Ownership: countries self-
financing 1st dose from 2018
• Sustainability: long-term
planning, focus on routine
• Enhanced analysis: changed
Ethiopia targets, high potential
for modelling to improve results
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Dec 2015: Board approved new strategy
Credit: World Health Organisation
Source: Surveillance DEF file, 09 Nov 2016
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Measles SIA in Ethiopia (non-Gavi supported)
April 2016 (545 woredas)
>= 95%
< 95%
No campaign
Measles SIA in Ethiopia (non-Gavi supported)
October 2015 (367 woredas)
Ethiopia: targeted measles campaign
• 2013 nationwide campaign: 98%
administrative coverage, 90.6% survey
• Continued outbreaks 2013-15
• Oct/Nov 2015, Apr 2016 campaigns
• April 2016: 94% average survey coverage
in targeted woredas (districts)
• Jan 2017 targeted campaign
• Adjusted after epidemiological analysis
• Targeting woredas not covered before or
below 90% coverage
• Post-campaign coverage survey
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Note: all woredas could
not be accurately mapped
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
2011-2015
Pentavalent ✔
Measles & rubella
Pneumococcal
Rotavirus
HPV
IPV
✔
some states
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Dec 2015:
Board approved India strategy
✔ Expansion to additional states/union territories
✔* Funded by the Government of India
India partnership strategy
Acceleration in new vaccine introductions
2016 2017 2018
Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4
Transition to
domestic
funding
✔ ✔ ✔*
✔ ✔
✔* ✔*
tentative
✔
tentative
✔*
one state
✔
all states
Transition to
domestic
funding
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Cold chain equipment platform
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
June 2015: Board approved
US$ 50m initial investment
Applied
Approved
Recommended
Total recommended and approved:
US$ 134 million
Haiti
Sierra Leone
Malawi
Togo
Cameroon Uganda
Kenya
Madagascar
Pakistan
S. Sudan
Uzbekistan
Guinea
Liberia
DR Congo
Niger
Resubmission
Senegal
Solomon
Islands
Ethiopia
Chad
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Cold chain equipment platform
Changed marketplace
in first 11 months :
• 15 new prequalified devices
• 2 manufacturers: 10-year warranty
for solar direct drive fridges
• First 5-year warranty for ice-lined
fridges
Financial forecast for the strategy
period includes price reductions from
market shaping activities
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
June 2015: Board approved
US$ 50m initial investment
Solar fridge in Mbankana village, DRC
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Risk management
• Plan approved by Board in December 2014
largely implemented
• New teams and processes operational,
embedded in business as usual
• Enhanced understanding of risk at Alliance
and country level
• Increased Board engagement: risk policy &
risk appetite, April 2016 retreat
• This meeting: risk & assurance report
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Dec 2014: Board
approved the risk policy
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Alliance top risks ranked against likelihood and impact
Current risk exposure, taking into account existing mitigation
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
VERY HIGH RISK
a. Country management capacity
b. Data quality
c. Transition readiness
d. Country performance post-transition
HIGH RISK
e. Outbreaks disrupt immunisation
f. Vaccine confidence
g. Misuse by countries
h. Donor support
i. Partner capacity
j. Strategic relevance
k. Supply shortages
l. Frequent or unplanned campaigns
m. HSIS value for money
n. Secretariat disruption
o. Forecasting variability
Programmatic risk
Corporate risk
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Nigeria risk: critical need to get back on track
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
• 7th lowest coverage among
Gavi-supported countries -
below eg Afghanistan, Mali,
DRC
• Acute fragility, especially in
northern states
• Entering transition in 2017
• Misuse of funds
• No longer polio free
DTP3 immunisation coverage, 2005-2015
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Nigeria: moving in the right direction
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
• Visit with Mark Dybul and President
Buhari in July
• Replaced leadership of National Primary
Healthcare Development Agency
• Commitment to repay misused funds
• Plan to improve country systems
• Plan for Alliance-wide visit Q2 2017
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Inactivated polio vaccine (IPV)
• 55 countries introduced
• Continued delays due to
supply shortages
• Further delays scaling
up production: <40%
of awarded supply
available 2014-17
• 15% of doses procured
by UNICEF used in SIAs
2014-16
• Use of fractional doses,
evaluating other options Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Dec 2013: Board approved
support for IPV
0
10
20
30
40
50
60
70
80
Objective set by
Board in Nov 2013
SwitchtOPV/bOPV
Status, Nov 16:
55 introductions
AT RISK OF
STOCKOUTS
Jan 2015 projection
Nov 2016 projection
Numberofintroductions
Jan 2015 projection Nov 2016 projection
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
IPV launches since the June Board meeting
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Indonesia Armenia Guinea-Bissau
2
Global landscape
Changing leaders among key donors and partners
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Brexit and exchange rate risk
• Worked with donors to sign most grant
agreements before UK referendum
• Hedging policy protects against
currency exposure for two years
• 75% of UK core contribution for 2016
hedged prior to Brexit
• ~50% of 2017 non-US$ income hedged
• Exposure of $146m through 2020 vs.
forecast if rates stay at current level
• Remaining contributions through 2020
will be progressively hedged Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
-20%
-18%
-16%
-14%
-12%
-10%
-8%
-6%
-4%
-2%
0%
GBP NOK CAD EUR AUD SEK
Variance of average forecast:
Nov 2016 vs Jan 2015
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Elections in donor and implementing countries
Jun 2016 – Dec 2017
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Elections taken place
Upcoming/ongoing elections in implementing countries
Upcoming elections in donor countries
Zambia
Moldova
São Tomé
and Príncipe
Nicaragua
USA
UK*
Spain
Australia
Russia
Georgia
Italy*
The Gambia
Uzbekistan
*Referendum
South
Korea
France
Norway
Netherlands Germany
Somalia
Ghana
Haiti
Papua
New Guinea
S. Sudan
Rwanda
Sierra Leone
Côte d'Ivoire
Liberia
Mongolia
Kyrgyzstan
Angola
Armenia
Timor Leste
Kenya
Status as of 5 December 2016
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Global Fund replenishment
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
DFID: Multilateral Development Review 2016
Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016
“Organisations like Gavi
are in many ways one of
the best parts of our aid
effort, saving millions of
lives with our investment.”
