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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



                                         CHAPTER-1

                                     INTRODUCTION

What is Investment?

Investment is referred to as the concept of deferred consumption, which might comprise of
purchasing an asset, rendering a loan, keeping the saved funds in a bank account such that it
might generate lucrative returns in the future. The options of investments are huge; all of them
having different risk-reward trade off. This concludes that the investment industry is really
broad and that is why understanding the core concepts of investments and accordingly
analyzing them is essential. After thorough understanding of the investment industry, can an
investor create and manage his own investment portfolio such that the returns are maximized
with the least risk exposure


Types of Investments in the investment industry

As stated earlier, the investment industry is huge; therefore the types of investments are also
varied. Different types of investments are: Cash investments: Cash investments comprise of
savings bank accounts, certificates of deposit (CDs) and treasury bills (TBs). All these types
of investments render a low interest rate and prove to be quite risky during times of inflation.

Debt securities: This type of investment gives returns in the form of fixed periodic payments
and the fixed capital appreciate at maturity. This is safe bait for the investors in the investment
industry and has always proved to be the risk free investment tool. Though, it is generally low
in risks, the returns are also lower than the other peer securities.

Stocks: Investors can also buy stocks (equities) from the secondary markets and be a part of
any business corporates that are listed in the bourses. By this way, one can become the part of
the profits that the company generates. But one should remember that stocks are generally
more volatile and carries more risk than bonds.

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Mutual funds: They are usually a collection of stocks and bonds that a fund manager selects
for an investor such that the returns are maximum. The investor does not have to track the
investment, be it a bond, stock- or index-based mutual funds.

Derivatives: Derivatives are financial contracts, whose value is derived from the value of the
underlying assets like equities, commodities and bonds. They can take the form of futures,
options and swaps. Investors choose derivatives as they are used to minimize the risk of loss
that result from variations in the underlying asset values.

Commodities: The items that are traded on the commodities market are agricultural and
industrial commodities and they need to be standardized. Commodities trading have always
been giving high returns and thus they are the riskiest of all investment options. One, who
trades in commodities, requires specialized knowledge and analytical capabilities.

Real estate: Investing in real estate has to be a long term affair. Funds get hooked into the
real estate sector for a considerable time period.

Tools of Fundamental Analysis
          Fundamental analysis is the process of looking at a business at the basic or
fundamental financial level. This type of analysis examines key ratios of a business to
determine its financial health and gives you an idea of the value its stock.


Many investors use fundamental analysis alone or in combination with other tools to evaluate
stocks for investment purposes. The goal is to determine the current worth and, more
importantly, how the market values the stock




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1. Earning Per Share: EPS = Net Earnings / Outstanding Shares


2. Price to Earnings Ratio:             The P/E looks at the relationship between the stock price
and the company’s earnings. The P/E is the most popular metric of stock analysis
P/E = Stock Price / EPS


3. Projected earning growth: The P/E is the most popular way to compare the relative
value of stocks based on earnings because you calculate it by taking the current price of the
stock and divide it by the Earnings Per Share (EPS). This tells you whether a stock’s price is
high or low relative to its earnings.


       PEG = P/E / (projected growth in earnings)


4. Price to Sales: P/S = Market Cap / Revenues or

P/S = Stock Price / Sales Price Per Share


5. Price to Book

       P/B = Share Price / Book Value Per Share


6. Dividend Payout Ratio

       The DPR (it usually doesn’t even warrant a capitalized abbreviation) measures what a
company’s pays out to investors in the form of dividends.


       DPR = Dividends Per Share / EPS


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7. Dividend yield

This measurement tells you what percentage return a company pays out to shareholders in the
form of dividends. Older, well-established companies tend to payout a higher percentage then
do younger companies and their dividend history can be more consistent


       Dividend Yield = annual dividend per share / stock's price per share


8. Book Value

       Book Value = Assets – Liabilities


9. Return on Equity

Return on Equity (ROE) is one measure of how efficiently a company uses its assets to
produce earnings. You calculate ROE by dividing Net Income by Book Value. A healthy
company may produce an ROE in the 13% to 15% range. Like all metrics, compare
companies in the same industry to get a better picture




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Investment Scenario

Investment is the employment of fund on assets with an aim of earning income on capital
appreciation. Investment means the present consumption is sacrificed to get return in future.
Investment is the good only for the purpose to get return from the selected or choosing
securities so; investors have to see the fundamental analysis. In fundamental analysis, we can
broadly classify into three types. One is Economic Analysis; Industry analysis and company
analysis. These three are very important base of the securities or stock of market. We have to
study about this fundamental analysis.


An Indian stock market has been no different. Memories of its crash of December 1990
and financial crisis in January 2008 are still there in the minds of many. After record rise
in proceeding few years the index fell precipitously and investor loss heavily. This
phenomenon repeated every now and then. Though the equity cult is fast spreading
among the investor the hard fact is majority of stocks continue to remain volatile to
date. All these are pointers to the fact that the investor market is no longer holding an
olive branch to investor in equity. Much of the danger associated with it can be avoided and it
need not be such nerve raking experience, provided one approaches it as a rational
decision making process. In short Security analysis and portfolio management are hard
work, requiring discipline and patience, and the work is not always rewarded with
exceptional returns.




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REVIEW OF LITERATURE

William O’Neil, Street analyst and publisher “How to Make Money in Stocks”, People who
are new to securities will find it an excellent article one that relies on time-honored indicators
such as quarterly earnings, market capitalization, and daily indexes. O'Neil's study of winning
stocks stretches back to the 1960s, and he shares his insights here, describing what
characterizes a growth stock, when to cut your losses and how to spot a market top.


Ken Little, Fundamental Analyst written an article “Tools of Fundamental Analysis” Many
investors use fundamental analysis alone or in combination with other tools to evaluate stocks
for investment purposes. The goal is to determine the current worth and, more importantly,
how the market values the stock.


Petri Kyrolainen and Jukka Perttunen “Investors Activity and Trading Behavior” in stock
market active investors create price pressures or are intraday momentum traders on the other
hand passive investors accepting price pressures.


Carl Hayes, written “Trade like warren buffet and Use Fundamental analysis” Most
traders are very well aware that market movements can be unpredictable and difficult to
interpret, and this conviction is confirmed by a number of studies published by academics
with the conclusion that there’s a significant degree of randomness to the price action. But
although this is true in the short term, even a cursory examination of the EURUSD chart over
a multi-month period would suffice to show that there are forces which drive price trends with
a lot more clarity than what is evident in a day’s price action


Reports that industrial production, productivity, money supply and unemployment rates are
consistently influencing the share returns, Chen et. al., (1996) proposes that the unexpected



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Inflation, industrial production, changes in risk premiums, etc., are crucial in Asset pricing.
In a recent study Chen and Jorden (2002) finds inflation, interest rates on government
bonds, industrial production, oil prices, etc., are germanein asset prices.


In Indian environment, the study conducted by Rajan Mookerjee 1998) observes weak
linkages between changes in GDP and stock prices, Malathy Prabhakaran, (1999), Rao and
Bhole (2001), Choudhari (1998) and others studied the impact of agriculture on stock
prices and report conflicting results. A comprehensive study on these Economic variables is
awaited in Indian contex




OVERVIEW OF THE ECONOMY
A top down analysis of the firm’s prospects must start with a global economy. The
international economy might affect a firm’s export prospects, the price competition it
faces from competitors, or profit it makes from abroad. Certainly, despite the fact that
the economies of most countries are linked with global economy, there is considerable
variation in the economic performance across countries at any time.


Given the degree of openness to trade and investment, it is a well-accepted fact that
the national markets are inter-related and increasingly global. When making decisions,
traders incorporate information pertaining to price movements and volatility in the asset
they are trading including information about related assets. The movement of markets in
rhythm and chorus could nullify much of the gain out of diversification across borders,
besides being vulnerable to the caprices of global capital.




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Companies are part of the industrial and business sector, which in turn is a part of the overall
economy. Thus, the performance of the company depends of the performance of the
economy in the first place. If the economy is in recession or stagnation, centeris paribus,
the performance of the company will be bad in general or vise versa.


Since India started deregulating its financial markets in the post-liberalization phase, her
integration with the international financial markets has been proceeding rapidly. Based
on the observations it has been concluded that in the post-liberalization era, international
financial market integration has accelerated, though not yet complete.


Indian stock markets have come of age where they have seamlessly joined themselves
with other international stock markets and no longer are the stock prices in India governed
only by the events of the local importance. As per research studies so far, nearly 50% of
the stock prices changes can be attributed to market influences, which are general and
caused by the economic, and industry factors. It is therefore important that any stock
market investment is preceded by economic analysis and industry analysis.


Economic conditions are non-diversifiable risk. It applies to all the industries, but some
industries are expanding while others are stagnant and some contracting depending on
the demand and market conditions. The investor has to choose growth industry from
industries, and then choose the scrip under valued and judged by study and analysis.




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INTRODUCTION TO THE CONCEPT OF SECURITY ANALYSIS
An investment is a commitment of funds made in expectation of some positive rate of return
in future. An investor makes some sacrifice in the present in the hope of desiring benefits in
future. The motive behind investment varies from person to person. Some people invest in
order to gain a sense of power or prestige. Often the control of corporate enterprises is a
driving motive. For most investor however their interest in investment is largely pecuniary
to earn a return on their money. But his return on stock market security is subject to risk.
Risk incase refers to the uncertainty surrounding actual realization of the rate of return offered
by an investment. The time element refers to period of waiting required to reap the
return. Accordingly early investment decision has three key aspects. They are,
    Return
    Risk
    Time
There fore, investment process must be considered in terms of above aspects.


One should approach any scheme of investment as a rational decision making process, in
which he should attempt to select a package of portfolio securities that meets
predetermined set of goals. These investors goal are usually expressed in terms of return.
Almost all the cases, the hard fact are that return and risk are inseparable.


Therefore the ultimate decisions to be made in the investment are two.
What securities to be held?
How many rupees should be allocated to each?


