SlideShare a Scribd company logo
1 of 22
Download to read offline
José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo   Petrobras and the
CEO and President
August, 2007
                                   Biofuels




                                                       1
PETROBRAS

Cautionary Statement
The presentation may contain forecasts about future events. Such forecasts
merely reflect the expectations of the Company's management. Such terms as
"anticipate", "believe", "expect", "forecast", "intend", "plan", "project", "seek",
"should", along with similar or analogous expressions, are used to identify
such forecasts. These predictions evidently involve risks and uncertainties,
whether foreseen or not by the Company. Therefore, the future results of
operations may differ from current expectations, and readers must not base
their expectations exclusively on the information presented herein. The
Company is not obliged to update the presentation/such forecasts in light of
new information or future developments.

Cautionary Statement for US investors

The United States Securities and Exchange Commission permits oil and gas
companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that
a company has demonstrated by actual production or conclusive formation
tests to be economically and legally producible under existing economic and
operating conditions. We use certain terms in this presentation, such as oil
and gas resources, that the SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit us from including
in filings with the SEC.

                                                                                22
Latin American Share of Oil World Reserves
 Latin American oil reserves are becoming increasingly important
                      1984                                          1994                                               2004
                   R/P* = 26,77                                  R/P* = 41,78                                       R/P* = 41,84
                   4,8%                                         8,0%                                             8,5%


                  5,0%
                                                              3,8%                                          3,5%

                                                       8,8%                                                5,1%
         13,4%
                                                                                                         9,4%
                                                     6,4%
       7,6%                         56,5%                                        65,1%                                              61,8%
                                                      7,9%                                               11,7%

            12,7%



                         Total                                           Total                                              Total
             762 billion barrels                            1.017 billion barrels                           1.188 billion barrels
                                                Middle East          Europe & Eurasia    Africa
                                                North America        Pacific Asia        Latin America


       In 20 years, Latin America proven reserves increased from 36.6 billion barrels (1984) to 101 billion.
Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy                                                                   * Reserves/Production Latin America (years)

                                                                                                                                                       3
Net Oil Availability
        Latin America

        Russia                                 Mbpd
        Asia
        United States
        OECD(- Mexico)




    Projected growth in
    oil production and
    demand suggests
    balance and
    independence of
    supply from politically
    unstable regions



Source: Internacional Energy Agency Reference Scenario

 Includes Bitumen and non-conventionals, including synthetic oils.   4
Gas Rich Region with limited infrastructure
 Proven Reserves as of January 1, 2005

                                                                                         4.3 T m3
    Ample gas reserves will allow for:                                                            0.55 T m3
                                                                                         152 Tcf
                                                                                                   19.4 Tcf
    ::: Regional growth in consumption               0.41 T m3
        substituting some demand for oil                14.5 Tcf
                                                                                         Venezuela
                                                                                                     Trinidad
    ::: Higher exports of liquids                          Mexico
                                                                    0.33 T m3                               Brazil
                                                                    11.7 Tcf
                                                                      Perú                                0.74 T m3
                                                                             0.74 T m3                    26.1 Tcf
    But:                                        2005 Gas
    ::: Will require increasing energy          Proven Reserves               Bolivia           0.50 T m3
        integration and                         World:                       26.1 Tcf        17.7Tcf
                                                179,8 T m3
    ::: Substantial investments in              South and Central
                                                America:                                     Argentina
        infrastructure covering great           7,02 T m3
        distances and environmentally
        sensitive regions
Source: Cambridge Energy Research Associates.

                                                                                                                     5
Production X Demand X Refining Capacity: Reaching Self-Sufficiency
Production/              1955   1960   1965   1970     1975   1980    1985    1990   1995   2000   2006   2011F
Consumption
    (%)                  3,0    30,5   28,4   32,2     19,5   16,7    56,2    55,3   49,3   70,4   97,6   112,1

                            Brazil: first major market to shift
                            from import dependency to self
                            sufficiency since first oil from
                                                                                                    Proj.
                  2500      North Sea in 1971 began to shift
                            european balance
                  2000                                                                             Production
   THOUSAND BPD




                                                                                                   Consumption
                  1500
                                                                                                   Refining
                  1000


                  500


                    0
                     1954 1960         1970          1980      1990          2000      2006 2011

                                                                                                              6
A Track Record of Growth                                                                                   7.9% p.y.      2015
          In Thousand boed                                                                                               4,556
                                                                                            8,7% p.y.                     278


1996                                      2001                              2006                   2011                   742

                                                                                              3,493
                                                                                                185
                                                                                   2,298
                                                                           2,217                383                       724

                                                             2,036 2,020

                                                    1,810                                       551
                                                                                      277
                                                                               274
                                           1,636       252     250    265
                                  1,565
                         1,405                232
                                     221
                1,238       197
        1,090
1,008              179
                                                                                                                         2. 812
          163
   152
                                                              1540            1684 1778         2. 374
                                                      1500           1493
                                    1271     1336
                           1132
                  1004
   809 869




                          Oi l and N GL - B r az i l                         N at ur al Gas - B r az i l                 2015
                          Oi l and N GL - I nt er naci onal                  N at ur al Gas - I nt er naci onal        For eca st


                                                                                                                                    7
Brazil is the 1st country to reap benefits from Ethanol
Because program is government regulated there are no benefits from KT but benefits
of reduction in CO2 emissions have already materialized;
Used up to 10% in petrol, ethanol substitutes lead
                                                                                                   Alcohol Exports
and MTBE as an oxygenate, withour any change in                                                              2005
engines, without harmo to air or groundwater                                   End of regulation
                                                                                           1999        FFV
                      160000
                                                           Beginning of the
During this                                              sector deregulation
                      140000
  period,
  ethanol                                    PROÁLCOOL
                      120000
utilization                               Alcohol Vehicles
saved 644                 10000
million ton.
  of CO2                  80000
 emission
                          60000
               1000 BEP




                                                             Accumulated effective economy:
                          40000
                                                                 1 Billion boe ~US$ 52 bi
                          20000
   CNG
   ETHANOL                   0

   GASOLINE                       1972   1976     1980       1984     1988      1992       1996     2000      2004

   Source: MME, BEN 2006
Ethanol
Ethanol can be introduced also as a partial or full substitute for petrol: up to 25%
(Brazil) partial motor adjustments require participation of automobile industry; up
to/over 85% requires flex-fuel vehicles, consumer preference (price/performance).