“Critical role in
delivering concrete
results in challenging
settings and all-round
organisational
effectiveness.”
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Donor support: intensifying engagement
• New donors: Monaco (Nov), Switzerland
by end 2016 (tbc)
• Italy, Saudi Arabia signed agreements
• Increasing engagement in emerging
markets, including private sector
• 83% of Berlin pledges signed by the end
of the year
• Most unsigned pledges from countries
that can only sign annual agreements
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Sustainable development goal (SDG) indicators
Vaccines included in two health targets:
• Target 3.8: achieve UHC and access to affordable medicines and
vaccines for all
• Target 3b: support the research and development of vaccines…
provide access to affordable essential medicines and vaccines
Two indicators accepted:
• 3.8: investigating indicators to measure fully immunised child – moving
beyond DTP3
• 3b: indicator based on GVAP 90/80 target
UN Stats Commission to give final endorsement in March 2017
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Global Vaccine Action Plan: 5/6 mid-point targets missed
• DTP3: All countries >90% national coverage
>80% in every district by end 2015
• Polio: transmission stopped by end 2014
• Maternal & neonatal tetanus: eliminated by 2015
• Measles: eliminated in 4 regions by end 2015
• Rubella: eliminated in 2 regions by end 2015
• Introduction of under-utilised vaccines:
At least 90 low- or middle-income countries to have
introduced one or more such vaccines by 2015
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
NOT ACHIEVED
NOT ACHIEVED
NOT ACHIEVED
NOT ACHIEVED
NOT ACHIEVED
ACHIEVED
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Further, faster, fairer: Save the Children report
“We must ensure that every last child –
regardless of where they are born, and their level
of poverty or social exclusion – has access to
immunisation as an early priority in building UHC…
“It is possible – it just requires renewed political
leadership, commitment and investment.
We must act now.”
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Declarations on migration and refugees
UNGA declaration to protect rights of refugees
and migrants, including to “improve the
delivery of humanitarian and development
assistance to those countries most affected”
Addis declaration by African Ministers of
Health in February called on Gavi to “consider
refugees and internally displaced
populations as eligible recipients of Gavi
support for vaccines and operational costs”
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Reduced pneumococcal vaccine prices for refugees
US$ 3.05/dose
(multi-dose vial)
Working with partners such as Gavi,
GSK is proposing to provide Synflorix
at the deeply discounted price of $3.05
per dose to charities who fund and
deliver immunisation programmes to
refugees and displaced people.
19 September 2016
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
US$ 3.10/dose
(multi-dose vial)
Today’s announcement of a new
and specific pricing tier […] builds
on Pfizer’s longstanding support
for humanitarian emergency relief
around the world.
11 November 2016
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Record number of emergencies
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
0
1
2
3
4
5
6
7
8
2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
Number of Grade 3 emergencies 2005-2016
Repeat grading
First time grading
12 countries
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Increasing share of under-immunised
children in fragile countries
Total number of under-immunised based on number of eligible countries 2001-2015 (excluding China) and forecasted numbers of Gavi-supported countries in 2020 and 2022.
Note: In 2015, 14.9 million under-immunised children lived in the 68 countries eligible for Gavi support in the 2016-2020 strategy period.
Country fragility classification sources: World Bank lists of Low-Income Countries Under Stress in 2006, 2015 countries are identified based on a broad definition of fragility
using the WB harmonised list, Fund for Peace Fragile states top 3 categories and OECD countries fragile in all dimensions.
