SlideShare a Scribd company logo
BORN IN 1988?	

SORRY.
By Peter Orszag
SORRY.
1988?
BORN IN
Based on a Peter Orszag Article on BloombergView
IT’S BAD LUCK TO BE BORN	

20YEARS BEFORE	

ATIME OF HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT
IT’S BAD LUCK TO BE BORN	

20YEARS BEFORE	

ATIME OF HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT
IT CAN…	

affect your income as you enter
the workforce (naturally)
IT’S BAD LUCK TO BE BORN	

20YEARS BEFORE	

ATIME OF HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT
IT CAN…	

affect your income as you enter
the workforce (naturally)	

keep earnings relatively low
IT CAN…	

affect your income as you enter
the workforce (naturally)	

keep earnings relatively low	

chip away at health & happiness
…for a lifetime
IT’S BAD LUCK TO BE BORN	

20YEARS BEFORE	

ATIME OF HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT
WHENYOU	

ENTER
THE WORKFORCE
A 1% RISE INTHE
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE…
…REDUCESYOUR
WAGES BY 6% - 7%
ANDTHE REDUCTION	

PERSISTS
(THOUGH IT DIMINISHES SOMEWHAT OVERTIME)
A 1% RISE INTHE
UNEMPLOYMENT RATE
AT GRADUATION…
…REDUCESYOUR
WAGES BY 2.5%	

15 YEARS LATER
THIS CAN MAKE A	

BIG DIFFERENCE
FOR MEMBERS OFTHE	

SAME GENERATION
BORN JUST	

A FEW YEARS APART
THIS CAN MAKE A	

BIG DIFFERENCE
FOR MEMBERS OFTHE	

SAME GENERATION
BORN JUST	

A FEW YEARS APART
Consider a person born in 1988
!
THIS CAN MAKE A	

BIG DIFFERENCE
FOR MEMBERS OFTHE	

SAME GENERATION
BORN JUST	

A FEW YEARS APART
Consider a person born in 1988
who graduated in 2010	

when there was 9.6% unemployment…
THIS CAN MAKE A	

BIG DIFFERENCE
FOR MEMBERS OFTHE	

SAME GENERATION
BORN JUST	

A FEW YEARS APART
Consider a person born in 1988
who graduated in 2010	

when there was 9.6% unemployment…
…with someone born in 1984
!
THIS CAN MAKE A	

BIG DIFFERENCE
FOR MEMBERS OFTHE	

SAME GENERATION
BORN JUST	

A FEW YEARS APART
Consider a person born in 1988
who graduated in 2010	

when there was 9.6% unemployment…
…with someone born in 1984
who graduated in 2006	

when there was 4.5% unemployment
THIS CAN MAKE A	

BIG DIFFERENCE
FOR MEMBERS OFTHE	

SAME GENERATION
BORN JUST	

A FEW YEARS APART
The person born in 1988 is unlucky
with 30% - 35% lower wage at graduation
THIS CAN MAKE A	

BIG DIFFERENCE
FOR MEMBERS OFTHE	

SAME GENERATION
BORN JUST	

A FEW YEARS APART
The person born in 1988 is unlucky
with 30% - 35% lower wage at graduation
After 15 years the person born in 1984
is expected to earn roughly 13% more
Similarly, the class of 1982
(a peak unemployment year)	

earned $100k less over 20 years
THIS CAN MAKE A	

BIG DIFFERENCE
FOR MEMBERS OFTHE	

SAME GENERATION
BORN JUST	

A FEW YEARS APART
THIS CAN MAKE A	

BIG DIFFERENCE
FOR MEMBERS OFTHE	

SAME GENERATION
BORN JUST	

A FEW YEARS APART
Similarly, the class of 1982
(a peak unemployment year)	

earned $100k less over 20 years
…than did similar students	

in the class of 1988,
(a peak employment year)
SINCETHE BUSINESS CYCLE WILL NEVER BE ELIMINATED	