   Source:Henry Joseph Jr. ANFAVEA - Volkswagen                                   9
Demand Overview
• A strong increase in the demand for ethanol is expected;
• Ethanol as a substitute to Lead and MTBE
• This amount of future consume may be levered if new countries adhere the compulsive
  blend with ethanol.
                                                                                      Strong Increase in Demand

                                                           Renewable Fuels Standard
      Ethanol Global Demand (Million liters/Year)




                                                                  MTBE Substitution

                                                      Clean Air Act
                                                    Lead Substitution




 Source: F.O. LICHT, 2004                                                                                    10
Demand Overview

                                     A PROMISING MARKET
               Potential demand        Ethanol
 Country                                                                 Comment
                  (Billion liters)     addition
                                                   Potential demand considering 3% ethanol addition to
 Japan                 1.7                3%                      the gasoline formula
                                                       Expected demand in 2012, according with the
 US                   16.8                 -                     Renewables Fuels Law
                                                    Potential demand considering 10% ethanol addition
 China                 4.5               10%                     to the gasoline formula
                                                   Potential demand considering 5% ethanol addition to
 EU                    7.4                5%                   the gasoline formula in 2011

 India                  ?                 5%            Percentage approved only in some regions
                                                   Potential demand considering 5% ethanol addition to
 Thailand              0.7                5%                      the gasoline formula

                                      Total: 31.1 billion liters

•Only in the US, a 5.7% addition of ethanol the gasoline would translate into a consumption of 30 billion
liters of ethanol per year.

Souce: EIA/DOE; Comissão Européia; FO Licht; Copersucar                                               11
O Etanol contribui para a redução do aquecimento global
Demand Overview
•Biofuels usage can reduce CO2 emissions at a 5:1 rate;
•Besides being a cleaner source of energy, sugar cane ethanol produces 8,3 more energy
than the fossil energy used in its production process. Ethanol usage in Brazil has decreased
the emission of Greenhouse Effect Gases at 13% (1994 data);
•Sugar-cane is the most productive among ethanol raw materials and the production of
ethanol has limited affect on food supply.
                         Energetic balance - Ethanol                                                   Ethanol Productivity
                   10                                                              7000


                                                                                   6000
                   8
                                                                                   5000



                                                               liters per hectar
                   6
 Energetic ratio




                                                                                   4000


                                                                                   3000
                   4

                                                                                   2000
                   2
                                                                                   1000


                   0                                                                  0
                                                                                          sugar-cane    sugar-    sugar-cane corn - USA wheat - EU
                        Sugar   Wheat     Beet-    Corn
                                                                                            - Brazil   beet- EU     - India
                        cane              root
Source: World Watch Institute                                                                                                                   12
Quais seriam os motivos do diferencial de produtividade brasileira ?

Price Reduction
                                                                              Ethanol Engine Relative Performance*
                    Greater production cost
                                                                        140
                   reduction when compared                              120                  110,0%
                                                                                                                           132,4%
                                                                                    103,3%
              20          to gasoline.                                  100
                                                                                                                  110,0%

                                                                         80
              18                                                         60

                                                                         40
              16
                                                                         20

                                                                          0
              14
                                                                                    Power
                                                                                                               Consumption
US$/GJ 2002




              12                                                        Gasoline 100%            Gasohol 22%      Ethanol 100%

              10

               8

               6

               4

               2                       1985                  1990                       1995                      2002
                    1980

               0       Ethanol prices in Brazil               Rotterdam regular gasoline price
                                                                                                          Source: Goldemberg 2004

    *Source: Volkswagen (Brazil) - Presentation prepared for review within The Warren Centre for Advanced Engineering at Sydney
    University                                                                                                                      13
Supply Overview – Brazilian Ethanol Exports
Brazilian ethanol exports increased sharply in the last three years, resulting in US$ 1.6 billion
export revenues in 2006.


                     1800                                                                                                4
                                                                                                              e
                     1600                                                                                  eas
                                                                                                        cr               3,5
                                                                                                     in
                                                                                                 %
                                                                                               52
US$ Million F.O.B.




