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Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia
Serabdi Sakti
Jakarta, August 2017
Sando Sasako
Asset Bubble,
Bank Rakyat Indonesia
&
Satellite Business in Indonesia
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Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia
i
Contents
Contents ...................................................................................................................................... i
List of Tables ........................................................................................................................... vii
List of Figures........................................................................................................................... xi
Some Background.......................................................................................................................1
The Authentication and Authorisation....................................................................................2
How this report proceeds and gets distinguished....................................................................4
Asset Bubble...............................................................................................................................5
Excessive Liquidity.................................................................................................................7
Excessive Liquidity: The Aftermath.......................................................................................9
The Liquidity Effect..............................................................................................................11
The Limit of Excessive Debts...............................................................................................13
Inflation Management in Indonesia ..........................................................................................15
Market Liquidity in Indonesia ..............................................................................................17
Playing with Interest Rates ...................................................................................................19
The Money Markets in Indonesia .........................................................................................21
What To Do with Assets Bubbled?...........................................................................................23
The volatile sterling against the dollar and euro...................................................................25
The Special Drawing Rights.................................................................................................27
Yuan Internationalisation......................................................................................................29
How Soros broke the Bank of England ....................................................................................31
The Exchange Rate Mechanism ...........................................................................................33
Blaming the Bundesbank......................................................................................................35
The German’s Hyperinflation Experience............................................................................38
Thanking the Bundesbank ....................................................................................................39
The Gold Standard and Bretton Woods System ...................................................................41
The Inflation Targeting: The Germany Experience..............................................................42
The Inflation Targeting: The UK Experience.......................................................................44
The LIBOR Fixing....................................................................................................................46
The LIBOR Scandal..............................................................................................................49
The Magnitude of LIBOR Scandal.......................................................................................53
The Price of High Fines........................................................................................................56
Hundreds of trillions USD derivatives was exchanged daily ...............................................58
Central Banks: The Initiator and Keeper of Widespreading Asset Bubble Phenomena ..........60
How to Detect and Spot Asset Bubble..................................................................................63
Asset Bubble aka Accounting Frauds: The Causalities........................................................65
Asset Bubble aka Accounting Frauds: The Red Flags .........................................................66
The Asset Bubble of Wells Fargo.........................................................................................69
Shrinking the Asset Bubble ......................................................................................................73
The Demand..........................................................................................................................75
The Demand: To weaken, to stimulate, or to create .............................................................77
The Price...............................................................................................................................79
Sando Sasako
ii
BRI’s financial profile in briefs................................................................................................81
BRI’s Financial Highlights.......................................................................................................83
Cash Flow .............................................................................................................................86
Income Statement .................................................................................................................87
Balance Sheet........................................................................................................................88
Risk Management Policy..........................................................................................................90
Dividend Policy ........................................................................................................................91
Maturity Profile ........................................................................................................................92
Maturity of Fund Borrowings...............................................................................................95
Maturity of Loans .................................................................................................................96
Loan Profile ..............................................................................................................................97
Credit Risk Exposure..........................................................................................................103
Liability Profile.......................................................................................................................105
Financial Structure..............................................................................................................106
Third Party Funds Profile ...................................................................................................108
Bonds Issued.......................................................................................................................111
Financial Performance............................................................................................................112
The Total Assets .................................................................................................................112
Earning Assets ....................................................................................................................112
Third Party’s Funds ............................................................................................................113
Loans...................................................................................................................................113
Equity..................................................................................................................................114
Profit Making..........................................................................................................................115
Revenues.............................................................................................................................115
Operating Profit, Net ..........................................................................................................115
Earnings Before Tax...........................................................................................................116
Earnings After Tax .............................................................................................................116
Retained Earnings...............................................................................................................117
Profit Profile ...........................................................................................................................119
Stock Performance..................................................................................................................121
Market Capitalisation..........................................................................................................122
Share Price..........................................................................................................................122
Stock Trading......................................................................................................................123
Investors’ Preferences.........................................................................................................125
Financial Ratios ......................................................................................................................126
Stock price ratios ................................................................................................................126
Liquidity .............................................................................................................................128
Profitability.........................................................................................................................130
The Shareholders ....................................................................................................................134
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia
iii
Subsidiaries.............................................................................................................................139
BRI Syariah.........................................................................................................................139
BRI Agro.............................................................................................................................140
BRI Remittance...................................................................................................................141
BRI Life ..............................................................................................................................142
BRI Finance ........................................................................................................................143
Associated Entities..................................................................................................................144
Transactions with Related Companies....................................................................................145
The Analysts ...........................................................................................................................151
Corporate Profile.....................................................................................................................152
Milestones...........................................................................................................................154
e-channels ...........................................................................................................................155
Branch and Regional Offices..............................................................................................155
Head Office.....................................................................................................................155
Special Branch Office.....................................................................................................155
Overseas Branch Offices ................................................................................................155
Regional Offices .............................................................................................................156
Office of Subsidiaries .........................................................................................................157
Banking Divisions...............................................................................................................158
Organisation Structure ............................................................................................................160
Management Profile................................................................................................................161
Board of Commissioners ....................................................................................................162
Andrinof Achir Chaniago ...............................................................................................167
(Mustafa Abubakar)........................................................................................................167
Gatot Trihargo.................................................................................................................168
Ahmad Fuad Rahmany ...................................................................................................168
(Ahmad Fuad).................................................................................................................169
Nicolaus Teguh Budi Harjanto .......................................................................................170
Adhyaksa Dault...............................................................................................................170
A. Sonny Keraf ...............................................................................................................171
Vincentius Sonny Loho ..................................................................................................171
Jeffry Jefta Wurangian....................................................................................................172
Mahmud..........................................................................................................................172
Secretary to the Board of Commissioners ..........................................................................174
Committees of BoC ............................................................................................................175
Nomination and Remuneration Committee (NRC) ........................................................175
Audit Committee.............................................................................................................175
Risk Management Monitoring Committee (RMOC)......................................................177
Integrated Governance Committee (KTKT)...................................................................178
Board of Directors ..............................................................................................................181
Suprajarto........................................................................................................................186
(Asmawi Syam) ..............................................................................................................186
Sunarso............................................................................................................................186
Sando Sasako
iv
Donsuwan Simatupang...................................................................................................187
Haru Koesmahargyo .......................................................................................................187
Kuswiyoto.......................................................................................................................188
Mohammad Irfan ............................................................................................................188
Priyastomo......................................................................................................................188
Randi Anto......................................................................................................................189
Sis Apik Wijayanto.........................................................................................................189
Susy Liestiowaty.............................................................................................................190
Indra Utoyo.....................................................................................................................190
(Zulhelfi Abidin).............................................................................................................190
Senior Executive Vice President (SEVP) Profiles..............................................................192
Irianto Sunardi ................................................................................................................192
Adi Setyanto and Bardiyono Wiyatmojo........................................................................192
(Saptono Siwi) ................................................................................................................192
Hexana Tri Sasongko......................................................................................................193
Supari..............................................................................................................................193
Agus Noorsanto ..............................................................................................................193
Corporate Secretary ............................................................................................................194
Investor Relations ...............................................................................................................194
Senior Executive Profiles ...................................................................................................195
Head, IT Planning & Development Division .................................................................195
Head, Investment Service Division ................................................................................195
Head, Risk Management Division..................................................................................195
Head, Corporate Development & Strategy Division......................................................195
Head, Outsourcing Management Division .....................................................................195
Head, International Business Division ...........................................................................195
Head, Micro Business Development 2 ...........................................................................195
Head, Micro Business Policy & Strategy Division ........................................................195
Head, Fixed Assets Management Property.....................................................................195
Head, Credit Risk & Analysis Division..........................................................................195
Head, SOE Business 1 Division .....................................................................................195
Head, Treasury Division.................................................................................................196
Head, Procurement Division...........................................................................................196
Head, Transaction Banking Division..............................................................................196
Head, SOE Business 2 Division .....................................................................................196
Head, Finance & Accounting Management Division.....................................................196
Head, Digital Banking Operation Division ....................................................................196
Head, Institutional Banking 2 Division ..........................................................................196
Head, Loan Program & Partnership Division.................................................................196
Head, General Business Division ...................................................................................196
Head, Agribusiness Division ..........................................................................................196
Head, Consumer Loan Division .....................................................................................196
Head, SME & Medium Business Division.....................................................................196
Head, Institutional Banking 1 Division ..........................................................................197
Head, Wealth Management Division..............................................................................197
Head, Restructuring & Recovery Credit Division..........................................................197
Head, Human Capital Services Division ........................................................................197
Head, Operation Center Division ...................................................................................197
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia
v
Head, Corporate Secretary Division ...............................................................................197
Head, Credit Card Division ............................................................................................197
Head, Service & Contact Center Division......................................................................197
Head, Marketing Communication Division....................................................................197
Head, Satellite & Terrestrial Division ............................................................................197
Chief Learning Officer, BRI Corporate University........................................................197
Head, Human Capital Policy & Development Division.................................................197
Head of Regional Offices ...................................................................................................198
Head, Jakarta 3 Regional Office.....................................................................................198
Head, Jakarta 1 Regional Office.....................................................................................198
Head, Malang Regional Office .......................................................................................198
Head, Bandar Lampung Regional Office .......................................................................198
Head, Palembang Regional Office..................................................................................198
Head, Surabaya Regional Office ....................................................................................198
Head, Pekanbaru Regional Office ..................................................................................198
Head, Jakarta 2 Regional Office.....................................................................................198
Head, Jayapura Regional Office .....................................................................................198
Head, Aceh Regional Office...........................................................................................198
Head, Semarang Regional Office ...................................................................................198
Head, Medan Regional Office ........................................................................................198
Head, Yogyakarta Regional Office.................................................................................198
Head, Denpasar Regional Office ....................................................................................199
Head, Padang Regional Office........................................................................................199
Head, Manado Regional Office ......................................................................................199
Head, Bandung Regional Office.....................................................................................199
Head, Banjarmasin Regional Office...............................................................................199
Head, Makassar Regional Office....................................................................................199
Head, Special Branch Office ..............................................................................................200
Head of Inspection Offices .................................................................................................200
Inspector, Malang Regional Office.................................................................................200
Inspector, Bandar Lampung Regional Office.................................................................200
Inspector, Palembang Regional Office ...........................................................................200
Inspector, Surabaya Regional Office..............................................................................200
Inspector, Manado Regional Office................................................................................200
Regional Audit of KP, KCK, UKLN & PA Regional Office.........................................200
Inspector, Aceh Regional Office ....................................................................................200
Inspector, Semarang Regional Office.............................................................................200
Inspector, Medan Regional Office..................................................................................200
Inspector, Pekanbaru Regional Office............................................................................200
Inspector, Makassar Regional Office..............................................................................200
Inspector, Yogyakarta Regional Office ..........................................................................201
Inspector, Denpasar Regional Office..............................................................................201
Inspector, Jakarta 3 Regional Office...............................................................................201
Inspector, Jakarta 2 Regional Office...............................................................................201
Inspector, Banjarmasin Regional Office.........................................................................201
Inspector, Bandung Regional Office ..............................................................................201
Inspector, Padang Regional Office .................................................................................201
Sando Sasako
vi
Satellite Business in Indonesia ...............................................................................................202
Satellite Capability..............................................................................................................202
Satellite Users .....................................................................................................................203
Revenue Generators in Satellite Services Business........................................................205
Revenue Generation in Satellite Navigation Services Business.....................................207
Revenue Generation in Optical Data Services................................................................209
Satellite Business Value .....................................................................................................210
Satellites in Orbit ................................................................................................................214
The Crowded Space Junk ...............................................................................................215
Telkom 3 Satellite...........................................................................................................216
The Proton-M Briz-M satellite launcher.........................................................................218
