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ASIA PACIFIC
INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW
December 2011




Accelerating success.
TABLE OF CONTENTS
                                                                ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW                                | DECEMBER 2011


This is the thirteenth issue of the Asia Pacific Industrial     Regional Overview	                                                                                                               3
Market Overview, which covers 13 cities in nine countries,

for the review period of April to September 2011. With
                                                                Australia	5-6
this bi-annual update, we hope to provide an overview of
                                                                	Melbourne............................................................................................................. 5
industrial markets catering to multinational corporations
                                                                	Sydney.................................................................................................................. 6
and a comparison of industrial real estate costs across         	
the key cities of the Asia-Pacific. Three types of industrial   China		                                                                                                               7-9
properties are tracked in this report, namely single-           	Beijing....................................................................................................................7
                                                                	Guangzhou............................................................................................................ 8
user factory premises, single-user warehouse premises
                                                                	Shanghai............................................................................................................... 9	
and multi-user high-specifications industrial premises,
                                                                	
as these are the preferred choices of multinational             Hong Kong SAR	                                                                                                       10-11
corporations. This publication features land and capital        	
values, as well as rents of single-user industrial premises;    India		                                                                                                                         12
and rents of multi-user high-specification factories.           	        New Delhi............................................................................................................12

                                                                Indonesia 	                                                                                                                     13
                                                                	        Jakarta................................................................................................................. 13

                                                                Japan		                                                                                                                         14
                                                                	        Greater Tokyo......................................................................................................14

                                                                New Zealand 	                                                                                                              15-16
                                                                	 Auckland..............................................................................................................15
                                                                	Wellington............................................................................................................16

                                                                Singapore 	                                                                                                                17-18

                                                                Taiwan	19
                                                                	        Taiwan..................................................................................................................19

                                                                International Comparison	                                                                                                20-26
                                                                	        Single-user Warehouse Land Values, Capital Values
                                                                	        and Monthly Gross Rents................................................................................... 20
                                                                	        Single-user Factory Land Values, Capital Values
                                                                	        and Monthly Gross Rents................................................................................... 23
                                                                	        Multi-user High-Specs Average Monthly Gross Rents..................................... 26
                                                                	
                                                                Local    Market Norm	                                                                                                     27-29
                                                                	        Single-user Warehouse Land Values, Capital Values
                                                                	        and Monthly Gross Rents................................................................................... 27
                                                                	        Single-user Factory Land Values, Capital Values
                                                                	        and Monthly Gross Rents................................................................................... 29

                                                                Definitions & Terminology 	                                                                                                    30
REGIONAL OVERVIEW

The economies of the Asia Pacific region showed slower growth weighed down by concerns
over the anaemic state of the US economy and European sovereign debt woes. The more
open economies, like Singapore and Taiwan, saw a marked slowdown in GDP growth on a
year-on-year (YoY) basis during the current review period, due to shrinkages in manufacturing
output. On the other hand, manufacturing sectors in China and Indonesia remained buoyant
bolstered by their strong domestic markets. Economic performance varies for countries
recently hit by natural disasters. While the Japanese economy remained in recession, the
Pacific region was more resilient, evident from the low positive growth in New Zealand’s
and Australia’s GDP numbers.


Of the 182 industrial submarkets across the 13 Asia Pacific cities surveyed, 88.0% or a
total of 160 submarkets either showed growth or were stable during the period between
April and September 2011. This is similar to the 88.0% of the 184 industrial submarkets
surveyed during the previous period between October 2010 and March 2011. We were
unable to track the Urayasu submarket which remained inundated after the earthquake
and tsunami in March.


In line with the downgrading of general business sentiments globally, land and capital
values as well as rents for industrial space saw slower growth averaging at 4.7%, 3.6% and
2.7% during the six months ending September 2011, compared with the average growth of
5.1%, 4.2% and 3.7%, respectively in the previous six-month period. However, high-specs
industrial space bucked this trend, and with a higher average rental growth of 4.1% in this
review period compared with the 2.0% recorded in the previous one.


In total, 43 out of 53 industrial submarkets surveyed in the Asia Pacific region saw their
land values either holding steady at the levels of six months ago or trending up. Notably, in
Jakarta’s Bekasi and Karawang, average land prices soared by a record breaking 45.0%
during the six months between April and September 2011 due to the aggressive growth of
the automotive industry in Indonesia combined with a drought in industrial land supply. In
contrast, limited availability teamed with cautious investor sentiments kept values stable in
Sydney and Auckland. Land values were also flat in Guangzhou’s GETDD as multinational
corporations shied away from acquiring industrial land, following a series of measures
introduced by the Chinese government to regulate the real estate market. The remaining
submarkets which saw decreases in land values are primarily located in quake-stricken Japan.


Moving on to building sales, 49 out of the 58 submarkets surveyed recorded either flat or
an increase in capital values. Growth was strongest in Hong Kong, as uncompromising
vendors kept factory and warehouse prices soaring by up to 19.2% and 16.4% respectively.
Its economic rival, Singapore, saw warehouse capital values increase by as much as 16.0%,
up from the 7.2% recorded in the previous review period, underpinned by occupier demand
and acquisition interest from REITS. Capital values were stable in Delhi and Shanghai
as credit-tightening measures and high financing costs slowed industrial growth and
dampened investor sentiments. Surprisingly, in spite of the booming Indonesian economy,
capital values grew at a slower rate of 6.0%, down from the 19.7% increase recorded in
the previous review period ending March 2011. This was attributed to lower activity levels
in the current review period.




                                                         COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |        P. 3
REGIONAL OVERVIEW

                                  Of the 54 submarkets surveyed, only three saw rents heading south in the six-month
                                  period ending September 2011. Tokyo’s Shinsuna submarket saw industrial rents
                                  easing by 3.9% while Delhi’s NH24 saw a 1.9% drop each in both its warehouse
                                  and factory rents. The leasing market remained subdued in Australia and New
                                  Zealand with no change in rental levels from that of half a year ago. On the other
                                  hand, warehousing facilities in Hong Kong saw double-digit rental growth, fuelled by
                                  robust demand. Rapid expansions by third-party logistics (3PLs) players, including
                                  mainland Chinese operators, looking to establish their regional hubs in Hong Kong
                                  pushed rents upwards. However, tenant needs remained unmet given the mismatch
                                  of availability and occupiers’ space requirements in excess of 100,000 sq ft.


                                  For now, Asia continues to drive the global economic recovery, but the region is not
                                  immune to the seemingly never-ending euro zone woes and lacklustre recovery of
                                  the US economy. The outlook for the Asia Pacific industrial property market turned
                                  cautiously optimistic with stabilised values and rents expected in most submarkets
                                  over the next 12 months. Open economies like Hong Kong, which are extremely
                                  vulnerable to global economic headwinds, are already seeing a deceleration in their
                                  external trade growth in the review period. As such, Hong Kong expects industrial
                                  property rents and values to head south in the year ahead. On the other hand, the
                                  red hot Indonesian economy is expecting even better economic performance in
                                  2012, underpinned by strong domestic consumption, solid investment inflows and
                                  higher export numbers. This is expected to drive growth in land and capital values
                                  as well as rents of industrial properties from 10.0% to 25.0% over the next year.




P. 4   | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011



  AUST R A L I A

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR MELBOURNE

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                        INDICATORS                                             PERIOD                                                  DATA
 Year-on-Year GDP Growth                                               April - September 2011                                          1.65%
 Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate                         April - September 2011                                         -0.50%
 Total Imports                                                         April - September 2011                                      A$17.6 billion
 Total Exports                                                         April - September 2011                                       A$4.9 billion
 Container Throughput (TEUs)                                           April - September 2011                                        1,252,769
 Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes)                                          January - June 2011                                            77,763


MELBOURNE

Factory and Warehouse

•	 	Demand for industrial space continued to grow during the review            •	 	Approximately 2.29 million sq ft of space (involving deals above 32,000 sq ft)
     period between April and September 2011, driven by companies’                   were leased between April and September 2011, with the bulk of 34.6% (or
     moves to expand and consolidate their premises on the back of healthy           793,106 sq ft) located in the west. This is about 11.9% below the six-month
     business sentiments amid Australia’s strong economic fundamentals of            average of approximately 2.6 million sq ft over the last five years and 33.9%
     low unemployment, low public debt and a long pipeline of mining and             above the 1.71 million sq ft leased in the previous review period of October 2010
     resource-sector related investments.                                            to March 2011. Notable leasing deals include Tasman Logistics committing
                                                                                     to a 150,598-sq ft warehouse at the corner of Robinsons Road and Sunline
•	 	However, global uncertainties arising from unresolved debt woes in the          Drive in Truganina; Shields Transport leasing a 148,004-sq ft warehouse at
     United States (US) and Europe tempered optimism and put a cap on                Oxford Road in Laverton North; and Ascent Primacy Services taking up a
     the growth of industrial land and capital values as well as rents which         97,952-sq ft warehouse at Ordish Road in Dandenong South.
     thus remained unchanged during the six-month review period between
     April and September 2011.                                                  •	 	Increased demand for new space, in turn, raised construction activity.
                                                                                     Approximately A$87 million worth of industrial space was initiated between
•	 	On the sales front, the number of investment sales transactions between         April and September 2011 as opposed to A$51 million committed to over the
     April and September 2011 decreased though their total transaction               six months to March 2011.
     volume has increased. A total of 11 investment sales (A$5 million and
     above) was transacted in Victoria from April to September 2011, as         •	 	Overall, the industrial market is expected to firm up towards the end of
     compared to 16 transactions in the preceding six-month period ending            2011, supported by increasing demand and a tightening supply of quality
     March 2011. The total value transacted during the review period was in          stock given its limited availability. Increasing tenant demand coupled with
     excess of approximately A$270 million, a jump from the A$160 million            low supply across all industrial regions should continue to push vacancies
     recorded between October 2010 and March 2011.                                   down, thereby supporting upward pressure on rentals. In turn, this should
                                                                                     provide opportunities for investors to acquire more industrial properties for
•	 	Industrial users’ caution on the back of the heightened global                  their portfolio and to take advantage of the relatively high yields and growth
     uncertainties resulted in a stronger leasing market than the vacant             potential. However, more new supply is expected to come on stream in the
     possession sales market in the six months to September 2011.                    next few years as developers commence development of new industrial space
     Nonetheless, leasing volume remained below the historical average and           to ride on the current tight supply situation. Hence, land and capital values
     leases are now signed on terms shorter than the long-term average of            as well as rents are forecast to stay relatively stable or strengthen marginally
     seven to 10 years.                                                              over the next 12 months.

 MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN MELBOURNE

 TRANSACTIONS
                                                                                                                                                 FLOOR/LAND AREA
                 BUILDING/LAND PLOT                  PROPERTY TYPE              LEASE/SALE                    TENANT/PURCHASER
                                                                                                                                                     (SQ FT)
 Lot H - Arkwright Drive, Dandenong South               Warehouse                  Lease                   Marine Power International                 85,638
 Lot F - Ordish Road, Dandenong South                   Warehouse                  Lease                    Ascent Primacy Services                   97,952
 221 Maidstone Street, Altona                           Warehouse                  Lease                        Werribee Nissan                       115,691
 2-8 Oxford Road, Laverton North                        Warehouse                  Lease                        Shields Transport                     148,004
 Cnr Robinsons Road & Sunline Drive, Truganina          Warehouse                  Lease                        Tasman Logistics                      150,598
 West Park Industrial Estate, Derrimut                  Warehouse                   Sale                              IOOF                            404,777
 Coles Distribution Centre                              Warehouse                   Sale                         CorVal Partners                      746,477



                                                                                                                             COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |            P. 5
ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011



     AUST R A L I A

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR SYDNEY

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                               INDICATORS                                         PERIOD                                              DATA
 Year-on-Year GDP Growth                                                  January - June 2011                                         0.3%
 Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate                           April - September 2011                                        n.a.
 Total Imports                                                            January - June 2011                                     A$141.4 billion
 Total Exports                                                            January - June 2011                                     A$150.0 billion
 Container Throughput (TEUs)                                              January - June 2011                                        968,123
 Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes)                                           April - September 2011                                        n.a.
* n.a. denotes not available


SYDNEY

Factory, Warehouse and High-Specs

•	     An ongoing lack of new industrial development coupled with steady                market over the past six months is Aviva’s acquisition of a 50%
        tenant demand has kept the Sydney industrial market tight over the               interest in the Big W and Dick Smith Properties at Mirvac’s Hoxton
        past six months. The continuing lack of available stock has been                 Distribution Park. The sale price was A$97.4 million, which equates
        compounded by withdrawals in industrial stock in some micro-                     to a tight yield of 7.5%.
        markets, as some owners plan to redevelop their industrial buildings
                                                                                   •	 	A number of institutional landowners in Sydney’s Central West have
        into new office, retail and residential properties after assessing the
                                                                                        begun to capitalise on the lack of space in the market with a number
        highest and best use of their sites.
                                                                                        of speculative developments under construction. One example is the
•	 	The leasing market has remained stable over the past six months with               recently completed 1-23 Templar Road development in which Dexus
     the majority of leases signed being renewals, as an ongoing lack of                Property speculatively built a 226,042-sq ft Prime grade building.
     confidence and uncertainty in the economy stalls the implementation
                                                                                   •	 	The outlook for Sydney’s industrial market remains positive over the
     of companies’ expansion plans. This stability has helped rents and
                                                                                        next six to 12 months with the Australian dollar expected to remain
     incentives for both Prime and Secondary grade stock to remain
                                                                                        strong, thus sustaining importers’ demand for industrial space. On
     stable over the past six months. Notable lease transactions during
                                                                                        the other hand, stock levels are expected to remain tight as new
     the review period include YHI Australia’s lease of a 75,066-sq ft
                                                                                        developments remained largely subdued. This ongoing tight supply
     warehouse at 11 Grand Avenue, Camellia and P&O Trans Australia
                                                                                        of Prime Grade space is expected to lead to a slight growth in rents
     (POTA)’s lease of a 102,100-sq ft warehouse at Yennora Distribution
                                                                                        of up to 1.1% and a reduction in incentives for tenants over the next
     Centre. In the same centre, Queensland Cotton Corporation Ltd also
                                                                                        12 months. This could lift land and capital values by up to 2.0% over
     took up space at a 99,333 sq ft warehouse.
                                                                                        the same period.
•	 	On the same note, land and capital values also held steady over the
     review period. The largest sale transaction in Sydney’s industrial

 MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN SYDNEY

 TRANSACTIONS
                                                                                                                                               FLOOR/LAND AREA
                BUILDING/LAND PLOT                PROPERTY TYPE             LEASE/SALE                    TENANT/PURCHASER
                                                                                                                                                   (SQ FT)
 25 Sirius Road, Lane Cove                          Warehouse                    Sale                            Private                             87,153
 57 - 67 Roberts Road, Greenacre                    Warehouse                    Sale                            Private                            106,800
 19 Chifley Street, Smithfield                      Warehouse                    Sale                        Leda Holdings                          199,322
 8 - 40 Euston Road, Alexandria                     Warehouse                    Sale                     Bunnings Properties                       291,693
 Hoxton Distribution Park                           Warehouse                    Sale                            Aviva                              1,423,322
 283 Coward Street, Mascot                          Warehouse                    Lease                            Toll                               73,520
 11 Grand Avenue, Camellia                          Warehouse                    Lease                    YHI Australia Pty Ltd                      75,066
 13 Bessemer Street, Blacktown                      Warehouse                    Lease                       Nilfisk Advance                         77,593
 Yennora Distribution Centre, Loftus Road,
                                                    Warehouse                    Lease              Queensland Cotton Corporation Ltd                99,333
 Yennora
 Yennora Distribution Centre, Loftus Road,
                                                    Warehouse                    Lease                 P&O Trans Australia (POTA)                   102,100
 Yennora




P. 6     | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011



     CHINA

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR BEIJING

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                               INDICATORS                                       PERIOD                                                DATA
 Year-on-Year GDP Growth                                               January – June 2011                                            8.0%
 Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate                         January – June 2011                                         16.6%
 Total Imports                                                         January – June 2011                                     US$158.6 billion
 Total Exports                                                         January – June 2011                                      US$27 billion
 Container Throughput (TEUs)                                           January – June 2011                                            n.a.
 Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes)                                         January – June 2011                                         852,400
* n.a. denotes not available


BEIJING

Factory and Warehouse

•	    Beijing managed to stage a strong economic performance in 1H 2011.             and CNY4.69 per sq ft per month, respectively. Rental growth was
       GDP expanded by 8.0% YoY, and imports and exports grew by 34.1%                achieved on the back of firm leasing demand that was driven by
       and 4.0%, to US$158.6 billion and US$27 billion, respectively during           overseas and domestic e-business, Food and Beverage (F&B) and
       this period. Air cargo throughput also increased to 852,400 tonnes             Business-to-Consumer (B2C) companies that are expanding in
       in the January to June 2011 period, up 17.2% YoY, in line with the             Beijing. For example, Want Want took up approximately 107,639 sq
       upbeat economic performance.                                                   ft of warehouse space in China Logistics Corp, located in Tongzhou
                                                                                      District, while Tiantian.com and Watson’s each leased approximately
•	 	The robust economic performance thus lent support to growth
                                                                                      129,000 sq ft in GLP Daxing Park.
     in industrial land values. Land values in Tianzhu, Tongzhou and
     Shangdi increased 9.0%, 5.0% and 4.3% from the last review period,          •	 	Near-term fixed supply amid firm leasing demand also contributed
     to CNY109.16, CNY65.74 and CNY310.58 per sq ft, respectively,                    to rental growth. The supply of industrial space remained stable in
     while land values in Yizhuang remained flat at CNY55.17 per sq ft.               the review period from April to September 2011 as there were no
     Noticeably, state-owned companies and manufacturing enterprises                  new completions in Beijing’s industrial market.
     were key demand drivers for industrial land during the review period.
     For instance, the Beijing Pearl River Investment and Development            •	 	Going forward, the supply of prime logistics parks remains limited
     Company invested CNY870 million to develop a logistics industrial                and is expected to be insufficient to meet the strong demand from the
     park with a land area of 3,168,895 sq ft in the Tongzhou Economic                e-business, F&B, manufacturing, B2C and third-party logistics (3PL)
     Development Zone. In addition, Unity Opto Technology and Maxwell                 enterprises. Meanwhile, investors continue to find Beijing’s industrial
     Machinery and Electronic Equipment Co. Ltd, each purchased a                     market alluring, announcing expansion plans and/or creations of
     535,892-sq ft plot and a 166,389-sq ft site, respectively in Yizhuang.           joint ventures. For instance, Kerry Logistics, Hutchison Port, Beijing
                                                                                      Inland Port International Logistics and New Concord recently came
•	 	Industrial rents also posted growth in the six months ending                     together to form a joint venture company that will be headquartered
     September 2011. Rents in Tianzhu and Tongzhou increased by                       in Beijing to invest in logistics properties and related businesses in
     5.9% and 4.9% compared with the last review period to CNY2.97                    China with a total investable capital of CNY2 billion. Hence, land and
     and CNY2.64 per sq ft per month, respectively. Similarly, rents in               capital values as well as rents are expected to maintain their growth
     Shangdi and Yizhuang recorded hikes of 5.2% and 5.7%, to CNY6.71                 by up to 6.0% in the next 12 months.

 MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN BEIJING

 TRANSACTIONS
                                                                                                                                             FLOOR/LAND AREA
                  BUILDING/LAND PLOT             PROPERTY TYPE          LEASE/SALE                      TENANT/PURCHASER
                                                                                                                                                 (SQ FT)
 China Logistics Corp                              Warehouse                  Lease                         Want Want                             107,639
 GLP Daxing Park                                   Warehouse                  Lease                        Tiantian.com                           129,100
 GLP Daxing Park                                   Warehouse                  Lease                          Watson’s                             129,170
 Yizhuang, BDA                                        Land                    Sale           Maxwell Machinery & Electronic Equipment             166,389
 Yizhuang, BDA                                        Land                    Sale                     Unity Opto Technology                      535,892
                                                                                                 Beijing Pearl River Investment and
 Tongzhou Economic Development Zone                   Land                    Sale                                                                3,168,895
                                                                                                       Development Company




                                                                                                                          COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |            P. 7
ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011



  CHINA

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR GUANGZHOU

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                           INDICATORS                                               PERIOD                                       DATA
 Year-on-Year GDP Growth                                                 January - June 2011                                    11.0%
 Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate                          January - August 2011                                   10.3%
 Total Imports                                                           March - August 2011                                US$30.2 billion
 Total Exports                                                           March - August 2011                                US$29.4 billion
 Container Throughput (TEUs)                                             March - August 2011                                  7.4 million
 Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes)                                           March - August 2011                                    763,300


GUANGZHOU

Factory and Warehouse

•	 	 Guangzhou’s economy continued to grow at a robust pace of 11.0%            •	 	Noticeably, multinational firms were more cautious in acquiring
     YoY in the first half of 2011. From January to August, Guangzhou’s              industrial land plots, while domestic corporations from the food,
     manufacturing output reached CNY980.57 billion, up 10.3% YoY,                   communications, electronics, automotive products and mechanical
     supported by increased growth rates in the petrochemical and                    manufacturing industries remained active in buying land plots. The
     electronics manufacturing industries. In particular, there was a                latter group clinched 15 out of the 17 plots auctioned in the GETDD
     steady increase of high-technological product output during this                from April to September 2011. These included China Banknote
     period. The local export and import volume from March to August                 Printing and Minting Corporation’s acquisition of a 2,192,038-sq ft
     was also at a strong US$59.65 billion, up 11.4% compared to the                 plot in Guangzhou Science City and Guangzhou Kingfa Sci. & Tech.
     same period last year.                                                          Co. Ltd’s acquisition of a 853,203-sq ft site in Jiulong Industrial
                                                                                     Park.
•	 	As such, domestic and overseas logistics firms, electronics
     manufacturing industries and consumer goods retailers continued            •	 	In September, a new subsidy policy was introduced by the
     to lift demand for industrial space during the six months from April            government of the GETDD to encourage companies to lease
     to September 2011. Consequently, the average rents and capital                  standard factories in the district. Favourable investment policies
     values for warehouses and factories in Guangzhou Economic and                   and a robust domestic economy are expected to continue to
     Technological Development District (GETDD) rose by up to 4.9%                   support demand for industrial properties. In addition, the recent
     during this period.                                                             rapid development of China’s e-business is expected to raise the
                                                                                     demand for quality warehouses going forward. Thus, capital and
•	 	In contrast, the overall land values in the GETDD stayed relatively
                                                                                     rental values of factory and warehouse space could grow by up to
     unchanged from the levels six months ago as sentiments were
                                                                                     4.2% in the next 12 months. Land values, on the other hand, are
     weighed down by measures introduced by the government to
                                                                                     forecast to stay unchanged at current levels through the next 12
     regulate the real estate market since 2010. Some of these measures
                                                                                     months.
     include monetary tightening policies through interest rate hikes as
     well as the requirement for the municipal land resource office to
     report to the provincial land resource office, land transactions that
     were sealed at prices exceeding 50% of reserve prices.

 MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN GUANGZHOU

 TRANSACTIONS
                                                                                                                                            FLOOR/LAND AREA
           BUILDING/LAND PLOT               PROPERTY TYPE             LEASE/SALE                      TENANT/PURCHASER
                                                                                                                                                (SQ FT)
 Development Zone, Luogang                        Land                       Sale                          SK Group                             169,416
 Guangzhou Science City                           Land                       Sale                           Biostime                            365,894
 Development Zone, Yonghe                         Land                       Sale                   Guangdong Yanlong Dairy                     536,031
 Jiulong Industrial Park                          Land                       Sale             Guangzhou Kingfa Sci. &Tech. Co. Ltd              853,203
                                                                                               China Banknote Printing and Minting
 Guangzhou Science City                           Land                       Sale                                                              2,192,038
                                                                                                          Corporation




P. 8   | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011



  CHINA

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR SHANGHAI

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                         INDICATORS                                               PERIOD                                       DATA
 Year-on-Year GDP Growth                                                  January – June 2011                                  8.4%
 Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth                                April – September 2011                                9.4%
 Total Imports                                                           April – September 2011                           US$116.8 billion
 Total Exports                                                           April – September 2011                           US$108.9 billion
 Container Throughput (TEUs)                                             April – September 2011                             16.5 million
 Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes)                                           April – September 2011                             1.9 million


SHANGHAI

Factory and Warehouse

•	 	Growth momentum in Shanghai’s industrial property market slowed          •	 	Looking ahead, although domestic monetary policy measures and
     between April and September 2011 as the fragile economic recovery             external economic shocks will continue to weigh on the Chinese
     in the US and Europe’s sovereign debt crisis weighed on market                economy and Shanghai’s industrial sector, land, capital and rental
     sentiment.                                                                    values of industrial properties in Shanghai are expected to receive
                                                                                   strong support at current levels as Shanghai’s industrial sector
•	 	Additionally, a tightened credit environment led to higher financing
                                                                                   evolves over time to accommodate higher value-added industries.
     cost and this dampened investment sales. Local industrial investors
                                                                                   Industrial land usage will continue to shift towards the higher-end of
     and developers without the privilege of accessing offshore funding
                                                                                   the tertiary value chain, including corporate headquarters, research
     began to experience financial difficulties. Multinational corporations
                                                                                   and development (R&D) and operations centres. Meanwhile, the
     with access to offshore financing were less affected. Consequently,
                                                                                   Chinese government’s effort aimed at curbing speculative investment
     capital values gained an average of just 1.4% during the six-month
                                                                                   in the residential market may generate investment spill overs to the
     review period ending September 2011, in contrast to an average
                                                                                   industrial segment, lending further support to the market. Thus,
     growth rate of 5.0% in the six months ending March 2011.
                                                                                   land, capital and rental values have the potential to increase by up
•	 	Land values, however, continued to grow steadily at an average of             to 8.0% in the next 12 months.
     approximately 8.5% as inflationary pressures persisted and local
     government’s selective stance in allocating sites restricted supply.

•	 	Rental values recorded an average growth rate of approximately
     5.0%, helped by the continued demand for industrial space from
     booming sectors such as e-commerce businesses. Leasing
     transactions concluded during the review period include eFrance’s
     lease of a 12,860-sq ft factory in Minhang district and Phoenix
     Waigaoqiao’s lease of a 2,281,788-sq ft warehouse in Pudong New
     Area.

 MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN SHANGHAI

 TRANSACTIONS
                                                                                                                                           FLOOR/LAND
         BUILDING/LAND PLOT                 PROPERTY TYPE             LEASE/SALE                   TENANT/PURCHASER
                                                                                                                                           AREA (SQ FT)
 Minhang                                         Factory                  Lease                           eFrance                             12,860
 Pudong New Area                               Warehouse                  Lease                      Phoenix Waigaoqiao                      2,281,788




                                                                                                                     COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |            P. 9
ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011



  H O N G KO N G S A R

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR HONG KONG SAR

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                          INDICATORS                                              PERIOD                                         DATA
 Year-on-Year GDP Growth                                                    January - June 2011                                 6.29%
 Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate                              March – August 2011                                 -0.67%
 Total Imports                                                              March – August 2011                             HK$1,931 billion
 Total Exports                                                              March – August 2011                             HK$1,702 billion
 Container Throughput (TEUs)                                                March – August 2011                               12.5 million
 Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes)                                              March – August 2011                               2.0 million


HONG KONG SAR

Factory

•	 	 Triggered by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority’s call to strengthen              performance remain sluggish in the coming quarters. Over the next
     risk management in residential mortgage lending business in June                12 months, factory rents and prices are anticipated to decrease by
     2011 and the growing uncertain economic outlook, banks in Hong                  about 5.0% and 12.0%, respectively.
     Kong tightened their loan policies in 3Q 2011. For industrial property
                                                                                Warehouse
     mortgages, banks have generally lowered their property valuations
     and reduced the loan-to-value ratio to between 30.0% and 40.0%.            •	 	 The continued growth of local consumption and re-export volume
                                                                                     (the latter expanded by 10.2% YoY to HK$1,667 billion during the
•	 	Tightened credit led to a contraction in industrial property transaction
                                                                                     period from March to August 2011) had led to a flurry of warehouse
     volume during the review period with the decline particularly profound
                                                                                     space expansions by third-party logistics (3PLs) players looking to
     in the second half of the review period from July to September 2011.
                                                                                     capture growing demand for logistics services from outsourcing
     The number of strata-titled transactions which decreased 6.1%
                                                                                     activities. Noticeably, 3PLs that engaged in local distribution and
     quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) to 2,108 in 2Q 2011, plunged by a steep
                                                                                     the export of fashion and electronics products were the most active
     37.9% QoQ to 1,310 transactions in 3Q 2011. Chevalier International’s
                                                                                     group of tenants seeking additional spaces.
     acquisition of the whole block of an industrial building at 29 to 33
     Tsing Yi Road (253,470 sq ft) for a total consideration of HK$286          •	 	New demand for warehousing facilities was also seen from individual
     million, and Central Source Limited’s purchase of the 311,700-sq ft             multinational fashion companies and overseas 3PLs, including
     Emperor International Square in Kowloon Bay for HK$850 million,                 mainland Chinese operators, looking to establish their regional hub
     were among the sales transactions that occurred between April and               in Hong Kong to serve their business needs in Southeast Asia and
     September 2011.                                                                 the south China region. These tenants were seeking warehouse
                                                                                     premises with sizes of 100,000 sq ft or above. However, there are
•	 	Notwithstanding the contraction in property transaction volume,
                                                                                     currently no available warehouse premises in the market that match
     factory prices continued their upward climb by 15.4% during the
                                                                                     their size requirements.
     review period, to HK$2,549 per sq ft as of September 2011. This
     was partly the result of vendors holding firm on their asking prices       •	 	Robust demand for warehousing facilities saw the average rents
     given their low holding costs. As well, healthy tenant demand on the            of cargo lift access warehouses increasing 10.8% to HK$6.82 per
     back of positive spill-over from the traditional office sector due to           sq ft per month while those of ramp access warehouses increased
     sustained office rental growth enabled factory rents to gain 10.4%              11.5% to HK$9.81 per sq ft per month during the six months under
     between April and September 2011, to HK$8.56 per sq ft per month.               review.
     This also supported capital value growth for factory space during
     the review period.                                                         •	 	Similar to the factory sector, the sustained rental growth underpinned
                                                                                     the price performance of warehouses. Thus, the capital values of
•	 	The persistently weak economic recovery in the core export markets              cargo lift access warehouses and ramp access warehouses rose
     – the US and the European Union – has started to take its toll on Hong          by 16.4% and 15.3% to HK$2,487 per sq ft and HK$2,600 per sq ft,
     Kong’s external trade performance, as reflected in a deceleration in            respectively during the review period.
     its external trade growth during the review period. In fact, various
     organisations have downgraded their economic growth forecasts for          •	 	One notable transaction was the sale of a 50% interest in Interlink,
     the coming quarters for Hong Kong. Demand for industrial premises               a 2.4-million sq ft logistics warehouse development in Tsing Yi that
     is thus expected to soften amid a deceleration in the growth of local           is scheduled for completion in January 2012, by Goodman Group
     consumption and exports of goods and services. In turn, factory rents           to Canada Pension Plan Investment Board for a total of HK$2.26
     are expected to see downward adjustments if the global economic                 billion.


P. 10   | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011



  H O N G KO N G S A R

•	 	Looking forward, given the weak global macroeconomic climate,          •	 	During the six-month period ending September 2011, the average
     warehouse rentals are expected to decrease 2.0% to 3.0% over the            I-O rental increased 7.9% to HK$16.56 per sq ft per month.
     next 12 months while their prices are expected to decline 9.0% to
                                                                            •	 	However, in line with the general softening in demand for industrial
     13.0% during the same period.
                                                                                 space amid an uncertain economy outlook, I-O rents are expected
High-Specs Industrial Building                                                   to decline 5.0% in the next 12 months.

•	 	Similar to the factory sector, the high-specs Industrial-Office
     buildings (I-O) received positive spill over demand from an increase
     in rentals in the office market.

 MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN HONG KONG SAR

 TRANSACTIONS
                                                                                                                                    FLOOR/LAND AREA
             BUILDING/LAND PLOT             PROPERTY TYPE            LEASE/SALE                   TENANT/PURCHASER
                                                                                                                                        (SQ FT)
 Tsuen Wan International Centre                Industrial               Lease                         Ingrid Millet                     22,000
 Texaco Centre                                 Industrial               Lease                          Zara Asia                        43,054
 Tsuen Wan International Centre                Industrial               Lease                        JSI Logistics                      45,004
 Oceanic Industrial Centre                     Industrial               Lease                         I.T. Apparels                     92,753
 Wai Yuen Tong Medicine Building               Industrial               Sale                         Local Investor                     126,677
 29 - 33 Tsing Yi Road                         Industrial               Sale                     Chevalier International                253,470
 Emperor International Square                  Industrial               Sale                     Central Source Limited                 311,700
 Interlink                                    Warehouse                 Sale             Canada Pension Plan Investment Board         50% interest




                                                                                                                      COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |       P. 11
ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011



     INDIA

  ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR INDIA

  ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                               INDICATORS                                            PERIOD                                             DATA
  Year-on-Year GDP Growth                                                  April - September 2011                                       8.25%
  Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate                            April - September 2011                                        n.a
  Total Imports                                                                 April - August 2011                              US$189.3 billion
  Total Exports                                                                 April - August 2011                              US$134.9 billion
  Container Throughput (TEUs)                                              April - September 2011                                        n.a.
  Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes)                                            April - September 2011                                        n.a.
* n.a. denotes not available


NEW DELHI

Factory and Warehouse

•	     	The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has tightened monetary policy during       •	 	As such, in spite of the turbulent global economic conditions, demand
        the review period from April to September 2011, which saw its “Repo             for Delhi/NCR industrial properties remained relatively stable during
        Rate” (i.e. the rate at which the Reserve Bank of India lends money             the review period with land and capital values registering an average
        to commercial banks) soaring from 6.89% to 8.0%. The continuous                 increase of 4.0% while rental values grew at an average rate of
        hike in the cost of debt resulted in a slowdown in industrial growth,           2.0%. Lease transactions concluded in the review period include
        which grew at a slower 7.3% during January to June 2011 versus                  Jayshree Polyplastic’s lease of a 100,000-sq ft factory at Bhiwadi;
        an 11.8% growth in the same period last year.                                   Ananad Raj Industries’s lease of a 60,000-sq ft factory at Manesar;
                                                                                        and Yamaha’s lease of a 56,000-sq ft warehouse along Mathura
•	 	Despite challenges from an escalating cost of debt, sentiments in                  Road.
     the Delhi industrial property market remained healthy on the back
     of various efforts by the government to develop and grow their                •	 	As part of the government’s Relocation of Industries Scheme to
     industrial sector. For example, the state government has decided                   move industries from residential areas to conforming zones, DSIISC
     to reduce the multiplicity of authorities in industrial areas in Delhi             has recently allotted 51 industrial plots at Bawana and Bhorgarh
     so as to streamline the process of entrepreneurs having to obtain                  through a draw of lots. With this allotment, the total number of plots
     clearance from various government agencies to set up businesses in                 or flatted factories allotted under this scheme since its launch in
     these industrial estates. The lease and maintenance administration                 1996 has gone up to around 22,500. About 85.0% of the units are
     of most of the industrial estate, which is presently under the purview             either under construction or are already completed.
     of both the Delhi Development Authority (DDA) and the Municipal
                                                                                   •	 	With the improvements in Delhi’s industrial infrastructure and
     Corporation of India (MCD), will be handed over to the Delhi State
                                                                                        business environment, Delhi could emerge as an attractive
     Industrial and Infrastructure Development Corporation (DSIIDC).
                                                                                        investment destination in the coming years. This could fuel demand
•	 	For a start, DSIIDC has identified areas at Narela, Bawana, Patparganj             for industrial space to accommodate the growing businesses. Thus,
     and Okhla as pilots for upgrading and managing the estates under the               capital values and rents of the industrial properties are expected to
     build-operate and transfer (BOT) concession to a private partner for               continue to record growths in the range of 2.0% to 5.0% in the next
     15 years. To bring more investments and industries to Delhi, DSIIDC                12 months.
     is also planning to develop a knowledge-based industrial park in
     Baprola. The estimated cost of this industrial park is INR12 billion.

  MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN NEW DELHI

  TRANSACTIONS
                                                                                                                                                FLOOR/LAND AREA
                BUILDING/LAND PLOT             PROPERTY TYPE             LEASE/SALE                        TENANT/PURCHASER
                                                                                                                                                    (SQ FT)
                                                                                                 Manufacturing Company of Nuts and Bolts
  Bhiwadi                                          Factory                  Lease                                                                   28,000
                                                                                                              (Undisclosed)
  Mathura Road                                    Warehouse                 Lease                                Yamaha                             56,000
  Manesar                                          Factory                  Lease                      Anand Raj Industries Pvt. Ltd                60,000
  Bhiwadi                                          Factory                  Lease                      Jayshree Polyplastic Pvt. Ltd                100,000
                                             Agriculture Land for
  NH8                                                                     Purchase                    Logistics Company (Undisclosed)               10 acres
                                             Logistics Operations




P. 12      | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011



     I N D O N ES I A

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR JAKARTA

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                               INDICATORS                                              PERIOD                                        DATA
 Year-on-Year GDP Growth                                                    January – June 2011                                      6.5%
 Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate                              January – June 2011                                      5.6%
 Total Imports                                                             April – September 2011                            US$85,854.7 million
 Total Exports                                                             April – September 2011                            US$107,113.7 million
 Container Throughput (TEUs)                                               April – September 2011                                    n.a.
 Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes)                                             April – September 2011                                    n.a.
* n.a. denotes not available


JAKARTA

Factory and Warehouse

•	    The Indonesian industrial land sales market saw heightened activity         •	 	The industrial leasing market remained quiet with no notable
       in the current review period, particularly for larger land parcels in            leasing transactions in the current review period between April and
       excess of 1.08 million sq ft. This was driven by strong domestic                 September 2011. However, rents saw a 5.8% increase, up from a
       consumption and aggressive growth of the automotive industry.                    3.4% contraction reported for the period between October 2010 and
       All in, land sold in the first three quarters of 2011 totalled 897 ha,           March 2011, due to volatility in exchange rates.
       exceeding the 543 ha registered in the entire year of 2010. Year-
       to-date, the automotive industry remained the dominant purchaser            •	 	Underpinned by strong domestic consumption, solid investment
       accounting for 45.0% of total land sales (in ha). With no additional             inflows and improving export performance, the Indonesian economy
       industrial land being supplied, robust demand drove the average land             is forecasted to see robust expansion in the range of 6.5% to 6.9%
       prices in Karawang and Bekasi up by a record 45.0% during the six                in 2012, higher than the 6.3% estimated for the entire year of 2011.
       months between April and September 2011, faster than the 14.9%                   This is expected to continue to stoke developers’ and investors’
       recorded in the previous review period. Notable land transactions                optimism and translate to growth in land and capital values, as well
       that occurred in the six months ending September 2011 included                   as rents of industrial properties from 10.0% to 25.0% over the next
       Denso Indonesia’s purchase of a 28-ha plot at Bekasi Fajar and the               12 months.
       sale of a 31-ha parcel at KIIC to an undisclosed party.

•	 	On the other hand, a relatively less active investment sales market
     led capital values of industrial buildings to grow at a slower rate of
     6.0% in the current review period, down from the 19.7% increase
     recorded in the previous review period ending March 2011.

  MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN JAKARTA

  TRANSACTIONS
                                                                                                                                            FLOOR/LAND AREA
               BUILDING/LAND PLOT              PROPERTY TYPE             LEASE/SALE                      TENANT/PURCHASER
                                                                                                                                                (SQ FT)
  Modern Cikande                                    Land                        Sale                          Indochem                              645,834
  Bekasi Fajar                                      Land                        Sale                 Food Industry (Undisclosed)                1,076,390
                                                                                                    Plastics & Metal Manufacturing
  Jababeka                                          Land                        Sale                                                            1,560,766
                                                                                                             (Undisclosed)
  Suryacipta                                        Land                        Sale             Automotive Component (Undisclosed)             1,614,585
  Jababeka                                          Land                        Sale                Consumer Goods (Undisclosed)                1,832,016
  Jababeka                                          Land                        Sale                          Pharmacy                          2,152,780
  KI Mitrakarawang                                  Land                        Sale                   Automotive (Undisclosed)                 2,152,780
  Jababeka                                          Land                        Sale                   Automotive (Undisclosed)                 2,473,544
  Bekasi Fajar                                      Land                        Sale                       Denso Indonesia                      3,013,892
  KIIC                                              Land                        Sale                         Undisclosed                        3,336,809




                                                                                                                         COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |             P. 13
ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011



   JA PA N

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR GREATER TOKYO

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                                  INDICATORS                                                         PERIOD                                            DATA
 Year-on-Year GDP Growth                                                                       January - June 2011                                    -0.8%1)
 Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate                                                 January - June 2011                                    -4.7%1)
 Total Imports                                                                                 January - June 2011                                ¥14.57 trillion2)
 Total Exports                                                                                 January - June 2011                                ¥11.77 trillion2)
 Container Throughput (TEUs)                                                                   January - June 2011                                 3.60 million3)
 Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes)                                                                 January - June 2011                                   934,1794)
1) Nationwide
2) Tokyo port (Tokyo-kou, Narita) and Yokohama Port (Yokohama, Kawasaki, Chiba and Kisarazu)
3) Tokyo custom and Yokohama custom
4) Narita Airport


GREATER TOKYO

Factory and Warehouse

•	 	Weighed down by the March 2011 earthquake, the Japanese economy                               •	 	Prologis Park Kawajima, a five-storey multi-tenanted logistics facility
     contracted in 2Q 2011 by 0.5% for the third consecutive quarter                                    with a total gross floor area of 1.8 million sq ft, was completed in July.
     on a QoQ basis. On an annualised basis, the Japanese economy                                       It is located in Kawajima of Saitama with convenient access to major
     contracted by 2.1% YoY in 2Q 2011. As such, the industrial property                                roads. As of the end of September, 70.0% of the development was
     market stayed in the doldrums.                                                                     leased to two tenants, one of which is Hitachi Collabonext Transport
                                                                                                        System Co.
•	 	The investment sales market was sluggish in the current review
     period ending September 2011 as cautious investors continued to                               •	 	While the Japanese economy appears to be on the recovery path now
     monitor the market from the sidelines. Thus, land and capital values                               that supply-side constraints caused by the earthquake are gradually
     have generally softened since the previous survey conducted six                                    being resolved and total exports and business investments are seeing
     months ago.                                                                                        a slight growth, it is nevertheless still susceptible to externalities such
                                                                                                        as the health of other major global economies. Manufacturers and
•	 	Rental performance remained mixed. For the six-month period
                                                                                                        those in the export trade are especially concerned with the further
     ending in September 2011, rents in Daikokufuto saw a 4.8% increase,
                                                                                                        strengthening of the Japanese Yen. These factors will continue to
     while the Shinsuna submarket saw industrial rents easing by 3.9%.
                                                                                                        weigh on the Japanese industrial property market, giving land and
     With the exception of the Urayasu submarket, rents in the remaining
                                                                                                        capital values as well as rents little room for growth. They are thus,
     submarkets surveyed were unchanged from their levels recorded in
                                                                                                        generally forecast to stay unchanged in the next 12 months.
     March 2011. The Urayasu submarket remained flooded/submerged,
     following the earthquake and tsunami in March 2011.