                     1400
                                                                                              3                          3
                                                                                           6:




                                                                                                                               Billion Liters
                                                                                          0
                     1200                                                              -20
                                                                                     03                                  2,5
                                                                                   20
                     1000
                                                                                                                         2
                      800
                                                                                                                         1,5
                      600
                                                                                                                         1
                      400

                                                                                                                         0,5
                      200

                        0                                                                                                0

                            1997   1998     1999      2000       2001   2002     2003      2004       2005        2006
                                      Export Revenues - F.O.B.                 Exports (secondary axis)


Source: Ministry for the Development of Industry and Commerce                                                                  14
Supply Overview
         The potential to expand world production is enormous
         North and
                                                                                       Europe
       Central America                          Brazil
           37%                                  35%                                    9.8%



       South America                                                                     Asia
           38%                                                                        16.2%



                         Current Market Distribution of World Consumption


                             Ethanol global market is 46.5 Billions Liters
                                  Ethanol as a Fuel is 30.6 Billions Liters, or 67% of total ethanol production
                             Today the ethanol consumption is 2,6% of gasoline MKT
                                  Increasing ethanol to 10% of gasoline will represent 118 Billions Lt

                                                                                                             15
                                                                                                             15
Supply Overview - Increase in the supply of Biofuels

 • World Supply of Biomass and Waste reached 1,176 Mtoe in 2004 (10% of total supply);

 • According to the International Energy Agency Reference Scenario, it will reach 1,645
 Mtoe in 2030, an increase of 1.3% p.a., still representing 10% of total supply.

                     Non-Renewables
               35

                                                                     2004            13%
                     25
  Shares (%)




                              21

                                                              Renewables
                                                                                     87%
                                                    10
                                        6

                                                                 2
                                                                            1


               Oil   Coal    Gas      Nuclear   Biomass and    Hydro      Other
                                                   Waste               Renew ables



Source: World Energy Outlook 2006                                                          16
But transport sector can still contribute to emission reductions
(IEA alternative scenario)
  Reference Increase in                                                             Alternative Increase in
                                     Increased use of renewable                    Demand 2004-2030 (mtoe)
 Demand 2004-2030 (mtoe)
                                     fuels can contribute to reduce
                                     projected increase in energy for
                                                                              45
                                     transport by 7 %, to 15 % if
1,023                                adequate policies followed.
                                                                                                           659
                                       77
                                                                        132

                                42


                                                Bio 2004-2030
                                                                                     Oil    Bio    Other
            Oil   Bio   Other               Reference - Alternative
                                                      5%                            Total: 836 mtoe
        Total: 1,142 mtoe
                                        18%                                        United States
                                                                      36%          OECD Europe
                                                                                   OECD Pacific
The direct benefits in                 4%                                          Other OECD
emission reductions would                                                          Brazil

be equally distributed                  9%                                         China
                                                                                   India
between US, Europe OECD                     5%                                     Other Asia
and the rest of the world                     2%            16%                    Rest of World

                                                 4%                                                        17
Brazil’s Advantages
Average production costs are projected to drop by around a third between 2005 and 2030.




 • Ethanol production costs vary widely across countries, mainly due to climatic factors:
 crop production costs are much lower in tropical countries.
 • According to the IEA, costs in Europe and the United States would be significantly
 higher without crop and ethanol subsidies.
Source: World Energy Outlook 2006                                                           18
Diferenças de produtividade na cana de açúcar
Latin America offers excellent potential to increase ethanol production
              •Availability of lands, water and low labor cost also benefit production in Central
              and South America.
                                                  Latin America has the largest potential arable
                                                    land per capita and only uses 13,9% of it.
               Sugar-Cane Productivity
                     Yield per Hectare                          Potential Arable Land                  % of Potential Arable Land
                                                                                                             actually in use
                                                                    (1.000 ha per capita)
             72,41                               73
                                      71,13
                      67,77   69,34
                                                                                            2,2       61,4
                                                                                                                55,6

                                                                                  1,7                                     48,6
1000 Kg/Ha




                                                                       0,6
                                                                                                                                    13,9

                                                          0,2

              Asia     USA    Central South     Brazil
                              America America            Asia and     Europe      North     Latin    Asia and   Europe    North     Latin
                     World Average                        Pacific                America   America    Pacific            America   America

     Source: FAO                                                                                                                       19
Diferenças de produtividade na cana de açúcar
Latin America’s Advantages
• 33% of the world’s internal renewable water resources are concentrated in Latin America;
                                                              Annual water use by sector

         Internal renewable water resources                                             Latin America and
                                                            Brazil                          Caribbean
               (m³ per capita – 1997)

                                                      18%                                     9%
 35000                                   33.097
                                                                                        19%
 30000                    27.673                     21%
                                                                     61%                           73%
 25000

 20000
                                                                             World


 15000
                                                                           20%
 10000
           6.984                                                      9%
 5000                                                                            71%

    0
           World     Latin America and   Brazil
                         Caribbean
                                                           Agriculture       Domestic       Industrial
Source: FAO                                                                                                 20
Ethanol Logistics System in Brazil


                                        Ethanol collection,
                                            storage and
                                        distribution centers
                                           are spread out
Large scale marine
terminals improve                       through producing
efficiency                                and consuming
                                               regions
Large storage capacity
necessary to regulate
supply                               Primary Base
                                     Secondary Base
Pipelines reduce
                                     Collection Centers
transport costs; improve             Inland Navigation
energy efficiency                     Railways
                                     Road
                                     Multi product pipelines



                                                               21
                                                               21
José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo   Petrobras and the
CEO and President
August, 2007
                                   Biofuels




                                                       22

More Related Content

What's hot

Ghana data
Ghana dataGhana data
Ghana dataesl333
 
CEO José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo - Presentation to the "Comitê de Coopera...
CEO José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo - Presentation to the "Comitê de Coopera...CEO José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo - Presentation to the "Comitê de Coopera...
CEO José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo - Presentation to the "Comitê de Coopera...Petrobras
 
Africa+down+under+presentation+2012 (2)
Africa+down+under+presentation+2012 (2)Africa+down+under+presentation+2012 (2)
Africa+down+under+presentation+2012 (2)Minbos
 
OGX Management Presentation
OGX Management PresentationOGX Management Presentation
OGX Management PresentationOgx2011
 

What's hot (6)

Ghana data
Ghana dataGhana data
Ghana data
 
CEO José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo - Presentation to the "Comitê de Coopera...
CEO José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo - Presentation to the "Comitê de Coopera...CEO José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo - Presentation to the "Comitê de Coopera...
CEO José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo - Presentation to the "Comitê de Coopera...
 