WHAT CAN YOU DO
TO PROTECTYOURSELVES ANDYOUR CHILDREN?
SINCETHE BUSINESS CYCLE WILL NEVER BE ELIMINATED	

WHAT CAN YOU DO
TO PROTECTYOURSELVES ANDYOUR CHILDREN?
BE LUCKY:	

Be born 20 years before
an economic boom
(rather than a bust)
SINCETHE BUSINESS CYCLE WILL NEVER BE ELIMINATED	

WHAT CAN YOU DO
TO PROTECTYOURSELVES ANDYOUR CHILDREN?
BE LUCKY:	

Be born 20 years before
an economic boom
(rather than a bust)
SINCETHE BUSINESS CYCLE WILL NEVER BE ELIMINATED	

WHAT CAN YOU DO
TO PROTECTYOURSELVES ANDYOUR CHILDREN?
PURSUE
EDUCATION:
It tends to protects
you from the lasting
effects of elevated
unemployment
SORRY.
Based on a Peter Orszag Article on BloombergView
1988?
BORN IN

More Related Content

Viewers also liked

15 lecture presentation0 (1)
15 lecture presentation0 (1)15 lecture presentation0 (1)
15 lecture presentation0 (1)Uconn Stamford
 
Assessment of working capital finance project
Assessment of working capital finance projectAssessment of working capital finance project
Assessment of working capital finance project
Supa Buoy
 
0601012 fundamental aanalysis on icici bank
0601012 fundamental aanalysis on icici bank0601012 fundamental aanalysis on icici bank
0601012 fundamental aanalysis on icici bank
Supa Buoy
 
Public assignment final 2
Public assignment final 2Public assignment final 2
Public assignment final 2Elliot Smith
 
Current state and opportunities for development of Ukraine's economy
Current state and opportunities for development of Ukraine's economyCurrent state and opportunities for development of Ukraine's economy
Current state and opportunities for development of Ukraine's economyYuri Dobrovolskyi
 
The mindmapbook
The mindmapbookThe mindmapbook
The mindmapbook
sooner123
 
0601079 advertising and brand image
0601079 advertising and brand image0601079 advertising and brand image
0601079 advertising and brand image
Supa Buoy
 
0601042 market opportunity analysis in pune
0601042 market opportunity analysis in pune0601042 market opportunity analysis in pune
0601042 market opportunity analysis in pune
Supa Buoy
 
Question 5: How did you attract/address your audience?
Question 5: How did you attract/address your audience? Question 5: How did you attract/address your audience?
Question 5: How did you attract/address your audience?
Joei Hen
 
My doggie wiggles manual presentation kit (1)
My doggie wiggles manual presentation kit (1)My doggie wiggles manual presentation kit (1)
My doggie wiggles manual presentation kit (1)Anu Tomer
 
Working capital management
Working capital managementWorking capital management
Working capital management
Supa Buoy
 
Pages from iaasb isae 3000_ed
Pages from iaasb isae 3000_edPages from iaasb isae 3000_ed
Pages from iaasb isae 3000_edThiên Lệ
 
Danmaku 小组简报
Danmaku 小组简报Danmaku 小组简报
Danmaku 小组简报
chencheng0614
 
Ma ch 03 economic decision makers (1)
Ma ch 03 economic decision makers (1)Ma ch 03 economic decision makers (1)
Ma ch 03 economic decision makers (1)Uconn Stamford
 

Viewers also liked (15)

15 lecture presentation0 (1)
15 lecture presentation0 (1)15 lecture presentation0 (1)
15 lecture presentation0 (1)
 
Assessment of working capital finance project
Assessment of working capital finance projectAssessment of working capital finance project
Assessment of working capital finance project
 
Ch12 lecture0 (4)
Ch12 lecture0 (4)Ch12 lecture0 (4)
Ch12 lecture0 (4)
 
0601012 fundamental aanalysis on icici bank
0601012 fundamental aanalysis on icici bank0601012 fundamental aanalysis on icici bank
0601012 fundamental aanalysis on icici bank
 