P. 14     | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011



  NEW ZEALAND

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR NEW ZEALAND

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                           INDICATORS                                                PERIOD                                             DATA
 Year-on-Year GDP Growth                                                           June 2011                                            1.5%
 Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate                                     June 2011                                            1.5%
 Total Imports                                                             April – September 2011                                 NZ$23.3 billion
 Total Exports                                                             April – September 2011                                 NZ$22.9 billion
 Container Throughput (TEUs)                                               April – September 2011                                    39.3 million
 Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes)                                             April – September 2011                                      93,953


AUCKLAND

Office/Warehouse

•	 	The industrial sector continues to lead the commercial property               •	 	Leasing activity continues particularly in the under 21,000 sq ft
     market with a total return of 9.0% for the year ending September 2011              market. Nevertheless, the overall vacancy rate dropped marginally
     according to the Investment Property Databank/Property Council of                  from 5.3% in February 2011 to 5.1% in August 2011. As such,
     New Zealand.                                                                       monthly rents are stabilising, and now range between NZ$0.76
                                                                                        per sq ft and NZ$0.83 per sq ft for prime warehouses across
•	 	The investment market showed signs of stabilising. Approximately                   Auckland industrial precincts. A significant leasing deal during
     NZ$117 million worth of industrial properties (total for sales of                  this review period was Goodyear and Dunlop Tyres (NZ) taking up a
     individual properties at NZ$2 million or more) were transacted in the              102,548-sq ft development in 415 East Tamaki Road in East Tamaki.
     first half of 2011, down from the NZ$292 million recorded in 1H 2010.
     Consequently, capital values increased moderately by up to 2.3% on            •	 	Colliers Real Estate Confidence Survey September 2011 shows that
     average in the current six months review period ending September                   industrial investors feel the most optimistic about the year ahead
     2011. Notable investment transactions included the purchase of 5-7                 compared to the other property sectors. Specifically, 41.0% of
     Fraser Road (111,783 sq ft) at Mt Wellington to a private investor.                Auckland industrial investors forecast improving conditions for the
                                                                                        next 12 months, up from just 34.0% six months ago. Against this
•	 	Industrial land values, too, are trending upwards on the back of limited           backdrop, industrial land and capital values and rentals are likely to
     availability of land for sale in South Auckland. However, the shortage             see a 2.0% to 5.0% upside through the next 12 months.
     of buyers kept land value growth moderate at not more than 2.0%
     between April and September 2011. Major land transactions that
     occurred in the review period included the sale of a 330,097 sq ft
     parcel at 111 Luan Avenue to Eldamos Investments for over NZ$10.5
     million.

 MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN AUCKLAND

 TRANSACTIONS
                                                                                                                                                FLOOR/LAND AREA
           BUILDING/LAND PLOT                 PROPERTY TYPE              LEASE/SALE                      TENANT/PURCHASER
                                                                                                                                                    (SQ FT)
 6b Wagener Place, St Lukes                  Office/Warehouse               Lease                      Wilhelmsen Ship Services                          9,591
 89-91 Captain Springs Road, Penrose         Office/Warehouse               Lease                     TIC (Reverse Logistics) NZ                        19,246
 78 Ellice Road, Wairau Park                 Office/Warehouse               Lease                         Phoenix Aluminium                             15,629
 67 Arrenway Drive, Albany                   Office/Warehouse               Lease                       Dimension Shopfitters                           30,699
 5 Henry Rose Place, Albany                  Office/Warehouse               Lease                     Transpacific Industrial (NZ)                      32,292
 23 Zelanian Drive, East Tamaki              Office/Warehouse               Lease                   Exclusive Tyre Distributors (NZ)                    35,521
 Business Parade North, East Tamaki          Office/Warehouse               Lease                         National Aluminium                            61,548
 415 East Tamaki Road, East Tamaki           Office/Warehouse               Lease                   Goodyear and Dunlop Tyres (NZ)                     102,548
 67 Arrenway Drive, Albany                   Office/Warehouse               Sale                            Lewis Holdings                              30,699
 9 Pacific Rise, Mt Wellington               Office/Warehouse               Sale                            Private Investor                            31,495
 5-7 Fraser Road, Mt Wellington              Office/Warehouse               Sale                            Private Investor                           111,783
 111 Lunn Ave, Mt Wellington                       Land                     Sale                         Eldamos Investments                           330,097




                                                                                                                          COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |           P. 15
ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011



  NEW ZEALAND
WELLINGTON

Office/Warehouse

•	 	The Wellington investment market remains active, largely in the            •	 	In contrast with the buoyant mood in Auckland, Wellington investor
     sub-NZ$2 million price bracket. For the first half of 2011, over                confidence is down in general for the 12 months ahead. Industrial
     NZ$61 million worth of industrial properties were sold. This is                 investor confidence dropped to -9.0% in September this year from
     close to 50.0% of the NZ$136 million chalked up for the whole of                -2.0% in March 2011. However, it has improved from the -18.0%
     2010. Hence, land and capital values held steady in the six months              recorded a year ago. As such, land values are expected to stay stable
     between April and September 2011. Significant transactions that                 over the next 12 months.
     occurred during this six-month review period included the sale of
     38-40 Bouverie Street (78,210 sq ft) in Petone to Beijing Gold for
     NZ$6.7 million.

•	 	The leasing market, too, has remained stable over the six months
     ending September 2011. As such, rents remained unchanged as
     of half a year ago with prime monthly warehouse rents currently
     ranging between NZ$0.66 per sq ft NZ$0.77 per sq ft. The majority
     of the transactions occurred in the sub-10,764 sq ft market. Notably,
     a 6,900-sq ft industrial building in Petone was leased by Pennrith
     Holdings to Scafit for NZ$600,000 a year.


 MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN WELLINGTON

 TRANSACTIONS
                                                                                                                                       FLOOR/LAND AREA
           BUILDING/LAND PLOT               PROPERTY TYPE             LEASE/SALE                      TENANT/PURCHASER
                                                                                                                                           (SQ FT)
 35 - 43 Hutt Road, Petone                 Office/Warehouse              Lease                               Scafit                          6,953
 56 Takapu Road, Grenada                   Office/Warehouse              Lease                       Wellington Scrap Metals                 32,292
 Astra Print, 97 - 102 Hutt Road,
                                           Office/Warehouse              Lease                            Wickliffe NZ                       33,110
 Kaiwharawhara
 199 Gracefield Road, Gracefield           Office/Warehouse                  Sale                       Private Investor                     15,952
 46 Railway Avenue, Lower Hutt             Office/Warehouse                  Sale                       Azzurro Holdings                     27,233
 9 - 15 Meachen Street, Lower Hutt         Office/Warehouse                  Sale                    Chelmsford Properties                   36,597
 38 - 40 Bouverie Street, Petone           Office/Warehouse                  Sale                         Beijing Gold                       78,210




P. 16   | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011



  SINGAPORE

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR SINGAPORE

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                         INDICATORS                                             PERIOD                                           DATA
 Year-on-Year GDP Growth                                              April 2011 – September 2011                                3.5%
 Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate                        April 2011 – September 2011                                3.7%
 Total Imports                                                        April 2011 – September 2011                          S$232,317 million
 Total Exports                                                        April 2011 – September 2011                          S$259,212 million
 Container Throughput (TEUs)                                          April 2011 – September 2011                              15,190.6
 Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes)                                        April 2011 – September 2011                              933,905


SINGAPORE

Factory and Warehouse

•	 	Singapore’s GDP growth slowed to 3.5% YoY in the period from April            edge, it is unlikely that the JTC Corporation (JTC) would raise land
     to September 2011 compared with the sterling 10.7% YoY growth                 prices further in the months ahead. Capital values and rents of
     seen in the previous review period from October 2010 to March                 single-user industrial space should also remain stable in the year
     2011, as upheavals on the global economic front rattled confidence            ahead, balanced by cautious user demand and limited availability.
     and dampened demand for goods and services.
                                                                              High-Specs Industrial Building
•	 	Nonetheless industrial investment and land sales remained active
                                                                              •	 	The high-specs industrial sector is susceptible to weakening
     underpinned by occupier demand and interest from REITS and
                                                                                   confidence in the global economy and thus slowed considerably in
     developers. For instance, Sabana REIT made four purchases — 3A
                                                                                   the period from April to September 2011.
     Joo Koon Circle, 21 Joo Koon Crescent, 2 Toh Tuck Link and 39 Ubi
     Road 1 — totalling S$132.3 million in the current review period. Other   •	 	Despite investor caution amid heightened global uncertainties, Real
     major buildings transacted within the six months ending September             Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) continue to look out for accretive
     2011 include Seagate’s premises at Ang Mo Kio for S$91.5 million and          purchases. Notably, Ascendas REITs purchased the Nordic European
     Singatronic’s facility at Chai Chee Lane for S$21 million. These led          Centre in the International Business Park for S$121.6 million.
     land and capital values to extend their climb by as much as 16.0%
     during the current review period, up from the 7.2% to 9.3% recorded      •	 	Rents for high-specs space remained under pressure due to the
     in the previous review period.                                                ample supply of new high-specs and suburban office space in the
                                                                                   pipeline. Consequently, rental growth for multi-user high-specs space
•	 	The leasing market was also active and dominated by relocations               more than halved from 11.0% in the October 2010 to March 2011
     and company expansions. Rents for factories in the central area               period to 4.8% in the current review period. At the end of September
     rose 4.1% in the current six-month review period to average S$1.50            2011, the average monthly gross rent for high-specs space stood
     per sq ft per month in September 2011, while monthly rents for                at S$3.28 per sq ft. Major leasing deals concluded during this time
     warehouse space in the eastern part of the island grew 5.1% in the            included Nordson SEA (Pte) Ltd taking up about 15,800 sq ft at 2
     past six months to average S$1.44 per sq ft.                                  Corporation Place.

•	 	According to the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA), some 1.91          •	 	Growth in office rents slowed and has likely reached peak levels,
     million sq ft of single-user factories were added onto stock in the           resulting in less cost incentives for qualifying office users to relocate
     current review period, 10.0% higher than the 1.73 million sq ft net           to high-specs space. Given the cloudy economic outlook, leasing
     of new completions seen in the previous six months. Developments              activities in the short to medium term ahead, is likely to be dominated
     completed in the six months ending September 2011 included CN                 by renewals and consolidations. As such, high-specs rents are
     Logistics’ 121,600-sq ft factory at Changi North Way and Kawah                expected to stay stable, with an increase of up to 5.0% for ground
     Enterprises’ factory at Ubi Link.                                             floor space, in the year ahead.

•	 	The outlook ahead is less rosy. Business sentiments have been
     adversely affected by events in the west. According to the latest
     Business Times-UniSIM Business Climate Survey, close to two-thirds
     of the companies surveyed said prospects for the next six months
     are worse than a year ago. Given the murky outlook for the global
     economy and the pressing need to maintain Singapore’s competitive




                                                                                                                      COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |         P. 17
ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011



  SINGAPORE

 MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN SINGAPORE

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                                                                                                        FLOOR/LAND AREA
          BUILDING/LAND PLOT         PROPERTY TYPE   LEASE/SALE          TENANT/PURCHASER
                                                                                                            (SQ FT)
 2 Corporation Place                  High-Specs       Lease            Nordson SEA (Pte) Ltd               15,791
 21 Changi North Way                  Warehouse        Lease      Armor Asia Imaging Supplies Pte Ltd       45,500
 52 Tanjong Penjuru                   Warehouse        Lease       Cummins Diesel Sales Corporation         110,860
 18 New Industrial Road                 Factory         Sale             TAS Services Pte Ltd               30,225
 21 Joo Koon Crescent                   Factory         Sale        Sabana Shari’ah Compliant REIT          99,575
 39 Ubi Road                            Factory         Sale        Sabana Shari’ah Compliant REIT          136,195
 506 Chai Chee Lane (Singatronics)      Factory         Sale                 Undisclosed                    172,137
 2 Toh Tuck Link                        Factory         Sale        Sabana Shari’ah Compliant REIT          180,735
 3A Joo Koon Circle                     Factory         Sale        Sabana Shari’ah Compliant REIT          217,580
 Nordic European Centre               High-Specs        Sale                Ascendas REIT                   305,458
 7000 Ang Mo Kio Avenue 5               Factory         Sale                 Undisclosed                   1,070,644




P. 18   | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011



  TA I WA N

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR TAIWAN

 ECONOMIC INDICATORS
                            INDICATORS                                           PERIOD                                              DATA
 Year-on-Year GDP Growth                                                April - September 2011                                      4.18%
 Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate                          April - September 2011                                      5.61%
 Total Imports                                                          April - September 2011                              US$145,563 million
 Total Exports                                                          April - September 2011                              US$158,873 million
 Container Throughput (TEUs)                                            April - September 2011                                  6.8 million
 Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes)                                          April - September 2011                                      847,973