Oilbarrel.com Presentation - April 2009
Oilbarrel.com Presentation - April 2009Oilbarrel.com Presentation - April 2009
Oilbarrel.com Presentation - April 2009
 
Africa+down+under+presentation+2012 (2)
Africa+down+under+presentation+2012 (2)Africa+down+under+presentation+2012 (2)
Africa+down+under+presentation+2012 (2)
 
EU agricultural trade policy and agricultural trade with developing countries
EU agricultural trade policy and agricultural trade with developing countriesEU agricultural trade policy and agricultural trade with developing countries
EU agricultural trade policy and agricultural trade with developing countries
 
OGX Management Presentation
OGX Management PresentationOGX Management Presentation
OGX Management Presentation
 

Viewers also liked

"Energy/Power Conference". Lehman Brothers
"Energy/Power Conference". Lehman Brothers "Energy/Power Conference". Lehman Brothers
"Energy/Power Conference". Lehman Brothers Petrobras
 
The World Money Show
The World Money ShowThe World Money Show
The World Money ShowPetrobras
 
18.11.2008 Apresentação do Diretor Financeiro e de Relacões com Investidores...
18.11.2008  Apresentação do Diretor Financeiro e de Relacões com Investidores...18.11.2008  Apresentação do Diretor Financeiro e de Relacões com Investidores...
18.11.2008 Apresentação do Diretor Financeiro e de Relacões com Investidores...Petrobras
 
Social 2006 ing
Social 2006 ingSocial 2006 ing
Social 2006 ingPetrobras
 
22.ApresentaçãO JapãO
22.ApresentaçãO JapãO22.ApresentaçãO JapãO
22.ApresentaçãO JapãOFatoseDados
 
The Development of Cascade/Chinook
The Development of Cascade/ChinookThe Development of Cascade/Chinook
The Development of Cascade/ChinookDouglas Green
 
Petrobras Management 2.0
Petrobras Management 2.0Petrobras Management 2.0
Petrobras Management 2.0Marcelo Melo
 
Petrobras at a Glance
Petrobras at a GlancePetrobras at a Glance
Petrobras at a GlancePetrobras
 

Viewers also liked (8)

"Energy/Power Conference". Lehman Brothers
"Energy/Power Conference". Lehman Brothers "Energy/Power Conference". Lehman Brothers
"Energy/Power Conference". Lehman Brothers
 
The World Money Show
The World Money ShowThe World Money Show
The World Money Show
 
18.11.2008 Apresentação do Diretor Financeiro e de Relacões com Investidores...
18.11.2008  Apresentação do Diretor Financeiro e de Relacões com Investidores...18.11.2008  Apresentação do Diretor Financeiro e de Relacões com Investidores...
18.11.2008 Apresentação do Diretor Financeiro e de Relacões com Investidores...
 
Social 2006 ing
Social 2006 ingSocial 2006 ing
Social 2006 ing
 
22.ApresentaçãO JapãO
22.ApresentaçãO JapãO22.ApresentaçãO JapãO
22.ApresentaçãO JapãO
 
The Development of Cascade/Chinook
The Development of Cascade/ChinookThe Development of Cascade/Chinook
The Development of Cascade/Chinook
 
Petrobras Management 2.0
Petrobras Management 2.0Petrobras Management 2.0
Petrobras Management 2.0
 
Petrobras at a Glance
Petrobras at a GlancePetrobras at a Glance
Petrobras at a Glance
 

Similar to Biocombustiveis mexico

Oscar prieto (atlantic lng ) global benchmark by 2013
Oscar prieto (atlantic lng )   global benchmark by 2013Oscar prieto (atlantic lng )   global benchmark by 2013
Oscar prieto (atlantic lng ) global benchmark by 2013Naturgas
 
UBS - Latin America Emerging Market - One on One Conference”
UBS - Latin America Emerging Market - One on One Conference”UBS - Latin America Emerging Market - One on One Conference”
UBS - Latin America Emerging Market - One on One Conference”Petrobras
 
Almir barbassa china india_nov2007
Almir barbassa china india_nov2007Almir barbassa china india_nov2007
Almir barbassa china india_nov2007Petrobras
 
Petrobras biofuels may2007
Petrobras biofuels may2007Petrobras biofuels may2007
Petrobras biofuels may2007Petrobras
 
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference_ENG
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference_ENGCiti's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference_ENG
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference_ENGAES Tietê
 
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity ConferenceCiti's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity ConferenceAES Tietê
 
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference_Eng
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference_EngCiti's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference_Eng
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference_EngAES Eletropaulo
 
Apresentação institucional 1T10_Eng
Apresentação institucional 1T10_EngApresentação institucional 1T10_Eng
Apresentação institucional 1T10_EngAES Eletropaulo
 
Apresentação institucional 1T10_ENG
Apresentação institucional 1T10_ENGApresentação institucional 1T10_ENG
Apresentação institucional 1T10_ENGAES Tietê
 
23rd World Gas Conference
23rd World Gas Conference23rd World Gas Conference
23rd World Gas ConferencePetrobras
 
"Biofuels "
"Biofuels " "Biofuels "
"Biofuels " Petrobras
 
Santander Annual Conference
Santander Annual ConferenceSantander Annual Conference
Santander Annual ConferenceAES Eletropaulo
 