The Crowded Satellites in the Sky .................................................................................220
Typical Satellite Orbits...................................................................................................226
Typical Satellite Networks .................................................................................................230
Advantages of HTS System............................................................................................232
Frequency Band Allocated for Satellite Services ...........................................................233
Indonesian Satellite Operators............................................................................................236
BRIsat .............................................................................................................................238
Palapa Satellites..............................................................................................................240
Providers of Satellite Services in Broadcasting and Tekecommunications........................242
Foreign Satellite Operators on Indonesian Sky with its client list......................................247
References...............................................................................................................................253
Additional Readings ...........................................................................................................256
Suggested Readings............................................................................................................257
Readings on Satellites.........................................................................................................258
Index .......................................................................................................................................259
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia
vii
List of Tables
Table 1 – Assets of 4 SOE’s banks and BCA, April 2017 .........................................................1
Table 2 – Inflation in Indonesia: Target vs Realised, 2001-2018.............................................15
Table 3 – The IMF’s SDR currency basket composition, 1969-2016......................................27
Table 4 – The weights of the 5 currencies in the new SDR basket, effective 20161001 .........28
Table 5 – CFETS currency basket and weight, 20170101 .......................................................29
Table 6 – The currency basket of ECU and euro, 1979-1998 ..................................................31
Table 7 – USD contributor panel banks in LIBOR, September 2017 ......................................47
Table 8 – Name of companies involved in EIRD and YIRD cartels........................................53
Table 9 – The list of banks fined by the European Commission due to practising cartels
in interest rate derivatives of euro and yen (EIRD & YIRD) ................................54
Table 10 – FCA Benchmark Fines on LIBOR Fixing Scandal ................................................54
Table 11 – Progress reports on WFC settlements of claims, June 2016 – August 2017 ..........71
Table 12 – Financial profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by geographicals, 2015-2016
(Rp mn) ..................................................................................................................81
Table 13 – Financial profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by client types/segments, 2015-
2016 (Rp mn) .........................................................................................................82
Table 14 – BRI’s financial highlights, Dec. 2008 – Dec. 2013 (Million Rp except Par
Value).....................................................................................................................83
Table 15 – BRI’s financial highlights, 2012-2016 (Rp bn)......................................................85
Table 16 – Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Cash flow, December 2012 – December 2016 (IDR
mn).........................................................................................................................86
Table 17 – Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Income statement, December 2012 – December
2016 (IDR mn).......................................................................................................87
Table 18 – Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Balance sheet, December 2012 – December 2016
(IDR mn)................................................................................................................88
Table 19 – Fair value of financial assets and liabilities of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2015-
2016 (Rp mn) .........................................................................................................89
Table 20 – Maturity profile of financial assets and liabilities of Bank Rakyat Indonesia,
2015-2016 (Rp mn)................................................................................................93
Table 21 – Fund borrowings profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia based on maturity and
currency, 2015-2016 ..............................................................................................95
Table 22 – Loan profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by maturity, currency, and parties
involved, 2015-2016 (Rp mn)................................................................................96
Table 23 – Loan profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by client segment, currency, and
parties involved, 2015-2016 (Rp mn) ....................................................................97
Table 24 – Loan profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by economic sectors, currency, and
parties involved, 2015-2016 (Rp mn) ....................................................................98
Table 25 – Loan profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by loan type, currency, and parties
involved, 2015-2016 (Rp mn)................................................................................99
Table 26 – Loan profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by currency, 2015-2016 (Rp mn)..........100
Table 27 – Net Open Positions of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2015-2016 (Rp mn)...................101
Table 28 – Loan provided by BRI to SOEs, 2015-2016.........................................................102
Table 29 – Credit risk exposure of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by regions, 2015-2016 (Rp
mn).......................................................................................................................103
Table 30 – Credit risk exposure of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by economic sectors, 2015-
2016 (Rp mn) .......................................................................................................104
Table 31 – Liability structure of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2012-2017q2 (Rp mn) .................105
Table 32 – Financial structure of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, December 2007 – December
2016......................................................................................................................106
Table 33 – Financial structure of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2012-2017q2 (%) .......................107
Sando Sasako
viii
Table 34 – Third-party funds structure in Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2012-2017q2 (Rp mn)...108
Table 35 – Profile of fund borrowings in US dollar of Bank Rakyat Indonesia based on
loan types and lenders, 2016 (US$ mn)...............................................................109
Table 36 – The profile of bonds issued by Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2003-2016....................111
Table 37 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of the assets of Bank Rakyat
Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures)....................................112
Table 38 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of productive assets of Bank
Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures)........................113
Table 39 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of third parties funds of Bank
Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures)........................113
Table 40 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of loans of Bank Rakyat
Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures)....................................114
Table 41 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of equity of Bank Rakyat
Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures)....................................114
Table 42 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of revenues of Bank Rakyat
Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures)....................................115
Table 43 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of net operating profit of Bank
Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures)........................116
Table 44 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of earnings before tax (EBT) of
Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures) ..............116
Table 45 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of earnings after tax (EAT) of
Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures) ..............117
Table 46 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of retained earnings of Bank
Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures)........................117
Table 47 – Equity structure of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2012-2017q2 (Rp mn)....................119
Table 48 – Earnings structure and building blocks of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2012-
2017q2 .................................................................................................................120
Table 49 – BRI’s stock performance, 2006 – Jan. 2014.........................................................121
Table 50 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of market capitalitasion of share
of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 10 November 2003 – 18 July 2017: Daily value
and change ...........................................................................................................122
Table 51 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of close price of share of Bank
Rakyat Indonesia, adjusted afer split & dividends, 10 November 2003 – 18
July 2017: Daily value and change......................................................................122
Table 52 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of close price of share of Bank
Rakyat Indonesia, adjusted afer split, 10 November 2003 – 18 July 2017:
Daily value and change........................................................................................123
Table 53 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of trading volume of share of
Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 17 November 2003 – 18 July 2017: Daily value and
change ..................................................................................................................123
Table 54 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of trading value of share of Bank
Rakyat Indonesia, 10 November 2003 – 18 July 2017: Daily value and
change ..................................................................................................................124
Table 55 – The largest figures in stock trading volume, value, and their daily changes,
20031110-20170718 ............................................................................................124
Table 56 – Investors’ preferences on the shares of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 20170630 ........125
Table 57 – Financial ratios of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2012-2016 .......................................126
Table 58 – Share valuation of Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Current and Forward, 20170731.....126
Table 59 – Price ratios of shares of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, compared with S&P 500,
2007-2016............................................................................................................127
Table 60 – Liquidity ratio of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, December 2007 – December 2016 ...128
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia
ix
Table 61 – Cash flow ratios of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, December 2007 – December
2016......................................................................................................................129
Table 62 – Profitability of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, December 2007 – December 2016 .......130
Table 63 – Profit margin profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, December 2007 – December
2016......................................................................................................................131
Table 64 – Revenue profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, December 2007 – December
2016 (Rp mn) .......................................................................................................132
Table 65 – Revenue sustainability of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, December 2007 –
December 2016 ....................................................................................................133
Table 66 – Typical shareholders of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2015-2016...............................134
Table 67 – Institutional shareholders of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 20161230-20170630........136
Table 68 – Institutional investors’ ownership on equity in Bank Rakyat Indonesia,
20170731..............................................................................................................137
Table 69 – Funds’ ownership on equity in Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 20170731 .....................138
Table 70 – BRI’s subsidiaries, 20161231...............................................................................139
Table 71 – The acquisition cost of BRI’s subsidiaries, 2015-2016........................................139
Table 72 – The milestones of BRI Syariah.............................................................................139
Table 73 – Some financial figures of BRI Syariah, 2015-2016..............................................139
Table 74 – The milestones of BRI Agro.................................................................................140
Table 75 – Some financial figures of BRI Agro, 2015-2016..................................................141
Table 76 – The milestones of BRI Remittance.......................................................................141
Table 77 – Some financial figures of BRI Remittance, 2015-2016........................................142
Table 78 – The milestones of BRI Life ..................................................................................142
Table 79 – Some financial figures of BRI Life, 2015-2016 ...................................................142
Table 80 – The milestones of BRI Finance ............................................................................143
Table 81 – Some financial figures of BRI Finance, 2015-2016 .............................................143
Table 82 – The investments of Bank Rakyat Indonesia (associated companies) by cost
method, 2014-2016 ..............................................................................................144
Table 83 – Transactions of Bank Rakyat Indonesia with related parties by transaction
types, 2015-2016..................................................................................................145
Table 84 – BRI’s non-financial investments, 2016 ................................................................145
Table 85 – Material commitments of Bank Rakyat Indonesia on capital expenditures,
2015-2016 ............................................................................................................146
Table 86 – Typical transactions between Bank Rakyat Indonesia with affiliated parties ......146
Table 87 – Transactions of Bank Rakyat Indonesia with related parties by institutions’
name and transaction types, 2015-2016...............................................................148
Table 88 – The registered analysts of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2016.....................................151
Table 89 – The e-channels of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2012-2016........................................155
Table 90 – The typical offices of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2012-2016 ..................................155
Table 91 – The typical offices of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by province, 2016........................156
Table 92 – Concurrent positions of Commissioners of Bank Rakyat Indonesia,
20161231..............................................................................................................162
Table 93 – The commissioners of Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Supervised region and
Committees Membership, 20161231...................................................................163
Table 94 – The commissioners of Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Risk Management
Certification, 20161231 .......................................................................................164
Table 95 – The commissioners of Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Overseas Education,
Training, and Conferences, 2016.........................................................................165
Table 96 – The commissioners of Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Domestic Education,
Training, and Conferences, 2016.........................................................................166
Table 97 – The Board of Directors of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2015-2017 ...........................181
Sando Sasako
x
Table 98 – Area supervised by commissioners and directors of Bank Rakyat Indonesia,
20161231 .............................................................................................................182
Table 99 – The directors of Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Risk Management Certification,
20161231 .............................................................................................................183
Table 100 – The directors of Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Competency development
program, 2016......................................................................................................184
Table 101 – Job distribution of Directors and SEVPs of Bank Rakyat Indonesia within
Directors’ Committees, 20161231.......................................................................185
Table 102 – World’s satellite services revenue by 4 market segments, 2006-2011 (US$
bn)........................................................................................................................205
Table 103 – Satellite services revenue generation, 2012-2016 (US$ bn)...............................213
Table 104 – List of sub-bands of FSS and BSS spectrum......................................................233
Table 105 – Frequency band allocated for satellite services ..................................................234
Table 106 –Indonesian Satellites Filing in ITU, 2016............................................................236
Table 107 – Profile of Indonesian Satellites...........................................................................237
Table 108 – The list of companies providing satellite services in broadcasting and
telecommunications & satellites leased, 20161231 .............................................242
Table 109 –The list of foreign satellites orbitting and operating on Indonesian sky,
20161231 .............................................................................................................247
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia
xi
List of Figures
Figure 1 – Monetary operation of Bank Indonesia and monetary instruments in
Indonesia................................................................................................................11
Figure 2 – Monetary operation of Bank Indonesia and monetary instruments ........................11
Figure 3 – Inflation targetting framework by macroeconomic indicators in Indonesia ...........13
Figure 4 – Inflation targetting framework by institutions responsible and in charge in
Indonesia................................................................................................................15
Figure 5 – Monthly inflation rates in Indonesia, January 2003-August 2017 ..........................16
Figure 6 – Monthly value of monetary operation in conventional banking in Indonesia,
Jan.2010-Aug.2017 (Rp bn)...................................................................................17
Figure 7 – Monetary operation in islamic banking industry in Indonesia, Jan. 2010-
August 2017 (% of total)........................................................................................17
Figure 8 – BI Rate, July 2005 – July 2016 ...............................................................................19
Figure 9 – BI 7-Day rate, April 2016 – August 2017...............................................................19
Figure 10 – BI Rate (July 2005 – July 2016) and BI 7-Day rate (April 2016 – August
2017) ......................................................................................................................19
Figure 11 – The transaction value of Indonesian money market, January 2010 – August
2017........................................................................................................................21
Figure 12 – JISDOR (Jakarta Interbank Spot Dollar Rate), 20130520-20170908
(US$/IDR)..............................................................................................................21
Figure 13 – US$/IDR buying price and its spread with the selling price of Bank
Indonesia, 20070102-20170908.............................................................................22
Figure 14 – FTSE All-Share index, 19990409-20170911........................................................23
Figure 15 – FTSE 100 index, 19840413-20170911 .................................................................23
Figure 16 – GBP/USD, 19710104-20170901...........................................................................25
Figure 17 – GBP/EUR, 19860508-20170911...........................................................................25
Figure 18 – GBP/USD, 19880304-20170911...........................................................................25
Figure 19 – RMB/USD, 19810101-20170912..........................................................................29
Figure 20 – ERM weighted mean and German inflation rates, 1971-1993..............................33
Figure 21 – ERM weighted mean and German inflation rates, quarterly, 1971-1993 .............33
Figure 22 – Overnight and long-term interest rates in Germany, 1970-1997...........................35
Figure 23 – Overnight and long-term interest rates in the UK, 1980-1997..............................35
Figure 24 – GBP/DM and UK base rates, 1992 .......................................................................35
Figure 25 – GBP/DM, 1990-2005 ............................................................................................35
Figure 26 – The inflation in the UK, 1270-1991 ......................................................................39
Figure 27 – Inflation targeting, unemployment, and economic growth in Germany,
1970-1997 ..............................................................................................................40
Figure 28 – Inflation targeting, unemployment, and economic growth in the UK, 1980-
1997........................................................................................................................40
Figure 29 – The US debts and its gold reserves, 1917-2012....................................................41
Figure 30 – The US debts & its limit and gold price, 2000-20170317.....................................41
Figure 31 – Inflation rates in Germany: Target vs Actual, 1970-1997.....................................42
Figure 32 – Inflation rates in the UK: Target vs Actual, 1980-1997........................................42
Figure 33 – Inflation rates in Germany: Target and actual, 1970-1997 ...................................43
Figure 34 – GBP/USD, 1980-1997...........................................................................................43
Figure 35 – The UK Phillips correlation in the 20th century: Inter-war era, 1926-1935 .........44
Figure 36 – The UK Phillips correlation in the 20th century: Post-WW2 era, 1961-2004 ......44
Figure 37 – Monthly inflation rates in Germany, 199201-201707...........................................45
Figure 38 – Monthly inflation rates in the UK, 198901-201708..............................................45
Figure 39 – Calculating LIBOR................................................................................................46
Sando Sasako
xii
Figure 40 – The spread between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month eurodollar deposit rate,
2007-April 2008.....................................................................................................50
Figure 41 – The spread between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month T-bill, 2007-April 2008......50
Figure 42 – The gap between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month T-bill, April 2007 – May
2008 .......................................................................................................................50
Figure 43 – CITI: The gap between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month T-bill, April 2007 –
May 2008 ...............................................................................................................51
Figure 44 – HBOS: The gap between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month T-bill, April 2007
– May 2008 ............................................................................................................51
Figure 45 – JP Morgan: The gap between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month T-bill, April
2007 – May 2008 ...................................................................................................51
Figure 46 – RBOC: The gap between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month T-bill, April 2007
– May 2008 ............................................................................................................51
Figure 47 – UBS: The gap between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month T-bill, April 2007 –
May 2008 ...............................................................................................................51
Figure 48 – West LB: The gap between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month T-bill, April
2007 – May 2008 ...................................................................................................51
Figure 49 – Penalties paid by banks and region, 2009-2016....................................................56
Figure 50 – Exchange-traded derivatives by currency, daily turnover, and regions, Sept.
2008 – June 2017...................................................................................................58
Figure 51 – Global OTC derivatives markets by notional principal, market value, and
credit exposure, June 2009 – Dec 2016 .................................................................58
Figure 52 – OTC FX derivatives by currency, maturity, and counterparty, June 2009 –
Dec 2016................................................................................................................59
Figure 53 – OTC interest rate derivatives by currency, maturity, and counterparty, June
2009 – Dec 2016....................................................................................................59
Figure 54 – OTC equity-linked derivatives by country, maturity, and counterparty, June
2009 – Dec 2016....................................................................................................59
Figure 55 – The Fed’s assets, Jan. 2007 – Sept. 2017..............................................................60
Figure 56 – The outstanding commercial & industrial loans in the US, Jan. 2007 – Sept.