TAIWAN

High-Specs Industrial Building

•	 	Taiwan’s GDP grew at a moderated 4.2% YoY between April and                   September 2011 — the lowest vacancy level since 4Q 2008. This
     September 2011 compared with the 9.7% recorded in the previous                prompted rents to climb 0.8% from NT$31.32 per sq ft per month
     corresponding period. Weakening global demand caused capital-                 in March 2011 to NT$31.57 per sq ft per month in September 2011.
     intensive industries, such as semiconductors and thin film transistor         This was the highest rental growth in the past three years.
     liquid crystal display (TFT-LCD) manufacturers, to reduce capital
                                                                             •	 	The current market price for high-specs space remains high and
     expenditure. This, in turn, led the capital formation growth rate to
                                                                                  showed no sign of abating. While low yields kept investors away,
     drop to a negative 13.5% YoY in 3Q 2011 and manufacturing output
                                                                                  owner-occupiers, on the other hand, have displayed a gradual
     to shrink 5.6% YoY during the review period.
                                                                                  acceptance of the current pricing. This was evident from the few
•	 	This dented sentiments in the high-specs industrial market. As a             purchases made in 3Q 2011, including Taiwan Fixed Network Co.’s
     result, net take-up of high-specs space in Neihu Technology Park             acquisition of the 284,430-sq ft data centre in Neihu for NT$2.87
     fell by a hefty 46.6% from the previous review period to 725,049 sq          billion, TCI Co.’s acquisition of the 14,382-sq ft Shin Chi Tsai Hsing
     ft. This was notwithstanding the continued gravitation of traditional        Building for NT$171 million and King Polytechnic Engineering Co.‘s
     industries and hi-tech enterprises to Neihu Technology Park due to           acquisition of the 10,554-sq ft 21 Century Plaza for NT$211 million.
     its attractiveness as a maturing business district. Developments such        Notably, Chong Hong Construction Co. purchased a 32,936-sq ft
     as A+ Sun Tech City, Fubon Ruei Kwang Building and Metropolitan              land parcel at Xihu for development of hi-specs space for NT$2.19
     Era Headquarters enjoyed net take-up above 30,000-sq ft each,                billion or a record high of NT$66,493 per sq ft.
     primarily from expansionary moves. Major leasing deals during the
                                                                             •	 	The economic crisis in the Eurozone and the US is likely to impact
     review period included Compal Electronics Co., Sumei Chemical Co.
                                                                                  Taiwan’s economic growth adversely in the near future. However,
     and Lite-On Clean Energy Co. taking up 120,687-sq ft in Colorful
                                                                                  net take-up is expected to grow given that the high market price is
     International Building, 19,605-sq ft in Dubai Building and 19,320-sq
                                                                                  likely to drive users to lease instead of owner-occupy their premises
     ft in Solomon Neihu Building, respectively.
                                                                                  for cost-savings purposes. The vacancy rate of high-specs space
•	 	The plunge in net take-up in the current review period was, however,         in Neihu Technology Park may thus fall below 11.0% by the end of
     mitigated by a miserly supply of 107,309 sq ft from the completion           2011. As such, rentals are expected to remain flat or show a slight
     of Chi-Sing Xi Hu Building in 2Q 2011. As a result, the vacancy rate         increase in the next 12 months.
     in Neihu Technology Park dipped 2.2 percentage points to 12.3% in

 MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN TAIPEI

 TRANSACTIONS
                                                                                                                                              FLOOR/LAND AREA
           BUILDING/LAND PLOT               PROPERTY TYPE             LEASE/SALE                       TENANT/PURCHASER
                                                                                                                                                  (SQ FT)
 Solomon Neihu Building                          High-Specs              Lease                      Lite-On Clean Energy Co.                      19,320
 Dubai Building                                  High-Specs              Lease                         Sumei Chemical Co.                         19,605
 Colorful International Building                 High-Specs              Lease                       Compal Electronics, Inc.                     120,687
 The Plot in Xihu                                  Land                  Sale                     Chong Hong Construction Co.                     32,936
 21 Centry Plaza                                 High-Specs              Sale                    King Polytechnic Engineering Co.                 10,554
 Shin Chi Tsai Hsing Building                    High-Specs              Sale                                TCI Co.                              14,382
 The Data Centre in Neihu                        High-Specs              Sale                       Taiwan Fixed Network Co                       284,430




                                                                                                                       COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL |             P. 19
Asia pacific industrial market overview   dec 2011
Asia pacific industrial market overview   dec 2011
Asia pacific industrial market overview   dec 2011
Asia pacific industrial market overview   dec 2011
Asia pacific industrial market overview   dec 2011
Asia pacific industrial market overview   dec 2011
Asia pacific industrial market overview   dec 2011
Asia pacific industrial market overview   dec 2011
Asia pacific industrial market overview   dec 2011
Asia pacific industrial market overview   dec 2011
Asia pacific industrial market overview   dec 2011
Asia pacific industrial market overview   dec 2011
Asia pacific industrial market overview   dec 2011

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Asia pacific industrial market overview dec 2011