Braskem 2009 results
Braskem 2009 resultsBraskem 2009 results
Braskem 2009 resultsajagger
 
6th annual latam ceo conference itau bba (inglês)
6th annual latam ceo conference itau bba (inglês)6th annual latam ceo conference itau bba (inglês)
6th annual latam ceo conference itau bba (inglês)Braskem_RI
 
08.10.2009 Presentation of President José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo about ...
08.10.2009  Presentation of President José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo about ...08.10.2009  Presentation of President José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo about ...
08.10.2009 Presentation of President José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo about ...Petrobras
 
Petrobras at a Glance
Petrobras at a GlancePetrobras at a Glance
Petrobras at a GlancePetrobras
 
"Petrobras Domestic E&P - Results and Perspectives"
"Petrobras Domestic E&P - Results and Perspectives" "Petrobras Domestic E&P - Results and Perspectives"
"Petrobras Domestic E&P - Results and Perspectives" Petrobras
 

Similar to Biocombustiveis mexico (20)

Oscar prieto (atlantic lng ) global benchmark by 2013
Oscar prieto (atlantic lng )   global benchmark by 2013Oscar prieto (atlantic lng )   global benchmark by 2013
Oscar prieto (atlantic lng ) global benchmark by 2013
 
UBS - Latin America Emerging Market - One on One Conference”
UBS - Latin America Emerging Market - One on One Conference”UBS - Latin America Emerging Market - One on One Conference”
UBS - Latin America Emerging Market - One on One Conference”
 
Almir barbassa china india_nov2007
Almir barbassa china india_nov2007Almir barbassa china india_nov2007
Almir barbassa china india_nov2007
 
Petrobras biofuels may2007
Petrobras biofuels may2007Petrobras biofuels may2007
Petrobras biofuels may2007
 
Energy
EnergyEnergy
Energy
 
Energy
EnergyEnergy
Energy
 
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference_ENG
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference_ENGCiti's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference_ENG
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference_ENG
 
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity ConferenceCiti's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference
 
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference_Eng
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference_EngCiti's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference_Eng
Citi's 3rd Annual Brazil Equity Conference_Eng
 
Apresentação institucional 1T10_Eng
Apresentação institucional 1T10_EngApresentação institucional 1T10_Eng
Apresentação institucional 1T10_Eng
 
Apresentação institucional 1T10_ENG
Apresentação institucional 1T10_ENGApresentação institucional 1T10_ENG
Apresentação institucional 1T10_ENG
 
23rd World Gas Conference
23rd World Gas Conference23rd World Gas Conference
23rd World Gas Conference
 
"Biofuels "
"Biofuels " "Biofuels "
"Biofuels "
 
Santander Annual Conference
Santander Annual ConferenceSantander Annual Conference
Santander Annual Conference
 
Szwarc second generation biofuels_a_szwarc_unica_final
Szwarc second generation biofuels_a_szwarc_unica_finalSzwarc second generation biofuels_a_szwarc_unica_final
Szwarc second generation biofuels_a_szwarc_unica_final
 
Braskem 2009 results
Braskem 2009 resultsBraskem 2009 results
Braskem 2009 results
 
6th annual latam ceo conference itau bba (inglês)
6th annual latam ceo conference itau bba (inglês)6th annual latam ceo conference itau bba (inglês)
6th annual latam ceo conference itau bba (inglês)
 
08.10.2009 Presentation of President José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo about ...
08.10.2009  Presentation of President José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo about ...08.10.2009  Presentation of President José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo about ...
08.10.2009 Presentation of President José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo about ...
 
Petrobras at a Glance
Petrobras at a GlancePetrobras at a Glance
Petrobras at a Glance
 
"Petrobras Domestic E&P - Results and Perspectives"
"Petrobras Domestic E&P - Results and Perspectives" "Petrobras Domestic E&P - Results and Perspectives"
"Petrobras Domestic E&P - Results and Perspectives"
 

More from Petrobras

Strategic Plan 2040 || Business and Management Plan 2019-2023
Strategic Plan 2040 || Business and Management Plan 2019-2023Strategic Plan 2040 || Business and Management Plan 2019-2023
Strategic Plan 2040 || Business and Management Plan 2019-2023Petrobras
 
Plano Estratégico 2040 || Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2019-2023
Plano Estratégico 2040 || Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2019-2023Plano Estratégico 2040 || Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2019-2023
Plano Estratégico 2040 || Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2019-2023Petrobras
 
Petrobras Overview - September 2018
Petrobras Overview - September 2018Petrobras Overview - September 2018
Petrobras Overview - September 2018Petrobras
 
Apresentação Investor Day, São Paulo, 2018
Apresentação Investor Day, São Paulo, 2018Apresentação Investor Day, São Paulo, 2018
Apresentação Investor Day, São Paulo, 2018Petrobras
 
Petrobras Investor Day - London 2018
Petrobras Investor Day - London 2018Petrobras Investor Day - London 2018
Petrobras Investor Day - London 2018Petrobras
 
Sustentabilidade 2017
Sustentabilidade 2017Sustentabilidade 2017
Sustentabilidade 2017Petrobras
 
Apresentacao png-2018-2022-webcast-ingles
Apresentacao png-2018-2022-webcast-inglesApresentacao png-2018-2022-webcast-ingles
Apresentacao png-2018-2022-webcast-inglesPetrobras
 
Apresentação PNG 2018-2022
Apresentação PNG 2018-2022Apresentação PNG 2018-2022
Apresentação PNG 2018-2022Petrobras
 
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day Nova York
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day Nova YorkApresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day Nova York
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day Nova YorkPetrobras
 