Under-immunised burden sources: WUENIC 2016, United Nations Population Division; World Population Prospects
28.0 28.4
26.8
25.2
23.8 23.2 22.7
21.0
18.6
17.2 16.9 17.1 17.3
16.3
15.3
10.8
4.5
32%
62%
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
70%
0.0
10.0
20.0
30.0
2001
2002
2003
2004
2005
2006
2007
2008
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2020
2022
Total number under-
immunised children
in Gavi-eligible
countries (millions)
Share of under-
immunised children
in countries
considered fragile
by leading
international
classifications
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
• Poorest country in Western
Hemisphere
• Cholera: >5,800 suspected cases
• Nov: Gavi funded 1m doses through
global stockpile
• Post-hurricane phase could aggravate
Zika + other mosquito-borne diseases
• First country to be approved for Gavi's
cold chain equipment platform
support
Fragility: Hurricane Matthew devastates Haiti
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Distribution of daily suspect cholera cases in Haiti
September 2016 October 2016
0
50
100
150
200
250
Numberofcases
Hurricane Matthew
Source: Ministère de la Santé
Publique et de la Population d'Haïti
33
Health
threats
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Growing risk factors
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Climate change MigrationPopulation growth Urbanisation
increasing health threats
Population
growth
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Growing risk factors: Aedes aegypti distribution
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Predicted distribution of Aedes aegypti
(Published June 30, 2015)
Probability of
occurrence
Source: The global distribution of the arbovirus
vectors Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus
eLife 2015;4:e08347
California,
2013
Madeira,
2007
Washington,
2011
Aaf
entering
urban
habitats
Ae. aegypti
interbreeding
in Mombassa,
2006
Black sea
(unknown
genetic affinities)
Locations newly infested with
Aedes aegypti since 2006
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Growing risk factors: Aedes aegypti suitability
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Temperature suitability for Aedes aegypti
(Published June 30, 2015)
Source: The global distribution of the arbovirus
vectors Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus
eLife 2015;4:e08347
Most
Least
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Growing risk factors: migration
Source: UN Population Division’s estimates for
Total Migrant Stock, 2015
USA
SA OM
CHINA
Yellow fever cases
related to ANGOLA
outbreak 27 April 2016
ANGOLA
Net migrants arriving
Net migrants leaving
INDIA
SYRIA
PK
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Main country-to-country net migration 2010-2015
Examples of main
migrant routes
1 million people
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Growing risk factors: urbanisation
38
Urban population
Greater than 75%
50% - 75%
25% - 50%
Less than 25%
Figures refer to urban
population
Source: UNICEF, United Nations, Department of Economic and
Social Affairs (UNDESA), Population Division special
updated estimates of urban population as of October 2011
1990200020102020
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Urbanisation of countries 1990-2020
Circles are scaled in proportion to national urban population size
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Yellow fever outbreak: unprecedented need
• Stockpile 6m doses, exceptional Gavi
support: 16.8m doses in 2016
• Yellow fever campaign in August: 15.5m
people immunised in Angola & DRC
• Angola funded operational costs,
50% of vaccine costs
• Fractional doses in Kinshasa
• Worked with WHO on new strategy
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Yellow fever infected districts in Angola
No new confirmed cases in
Angola since June 2016
~20% reduction in RI coverage
(admin data)
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Zika: 67 countries affected since 2015
Currently no vaccine or
treatment, but:
• 30+ vaccines in development
• 2 vaccines in phase 1 trials
• Another starting trials in 2018
Once developed could be part
of package for adolescent girls,
with HPV vaccine
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Source: ECDC, 29 November 2016
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
The economic impact of outbreaks
Total cost of Ebola
in the 3 countries:
US$ 2.8 billion
Cost of Zika in
Latin America and
the Caribbean:
US$ 3.5 billion
(2016)
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016
10
8
6
4
2
0
6
4
2
0
40
20
0
-20
Impact of Ebola on GDP (%)
Liberia Guinea Sierra Leone
Actual
Projection, pre Ebola
Sources: World Bank: Ebola: 2015-2015 West Africa Ebola Crisis: Impact Update (May 2016; World Bank: The
short-term economic costs of Zika in Latin America and the Caribbean (February 2016)
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Endemic country
Wild poliovirus type 1
cVDPV type 22
Wild poliovirus & cVDPV cases1,2
in the last six months3
Data in WHO HQ as of
29 November 2016
• Nigeria no longer polio free
• Very likely to miss end-
2016 target of ending wild
poliovirus transmission
Setback to polio eradication
Country
Onset of most
recent case
Current
Same period
last year
Current
Same period
last year
Nigeria 21-Aug-16 4 0 3 0
AFR 21-Aug-16 4 3 0
Pakistan 03-Nov-16 7 18 5 8
Afghanistan 12-Oct-16 6 13 1 10
EMR 03-Nov-16 13 31 6 18
Global 03-Nov-16 17 31 9 18
Number of WPV1
cases
Number of WPV
infected districts
3 Current rolling 6 months: 30 May 2016 – 29 November 2016
Same period previous year: 30 May 2015 – 29 November 2015 1 Excludes viruses detected from environmental surveillance
2 In Nigeria, 1 cVDPV2 from a healthy child contact of WPV1
case (specimen collection date 26 Aug)
Country
Onset of most
recent case
Current
Same period
last year
Current
Same period
last year
Nigeria 21-Aug-16 4 0 3 0
AFR 21-Aug-16 4 3 0
Pakistan 03-Nov-16 7 18 5 8
Afghanistan 12-Oct-16 6 13 1 10
EMR 03-Nov-16 13 31 6 18
Global 03-Nov-16 17 31 9 18
Number of WPV1
cases
Number of WPV
infected districts
3 Current rolling 6 months: 30 May 2016 – 29 November 2016