  • 1. ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW December 2011 Accelerating success.
  • 2. TABLE OF CONTENTS ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011 This is the thirteenth issue of the Asia Pacific Industrial Regional Overview 3 Market Overview, which covers 13 cities in nine countries, for the review period of April to September 2011. With Australia 5-6 this bi-annual update, we hope to provide an overview of Melbourne............................................................................................................. 5 industrial markets catering to multinational corporations Sydney.................................................................................................................. 6 and a comparison of industrial real estate costs across the key cities of the Asia-Pacific. Three types of industrial China 7-9 properties are tracked in this report, namely single- Beijing....................................................................................................................7 Guangzhou............................................................................................................ 8 user factory premises, single-user warehouse premises Shanghai............................................................................................................... 9 and multi-user high-specifications industrial premises, as these are the preferred choices of multinational Hong Kong SAR 10-11 corporations. This publication features land and capital values, as well as rents of single-user industrial premises; India 12 and rents of multi-user high-specification factories. New Delhi............................................................................................................12 Indonesia 13 Jakarta................................................................................................................. 13 Japan 14 Greater Tokyo......................................................................................................14 New Zealand 15-16 Auckland..............................................................................................................15 Wellington............................................................................................................16 Singapore 17-18 Taiwan 19 Taiwan..................................................................................................................19 International Comparison 20-26 Single-user Warehouse Land Values, Capital Values and Monthly Gross Rents................................................................................... 20 Single-user Factory Land Values, Capital Values and Monthly Gross Rents................................................................................... 23 Multi-user High-Specs Average Monthly Gross Rents..................................... 26 Local Market Norm 27-29 Single-user Warehouse Land Values, Capital Values and Monthly Gross Rents................................................................................... 27 Single-user Factory Land Values, Capital Values and Monthly Gross Rents................................................................................... 29 Definitions & Terminology 30
  • 3. REGIONAL OVERVIEW The economies of the Asia Pacific region showed slower growth weighed down by concerns over the anaemic state of the US economy and European sovereign debt woes. The more open economies, like Singapore and Taiwan, saw a marked slowdown in GDP growth on a year-on-year (YoY) basis during the current review period, due to shrinkages in manufacturing output. On the other hand, manufacturing sectors in China and Indonesia remained buoyant bolstered by their strong domestic markets. Economic performance varies for countries recently hit by natural disasters. While the Japanese economy remained in recession, the Pacific region was more resilient, evident from the low positive growth in New Zealand’s and Australia’s GDP numbers. Of the 182 industrial submarkets across the 13 Asia Pacific cities surveyed, 88.0% or a total of 160 submarkets either showed growth or were stable during the period between April and September 2011. This is similar to the 88.0% of the 184 industrial submarkets surveyed during the previous period between October 2010 and March 2011. We were unable to track the Urayasu submarket which remained inundated after the earthquake and tsunami in March. In line with the downgrading of general business sentiments globally, land and capital values as well as rents for industrial space saw slower growth averaging at 4.7%, 3.6% and 2.7% during the six months ending September 2011, compared with the average growth of 5.1%, 4.2% and 3.7%, respectively in the previous six-month period. However, high-specs industrial space bucked this trend, and with a higher average rental growth of 4.1% in this review period compared with the 2.0% recorded in the previous one. In total, 43 out of 53 industrial submarkets surveyed in the Asia Pacific region saw their land values either holding steady at the levels of six months ago or trending up. Notably, in Jakarta’s Bekasi and Karawang, average land prices soared by a record breaking 45.0% during the six months between April and September 2011 due to the aggressive growth of the automotive industry in Indonesia combined with a drought in industrial land supply. In contrast, limited availability teamed with cautious investor sentiments kept values stable in Sydney and Auckland. Land values were also flat in Guangzhou’s GETDD as multinational corporations shied away from acquiring industrial land, following a series of measures introduced by the Chinese government to regulate the real estate market. The remaining submarkets which saw decreases in land values are primarily located in quake-stricken Japan. Moving on to building sales, 49 out of the 58 submarkets surveyed recorded either flat or an increase in capital values. Growth was strongest in Hong Kong, as uncompromising vendors kept factory and warehouse prices soaring by up to 19.2% and 16.4% respectively. Its economic rival, Singapore, saw warehouse capital values increase by as much as 16.0%, up from the 7.2% recorded in the previous review period, underpinned by occupier demand and acquisition interest from REITS. Capital values were stable in Delhi and Shanghai as credit-tightening measures and high financing costs slowed industrial growth and dampened investor sentiments. Surprisingly, in spite of the booming Indonesian economy, capital values grew at a slower rate of 6.0%, down from the 19.7% increase recorded in the previous review period ending March 2011. This was attributed to lower activity levels in the current review period. COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 3
  • 4. REGIONAL OVERVIEW Of the 54 submarkets surveyed, only three saw rents heading south in the six-month period ending September 2011. Tokyo’s Shinsuna submarket saw industrial rents easing by 3.9% while Delhi’s NH24 saw a 1.9% drop each in both its warehouse and factory rents. The leasing market remained subdued in Australia and New Zealand with no change in rental levels from that of half a year ago. On the other hand, warehousing facilities in Hong Kong saw double-digit rental growth, fuelled by robust demand. Rapid expansions by third-party logistics (3PLs) players, including mainland Chinese operators, looking to establish their regional hubs in Hong Kong pushed rents upwards. However, tenant needs remained unmet given the mismatch of availability and occupiers’ space requirements in excess of 100,000 sq ft. For now, Asia continues to drive the global economic recovery, but the region is not immune to the seemingly never-ending euro zone woes and lacklustre recovery of the US economy. The outlook for the Asia Pacific industrial property market turned cautiously optimistic with stabilised values and rents expected in most submarkets over the next 12 months. Open economies like Hong Kong, which are extremely vulnerable to global economic headwinds, are already seeing a deceleration in their external trade growth in the review period. As such, Hong Kong expects industrial property rents and values to head south in the year ahead. On the other hand, the red hot Indonesian economy is expecting even better economic performance in 2012, underpinned by strong domestic consumption, solid investment inflows and higher export numbers. This is expected to drive growth in land and capital values as well as rents of industrial properties from 10.0% to 25.0% over the next year. P. 4 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 5. ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011 AUST R A L I A ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR MELBOURNE ECONOMIC INDICATORS INDICATORS PERIOD DATA Year-on-Year GDP Growth April - September 2011 1.65% Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate April - September 2011 -0.50% Total Imports April - September 2011 A$17.6 billion Total Exports April - September 2011 A$4.9 billion Container Throughput (TEUs) April - September 2011 1,252,769 Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes) January - June 2011 77,763 MELBOURNE Factory and Warehouse •  Demand for industrial space continued to grow during the review •  Approximately 2.29 million sq ft of space (involving deals above 32,000 sq ft) period between April and September 2011, driven by companies’ were leased between April and September 2011, with the bulk of 34.6% (or moves to expand and consolidate their premises on the back of healthy 793,106 sq ft) located in the west. This is about 11.9% below the six-month business sentiments amid Australia’s strong economic fundamentals of average of approximately 2.6 million sq ft over the last five years and 33.9% low unemployment, low public debt and a long pipeline of mining and above the 1.71 million sq ft leased in the previous review period of October 2010 resource-sector related investments. to March 2011. Notable leasing deals include Tasman Logistics committing to a 150,598-sq ft warehouse at the corner of Robinsons Road and Sunline •  However, global uncertainties arising from unresolved debt woes in the Drive in Truganina; Shields Transport leasing a 148,004-sq ft warehouse at United States (US) and Europe tempered optimism and put a cap on Oxford Road in Laverton North; and Ascent Primacy Services taking up a the growth of industrial land and capital values as well as rents which 97,952-sq ft warehouse at Ordish Road in Dandenong South. thus remained unchanged during the six-month review period between April and September 2011. •  Increased demand for new space, in turn, raised construction activity. Approximately A$87 million worth of industrial space was initiated between •  On the sales front, the number of investment sales transactions between April and September 2011 as opposed to A$51 million committed to over the April and September 2011 decreased though their total transaction six months to March 2011. volume has increased. A total of 11 investment sales (A$5 million and above) was transacted in Victoria from April to September 2011, as •  Overall, the industrial market is expected to firm up towards the end of compared to 16 transactions in the preceding six-month period ending 2011, supported by increasing demand and a tightening supply of quality March 2011. The total value transacted during the review period was in stock given its limited availability. Increasing tenant demand coupled with excess of approximately A$270 million, a jump from the A$160 million low supply across all industrial regions should continue to push vacancies recorded between October 2010 and March 2011. down, thereby supporting upward pressure on rentals. In turn, this should provide opportunities for investors to acquire more industrial properties for •  Industrial users’ caution on the back of the heightened global their portfolio and to take advantage of the relatively high yields and growth uncertainties resulted in a stronger leasing market than the vacant potential. However, more new supply is expected to come on stream in the possession sales market in the six months to September 2011. next few years as developers commence development of new industrial space Nonetheless, leasing volume remained below the historical average and to ride on the current tight supply situation. Hence, land and capital values leases are now signed on terms shorter than the long-term average of as well as rents are forecast to stay relatively stable or strengthen marginally seven to 10 years. over the next 12 months. MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN MELBOURNE TRANSACTIONS FLOOR/LAND AREA BUILDING/LAND PLOT PROPERTY TYPE LEASE/SALE TENANT/PURCHASER (SQ FT) Lot H - Arkwright Drive, Dandenong South Warehouse Lease Marine Power International 85,638 Lot F - Ordish Road, Dandenong South Warehouse Lease Ascent Primacy Services 97,952 221 Maidstone Street, Altona Warehouse Lease Werribee Nissan 115,691 2-8 Oxford Road, Laverton North Warehouse Lease Shields Transport 148,004 Cnr Robinsons Road & Sunline Drive, Truganina Warehouse Lease Tasman Logistics 150,598 West Park Industrial Estate, Derrimut Warehouse Sale IOOF 404,777 Coles Distribution Centre Warehouse Sale CorVal Partners 746,477 COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 5
  • 6. ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011 AUST R A L I A ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR SYDNEY ECONOMIC INDICATORS INDICATORS PERIOD DATA Year-on-Year GDP Growth January - June 2011 0.3% Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate April - September 2011 n.a. Total Imports January - June 2011 A$141.4 billion Total Exports January - June 2011 A$150.0 billion Container Throughput (TEUs) January - June 2011 968,123 Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes) April - September 2011 n.a. * n.a. denotes not available SYDNEY Factory, Warehouse and High-Specs • An ongoing lack of new industrial development coupled with steady market over the past six months is Aviva’s acquisition of a 50% tenant demand has kept the Sydney industrial market tight over the interest in the Big W and Dick Smith Properties at Mirvac’s Hoxton past six months. The continuing lack of available stock has been Distribution Park. The sale price was A$97.4 million, which equates compounded by withdrawals in industrial stock in some micro- to a tight yield of 7.5%. markets, as some owners plan to redevelop their industrial buildings •  A number of institutional landowners in Sydney’s Central West have into new office, retail and residential properties after assessing the begun to capitalise on the lack of space in the market with a number highest and best use of their sites. of speculative developments under construction. One example is the •  The leasing market has remained stable over the past six months with recently completed 1-23 Templar Road development in which Dexus the majority of leases signed being renewals, as an ongoing lack of Property speculatively built a 226,042-sq ft Prime grade building. confidence and uncertainty in the economy stalls the implementation •  The outlook for Sydney’s industrial market remains positive over the of companies’ expansion plans. This stability has helped rents and next six to 12 months with the Australian dollar expected to remain incentives for both Prime and Secondary grade stock to remain strong, thus sustaining importers’ demand for industrial space. On stable over the past six months. Notable lease transactions during the other hand, stock levels are expected to remain tight as new the review period include YHI Australia’s lease of a 75,066-sq ft developments remained largely subdued. This ongoing tight supply warehouse at 11 Grand Avenue, Camellia and P&O Trans Australia of Prime Grade space is expected to lead to a slight growth in rents (POTA)’s lease of a 102,100-sq ft warehouse at Yennora Distribution of up to 1.1% and a reduction in incentives for tenants over the next Centre. In the same centre, Queensland Cotton Corporation Ltd also 12 months. This could lift land and capital values by up to 2.0% over took up space at a 99,333 sq ft warehouse. the same period. •  On the same note, land and capital values also held steady over the review period. The largest sale transaction in Sydney’s industrial MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN SYDNEY TRANSACTIONS FLOOR/LAND AREA BUILDING/LAND PLOT PROPERTY TYPE LEASE/SALE TENANT/PURCHASER (SQ FT) 25 Sirius Road, Lane Cove Warehouse Sale Private 87,153 57 - 67 Roberts Road, Greenacre Warehouse Sale Private 106,800 19 Chifley Street, Smithfield Warehouse Sale Leda Holdings 199,322 8 - 40 Euston Road, Alexandria Warehouse Sale Bunnings Properties 291,693 Hoxton Distribution Park Warehouse Sale Aviva 1,423,322 283 Coward Street, Mascot Warehouse Lease Toll 73,520 11 Grand Avenue, Camellia Warehouse Lease YHI Australia Pty Ltd 75,066 13 Bessemer Street, Blacktown Warehouse Lease Nilfisk Advance 77,593 Yennora Distribution Centre, Loftus Road, Warehouse Lease Queensland Cotton Corporation Ltd 99,333 Yennora Yennora Distribution Centre, Loftus Road, Warehouse Lease P&O Trans Australia (POTA) 102,100 Yennora P. 6 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 7. ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011 CHINA ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR BEIJING ECONOMIC INDICATORS INDICATORS PERIOD DATA Year-on-Year GDP Growth January – June 2011 8.0% Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate January – June 2011 16.6% Total Imports January – June 2011 US$158.6 billion Total Exports January – June 2011 US$27 billion Container Throughput (TEUs) January – June 2011 n.a. Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes) January – June 2011 852,400 * n.a. denotes not available BEIJING Factory and Warehouse • Beijing managed to stage a strong economic performance in 1H 2011. and CNY4.69 per sq ft per month, respectively. Rental growth was GDP expanded by 8.0% YoY, and imports and exports grew by 34.1% achieved on the back of firm leasing demand that was driven by and 4.0%, to US$158.6 billion and US$27 billion, respectively during overseas and domestic e-business, Food and Beverage (F&B) and this period. Air cargo throughput also increased to 852,400 tonnes Business-to-Consumer (B2C) companies that are expanding in in the January to June 2011 period, up 17.2% YoY, in line with the Beijing. For example, Want Want took up approximately 107,639 sq upbeat economic performance. ft of warehouse space in China Logistics Corp, located in Tongzhou District, while Tiantian.com and Watson’s each leased approximately •  The robust economic performance thus lent support to growth 129,000 sq ft in GLP Daxing Park. in industrial land values. Land values in Tianzhu, Tongzhou and Shangdi increased 9.0%, 5.0% and 4.3% from the last review period, •  Near-term fixed supply amid firm leasing demand also contributed to CNY109.16, CNY65.74 and CNY310.58 per sq ft, respectively, to rental growth. The supply of industrial space remained stable in while land values in Yizhuang remained flat at CNY55.17 per sq ft. the review period from April to September 2011 as there were no Noticeably, state-owned companies and manufacturing enterprises new completions in Beijing’s industrial market. were key demand drivers for industrial land during the review period. For instance, the Beijing Pearl River Investment and Development •  Going forward, the supply of prime logistics parks remains limited Company invested CNY870 million to develop a logistics industrial and is expected to be insufficient to meet the strong demand from the park with a land area of 3,168,895 sq ft in the Tongzhou Economic e-business, F&B, manufacturing, B2C and third-party logistics (3PL) Development Zone. In addition, Unity Opto Technology and Maxwell enterprises. Meanwhile, investors continue to find Beijing’s industrial Machinery and Electronic Equipment Co. Ltd, each purchased a market alluring, announcing expansion plans and/or creations of 535,892-sq ft plot and a 166,389-sq ft site, respectively in Yizhuang. joint ventures. For instance, Kerry Logistics, Hutchison Port, Beijing Inland Port International Logistics and New Concord recently came •  Industrial rents also posted growth in the six months ending together to form a joint venture company that will be headquartered September 2011. Rents in Tianzhu and Tongzhou increased by in Beijing to invest in logistics properties and related businesses in 5.9% and 4.9% compared with the last review period to CNY2.97 China with a total investable capital of CNY2 billion. Hence, land and and CNY2.64 per sq ft per month, respectively. Similarly, rents in capital values as well as rents are expected to maintain their growth Shangdi and Yizhuang recorded hikes of 5.2% and 5.7%, to CNY6.71 by up to 6.0% in the next 12 months. MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN BEIJING TRANSACTIONS FLOOR/LAND AREA BUILDING/LAND PLOT PROPERTY TYPE LEASE/SALE TENANT/PURCHASER (SQ FT) China Logistics Corp Warehouse Lease Want Want 107,639 GLP Daxing Park Warehouse Lease Tiantian.com 129,100 GLP Daxing Park Warehouse Lease Watson’s 129,170 Yizhuang, BDA Land Sale Maxwell Machinery & Electronic Equipment 166,389 Yizhuang, BDA Land Sale Unity Opto Technology 535,892 Beijing Pearl River Investment and Tongzhou Economic Development Zone Land Sale 3,168,895 Development Company COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 7