2017 .......................................................................................................................60
Figure 57 – The balance sheets of 5 central banks and when compared with their own
GDP, 2007-2017....................................................................................................61
Figure 58 – S&P 500 Composite Index, Jan.2007–Sept.2017 .................................................61
Figure 59 – Emerging markets & corporate bonds, Jan.2007–Sept.2017 ................................61
Figure 60 – Wells Fargo cross-sell ratio, 1998–2016q2...........................................................69
Figure 61 – Federal Funds interest rate target, 2003 – Sept. 2017...........................................73
Figure 62 – The total assets of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017:
Value and Growth (monthly figures)...................................................................112
Figure 63 – The earning assets of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017:
Value and Growth (monthly figures)...................................................................112
Figure 64 – The third parties funds of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April
2017: Value and Growth (monthly figures).........................................................113
Figure 65 – Loans of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017: Value and
Growth (monthly figures) ....................................................................................113
Figure 66 – The equity of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017: Value
and Growth (monthly figures) .............................................................................114
Figure 67 – The revenues of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017: Value
and Growth (monthly figures) .............................................................................115
Figure 68 – The net operating profit of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April
2017: Value and Growth (monthly figures).........................................................115
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia
xiii
Figure 69 – The earnings before tax (EBT) of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 –
April 2017: Value and Growth (monthly figures) ...............................................116
Figure 70 – The earnings after tax (EAT) of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 –
April 2017: Value and Growth (monthly figures) ...............................................116
Figure 71 – The retained earnings of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April
2017: Value and Growth (monthly figures).........................................................117
Figure 72 – The market capitalisation of share of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 10 November
2003 – 18 July 2017: Daily Value and Change ...................................................122
Figure 73 – The close price of share of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 10 November 2003 – 18
July 2017: Daily Value and Change ....................................................................122
Figure 74 – The stock trading volume of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 17 November 2003 –
18 July 2017: Daily Value and Change ...............................................................123
Figure 75 – The stock trading value of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 10 November 2003 – 18
July 2017: Daily Value and Change ....................................................................123
Figure 76 – Investors’ preferences and trends on the share of Bank Rakyat Indonesia,
20170630..............................................................................................................125
Figure 77 – The organisation structure of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 20161231 ......................160
Figure 78 – Satellite capabilities, May 2012 ..........................................................................202
Figure 79 – Satellites launched by functioning applications, 2006-2015...............................203
Figure 80 – Satellites launched by economic actors, 2006-2015 ...........................................204
Figure 81 – Satellites launched by regional operators, 2006-2015.........................................204
Figure 82 – World’s satellite services revenue by 4 market segments, 2006-2011 (US$
bn) ........................................................................................................................205
Figure 83 – Satellite operators wholesale revenue, 2005-2011..............................................205
Figure 84 – Fized Satellite Services (FSS) wholesale revenues by region, 2015...................206
Figure 85 – Mobile Satellite Services (MSS) wholesale revenues by region, 2015...............206
Figure 86 – Global Satellite Ground Equipment Revenues, 2012-2017 ................................207
Figure 87 – Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) market size, 2006-2015................208
Figure 88 – Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) Revenues by sat apps, 2015 .........208
Figure 89 – Satellite data pricing system in Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) ....209
Figure 90 – Satellite data sales in Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS)....................210
Figure 91 – Satellite value chain, from upstream to downstream, 2016 ................................210
Figure 92 – Revenue generation in global satellite industry by 4 market segments, 2016 ....211
Figure 93 – Operational satellites by functions, 2016 ............................................................211
Figure 94 – The growth of revenue generation in global satellite industry, 2007-2016.........212
Figure 95 – World satellite industry revenues by segment, 2001-2011 (US$ bn)..................212
Figure 96 – Satellite services revenue generation, 2012-2016 ...............................................213
Figure 97 – Orbits of satellites in 2D......................................................................................214
Figure 98 – Orbits of satellites in 3D......................................................................................214
Figure 99 – Operational satellites by orbit, May 2012 ...........................................................215
Figure 100 – Telkom 3 satellite position as of 20170826 104836 Jakarta time.....................216
Figure 101 – Telkom 3 satellite position as of 20170826 104752 Jakarta time.....................216
Figure 102 – The orbit of Telkom 3S satellite as of 20170826 104636 Jakarta time.............217
Figure 103 – The orbit of Telkom 3 satellite as of 20170826 104614 Jakarta time...............217
Figure 104 – The orbit of Telkom 2 satellite as of 20170826 104546 Jakarta time...............217
Figure 105 – The orbit of Telkom 1 satellite as of 20170826 104520 Jakarta time...............217
Figure 106 – Telkom 3 satellite position as of 20170826 125419, Jakarta time....................218
Figure 107 – The initial plan of Proton-M/Breeze-M system trajectory in delivering
Telkom 3 satellite.................................................................................................218
Figure 108 – The Proton-M/Breeze-M system trajectory with another angle........................219
Figure 109 – Location of Breeze-M rocket body at likely breakup point ..............................219
Sando Sasako
xiv
Figure 110 – Non-GEO, non-GSO satellites orbiting Indonesian sky, 20170826 144454,
Jakarta time..........................................................................................................220
Figure 111 – Geostationary communication (GEO) satellites that is in service, inclined,
& planned.............................................................................................................222
Figure 112 – The geostationary orbit (GEO) satellite belt by frequency band features.........222
Figure 113 – The geostationary orbit (GEO) satellite belt by frequency band features
(2nd version)........................................................................................................223
Figure 114 – The 419 geosynchronous (GSO) satellites mapped by Denton, 20151120.......223
Figure 115 – Commercial communications satellites in geosynchronous orbit (GSO) &
the drifting Palapa C2 ..........................................................................................224
Figure 116 – Commercial communication satellites in GSO & the 88 broadcasting
services satellites (BSS).......................................................................................224
Figure 117 – Commercial communications satellites in geosynchronous orbit (GSO) &
the 67 Boeing satellites, 20120630......................................................................225
Figure 118 – SSL satellites in orbit ........................................................................................225
Figure 119 – Typical satellite orbits seen from above Earth’s North Pole: Van Allen
Belts; Iridium, ISS, Hubble; MEO (Glonass, Compass, Galileo, GPS), GEO....226
Figure 120 – Typical satellite orbits: LEO, MEO, Ellipso & Molnya, Glonass, GPS,
GSO (Clarke Belt), Van Allen Belts....................................................................227
Figure 121 – Typical satellite networks..................................................................................230
Figure 122 – Network of fixed satellite services with Inter-Satellite Links (ISL)
uncharted..............................................................................................................230
Figure 123 – Network of mobils satellite services .................................................................231
Figure 124 – Network of broadcasting satellite services........................................................231
Figure 125 – Larger benefits and controls for sat operator in HTS system............................232
Figure 126 – Fixed Satellite Services with and without HTS compared................................232
Figure 127 - Frequency band-(specturm) in satcoms .............................................................233
Figure 128 – Electromagnetic spectrum and the visible spectrum (light)..............................235
Figure 129 – The relationship between the different types of frequency and other wave
properties .............................................................................................................235
Figure 130 – Ariane 5: Typical flight events and standard trajectory for geostationary
transfer orbit.........................................................................................................239
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia
1
Some Background
I was a little bit surprised by mid July 2017 to notify that Bank Rakyat Indonesia’s assets has
exceeded Bank Mandiri as of April 2017. It led to other questions since when and how about
the other SOE’s banks and Bank Central Asia. Some backtracking reveals that it was since
October 2014, BRI’s assets began exceeding Bank Mandiri. Their assets were IDR 712.45
trillion and IDR 707.97 accordingly.
Table 1 – Assets of 4 SOE’s banks and BCA, A pril 2017
Table – Assets of 4 SOE’s banks and BCA, April 2017
Bank Name
Total Assets
(IDR million)
Bank BTN 215,520,110
Bank BNI 558,428,701
Bank BRI 944,671,082
Bank Mandiri 891,773,622
Bank Central Asia 685,387,425
With IDR 1,000 trillion of assets, about IDR 996 trillion as of May 2017 to be precise, Bank
BRI has transformed itself to be a behemoth, a gigantic animal. It means they are and get even
hungrier, more starving than ever before. They’d call it, used to call it, pressures, burdens. Let
me tell you about a fable, a tale.
Let me take you to the Discovery Channel, National Geographic Channel, or whatever you
know and excited about. A whale. A shark. What do they tell you in common? Let’s change the
animal type to a tiger and lions. One with an a, the other with an s. An individual versus a herd,
the herd instinct.
Lions orchestrate their attacks on selected, particular individual buffalo, elephant, giraffe, or
any prey. We know nothing on how they communicate, surely not in any human language,
especially in English, how the herd pick and target the victim, one specific interest, potential
candidate.
They slowly move, split, and distancing themselves whilst preparing and get ready to make an
attack and ambush their prey. One prey. One big prey. Enough to feed them all, for some time.
It means that they must have been coordinating and planning and doing it on a regular basis.
Some regular basis. Silently. They need to eat to stay alive and preserve their lives.
Now, apply and implement the analysis on Bank Rakyat Indonesia. To begin with, we used to
think simple. Do the math. Let’s see their structures. The assets, the capital, the debts, the cash.
How do BRI grab the cash? There are signs, marks, traffic, traffic lights, trafficking. What do
they traffick?
Which one is worth? Which deal is worth the risk? The elephant risk? What is the most frenemy
of an elephant? An ant. Talking about the ant is always associated with its herd. An army. An
arm with a y letter. A bare hand. Ready to battle. At all times. There must be a queen. There
must be scouts. There are logistics. Chains. Networks. How do ants operate? There are martyrs.
Okay. Let’s scrap it out. Enough for today’s lesson. and enlightenment.
Sando Sasako
2
The Authentication and Authorisation
Some sites are heavily scripted. Some even have pushed to extract the HTML5 canvas image
data as it can be used to uniquely identify our computer, for every user coming, requesting the
site’s web server to respond. On the other hand, some browsers have been equipped with ‘no
script’ add-on, just like the TOR browser.
Having identified the browser has disabled their unique script to function to run and perform
and provide feedback as required and needed to extract user data’s credentials, the web server
will launch and initiate a CAPTCHA to validate if a human is indeed making the request or not.
Some captcha can be figured out easily. Some are not.
Most Australian websites have been intentionally and notoriously denying computers’ access
from Indonesian IP addresses. Some Australian domains can be easily tricked by using the TOR
browser. Some others implement the captcha filter that is definitely can’t be figured out. To
skip this ridiculous captcha, none is better than to disable the ‘no script’ add-on, restart the TOR
browser, and revisit the url. The browser will tell you then that such web server is so eager to
know your unique computer, such as MAC address or elses.
The user data credentials can take the forms of IP address, username and password, nonce, url,
http method, or others required by the web servers. The IP address can reveal your identity, at
least by internet service provider (ISP) name, domain name, client server name, hostname,
organisational identities such as name and location (of originating access).
User data credentials are somewhat an authentication tool. As they are validated, the web server
will provide some authorisation to the user, web surfer, to get access to the resources provided
by the web server(s). The mechanics of authentication and authorisation is an internet protocol
operating on the application layer, securing the data communication between the web server
and the browser.
As the browser or the client is talking to the web server, the client presents a list of supported
cipher suites (ciphers and hash functions). The browser is asking the web server to provide the
information required, provided by or in the SERP. The web server will pick their desired cipher
and hash function and generates cipher and session key.
The web server will respond by sending its identification in the form of a digital certificate, the
SSL certificate. The certificate contains the server name, the trusted certificate authority (CA),
and the server's public encryption key. Both client’s browser and web server will validate each
other the information exchanged. Denied access is given immediately and directly by any party
unsatisfied during the communication process.
For example, the browser will immediately display a warning from any link clicked within a
website logged in or from any SERP. Even if you want to reset the password, the website’s
server donot do what they claim to, such as sending a new password and/or a reset link. Here is
the warning claim:
“Deceptive Site! This web page at pdfsr.com has been reported as a deceptive site and has been
blocked based on your security preferences. Deceptive sites are designed to trick you into doing
something dangerous, like installing software, or revealing your personal information, like
passwords, phone numbers or credit cards. Entering any information on this web page may
result in identity theft or other fraud.”
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia
3
On the other hand, the web server will take forever to respond to the request sent by the browser.
In late July 2017, the IDX web server refused to display the profile of BRI. Even the supposedly
to display the company profile uploaded in pdf. Is my IP address also blocked to access the IDX
website? The answer was a yes, as I knew then that the TOR browser with different IP address
was granted access to see it thru.
In the meantime, Google Chrome team and Mozilla engineers had found that Symantec had
misissued more than 30,000 SSL certificates, by doing shady SSL issuance practices. Google
then announced an intention to gradually remove support for Symantec certificates in Chrome
browser.1
Under Chrome's hood, Google will remove the Symantec's root SSL certificate. SSL certificates
are like giant trees with countless of branches, all converging back to the root certificate. Once
this certificate is removed, all certificates attached to this root will stop working too. It includes
other CAs bought by Symantec such as GeoTrust, Thawte, and RapidSSL.
Until Symantec revamps its SSL issuance procedures and comes up with a system that more
secure and reliable, it's highly unlikely that Google will allow a new Symantec root certificate
in Chrome again. In a similar decision, in November 2016, Google has untrusted the certificates
of WoSign and StartCom.2
1
Catalin Cimpanu, Google Outlines SSL Apocalypse for Symantec Certificates, 20170729,
http://bit.ly/2wdUXAq
2
Catalin Cimpanu, Google Ban Spells the End of Controversial Chinese HTTPS Provider, 20161103,
http://bit.ly/2x8Wqbj
Sando Sasako
4
How this report proceeds and gets distinguished
Like any other cashing in efforts, corporate raiders are more welcomed these days. Side
businesses and moonlightings are the ones they are after. They're not trying to get messy with
the parent company's businesses, but a more wide and deep access to the unthinkable on papers.
Capitalising on stock rides, either in upward and/or downward turns, is just a bonus.
The deep dives in this report are carried on to what had been published publicly by Bank Rakyat
Indonesia, either legal documents and/or financial documents. Some intelligence gathering
techniques3
have been implemented all the way down. Although, the term used in this report is
not what actually defined by the MI5.
The MI5’s principal techniques for gathering intelligence are:4
1. Covert Human Intelligence Sources or “agents”. Agents are people who are able to provide
secret information about a target of an investigation. Agents are not MI5 employees;
2. Directed surveillance, such as following and/or observing targets;
3. Interception of communications, such as monitoring emails or phone calls;
4. Communications data (including use of bulk communications data), information about
communications, such as “how and when” they were made, which is usually obtained from
communications service providers;
5. Bulk personal data, datasets containing information about a large number of people which
can be accessed in a targeted way to identify or find information about subject of interest;
6. Intrusive surveillance, such as putting eavesdropping devices in someone's home or car; and
7. Equipment interference, such as covertly accessing computers or other devices.
This report tries to be a business intelligence report, providing new insights that can empower
the reader of this report to make faster, more informed business decisions.