Same period previous year: 30 May 2015 – 29 November 2015 1 Excludes viruses detected from environmental surveillance
2 In Nigeria, 1 cVDPV2 from a healthy child contact of WPV1
case (specimen collection date 26 Aug)
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
UN General Assembly: antimicrobial resistance
Declaration recognised that:
“the keys to tackling antimicrobial
resistance are: the prevention and
control of infections in humans and
animals, including immunization,
monitoring and surveillance of
antimicrobial resistance…”
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Days of antibiotic use prevented
by Gavi support for Hib, pneumococcal
and meningitis A vaccines:
30
million
days
35
million
days
2011-2015 2016-2020
44
4
Alliance fit for purpose
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Alliance working closely together at every level
Joint appraisals
• Countries and partners
review implementation
progress & performance
Strengthened interagency
coordination committees
(ICCs)
Country
level
Health Minister, Niger, discussing JA at ICC
Global
level
Coordination team
Technical teams
New Alliance engagement fora
Coordinate partner efforts &
resolve high-level issues
Monitor implementation in
technical areas & innovate
Regional working
groups provide
input along the
way
Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Starting to scale up new tools
• Joint appraisals
• Partners’ Engagement Framework
• Health system and immunisation
strengthening support
• Cold chain equipment optimisation platform
• Grant performance frameworks
• Country risk matrix
• Programme capacity assessments
• Audits
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Kenya
Madagascar
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Bangladesh: Alliance model in action
• Excessive wastage highlighted by
full country evaluation
• Triggered dialogue with partners
• Implementation of multi-dose
policy incorporated into PEF
monitoring matrix
• Integrated into joint appraisals
• Starting to see impact
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
IPV wastage rates Source: Bangladesh JA report 2016
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
50%
60%
Mar2015
Apr2015
May2015
Jun2015
Jul2015
Aug2015
Sep2015
Oct2015
Nov2015
Dec2015
Jan2016
Feb2016
Mar2016
Apr2016
May2016
Jun2016
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Alliance KPI: time to cash disbursement
Produce Grant
Application
Recommendations
(IRC / HLRP)
Resolve
issues
Issue
Decision
Letter
Disburse
cash
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
-
20
40
60
80
100
120
Apr2015
Jun2015
Aug2015
Oct2015
Dec2015
Feb2016
Apr2016
Jun2016
Aug2016
Oct2016
Average days from CDR Creation
to Country Confirmation
Reduction in time to process cash disbursements
Improved workflow and visibility has led to a 50% year-on-year
reduction in the average time to process cash disbursement requests
Number
of days
50%
Year-on-year improvement in
average time to process cash
disbursement requests
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
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Impact dashboard
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Health campus
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Nov 2015 Nov 2016
Start 2018 June 2018Today
moves in
Gavi
moves in
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
At this Board meeting
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
For Board decision:
• Fragile settings, emergencies and displaced people
• Risk management
• Review of Gavi support for HPV vaccine
• Gavi’s support for emergency vaccine stockpiles
• Gavi’s continued role in yellow fever control
• Cold chain equipment optimisation platform
Consent agenda:
• Country engagement framework
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Addressing fragility, emergencies
and displaced people in Gavi countries
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
New principles for:
Fragility | Emergencies | Displaced people
• 2015: ~70% of Gavi funds
invested in fragile countries
• Of the top-10 countries with
highest under-5 mortality,
8 are in emergency states
• Gavi countries among top
refugee hosting countries
worldwide
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Gavi’s support for emergency vaccine stockpiles
Strategic
design
Effective
implementation
Accountability
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Gavi’s continued role in yellow fever control
• Aligned with new WHO EYE strategy
• Increases available supply
• More transparency and accountability
• Aligns routine, campaigns, stockpiles
• Prioritises routine
US$ 150m additional investment = 95m more
vaccine doses, 180,000 additional deaths
averted
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Review of HPV vaccine support
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Gavi-supported demonstration projects (23)
Gavi-supported national introductions (2)
Gavi-eligible, no support so far (42)
23 countries launched HPV
demonstration projects,
but only 2 went national
Honduras also went national in 2016, but received
only 50% support (exceptional catalytic support)
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Review of HPV vaccine support: proposed shifts
Faster roll-out
Bigger impact:
Additional investment of 0.8% of 2016-2020
expenditure = 5% increase in total number
of deaths averted by Gavi programmes
Increased herd effects, but smaller
number of countries initially benefiting
Sustainability to be demonstrated
Move beyond demonstration
programmes
allowing countries to introduce
nationwide directly
Vaccinate multi-age cohort
within age range 9-14 years
in the year of introduction
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
+
+
+/-
-
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
5m
4m
0
2m
1m
3m
Penta MCV2
and MR
HPV PCV YF Men A Rota JE
Sources: OP v14 - Joint impact modelling by Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation.
For MCV2 and MR: Strategic Demand Forecast v12. Numbers on click for yellow fever and HPV reflect proposed strategy changes.
Note: future deaths averted for Japanese encephalitis are below the visible threshold.