These decisions are made in three steps.
   1. Security analysis
   2. Security evaluation
   3. Portfolio analysis, selections and management.


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Securities are marketable financial instruments that bestow on their owners the right to make
specific claims on particular assets. An individual security provides evidence of their creditor
ship or ownership depending on whether it is bond or tock, respectively. A bond is loan that is
paid off with interest; the investor lends money to the borrowing company that issued bond.
In contrast, stock ownership represents a cash investment a future of a corporation; the
investor owns a part of a corporation and share in its profits.




SECURITY ANALYSIS
(a) Traditional investment analysis, when applied to securities, emphasizes projection of
prices and dividends. That is, the potential prices of a firm’s common stock and future
dividend stream are forecast, and then discounted back to the present.


(b) Basically modern security analysis deeply rooted in the fundamental concept. But
the more modern approach to common stock analysis emphasizes risks and return
estimate rather than mere price and dividend estimates, of course dependent on share
price and accompanying the dividend stream.


SECURITY VALUATION
It refers to the act of assessing the true worth of security. Before committing the fund on stock
exchange securities, the investor should make thorough comparison of the prices of the
security with its true value. The price refers to the price quoted for the security at the stock
exchange at a given movement of time. Value refers to the intrinsic worth. Only with
the help of such evaluation the investor can decide as to buy hold or sell.




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DIFFERENT APPROACHES TO VALUATION
There are essentially three approaches or school of thoughts on the matter of security
price evaluation, classified as


(a) Fundamental Approach
The concept of time value of money is the business of this approach. Money has a
time value. A rupee now is worth more than rupee a year from now. For different
securities, future benefits may me received at different times. Even when the amount of
future payment is the same, differences in the speed of their receipt may create
differences in value. Time value of money suggests that earlier receipt is more desirable
than later receipt, even when the both are equal in the amount of certainty. Because,
earlier receipt can be re invested to generate additional returns before later receipt
come in. The force operating is the principle of compound interest.


Framework: The proper order in which to proceed in Fundamental analysis is, first to
analyze the overall economy and securities markets. Second, analyze the industry with in
which a particular company operates. Finally, analysis of the company should be considered.
The above analysis involves making a careful estimate of expected stream of benefits
and required return of common stock. The intrinsic value then can be obtained through
the present value analysis        that is, the dividend discounts model. An alternative method
of valuation is the P/E ratio or earning multiplier approach.


Economic Analysis
Industry Analysis
Company Analysis




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Strategic considerations of economic, industry and company analyses are as follows
(1) Economic Analysis


1. A study of economic trends as indicated by rate of growth in gross national
product, employment, aggregate corporate profits, interest rate, exchange rates, savings
and investments, monsoon positions.
2. An analysis of the relationship between economic trends and economic policies and the
stability of such relationships.
3. A study of world economic trends and their impact on Indian economy.


(2) Industry Analysis


1. Implications of projected growth in gross national product for various industries.
2. Implications of plan priorities and plan expenditure for various industries.
3. Vulnerability of an industry for government regulations, and control of prices and
production.
4. Implications of industrial and fiscal policies of government for an industry.
5. Analysis of competitive conditions as reflected in any barriers to entry.


(3) Company Analysis
1. Trend analyses of company’s market share.
2. An analysis of turn over of assets, operating and production efficiencies through ratio
analysis.
3. Leverage and coverage ratio analysis.
4. An analysis of book value per share.
5. An assessment of quality of management
6. An analysis of price to earning multiples.
7. An analysis of growth in sales and dividends.


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The basis tenets of this approach are as follows
       Each share has an intrinsic value. It can be determined by discounting the future
stream of benefits that does accrue to the holder of the security. For instance if rupees 100
now is = rupees 100 + R after one year. Where R is the rate of return then the next question is
if we get rupees hundred after one year how much is it worth now.
Rupees 100 + R after one year = 100 now. Therefore rupees 100 after one year =
100/100 + R and if R = 12 % then 100/112 = .0893.




(b) Technical Approach
Technical analysis is an alternative approach to predicting the stocks price behavior.
Technical analysis is frequently used as a supplement to fundamental analysis rather than as a
substitute for it. Thus technical analysis can frequently does, confirm findings based on
fundamental analysis.




Technical analysis is viewed mainly through price and volume statistics. It helps in
measuring price    volume, supply     demand relationship for overall market as well as for
individual stocks. Technicians seldom rely upon a single indicator, as no one indicator is
infallible; they place reliance upon reinforcement provided by groups of indicators.




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(c) Modern Approach
        Markovitize laid down the foundation for this approach in 1951. He studied
capital market with the help of fairly sophisticated method of investigation and in
general arrived at the following conclusions.


    Stock markets are reasonably efficient in reacting quickly and rationally to the
       flow of information.
    Successive price changes are independent. As a result past price behavior cannot be
       used to predict future price behavior.
    In the capital market, there is a positive relation ship between the risk and return. This
       indicates, in general, investment in several securities would reduce the variability of
       return and hence the risk ness of a portfolio




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                                 . INDUSTRY PROFILE


SECTOR PEROFORMANCE:

    Many valuable lessons can be learned from history, but extrapolating historical returns
into the future is difficult and complicated. For instance, few investors in 1900 could have
predicted the monumental changes that would take place in the world after 1913. The two
world wars, socialist revolutions, the Great Depression and the Bretton Woods Agreement all
had a profound impact on the global economy and stock markets until the 1970s. The impact
of these events suggests that although we can study the past, the social and economic events
that might affect the markets in the future are often unpredictable.




    The graphs below show a breakdown of the world markets in both 1900 and 2000 and the
anomalous growth of the U.S. market during this time.




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                                       CHAPTER-2

                                   RESEARCH DESIGN



BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY


Value investing means finding the intrinsic value of the stock. It means present value of
the future cash inflows. I take into consideration of economic, industry and company
analysis.


In Economic factors, we consider macro economic factors because it reflects the
prosperous out look for sales and profit of the firm or company. This economy reflects
behavior of the stock prices.




While macro economic theory has helped to develop risk factors like interest rate risk,
purchasing power risk, market risk and such alike; the theory of the firm helped in
delineating factors like firm’s cash dividend yield, beta coefficient as a numeric surrogates
for security’s quality rating work focuses on. The security investment involves several type
of risk diversifiable as well as non-diversifiable. While the risk of a security is nothing but
the likelihood of the return turning out to be more or less than the expected, the total
risk of an asset may be perceived as being the sum of several different contributing
risk factors like interest rate fluctuations, market cyclical, purchasing power instability
and so on. as mentioned Donald E. Fisher and Ronald J. Joeden.



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STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM


“To examine the fundamental factors which influences the valuation of securities”


Investors have a lot of investment opportunities. The investor has to find good among the
alternatives. It is very difficult to find the good opportunity so this analysis helps the investors
to find good one among the alternatives. Many investors invest in securities without analyzing
the economic condition, budget decision, industry growth rates and company factors. Then the
investor end up with the losses.


Many invest insecurities by their emotional forces and many invest with out analyzing
economic conditions, budget decisions, industry growth rates and company factors. Finally,
they end up with losses. Of course, no one can predict the uncertainty factors like September
11 attack in 2001. Despite these factors investors could reduce the risk associated with
securities through analyzing the security properly.


How much the economic factors could influence the stock market? Whether positively or
negatively have the relationship with the stock market movements. Answering these
questions enables the investors to have the perspective about the overall economy and
stock markets.


If the economy prosperous, the industries with in the economy also may also be prosperous
although few may be in the bad shape. Which industry is really having the potentiality for
growth? Knowing these factors through comparing performances between the industries
enables the investors to compare the industries and finally can select the company which is
having the opportunity for growth.




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OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY


The study was conducted with a view to,


a) The main purpose of this study is to comparatively analyze the deferent industry
performance and selecting the appropriate security by considering potentiality of the
industry.


b) Identify the returns of the securities in considering the risk, growth, and other
related variables and Understand the factor influencing the security prices in different
industries.


c) Analyzing the environmental factors affect the security prices and assess the future
potential of the companies in the industry and aid to investor in assessing the worth of the
securities


SCOPE OF THE STUDY


a)The security analysis starts from broad environmental factors to the industry,
which influences the share price and finally analyzing the company’s potentiality by
considering possible risks associated with securities.


b) Since share price of the company is empirically found to depend up to 50% on the
performance of the industry and the economy, studying those related field provide
insights for selecting the securities.




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c) Budget plays a significant role while selecting the industry, as it may create a
opportunity for one industry and may not for other, the analyzing impact of budget
plan and its polices is important.


d) As research studies shows more than 35% of the share price movements depend on the
company’s performance. So analyzing the company’s potential growth through ratio analysis
provides the valuable insights. Comparability between the companies enables the investors
selecting particular securities


REASEARCH METHODOLOGY


a) Since the study is principally intended to examine the potential growth of securities,
which might be affected of different risk variables on security returns, a sample of 4
industries, and selecting the profitable scrip through selecting potential growth
industries, whose scrips are actively traded during the period 2005 to 2010 has been
considered. In order to identifying the influence of exogenous variables of economy and
market in security prices information on different indicators like Gross domestic product,
Monsoon, Money supplies, Fiscal deficit etc. and for the market observation Sensex has
been used.


b) For analyzing the relationship between economic indicators and stock market
movement, the correlation tools has been used, and selecting the industry by comparing
their sales growth, dividend and its ratios has been comparatively analyzed. On the
other hand, groups of 18 financial ratios capturing the Size, Dividend Policy, Leverage,
Productivity, Liquidity, Profitability, Earnings Variability, P/E ratios and Certain Growth
Variables constituted the company specific fundamentals of financial risk variables. The
estimation of ‘Accounting Beta ‘(the ration of EPS of a firm in relation to the average EPS of




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all firms), Sales, and Earnings have been measured as linear growth rates the testing period
of most recent five-year period.




