Alien Plant Invasion in Southern Africa and Robben Island: The Role of Phylogeny, Functional Traits and Climate Change
1. Alien Plant Invasion in Southern Africa and Robben
island: The Role of Phylogeny, Functional traits and
Climate Change
Kowiyou Yessoufou
University of South Africa
yessok@unisa.ac.za
kowiyouyessoufou1@gmail.com
23. Exclude species of less than 20 (a), 30 (b)
and 50 occurrence points (c)
a
b
c
Sensitivity of predictions to number of
occurrence points
24. Model sensitivity to dates of introduction
Species–climate equilibrium
assumption of SDMs
25. • Differences in functional traits between native and non-natives
BUT NOT between invasive and non-native species
• These differences translate into a pattern that matches the
predictions of Darwin’s Naturalization Hypothesis
• Climate change could contribute to fighting/limiting geographic
ranges in the region
Conclusion
harbours five of the nine African biodiversity hotspots. The CFR is the only floral kingdom to be found within the borders of a single country
Biomes are typically defined on the basis of broad vegetation types and the biophysical features that exercise fundamental control on the distribution of plants
The first step was to decide what exactly to include in our sampling and how to define a tree.
We used the following criteria to define a tree.
Must be a woody plant with at least a minimum height of 2m (we included some Aloe & Protea species which are at least 1.5m tall but meet of of our other criteria)
An above ground permanent stem. Again we had also included some taxa with subterranean stem like for example Welwitschia and some of the geoxylic suffrutices.
3. We considered various habits for example cycads, aborescent succulents, palms, climbers like Entada and as mention before geoxylic suffrutex.
Kudzu – from China & Japan, but now across U.S. southeast.
Snakehead – fishes from Asia and Africa, but have appeared in several U.S. states.
Walking catfish – from southeast Asia, but now in Florida and a few other U.S. states.
- GCM = Commonwealth Scientific and Industrial Research Organization CSIRO-Mk3.0
- Special Report on Emissions Scenarios SRES A1B carbon emission scenario
- 1 exception to the general trend of range contraction was observed for the HadGEM2 GCM under the lowest emissions scenario (i.e. HadGEM2_2.6).
- 2 additional GCMs; the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory Climate Model Version 3 (GFDL-CM3) and Hadley Centre Global Environmental Model version 2 (HadGEM2-AO)
- 3 greenhouse gas concentration scenarios or representative concentration pathways (RCPs) each; the lowest RCP=2.6, medium RCP=4.5 and highest RCP=8.5 for the year 2070.
One key assumption of SDMs is that species distributions are in equilibrium with their environment