  • 8. ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011 CHINA ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR GUANGZHOU ECONOMIC INDICATORS INDICATORS PERIOD DATA Year-on-Year GDP Growth January - June 2011 11.0% Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate January - August 2011 10.3% Total Imports March - August 2011 US$30.2 billion Total Exports March - August 2011 US$29.4 billion Container Throughput (TEUs) March - August 2011 7.4 million Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes) March - August 2011 763,300 GUANGZHOU Factory and Warehouse • Guangzhou’s economy continued to grow at a robust pace of 11.0% •  Noticeably, multinational firms were more cautious in acquiring YoY in the first half of 2011. From January to August, Guangzhou’s industrial land plots, while domestic corporations from the food, manufacturing output reached CNY980.57 billion, up 10.3% YoY, communications, electronics, automotive products and mechanical supported by increased growth rates in the petrochemical and manufacturing industries remained active in buying land plots. The electronics manufacturing industries. In particular, there was a latter group clinched 15 out of the 17 plots auctioned in the GETDD steady increase of high-technological product output during this from April to September 2011. These included China Banknote period. The local export and import volume from March to August Printing and Minting Corporation’s acquisition of a 2,192,038-sq ft was also at a strong US$59.65 billion, up 11.4% compared to the plot in Guangzhou Science City and Guangzhou Kingfa Sci. & Tech. same period last year. Co. Ltd’s acquisition of a 853,203-sq ft site in Jiulong Industrial Park. •  As such, domestic and overseas logistics firms, electronics manufacturing industries and consumer goods retailers continued •  In September, a new subsidy policy was introduced by the to lift demand for industrial space during the six months from April government of the GETDD to encourage companies to lease to September 2011. Consequently, the average rents and capital standard factories in the district. Favourable investment policies values for warehouses and factories in Guangzhou Economic and and a robust domestic economy are expected to continue to Technological Development District (GETDD) rose by up to 4.9% support demand for industrial properties. In addition, the recent during this period. rapid development of China’s e-business is expected to raise the demand for quality warehouses going forward. Thus, capital and •  In contrast, the overall land values in the GETDD stayed relatively rental values of factory and warehouse space could grow by up to unchanged from the levels six months ago as sentiments were 4.2% in the next 12 months. Land values, on the other hand, are weighed down by measures introduced by the government to forecast to stay unchanged at current levels through the next 12 regulate the real estate market since 2010. Some of these measures months. include monetary tightening policies through interest rate hikes as well as the requirement for the municipal land resource office to report to the provincial land resource office, land transactions that were sealed at prices exceeding 50% of reserve prices. MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN GUANGZHOU TRANSACTIONS FLOOR/LAND AREA BUILDING/LAND PLOT PROPERTY TYPE LEASE/SALE TENANT/PURCHASER (SQ FT) Development Zone, Luogang Land Sale SK Group 169,416 Guangzhou Science City Land Sale Biostime 365,894 Development Zone, Yonghe Land Sale Guangdong Yanlong Dairy 536,031 Jiulong Industrial Park Land Sale Guangzhou Kingfa Sci. &Tech. Co. Ltd 853,203 China Banknote Printing and Minting Guangzhou Science City Land Sale 2,192,038 Corporation P. 8 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 9. ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011 CHINA ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR SHANGHAI ECONOMIC INDICATORS INDICATORS PERIOD DATA Year-on-Year GDP Growth January – June 2011 8.4% Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth April – September 2011 9.4% Total Imports April – September 2011 US$116.8 billion Total Exports April – September 2011 US$108.9 billion Container Throughput (TEUs) April – September 2011 16.5 million Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes) April – September 2011 1.9 million SHANGHAI Factory and Warehouse •  Growth momentum in Shanghai’s industrial property market slowed •  Looking ahead, although domestic monetary policy measures and between April and September 2011 as the fragile economic recovery external economic shocks will continue to weigh on the Chinese in the US and Europe’s sovereign debt crisis weighed on market economy and Shanghai’s industrial sector, land, capital and rental sentiment. values of industrial properties in Shanghai are expected to receive strong support at current levels as Shanghai’s industrial sector •  Additionally, a tightened credit environment led to higher financing evolves over time to accommodate higher value-added industries. cost and this dampened investment sales. Local industrial investors Industrial land usage will continue to shift towards the higher-end of and developers without the privilege of accessing offshore funding the tertiary value chain, including corporate headquarters, research began to experience financial difficulties. Multinational corporations and development (R&D) and operations centres. Meanwhile, the with access to offshore financing were less affected. Consequently, Chinese government’s effort aimed at curbing speculative investment capital values gained an average of just 1.4% during the six-month in the residential market may generate investment spill overs to the review period ending September 2011, in contrast to an average industrial segment, lending further support to the market. Thus, growth rate of 5.0% in the six months ending March 2011. land, capital and rental values have the potential to increase by up •  Land values, however, continued to grow steadily at an average of to 8.0% in the next 12 months. approximately 8.5% as inflationary pressures persisted and local government’s selective stance in allocating sites restricted supply. •  Rental values recorded an average growth rate of approximately 5.0%, helped by the continued demand for industrial space from booming sectors such as e-commerce businesses. Leasing transactions concluded during the review period include eFrance’s lease of a 12,860-sq ft factory in Minhang district and Phoenix Waigaoqiao’s lease of a 2,281,788-sq ft warehouse in Pudong New Area. MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN SHANGHAI TRANSACTIONS FLOOR/LAND BUILDING/LAND PLOT PROPERTY TYPE LEASE/SALE TENANT/PURCHASER AREA (SQ FT) Minhang Factory Lease eFrance 12,860 Pudong New Area Warehouse Lease Phoenix Waigaoqiao 2,281,788 COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 9
  • 10. ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011 H O N G KO N G S A R ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR HONG KONG SAR ECONOMIC INDICATORS INDICATORS PERIOD DATA Year-on-Year GDP Growth January - June 2011 6.29% Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate March – August 2011 -0.67% Total Imports March – August 2011 HK$1,931 billion Total Exports March – August 2011 HK$1,702 billion Container Throughput (TEUs) March – August 2011 12.5 million Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes) March – August 2011 2.0 million HONG KONG SAR Factory • Triggered by the Hong Kong Monetary Authority’s call to strengthen performance remain sluggish in the coming quarters. Over the next risk management in residential mortgage lending business in June 12 months, factory rents and prices are anticipated to decrease by 2011 and the growing uncertain economic outlook, banks in Hong about 5.0% and 12.0%, respectively. Kong tightened their loan policies in 3Q 2011. For industrial property Warehouse mortgages, banks have generally lowered their property valuations and reduced the loan-to-value ratio to between 30.0% and 40.0%. • The continued growth of local consumption and re-export volume (the latter expanded by 10.2% YoY to HK$1,667 billion during the •  Tightened credit led to a contraction in industrial property transaction period from March to August 2011) had led to a flurry of warehouse volume during the review period with the decline particularly profound space expansions by third-party logistics (3PLs) players looking to in the second half of the review period from July to September 2011. capture growing demand for logistics services from outsourcing The number of strata-titled transactions which decreased 6.1% activities. Noticeably, 3PLs that engaged in local distribution and quarter-on-quarter (QoQ) to 2,108 in 2Q 2011, plunged by a steep the export of fashion and electronics products were the most active 37.9% QoQ to 1,310 transactions in 3Q 2011. Chevalier International’s group of tenants seeking additional spaces. acquisition of the whole block of an industrial building at 29 to 33 Tsing Yi Road (253,470 sq ft) for a total consideration of HK$286 •  New demand for warehousing facilities was also seen from individual million, and Central Source Limited’s purchase of the 311,700-sq ft multinational fashion companies and overseas 3PLs, including Emperor International Square in Kowloon Bay for HK$850 million, mainland Chinese operators, looking to establish their regional hub were among the sales transactions that occurred between April and in Hong Kong to serve their business needs in Southeast Asia and September 2011. the south China region. These tenants were seeking warehouse premises with sizes of 100,000 sq ft or above. However, there are •  Notwithstanding the contraction in property transaction volume, currently no available warehouse premises in the market that match factory prices continued their upward climb by 15.4% during the their size requirements. review period, to HK$2,549 per sq ft as of September 2011. This was partly the result of vendors holding firm on their asking prices •  Robust demand for warehousing facilities saw the average rents given their low holding costs. As well, healthy tenant demand on the of cargo lift access warehouses increasing 10.8% to HK$6.82 per back of positive spill-over from the traditional office sector due to sq ft per month while those of ramp access warehouses increased sustained office rental growth enabled factory rents to gain 10.4% 11.5% to HK$9.81 per sq ft per month during the six months under between April and September 2011, to HK$8.56 per sq ft per month. review. This also supported capital value growth for factory space during the review period. •  Similar to the factory sector, the sustained rental growth underpinned the price performance of warehouses. Thus, the capital values of •  The persistently weak economic recovery in the core export markets cargo lift access warehouses and ramp access warehouses rose – the US and the European Union – has started to take its toll on Hong by 16.4% and 15.3% to HK$2,487 per sq ft and HK$2,600 per sq ft, Kong’s external trade performance, as reflected in a deceleration in respectively during the review period. its external trade growth during the review period. In fact, various organisations have downgraded their economic growth forecasts for •  One notable transaction was the sale of a 50% interest in Interlink, the coming quarters for Hong Kong. Demand for industrial premises a 2.4-million sq ft logistics warehouse development in Tsing Yi that is thus expected to soften amid a deceleration in the growth of local is scheduled for completion in January 2012, by Goodman Group consumption and exports of goods and services. In turn, factory rents to Canada Pension Plan Investment Board for a total of HK$2.26 are expected to see downward adjustments if the global economic billion. P. 10 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 11. ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011 H O N G KO N G S A R •  Looking forward, given the weak global macroeconomic climate, •  During the six-month period ending September 2011, the average warehouse rentals are expected to decrease 2.0% to 3.0% over the I-O rental increased 7.9% to HK$16.56 per sq ft per month. next 12 months while their prices are expected to decline 9.0% to •  However, in line with the general softening in demand for industrial 13.0% during the same period. space amid an uncertain economy outlook, I-O rents are expected High-Specs Industrial Building to decline 5.0% in the next 12 months. •  Similar to the factory sector, the high-specs Industrial-Office buildings (I-O) received positive spill over demand from an increase in rentals in the office market. MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN HONG KONG SAR TRANSACTIONS FLOOR/LAND AREA BUILDING/LAND PLOT PROPERTY TYPE LEASE/SALE TENANT/PURCHASER (SQ FT) Tsuen Wan International Centre Industrial Lease Ingrid Millet 22,000 Texaco Centre Industrial Lease Zara Asia 43,054 Tsuen Wan International Centre Industrial Lease JSI Logistics 45,004 Oceanic Industrial Centre Industrial Lease I.T. Apparels 92,753 Wai Yuen Tong Medicine Building Industrial Sale Local Investor 126,677 29 - 33 Tsing Yi Road Industrial Sale Chevalier International 253,470 Emperor International Square Industrial Sale Central Source Limited 311,700 Interlink Warehouse Sale Canada Pension Plan Investment Board 50% interest COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 11
  • 12. ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011 INDIA ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR INDIA ECONOMIC INDICATORS INDICATORS PERIOD DATA Year-on-Year GDP Growth April - September 2011 8.25% Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate April - September 2011 n.a Total Imports April - August 2011 US$189.3 billion Total Exports April - August 2011 US$134.9 billion Container Throughput (TEUs) April - September 2011 n.a. Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes) April - September 2011 n.a. * n.a. denotes not available NEW DELHI Factory and Warehouse • The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has tightened monetary policy during •  As such, in spite of the turbulent global economic conditions, demand the review period from April to September 2011, which saw its “Repo for Delhi/NCR industrial properties remained relatively stable during Rate” (i.e. the rate at which the Reserve Bank of India lends money the review period with land and capital values registering an average to commercial banks) soaring from 6.89% to 8.0%. The continuous increase of 4.0% while rental values grew at an average rate of hike in the cost of debt resulted in a slowdown in industrial growth, 2.0%. Lease transactions concluded in the review period include which grew at a slower 7.3% during January to June 2011 versus Jayshree Polyplastic’s lease of a 100,000-sq ft factory at Bhiwadi; an 11.8% growth in the same period last year. Ananad Raj Industries’s lease of a 60,000-sq ft factory at Manesar; and Yamaha’s lease of a 56,000-sq ft warehouse along Mathura •  Despite challenges from an escalating cost of debt, sentiments in Road. the Delhi industrial property market remained healthy on the back of various efforts by the government to develop and grow their •  As part of the government’s Relocation of Industries Scheme to industrial sector. For example, the state government has decided move industries from residential areas to conforming zones, DSIISC to reduce the multiplicity of authorities in industrial areas in Delhi has recently allotted 51 industrial plots at Bawana and Bhorgarh so as to streamline the process of entrepreneurs having to obtain through a draw of lots. With this allotment, the total number of plots clearance from various government agencies to set up businesses in or flatted factories allotted under this scheme since its launch in these industrial estates. The lease and maintenance administration 1996 has gone up to around 22,500. About 85.0% of the units are of most of the industrial estate, which is presently under the purview either under construction or are already completed. of both the Delhi Development Authority (DDA) and the Municipal •  With the improvements in Delhi’s industrial infrastructure and Corporation of India (MCD), will be handed over to the Delhi State business environment, Delhi could emerge as an attractive Industrial and Infrastructure Development Corporation (DSIIDC). investment destination in the coming years. This could fuel demand •  For a start, DSIIDC has identified areas at Narela, Bawana, Patparganj for industrial space to accommodate the growing businesses. Thus, and Okhla as pilots for upgrading and managing the estates under the capital values and rents of the industrial properties are expected to build-operate and transfer (BOT) concession to a private partner for continue to record growths in the range of 2.0% to 5.0% in the next 15 years. To bring more investments and industries to Delhi, DSIIDC 12 months. is also planning to develop a knowledge-based industrial park in Baprola. The estimated cost of this industrial park is INR12 billion. MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN NEW DELHI TRANSACTIONS FLOOR/LAND AREA BUILDING/LAND PLOT PROPERTY TYPE LEASE/SALE TENANT/PURCHASER (SQ FT) Manufacturing Company of Nuts and Bolts Bhiwadi Factory Lease 28,000 (Undisclosed) Mathura Road Warehouse Lease Yamaha 56,000 Manesar Factory Lease Anand Raj Industries Pvt. Ltd 60,000 Bhiwadi Factory Lease Jayshree Polyplastic Pvt. Ltd 100,000 Agriculture Land for NH8 Purchase Logistics Company (Undisclosed) 10 acres Logistics Operations P. 12 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 13. ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011 I N D O N ES I A ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR JAKARTA ECONOMIC INDICATORS INDICATORS PERIOD DATA Year-on-Year GDP Growth January – June 2011 6.5% Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate January – June 2011 5.6% Total Imports April – September 2011 US$85,854.7 million Total Exports April – September 2011 US$107,113.7 million Container Throughput (TEUs) April – September 2011 n.a. Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes) April – September 2011 n.a. * n.a. denotes not available JAKARTA Factory and Warehouse • The Indonesian industrial land sales market saw heightened activity •  The industrial leasing market remained quiet with no notable in the current review period, particularly for larger land parcels in leasing transactions in the current review period between April and excess of 1.08 million sq ft. This was driven by strong domestic September 2011. However, rents saw a 5.8% increase, up from a consumption and aggressive growth of the automotive industry. 3.4% contraction reported for the period between October 2010 and All in, land sold in the first three quarters of 2011 totalled 897 ha, March 2011, due to volatility in exchange rates. exceeding the 543 ha registered in the entire year of 2010. Year- to-date, the automotive industry remained the dominant purchaser •  Underpinned by strong domestic consumption, solid investment accounting for 45.0% of total land sales (in ha). With no additional inflows and improving export performance, the Indonesian economy industrial land being supplied, robust demand drove the average land is forecasted to see robust expansion in the range of 6.5% to 6.9% prices in Karawang and Bekasi up by a record 45.0% during the six in 2012, higher than the 6.3% estimated for the entire year of 2011. months between April and September 2011, faster than the 14.9% This is expected to continue to stoke developers’ and investors’ recorded in the previous review period. Notable land transactions optimism and translate to growth in land and capital values, as well that occurred in the six months ending September 2011 included as rents of industrial properties from 10.0% to 25.0% over the next Denso Indonesia’s purchase of a 28-ha plot at Bekasi Fajar and the 12 months. sale of a 31-ha parcel at KIIC to an undisclosed party. •  On the other hand, a relatively less active investment sales market led capital values of industrial buildings to grow at a slower rate of 6.0% in the current review period, down from the 19.7% increase recorded in the previous review period ending March 2011. MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN JAKARTA TRANSACTIONS FLOOR/LAND AREA BUILDING/LAND PLOT PROPERTY TYPE LEASE/SALE TENANT/PURCHASER (SQ FT) Modern Cikande Land Sale Indochem 645,834 Bekasi Fajar Land Sale Food Industry (Undisclosed) 1,076,390 Plastics & Metal Manufacturing Jababeka Land Sale 1,560,766 (Undisclosed) Suryacipta Land Sale Automotive Component (Undisclosed) 1,614,585 Jababeka Land Sale Consumer Goods (Undisclosed) 1,832,016 Jababeka Land Sale Pharmacy 2,152,780 KI Mitrakarawang Land Sale Automotive (Undisclosed) 2,152,780 Jababeka Land Sale Automotive (Undisclosed) 2,473,544 Bekasi Fajar Land Sale Denso Indonesia 3,013,892 KIIC Land Sale Undisclosed 3,336,809 COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 13