SAMPLE DESIGN


Definitions of the Population
Since the study is mainly related to selecting the appropriate security, analyzing
industries and comparison between those is necessary. Their potentiality for growth also to
be consider for selecting particular industry, where the companies in that industry has
to be analyzed through comparing between the companies considering their relative
advantages over the others.


Sample Size
All the four industries under the study are randomly selected reconsidering
differentialities in the way they do business and the product they produced has been
considered as sample and the four companies in that particular industry has been
considered as representative sample.


Sample Technique Adopted
Techniques for selecting industries is nothing but the way they doing business since the
product they produce also different. However, for the companies, the out performing
industry over the other out of the sample has been selected and the highest sales in the latest
period in the Computer and Software industry has been selected for studying their
performance.




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SOURCES OF THE DATA


Primary data: The fundamental and technical analysts are consulted and opinions of them
about various parameters of the fundamental factors which influences the stock valuation are
collected


Secondary data
   Major part of the data has been collected through secondary sources. These data are
a) Finance Ministry
b) Various magazines books and journals and papers
c) Web sites of the companies and indices has been collected from Bombay stock
exchange


OPERATIONAL DEFINITIONS


Economic Analysis
Economic analysis refers to analyze the factors or indicators of the economy that affects
the stock market. This is also called non-diversifiable risk analysis where the risk associated
with the securities can not be diversified.


Industry analysis
Industry analysis refers to analyze the plan, priorities and vulnerability of an industry
for government regulations. The competitive conditions as reflected in any barriers to
industry also taken in to consideration.

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Company Analysis
Company analysis includes analyze the company as potentiality for growth, present
performance, risk associated with securities are considered as important.


Correlation
Correlation is a statistical measure of the degree to which the security returns move together.
The positive correlation means the variables move together. The negative correlation
suggests that move in opposite direction and zero correlation shows that no tendency to
very either positive or negative direction.


Beta
It measures the sensitivity of the return of a security to changes in returns to the
market portfolio. It may be positive or negative. The positive beta measures that if1% changes
market index, more than 1% in individual security and vice versa.


PERIOD OF STUDY

    The period of study is undertaken for duration five years

    The data related to the economy are gathered from the financial year 2005 to 3rd
     financial quarter ending 2009.


LIMITATION OF THE STUDY

a) The economy and industry are so wide and comprehensive that is difficult to
encompass all the likely factors influencing to be captured in any set of possible
indicators.

b) Besides, the study has the limitation of the time and resources.




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c) Again the study has limited to four big industries and many other sub industries
within the industries and small units have been left out. Hence, the applicability of the study is
limited to that extent.




Chapter Scheme


Chapter one started with the introduction of the concept of security analysis, where the
investment scenario in the security takes place. The introduction part explains about different
approaches to the security that is the fundamental approach, modern approach and technical
approach. And investor’s perception about the characteristics of growth and the value
associated with securities.


Then the second part explains the background of the study, where the different theories and
tools like leverages and betas are supported for studying securities.


The second chapter starts with the statement of the problem for studying security and
explains the areas of the analysis. And it covers source of the data literature review and
operation definition of the study.


The third chapter deals with the profile of the respondents. It highlights the economy of
India, industries and the companies. In industries, it deals with growth rate of sales and
dividend of four industries namely, Computer and Software, Pharmaceutical, Cement, and
Automobile industries and also analysis of government policies that affects performances.
The export performance and competitive positions of said industries provides the guidelines
about the future of industries. And come to the companies, it provides overview of three
companies in computer and software industry, namely Infosys, Wipro and HCL.

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Then in analysis part it deals with primarily the global economy, where the Indian stock
market no longer is limited to the Indian situation.


It also deals with the analysis of the economic factor affect to the stock market. In the second
part of analyzing, analyzing industries through comparison of different ratios, sales and
dividend growth that helps to select the appropriate industry which out perform other
industries.


The third part emphasizes on the companies within the Computer and Software industry,
where comparison between Infosys, Wipro, and HCL which are all highly traded in that
related industry in the stock market, guides the investor for selecting appropriate security
which is really doing well than other selected companies.


Finally, the conclusions and suggestions at the end provides the proper guidelines which is
drawn after analyzing the economy, industries and company enables the investors getting
perspective above overall better performance industry and company.




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                                        CHAPTER-3

                                  COMPANY PROFILE


Angel Broking's tryst with excellence in customer relations began in 1987. Today, Angel has
emerged as one of the most respected Stock-Broking and Wealth Management Companies in
India. With its unique retail-focused stock trading business model, Angel is committed to
providing ‘Real Value for Money’ to all its clients.


The Angel Group is a member of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), National Stock
Exchange (NSE) and the two leading Commodity Exchanges in the country: NCDEX &
MCX. Angel is also registered as a Depository Participant with CDSL. It is the only 100%
retail stock broking house offering a gamut of retail centric services like:
       ► E-broking,
       ► Investment Advisory,
       ► Wealth Management Services,
       ► Portfolio Management Services &
       ► Commodities


The Angel Group of Companies was brought to life by Mr. Dinesh Thakkar. He ventured into
stock trading with an intention to raise capital for his own independent enterprise. However,
he recognized the opportunity offered by the stock market to serve individual investors. Thus


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India’s first retail-focused stock-broking house was established in 1987. Under his leadership,
Angel became the first broking house to embrace new technology for faster, more effective
and affordable services to retail investors.




The Angel group is managed by a team of 5100+ direct employees. It has a nationwide
network comprising 21 Regional centers, 175 branches, 3 PCG (Private Client Group), 6810+
registered sub brokers and business associates and 12720+ active trading terminals which
cater to the requirements of 589700+ retail clients.


Angel Broking has been awarded the prestigious ‘Major Volume Driver’ award consecutively
for 5 years, from 2005 to 2009 from Bombay stock exchange of India.


Vision of the Company
To provide best value for money to investors through innovative products, trading /
investment strategies, state-of-the-art technology and personalized service.


Philosophy of the Company
Ethical practices & transparency in our entire dealings customer interest above our own
always deliver what we promise effective cost management.


Quality Assurance Policy
We are committed to being the leader in providing World Class Product & Services which
exceed the expectations of our customers Achieved by teamwork and a process of continuous
improvement.


CRM Policy


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A Customer is the most important visitor on our premises. He is not dependent on us but we
are dependent on him. He is not interruption in our work, but is the Purpose of it. We are not
doing him a favour by serving. He is doing us a favour by giving us an opportunity to do so.




Products of Angel Broking
● Online Trading                                  ● Mutual Fund
● Personal loans                                  ● IPO Advisory
● Commodities                                     ● Insurance
● DP Services




Angel Group Companies


Angel Broking Ltd.: Member on the BSE and Depository Participant with CDSL
Angel Capital & Debt Market Ltd.: Membership on the NSE Cash and Futures &
Options Segment
Angel Commodities Broking Ltd.: Member on the NCDEX & MCX
Angel Securities Ltd: Member on the BSE


   •   · Incorporated :1987
   •   · BSE Membership :1997
   •   · NSE membership :1998
   •   · Member of NCDEX and MCX
   •   · Depository Participants with CDSL
Angel’s presence-



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· Nation- wide network of 21 regional hubs
· Presence 124 cities
· 6800 + sub brokers & business associates
· 5.9 lakh +clients

Management
1.   Mr. Dinesh Thakkar, Founder Chairman & Managing Director
2.   Mr. Lalit Thakkar Director – Research
3.   Mr. Amit Majumdar Executive Director – Strategy and Finance
4.   Mr. Rajiv Phadke Executive Director – HR & Corp
5.   Mr. Vinay Agrawal Executive Director – Equity Broking
6.   Mr. Nikhil Daxini Executive Director - Sales and Marketing
7    Mr. Hitungshu Debnath Executive Director - Distribution & Wealth Management
8.   Mr. Mudit Kulshreshtha Executive Director – Operations

Competitor’s information
      Motilal Oswal
      ICICI Direct
      Indiabulls
      Sharekhan
      HDFC Securities

Milestones

      Awarded with 'Broking House with Largest Distribution Network' and 'Best
        Retail Broking House' at Dun & Bred street Equity Broking Awards 2009
      August, 2008 Crossed 500000 trading accounts
      November, 2007 ‘Major Volume Driver’ for 2007
      December, 2006 Created 2500 business associates
      October, 2006 ‘Major Volume Driver’ award for 2006
      September, 2006 Launched Mutual Fund and IPO business
      July, 2006 Launched the PMS function
      October, 2005 ‘Major Volume Driver’ award for 2005

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   September, 2004 Launched Online Trading Platform
   April, 2004 Initiated Commodities Broking division
   April, 2003 First published research report
   November, 2002 Angel’s first investor seminar
   March, 2002 Developed web-enabled back office software




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Depositary Participant Services
Angel Broking Ltd. is a DP services provider though CDSL. We offer depository services to
create a seamless transaction platform to execute trades through Angel group of companies
and settle these transactions through Angel Depository services.
● Wide branch coverage
● Personalized/attentive services of trained a dedicated staff
● Centralized billing & accounting
● Acceptance & execution of instruction on fax
● Daily statement of transaction & holdings statement on e-mail
● No charges for extra transaction statement & holdings statement


Portfolio Management Services
Successful investing in Capital Markets demands ever more time and expertise. Investment
Management is an art and a science in itself. Portfolio Management Services (PMS) is one
such service that is fast gaining eminence as an investment avenue of choice for High Net
worth Investors (HNI). PMS is a sophisticated investment vehicle that offers a range of
specialized investment strategies to capitalize on opportunities in the market. The Portfolio
Management Service combined with competent fund management, dedicated research and
technology, ensures a rewarding experience for its clients.
Angel PMS brings with it years of experience, expertise, research and the backing of
India's leading stock broking house. At Angel, experienced portfolio management is the
difference. It will advise you on a suitable product based on factors such as your investment
horizon, return expectations and risk tolerance.