Forecasted impact by antigen, 2016-2020
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Futuredeathsaverted
HPV and yellow fever:
two of Gavi’s most impactful vaccines
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
HPV partnerships: integration and demand
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Organisation of
African First Ladies
Against HIV/AIDS
OAFLA
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Operational partnerships
Increasing private sector engagement
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
Drone launch to test
vaccine delivery, Rwanda
Data collection and
integration workshop,
Uganda
Strategic Training Executive
Programme (STEP) for
supply chain managers,
East & West Africa
Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose
Board papers and myGavi
Gavi Board meeting
7 December 2016
• Shorter pack, more papers on
myGavi:
• June 2016: pack 1+2: 341 pages,
myGavi: 28 pages
• Dec 2016: pack: 296 pages,
myGavi: 203 pages
www.gavi.org
Thank you
Reach every child

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CEO Board update December 2016

  • 1. www.gavi.org CEO Board update Immunising children together Seth Berkley, MD 7th December 2016, Côte d’Ivoire
  • 2. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 2 Global landscape 2Reporting back on Board decisions 1 Health threats 3 Alliance fit for purpose 4
  • 3. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose HPV support review Yellow fever approach Stockpile strategy Côte d’Ivoire: road to recovery • High coverage before crisis: 85% in 2010 • During crisis coverage dropped: 62% in 2011 • Rapid system recovery – waived coverage requirement for pneumococcal and rotavirus vaccines in 2014 • Focus on routine – improved coverage: pentavalent 83%, pneumococcal 72% in 2015 • HPV demonstration project: 98% coverage, preparation for national introduction • No Ebola cases despite bordering Guinea and Sierra Leone Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Fragility policy
  • 4. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Côte d’Ivoire: issues remain • Yellow fever: campaign 2011-2012, no confirmed cases since but routine coverage just 49% • Equity: focus on low-coverage districts and communities • Data quality: country-tailored approach has plan to improve quality and flow of data from service delivery to national level • Sustainability: challenge to shift from preparatory to accelerated transition (expected by 2020) Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016
  • 6. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Malaria vaccine pilots • June Board approved up to US$ 27.5m for pilots, to be matched by other donors • Full funding now secured for first phase: • Global Fund: US$ 15m • UNITAID: US$ 9.6m • WHO responded to Gavi’s review committee request to reduce budget: 8% reduction means pilots should go ahead • Historic partnership to tackle one of the biggest child killers Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 June 2016: Board approved funding for pilots
  • 7. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Measles-rubella strategy • Implementation: 10 applications so far, implementation from 2017 • Joint appraisals: incidence, coverage, surveillance • Ownership: countries self- financing 1st dose from 2018 • Sustainability: long-term planning, focus on routine • Enhanced analysis: changed Ethiopia targets, high potential for modelling to improve results Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Dec 2015: Board approved new strategy Credit: World Health Organisation Source: Surveillance DEF file, 09 Nov 2016
  • 8. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Measles SIA in Ethiopia (non-Gavi supported) April 2016 (545 woredas) >= 95% < 95% No campaign Measles SIA in Ethiopia (non-Gavi supported) October 2015 (367 woredas) Ethiopia: targeted measles campaign • 2013 nationwide campaign: 98% administrative coverage, 90.6% survey • Continued outbreaks 2013-15 • Oct/Nov 2015, Apr 2016 campaigns • April 2016: 94% average survey coverage in targeted woredas (districts) • Jan 2017 targeted campaign • Adjusted after epidemiological analysis • Targeting woredas not covered before or below 90% coverage • Post-campaign coverage survey Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Note: all woredas could not be accurately mapped
  • 9. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose 2011-2015 Pentavalent ✔ Measles & rubella Pneumococcal Rotavirus HPV IPV ✔ some states Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Dec 2015: Board approved India strategy ✔ Expansion to additional states/union territories ✔* Funded by the Government of India India partnership strategy Acceleration in new vaccine introductions 2016 2017 2018 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Q1 Q2 Q3 Q4 Transition to domestic funding ✔ ✔ ✔* ✔ ✔ ✔* ✔* tentative ✔ tentative ✔* one state ✔ all states Transition to domestic funding
  • 10. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Cold chain equipment platform Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 June 2015: Board approved US$ 50m initial investment Applied Approved Recommended Total recommended and approved: US$ 134 million Haiti Sierra Leone Malawi Togo Cameroon Uganda Kenya Madagascar Pakistan S. Sudan Uzbekistan Guinea Liberia DR Congo Niger Resubmission Senegal Solomon Islands Ethiopia Chad
  • 11. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Cold chain equipment platform Changed marketplace in first 11 months : • 15 new prequalified devices • 2 manufacturers: 10-year warranty for solar direct drive fridges • First 5-year warranty for ice-lined fridges Financial forecast for the strategy period includes price reductions from market shaping activities Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 June 2015: Board approved US$ 50m initial investment Solar fridge in Mbankana village, DRC
  • 12. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Risk management • Plan approved by Board in December 2014 largely implemented • New teams and processes operational, embedded in business as usual • Enhanced understanding of risk at Alliance and country level • Increased Board engagement: risk policy & risk appetite, April 2016 retreat • This meeting: risk & assurance report Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Dec 2014: Board approved the risk policy
  • 13. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Alliance top risks ranked against likelihood and impact Current risk exposure, taking into account existing mitigation Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 VERY HIGH RISK a. Country management capacity b. Data quality c. Transition readiness d. Country performance post-transition HIGH RISK e. Outbreaks disrupt immunisation f. Vaccine confidence g. Misuse by countries h. Donor support i. Partner capacity j. Strategic relevance k. Supply shortages l. Frequent or unplanned campaigns m. HSIS value for money n. Secretariat disruption o. Forecasting variability Programmatic risk Corporate risk