3
Even Microsoft also uses the same term in its site. Cf. Stephen Northcutt, Network Intrusion Detection: An
Analyst's Handbook, Ch.8, New Riders Publishing, 1999, 20170703, http://bit.ly/2xKJyfS
4
MI5, Gathering Intelligence, The Security Service of GCHQ, http://bit.ly/2xKguFC
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia
253
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Additional Readings
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Guy Faulconbridge; George Soros did not bet against sterling just before Brexit vote: spokesman,
Reuters, 20160627, http://reut.rs/2jwcMcB
Justin Kuepper, Black Wednesday: George Soros' Bet Against Britain: How George Soros Broke the
Bank of England, thebalance.com, 20170828, http://bit.ly/2xFEuKh
Marion Dakers, George Soros: I did not bet against the pound before Brexit , telegraph.co.uk,
20160627, http://bit.ly/29ekKQ3
Mehreen Khan, George Soros did not bet against the pound before Brexit, ft.com, 20160627,
http://on.ft.com/2fpArai
Rohin Dhar, The Trade of the Century: When George Soros Broke the British Pound,
priceonomics.com, 20140515, Last update: 20160617, http://bit.ly/2cOGL7P
Sebastian Mallaby, 'Go for the Jugular', theatlantic.com, 20100604, http://theatln.tc/2xpQLS0
Stephen Gandel, How George Soros Lost Money In a Bad Brexit Bet, Reuters, fortune.com,
20160627, http://for.tn/2xF2b5k
Steve Schaefer, How George Soros Broke The British Pound And Why Hedge Funds Probably Can't
Crack The Euro, Forbes Flashback, 20150707, http://bit.ly/2xoJeTN
Suzanne Plunkett, How emails nailed Barclays, Reuters, Financial Post, 20120628,
http://bit.ly/2hv3Wre
Thomas Jaffe and Dyan Machan, How The Market Overwhelmed The Central Banks, Forbes,
19921109, http://bit.ly/2xoJeTN
Vince Veneziani, The Real Story Of How George Soros Shorted The Pound, Etching His Name Into
Financial History Forever, businessinsider.com, 20100604, http://read.bi/2y4FDY7
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia
257
Suggested Readings
Alberto Martin, Origins and macroeconomic implications of asset bubbles, Jaume Ventura,
20110216, http://bit.ly/2xFVb8v
Charles Hugh Smith, The War On Cash: Why Now?, mises.org, 20150729, http://bit.ly/1IKLOUO
Charles Hugh Smith, Will The Crazy Global Debt Bubble Ever End?, blogspot.com,
seekingalpha.com, 20170528, http://bit.ly/2jwUFTL, http://bit.ly/2xp6Nvm
Forensic Accounting Club, Financial Statement Fraud Schemes, 20160228, Last update: 20161122,
http://bit.ly/2x5rABZ
Forensic Accounting Club, Financial Statement Fraud, 20160228, Last update: 20161122,
http://bit.ly/2faKxiu
Forensic Accounting Club, Fraud Detective Analysis of Financial Statements, 20160305, Last update:
20161122, http://bit.ly/2xppe33
Holly Black, Warning over 'mother of all asset bubbles', ftadviser.com, 20170605,
http://bit.ly/2h9bAr5
Izabella Kaminska, Bitcoin's surge fuels fears of asset bubble, afr.com, 20170515,
http://bit.ly/2x3GX0o
Jacob J, Cryptocurrency Bubble Will Burst: Aberdeen Asset Management, cointelegraph.com,
20170624, http://bit.ly/2h8tfzg
John Lyons and Shen Hong, Asset Bubbles From Stocks to Bonds to Iron Ore Threaten China,
wsj.com, 20161101, http://on.wsj.com/2fpkiSg
Kimberly Amadeo, Asset Bubble: Causes, Examples, and How to Protect Yourself, thebalance.com,
20170714, http://bit.ly/2h6Fj7N
Neel Kashkari, Monetary Policy and Bubbles, minneapolisfed.org, 20170517, http://bit.ly/2f1e7mz
Oliver Watts and Richard Hayler, Window Dressing in M&A Transactions, FTI Consulting, Inc,
20170522, http://bit.ly/2xFUQSX
perstirling.com, Per Stirling Capital Outlook - June 2017, 20170630, http://bit.ly/2h5L3Pi
Steve Goldstein, Fed's Kashkari says central bank should avoid fighting asset-price bubbles,
marketwatch.com, 20170517, http://on.mktw.net/2yddnTM
Wolf Richter, Brick & Mortar Retail Meltdown Fueled by Asset Stripping. Details Emerge in
Bankruptcy Courts, wolfstreet.com, 20170731, http://bit.ly/2h9myAv
Wolf Richter, Consumer Bankruptcies Rise for the First Time since 2010, wolfstreet.com, 20170205,
http://bit.ly/2xFx7Cm
Wolf Richter, Great Debt Unwind: Bankruptcies by Consumers and Businesses Jump,
wolfstreet.com, 20170606, http://bit.ly/2xF4ZiS
Wolf Richter, It Just Doesn't Let Up with Wells Fargo, wolfstreet.com, 20170729,
http://bit.ly/2h8HUKY
Wolf Richter, Next Asset Bubble Cracks: It's so Big even the Fed is Fretting, wolfstreet.com,
20170607, http://bit.ly/2qXUwbp, http://read.bi/2x8RSF3
Wolf Richter, Retail Meltdown Demolishes Mall Investors, wolfstreet.com, 20170509,
http://bit.ly/2xGUM5q
Wolf Richter, So When Will China's Debt Bubble Finally Blow Up?, wolfstreet.com, 20170817,
http://bit.ly/2wvFgVh
Wolf Richter, The Economy is Cracking under Too Much Debt, wolfstreet.com, 20161018,
http://bit.ly/2x5iwNu
Wolf Richter, The US Cities with the Biggest Housing Bubbles, wolfstreet.com, 20170829,
http://bit.ly/2iIssJh
Sando Sasako
258
Readings on Satellites
Anityo Nugroho, Satellite Communication – Part 1, 20110404, http://bit.ly/2wOwGW4
Arianespace, Flight VA 230: EchoStar XVIII and BRIsat, Launch Kit, 20160613, http://bit.ly/1S2Ibr
Bryce Space and Technology, 21 Years as the Voice of the U.S. Satellite Industry, SIA’s 20th annual
study of satellite industry data, Washington DC, 20170714.
Collins Student World Atlas, HarperCollins Publishers, 2005, ISBN 0 00 719549 4; in TAHN,
Geostationary Communication Satellites, 20071226, http://bit.ly/2wdWKbw
ComSoft VSAT Solutions GmbH, Satellites Served, http://bit.ly/2xIjdLU
Dan Meyers (Sydney Plavins), How to Rent and Operate a Satellite for $250 a Week!, 20160823,
http://bit.ly/2iCug6J
Diah Yuniarti, Studi Perkembangan dan Kondisi Satelit Indonesia (The Study of Development and
Condition of Indonesian Satellites), Puslitbang Sumber Daya dan Perangkat Pos dan
Informatika, Buletin Pos dan Telekomunikasi, Vol.11 No.2 Juni 2013 : 121-136.
Euroconsult, Satellite Value Chain: Snapshot 2016, Key Trends and Indicators on Supply & Demand
of the World Commercial Satellite Industry – An Extract, Executive Report, Paris,
20161213.
Geo Swan, North Pole February Ice-Pack 1978-2002, 20161023
Graham Templeton, Geek Answers: What is geostationary orbit, and why is it so important?,
20131214, geek.com, http://bit.ly/2iG8AXw
Hendra Santoso, ed, Data Statistik, Tahun 2016, Semester 2, Direktorat Jenderal Sumber Daya dan
Perangkat Pos dan Informatika, Kementerian Komunikasi dan Informatika, 20170519.
Innovation, Science & Economic Development Canada’s (ISED), Policy Framework for the
Provision of Fixed-Satellite Services (FSS) & Broadcasting-Satellite Services (BSS),
Spectrum Management & Telecommunications, Radio Systems Policy, RP-008, Issue 4,
Canda, June 2017
Innovation, Science & Economic Development Canada’s (ISED), Radio Spectrum Inventory: A 2010
Snapshot — Canada, Chapter 7–Satellite Services, http://bit.ly/2xMYZSo
Karaşimşek, Konu: Uydu sinyalleri ile ilgili sorular (Topic: Questions about satellite signals),
20080614, http://bit.ly/2vzedZk
Mahdi3d, INTELSAT 22 was thrown into orbit / lateral military cargo to Australia, IRNA, 20120326,
http://bit.ly/2w9sDlL, http://bit.ly/2wzJrTO, http://bit.ly/2ggiM88
Mick Denton, Electron/Ion Flux Model for Geosynchronous Orbit (GEO), 20150419, Last update:
20161007, http://bit.ly/2wNVrla
Mulyadi, Indonesian Satellite Service Regulatory Framework, Head of Satellite Management,
Ministry of Communications and Information Technology, ITU International Satellite
Symposium 2016, Bali, 6-8 September 2016.
n2yo.com, Telkom 3 Satellite details 2012-044A NORAD 38744, http://bit.ly/2xOgOkc
n2yo.com, What's Up In Your Sky?, http://bit.ly/2yjmHsM
Pacome Revillon, Fundamentals and Dynamics of the Satellite Communications Business, Inmarsat
Capital Markets Day 2016, Euroconsult, Paris, 20161007.
Patrick Blau, Yamal-402 Satellite healthy after Briz-M Upper Stage Failure, spaceflight101.net,
20121209, http://bit.ly/2wSmDOW, http://bit.ly/2xDtt8k
Satellite Industry Association, 21 Years as the Voice of the U.S. Satellite Industry.
Satellite Industry Association, Satellite 101: Satellite Technology and Services.
SatFlare.com, Telkom 3 - NORAD 38744 - 3D Online Satellite Tracking, http://bit.ly/2fDTVHX
Source: Gempar Ikka Wijaya, Nasib satelit bernilai Rp 1,8 triliun, 20120808, http://bit.ly/2vzZVad
Space Systems/Loral, LLC, SSL satellites in orbit, http://bit.ly/2vnmt2G
T.S. Kelso, Breeze-M Rocket Body (38746) Breakup, celestrak.com, 20121025, updated: 20121109,
http://bit.ly/2wzMiMR
Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) Satellite Database; in Satellite Industry Association, Satellite
101: Satellite Technology and Services, Washington DC, 20130118.
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, and Satellite Business in Indonesia
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, and Satellite Business in Indonesia
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, and Satellite Business in Indonesia
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, and Satellite Business in Indonesia
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, and Satellite Business in Indonesia
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, and Satellite Business in Indonesia
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, and Satellite Business in Indonesia
Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, and Satellite Business in Indonesia

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Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, and Satellite Business in Indonesia

  • 1. Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia Serabdi Sakti Jakarta, August 2017 Sando Sasako Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia & Satellite Business in Indonesia http://bit.ly/1S2Ibr http://bit.ly/2wFoK9a
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  • 3. Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia i Contents Contents ...................................................................................................................................... i List of Tables ........................................................................................................................... vii List of Figures........................................................................................................................... xi Some Background.......................................................................................................................1 The Authentication and Authorisation....................................................................................2 How this report proceeds and gets distinguished....................................................................4 Asset Bubble...............................................................................................................................5 Excessive Liquidity.................................................................................................................7 Excessive Liquidity: The Aftermath.......................................................................................9 The Liquidity Effect..............................................................................................................11 The Limit of Excessive Debts...............................................................................................13 Inflation Management in Indonesia ..........................................................................................15 Market Liquidity in Indonesia ..............................................................................................17 Playing with Interest Rates ...................................................................................................19 The Money Markets in Indonesia .........................................................................................21 What To Do with Assets Bubbled?...........................................................................................23 The volatile sterling against the dollar and euro...................................................................25 The Special Drawing Rights.................................................................................................27 Yuan Internationalisation......................................................................................................29 How Soros broke the Bank of England ....................................................................................31 The Exchange Rate Mechanism ...........................................................................................33 Blaming the Bundesbank......................................................................................................35 The German’s Hyperinflation Experience............................................................................38 Thanking the Bundesbank ....................................................................................................39 The Gold Standard and Bretton Woods System ...................................................................41 The Inflation Targeting: The Germany Experience..............................................................42 The Inflation Targeting: The UK Experience.......................................................................44 The LIBOR Fixing....................................................................................................................46 The LIBOR Scandal..............................................................................................................49 The Magnitude of LIBOR Scandal.......................................................................................53 The Price of High Fines........................................................................................................56 Hundreds of trillions USD derivatives was exchanged daily ...............................................58 Central Banks: The Initiator and Keeper of Widespreading Asset Bubble Phenomena ..........60 How to Detect and Spot Asset Bubble..................................................................................63 Asset Bubble aka Accounting Frauds: The Causalities........................................................65 Asset Bubble aka Accounting Frauds: The Red Flags .........................................................66 The Asset Bubble of Wells Fargo.........................................................................................69 Shrinking the Asset Bubble ......................................................................................................73 The Demand..........................................................................................................................75 The Demand: To weaken, to stimulate, or to create .............................................................77 The Price...............................................................................................................................79
  • 4. Sando Sasako ii BRI’s financial profile in briefs................................................................................................81 BRI’s Financial Highlights.......................................................................................................83 Cash Flow .............................................................................................................................86 Income Statement .................................................................................................................87 Balance Sheet........................................................................................................................88 Risk Management Policy..........................................................................................................90 Dividend Policy ........................................................................................................................91 Maturity Profile ........................................................................................................................92 Maturity of Fund Borrowings...............................................................................................95 Maturity of Loans .................................................................................................................96 Loan Profile ..............................................................................................................................97 Credit Risk Exposure..........................................................................................................103 Liability Profile.......................................................................................................................105 Financial Structure..............................................................................................................106 Third Party Funds Profile ...................................................................................................108 Bonds Issued.......................................................................................................................111 Financial Performance............................................................................................................112 The Total Assets .................................................................................................................112 Earning Assets ....................................................................................................................112 Third Party’s Funds ............................................................................................................113 Loans...................................................................................................................................113 Equity..................................................................................................................................114 Profit Making..........................................................................................................................115 Revenues.............................................................................................................................115 Operating Profit, Net ..........................................................................................................115 Earnings Before Tax...........................................................................................................116 Earnings After Tax .............................................................................................................116 Retained Earnings...............................................................................................................117 Profit Profile ...........................................................................................................................119 Stock Performance..................................................................................................................121 Market Capitalisation..........................................................................................................122 Share Price..........................................................................................................................122 Stock Trading......................................................................................................................123 Investors’ Preferences.........................................................................................................125 Financial Ratios ......................................................................................................................126 Stock price ratios ................................................................................................................126 Liquidity .............................................................................................................................128 Profitability.........................................................................................................................130 The Shareholders ....................................................................................................................134
  • 5. Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia iii Subsidiaries.............................................................................................................................139 BRI Syariah.........................................................................................................................139 BRI Agro.............................................................................................................................140 BRI Remittance...................................................................................................................141 BRI Life ..............................................................................................................................142 BRI Finance ........................................................................................................................143 Associated Entities..................................................................................................................144 Transactions with Related Companies....................................................................................145 The Analysts ...........................................................................................................................151 Corporate Profile.....................................................................................................................152 Milestones...........................................................................................................................154 e-channels ...........................................................................................................................155 Branch and Regional Offices..............................................................................................155 Head Office.....................................................................................................................155 Special Branch Office.....................................................................................................155 Overseas Branch Offices ................................................................................................155 Regional Offices .............................................................................................................156 Office of Subsidiaries .........................................................................................................157 Banking Divisions...............................................................................................................158 Organisation Structure ............................................................................................................160 Management Profile................................................................................................................161 Board of Commissioners ....................................................................................................162 Andrinof Achir Chaniago ...............................................................................................167 (Mustafa Abubakar)........................................................................................................167 Gatot Trihargo.................................................................................................................168 Ahmad Fuad Rahmany ...................................................................................................168 (Ahmad Fuad).................................................................................................................169 Nicolaus Teguh Budi Harjanto .......................................................................................170 Adhyaksa Dault...............................................................................................................170 A. Sonny Keraf ...............................................................................................................171 Vincentius Sonny Loho ..................................................................................................171 Jeffry Jefta Wurangian....................................................................................................172 Mahmud..........................................................................................................................172 Secretary to the Board of Commissioners ..........................................................................174 Committees of BoC ............................................................................................................175 Nomination and Remuneration Committee (NRC) ........................................................175 Audit Committee.............................................................................................................175 Risk Management Monitoring Committee (RMOC)......................................................177 Integrated Governance Committee (KTKT)...................................................................178 Board of Directors ..............................................................................................................181 Suprajarto........................................................................................................................186 (Asmawi Syam) ..............................................................................................................186 Sunarso............................................................................................................................186