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3. Mckensy’s7s frame work with special reference to organization under study




The organization is not just the structure; rather it is made up of seven elements, shown
above. These are divided into two types: Hard and Soft. Elements in green are hard; they are
easy to identify and feasible. They can be found in strategy elements, corporate plans,
organizational structures and other documentations. The soft elements are hard to describe.
They are sort of intangible. Hence it is more difficult to plan or influence these elements


Effective organizations achieve a fit between all these seven elements. If one element
changes then this will affect all the others. For example, a change in HR-systems like internal
career plans and management training will have an impact on organizational culture
(management style) and thus will affect structures, processes, and finally characteristic
competences of the organization. Hence 7S model is an effective tool in initiating change
process in the organization.




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   The elements of 7s model are:


   Strategy: Action plan of a company in response to changes in the external environment.


   Structure: Roles and responsibilities and basis for speculation.


   System: Formal and informal procedures that support strategy and structure.


   Style Culture: Management style and organizational culture.


   Staff: Human: resource management processes- training and development process,
   socialization process, how new managers are introduced to the organization.


   Skill: competencies prevailing in the organization and how these are being developed and
   expanded by the organization.


   Shared values: Guiding concepts among the employees must be simple and at an abstract
   level, must not be easily understood by the people from outside.


       The model is based on the theory that, for an organization to perform well, these seven
   elements need to be aligned and mutually reinforcing. So, the model can be used to help
   identify what needs to be realigned to improve performance, or to maintain alignment
   (and performance) during other types of change.


Whatever the type of change - restructuring, new processes, organizational merger, new
systems, change of leadership, and so on - the model can be used to understand how the
organizational elements are interrelated, and so ensure that the wider impact of changes made
in one area is taken into consideration.


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STRATEGIES



Angel Diet and Angel Trade is focused on capturing the significant growth opportunities in
the financial services market and its strategy is driven by the following key principles



Client Referral Programs: Client referrals are the most reliable and most cost-effective
source of new clients. We help firms maximize their success by creating process and tools
that make generating client a referrals a natural and systematic part of the practice.



Client Retention Programs: Maintaining and leveraging existing client relationships is far
less expensive and more productive than trying to acquire new clients. We help organizations
develop effective client communication programs that build stronger client relationships,
encourage referrals, and produce incremental business.



New Client Acquisition Programs: A diverse mix of campaigns including events, public
relations, advertising and direct marketing can be an effective means of acquiring new clients.
We help firms create and implement integrated marketing strategies to reach their goals.



PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY

    Focused Approach to

    Volumes – By means of

    Deferred Partners

    Referral Partners

   Associate Referral Partners




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STRUCTURE:


                         CSO (Central
                          Statistical
                         Organization)



                                           Branches and
  Branches and       Branches and
                                           Franchise
  Franchise          Franchise branches
                                           branches
  branches
 Regional Office        Regional Office         Regional Office




   Angel Clients                            Business Associates




System
System consists of all formal and informal procedures that allow the organization to function
including

Risk Management System Risk management logic built into Portfolio Management and
Internet Trading Application.



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Back office support for centralized control and risk management for non-internet transactions.



Order Execution System The telecaller is provided with database and is required to make
call to numbers provided by relationship manager and fix an appointment with them.

The relationship manager then goes and meets the client at the fixed location and time and
tries to convince the client to buy his product and close the deal.

If the deal is successful, the relationship manger gets the required documents from the client
and had over them to the backend operations people.



Management information system.

A management information system (MIS) is a subset of the overall internal controls of a
business covering the application of people, documents, technologies, and procedures by
management to solve business problems such as costing a product, service or a business-wide
strategy.

Merit rating system

Based on the sales and performance appraisal will be done.

Depending on the products which are sold by particular team, appraisal is done.




Style
Top-Down Decision Making




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Top-down" approach is one where an executive, decision maker, or other person or body
makes a decision. This approach is disseminated under their authority to lower levels in the
hierarchy, who are, to a greater or lesser extent, bound by them.

The management style followed by Allegro is “TOP-DOWN” style of decision making. The
decisions are made by the higher authority and are followed by the employees. The employees
are not given the right to make decisions but amend on    the decisions made by the decision
making heads.




Staff
There are the following three types of groups of staff:

    There are about 300+ professionals working at Angel Broking Ltd
    Every employee is effectively trained to execute their work.


    There are different groups of staff such as technical support team, sales groups and
        investment management groups.




Skills




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Board Of Directors: The skills of BOD are somewhat similar to the qualities to be possessed
by the CEO. They should be capable of handling and controlling all the managers under
them.

Regional Manager: In order to become the regional manager of Angel Broking,

a person must be competent enough to manage the whole region under him/her.

He/she should also be able to motivate the employees under him from time to time.

He/she should know when he/she is required to boost the morale of the employees.

He/she should also know how to work with other regions in country.



Area Manager: The area manager needs to be capable enough of managing whole area under
him/her.

He/she should also know how to control and handle all cluster managers under them.

Cluster Manager: The cluster manager should be capable enough to manage and control
his/her cluster efficiently and effectively.

Relationship Manager: The relationship manager should have

Good communication skill in order to pitch the consumers.

He/she should have full information about the market and competitors offerings.

Shared Values
Angel Broking Ltd constantly strives to share its experience in order to serve its customers
better. Its research reports are made available to the investor. The investors are educated by
organising investor’s camps to share the information regarding the trends in the market.




4. SWOT Analysis of the company

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Strengths:
   Angel provides better service
   Angel has wide range of distribution network
   The marketing team is proficient enough to cover various segments
   Angel has better products to serve the customers


Weakness:
   Angel still could not meet the fuller customer satisfaction
   Branding is the concern
   There is a stiff competition from banks


Opportunities:
   Ever increasing market in investment field
   Improving technology
   Unfulfilled needs of the customer
   Education level


Threats
   New competitors
   Technology based business




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5. Analysis of Financial statement


Particulars                                   Year started           Year ended
                                              31.12.2009             31.03.2010
1. a) Income from Operations                  6,828.21               33080.30
  b)Other Operating Income                    1,060.99               6107.91
       Total                                  7,889.20               39188.21
2. Expenditure
a) Employees Cost                             3,273.20               11,160.62
b) Depreciation                               525.40                 2,422.20
c) Operating Expenses                         678.57                 3,089.73
d) Administrative & Other Expenses            1,129.81               23,658.27
        Total                                 5,606.98               40,330.82
3. Profit/(loss) from the operations before   2282.22                (1142.61)
other income, interest & exceptional item
4 Other income                                61.34                  1139.77
5. interest and finance charges               440.82                 1945.34
6. Profit before exceptional items            1902.45                (1948.08)
7. Profit/(Loss) from Ordinary activities     1902.65                (1948.08)
before Tax
8. Tax expenses                               758.83                 (659.77)
9. Net Profit/loss                            1144.87                (1288.91)




6. Learning Experience
This project work has helped me to know the nature of working in a business unit. During this
project I have approached various professionals who have sufficient knowledge about share




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valuation. Their thoughts regarding how a particular share will be overvalued or undervalued
has enlightened my knowledge of securities.


I have gained knowledge regarding various sectors in the stock market. I am able to know
how a stock price is affected by studying variables like Dividend, earning, growth etc. through
this study I came to know that fundamental analysis has more weightage than technical
analysis which mainly moves based on speculation.


The project work gave me an opportunity to know many business related aspects which has
influence on the profit of the company which in turn influences share valuation. The study
made me to learn how people in an organization behave in a particular way. It exposed me to
organizational climate in a company.


The study enabled me to apply my theoretical knowledge of my course on the organizational
working condition. Especially in the field of shares, I have gained immense knowledge.




                                       CHAPTER-4


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               ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA



The forgoing section in this report had a perspective of overall Economy in India. The next
step is to analyze particular industry and compare them for selecting potential growth
industry.


Once the economics analysis is over; getting the prospects of the likely trend in the
economy, analyzing the industry would be taken importance, knowing Which groups
are promising in the coming year makes possible better entry into the company.
There is however, no perfect correlation between the economy and the industry on one hand
and of industries and companies on the other.




India has mixed economy, where private and public sectors play a complementary role
and promote a planned development. Since the initiation of the reforms in 1991, even
foreign enterprises and MNCs given a due role to play in the development of the
economy. As per the latest policy barring about 18 scheduled industrial groups, others are
both open to public and private sector. But as the security market comprise only marketable
securities and they are mostly form private corporate sector and pubic undertakings
which are being shifted to the joint sector. Many financial services are thrown open to
foreign sector now.




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Fundamental analysis is the cornerstone of investing. In fact, some would say that you aren't
really investing if you aren't performing fundamental analysis. Because the subject is so
broad; however, it's tough to know where to start. There are an endless number of investment
strategies that are very different from each other, yet almost all use the fundamentals


The biggest part of fundamental analysis involves delving into the financial statements. Also
known as quantitative analysis, this involves looking at revenue, expenses, assets, liabilities
and all the other financial aspects of a company. Fundamental analysts look at this
information to gain insight on a company's future performance


Qualitative factors


Business Model
Even before an investor looks at a company's financial statements or does any research, one of
the most important questions that should be asked is: What exactly does the company do?
This is referred to as a company's business model – it's how a company makes money


Competitive Advantage
Another business consideration for investors is competitive advantage. A company's long-
term success is driven largely by its ability to maintain a competitive advantage - and keep it.
Powerful competitive advantages, such as Coca Cola's brand name and Microsoft's
domination of the personal computer operating system, create a moat around a business
allowing it to keep competitors at bay and enjoy growth and profits. When a company can
achieve competitive advantage, its shareholders can be well rewarded for decades




Quantitative Factors
Customers

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Some companies serve only a handful of customers, while others serve millions. If a business
relies on a small number of customers for a large portion of its sales because the loss of each
customer could dramatically affect revenues. One change in government policy could
potentially wipe out all of its sales.


Market Share
Understanding a company's present market share can tell volumes about the company's
business. The fact that a company possesses an 85% market share tells you that it is the
largest player in its market by far. When the firm is bigger than the rest of its rivals, it is in a
better position to absorb the high fixed costs of a capital-intensive industry.