Public assignment final 2
Public assignment final 2Public assignment final 2
Public assignment final 2
 
Current state and opportunities for development of Ukraine's economy
Current state and opportunities for development of Ukraine's economyCurrent state and opportunities for development of Ukraine's economy
Current state and opportunities for development of Ukraine's economy
 
The mindmapbook
The mindmapbookThe mindmapbook
The mindmapbook
 
0601079 advertising and brand image
0601079 advertising and brand image0601079 advertising and brand image
0601079 advertising and brand image
 
0601042 market opportunity analysis in pune
0601042 market opportunity analysis in pune0601042 market opportunity analysis in pune
0601042 market opportunity analysis in pune
 
Question 5: How did you attract/address your audience?
Question 5: How did you attract/address your audience? Question 5: How did you attract/address your audience?
Question 5: How did you attract/address your audience?
 
My doggie wiggles manual presentation kit (1)
My doggie wiggles manual presentation kit (1)My doggie wiggles manual presentation kit (1)
My doggie wiggles manual presentation kit (1)
 
Working capital management
Working capital managementWorking capital management
Working capital management
 
Pages from iaasb isae 3000_ed
Pages from iaasb isae 3000_edPages from iaasb isae 3000_ed
Pages from iaasb isae 3000_ed
 
Danmaku 小组简报
Danmaku 小组简报Danmaku 小组简报
Danmaku 小组简报
 
Ma ch 03 economic decision makers (1)
Ma ch 03 economic decision makers (1)Ma ch 03 economic decision makers (1)
Ma ch 03 economic decision makers (1)
 

More from Peter Orszag

In Fighting Crime, Certainty is More Important than Severity
In Fighting Crime, Certainty is More Important than SeverityIn Fighting Crime, Certainty is More Important than Severity
In Fighting Crime, Certainty is More Important than Severity
Peter Orszag
 
This Isn't 'Big Data.' It's Just Bad Data.
This Isn't 'Big Data.' It's Just Bad Data.This Isn't 'Big Data.' It's Just Bad Data.
This Isn't 'Big Data.' It's Just Bad Data.
Peter Orszag
 
The Life Expectancy Gap Grows Wider
The Life Expectancy Gap Grows WiderThe Life Expectancy Gap Grows Wider
The Life Expectancy Gap Grows Wider
Peter Orszag
 
Peter Orszag's Professional Experience
Peter Orszag's Professional ExperiencePeter Orszag's Professional Experience
Peter Orszag's Professional Experience
Peter Orszag
 
Why Do Men Commit Suicide More Than Women?
Why Do Men Commit Suicide More Than Women?Why Do Men Commit Suicide More Than Women?
Why Do Men Commit Suicide More Than Women?
Peter Orszag
 
What It Really Means To Be Left-Handed
What It Really Means To Be Left-HandedWhat It Really Means To Be Left-Handed
What It Really Means To Be Left-Handed
Peter Orszag
 

More from Peter Orszag (6)

In Fighting Crime, Certainty is More Important than Severity
In Fighting Crime, Certainty is More Important than SeverityIn Fighting Crime, Certainty is More Important than Severity
In Fighting Crime, Certainty is More Important than Severity
 
This Isn't 'Big Data.' It's Just Bad Data.
This Isn't 'Big Data.' It's Just Bad Data.This Isn't 'Big Data.' It's Just Bad Data.
This Isn't 'Big Data.' It's Just Bad Data.
 
The Life Expectancy Gap Grows Wider
The Life Expectancy Gap Grows WiderThe Life Expectancy Gap Grows Wider
The Life Expectancy Gap Grows Wider
 
Peter Orszag's Professional Experience
Peter Orszag's Professional ExperiencePeter Orszag's Professional Experience
Peter Orszag's Professional Experience
 
Why Do Men Commit Suicide More Than Women?
Why Do Men Commit Suicide More Than Women?Why Do Men Commit Suicide More Than Women?
Why Do Men Commit Suicide More Than Women?
 
