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American Steel
“The King of Antidumping”

     Case Analysis



          Sai Chandan
          IIM Shillong
    dsaichandan@gmail.com
The Players




                                                              Foreign Country
Domestic Country (US)




                        Domestic Company    Foreign Company
SWOT – Foreign Company
                • =>Competitive Pricing => Low priced Raw materials
  Strength      • =>Support from National Governments => Technology


                • => Short term strategy
 Weakness




                • => US Companies dependency on Raw Steel Slabs, Immune
Opportunities     to anti-dumping => Opening up New Market

                • => High antidumping duties (up to 369%) leading to market
   Threat         wipe-out
SWOT – Domestic Company
                • => Cooperative US Trade Laws => Lobbying
  Strength




                • => Poor decisions by managers => Lagging Innovation
 Weakness       • => Uncompetitive High Wages

                • => Win back market share => Foreign companies’ price
Opportunities     sensitivity to Antidumping case suits


                • => Loss of World Market Share => Monopoly
   Threat
SWOT - Countries
                Domestic Country                               Foreign Country
                                                               • Competitive industry
                • Legislation powers                           • WTO directives
  Strength                                       Strength




                • Weak domestic companies                      • Vulnerability to their legislation
 Weakness       • WTO directives                Weakness




                                                               • Can influence decision making by
                • Self reliance                Opportunities     threatening trade strains
Opportunities




                • Monopoly of foreign player                   • Effect of counter dumping
                                                                 measures on domestic business
   Threat       • Retaliation by the country      Threat
Data
                                              Average       GDP
                                 Steel        applied       Growth
       Filed AD                  Exports,     import tariff rate, x
Year Cases         Affirmative '0000 T        rate, x 10    10
  1992          89            38        39.32          69.1       34
  1993          36            11        39.42          67.3       29
  1994          59            29        46.09            70       41
  1995          18             9        31.13          61.4       25
  1996          13             9        50.78          59.3       38
  1997          23            14        42.25          59.5       45
  1998          33            22        90.05            60       44
  1999          50            20        98.58          52.6       49
  2000          35            18        73.75          51.7       42
  2001          92            40        62.17          50.6       11
  2002          35            12        67.72          52.3       18
Correlation
                                                                  Antidumping
120




100                                                                                           98.58
                                                                                                                                            Filed AD Cases
                                                                                                                       92
          89                                                                      90.05


80
                                                                                                                                            Affirmative
                                                                                                          73.75
          69.1                    70
                      67.3                                                                                                          67.72
                                              61.4                                                                     62.17                Steel Exports, '0000 T
60                                59                      59.3        59.5        60

                                                                                              52.6        51.7                      52.3
                                                          50.78                               50                       50.6
                                                                                              49
                                  46.09                               45          44                                                        Average applied
                                  41                                  42.25                               42
40        39.32       39.42                                                                                            40                   import tariff rate, x
          38                                              38                                                                                10
                      36                                                                                  35                        35
          34                                                                      33
                                              31.13
                      29          29                                                                                                        GDP Growth rate x 10
                                              25
                                                                      23          22
20                                                                                            20
                                              18                                                          18                        18
                                                          13          14
                      11                                                                                               11           12
                                              9           9

  0
      1           2           3           4           5           6           7           8           9           10           11
Recommendations
 Domestic Company
 Import activity is on a rise - File as many AD’s as
  possible.
 Attempt to upgrade the competitiveness.

 Foreign Company
 Adjust price in domestic market
 Show restraint - long term strategy – Cartels
 Make JVs, Alliances with domestic competitors.
 Exploit Raw Steel Slabs dependency- bundling products
Recommendations
 Domestic Government
 Choose between domestic (read self sufficiency) and
  foreign (read competitiveness), favoring domestic.
 Don’t deter foreign companies.
 Utilization of duty funds in same industry.

 Foreign Country
 Constantly put the domestic country under pressure by
  retaliation tactics
 Use WTO regulations as deterrents
Learning



       Genuine
     Antidumping
        Cases
References
• http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD.
  ZG?page=3
• Exploring the patterns and determinants of U.S.
  antidumping actions against Latin American
  imports, 1980-2004, Robert M. Feinberg
• http://www.nationsencyclopedia.com/WorldStats/UNC
  TAD-import-rates-other-goods.html
• Bea.gov
• The Rise of U.S. Antidumping Activity in Historical
  Perspective - Douglas A. Irwin
• And of course “Google” and “Wikipedia”