Industry Growth
One way of examining a company's growth potential is to first examine whether the amount
of customers in the overall market will grow. This is crucial because without new customers,
a company has to steal market share in order to grow.


Regulation
Certain industries are heavily regulated due to the importance or severity of the industry's
products and/or services. As important as some of these regulations are to the public, they can
drastically affect the attractiveness of a company for investment purposes.


In industries where one or two companies represent the entire industry for a region (such as
utility companies), governments usually specify how much profit each company can make. In
these instances, while there is the potential for sizable profits, they are limited due to
regulation


COMPUTER AND SOFTWARE INDUSTRY



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Indian software industry has a mix of a few large companies and several small to medium
sized companies. Currently 31 Indian companies have exports of more than Rs1billion.
These few large companies would however be classified as small companies by US standards.
First generation entrepreneurs, who had limited access to finance and low risk taking
capability, operate most of these large companies. Smaller companies, which are also
typically entrepreneur run companies, have a similar potential to strike it rich.


(a) Competitive Advantage- Low Cost and Location
Much of India's strong growth in software in the past is attributable to the low cost of Indian
programmers. Indian programmers repaid only about 15-20% of his/her counterpart in
developed nations. Even among competing countries Indian software professionals were
paid the least. India enjoys a location advantage. The advantage it enjoys over other
countries is a 12-hour difference with the world's largest market - the USA. This
enables US companies to establish round the clock software factories by subcontracting to
Indian companies.




(b) Export Performance
The performance of the Indian software and service exports sector for the first three
quarters, April to December 2009, FY 2009-10, India's software and services exports rise
5.5 percent in the year to March 2010 to $49.7 billion. Business has been picking up and
leading companies such as Tata Consultancy services, Infosys Technologies and Wipro beat
quarterly forecasts.




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(c) Government Policies
Government policies so far have been favorable to software companies. If tax exemption on
exports is withdrawn it could affect software companies adversely. WTO regards tax
exemptions on exports as an indirect subsidy and hence the government may phase out
exemption in the near future.




         Growth of Net Profit of Computer and Software Industry 2009-10
        Profit after Tax        Q1              Q2                Q3

            Infosys             1527            1540              1641

            Wipro               785             1162              1217

            HCL                 300             344               255

            TCS                 1333            1540              1642

       Source: Value Notes.com.




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Figure Showing growth of Net Profit of Indian Software companies




Inference: The above graph depicts that there is major market share from Infosys and TCS.
Wipro is closer to these two companies. Good amount of sales will increase the companies
operating profit. As there is a consistent growth in sales of TCS, the investor can get good
return.




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PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY
Global pharmaceutical market, western markets are the largest and fastest growing due
to introduction of newer molecules at high prices. A well-established reimbursement
and insurance system implies that per capita drug expenditure is a Billion normally high
in Western Countries as compared to the developing nations. The Indian pharmaceutical
industry is highly fragmented, but has grown rapidly due to the friendly patent regime
and low cost manufacturing structure. Intense competition, high volumes and low prices
characterize the Indian domestic market. Exports have been rising at around 30% over last
five years.
(a) Export Performance
India’s Pharmaceutical exports are to the tune of Rs 275 bn of which formulations contribute
nearly 55% and the rest 45% comes from bulk drugs. In FY2010 exports grew by 21%
year. India’s Pharmaceutical imports were to the tune of Rs60.3bn in FY2010. Imports have
registered a CAGR of only 2% in the past 5 years. Imports of bulk drugs have slowed
down in the past 2-3 years. Exports have been rising at around 30% CAGR over last five
years.
(b) Competitive Position and Advantage
The Indian pharmaceutical industry is highly fragmented, but has grown rapidly due to
the friendly patent regime and low cost manufacturing structure. Intense competition,
high volumes and low prices characterize the Indian domestic market.
Over 20,000 registered pharmaceutical manufacturers exist in the country. The market share
of MNCs has fallen from 75% in 1971 to around 35% in the Indian pharmaceuticals market,
while the share of Indian companies has increased from 20% in 1971 to nearly 65%. PSUs
have almost lost out completely. The sector has undergone several policy as well as
attitudinal changes over the past two years. Patents are the main competitive advantage.


              Profit comparison of Major Pharma players 2009-10


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       Net profit after tax      Q1              Q2                 Q3

           Ranbaxy               675.45          186.08             488.23
           Cipla                 241.71          275.74             289.03

       Fortis Healthcare         -1.56           2.28               12.40
        Dr Reddy Lab             227.44          197.06             168.42

     Source: Value Notes.com


Figure showing the Net profit growth of Pharmaceutical companies 2009-10




Inference: Among the above Pharma companies the net profit has seen volatility. The Q2
profit of Ranbaxy has drastically come down. Dr Reddy Lab has posted consistent losses and
Cipla has posted a consistent profits.


AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY
Since commercial vehicles sales have a linkage with industrial growth and diesel
prices, the demand may fall on account purchase deferment due to prolonged

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uncertainties in respect of fuel prices and uniform sales taxes. The crude oil has grown
by 0.6% in the current fiscal and the sustained increase in the global crude oil prices has led to
a hefty increase in the diesel prices.




(a) Government Policy
The differential in duty structure also affects the demand for respective segments e.g.
differential duty provisions between 8-seater and 10-seater changed the demand for each
of the segments. Over and above state governments charge sales tax and control to effect the
final prices to customer. In the current year, uniform sales tax to the tune of 04% has been
levied in all the states across India.


     (i)     Policy on Scrapping of Old Vehicles: The recent notification by judicial body
             to ban commercial vehicles above 20 years in age in New Delhi will lead
             to a demand for at least 15,000 vehicles to be satisfied in short period of
             time. If similar measures are implemented in other parts of the country will boost
             demand for new vehicle




Net Profit comparison of major Automobile companies 2009-10
                                  Q1                     Q2                     Q3



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Amtek Auto                        62.27                  30.50                  35.08

Bajaj Auto                        293.49                 402.83                 475.14

Tata Motors                       513.76                 729.14                 400.14

Mahindra and Mahindra             400.85                 702.94                 413.70

Source: Value Notes.com


Figure Showing the Profit comparison of Major Automobile companies




Inference: The automobile majors Tata Motors and Mahindra and Mahindra have posted
stellar profits during second quarter of the fiscal year 2009-10. There is a sharp decline in the
profits during the 3rd quarter. Bajaj Auto which continued to serve rural segment has seen a
consistent profit in all the quarters.

Earnings Per Share
EPS Comparison of Major IT companies
                     Mar-05          Mar-06       Mar-07          Mar-08        Mar-09



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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



     Infosys        80.30           102.70            74.44       87.69              113.70

     Wipro          23.89           16.22             21.95       24.08              23.94

     HCL            12.43           24.03             19.29       14.99              18.64

     TCS            40.92           60.79             41.90       50.76              52.18

 Source: Value Notes.com


Figure Showing the EPS comparison of the Major IT Companies

  120

  100

   80                                                                     Infosys
                                                                          Wipro
   60
                                                                          HCL
   40                                                                     TCS

   20

     0
          2005        2006       2007         2008        2009
          March       March      March        March       March




Inference: Infosys provides highest EPS compared to its competitors. Inspite of the financial
crisis post 2008, Infosys is able to manage higher EPS compared to its competitors. TCS also falls
in line with Infosys in terms of EPS. So Infosys and TCS look attractive for investors.



EPS Comparison of Major Pharma companies


                         2005          2006            2007       2008              2009


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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



                         March         March      March       March       March

         Ranbaxy         32.78         8.41       13.08       19.74       -21.18

         Cipla           15.50         22.94      9.92        10.71       11.95

         Fortis          -0.20         -1.20      -2.00       0.58        0.20

         Dr Reddy        21.32         43.78      79.12       39.12       45.96
        Lab
     Source: Value Notes.com
Figure showing EPS Comparison of Major Pharma companies

  100

   80

   60
                                                               Ranbaxy
   40
                                                               Cipla

   20                                                          Fortis
                                                               Dr Reddy Lab
    0
         2005        2006      2007      2008     2009
   -20   March       March     March     March    March

   -40


Inference: During the year 2007 Dr Reddy Lab managed to earn higher EPS than its
competitors. Fortis, since it has less market share managed to earn meager EPS. Post
Financial crisis Ranbaxy has negative EPS. Its share price has seen lows in 2010 because of
its poor performance.


EPS Comparison of major Automobile companies


                  2005 March     2006 March      2007 March   2008 March      2009 March

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                                                                                       Page 55
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



Amtek Auto       13.32            17.60             23.03       25.39            19.64

Bajaj Auto       -                128.11            141.19      64.35            54.34

Tata Motors      48.49            55.47             67.07       71.22            37.49

M&M              62.42            45.30             53.70       56.16            41.39

Source: Value Notes.com


Figure showing the EPS Comparison of major Automobile companies

   160
   140

   120
   100                                                             Amtek Auto
                                                                   Bajaj Auto
    80
                                                                   Tata Motors
    60                                                             M&M
    40

    20
     0
           2005       2006       2007       2008        2009
           March      March      March      March       March




Inference: Bajaj Auto has seen a huge jump in its EPS rate in 2006 and continued in 2007 but
has taken a huge beat from world financial crisis. Even though the other competitors had felt
the heat of financial crisis, they are less affected.