What It Really Means To Be Left-Handed
What It Really Means To Be Left-HandedWhat It Really Means To Be Left-Handed
What It Really Means To Be Left-Handed
 

Recently uploaded

Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...
Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...
Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...
beulahfernandes8
 
how to sell pi coins on Bitmart crypto exchange
how to sell pi coins on Bitmart crypto exchangehow to sell pi coins on Bitmart crypto exchange
how to sell pi coins on Bitmart crypto exchange
DOT TECH
 
The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...
The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...
The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...
beulahfernandes8
 
The new type of smart, sustainable entrepreneurship and the next day | Europe...
The new type of smart, sustainable entrepreneurship and the next day | Europe...The new type of smart, sustainable entrepreneurship and the next day | Europe...
The new type of smart, sustainable entrepreneurship and the next day | Europe...
Antonis Zairis
 
what is the future of Pi Network currency.
what is the future of Pi Network currency.what is the future of Pi Network currency.
what is the future of Pi Network currency.
DOT TECH
 
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024  - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024  - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...
Quotidiano Piemontese
 
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
DOT TECH
 
Webinar Exploring DORA for Fintechs - Simont Braun
Webinar Exploring DORA for Fintechs - Simont BraunWebinar Exploring DORA for Fintechs - Simont Braun
Webinar Exploring DORA for Fintechs - Simont Braun
FinTech Belgium
 
The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
muslimdavidovich670
 
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
DOT TECH
 
Summary of financial results for 1Q2024
Summary of financial  results for 1Q2024Summary of financial  results for 1Q2024
Summary of financial results for 1Q2024
InterCars
 
managementaccountingunitiv-230422140105-dd17d80b.ppt
managementaccountingunitiv-230422140105-dd17d80b.pptmanagementaccountingunitiv-230422140105-dd17d80b.ppt
managementaccountingunitiv-230422140105-dd17d80b.ppt
SuseelaPalanimuthu
 
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
Commercial Bank of Ceylon PLC
 
Financial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptx
Financial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptxFinancial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptx
Financial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptx
Writo-Finance
 
Which Crypto to Buy Today for Short-Term in May-June 2024.pdf
Which Crypto to Buy Today for Short-Term in May-June 2024.pdfWhich Crypto to Buy Today for Short-Term in May-June 2024.pdf
Which Crypto to Buy Today for Short-Term in May-June 2024.pdf
Kezex (KZX)
 
Empowering the Unbanked: The Vital Role of NBFCs in Promoting Financial Inclu...
Empowering the Unbanked: The Vital Role of NBFCs in Promoting Financial Inclu...Empowering the Unbanked: The Vital Role of NBFCs in Promoting Financial Inclu...
Empowering the Unbanked: The Vital Role of NBFCs in Promoting Financial Inclu...
Vighnesh Shashtri
 
Scope Of Macroeconomics introduction and basic theories
Scope Of Macroeconomics introduction and basic theoriesScope Of Macroeconomics introduction and basic theories
Scope Of Macroeconomics introduction and basic theories
nomankalyar153
 
What price will pi network be listed on exchanges
What price will pi network be listed on exchangesWhat price will pi network be listed on exchanges
What price will pi network be listed on exchanges
DOT TECH
 
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.
DOT TECH
 
innovative-invoice-discounting-platforms-in-india-empowering-retail-investors...
innovative-invoice-discounting-platforms-in-india-empowering-retail-investors...innovative-invoice-discounting-platforms-in-india-empowering-retail-investors...
innovative-invoice-discounting-platforms-in-india-empowering-retail-investors...
Falcon Invoice Discounting
 

Recently uploaded (20)

Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...
Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...
Exploring Abhay Bhutada’s Views After Poonawalla Fincorp’s Collaboration With...
 
how to sell pi coins on Bitmart crypto exchange
how to sell pi coins on Bitmart crypto exchangehow to sell pi coins on Bitmart crypto exchange
how to sell pi coins on Bitmart crypto exchange
 
The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...
The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...
The Evolution of Non-Banking Financial Companies (NBFCs) in India: Challenges...
 