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day Londres
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day LondresApresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day Londres
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day LondresPetrobras
 
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day São Paulo
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day São PauloApresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day São Paulo
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day São PauloPetrobras
 
Visão Geral 2017 fevereiro
Visão Geral   2017 fevereiro Visão Geral   2017 fevereiro
Visão Geral 2017 fevereiro Petrobras
 
Petrobras General Overview
Petrobras General OverviewPetrobras General Overview
Petrobras General OverviewPetrobras
 
Visão Geral Petrobras
Visão Geral PetrobrasVisão Geral Petrobras
Visão Geral PetrobrasPetrobras
 
Strategic Plan and 2017-2021 Business & Management Plan
Strategic Plan and 2017-2021 Business & Management PlanStrategic Plan and 2017-2021 Business & Management Plan
Strategic Plan and 2017-2021 Business & Management PlanPetrobras
 
Plano Estratégico e Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2017-2021
Plano Estratégico e Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2017-2021Plano Estratégico e Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2017-2021
Plano Estratégico e Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2017-2021Petrobras
 
Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2015 – 2019
Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2015 – 2019 Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2015 – 2019
Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2015 – 2019 Petrobras
 
Webcast 1T16
Webcast 1T16Webcast 1T16
Webcast 1T16Petrobras
 
Webcast 1Q16
Webcast 1Q16Webcast 1Q16
Webcast 1Q16Petrobras
 
Webcast 4Q15
Webcast 4Q15Webcast 4Q15
Webcast 4Q15Petrobras
 

More from Petrobras (20)

Strategic Plan 2040 || Business and Management Plan 2019-2023
Strategic Plan 2040 || Business and Management Plan 2019-2023Strategic Plan 2040 || Business and Management Plan 2019-2023
Strategic Plan 2040 || Business and Management Plan 2019-2023
 
Plano Estratégico 2040 || Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2019-2023
Plano Estratégico 2040 || Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2019-2023Plano Estratégico 2040 || Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2019-2023
Plano Estratégico 2040 || Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2019-2023
 
Petrobras Overview - September 2018
Petrobras Overview - September 2018Petrobras Overview - September 2018
Petrobras Overview - September 2018
 
Apresentação Investor Day, São Paulo, 2018
Apresentação Investor Day, São Paulo, 2018Apresentação Investor Day, São Paulo, 2018
Apresentação Investor Day, São Paulo, 2018
 
Petrobras Investor Day - London 2018
Petrobras Investor Day - London 2018Petrobras Investor Day - London 2018
Petrobras Investor Day - London 2018
 
Sustentabilidade 2017
Sustentabilidade 2017Sustentabilidade 2017
Sustentabilidade 2017
 
Apresentacao png-2018-2022-webcast-ingles
Apresentacao png-2018-2022-webcast-inglesApresentacao png-2018-2022-webcast-ingles
Apresentacao png-2018-2022-webcast-ingles
 
Apresentação PNG 2018-2022
Apresentação PNG 2018-2022Apresentação PNG 2018-2022
Apresentação PNG 2018-2022
 
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day Nova York
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day Nova YorkApresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day Nova York
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day Nova York
 
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day Londres
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day LondresApresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day Londres
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day Londres
 
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day São Paulo
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day São PauloApresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day São Paulo
Apresentação de Pedro Parente no Investor Day São Paulo
 
Visão Geral 2017 fevereiro
Visão Geral   2017 fevereiro Visão Geral   2017 fevereiro
Visão Geral 2017 fevereiro
 
Petrobras General Overview
Petrobras General OverviewPetrobras General Overview
Petrobras General Overview
 
Visão Geral Petrobras
Visão Geral PetrobrasVisão Geral Petrobras
Visão Geral Petrobras
 
Strategic Plan and 2017-2021 Business & Management Plan
Strategic Plan and 2017-2021 Business & Management PlanStrategic Plan and 2017-2021 Business & Management Plan
Strategic Plan and 2017-2021 Business & Management Plan
 
Plano Estratégico e Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2017-2021
Plano Estratégico e Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2017-2021Plano Estratégico e Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2017-2021
Plano Estratégico e Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2017-2021
 
Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2015 – 2019
Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2015 – 2019 Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2015 – 2019
Plano de Negócios e Gestão 2015 – 2019
 