  • 14. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Nigeria risk: critical need to get back on track Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 • 7th lowest coverage among Gavi-supported countries - below eg Afghanistan, Mali, DRC • Acute fragility, especially in northern states • Entering transition in 2017 • Misuse of funds • No longer polio free DTP3 immunisation coverage, 2005-2015
  • 15. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Nigeria: moving in the right direction Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 • Visit with Mark Dybul and President Buhari in July • Replaced leadership of National Primary Healthcare Development Agency • Commitment to repay misused funds • Plan to improve country systems • Plan for Alliance-wide visit Q2 2017
  • 16. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Inactivated polio vaccine (IPV) • 55 countries introduced • Continued delays due to supply shortages • Further delays scaling up production: <40% of awarded supply available 2014-17 • 15% of doses procured by UNICEF used in SIAs 2014-16 • Use of fractional doses, evaluating other options Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Dec 2013: Board approved support for IPV 0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 Objective set by Board in Nov 2013 SwitchtOPV/bOPV Status, Nov 16: 55 introductions AT RISK OF STOCKOUTS Jan 2015 projection Nov 2016 projection Numberofintroductions Jan 2015 projection Nov 2016 projection
  • 17. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose IPV launches since the June Board meeting Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Indonesia Armenia Guinea-Bissau
  • 19. Changing leaders among key donors and partners Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016
  • 20. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Brexit and exchange rate risk • Worked with donors to sign most grant agreements before UK referendum • Hedging policy protects against currency exposure for two years • 75% of UK core contribution for 2016 hedged prior to Brexit • ~50% of 2017 non-US$ income hedged • Exposure of $146m through 2020 vs. forecast if rates stay at current level • Remaining contributions through 2020 will be progressively hedged Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 -20% -18% -16% -14% -12% -10% -8% -6% -4% -2% 0% GBP NOK CAD EUR AUD SEK Variance of average forecast: Nov 2016 vs Jan 2015
  • 21. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Elections in donor and implementing countries Jun 2016 – Dec 2017 Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Elections taken place Upcoming/ongoing elections in implementing countries Upcoming elections in donor countries Zambia Moldova São Tomé and Príncipe Nicaragua USA UK* Spain Australia Russia Georgia Italy* The Gambia Uzbekistan *Referendum South Korea France Norway Netherlands Germany Somalia Ghana Haiti Papua New Guinea S. Sudan Rwanda Sierra Leone Côte d'Ivoire Liberia Mongolia Kyrgyzstan Angola Armenia Timor Leste Kenya Status as of 5 December 2016
  • 22. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Global Fund replenishment Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016
  • 23. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose DFID: Multilateral Development Review 2016 Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 “Organisations like Gavi are in many ways one of the best parts of our aid effort, saving millions of lives with our investment.” “Critical role in delivering concrete results in challenging settings and all-round organisational effectiveness.”
  • 24. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Donor support: intensifying engagement • New donors: Monaco (Nov), Switzerland by end 2016 (tbc) • Italy, Saudi Arabia signed agreements • Increasing engagement in emerging markets, including private sector • 83% of Berlin pledges signed by the end of the year • Most unsigned pledges from countries that can only sign annual agreements Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016
  • 25. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Sustainable development goal (SDG) indicators Vaccines included in two health targets: • Target 3.8: achieve UHC and access to affordable medicines and vaccines for all • Target 3b: support the research and development of vaccines… provide access to affordable essential medicines and vaccines Two indicators accepted: • 3.8: investigating indicators to measure fully immunised child – moving beyond DTP3 • 3b: indicator based on GVAP 90/80 target UN Stats Commission to give final endorsement in March 2017 Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016
  • 26. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Global Vaccine Action Plan: 5/6 mid-point targets missed • DTP3: All countries >90% national coverage >80% in every district by end 2015 • Polio: transmission stopped by end 2014 • Maternal & neonatal tetanus: eliminated by 2015 • Measles: eliminated in 4 regions by end 2015 • Rubella: eliminated in 2 regions by end 2015 • Introduction of under-utilised vaccines: At least 90 low- or middle-income countries to have introduced one or more such vaccines by 2015 Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 NOT ACHIEVED NOT ACHIEVED NOT ACHIEVED NOT ACHIEVED NOT ACHIEVED ACHIEVED
  • 27. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Further, faster, fairer: Save the Children report “We must ensure that every last child – regardless of where they are born, and their level of poverty or social exclusion – has access to immunisation as an early priority in building UHC… “It is possible – it just requires renewed political leadership, commitment and investment. We must act now.” Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016
  • 28. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Declarations on migration and refugees UNGA declaration to protect rights of refugees and migrants, including to “improve the delivery of humanitarian and development assistance to those countries most affected” Addis declaration by African Ministers of Health in February called on Gavi to “consider refugees and internally displaced populations as eligible recipients of Gavi support for vaccines and operational costs” Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016
  • 29. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Reduced pneumococcal vaccine prices for refugees US$ 3.05/dose (multi-dose vial) Working with partners such as Gavi, GSK is proposing to provide Synflorix at the deeply discounted price of $3.05 per dose to charities who fund and deliver immunisation programmes to refugees and displaced people. 19 September 2016 Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 US$ 3.10/dose (multi-dose vial) Today’s announcement of a new and specific pricing tier […] builds on Pfizer’s longstanding support for humanitarian emergency relief around the world. 11 November 2016
  • 30. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Record number of emergencies Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Number of Grade 3 emergencies 2005-2016 Repeat grading First time grading 12 countries