  • 6. Sando Sasako iv Donsuwan Simatupang...................................................................................................187 Haru Koesmahargyo .......................................................................................................187 Kuswiyoto.......................................................................................................................188 Mohammad Irfan ............................................................................................................188 Priyastomo......................................................................................................................188 Randi Anto......................................................................................................................189 Sis Apik Wijayanto.........................................................................................................189 Susy Liestiowaty.............................................................................................................190 Indra Utoyo.....................................................................................................................190 (Zulhelfi Abidin).............................................................................................................190 Senior Executive Vice President (SEVP) Profiles..............................................................192 Irianto Sunardi ................................................................................................................192 Adi Setyanto and Bardiyono Wiyatmojo........................................................................192 (Saptono Siwi) ................................................................................................................192 Hexana Tri Sasongko......................................................................................................193 Supari..............................................................................................................................193 Agus Noorsanto ..............................................................................................................193 Corporate Secretary ............................................................................................................194 Investor Relations ...............................................................................................................194 Senior Executive Profiles ...................................................................................................195 Head, IT Planning & Development Division .................................................................195 Head, Investment Service Division ................................................................................195 Head, Risk Management Division..................................................................................195 Head, Corporate Development & Strategy Division......................................................195 Head, Outsourcing Management Division .....................................................................195 Head, International Business Division ...........................................................................195 Head, Micro Business Development 2 ...........................................................................195 Head, Micro Business Policy & Strategy Division ........................................................195 Head, Fixed Assets Management Property.....................................................................195 Head, Credit Risk & Analysis Division..........................................................................195 Head, SOE Business 1 Division .....................................................................................195 Head, Treasury Division.................................................................................................196 Head, Procurement Division...........................................................................................196 Head, Transaction Banking Division..............................................................................196 Head, SOE Business 2 Division .....................................................................................196 Head, Finance & Accounting Management Division.....................................................196 Head, Digital Banking Operation Division ....................................................................196 Head, Institutional Banking 2 Division ..........................................................................196 Head, Loan Program & Partnership Division.................................................................196 Head, General Business Division ...................................................................................196 Head, Agribusiness Division ..........................................................................................196 Head, Consumer Loan Division .....................................................................................196 Head, SME & Medium Business Division.....................................................................196 Head, Institutional Banking 1 Division ..........................................................................197 Head, Wealth Management Division..............................................................................197 Head, Restructuring & Recovery Credit Division..........................................................197 Head, Human Capital Services Division ........................................................................197 Head, Operation Center Division ...................................................................................197
  • 7. Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia v Head, Corporate Secretary Division ...............................................................................197 Head, Credit Card Division ............................................................................................197 Head, Service & Contact Center Division......................................................................197 Head, Marketing Communication Division....................................................................197 Head, Satellite & Terrestrial Division ............................................................................197 Chief Learning Officer, BRI Corporate University........................................................197 Head, Human Capital Policy & Development Division.................................................197 Head of Regional Offices ...................................................................................................198 Head, Jakarta 3 Regional Office.....................................................................................198 Head, Jakarta 1 Regional Office.....................................................................................198 Head, Malang Regional Office .......................................................................................198 Head, Bandar Lampung Regional Office .......................................................................198 Head, Palembang Regional Office..................................................................................198 Head, Surabaya Regional Office ....................................................................................198 Head, Pekanbaru Regional Office ..................................................................................198 Head, Jakarta 2 Regional Office.....................................................................................198 Head, Jayapura Regional Office .....................................................................................198 Head, Aceh Regional Office...........................................................................................198 Head, Semarang Regional Office ...................................................................................198 Head, Medan Regional Office ........................................................................................198 Head, Yogyakarta Regional Office.................................................................................198 Head, Denpasar Regional Office ....................................................................................199 Head, Padang Regional Office........................................................................................199 Head, Manado Regional Office ......................................................................................199 Head, Bandung Regional Office.....................................................................................199 Head, Banjarmasin Regional Office...............................................................................199 Head, Makassar Regional Office....................................................................................199 Head, Special Branch Office ..............................................................................................200 Head of Inspection Offices .................................................................................................200 Inspector, Malang Regional Office.................................................................................200 Inspector, Bandar Lampung Regional Office.................................................................200 Inspector, Palembang Regional Office ...........................................................................200 Inspector, Surabaya Regional Office..............................................................................200 Inspector, Manado Regional Office................................................................................200 Regional Audit of KP, KCK, UKLN & PA Regional Office.........................................200 Inspector, Aceh Regional Office ....................................................................................200 Inspector, Semarang Regional Office.............................................................................200 Inspector, Medan Regional Office..................................................................................200 Inspector, Pekanbaru Regional Office............................................................................200 Inspector, Makassar Regional Office..............................................................................200 Inspector, Yogyakarta Regional Office ..........................................................................201 Inspector, Denpasar Regional Office..............................................................................201 Inspector, Jakarta 3 Regional Office...............................................................................201 Inspector, Jakarta 2 Regional Office...............................................................................201 Inspector, Banjarmasin Regional Office.........................................................................201 Inspector, Bandung Regional Office ..............................................................................201 Inspector, Padang Regional Office .................................................................................201
  • 8. Sando Sasako vi Satellite Business in Indonesia ...............................................................................................202 Satellite Capability..............................................................................................................202 Satellite Users .....................................................................................................................203 Revenue Generators in Satellite Services Business........................................................205 Revenue Generation in Satellite Navigation Services Business.....................................207 Revenue Generation in Optical Data Services................................................................209 Satellite Business Value .....................................................................................................210 Satellites in Orbit ................................................................................................................214 The Crowded Space Junk ...............................................................................................215 Telkom 3 Satellite...........................................................................................................216 The Proton-M Briz-M satellite launcher.........................................................................218 The Crowded Satellites in the Sky .................................................................................220 Typical Satellite Orbits...................................................................................................226 Typical Satellite Networks .................................................................................................230 Advantages of HTS System............................................................................................232 Frequency Band Allocated for Satellite Services ...........................................................233 Indonesian Satellite Operators............................................................................................236 BRIsat .............................................................................................................................238 Palapa Satellites..............................................................................................................240 Providers of Satellite Services in Broadcasting and Tekecommunications........................242 Foreign Satellite Operators on Indonesian Sky with its client list......................................247 References...............................................................................................................................253 Additional Readings ...........................................................................................................256 Suggested Readings............................................................................................................257 Readings on Satellites.........................................................................................................258 Index .......................................................................................................................................259
  • 9. Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia vii List of Tables Table 1 – Assets of 4 SOE’s banks and BCA, April 2017 .........................................................1 Table 2 – Inflation in Indonesia: Target vs Realised, 2001-2018.............................................15 Table 3 – The IMF’s SDR currency basket composition, 1969-2016......................................27 Table 4 – The weights of the 5 currencies in the new SDR basket, effective 20161001 .........28 Table 5 – CFETS currency basket and weight, 20170101 .......................................................29 Table 6 – The currency basket of ECU and euro, 1979-1998 ..................................................31 Table 7 – USD contributor panel banks in LIBOR, September 2017 ......................................47 Table 8 – Name of companies involved in EIRD and YIRD cartels........................................53 Table 9 – The list of banks fined by the European Commission due to practising cartels in interest rate derivatives of euro and yen (EIRD & YIRD) ................................54 Table 10 – FCA Benchmark Fines on LIBOR Fixing Scandal ................................................54 Table 11 – Progress reports on WFC settlements of claims, June 2016 – August 2017 ..........71 Table 12 – Financial profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by geographicals, 2015-2016 (Rp mn) ..................................................................................................................81 Table 13 – Financial profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by client types/segments, 2015- 2016 (Rp mn) .........................................................................................................82 Table 14 – BRI’s financial highlights, Dec. 2008 – Dec. 2013 (Million Rp except Par Value).....................................................................................................................83 Table 15 – BRI’s financial highlights, 2012-2016 (Rp bn)......................................................85 Table 16 – Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Cash flow, December 2012 – December 2016 (IDR mn).........................................................................................................................86 Table 17 – Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Income statement, December 2012 – December 2016 (IDR mn).......................................................................................................87 Table 18 – Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Balance sheet, December 2012 – December 2016 (IDR mn)................................................................................................................88 Table 19 – Fair value of financial assets and liabilities of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2015- 2016 (Rp mn) .........................................................................................................89 Table 20 – Maturity profile of financial assets and liabilities of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2015-2016 (Rp mn)................................................................................................93 Table 21 – Fund borrowings profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia based on maturity and currency, 2015-2016 ..............................................................................................95 Table 22 – Loan profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by maturity, currency, and parties involved, 2015-2016 (Rp mn)................................................................................96 Table 23 – Loan profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by client segment, currency, and parties involved, 2015-2016 (Rp mn) ....................................................................97 Table 24 – Loan profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by economic sectors, currency, and parties involved, 2015-2016 (Rp mn) ....................................................................98 Table 25 – Loan profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by loan type, currency, and parties involved, 2015-2016 (Rp mn)................................................................................99 Table 26 – Loan profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by currency, 2015-2016 (Rp mn)..........100 Table 27 – Net Open Positions of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2015-2016 (Rp mn)...................101 Table 28 – Loan provided by BRI to SOEs, 2015-2016.........................................................102 Table 29 – Credit risk exposure of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by regions, 2015-2016 (Rp mn).......................................................................................................................103 Table 30 – Credit risk exposure of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by economic sectors, 2015- 2016 (Rp mn) .......................................................................................................104 Table 31 – Liability structure of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2012-2017q2 (Rp mn) .................105 Table 32 – Financial structure of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, December 2007 – December 2016......................................................................................................................106 Table 33 – Financial structure of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2012-2017q2 (%) .......................107
  • 10. Sando Sasako viii Table 34 – Third-party funds structure in Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2012-2017q2 (Rp mn)...108 Table 35 – Profile of fund borrowings in US dollar of Bank Rakyat Indonesia based on loan types and lenders, 2016 (US$ mn)...............................................................109 Table 36 – The profile of bonds issued by Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2003-2016....................111 Table 37 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of the assets of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures)....................................112 Table 38 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of productive assets of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures)........................113 Table 39 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of third parties funds of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures)........................113 Table 40 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of loans of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures)....................................114 Table 41 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of equity of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures)....................................114 Table 42 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of revenues of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures)....................................115 Table 43 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of net operating profit of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures)........................116 Table 44 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of earnings before tax (EBT) of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures) ..............116 Table 45 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of earnings after tax (EAT) of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures) ..............117 Table 46 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of retained earnings of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017 (monthly figures)........................117 Table 47 – Equity structure of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2012-2017q2 (Rp mn)....................119 Table 48 – Earnings structure and building blocks of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2012- 2017q2 .................................................................................................................120 Table 49 – BRI’s stock performance, 2006 – Jan. 2014.........................................................121 Table 50 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of market capitalitasion of share of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 10 November 2003 – 18 July 2017: Daily value and change ...........................................................................................................122 Table 51 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of close price of share of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, adjusted afer split & dividends, 10 November 2003 – 18 July 2017: Daily value and change......................................................................122 Table 52 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of close price of share of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, adjusted afer split, 10 November 2003 – 18 July 2017: Daily value and change........................................................................................123 Table 53 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of trading volume of share of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 17 November 2003 – 18 July 2017: Daily value and change ..................................................................................................................123 Table 54 – The highest peak and lowest trough points of trading value of share of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 10 November 2003 – 18 July 2017: Daily value and change ..................................................................................................................124 Table 55 – The largest figures in stock trading volume, value, and their daily changes, 20031110-20170718 ............................................................................................124 Table 56 – Investors’ preferences on the shares of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 20170630 ........125 Table 57 – Financial ratios of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2012-2016 .......................................126 Table 58 – Share valuation of Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Current and Forward, 20170731.....126 Table 59 – Price ratios of shares of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, compared with S&P 500, 2007-2016............................................................................................................127 Table 60 – Liquidity ratio of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, December 2007 – December 2016 ...128
  • 11. Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia ix Table 61 – Cash flow ratios of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, December 2007 – December 2016......................................................................................................................129 Table 62 – Profitability of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, December 2007 – December 2016 .......130 Table 63 – Profit margin profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, December 2007 – December 2016......................................................................................................................131 Table 64 – Revenue profile of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, December 2007 – December 2016 (Rp mn) .......................................................................................................132 Table 65 – Revenue sustainability of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, December 2007 – December 2016 ....................................................................................................133 Table 66 – Typical shareholders of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2015-2016...............................134 Table 67 – Institutional shareholders of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 20161230-20170630........136 Table 68 – Institutional investors’ ownership on equity in Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 20170731..............................................................................................................137 Table 69 – Funds’ ownership on equity in Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 20170731 .....................138 Table 70 – BRI’s subsidiaries, 20161231...............................................................................139 Table 71 – The acquisition cost of BRI’s subsidiaries, 2015-2016........................................139 Table 72 – The milestones of BRI Syariah.............................................................................139 Table 73 – Some financial figures of BRI Syariah, 2015-2016..............................................139 Table 74 – The milestones of BRI Agro.................................................................................140 Table 75 – Some financial figures of BRI Agro, 2015-2016..................................................141 Table 76 – The milestones of BRI Remittance.......................................................................141 Table 77 – Some financial figures of BRI Remittance, 2015-2016........................................142 Table 78 – The milestones of BRI Life ..................................................................................142 Table 79 – Some financial figures of BRI Life, 2015-2016 ...................................................142 Table 80 – The milestones of BRI Finance ............................................................................143 Table 81 – Some financial figures of BRI Finance, 2015-2016 .............................................143 Table 82 – The investments of Bank Rakyat Indonesia (associated companies) by cost method, 2014-2016 ..............................................................................................144 Table 83 – Transactions of Bank Rakyat Indonesia with related parties by transaction types, 2015-2016..................................................................................................145 Table 84 – BRI’s non-financial investments, 2016 ................................................................145 Table 85 – Material commitments of Bank Rakyat Indonesia on capital expenditures, 2015-2016 ............................................................................................................146 Table 86 – Typical transactions between Bank Rakyat Indonesia with affiliated parties ......146 Table 87 – Transactions of Bank Rakyat Indonesia with related parties by institutions’ name and transaction types, 2015-2016...............................................................148 Table 88 – The registered analysts of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2016.....................................151 Table 89 – The e-channels of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2012-2016........................................155 Table 90 – The typical offices of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2012-2016 ..................................155 Table 91 – The typical offices of Bank Rakyat Indonesia by province, 2016........................156 Table 92 – Concurrent positions of Commissioners of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 20161231..............................................................................................................162 Table 93 – The commissioners of Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Supervised region and Committees Membership, 20161231...................................................................163 Table 94 – The commissioners of Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Risk Management Certification, 20161231 .......................................................................................164 Table 95 – The commissioners of Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Overseas Education, Training, and Conferences, 2016.........................................................................165 Table 96 – The commissioners of Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Domestic Education, Training, and Conferences, 2016.........................................................................166 Table 97 – The Board of Directors of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 2015-2017 ...........................181