Dividend per share
Dividend per share comparison of major IT companies


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                                                                                         Page 56
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



                   2005 March     2006 March       2007 March     2008 March       2009 March

 Infosys           11.50          45.00            11.50          33.25            23.50

 Wipro             5.00           5.00             6.00           6.00             4.00

 HCL               16.00          16.00            8.00           9.00             7.00

 TCS               11.50          13.50            11.50          14.00            14.00

Source: Value Notes.com


Figure showing Dividend per share comparison of major IT companies

  50
  45
  40
  35
                                                                         Infosys
  30
                                                                         Wipro
  25
                                                                         HCL
  20
                                                                         TCS
  15
  10
   5
   0
           2005      2006       2007       2008           2009
           March     March      March      March          March




Inference: Infosys pays high dividend compared to its competitors. Post financial crisis all
the IT companies cautious of dividing profits. So there is a reduction in the dividend rate for
all the above mentioned companies.
Dividend per share comparison of major Pharma companies
                     2005 March    2006 March       2007 March    2008 March       2009 March


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                                                                                           Page 57
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



  Ranbaxy           17.00           8.50           8.50           8.50            -

  Cipla             3.50            2.00           2.00           2.00            2.00

  Fortis            -               -              -              -               -

  Dr Reddy Lab      5.00            5.00           3.75           3.75            6.25

Source: Value Notes.com


Figure showing Dividend per share comparison of major Pharma
companies

  18
  16
  14
  12                                                            Ranbaxy
  10                                                            Cipla
   8                                                            Fortis
   6                                                            Dr Reddy Lab

   4
   2
   0
           2005    2006     2007        2008     2009
           March   March    March       March    March




Inference: Among all the above mentioned companies Ranbaxy is very poor in Dividend
record. Fortis is not yielding any returns for the investor in terms of Dividend. Cipla has
shown upward trend in 2009. Except Ranbaxy all the pharma companies have maintained a
consistency in terms of dividend payment.
Dividend per share comparison of major Automobile companies



THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT



                                                                                         Page 58
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



                     2005         2006           2007          2008            2009
                     March        March          March         March           March
       Amtek         1.40         2.00           3.00          0.50            0.50
       Auto
       Bajaj Auto    -            40.00          40.00         20.00           22.00

       Tata          12.50        13.00          15.00         15.00           12.50
       Motors
       M&M           13.00        10.00          11.50         11.50           10.00

   Source: Value Notes.com
Figure showing Dividend per share comparison of major Automobile companies

  45
  40
  35
  30                                                              Amtek Auto
  25                                                              Bajaj Auto
  20                                                              Tata Motors
  15                                                              M&M
  10
   5
   0
         2005       2006     2007        2008     2009
         March      March    March       March    March


Inference: During the year 2006 and 2007 Amtek Auto has witnessed a huge jump in its net
profit, so it has paid high dividend in these two years. All the other above mentioned
companies have maintained same dividend record.

Book Value Per Share
Book Value (inclusive of reserves) per share comparison of major IT companies



THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT



                                                                                         Page 59
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



                            2005       2006       2007          2008        2009
                            March      March      March         March       March
             Infosys        28.91      26.56      29.13         25.96       27.51
             Wipro          69.54      45.03      63.86         79.05       85.42
             HCL            89.59      79.64      51.61         48.22       -
             TCS            69.17      114.64     82.35         111.43      136.38
         Source: Value Notes.com


Figure showing Book Value (inclusive of reserves) per share comparison of major IT
companies

  160

  140
  120

  100                                                             Infosys
                                                                  Wipro
   80
                                                                  HCL
   60                                                             TCS
   40

   20

    0
         2005       2006       2007      2008      2009
         March      March      March     March     March




Inference: The above graph shows that both TCS and Wipro have increased their book value
consistently. Infosys is maintaining the same book value. In contrast HCL book value is
consistently decreased because of its decrease in its profit.


Book Value (inclusive of reserves) per share comparison of major Pharma companies




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                                                                                     Page 60
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



                       2005           2006         2007              2008        2009
                       March          March        March             March       March
        Ranbaxy        134.85         63.82        63.82             68.01       -8.70

        Cipla          51.81          66.14        41.64             12.25       -

        Fortis         2.85           4.82         23.06             0.24        -

        Dr Reddy       271.05         294.95       225.31            198.84      237.40
     Lab
   Source: Value Notes.com


Figure showing Book Value (inclusive of reserves) per share comparison of
major Pharma companies

  350

  300

  250

  200                                                       Ranbaxy
                                                            Cipla
  150
                                                            Fortis
  100                                                       Dr Reddy Lab

   50

    0
          2005     2006       2007    2008     2009
  -50     March    March      March   March    March




Inference: The Pharma Company’s book value has hit a new low since 2008 financial crisis.
Dr Reddy Lab has increased its book value inspite of world financial crisis. The year 2010
looks good for the Pharma sector.
Book Value (inclusive of reserves) per share comparison of major Automobile companies
                           2005       2006        2007         2008           2009
                           March      March       March        March          March

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                                                                                          Page 61
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



           Amtek           67.21         107.60          128.82         5.20     -
           Auto
           Bajaj           -             11.05           10.60          15.30    10.87
           Auto
           Tata            113.15        144.26          178.00         7.77     2.61
           Motors
           M&M             178.05        123.86          148.52         181.39   10.23

        Source: Value Notes.com
Figure showing Book Value (inclusive of reserves) per share comparison of major
Automobile companies

  200
  180
  160
  140
                                                                 Amtek Auto
  120
                                                                 Bajaj Auto
  100
                                                                 Tata Motors
   80
                                                                 M&M
   60
   40
   20
    0
        2005      2006         2007    2008      2009
        March     March        March   March     March


Inference: The world financial crisis made all the automobile companies incur losses and in
turn the book value of these companies decreased. Tata Motors and Mahindra and Mahindra
companies have international exposure and due to financial crisis their book value has
decreased drastically.

Debt Equity Ratio
Debt Equity comparison of major IT companies
                          2005          2006             2007            2008        2009
                          March         March            March           March       March

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                                                                                             Page 62
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



         Infosys      -              -              -           -             -

         Wipro        0.01           0.01           0.02        0.33          0.40

         HCL          0.03           0.01           0.01        0.01          0.14

         TCS          0.03           0.01           0.01        0.01          0.01

    Source: Value Notes.com


Figure showing Debt Equity comparison of major IT companies

  0.45
   0.4
  0.35
   0.3                                                              Infosys
  0.25                                                              Wipro
   0.2                                                              HCL
  0.15                                                              TCS

   0.1
  0.05
     0
          2005      2006         2007       2008        2009
          March     March        March      March       March


Inference: Wipro’s Debt-Equity ratio has increased rapidly in 2008. Infosys has no debt.
HCL has little debt compared to rivals. TCS has decreased its debt in 2006 after that it
maintains same level of debt.
Debt Equity comparison of major Pharma companies
                          2005           2006           2007    2008          2009
                          March          March          March   March         March
         Ranbaxy          0.05           0.43           1.35    1.38          1.05



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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



          Cipla            0.12       0.23        0.03         0.15          0.21

          Fortis           1.44       5.69        1.06         0.26          0.37

          Dr Reddy         0.13       0.40        0.07         0.09          0.12
          Lab
      Source: Value Notes.com
Figure showing Debt Equity comparison of major Pharma companies



  6

  5

  4                                                           Ranbaxy
                                                              Cipla
  3
                                                              Fortis
  2                                                           Dr Reddy Lab

  1

  0
        2005       2006      2007    2008      2009
        March      March     March   March     March




Inference: Fortis had a huge debt during the year 2006. It has reduced this ratio within a year.
During the year it has marginally increased its debt to acquire extra capacity. Ranbaxy is
reducing its debt level
Debt Equity comparison of major Automobile companies
                          2005       2006        2007         2008           2009
                          March      March       March        March          March
          Amtek           1.24       1.24        0.75         0.99           1.32
          Auto


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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



           Bajaj           -              0.30      0.29      0.84        0.83
           Auto
           Tata            0.60           0.53      0.58      0.80        1.06
           Motors
           M&M             0.52           0.30      0.46      0.59        0.77

        Source: Value Notes.com


Figure showing Debt Equity comparison of major Automobile companies

  1.4

  1.2

    1
                                                            Amtek Auto
  0.8                                                       Bajaj Auto
  0.6                                                       Tata Motors
                                                            M&M
  0.4

  0.2

    0
          2005      2006          2007    2008    2009
          March     March         March   March   March


Inference: Post financial crisis all major Automobile companies has increased its debt level
to expand their business. Amtek auto share value is coming down since its decision to
increase its debt level.

Current Ratio
Current Ratio comparison of major IT companies


                           2005           2006      2007      2008        2009
                           March          March     March     March       March

THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT



                                                                                        Page 65
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



         Infosys      2.80                2.75       4.96     3.30         4.71

         Wipro        1.54                1.46       1.68     2.54         1.83

         HCL          0.81                0.99       1.41     1.12         1.83

         TCS          1.77                2.25       1.99     1.99         1.83

      Source: Value Notes.com


Figure showing Current Ratio comparison of major IT companies

  6

  5

  4                                                              Infosys
                                                                 Wipro
  3
                                                                 HCL
  2                                                              TCS

  1

  0
       2005        2006           2007       2008     2009
       March       March          March      March    March


Inference: Above diagram shows that Infosys has high current ratio compared to its rivals.
The current ratio has reduced for Wipro and TCS in 2009.
Current Ratio comparison of major Pharma companies


                           2005            2006      2007     2008         2009
                           March           March     March    March        March
        Ranbaxy            1.53            1.72      1.74     1.53         1.42



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FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



         Cipla            2.02        2.28          2.69         2.68           2.82

         Fortis           0.93        2.52          3.07         7.55           3.08

         Dr Reddy         3.15        3.00          3.21         2.41           2.65
        Lab
      Source: Value Notes.com
Figure showing Current Ratio comparison of major Pharma companies

  8
  7

  6

  5                                                             Ranbaxy
                                                                Cipla
  4
                                                                Fortis
  3                                                             Dr Reddy Lab
  2

  1
  0
       2005       2006       2007     2008      2009
       March      March      March    March     March


Inference: In the above graph it is clear that Fortis had increased its current ratio since 2005
up to 2008, but after financial crisis its current ratio had reduced significantly. Cipla had
consistently increased its current ratio. Ranbaxy and Dr Reddy Lab has maintained more or
less same level of current ratio
Current Ratio comparison of major Automobile companies
                          2005       2006         2007          2008           2009
                          March      March        March         March          March
          Amtek           10.88      11.96        4.42          6.52           6.97
          Auto




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                                                                                           Page 67
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



          Bajaj        -              0.78        0.85       0.88            0.92
          Auto
          Tata         0.99           1.24        1.24       0.89            0.84
          Motors
          M&M          1.19           1.24        1.37       1.10            1.06


       Source: Value Notes.com
Figure showing Current Ratio comparison of major Automobile companies

  14

  12

  10
                                                                Amtek Auto
   8                                                            Bajaj Auto
   6                                                            Tata Motors
                                                                M&M
   4

   2

   0
        2005       2006       2007        2008    2009
        March      March      March       March   March


Inference: Amtek auto has seen more volatility in its current ratio compared to rival
companies. As shown in the above graph Bajaj auto, Tata Motors and M & M have
maintained same level of current ratio.