Webcast 1T16
Webcast 1T16Webcast 1T16
Webcast 1T16
 
Webcast 1Q16
Webcast 1Q16Webcast 1Q16
Webcast 1Q16
 
Webcast 4Q15
Webcast 4Q15Webcast 4Q15
Webcast 4Q15
 

Biocombustiveis mexico

  • 1. José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo Petrobras and the CEO and President August, 2007 Biofuels 1
  • 2. PETROBRAS Cautionary Statement The presentation may contain forecasts about future events. Such forecasts merely reflect the expectations of the Company's management. Such terms as "anticipate", "believe", "expect", "forecast", "intend", "plan", "project", "seek", "should", along with similar or analogous expressions, are used to identify such forecasts. These predictions evidently involve risks and uncertainties, whether foreseen or not by the Company. Therefore, the future results of operations may differ from current expectations, and readers must not base their expectations exclusively on the information presented herein. The Company is not obliged to update the presentation/such forecasts in light of new information or future developments. Cautionary Statement for US investors The United States Securities and Exchange Commission permits oil and gas companies, in their filings with the SEC, to disclose only proved reserves that a company has demonstrated by actual production or conclusive formation tests to be economically and legally producible under existing economic and operating conditions. We use certain terms in this presentation, such as oil and gas resources, that the SEC’s guidelines strictly prohibit us from including in filings with the SEC. 22
  • 3. Latin American Share of Oil World Reserves Latin American oil reserves are becoming increasingly important 1984 1994 2004 R/P* = 26,77 R/P* = 41,78 R/P* = 41,84 4,8% 8,0% 8,5% 5,0% 3,8% 3,5% 8,8% 5,1% 13,4% 9,4% 6,4% 7,6% 56,5% 65,1% 61,8% 7,9% 11,7% 12,7% Total Total Total 762 billion barrels 1.017 billion barrels 1.188 billion barrels Middle East Europe & Eurasia Africa North America Pacific Asia Latin America In 20 years, Latin America proven reserves increased from 36.6 billion barrels (1984) to 101 billion. Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy * Reserves/Production Latin America (years) 3
  • 4. Net Oil Availability Latin America Russia Mbpd Asia United States OECD(- Mexico) Projected growth in oil production and demand suggests balance and independence of supply from politically unstable regions Source: Internacional Energy Agency Reference Scenario Includes Bitumen and non-conventionals, including synthetic oils. 4
  • 5. Gas Rich Region with limited infrastructure Proven Reserves as of January 1, 2005 4.3 T m3 Ample gas reserves will allow for: 0.55 T m3 152 Tcf 19.4 Tcf ::: Regional growth in consumption 0.41 T m3 substituting some demand for oil 14.5 Tcf Venezuela Trinidad ::: Higher exports of liquids Mexico 0.33 T m3 Brazil 11.7 Tcf Perú 0.74 T m3 0.74 T m3 26.1 Tcf But: 2005 Gas ::: Will require increasing energy Proven Reserves Bolivia 0.50 T m3 integration and World: 26.1 Tcf 17.7Tcf 179,8 T m3 ::: Substantial investments in South and Central America: Argentina infrastructure covering great 7,02 T m3 distances and environmentally sensitive regions Source: Cambridge Energy Research Associates. 5
  • 6. Production X Demand X Refining Capacity: Reaching Self-Sufficiency Production/ 1955 1960 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2006 2011F Consumption (%) 3,0 30,5 28,4 32,2 19,5 16,7 56,2 55,3 49,3 70,4 97,6 112,1 Brazil: first major market to shift from import dependency to self sufficiency since first oil from Proj. 2500 North Sea in 1971 began to shift european balance 2000 Production THOUSAND BPD Consumption 1500 Refining 1000 500 0 1954 1960 1970 1980 1990 2000 2006 2011 6
  • 7. A Track Record of Growth 7.9% p.y. 2015 In Thousand boed 4,556 8,7% p.y. 278 1996 2001 2006 2011 742 3,493 185 2,298 2,217 383 724 2,036 2,020 1,810 551 277 274 1,636 252 250 265 1,565 1,405 232 221 1,238 197 1,090 1,008 179 2. 812 163 152 1540 1684 1778 2. 374 1500 1493 1271 1336 1132 1004 809 869 Oi l and N GL - B r az i l N at ur al Gas - B r az i l 2015 Oi l and N GL - I nt er naci onal N at ur al Gas - I nt er naci onal For eca st 7
  • 8. Brazil is the 1st country to reap benefits from Ethanol Because program is government regulated there are no benefits from KT but benefits of reduction in CO2 emissions have already materialized; Used up to 10% in petrol, ethanol substitutes lead Alcohol Exports and MTBE as an oxygenate, withour any change in 2005 engines, without harmo to air or groundwater End of regulation 1999 FFV 160000 Beginning of the During this sector deregulation 140000 period, ethanol PROÁLCOOL 120000 utilization Alcohol Vehicles saved 644 10000 million ton. of CO2 80000 emission 60000 1000 BEP Accumulated effective economy: 40000 1 Billion boe ~US$ 52 bi 20000 CNG ETHANOL 0 GASOLINE 1972 1976 1980 1984 1988 1992 1996 2000 2004 Source: MME, BEN 2006
  • 9. Ethanol Ethanol can be introduced also as a partial or full substitute for petrol: up to 25% (Brazil) partial motor adjustments require participation of automobile industry; up to/over 85% requires flex-fuel vehicles, consumer preference (price/performance). Source:Henry Joseph Jr. ANFAVEA - Volkswagen 9
  • 10. Demand Overview • A strong increase in the demand for ethanol is expected; • Ethanol as a substitute to Lead and MTBE • This amount of future consume may be levered if new countries adhere the compulsive blend with ethanol. Strong Increase in Demand Renewable Fuels Standard Ethanol Global Demand (Million liters/Year) MTBE Substitution Clean Air Act Lead Substitution Source: F.O. LICHT, 2004 10