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Anti Dumping Case

  • 1. American Steel “The King of Antidumping” Case Analysis Sai Chandan IIM Shillong dsaichandan@gmail.com
  • 2. The Players Foreign Country Domestic Country (US) Domestic Company Foreign Company
  • 3. SWOT – Foreign Company • =>Competitive Pricing => Low priced Raw materials Strength • =>Support from National Governments => Technology • => Short term strategy Weakness • => US Companies dependency on Raw Steel Slabs, Immune Opportunities to anti-dumping => Opening up New Market • => High antidumping duties (up to 369%) leading to market Threat wipe-out
  • 4. SWOT – Domestic Company • => Cooperative US Trade Laws => Lobbying Strength • => Poor decisions by managers => Lagging Innovation Weakness • => Uncompetitive High Wages • => Win back market share => Foreign companies’ price Opportunities sensitivity to Antidumping case suits • => Loss of World Market Share => Monopoly Threat
  • 5. SWOT - Countries Domestic Country Foreign Country • Competitive industry • Legislation powers • WTO directives Strength Strength • Weak domestic companies • Vulnerability to their legislation Weakness • WTO directives Weakness • Can influence decision making by • Self reliance Opportunities threatening trade strains Opportunities • Monopoly of foreign player • Effect of counter dumping measures on domestic business Threat • Retaliation by the country Threat
  • 6. Data Average GDP Steel applied Growth Filed AD Exports, import tariff rate, x Year Cases Affirmative '0000 T rate, x 10 10 1992 89 38 39.32 69.1 34 1993 36 11 39.42 67.3 29 1994 59 29 46.09 70 41 1995 18 9 31.13 61.4 25 1996 13 9 50.78 59.3 38 1997 23 14 42.25 59.5 45 1998 33 22 90.05 60 44 1999 50 20 98.58 52.6 49 2000 35 18 73.75 51.7 42 2001 92 40 62.17 50.6 11 2002 35 12 67.72 52.3 18
  • 7. Correlation Antidumping 120 100 98.58 Filed AD Cases 92 89 90.05 80 Affirmative 73.75 69.1 70 67.3 67.72 61.4 62.17 Steel Exports, '0000 T 60 59 59.3 59.5 60 52.6 51.7 52.3 50.78 50 50.6 49 46.09 45 44 Average applied 41 42.25 42 40 39.32 39.42 40 import tariff rate, x 38 38 10 36 35 35 34 33 31.13 29 29 GDP Growth rate x 10 25 23 22 20 20 18 18 18 13 14 11 11 12 9 9 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11
  • 8. Recommendations  Domestic Company  Import activity is on a rise - File as many AD’s as possible.  Attempt to upgrade the competitiveness.  Foreign Company  Adjust price in domestic market  Show restraint - long term strategy – Cartels  Make JVs, Alliances with domestic competitors.  Exploit Raw Steel Slabs dependency- bundling products
  • 9. Recommendations  Domestic Government  Choose between domestic (read self sufficiency) and foreign (read competitiveness), favoring domestic.  Don’t deter foreign companies.  Utilization of duty funds in same industry.  Foreign Country  Constantly put the domestic country under pressure by retaliation tactics  Use WTO regulations as deterrents
  • 10. Learning Genuine Antidumping Cases
  • 11. References • http://data.worldbank.org/indicator/NY.GDP.MKTP.KD. ZG?page=3 • Exploring the patterns and determinants of U.S. antidumping actions against Latin American imports, 1980-2004, Robert M. Feinberg • http://www.nationsencyclopedia.com/WorldStats/UNC TAD-import-rates-other-goods.html • Bea.gov • The Rise of U.S. Antidumping Activity in Historical Perspective - Douglas A. Irwin • And of course “Google” and “Wikipedia”

Editor's Notes

  1. Domestic CompanyFile as many Anti-Dumping suits as possible when the import activity is on a rise.Simultaneously, make attempts to upgrade the competitiveness by analyzing the competitor strengthsForeign CompanyAdjust price in domestic marketShould show restraint to control quantity supplied and thereby profit opportunities in view of long term strategy as the current activities can trigger anti-dumping protestsMake joint ventures, alliances with local competitors.Exploit the dependency on Raw Steel Slabs by bundling products
  2. Domestic GovernmentSince Govt. need to choose between domestic (read self sufficiency) and foreign (read competitiveness), a balance need to be achieved carefully. (Assumption: Country has enough resources to possess comparative advantage of production.)Their action should marginally favor domestic industries while satisfying WTO regulations. Anti-dumping measures significantly strains trade ties between the countries.When an import duty is being levied, direct the earned money to uplift, upgrade the technology of that industry and increase its competitiveness.Import duty should not be in a way that it deters the company on a whole. It should be beneficial for both countries. To achieve this supply demand analysis of its home country + export costs need to be studied.Foreign CountryConstantly put the domestic country under pressure by retaliation tacticsUse WTO regulations ass deterrents