  • 12. Sando Sasako x Table 98 – Area supervised by commissioners and directors of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 20161231 .............................................................................................................182 Table 99 – The directors of Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Risk Management Certification, 20161231 .............................................................................................................183 Table 100 – The directors of Bank Rakyat Indonesia: Competency development program, 2016......................................................................................................184 Table 101 – Job distribution of Directors and SEVPs of Bank Rakyat Indonesia within Directors’ Committees, 20161231.......................................................................185 Table 102 – World’s satellite services revenue by 4 market segments, 2006-2011 (US$ bn)........................................................................................................................205 Table 103 – Satellite services revenue generation, 2012-2016 (US$ bn)...............................213 Table 104 – List of sub-bands of FSS and BSS spectrum......................................................233 Table 105 – Frequency band allocated for satellite services ..................................................234 Table 106 –Indonesian Satellites Filing in ITU, 2016............................................................236 Table 107 – Profile of Indonesian Satellites...........................................................................237 Table 108 – The list of companies providing satellite services in broadcasting and telecommunications & satellites leased, 20161231 .............................................242 Table 109 –The list of foreign satellites orbitting and operating on Indonesian sky, 20161231 .............................................................................................................247
  • 13. Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia xi List of Figures Figure 1 – Monetary operation of Bank Indonesia and monetary instruments in Indonesia................................................................................................................11 Figure 2 – Monetary operation of Bank Indonesia and monetary instruments ........................11 Figure 3 – Inflation targetting framework by macroeconomic indicators in Indonesia ...........13 Figure 4 – Inflation targetting framework by institutions responsible and in charge in Indonesia................................................................................................................15 Figure 5 – Monthly inflation rates in Indonesia, January 2003-August 2017 ..........................16 Figure 6 – Monthly value of monetary operation in conventional banking in Indonesia, Jan.2010-Aug.2017 (Rp bn)...................................................................................17 Figure 7 – Monetary operation in islamic banking industry in Indonesia, Jan. 2010- August 2017 (% of total)........................................................................................17 Figure 8 – BI Rate, July 2005 – July 2016 ...............................................................................19 Figure 9 – BI 7-Day rate, April 2016 – August 2017...............................................................19 Figure 10 – BI Rate (July 2005 – July 2016) and BI 7-Day rate (April 2016 – August 2017) ......................................................................................................................19 Figure 11 – The transaction value of Indonesian money market, January 2010 – August 2017........................................................................................................................21 Figure 12 – JISDOR (Jakarta Interbank Spot Dollar Rate), 20130520-20170908 (US$/IDR)..............................................................................................................21 Figure 13 – US$/IDR buying price and its spread with the selling price of Bank Indonesia, 20070102-20170908.............................................................................22 Figure 14 – FTSE All-Share index, 19990409-20170911........................................................23 Figure 15 – FTSE 100 index, 19840413-20170911 .................................................................23 Figure 16 – GBP/USD, 19710104-20170901...........................................................................25 Figure 17 – GBP/EUR, 19860508-20170911...........................................................................25 Figure 18 – GBP/USD, 19880304-20170911...........................................................................25 Figure 19 – RMB/USD, 19810101-20170912..........................................................................29 Figure 20 – ERM weighted mean and German inflation rates, 1971-1993..............................33 Figure 21 – ERM weighted mean and German inflation rates, quarterly, 1971-1993 .............33 Figure 22 – Overnight and long-term interest rates in Germany, 1970-1997...........................35 Figure 23 – Overnight and long-term interest rates in the UK, 1980-1997..............................35 Figure 24 – GBP/DM and UK base rates, 1992 .......................................................................35 Figure 25 – GBP/DM, 1990-2005 ............................................................................................35 Figure 26 – The inflation in the UK, 1270-1991 ......................................................................39 Figure 27 – Inflation targeting, unemployment, and economic growth in Germany, 1970-1997 ..............................................................................................................40 Figure 28 – Inflation targeting, unemployment, and economic growth in the UK, 1980- 1997........................................................................................................................40 Figure 29 – The US debts and its gold reserves, 1917-2012....................................................41 Figure 30 – The US debts & its limit and gold price, 2000-20170317.....................................41 Figure 31 – Inflation rates in Germany: Target vs Actual, 1970-1997.....................................42 Figure 32 – Inflation rates in the UK: Target vs Actual, 1980-1997........................................42 Figure 33 – Inflation rates in Germany: Target and actual, 1970-1997 ...................................43 Figure 34 – GBP/USD, 1980-1997...........................................................................................43 Figure 35 – The UK Phillips correlation in the 20th century: Inter-war era, 1926-1935 .........44 Figure 36 – The UK Phillips correlation in the 20th century: Post-WW2 era, 1961-2004 ......44 Figure 37 – Monthly inflation rates in Germany, 199201-201707...........................................45 Figure 38 – Monthly inflation rates in the UK, 198901-201708..............................................45 Figure 39 – Calculating LIBOR................................................................................................46
  • 14. Sando Sasako xii Figure 40 – The spread between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month eurodollar deposit rate, 2007-April 2008.....................................................................................................50 Figure 41 – The spread between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month T-bill, 2007-April 2008......50 Figure 42 – The gap between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month T-bill, April 2007 – May 2008 .......................................................................................................................50 Figure 43 – CITI: The gap between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month T-bill, April 2007 – May 2008 ...............................................................................................................51 Figure 44 – HBOS: The gap between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month T-bill, April 2007 – May 2008 ............................................................................................................51 Figure 45 – JP Morgan: The gap between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month T-bill, April 2007 – May 2008 ...................................................................................................51 Figure 46 – RBOC: The gap between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month T-bill, April 2007 – May 2008 ............................................................................................................51 Figure 47 – UBS: The gap between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month T-bill, April 2007 – May 2008 ...............................................................................................................51 Figure 48 – West LB: The gap between 3-month LIBOR with 3-month T-bill, April 2007 – May 2008 ...................................................................................................51 Figure 49 – Penalties paid by banks and region, 2009-2016....................................................56 Figure 50 – Exchange-traded derivatives by currency, daily turnover, and regions, Sept. 2008 – June 2017...................................................................................................58 Figure 51 – Global OTC derivatives markets by notional principal, market value, and credit exposure, June 2009 – Dec 2016 .................................................................58 Figure 52 – OTC FX derivatives by currency, maturity, and counterparty, June 2009 – Dec 2016................................................................................................................59 Figure 53 – OTC interest rate derivatives by currency, maturity, and counterparty, June 2009 – Dec 2016....................................................................................................59 Figure 54 – OTC equity-linked derivatives by country, maturity, and counterparty, June 2009 – Dec 2016....................................................................................................59 Figure 55 – The Fed’s assets, Jan. 2007 – Sept. 2017..............................................................60 Figure 56 – The outstanding commercial & industrial loans in the US, Jan. 2007 – Sept. 2017 .......................................................................................................................60 Figure 57 – The balance sheets of 5 central banks and when compared with their own GDP, 2007-2017....................................................................................................61 Figure 58 – S&P 500 Composite Index, Jan.2007–Sept.2017 .................................................61 Figure 59 – Emerging markets & corporate bonds, Jan.2007–Sept.2017 ................................61 Figure 60 – Wells Fargo cross-sell ratio, 1998–2016q2...........................................................69 Figure 61 – Federal Funds interest rate target, 2003 – Sept. 2017...........................................73 Figure 62 – The total assets of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017: Value and Growth (monthly figures)...................................................................112 Figure 63 – The earning assets of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017: Value and Growth (monthly figures)...................................................................112 Figure 64 – The third parties funds of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017: Value and Growth (monthly figures).........................................................113 Figure 65 – Loans of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017: Value and Growth (monthly figures) ....................................................................................113 Figure 66 – The equity of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017: Value and Growth (monthly figures) .............................................................................114 Figure 67 – The revenues of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017: Value and Growth (monthly figures) .............................................................................115 Figure 68 – The net operating profit of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017: Value and Growth (monthly figures).........................................................115
  • 15. Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia xiii Figure 69 – The earnings before tax (EBT) of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017: Value and Growth (monthly figures) ...............................................116 Figure 70 – The earnings after tax (EAT) of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017: Value and Growth (monthly figures) ...............................................116 Figure 71 – The retained earnings of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, January 2002 – April 2017: Value and Growth (monthly figures).........................................................117 Figure 72 – The market capitalisation of share of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 10 November 2003 – 18 July 2017: Daily Value and Change ...................................................122 Figure 73 – The close price of share of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 10 November 2003 – 18 July 2017: Daily Value and Change ....................................................................122 Figure 74 – The stock trading volume of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 17 November 2003 – 18 July 2017: Daily Value and Change ...............................................................123 Figure 75 – The stock trading value of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 10 November 2003 – 18 July 2017: Daily Value and Change ....................................................................123 Figure 76 – Investors’ preferences and trends on the share of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 20170630..............................................................................................................125 Figure 77 – The organisation structure of Bank Rakyat Indonesia, 20161231 ......................160 Figure 78 – Satellite capabilities, May 2012 ..........................................................................202 Figure 79 – Satellites launched by functioning applications, 2006-2015...............................203 Figure 80 – Satellites launched by economic actors, 2006-2015 ...........................................204 Figure 81 – Satellites launched by regional operators, 2006-2015.........................................204 Figure 82 – World’s satellite services revenue by 4 market segments, 2006-2011 (US$ bn) ........................................................................................................................205 Figure 83 – Satellite operators wholesale revenue, 2005-2011..............................................205 Figure 84 – Fized Satellite Services (FSS) wholesale revenues by region, 2015...................206 Figure 85 – Mobile Satellite Services (MSS) wholesale revenues by region, 2015...............206 Figure 86 – Global Satellite Ground Equipment Revenues, 2012-2017 ................................207 Figure 87 – Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) market size, 2006-2015................208 Figure 88 – Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) Revenues by sat apps, 2015 .........208 Figure 89 – Satellite data pricing system in Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS) ....209 Figure 90 – Satellite data sales in Global Navigation Satellite System (GNSS)....................210 Figure 91 – Satellite value chain, from upstream to downstream, 2016 ................................210 Figure 92 – Revenue generation in global satellite industry by 4 market segments, 2016 ....211 Figure 93 – Operational satellites by functions, 2016 ............................................................211 Figure 94 – The growth of revenue generation in global satellite industry, 2007-2016.........212 Figure 95 – World satellite industry revenues by segment, 2001-2011 (US$ bn)..................212 Figure 96 – Satellite services revenue generation, 2012-2016 ...............................................213 Figure 97 – Orbits of satellites in 2D......................................................................................214 Figure 98 – Orbits of satellites in 3D......................................................................................214 Figure 99 – Operational satellites by orbit, May 2012 ...........................................................215 Figure 100 – Telkom 3 satellite position as of 20170826 104836 Jakarta time.....................216 Figure 101 – Telkom 3 satellite position as of 20170826 104752 Jakarta time.....................216 Figure 102 – The orbit of Telkom 3S satellite as of 20170826 104636 Jakarta time.............217 Figure 103 – The orbit of Telkom 3 satellite as of 20170826 104614 Jakarta time...............217 Figure 104 – The orbit of Telkom 2 satellite as of 20170826 104546 Jakarta time...............217 Figure 105 – The orbit of Telkom 1 satellite as of 20170826 104520 Jakarta time...............217 Figure 106 – Telkom 3 satellite position as of 20170826 125419, Jakarta time....................218 Figure 107 – The initial plan of Proton-M/Breeze-M system trajectory in delivering Telkom 3 satellite.................................................................................................218 Figure 108 – The Proton-M/Breeze-M system trajectory with another angle........................219 Figure 109 – Location of Breeze-M rocket body at likely breakup point ..............................219
  • 16. Sando Sasako xiv Figure 110 – Non-GEO, non-GSO satellites orbiting Indonesian sky, 20170826 144454, Jakarta time..........................................................................................................220 Figure 111 – Geostationary communication (GEO) satellites that is in service, inclined, & planned.............................................................................................................222 Figure 112 – The geostationary orbit (GEO) satellite belt by frequency band features.........222 Figure 113 – The geostationary orbit (GEO) satellite belt by frequency band features (2nd version)........................................................................................................223 Figure 114 – The 419 geosynchronous (GSO) satellites mapped by Denton, 20151120.......223 Figure 115 – Commercial communications satellites in geosynchronous orbit (GSO) & the drifting Palapa C2 ..........................................................................................224 Figure 116 – Commercial communication satellites in GSO & the 88 broadcasting services satellites (BSS).......................................................................................224 Figure 117 – Commercial communications satellites in geosynchronous orbit (GSO) & the 67 Boeing satellites, 20120630......................................................................225 Figure 118 – SSL satellites in orbit ........................................................................................225 Figure 119 – Typical satellite orbits seen from above Earth’s North Pole: Van Allen Belts; Iridium, ISS, Hubble; MEO (Glonass, Compass, Galileo, GPS), GEO....226 Figure 120 – Typical satellite orbits: LEO, MEO, Ellipso & Molnya, Glonass, GPS, GSO (Clarke Belt), Van Allen Belts....................................................................227 Figure 121 – Typical satellite networks..................................................................................230 Figure 122 – Network of fixed satellite services with Inter-Satellite Links (ISL) uncharted..............................................................................................................230 Figure 123 – Network of mobils satellite services .................................................................231 Figure 124 – Network of broadcasting satellite services........................................................231 Figure 125 – Larger benefits and controls for sat operator in HTS system............................232 Figure 126 – Fixed Satellite Services with and without HTS compared................................232 Figure 127 - Frequency band-(specturm) in satcoms .............................................................233 Figure 128 – Electromagnetic spectrum and the visible spectrum (light)..............................235 Figure 129 – The relationship between the different types of frequency and other wave properties .............................................................................................................235 Figure 130 – Ariane 5: Typical flight events and standard trajectory for geostationary transfer orbit.........................................................................................................239
  • 17. Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia 1 Some Background I was a little bit surprised by mid July 2017 to notify that Bank Rakyat Indonesia’s assets has exceeded Bank Mandiri as of April 2017. It led to other questions since when and how about the other SOE’s banks and Bank Central Asia. Some backtracking reveals that it was since October 2014, BRI’s assets began exceeding Bank Mandiri. Their assets were IDR 712.45 trillion and IDR 707.97 accordingly. Table 1 – Assets of 4 SOE’s banks and BCA, A pril 2017 Table – Assets of 4 SOE’s banks and BCA, April 2017 Bank Name Total Assets (IDR million) Bank BTN 215,520,110 Bank BNI 558,428,701 Bank BRI 944,671,082 Bank Mandiri 891,773,622 Bank Central Asia 685,387,425 With IDR 1,000 trillion of assets, about IDR 996 trillion as of May 2017 to be precise, Bank BRI has transformed itself to be a behemoth, a gigantic animal. It means they are and get even hungrier, more starving than ever before. They’d call it, used to call it, pressures, burdens. Let me tell you about a fable, a tale. Let me take you to the Discovery Channel, National Geographic Channel, or whatever you know and excited about. A whale. A shark. What do they tell you in common? Let’s change the animal type to a tiger and lions. One with an a, the other with an s. An individual versus a herd, the herd instinct. Lions orchestrate their attacks on selected, particular individual buffalo, elephant, giraffe, or any prey. We know nothing on how they communicate, surely not in any human language, especially in English, how the herd pick and target the victim, one specific interest, potential candidate. They slowly move, split, and distancing themselves whilst preparing and get ready to make an attack and ambush their prey. One prey. One big prey. Enough to feed them all, for some time. It means that they must have been coordinating and planning and doing it on a regular basis. Some regular basis. Silently. They need to eat to stay alive and preserve their lives. Now, apply and implement the analysis on Bank Rakyat Indonesia. To begin with, we used to think simple. Do the math. Let’s see their structures. The assets, the capital, the debts, the cash. How do BRI grab the cash? There are signs, marks, traffic, traffic lights, trafficking. What do they traffick? Which one is worth? Which deal is worth the risk? The elephant risk? What is the most frenemy of an elephant? An ant. Talking about the ant is always associated with its herd. An army. An arm with a y letter. A bare hand. Ready to battle. At all times. There must be a queen. There must be scouts. There are logistics. Chains. Networks. How do ants operate? There are martyrs. Okay. Let’s scrap it out. Enough for today’s lesson. and enlightenment.