  • 31. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Increasing share of under-immunised children in fragile countries Total number of under-immunised based on number of eligible countries 2001-2015 (excluding China) and forecasted numbers of Gavi-supported countries in 2020 and 2022. Note: In 2015, 14.9 million under-immunised children lived in the 68 countries eligible for Gavi support in the 2016-2020 strategy period. Country fragility classification sources: World Bank lists of Low-Income Countries Under Stress in 2006, 2015 countries are identified based on a broad definition of fragility using the WB harmonised list, Fund for Peace Fragile states top 3 categories and OECD countries fragile in all dimensions. Under-immunised burden sources: WUENIC 2016, United Nations Population Division; World Population Prospects 28.0 28.4 26.8 25.2 23.8 23.2 22.7 21.0 18.6 17.2 16.9 17.1 17.3 16.3 15.3 10.8 4.5 32% 62% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 70% 0.0 10.0 20.0 30.0 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2020 2022 Total number under- immunised children in Gavi-eligible countries (millions) Share of under- immunised children in countries considered fragile by leading international classifications Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016
  • 32. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose • Poorest country in Western Hemisphere • Cholera: >5,800 suspected cases • Nov: Gavi funded 1m doses through global stockpile • Post-hurricane phase could aggravate Zika + other mosquito-borne diseases • First country to be approved for Gavi's cold chain equipment platform support Fragility: Hurricane Matthew devastates Haiti Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Distribution of daily suspect cholera cases in Haiti September 2016 October 2016 0 50 100 150 200 250 Numberofcases Hurricane Matthew Source: Ministère de la Santé Publique et de la Population d'Haïti
  • 34. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Growing risk factors Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Climate change MigrationPopulation growth Urbanisation increasing health threats Population growth
  • 35. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Growing risk factors: Aedes aegypti distribution Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Predicted distribution of Aedes aegypti (Published June 30, 2015) Probability of occurrence Source: The global distribution of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus eLife 2015;4:e08347 California, 2013 Madeira, 2007 Washington, 2011 Aaf entering urban habitats Ae. aegypti interbreeding in Mombassa, 2006 Black sea (unknown genetic affinities) Locations newly infested with Aedes aegypti since 2006
  • 36. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Growing risk factors: Aedes aegypti suitability Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Temperature suitability for Aedes aegypti (Published June 30, 2015) Source: The global distribution of the arbovirus vectors Aedes aegypti and Ae. albopictus eLife 2015;4:e08347 Most Least
  • 37. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Growing risk factors: migration Source: UN Population Division’s estimates for Total Migrant Stock, 2015 USA SA OM CHINA Yellow fever cases related to ANGOLA outbreak 27 April 2016 ANGOLA Net migrants arriving Net migrants leaving INDIA SYRIA PK Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Main country-to-country net migration 2010-2015 Examples of main migrant routes 1 million people
  • 38. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Growing risk factors: urbanisation 38 Urban population Greater than 75% 50% - 75% 25% - 50% Less than 25% Figures refer to urban population Source: UNICEF, United Nations, Department of Economic and Social Affairs (UNDESA), Population Division special updated estimates of urban population as of October 2011 1990200020102020 Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Urbanisation of countries 1990-2020 Circles are scaled in proportion to national urban population size
  • 39. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Yellow fever outbreak: unprecedented need • Stockpile 6m doses, exceptional Gavi support: 16.8m doses in 2016 • Yellow fever campaign in August: 15.5m people immunised in Angola & DRC • Angola funded operational costs, 50% of vaccine costs • Fractional doses in Kinshasa • Worked with WHO on new strategy Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Yellow fever infected districts in Angola No new confirmed cases in Angola since June 2016 ~20% reduction in RI coverage (admin data)
  • 40. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Zika: 67 countries affected since 2015 Currently no vaccine or treatment, but: • 30+ vaccines in development • 2 vaccines in phase 1 trials • Another starting trials in 2018 Once developed could be part of package for adolescent girls, with HPV vaccine Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Source: ECDC, 29 November 2016
  • 41. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose The economic impact of outbreaks Total cost of Ebola in the 3 countries: US$ 2.8 billion Cost of Zika in Latin America and the Caribbean: US$ 3.5 billion (2016) Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 10 8 6 4 2 0 6 4 2 0 40 20 0 -20 Impact of Ebola on GDP (%) Liberia Guinea Sierra Leone Actual Projection, pre Ebola Sources: World Bank: Ebola: 2015-2015 West Africa Ebola Crisis: Impact Update (May 2016; World Bank: The short-term economic costs of Zika in Latin America and the Caribbean (February 2016)
  • 42. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Endemic country Wild poliovirus type 1 cVDPV type 22 Wild poliovirus & cVDPV cases1,2 in the last six months3 Data in WHO HQ as of 29 November 2016 • Nigeria no longer polio free • Very likely to miss end- 2016 target of ending wild poliovirus transmission Setback to polio eradication Country Onset of most recent case Current Same period last year Current Same period last year Nigeria 21-Aug-16 4 0 3 0 AFR 21-Aug-16 4 3 0 Pakistan 03-Nov-16 7 18 5 8 Afghanistan 12-Oct-16 6 13 1 10 EMR 03-Nov-16 13 31 6 18 Global 03-Nov-16 17 31 9 18 Number of WPV1 cases Number of WPV infected districts 3 Current rolling 6 months: 30 May 2016 – 29 November 2016 Same period previous year: 30 May 2015 – 29 November 2015 1 Excludes viruses detected from environmental surveillance 2 In Nigeria, 1 cVDPV2 from a healthy child contact of WPV1 case (specimen collection date 26 Aug) Country Onset of most recent case Current Same period last year Current Same period last year Nigeria 21-Aug-16 4 0 3 0 AFR 21-Aug-16 4 3 0 Pakistan 03-Nov-16 7 18 5 8 Afghanistan 12-Oct-16 6 13 1 10 EMR 03-Nov-16 13 31 6 18 Global 03-Nov-16 17 31 9 18 Number of WPV1 cases Number of WPV infected districts 3 Current rolling 6 months: 30 May 2016 – 29 November 2016 Same period previous year: 30 May 2015 – 29 November 2015 1 Excludes viruses detected from environmental surveillance 2 In Nigeria, 1 cVDPV2 from a healthy child contact of WPV1 case (specimen collection date 26 Aug) Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016