  • 11. Demand Overview A PROMISING MARKET Potential demand Ethanol Country Comment (Billion liters) addition Potential demand considering 3% ethanol addition to Japan 1.7 3% the gasoline formula Expected demand in 2012, according with the US 16.8 - Renewables Fuels Law Potential demand considering 10% ethanol addition China 4.5 10% to the gasoline formula Potential demand considering 5% ethanol addition to EU 7.4 5% the gasoline formula in 2011 India ? 5% Percentage approved only in some regions Potential demand considering 5% ethanol addition to Thailand 0.7 5% the gasoline formula Total: 31.1 billion liters •Only in the US, a 5.7% addition of ethanol the gasoline would translate into a consumption of 30 billion liters of ethanol per year. Souce: EIA/DOE; Comissão Européia; FO Licht; Copersucar 11
  • 12. O Etanol contribui para a redução do aquecimento global Demand Overview •Biofuels usage can reduce CO2 emissions at a 5:1 rate; •Besides being a cleaner source of energy, sugar cane ethanol produces 8,3 more energy than the fossil energy used in its production process. Ethanol usage in Brazil has decreased the emission of Greenhouse Effect Gases at 13% (1994 data); •Sugar-cane is the most productive among ethanol raw materials and the production of ethanol has limited affect on food supply. Energetic balance - Ethanol Ethanol Productivity 10 7000 6000 8 5000 liters per hectar 6 Energetic ratio 4000 3000 4 2000 2 1000 0 0 sugar-cane sugar- sugar-cane corn - USA wheat - EU Sugar Wheat Beet- Corn - Brazil beet- EU - India cane root Source: World Watch Institute 12
  • 13. Quais seriam os motivos do diferencial de produtividade brasileira ? Price Reduction Ethanol Engine Relative Performance* Greater production cost 140 reduction when compared 120 110,0% 132,4% 103,3% 20 to gasoline. 100 110,0% 80 18 60 40 16 20 0 14 Power Consumption US$/GJ 2002 12 Gasoline 100% Gasohol 22% Ethanol 100% 10 8 6 4 2 1985 1990 1995 2002 1980 0 Ethanol prices in Brazil Rotterdam regular gasoline price Source: Goldemberg 2004 *Source: Volkswagen (Brazil) - Presentation prepared for review within The Warren Centre for Advanced Engineering at Sydney University 13
  • 14. Supply Overview – Brazilian Ethanol Exports Brazilian ethanol exports increased sharply in the last three years, resulting in US$ 1.6 billion export revenues in 2006. 1800 4 e 1600 eas cr 3,5 in % 52 US$ Million F.O.B. 1400 3 3 6: Billion Liters 0 1200 -20 03 2,5 20 1000 2 800 1,5 600 1 400 0,5 200 0 0 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005 2006 Export Revenues - F.O.B. Exports (secondary axis) Source: Ministry for the Development of Industry and Commerce 14
  • 15. Supply Overview The potential to expand world production is enormous North and Europe Central America Brazil 37% 35% 9.8% South America Asia 38% 16.2% Current Market Distribution of World Consumption Ethanol global market is 46.5 Billions Liters Ethanol as a Fuel is 30.6 Billions Liters, or 67% of total ethanol production Today the ethanol consumption is 2,6% of gasoline MKT Increasing ethanol to 10% of gasoline will represent 118 Billions Lt 15 15
  • 16. Supply Overview - Increase in the supply of Biofuels • World Supply of Biomass and Waste reached 1,176 Mtoe in 2004 (10% of total supply); • According to the International Energy Agency Reference Scenario, it will reach 1,645 Mtoe in 2030, an increase of 1.3% p.a., still representing 10% of total supply. Non-Renewables 35 2004 13% 25 Shares (%) 21 Renewables 87% 10 6 2 1 Oil Coal Gas Nuclear Biomass and Hydro Other Waste Renew ables Source: World Energy Outlook 2006 16
  • 17. But transport sector can still contribute to emission reductions (IEA alternative scenario) Reference Increase in Alternative Increase in Increased use of renewable Demand 2004-2030 (mtoe) Demand 2004-2030 (mtoe) fuels can contribute to reduce projected increase in energy for 45 transport by 7 %, to 15 % if 1,023 adequate policies followed. 659 77 132 42 Bio 2004-2030 Oil Bio Other Oil Bio Other Reference - Alternative 5% Total: 836 mtoe Total: 1,142 mtoe 18% United States 36% OECD Europe OECD Pacific The direct benefits in 4% Other OECD emission reductions would Brazil be equally distributed 9% China India between US, Europe OECD 5% Other Asia and the rest of the world 2% 16% Rest of World 4% 17
  • 18. Brazil’s Advantages Average production costs are projected to drop by around a third between 2005 and 2030. • Ethanol production costs vary widely across countries, mainly due to climatic factors: crop production costs are much lower in tropical countries. • According to the IEA, costs in Europe and the United States would be significantly higher without crop and ethanol subsidies. Source: World Energy Outlook 2006 18
  • 19. Diferenças de produtividade na cana de açúcar Latin America offers excellent potential to increase ethanol production •Availability of lands, water and low labor cost also benefit production in Central and South America. Latin America has the largest potential arable land per capita and only uses 13,9% of it. Sugar-Cane Productivity Yield per Hectare Potential Arable Land % of Potential Arable Land actually in use (1.000 ha per capita) 72,41 73 71,13 67,77 69,34 2,2 61,4 55,6 1,7 48,6 1000 Kg/Ha 0,6 13,9 0,2 Asia USA Central South Brazil America America Asia and Europe North Latin Asia and Europe North Latin World Average Pacific America America Pacific America America Source: FAO 19
  • 20. Diferenças de produtividade na cana de açúcar Latin America’s Advantages • 33% of the world’s internal renewable water resources are concentrated in Latin America; Annual water use by sector Internal renewable water resources Latin America and Brazil Caribbean (m³ per capita – 1997) 18% 9% 35000 33.097 19% 30000 27.673 21% 61% 73% 25000 20000 World 15000 20% 10000 6.984 9% 5000 71% 0 World Latin America and Brazil Caribbean Agriculture Domestic Industrial Source: FAO 20
  • 21. Ethanol Logistics System in Brazil Ethanol collection, storage and distribution centers are spread out Large scale marine terminals improve through producing efficiency and consuming regions Large storage capacity necessary to regulate supply Primary Base Secondary Base Pipelines reduce Collection Centers transport costs; improve Inland Navigation energy efficiency Railways Road Multi product pipelines 21 21
  • 22. José Sergio Gabrielli de Azevedo Petrobras and the CEO and President August, 2007 Biofuels 22