The new type of smart, sustainable entrepreneurship and the next day | Europe...
The new type of smart, sustainable entrepreneurship and the next day | Europe...The new type of smart, sustainable entrepreneurship and the next day | Europe...
The new type of smart, sustainable entrepreneurship and the next day | Europe...
 
what is the future of Pi Network currency.
what is the future of Pi Network currency.what is the future of Pi Network currency.
what is the future of Pi Network currency.
 
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024  - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024  - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...
Turin Startup Ecosystem 2024 - Ricerca sulle Startup e il Sistema dell'Innov...
 
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
The secret way to sell pi coins effortlessly.
 
Webinar Exploring DORA for Fintechs - Simont Braun
Webinar Exploring DORA for Fintechs - Simont BraunWebinar Exploring DORA for Fintechs - Simont Braun
Webinar Exploring DORA for Fintechs - Simont Braun
 
The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
The WhatsPump Pseudonym Problem and the Hilarious Downfall of Artificial Enga...
 
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
when will pi network coin be available on crypto exchange.
 
Summary of financial results for 1Q2024
Summary of financial  results for 1Q2024Summary of financial  results for 1Q2024
Summary of financial results for 1Q2024
 
managementaccountingunitiv-230422140105-dd17d80b.ppt
managementaccountingunitiv-230422140105-dd17d80b.pptmanagementaccountingunitiv-230422140105-dd17d80b.ppt
managementaccountingunitiv-230422140105-dd17d80b.ppt
 
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
Commercial Bank Economic Capsule - May 2024
 
Financial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptx
Financial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptxFinancial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptx
Financial Assets: Debit vs Equity Securities.pptx
 
Which Crypto to Buy Today for Short-Term in May-June 2024.pdf
Which Crypto to Buy Today for Short-Term in May-June 2024.pdfWhich Crypto to Buy Today for Short-Term in May-June 2024.pdf
Which Crypto to Buy Today for Short-Term in May-June 2024.pdf
 
Empowering the Unbanked: The Vital Role of NBFCs in Promoting Financial Inclu...
Empowering the Unbanked: The Vital Role of NBFCs in Promoting Financial Inclu...Empowering the Unbanked: The Vital Role of NBFCs in Promoting Financial Inclu...
Empowering the Unbanked: The Vital Role of NBFCs in Promoting Financial Inclu...
 
Scope Of Macroeconomics introduction and basic theories
Scope Of Macroeconomics introduction and basic theoriesScope Of Macroeconomics introduction and basic theories
Scope Of Macroeconomics introduction and basic theories
 
What price will pi network be listed on exchanges
What price will pi network be listed on exchangesWhat price will pi network be listed on exchanges
What price will pi network be listed on exchanges
 
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.
how can i use my minded pi coins I need some funds.
 
innovative-invoice-discounting-platforms-in-india-empowering-retail-investors...
innovative-invoice-discounting-platforms-in-india-empowering-retail-investors...innovative-invoice-discounting-platforms-in-india-empowering-retail-investors...
innovative-invoice-discounting-platforms-in-india-empowering-retail-investors...
 

Born in 1988? Sorry.