  • 18. Sando Sasako 2 The Authentication and Authorisation Some sites are heavily scripted. Some even have pushed to extract the HTML5 canvas image data as it can be used to uniquely identify our computer, for every user coming, requesting the site’s web server to respond. On the other hand, some browsers have been equipped with ‘no script’ add-on, just like the TOR browser. Having identified the browser has disabled their unique script to function to run and perform and provide feedback as required and needed to extract user data’s credentials, the web server will launch and initiate a CAPTCHA to validate if a human is indeed making the request or not. Some captcha can be figured out easily. Some are not. Most Australian websites have been intentionally and notoriously denying computers’ access from Indonesian IP addresses. Some Australian domains can be easily tricked by using the TOR browser. Some others implement the captcha filter that is definitely can’t be figured out. To skip this ridiculous captcha, none is better than to disable the ‘no script’ add-on, restart the TOR browser, and revisit the url. The browser will tell you then that such web server is so eager to know your unique computer, such as MAC address or elses. The user data credentials can take the forms of IP address, username and password, nonce, url, http method, or others required by the web servers. The IP address can reveal your identity, at least by internet service provider (ISP) name, domain name, client server name, hostname, organisational identities such as name and location (of originating access). User data credentials are somewhat an authentication tool. As they are validated, the web server will provide some authorisation to the user, web surfer, to get access to the resources provided by the web server(s). The mechanics of authentication and authorisation is an internet protocol operating on the application layer, securing the data communication between the web server and the browser. As the browser or the client is talking to the web server, the client presents a list of supported cipher suites (ciphers and hash functions). The browser is asking the web server to provide the information required, provided by or in the SERP. The web server will pick their desired cipher and hash function and generates cipher and session key. The web server will respond by sending its identification in the form of a digital certificate, the SSL certificate. The certificate contains the server name, the trusted certificate authority (CA), and the server's public encryption key. Both client’s browser and web server will validate each other the information exchanged. Denied access is given immediately and directly by any party unsatisfied during the communication process. For example, the browser will immediately display a warning from any link clicked within a website logged in or from any SERP. Even if you want to reset the password, the website’s server donot do what they claim to, such as sending a new password and/or a reset link. Here is the warning claim: “Deceptive Site! This web page at pdfsr.com has been reported as a deceptive site and has been blocked based on your security preferences. Deceptive sites are designed to trick you into doing something dangerous, like installing software, or revealing your personal information, like passwords, phone numbers or credit cards. Entering any information on this web page may result in identity theft or other fraud.”
  • 19. Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia 3 On the other hand, the web server will take forever to respond to the request sent by the browser. In late July 2017, the IDX web server refused to display the profile of BRI. Even the supposedly to display the company profile uploaded in pdf. Is my IP address also blocked to access the IDX website? The answer was a yes, as I knew then that the TOR browser with different IP address was granted access to see it thru. In the meantime, Google Chrome team and Mozilla engineers had found that Symantec had misissued more than 30,000 SSL certificates, by doing shady SSL issuance practices. Google then announced an intention to gradually remove support for Symantec certificates in Chrome browser.1 Under Chrome's hood, Google will remove the Symantec's root SSL certificate. SSL certificates are like giant trees with countless of branches, all converging back to the root certificate. Once this certificate is removed, all certificates attached to this root will stop working too. It includes other CAs bought by Symantec such as GeoTrust, Thawte, and RapidSSL. Until Symantec revamps its SSL issuance procedures and comes up with a system that more secure and reliable, it's highly unlikely that Google will allow a new Symantec root certificate in Chrome again. In a similar decision, in November 2016, Google has untrusted the certificates of WoSign and StartCom.2 1 Catalin Cimpanu, Google Outlines SSL Apocalypse for Symantec Certificates, 20170729, http://bit.ly/2wdUXAq 2 Catalin Cimpanu, Google Ban Spells the End of Controversial Chinese HTTPS Provider, 20161103, http://bit.ly/2x8Wqbj
  • 20. Sando Sasako 4 How this report proceeds and gets distinguished Like any other cashing in efforts, corporate raiders are more welcomed these days. Side businesses and moonlightings are the ones they are after. They're not trying to get messy with the parent company's businesses, but a more wide and deep access to the unthinkable on papers. Capitalising on stock rides, either in upward and/or downward turns, is just a bonus. The deep dives in this report are carried on to what had been published publicly by Bank Rakyat Indonesia, either legal documents and/or financial documents. Some intelligence gathering techniques3 have been implemented all the way down. Although, the term used in this report is not what actually defined by the MI5. The MI5’s principal techniques for gathering intelligence are:4 1. Covert Human Intelligence Sources or “agents”. Agents are people who are able to provide secret information about a target of an investigation. Agents are not MI5 employees; 2. Directed surveillance, such as following and/or observing targets; 3. Interception of communications, such as monitoring emails or phone calls; 4. Communications data (including use of bulk communications data), information about communications, such as “how and when” they were made, which is usually obtained from communications service providers; 5. Bulk personal data, datasets containing information about a large number of people which can be accessed in a targeted way to identify or find information about subject of interest; 6. Intrusive surveillance, such as putting eavesdropping devices in someone's home or car; and 7. Equipment interference, such as covertly accessing computers or other devices. This report tries to be a business intelligence report, providing new insights that can empower the reader of this report to make faster, more informed business decisions. 3 Even Microsoft also uses the same term in its site. Cf. Stephen Northcutt, Network Intrusion Detection: An Analyst's Handbook, Ch.8, New Riders Publishing, 1999, 20170703, http://bit.ly/2xKJyfS 4 MI5, Gathering Intelligence, The Security Service of GCHQ, http://bit.ly/2xKguFC
  • 21. Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia 253 References Alioth LLC, UK inflation rate in 1992: 3.74%, http://bit.ly/2eWUxI9 Andrea Tan, Gavin Finch, and Liam Vaughan, RBS Instant Messages Show Libor Rates Skewed for Traders. Bloomberg, 20120926. Ann C. Chalstrom, "Inflation in the European Community: A Study Before and After German Unification" Honors Projects. Paper 46. Illinois Wesleyan Univ. 1994. http://bit.ly/2fbXngh Ashlyn Still and Jonathan Spicer, In shedding bonds, Fed aims for boring end to crisis-era measures, Reuters, 20170918, http://reut.rs/2ykZiDN Ashlyn Still and Jonathan Spicer, The legacy of the QE era, 20170918, Reuters Graphics, Thomson Reuters Datastream, tmsnrt.rs/2jxgbbf, http://tmsnrt.rs/2xh1v4Q Bates Research Group, LIBOR Explained: Understanding the LIBOR Scandal, 20130925. Bundesbank, Inflation targeting, Deutsche Bundesbank – Service – I, 20170621, http://bit.ly/2wxi4pu Bundesbank, Monetary targeting, Deutsche Bundesbank – Glossary, 20140701, http://bit.ly/2xHfhix Bundesbank, Two-pillar strategy, Deutsche Bundesbank – Glossary, 20140701, http://bit.ly/2h9dDiG Carrick Mollenkamp and Mark Whitehouse, Study Casts Doubt on Key Rate, WSJ, 20080529, http://bit.ly/2wgcubC Carrick Mollenkamp, Bankers Cast Doubt On Key Rate Amid Crisis, WSJ, 20080416, http://bit.ly/2y2IvIG Catalin Cimpanu, Google Ban Spells the End of Controversial Chinese HTTPS Provider, 20161103, http://bit.ly/2x8Wqbj Catalin Cimpanu, Google Outlines SSL Apocalypse for Symantec Certificates, 20170729, http://bit.ly/2wdUXAq Claire Suddath, "Why Did World War I Just End?". Time World. Time. 20101004. http://ti.me/1B5jDHe Connan Snider and Thomas Youle, Does the LIBOR reflect banks’ borrowing costs?, University of Minnesota, 20100402. Craig R. Whitney, Blaming the Bundesbank, 19931017, http://nyti.ms/2x2XqB4 Daniel L. Thornton, The Relationship Between the Daily and Policy-Relevant Liquidity Effects, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis Review, Jan./Feb.2010, pp.73-88. Daniel Schäfer, RBS settles row with ex-risk chief over final part of £1.9m bonus, FT, 20140103, http://bit.ly/2xtPZDU David Chapman, Gold And U.S. Debt Limit: Intertwined?, investing.com, 20170319, http://bit.ly/2jAh1Ef Douglas J. Keenan, My thwarted attempt to tell of Libor shenanigans, FT, 20120727. Due, Brick and Mortar Business Failing? Here Are 4 Possible Reasons, 20170921, http://bit.ly/2xqJykf Forensic Accounting Club, Detection of Fraudulent Financial Statement Schemes, forensicaccounting.club, 20160228, Last update: 20161122, http://bit.ly/2x6aLXG Forensic Accounting Club, Financial Statement Fraud: Concealed Liabilities and Expenses, forensicaccounting.club, 20160228, Last update: 20161122, http://bit.ly/2xhCzsf Forensic Accounting Club, Financial Statement Fraud: Fictitious Revenues, forensicaccounting.club, 20160228, http://bit.ly/2wvvMJE Forensic Accounting Club, Financial Statement Fraud: Fictitious Revenues, 20160228, Last update: 20161122, http://bit.ly/2wvvMJE Forensic Accounting Club, Financial Statement Fraud: Improper Asset Valuation, forensicaccounting.club, 20160228, updated: 20161122, http://bit.ly/2xpwo7v Forensic Accounting Club, Financial Statement Fraud: Improper Disclosures, forensicaccounting.club, 20160228, Last update: 20161122, http://bit.ly/2xQoGnY Forensic Accounting Club, Financial Statement Fraud: Timing Differences, forensicaccounting.club, 20160228, Last update: 20161122, http://bit.ly/2yqsgCz