TRENDS IN DEFICITS OF CENTRAL GOVERNMENT

Fiscal deficit measure the difference between government spending and revenues. Since
government borrowing must offset the budgetary shortfall, large amounts of government



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                                                                                        Page 68
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



borrowing can force up the interest rate by increasing the total demand for credit in the
economy.

                 Year                 Fiscal deficit        Sensex return

                 2005                 104717                7.7

                 2006                 118816                -22.8

                 2007                 140955                -4.5

                 2008                 135524                -3.8

                 2009                 145466                8.8

                 2010                 153637                58.4

                 Correlation          0.546908




                                                                      Source: Value Notes.com




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                                                                                        Page 69
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD




Figure showing correlation between Fiscal deficit and Sensex return


 180000

 160000

 140000

 120000

 100000
                                                          Fiscal deficit
  80000
                                                          Sensex return
  60000

  40000

  20000

        0
             2005   2006   2007   2008    2009   2010
  -20000



Inference:



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                                                                      Page 70
FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD



Shows there has been positive 0.546908924 between the fiscal deficit and Sensex indicates
that deficit does not have direct influence on Sensex. However the relationship is negative, the
above variable may move in opposite direction




TRENDS IN GROWTH RATE OF INFRASTRUCTURE

Investment in infrastructure developments indicates positive signal to the sectors in the
economy, especially manufacturing companies related to transportation. In order to gain from
the trade the transaction costs should be low. So the better facility reduces the cost of trade
and enables the companies for making profit.




Table Trends in the Savings and Investmen


Year            Total           Energy           Steel           Transport and    Growth rate of
                                                                 communication    Sensex
2005-06         2.96            3.85             1.4             1.7              26.7
2006-07         10.06           6.68             15              11.6             7.7
2007-08         6.12            4.65             6.5             8.3              -22.7
2008-09         -1.56           1.61             2.4             -5.8             -4.5
2009-10         7.5             2.1              9.7             83.2             -3.8


                                                                        Source: Value Notes.com


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                                                                                           Page 71
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Angel broking