  • 1. BORN IN 1988? SORRY. By Peter Orszag SORRY. 1988? BORN IN Based on a Peter Orszag Article on BloombergView
  • 2. IT’S BAD LUCK TO BE BORN 20YEARS BEFORE ATIME OF HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT
  • 3. IT’S BAD LUCK TO BE BORN 20YEARS BEFORE ATIME OF HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT IT CAN… affect your income as you enter the workforce (naturally)
  • 4. IT’S BAD LUCK TO BE BORN 20YEARS BEFORE ATIME OF HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT IT CAN… affect your income as you enter the workforce (naturally) keep earnings relatively low
  • 5. IT CAN… affect your income as you enter the workforce (naturally) keep earnings relatively low chip away at health & happiness …for a lifetime IT’S BAD LUCK TO BE BORN 20YEARS BEFORE ATIME OF HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT
  • 6. WHENYOU ENTER THE WORKFORCE A 1% RISE INTHE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE… …REDUCESYOUR WAGES BY 6% - 7%
  • 7. ANDTHE REDUCTION PERSISTS (THOUGH IT DIMINISHES SOMEWHAT OVERTIME) A 1% RISE INTHE UNEMPLOYMENT RATE AT GRADUATION… …REDUCESYOUR WAGES BY 2.5% 15 YEARS LATER
  • 8. THIS CAN MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE FOR MEMBERS OFTHE SAME GENERATION BORN JUST A FEW YEARS APART
  • 9. THIS CAN MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE FOR MEMBERS OFTHE SAME GENERATION BORN JUST A FEW YEARS APART Consider a person born in 1988 !
  • 10. THIS CAN MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE FOR MEMBERS OFTHE SAME GENERATION BORN JUST A FEW YEARS APART Consider a person born in 1988 who graduated in 2010 when there was 9.6% unemployment…
  • 11. THIS CAN MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE FOR MEMBERS OFTHE SAME GENERATION BORN JUST A FEW YEARS APART Consider a person born in 1988 who graduated in 2010 when there was 9.6% unemployment… …with someone born in 1984 !
  • 12. THIS CAN MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE FOR MEMBERS OFTHE SAME GENERATION BORN JUST A FEW YEARS APART Consider a person born in 1988 who graduated in 2010 when there was 9.6% unemployment… …with someone born in 1984 who graduated in 2006 when there was 4.5% unemployment
  • 13. THIS CAN MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE FOR MEMBERS OFTHE SAME GENERATION BORN JUST A FEW YEARS APART The person born in 1988 is unlucky with 30% - 35% lower wage at graduation
  • 14. THIS CAN MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE FOR MEMBERS OFTHE SAME GENERATION BORN JUST A FEW YEARS APART The person born in 1988 is unlucky with 30% - 35% lower wage at graduation After 15 years the person born in 1984 is expected to earn roughly 13% more
  • 15. Similarly, the class of 1982 (a peak unemployment year) earned $100k less over 20 years THIS CAN MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE FOR MEMBERS OFTHE SAME GENERATION BORN JUST A FEW YEARS APART
  • 16. THIS CAN MAKE A BIG DIFFERENCE FOR MEMBERS OFTHE SAME GENERATION BORN JUST A FEW YEARS APART Similarly, the class of 1982 (a peak unemployment year) earned $100k less over 20 years …than did similar students in the class of 1988, (a peak employment year)
  • 17. SINCETHE BUSINESS CYCLE WILL NEVER BE ELIMINATED WHAT CAN YOU DO TO PROTECTYOURSELVES ANDYOUR CHILDREN?
  • 18. SINCETHE BUSINESS CYCLE WILL NEVER BE ELIMINATED WHAT CAN YOU DO TO PROTECTYOURSELVES ANDYOUR CHILDREN? BE LUCKY: Be born 20 years before an economic boom (rather than a bust)
  • 19. SINCETHE BUSINESS CYCLE WILL NEVER BE ELIMINATED WHAT CAN YOU DO TO PROTECTYOURSELVES ANDYOUR CHILDREN? BE LUCKY: Be born 20 years before an economic boom (rather than a bust)
  • 20. SINCETHE BUSINESS CYCLE WILL NEVER BE ELIMINATED WHAT CAN YOU DO TO PROTECTYOURSELVES ANDYOUR CHILDREN? PURSUE EDUCATION: It tends to protects you from the lasting effects of elevated unemployment
  • 21. SORRY. Based on a Peter Orszag Article on BloombergView 1988? BORN IN