  • 22. Sando Sasako 254 Forensic Accounting Club, What Is Financial Statement Fraud?, forensicaccounting.club, 20160228, http://bit.ly/2ycWfgd Frederic S. Mishkin and Adam S. Posen, Inflation Targeting: Lessons from Four Countries, Working Paper 6126, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambridge, MA, August 1997. Gerold Grasshoff, et al, Global Risk 2017: Staying the Course in Banking, Boston Consulting Group, March 2017. Giancarlo Gandolfo: International Economics II: International Monetary Theory and Open-Economy Macroeconomics, Springer Verlag, Berlin: 1987, pp.380-393, 404-411. Hermann Simon, Whole Foods Is Becoming Amazon’s Brick-and-Mortar Pricing Lab, HBR, 20170912, http://bit.ly/2woJrly International Monetary Fund: Global Financial Stability Report: Financial Stress and Deleveraging Macrofinancial Implications and Policy, World economic and financial surveys, Oct. 2008. J. Boughton, Silent Revolution: The IMF 1979-1989, 2001; in Ousmène Jacques Mandeng, Historic perspectives on the purposes of the SDR, London School of Economics and New Sparta Asset Management, 20150227, http://bit.ly/2y1Vmrv Jacob Gyntelberg and Philip Wooldridge, Interbank rate fixings during the recent turmoil. Quarterly Review. Bank for International Settlements. March 2008. Justin H. Mims, The Wells Fargo Scandal and Efforts to Reform Incentive-Based Compensation in Financial Institutions, NC Banking Inst. Vol.21, Issue 1, Article 21, 20170301. Luca Benati, The inflation-targeting framework from an historical perspective, Monetary Assessment and Strategy Division, Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin: Summer 2005. pp.160-168. MI5, Gathering Intelligence, The Security Service of GCHQ, http://bit.ly/2xKguFC Michael Ovaska, Central bank balance sheets, 20170822, tmsnrt.rs/2inHILp Michael Tanglis, The “King of Cross-Sell” and the Race to Eight, Public Citizen, Washington DC, 20160929. Mike Terceiro, Low balling the LIBOR – the LIBOR rate-rigging scandal, CCH Australian Competition & Consumer Law Tracker, Issue 8, August 2012, http://bit.ly/2fuEWnd Milton Friedman, “Factors Affecting the Level of Interest Rates,” in Proceedings of the 1968 Conference on Saving and Residential Financing. Chicago: United States Saving and Loan League, 1969, pp.11-27; in Thomas M. Havrilesky and John T. Boorman, eds., Current Issues in Monetary Theory and Policy. Arlington Heights, IL: AHM Publishing, 1976, pp.362-78. Moniek Wolters, The 1992-1993 ERM Crisis, Erasmus Student, http://bit.ly/2neyxf3. Neel Kashkari, President of Minneapolis Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis, Monetary Policy and Bubbles, 20170517, http://bit.ly/2f1e7mz New York Southern District Court, Case No.1:15-cv-05844, Sonterra Capital Master Fund Ltd. et al v. UBS AG et al, Document 121, 20151218 Rahul Mittal, A History of Finance – Black Wednesday, 20120413, http://bit.ly/2x08OMl Robert Parker, Why did the Bretton Woods system fail?, 20161126, http://bit.ly/2jyaWYT Robin Leigh-Pemberton, the Governor of Bank of England; The case for price stability, Quarterly Bulletin, Bank of England, Nov. 1992, pp.441-448. Rosa M Abrantes-Metz, Michael Kraten, Albert D Metz and Gim Seow, Libor Manipulation?, Social Science Research Network, August 2008, p.2, http://bit.ly/2huL3F7 Sando Sasako, Coal Business in Indonesia, Serabdi Sakti, Jakarta, March 2017, p.80. The original title of section is “Beating the Low Price Condition”. See the table of contents in this link http://bit.ly/2rnOO2K. Sando Sasako, Krisis Finansil Cina: Perspektif Kebijakan Moneter, Corporate Finance (Analisa Laporan Keuangan), dan Investment Banking (Valuasi Nilai), Serabdi Sakti, Jakarta, March 2016. See the table of contents in this link http://bit.ly/2vMzUt0 Stephen Northcutt, Network Intrusion Detection: An Analyst's Handbook, Ch.8, New Riders Publishing, 1999, 20170703, http://bit.ly/2xKJyfS
  • 23. Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia 255 Steven Drobny, Inside the house of money: top hedge fund traders on profiting in the global markets, John Wiley & Sons, Inc., Hoboken, New Jersey, 2006. The State Council of PRC, State Council issues guideline on overseas investment, 20170818, http://bit.ly/2vOVZny Thomas M. Havrilesky and John T. Boorman, eds., Current Issues in Monetary Theory and Policy. Arlington Heights, IL: AHM Publishing, 1976, pp.362-78. US Consumer Financial Protection Bureau (CFPB), In the matter of: Wells Fargo Bank, N.A., Consent Order, Administrative Proceeding, 2016-CFPB-0015, 20160908, at p. 5, 7, http://bit.ly/2dpnuyN. Victoria Duff, Liquidity Effect in Economics, Chron, 20100820, Last Update 20161026, http://bit.ly/2h7N0e7 Wells Fargo, 1999 Annual Report, p.7, http://bit.ly/2ddwP9O. Werner Antweiler, European Currency Unit (ECU): A Brief History of the ECU, the Predecessor of the Euro, The Pacific Exchange Rate Service, Sauder School of Business, University of British Columbia, Vancouver, Canada, 20110119. http://fx.sauder.ubc.ca/ECU.html Yue Wang, Betting On Brick-And-Mortar: Alibaba's Billion-Dollar Retail Experiment, Forbes, 20170827, http://bit.ly/2hj18Rz
  • 24. Sando Sasako 256 Additional Readings Andrew Beattie, The Greatest Currency Trades Ever Made, investopedia, 20080903, http://bit.ly/1dvS8A9 Ben Moshinsky, George Soros didn't bet against the pound this time, Reuters, Business Insider US, 20160627, http://bit.ly/2f1Aaty Chris Ratcliffe, RBS instant messages reveal traders skewed Libor, Bloomberg, Financial Post, 20120926, http://bit.ly/2jY6JOe Guy Faulconbridge; George Soros did not bet against sterling just before Brexit vote: spokesman, Reuters, 20160627, http://reut.rs/2jwcMcB Justin Kuepper, Black Wednesday: George Soros' Bet Against Britain: How George Soros Broke the Bank of England, thebalance.com, 20170828, http://bit.ly/2xFEuKh Marion Dakers, George Soros: I did not bet against the pound before Brexit , telegraph.co.uk, 20160627, http://bit.ly/29ekKQ3 Mehreen Khan, George Soros did not bet against the pound before Brexit, ft.com, 20160627, http://on.ft.com/2fpArai Rohin Dhar, The Trade of the Century: When George Soros Broke the British Pound, priceonomics.com, 20140515, Last update: 20160617, http://bit.ly/2cOGL7P Sebastian Mallaby, 'Go for the Jugular', theatlantic.com, 20100604, http://theatln.tc/2xpQLS0 Stephen Gandel, How George Soros Lost Money In a Bad Brexit Bet, Reuters, fortune.com, 20160627, http://for.tn/2xF2b5k Steve Schaefer, How George Soros Broke The British Pound And Why Hedge Funds Probably Can't Crack The Euro, Forbes Flashback, 20150707, http://bit.ly/2xoJeTN Suzanne Plunkett, How emails nailed Barclays, Reuters, Financial Post, 20120628, http://bit.ly/2hv3Wre Thomas Jaffe and Dyan Machan, How The Market Overwhelmed The Central Banks, Forbes, 19921109, http://bit.ly/2xoJeTN Vince Veneziani, The Real Story Of How George Soros Shorted The Pound, Etching His Name Into Financial History Forever, businessinsider.com, 20100604, http://read.bi/2y4FDY7
  • 25. Asset Bubble, Bank Rakyat Indonesia, & Satellite Business in Indonesia 257 Suggested Readings Alberto Martin, Origins and macroeconomic implications of asset bubbles, Jaume Ventura, 20110216, http://bit.ly/2xFVb8v Charles Hugh Smith, The War On Cash: Why Now?, mises.org, 20150729, http://bit.ly/1IKLOUO Charles Hugh Smith, Will The Crazy Global Debt Bubble Ever End?, blogspot.com, seekingalpha.com, 20170528, http://bit.ly/2jwUFTL, http://bit.ly/2xp6Nvm Forensic Accounting Club, Financial Statement Fraud Schemes, 20160228, Last update: 20161122, http://bit.ly/2x5rABZ Forensic Accounting Club, Financial Statement Fraud, 20160228, Last update: 20161122, http://bit.ly/2faKxiu Forensic Accounting Club, Fraud Detective Analysis of Financial Statements, 20160305, Last update: 20161122, http://bit.ly/2xppe33 Holly Black, Warning over 'mother of all asset bubbles', ftadviser.com, 20170605, http://bit.ly/2h9bAr5 Izabella Kaminska, Bitcoin's surge fuels fears of asset bubble, afr.com, 20170515, http://bit.ly/2x3GX0o Jacob J, Cryptocurrency Bubble Will Burst: Aberdeen Asset Management, cointelegraph.com, 20170624, http://bit.ly/2h8tfzg John Lyons and Shen Hong, Asset Bubbles From Stocks to Bonds to Iron Ore Threaten China, wsj.com, 20161101, http://on.wsj.com/2fpkiSg Kimberly Amadeo, Asset Bubble: Causes, Examples, and How to Protect Yourself, thebalance.com, 20170714, http://bit.ly/2h6Fj7N Neel Kashkari, Monetary Policy and Bubbles, minneapolisfed.org, 20170517, http://bit.ly/2f1e7mz Oliver Watts and Richard Hayler, Window Dressing in M&A Transactions, FTI Consulting, Inc, 20170522, http://bit.ly/2xFUQSX perstirling.com, Per Stirling Capital Outlook - June 2017, 20170630, http://bit.ly/2h5L3Pi Steve Goldstein, Fed's Kashkari says central bank should avoid fighting asset-price bubbles, marketwatch.com, 20170517, http://on.mktw.net/2yddnTM Wolf Richter, Brick & Mortar Retail Meltdown Fueled by Asset Stripping. Details Emerge in Bankruptcy Courts, wolfstreet.com, 20170731, http://bit.ly/2h9myAv Wolf Richter, Consumer Bankruptcies Rise for the First Time since 2010, wolfstreet.com, 20170205, http://bit.ly/2xFx7Cm Wolf Richter, Great Debt Unwind: Bankruptcies by Consumers and Businesses Jump, wolfstreet.com, 20170606, http://bit.ly/2xF4ZiS Wolf Richter, It Just Doesn't Let Up with Wells Fargo, wolfstreet.com, 20170729, http://bit.ly/2h8HUKY Wolf Richter, Next Asset Bubble Cracks: It's so Big even the Fed is Fretting, wolfstreet.com, 20170607, http://bit.ly/2qXUwbp, http://read.bi/2x8RSF3 Wolf Richter, Retail Meltdown Demolishes Mall Investors, wolfstreet.com, 20170509, http://bit.ly/2xGUM5q Wolf Richter, So When Will China's Debt Bubble Finally Blow Up?, wolfstreet.com, 20170817, http://bit.ly/2wvFgVh Wolf Richter, The Economy is Cracking under Too Much Debt, wolfstreet.com, 20161018, http://bit.ly/2x5iwNu Wolf Richter, The US Cities with the Biggest Housing Bubbles, wolfstreet.com, 20170829, http://bit.ly/2iIssJh
  • 26. Sando Sasako 258 Readings on Satellites Anityo Nugroho, Satellite Communication – Part 1, 20110404, http://bit.ly/2wOwGW4 Arianespace, Flight VA 230: EchoStar XVIII and BRIsat, Launch Kit, 20160613, http://bit.ly/1S2Ibr Bryce Space and Technology, 21 Years as the Voice of the U.S. Satellite Industry, SIA’s 20th annual study of satellite industry data, Washington DC, 20170714. Collins Student World Atlas, HarperCollins Publishers, 2005, ISBN 0 00 719549 4; in TAHN, Geostationary Communication Satellites, 20071226, http://bit.ly/2wdWKbw ComSoft VSAT Solutions GmbH, Satellites Served, http://bit.ly/2xIjdLU Dan Meyers (Sydney Plavins), How to Rent and Operate a Satellite for $250 a Week!, 20160823, http://bit.ly/2iCug6J Diah Yuniarti, Studi Perkembangan dan Kondisi Satelit Indonesia (The Study of Development and Condition of Indonesian Satellites), Puslitbang Sumber Daya dan Perangkat Pos dan Informatika, Buletin Pos dan Telekomunikasi, Vol.11 No.2 Juni 2013 : 121-136. Euroconsult, Satellite Value Chain: Snapshot 2016, Key Trends and Indicators on Supply & Demand of the World Commercial Satellite Industry – An Extract, Executive Report, Paris, 20161213. Geo Swan, North Pole February Ice-Pack 1978-2002, 20161023 Graham Templeton, Geek Answers: What is geostationary orbit, and why is it so important?, 20131214, geek.com, http://bit.ly/2iG8AXw Hendra Santoso, ed, Data Statistik, Tahun 2016, Semester 2, Direktorat Jenderal Sumber Daya dan Perangkat Pos dan Informatika, Kementerian Komunikasi dan Informatika, 20170519. Innovation, Science & Economic Development Canada’s (ISED), Policy Framework for the Provision of Fixed-Satellite Services (FSS) & Broadcasting-Satellite Services (BSS), Spectrum Management & Telecommunications, Radio Systems Policy, RP-008, Issue 4, Canda, June 2017 Innovation, Science & Economic Development Canada’s (ISED), Radio Spectrum Inventory: A 2010 Snapshot — Canada, Chapter 7–Satellite Services, http://bit.ly/2xMYZSo Karaşimşek, Konu: Uydu sinyalleri ile ilgili sorular (Topic: Questions about satellite signals), 20080614, http://bit.ly/2vzedZk Mahdi3d, INTELSAT 22 was thrown into orbit / lateral military cargo to Australia, IRNA, 20120326, http://bit.ly/2w9sDlL, http://bit.ly/2wzJrTO, http://bit.ly/2ggiM88 Mick Denton, Electron/Ion Flux Model for Geosynchronous Orbit (GEO), 20150419, Last update: 20161007, http://bit.ly/2wNVrla Mulyadi, Indonesian Satellite Service Regulatory Framework, Head of Satellite Management, Ministry of Communications and Information Technology, ITU International Satellite Symposium 2016, Bali, 6-8 September 2016. n2yo.com, Telkom 3 Satellite details 2012-044A NORAD 38744, http://bit.ly/2xOgOkc n2yo.com, What's Up In Your Sky?, http://bit.ly/2yjmHsM Pacome Revillon, Fundamentals and Dynamics of the Satellite Communications Business, Inmarsat Capital Markets Day 2016, Euroconsult, Paris, 20161007. Patrick Blau, Yamal-402 Satellite healthy after Briz-M Upper Stage Failure, spaceflight101.net, 20121209, http://bit.ly/2wSmDOW, http://bit.ly/2xDtt8k Satellite Industry Association, 21 Years as the Voice of the U.S. Satellite Industry. Satellite Industry Association, Satellite 101: Satellite Technology and Services. SatFlare.com, Telkom 3 - NORAD 38744 - 3D Online Satellite Tracking, http://bit.ly/2fDTVHX Source: Gempar Ikka Wijaya, Nasib satelit bernilai Rp 1,8 triliun, 20120808, http://bit.ly/2vzZVad Space Systems/Loral, LLC, SSL satellites in orbit, http://bit.ly/2vnmt2G T.S. Kelso, Breeze-M Rocket Body (38746) Breakup, celestrak.com, 20121025, updated: 20121109, http://bit.ly/2wzMiMR Union of Concerned Scientists (UCS) Satellite Database; in Satellite Industry Association, Satellite 101: Satellite Technology and Services, Washington DC, 20130118.