  • 43. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose UN General Assembly: antimicrobial resistance Declaration recognised that: “the keys to tackling antimicrobial resistance are: the prevention and control of infections in humans and animals, including immunization, monitoring and surveillance of antimicrobial resistance…” Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Days of antibiotic use prevented by Gavi support for Hib, pneumococcal and meningitis A vaccines: 30 million days 35 million days 2011-2015 2016-2020
  • 45. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Alliance working closely together at every level Joint appraisals • Countries and partners review implementation progress & performance Strengthened interagency coordination committees (ICCs) Country level Health Minister, Niger, discussing JA at ICC Global level Coordination team Technical teams New Alliance engagement fora Coordinate partner efforts & resolve high-level issues Monitor implementation in technical areas & innovate Regional working groups provide input along the way Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016
  • 46. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Starting to scale up new tools • Joint appraisals • Partners’ Engagement Framework • Health system and immunisation strengthening support • Cold chain equipment optimisation platform • Grant performance frameworks • Country risk matrix • Programme capacity assessments • Audits Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Kenya Madagascar
  • 47. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Bangladesh: Alliance model in action • Excessive wastage highlighted by full country evaluation • Triggered dialogue with partners • Implementation of multi-dose policy incorporated into PEF monitoring matrix • Integrated into joint appraisals • Starting to see impact Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 IPV wastage rates Source: Bangladesh JA report 2016 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% Mar2015 Apr2015 May2015 Jun2015 Jul2015 Aug2015 Sep2015 Oct2015 Nov2015 Dec2015 Jan2016 Feb2016 Mar2016 Apr2016 May2016 Jun2016
  • 48. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Alliance KPI: time to cash disbursement Produce Grant Application Recommendations (IRC / HLRP) Resolve issues Issue Decision Letter Disburse cash
  • 49. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose - 20 40 60 80 100 120 Apr2015 Jun2015 Aug2015 Oct2015 Dec2015 Feb2016 Apr2016 Jun2016 Aug2016 Oct2016 Average days from CDR Creation to Country Confirmation Reduction in time to process cash disbursements Improved workflow and visibility has led to a 50% year-on-year reduction in the average time to process cash disbursement requests Number of days 50% Year-on-year improvement in average time to process cash disbursement requests Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016
  • 50. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Impact dashboard Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016
  • 51. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Health campus Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Nov 2015 Nov 2016 Start 2018 June 2018Today moves in Gavi moves in
  • 52. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose At this Board meeting Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 For Board decision: • Fragile settings, emergencies and displaced people • Risk management • Review of Gavi support for HPV vaccine • Gavi’s support for emergency vaccine stockpiles • Gavi’s continued role in yellow fever control • Cold chain equipment optimisation platform Consent agenda: • Country engagement framework
  • 53. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Addressing fragility, emergencies and displaced people in Gavi countries Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 New principles for: Fragility | Emergencies | Displaced people • 2015: ~70% of Gavi funds invested in fragile countries • Of the top-10 countries with highest under-5 mortality, 8 are in emergency states • Gavi countries among top refugee hosting countries worldwide
  • 54. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Gavi’s support for emergency vaccine stockpiles Strategic design Effective implementation Accountability Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016
  • 55. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Gavi’s continued role in yellow fever control • Aligned with new WHO EYE strategy • Increases available supply • More transparency and accountability • Aligns routine, campaigns, stockpiles • Prioritises routine US$ 150m additional investment = 95m more vaccine doses, 180,000 additional deaths averted Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016
  • 56. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Review of HPV vaccine support Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Gavi-supported demonstration projects (23) Gavi-supported national introductions (2) Gavi-eligible, no support so far (42) 23 countries launched HPV demonstration projects, but only 2 went national Honduras also went national in 2016, but received only 50% support (exceptional catalytic support)
  • 57. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Review of HPV vaccine support: proposed shifts Faster roll-out Bigger impact: Additional investment of 0.8% of 2016-2020 expenditure = 5% increase in total number of deaths averted by Gavi programmes Increased herd effects, but smaller number of countries initially benefiting Sustainability to be demonstrated Move beyond demonstration programmes allowing countries to introduce nationwide directly Vaccinate multi-age cohort within age range 9-14 years in the year of introduction Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 + + +/- -
  • 58. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose 5m 4m 0 2m 1m 3m Penta MCV2 and MR HPV PCV YF Men A Rota JE Sources: OP v14 - Joint impact modelling by Gavi, the Vaccine Alliance and the Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation. For MCV2 and MR: Strategic Demand Forecast v12. Numbers on click for yellow fever and HPV reflect proposed strategy changes. Note: future deaths averted for Japanese encephalitis are below the visible threshold. Forecasted impact by antigen, 2016-2020 Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Futuredeathsaverted HPV and yellow fever: two of Gavi’s most impactful vaccines
  • 59. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose HPV partnerships: integration and demand Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Organisation of African First Ladies Against HIV/AIDS OAFLA
  • 60. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Operational partnerships Increasing private sector engagement Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 Drone launch to test vaccine delivery, Rwanda Data collection and integration workshop, Uganda Strategic Training Executive Programme (STEP) for supply chain managers, East & West Africa
  • 61. Global landscapeReporting back on Board decisions Health security on the agenda Alliance fit for purpose Board papers and myGavi Gavi Board meeting 7 December 2016 • Shorter pack, more papers on myGavi: • June 2016: pack 1+2: 341 pages, myGavi: 28 pages • Dec 2016: pack: 296 pages, myGavi: 203 pages

Editor's Notes

  1. Data in WHO HQ as of 30 Nov 2010