  • 14. ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011 JA PA N ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR GREATER TOKYO ECONOMIC INDICATORS INDICATORS PERIOD DATA Year-on-Year GDP Growth January - June 2011 -0.8%1) Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate January - June 2011 -4.7%1) Total Imports January - June 2011 ¥14.57 trillion2) Total Exports January - June 2011 ¥11.77 trillion2) Container Throughput (TEUs) January - June 2011 3.60 million3) Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes) January - June 2011 934,1794) 1) Nationwide 2) Tokyo port (Tokyo-kou, Narita) and Yokohama Port (Yokohama, Kawasaki, Chiba and Kisarazu) 3) Tokyo custom and Yokohama custom 4) Narita Airport GREATER TOKYO Factory and Warehouse •  Weighed down by the March 2011 earthquake, the Japanese economy •  Prologis Park Kawajima, a five-storey multi-tenanted logistics facility contracted in 2Q 2011 by 0.5% for the third consecutive quarter with a total gross floor area of 1.8 million sq ft, was completed in July. on a QoQ basis. On an annualised basis, the Japanese economy It is located in Kawajima of Saitama with convenient access to major contracted by 2.1% YoY in 2Q 2011. As such, the industrial property roads. As of the end of September, 70.0% of the development was market stayed in the doldrums. leased to two tenants, one of which is Hitachi Collabonext Transport System Co. •  The investment sales market was sluggish in the current review period ending September 2011 as cautious investors continued to •  While the Japanese economy appears to be on the recovery path now monitor the market from the sidelines. Thus, land and capital values that supply-side constraints caused by the earthquake are gradually have generally softened since the previous survey conducted six being resolved and total exports and business investments are seeing months ago. a slight growth, it is nevertheless still susceptible to externalities such as the health of other major global economies. Manufacturers and •  Rental performance remained mixed. For the six-month period those in the export trade are especially concerned with the further ending in September 2011, rents in Daikokufuto saw a 4.8% increase, strengthening of the Japanese Yen. These factors will continue to while the Shinsuna submarket saw industrial rents easing by 3.9%. weigh on the Japanese industrial property market, giving land and With the exception of the Urayasu submarket, rents in the remaining capital values as well as rents little room for growth. They are thus, submarkets surveyed were unchanged from their levels recorded in generally forecast to stay unchanged in the next 12 months. March 2011. The Urayasu submarket remained flooded/submerged, following the earthquake and tsunami in March 2011. P. 14 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 15. ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011 NEW ZEALAND ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR NEW ZEALAND ECONOMIC INDICATORS INDICATORS PERIOD DATA Year-on-Year GDP Growth June 2011 1.5% Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate June 2011 1.5% Total Imports April – September 2011 NZ$23.3 billion Total Exports April – September 2011 NZ$22.9 billion Container Throughput (TEUs) April – September 2011 39.3 million Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes) April – September 2011 93,953 AUCKLAND Office/Warehouse •  The industrial sector continues to lead the commercial property •  Leasing activity continues particularly in the under 21,000 sq ft market with a total return of 9.0% for the year ending September 2011 market. Nevertheless, the overall vacancy rate dropped marginally according to the Investment Property Databank/Property Council of from 5.3% in February 2011 to 5.1% in August 2011. As such, New Zealand. monthly rents are stabilising, and now range between NZ$0.76 per sq ft and NZ$0.83 per sq ft for prime warehouses across •  The investment market showed signs of stabilising. Approximately Auckland industrial precincts. A significant leasing deal during NZ$117 million worth of industrial properties (total for sales of this review period was Goodyear and Dunlop Tyres (NZ) taking up a individual properties at NZ$2 million or more) were transacted in the 102,548-sq ft development in 415 East Tamaki Road in East Tamaki. first half of 2011, down from the NZ$292 million recorded in 1H 2010. Consequently, capital values increased moderately by up to 2.3% on •  Colliers Real Estate Confidence Survey September 2011 shows that average in the current six months review period ending September industrial investors feel the most optimistic about the year ahead 2011. Notable investment transactions included the purchase of 5-7 compared to the other property sectors. Specifically, 41.0% of Fraser Road (111,783 sq ft) at Mt Wellington to a private investor. Auckland industrial investors forecast improving conditions for the next 12 months, up from just 34.0% six months ago. Against this •  Industrial land values, too, are trending upwards on the back of limited backdrop, industrial land and capital values and rentals are likely to availability of land for sale in South Auckland. However, the shortage see a 2.0% to 5.0% upside through the next 12 months. of buyers kept land value growth moderate at not more than 2.0% between April and September 2011. Major land transactions that occurred in the review period included the sale of a 330,097 sq ft parcel at 111 Luan Avenue to Eldamos Investments for over NZ$10.5 million. MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN AUCKLAND TRANSACTIONS FLOOR/LAND AREA BUILDING/LAND PLOT PROPERTY TYPE LEASE/SALE TENANT/PURCHASER (SQ FT) 6b Wagener Place, St Lukes Office/Warehouse Lease Wilhelmsen Ship Services 9,591 89-91 Captain Springs Road, Penrose Office/Warehouse Lease TIC (Reverse Logistics) NZ 19,246 78 Ellice Road, Wairau Park Office/Warehouse Lease Phoenix Aluminium 15,629 67 Arrenway Drive, Albany Office/Warehouse Lease Dimension Shopfitters 30,699 5 Henry Rose Place, Albany Office/Warehouse Lease Transpacific Industrial (NZ) 32,292 23 Zelanian Drive, East Tamaki Office/Warehouse Lease Exclusive Tyre Distributors (NZ) 35,521 Business Parade North, East Tamaki Office/Warehouse Lease National Aluminium 61,548 415 East Tamaki Road, East Tamaki Office/Warehouse Lease Goodyear and Dunlop Tyres (NZ) 102,548 67 Arrenway Drive, Albany Office/Warehouse Sale Lewis Holdings 30,699 9 Pacific Rise, Mt Wellington Office/Warehouse Sale Private Investor 31,495 5-7 Fraser Road, Mt Wellington Office/Warehouse Sale Private Investor 111,783 111 Lunn Ave, Mt Wellington Land Sale Eldamos Investments 330,097 COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 15
  • 16. ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011 NEW ZEALAND WELLINGTON Office/Warehouse •  The Wellington investment market remains active, largely in the •  In contrast with the buoyant mood in Auckland, Wellington investor sub-NZ$2 million price bracket. For the first half of 2011, over confidence is down in general for the 12 months ahead. Industrial NZ$61 million worth of industrial properties were sold. This is investor confidence dropped to -9.0% in September this year from close to 50.0% of the NZ$136 million chalked up for the whole of -2.0% in March 2011. However, it has improved from the -18.0% 2010. Hence, land and capital values held steady in the six months recorded a year ago. As such, land values are expected to stay stable between April and September 2011. Significant transactions that over the next 12 months. occurred during this six-month review period included the sale of 38-40 Bouverie Street (78,210 sq ft) in Petone to Beijing Gold for NZ$6.7 million. •  The leasing market, too, has remained stable over the six months ending September 2011. As such, rents remained unchanged as of half a year ago with prime monthly warehouse rents currently ranging between NZ$0.66 per sq ft NZ$0.77 per sq ft. The majority of the transactions occurred in the sub-10,764 sq ft market. Notably, a 6,900-sq ft industrial building in Petone was leased by Pennrith Holdings to Scafit for NZ$600,000 a year. MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN WELLINGTON TRANSACTIONS FLOOR/LAND AREA BUILDING/LAND PLOT PROPERTY TYPE LEASE/SALE TENANT/PURCHASER (SQ FT) 35 - 43 Hutt Road, Petone Office/Warehouse Lease Scafit 6,953 56 Takapu Road, Grenada Office/Warehouse Lease Wellington Scrap Metals 32,292 Astra Print, 97 - 102 Hutt Road, Office/Warehouse Lease Wickliffe NZ 33,110 Kaiwharawhara 199 Gracefield Road, Gracefield Office/Warehouse Sale Private Investor 15,952 46 Railway Avenue, Lower Hutt Office/Warehouse Sale Azzurro Holdings 27,233 9 - 15 Meachen Street, Lower Hutt Office/Warehouse Sale Chelmsford Properties 36,597 38 - 40 Bouverie Street, Petone Office/Warehouse Sale Beijing Gold 78,210 P. 16 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 17. ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011 SINGAPORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR SINGAPORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS INDICATORS PERIOD DATA Year-on-Year GDP Growth April 2011 – September 2011 3.5% Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate April 2011 – September 2011 3.7% Total Imports April 2011 – September 2011 S$232,317 million Total Exports April 2011 – September 2011 S$259,212 million Container Throughput (TEUs) April 2011 – September 2011 15,190.6 Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes) April 2011 – September 2011 933,905 SINGAPORE Factory and Warehouse •  Singapore’s GDP growth slowed to 3.5% YoY in the period from April edge, it is unlikely that the JTC Corporation (JTC) would raise land to September 2011 compared with the sterling 10.7% YoY growth prices further in the months ahead. Capital values and rents of seen in the previous review period from October 2010 to March single-user industrial space should also remain stable in the year 2011, as upheavals on the global economic front rattled confidence ahead, balanced by cautious user demand and limited availability. and dampened demand for goods and services. High-Specs Industrial Building •  Nonetheless industrial investment and land sales remained active •  The high-specs industrial sector is susceptible to weakening underpinned by occupier demand and interest from REITS and confidence in the global economy and thus slowed considerably in developers. For instance, Sabana REIT made four purchases — 3A the period from April to September 2011. Joo Koon Circle, 21 Joo Koon Crescent, 2 Toh Tuck Link and 39 Ubi Road 1 — totalling S$132.3 million in the current review period. Other •  Despite investor caution amid heightened global uncertainties, Real major buildings transacted within the six months ending September Estate Investment Trusts (REITs) continue to look out for accretive 2011 include Seagate’s premises at Ang Mo Kio for S$91.5 million and purchases. Notably, Ascendas REITs purchased the Nordic European Singatronic’s facility at Chai Chee Lane for S$21 million. These led Centre in the International Business Park for S$121.6 million. land and capital values to extend their climb by as much as 16.0% during the current review period, up from the 7.2% to 9.3% recorded •  Rents for high-specs space remained under pressure due to the in the previous review period. ample supply of new high-specs and suburban office space in the pipeline. Consequently, rental growth for multi-user high-specs space •  The leasing market was also active and dominated by relocations more than halved from 11.0% in the October 2010 to March 2011 and company expansions. Rents for factories in the central area period to 4.8% in the current review period. At the end of September rose 4.1% in the current six-month review period to average S$1.50 2011, the average monthly gross rent for high-specs space stood per sq ft per month in September 2011, while monthly rents for at S$3.28 per sq ft. Major leasing deals concluded during this time warehouse space in the eastern part of the island grew 5.1% in the included Nordson SEA (Pte) Ltd taking up about 15,800 sq ft at 2 past six months to average S$1.44 per sq ft. Corporation Place. •  According to the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA), some 1.91 •  Growth in office rents slowed and has likely reached peak levels, million sq ft of single-user factories were added onto stock in the resulting in less cost incentives for qualifying office users to relocate current review period, 10.0% higher than the 1.73 million sq ft net to high-specs space. Given the cloudy economic outlook, leasing of new completions seen in the previous six months. Developments activities in the short to medium term ahead, is likely to be dominated completed in the six months ending September 2011 included CN by renewals and consolidations. As such, high-specs rents are Logistics’ 121,600-sq ft factory at Changi North Way and Kawah expected to stay stable, with an increase of up to 5.0% for ground Enterprises’ factory at Ubi Link. floor space, in the year ahead. •  The outlook ahead is less rosy. Business sentiments have been adversely affected by events in the west. According to the latest Business Times-UniSIM Business Climate Survey, close to two-thirds of the companies surveyed said prospects for the next six months are worse than a year ago. Given the murky outlook for the global economy and the pressing need to maintain Singapore’s competitive COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 17
  • 18. ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011 SINGAPORE MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN SINGAPORE ECONOMIC INDICATORS FLOOR/LAND AREA BUILDING/LAND PLOT PROPERTY TYPE LEASE/SALE TENANT/PURCHASER (SQ FT) 2 Corporation Place High-Specs Lease Nordson SEA (Pte) Ltd 15,791 21 Changi North Way Warehouse Lease Armor Asia Imaging Supplies Pte Ltd 45,500 52 Tanjong Penjuru Warehouse Lease Cummins Diesel Sales Corporation 110,860 18 New Industrial Road Factory Sale TAS Services Pte Ltd 30,225 21 Joo Koon Crescent Factory Sale Sabana Shari’ah Compliant REIT 99,575 39 Ubi Road Factory Sale Sabana Shari’ah Compliant REIT 136,195 506 Chai Chee Lane (Singatronics) Factory Sale Undisclosed 172,137 2 Toh Tuck Link Factory Sale Sabana Shari’ah Compliant REIT 180,735 3A Joo Koon Circle Factory Sale Sabana Shari’ah Compliant REIT 217,580 Nordic European Centre High-Specs Sale Ascendas REIT 305,458 7000 Ang Mo Kio Avenue 5 Factory Sale Undisclosed 1,070,644 P. 18 | COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL
  • 19. ASIA PACIFIC INDUSTRIAL MARKET OVERVIEW | DECEMBER 2011 TA I WA N ECONOMIC INDICATORS FOR TAIWAN ECONOMIC INDICATORS INDICATORS PERIOD DATA Year-on-Year GDP Growth April - September 2011 4.18% Year-on-Year Manufacturing Output Growth Rate April - September 2011 5.61% Total Imports April - September 2011 US$145,563 million Total Exports April - September 2011 US$158,873 million Container Throughput (TEUs) April - September 2011 6.8 million Air Cargo Throughput (Tonnes) April - September 2011 847,973 TAIWAN High-Specs Industrial Building •  Taiwan’s GDP grew at a moderated 4.2% YoY between April and September 2011 — the lowest vacancy level since 4Q 2008. This September 2011 compared with the 9.7% recorded in the previous prompted rents to climb 0.8% from NT$31.32 per sq ft per month corresponding period. Weakening global demand caused capital- in March 2011 to NT$31.57 per sq ft per month in September 2011. intensive industries, such as semiconductors and thin film transistor This was the highest rental growth in the past three years. liquid crystal display (TFT-LCD) manufacturers, to reduce capital •  The current market price for high-specs space remains high and expenditure. This, in turn, led the capital formation growth rate to showed no sign of abating. While low yields kept investors away, drop to a negative 13.5% YoY in 3Q 2011 and manufacturing output owner-occupiers, on the other hand, have displayed a gradual to shrink 5.6% YoY during the review period. acceptance of the current pricing. This was evident from the few •  This dented sentiments in the high-specs industrial market. As a purchases made in 3Q 2011, including Taiwan Fixed Network Co.’s result, net take-up of high-specs space in Neihu Technology Park acquisition of the 284,430-sq ft data centre in Neihu for NT$2.87 fell by a hefty 46.6% from the previous review period to 725,049 sq billion, TCI Co.’s acquisition of the 14,382-sq ft Shin Chi Tsai Hsing ft. This was notwithstanding the continued gravitation of traditional Building for NT$171 million and King Polytechnic Engineering Co.‘s industries and hi-tech enterprises to Neihu Technology Park due to acquisition of the 10,554-sq ft 21 Century Plaza for NT$211 million. its attractiveness as a maturing business district. Developments such Notably, Chong Hong Construction Co. purchased a 32,936-sq ft as A+ Sun Tech City, Fubon Ruei Kwang Building and Metropolitan land parcel at Xihu for development of hi-specs space for NT$2.19 Era Headquarters enjoyed net take-up above 30,000-sq ft each, billion or a record high of NT$66,493 per sq ft. primarily from expansionary moves. Major leasing deals during the •  The economic crisis in the Eurozone and the US is likely to impact review period included Compal Electronics Co., Sumei Chemical Co. Taiwan’s economic growth adversely in the near future. However, and Lite-On Clean Energy Co. taking up 120,687-sq ft in Colorful net take-up is expected to grow given that the high market price is International Building, 19,605-sq ft in Dubai Building and 19,320-sq likely to drive users to lease instead of owner-occupy their premises ft in Solomon Neihu Building, respectively. for cost-savings purposes. The vacancy rate of high-specs space •  The plunge in net take-up in the current review period was, however, in Neihu Technology Park may thus fall below 11.0% by the end of mitigated by a miserly supply of 107,309 sq ft from the completion 2011. As such, rentals are expected to remain flat or show a slight of Chi-Sing Xi Hu Building in 2Q 2011. As a result, the vacancy rate increase in the next 12 months. in Neihu Technology Park dipped 2.2 percentage points to 12.3% in MAJOR TRANSACTIONS IN TAIPEI TRANSACTIONS FLOOR/LAND AREA BUILDING/LAND PLOT PROPERTY TYPE LEASE/SALE TENANT/PURCHASER (SQ FT) Solomon Neihu Building High-Specs Lease Lite-On Clean Energy Co. 19,320 Dubai Building High-Specs Lease Sumei Chemical Co. 19,605 Colorful International Building High-Specs Lease Compal Electronics, Inc. 120,687 The Plot in Xihu Land Sale Chong Hong Construction Co. 32,936 21 Centry Plaza High-Specs Sale King Polytechnic Engineering Co. 10,554 Shin Chi Tsai Hsing Building High-Specs Sale TCI Co. 14,382 The Data Centre in Neihu High-Specs Sale Taiwan Fixed Network Co 284,430 COLLIERS INTERNATIONAL | P. 19