  • 1. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD CHAPTER-1 INTRODUCTION What is Investment? Investment is referred to as the concept of deferred consumption, which might comprise of purchasing an asset, rendering a loan, keeping the saved funds in a bank account such that it might generate lucrative returns in the future. The options of investments are huge; all of them having different risk-reward trade off. This concludes that the investment industry is really broad and that is why understanding the core concepts of investments and accordingly analyzing them is essential. After thorough understanding of the investment industry, can an investor create and manage his own investment portfolio such that the returns are maximized with the least risk exposure Types of Investments in the investment industry As stated earlier, the investment industry is huge; therefore the types of investments are also varied. Different types of investments are: Cash investments: Cash investments comprise of savings bank accounts, certificates of deposit (CDs) and treasury bills (TBs). All these types of investments render a low interest rate and prove to be quite risky during times of inflation. Debt securities: This type of investment gives returns in the form of fixed periodic payments and the fixed capital appreciate at maturity. This is safe bait for the investors in the investment industry and has always proved to be the risk free investment tool. Though, it is generally low in risks, the returns are also lower than the other peer securities. Stocks: Investors can also buy stocks (equities) from the secondary markets and be a part of any business corporates that are listed in the bourses. By this way, one can become the part of the profits that the company generates. But one should remember that stocks are generally more volatile and carries more risk than bonds. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 1
  • 2. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Mutual funds: They are usually a collection of stocks and bonds that a fund manager selects for an investor such that the returns are maximum. The investor does not have to track the investment, be it a bond, stock- or index-based mutual funds. Derivatives: Derivatives are financial contracts, whose value is derived from the value of the underlying assets like equities, commodities and bonds. They can take the form of futures, options and swaps. Investors choose derivatives as they are used to minimize the risk of loss that result from variations in the underlying asset values. Commodities: The items that are traded on the commodities market are agricultural and industrial commodities and they need to be standardized. Commodities trading have always been giving high returns and thus they are the riskiest of all investment options. One, who trades in commodities, requires specialized knowledge and analytical capabilities. Real estate: Investing in real estate has to be a long term affair. Funds get hooked into the real estate sector for a considerable time period. Tools of Fundamental Analysis Fundamental analysis is the process of looking at a business at the basic or fundamental financial level. This type of analysis examines key ratios of a business to determine its financial health and gives you an idea of the value its stock. Many investors use fundamental analysis alone or in combination with other tools to evaluate stocks for investment purposes. The goal is to determine the current worth and, more importantly, how the market values the stock THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 2
  • 3. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD 1. Earning Per Share: EPS = Net Earnings / Outstanding Shares 2. Price to Earnings Ratio: The P/E looks at the relationship between the stock price and the company’s earnings. The P/E is the most popular metric of stock analysis P/E = Stock Price / EPS 3. Projected earning growth: The P/E is the most popular way to compare the relative value of stocks based on earnings because you calculate it by taking the current price of the stock and divide it by the Earnings Per Share (EPS). This tells you whether a stock’s price is high or low relative to its earnings. PEG = P/E / (projected growth in earnings) 4. Price to Sales: P/S = Market Cap / Revenues or P/S = Stock Price / Sales Price Per Share 5. Price to Book P/B = Share Price / Book Value Per Share 6. Dividend Payout Ratio The DPR (it usually doesn’t even warrant a capitalized abbreviation) measures what a company’s pays out to investors in the form of dividends. DPR = Dividends Per Share / EPS THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 3
  • 4. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD 7. Dividend yield This measurement tells you what percentage return a company pays out to shareholders in the form of dividends. Older, well-established companies tend to payout a higher percentage then do younger companies and their dividend history can be more consistent Dividend Yield = annual dividend per share / stock's price per share 8. Book Value Book Value = Assets – Liabilities 9. Return on Equity Return on Equity (ROE) is one measure of how efficiently a company uses its assets to produce earnings. You calculate ROE by dividing Net Income by Book Value. A healthy company may produce an ROE in the 13% to 15% range. Like all metrics, compare companies in the same industry to get a better picture THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 4
  • 5. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Investment Scenario Investment is the employment of fund on assets with an aim of earning income on capital appreciation. Investment means the present consumption is sacrificed to get return in future. Investment is the good only for the purpose to get return from the selected or choosing securities so; investors have to see the fundamental analysis. In fundamental analysis, we can broadly classify into three types. One is Economic Analysis; Industry analysis and company analysis. These three are very important base of the securities or stock of market. We have to study about this fundamental analysis. An Indian stock market has been no different. Memories of its crash of December 1990 and financial crisis in January 2008 are still there in the minds of many. After record rise in proceeding few years the index fell precipitously and investor loss heavily. This phenomenon repeated every now and then. Though the equity cult is fast spreading among the investor the hard fact is majority of stocks continue to remain volatile to date. All these are pointers to the fact that the investor market is no longer holding an olive branch to investor in equity. Much of the danger associated with it can be avoided and it need not be such nerve raking experience, provided one approaches it as a rational decision making process. In short Security analysis and portfolio management are hard work, requiring discipline and patience, and the work is not always rewarded with exceptional returns. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 5
  • 6. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD REVIEW OF LITERATURE William O’Neil, Street analyst and publisher “How to Make Money in Stocks”, People who are new to securities will find it an excellent article one that relies on time-honored indicators such as quarterly earnings, market capitalization, and daily indexes. O'Neil's study of winning stocks stretches back to the 1960s, and he shares his insights here, describing what characterizes a growth stock, when to cut your losses and how to spot a market top. Ken Little, Fundamental Analyst written an article “Tools of Fundamental Analysis” Many investors use fundamental analysis alone or in combination with other tools to evaluate stocks for investment purposes. The goal is to determine the current worth and, more importantly, how the market values the stock. Petri Kyrolainen and Jukka Perttunen “Investors Activity and Trading Behavior” in stock market active investors create price pressures or are intraday momentum traders on the other hand passive investors accepting price pressures. Carl Hayes, written “Trade like warren buffet and Use Fundamental analysis” Most traders are very well aware that market movements can be unpredictable and difficult to interpret, and this conviction is confirmed by a number of studies published by academics with the conclusion that there’s a significant degree of randomness to the price action. But although this is true in the short term, even a cursory examination of the EURUSD chart over a multi-month period would suffice to show that there are forces which drive price trends with a lot more clarity than what is evident in a day’s price action Reports that industrial production, productivity, money supply and unemployment rates are consistently influencing the share returns, Chen et. al., (1996) proposes that the unexpected THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 6
  • 7. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Inflation, industrial production, changes in risk premiums, etc., are crucial in Asset pricing. In a recent study Chen and Jorden (2002) finds inflation, interest rates on government bonds, industrial production, oil prices, etc., are germanein asset prices. In Indian environment, the study conducted by Rajan Mookerjee 1998) observes weak linkages between changes in GDP and stock prices, Malathy Prabhakaran, (1999), Rao and Bhole (2001), Choudhari (1998) and others studied the impact of agriculture on stock prices and report conflicting results. A comprehensive study on these Economic variables is awaited in Indian contex OVERVIEW OF THE ECONOMY A top down analysis of the firm’s prospects must start with a global economy. The international economy might affect a firm’s export prospects, the price competition it faces from competitors, or profit it makes from abroad. Certainly, despite the fact that the economies of most countries are linked with global economy, there is considerable variation in the economic performance across countries at any time. Given the degree of openness to trade and investment, it is a well-accepted fact that the national markets are inter-related and increasingly global. When making decisions, traders incorporate information pertaining to price movements and volatility in the asset they are trading including information about related assets. The movement of markets in rhythm and chorus could nullify much of the gain out of diversification across borders, besides being vulnerable to the caprices of global capital. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 7
  • 8. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Companies are part of the industrial and business sector, which in turn is a part of the overall economy. Thus, the performance of the company depends of the performance of the economy in the first place. If the economy is in recession or stagnation, centeris paribus, the performance of the company will be bad in general or vise versa. Since India started deregulating its financial markets in the post-liberalization phase, her integration with the international financial markets has been proceeding rapidly. Based on the observations it has been concluded that in the post-liberalization era, international financial market integration has accelerated, though not yet complete. Indian stock markets have come of age where they have seamlessly joined themselves with other international stock markets and no longer are the stock prices in India governed only by the events of the local importance. As per research studies so far, nearly 50% of the stock prices changes can be attributed to market influences, which are general and caused by the economic, and industry factors. It is therefore important that any stock market investment is preceded by economic analysis and industry analysis. Economic conditions are non-diversifiable risk. It applies to all the industries, but some industries are expanding while others are stagnant and some contracting depending on the demand and market conditions. The investor has to choose growth industry from industries, and then choose the scrip under valued and judged by study and analysis. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 8
  • 9. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD INTRODUCTION TO THE CONCEPT OF SECURITY ANALYSIS An investment is a commitment of funds made in expectation of some positive rate of return in future. An investor makes some sacrifice in the present in the hope of desiring benefits in future. The motive behind investment varies from person to person. Some people invest in order to gain a sense of power or prestige. Often the control of corporate enterprises is a driving motive. For most investor however their interest in investment is largely pecuniary to earn a return on their money. But his return on stock market security is subject to risk. Risk incase refers to the uncertainty surrounding actual realization of the rate of return offered by an investment. The time element refers to period of waiting required to reap the return. Accordingly early investment decision has three key aspects. They are,  Return  Risk  Time There fore, investment process must be considered in terms of above aspects. One should approach any scheme of investment as a rational decision making process, in which he should attempt to select a package of portfolio securities that meets predetermined set of goals. These investors goal are usually expressed in terms of return. Almost all the cases, the hard fact are that return and risk are inseparable. Therefore the ultimate decisions to be made in the investment are two. What securities to be held? How many rupees should be allocated to each? These decisions are made in three steps. 1. Security analysis 2. Security evaluation 3. Portfolio analysis, selections and management. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 9
  • 10. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Securities are marketable financial instruments that bestow on their owners the right to make specific claims on particular assets. An individual security provides evidence of their creditor ship or ownership depending on whether it is bond or tock, respectively. A bond is loan that is paid off with interest; the investor lends money to the borrowing company that issued bond. In contrast, stock ownership represents a cash investment a future of a corporation; the investor owns a part of a corporation and share in its profits. SECURITY ANALYSIS (a) Traditional investment analysis, when applied to securities, emphasizes projection of prices and dividends. That is, the potential prices of a firm’s common stock and future dividend stream are forecast, and then discounted back to the present. (b) Basically modern security analysis deeply rooted in the fundamental concept. But the more modern approach to common stock analysis emphasizes risks and return estimate rather than mere price and dividend estimates, of course dependent on share price and accompanying the dividend stream. SECURITY VALUATION It refers to the act of assessing the true worth of security. Before committing the fund on stock exchange securities, the investor should make thorough comparison of the prices of the security with its true value. The price refers to the price quoted for the security at the stock exchange at a given movement of time. Value refers to the intrinsic worth. Only with the help of such evaluation the investor can decide as to buy hold or sell. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 10
  • 11. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD DIFFERENT APPROACHES TO VALUATION There are essentially three approaches or school of thoughts on the matter of security price evaluation, classified as (a) Fundamental Approach The concept of time value of money is the business of this approach. Money has a time value. A rupee now is worth more than rupee a year from now. For different securities, future benefits may me received at different times. Even when the amount of future payment is the same, differences in the speed of their receipt may create differences in value. Time value of money suggests that earlier receipt is more desirable than later receipt, even when the both are equal in the amount of certainty. Because, earlier receipt can be re invested to generate additional returns before later receipt come in. The force operating is the principle of compound interest. Framework: The proper order in which to proceed in Fundamental analysis is, first to analyze the overall economy and securities markets. Second, analyze the industry with in which a particular company operates. Finally, analysis of the company should be considered. The above analysis involves making a careful estimate of expected stream of benefits and required return of common stock. The intrinsic value then can be obtained through the present value analysis that is, the dividend discounts model. An alternative method of valuation is the P/E ratio or earning multiplier approach. Economic Analysis Industry Analysis Company Analysis THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 11
  • 12. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Strategic considerations of economic, industry and company analyses are as follows (1) Economic Analysis 1. A study of economic trends as indicated by rate of growth in gross national product, employment, aggregate corporate profits, interest rate, exchange rates, savings and investments, monsoon positions. 2. An analysis of the relationship between economic trends and economic policies and the stability of such relationships. 3. A study of world economic trends and their impact on Indian economy. (2) Industry Analysis 1. Implications of projected growth in gross national product for various industries. 2. Implications of plan priorities and plan expenditure for various industries. 3. Vulnerability of an industry for government regulations, and control of prices and production. 4. Implications of industrial and fiscal policies of government for an industry. 5. Analysis of competitive conditions as reflected in any barriers to entry. (3) Company Analysis 1. Trend analyses of company’s market share. 2. An analysis of turn over of assets, operating and production efficiencies through ratio analysis. 3. Leverage and coverage ratio analysis. 4. An analysis of book value per share. 5. An assessment of quality of management 6. An analysis of price to earning multiples. 7. An analysis of growth in sales and dividends. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 12
  • 13. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD The basis tenets of this approach are as follows Each share has an intrinsic value. It can be determined by discounting the future stream of benefits that does accrue to the holder of the security. For instance if rupees 100 now is = rupees 100 + R after one year. Where R is the rate of return then the next question is if we get rupees hundred after one year how much is it worth now. Rupees 100 + R after one year = 100 now. Therefore rupees 100 after one year = 100/100 + R and if R = 12 % then 100/112 = .0893. (b) Technical Approach Technical analysis is an alternative approach to predicting the stocks price behavior. Technical analysis is frequently used as a supplement to fundamental analysis rather than as a substitute for it. Thus technical analysis can frequently does, confirm findings based on fundamental analysis. Technical analysis is viewed mainly through price and volume statistics. It helps in measuring price volume, supply demand relationship for overall market as well as for individual stocks. Technicians seldom rely upon a single indicator, as no one indicator is infallible; they place reliance upon reinforcement provided by groups of indicators. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 13
  • 14. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD (c) Modern Approach Markovitize laid down the foundation for this approach in 1951. He studied capital market with the help of fairly sophisticated method of investigation and in general arrived at the following conclusions.  Stock markets are reasonably efficient in reacting quickly and rationally to the flow of information.  Successive price changes are independent. As a result past price behavior cannot be used to predict future price behavior.  In the capital market, there is a positive relation ship between the risk and return. This indicates, in general, investment in several securities would reduce the variability of return and hence the risk ness of a portfolio THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 14
  • 15. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD . INDUSTRY PROFILE SECTOR PEROFORMANCE: Many valuable lessons can be learned from history, but extrapolating historical returns into the future is difficult and complicated. For instance, few investors in 1900 could have predicted the monumental changes that would take place in the world after 1913. The two world wars, socialist revolutions, the Great Depression and the Bretton Woods Agreement all had a profound impact on the global economy and stock markets until the 1970s. The impact of these events suggests that although we can study the past, the social and economic events that might affect the markets in the future are often unpredictable. The graphs below show a breakdown of the world markets in both 1900 and 2000 and the anomalous growth of the U.S. market during this time. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 15
  • 16. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 16
  • 17. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 17
  • 18. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD CHAPTER-2 RESEARCH DESIGN BACKGROUND OF THE STUDY Value investing means finding the intrinsic value of the stock. It means present value of the future cash inflows. I take into consideration of economic, industry and company analysis. In Economic factors, we consider macro economic factors because it reflects the prosperous out look for sales and profit of the firm or company. This economy reflects behavior of the stock prices. While macro economic theory has helped to develop risk factors like interest rate risk, purchasing power risk, market risk and such alike; the theory of the firm helped in delineating factors like firm’s cash dividend yield, beta coefficient as a numeric surrogates for security’s quality rating work focuses on. The security investment involves several type of risk diversifiable as well as non-diversifiable. While the risk of a security is nothing but the likelihood of the return turning out to be more or less than the expected, the total risk of an asset may be perceived as being the sum of several different contributing risk factors like interest rate fluctuations, market cyclical, purchasing power instability and so on. as mentioned Donald E. Fisher and Ronald J. Joeden. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 18
  • 19. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD STATEMENT OF THE PROBLEM “To examine the fundamental factors which influences the valuation of securities” Investors have a lot of investment opportunities. The investor has to find good among the alternatives. It is very difficult to find the good opportunity so this analysis helps the investors to find good one among the alternatives. Many investors invest in securities without analyzing the economic condition, budget decision, industry growth rates and company factors. Then the investor end up with the losses. Many invest insecurities by their emotional forces and many invest with out analyzing economic conditions, budget decisions, industry growth rates and company factors. Finally, they end up with losses. Of course, no one can predict the uncertainty factors like September 11 attack in 2001. Despite these factors investors could reduce the risk associated with securities through analyzing the security properly. How much the economic factors could influence the stock market? Whether positively or negatively have the relationship with the stock market movements. Answering these questions enables the investors to have the perspective about the overall economy and stock markets. If the economy prosperous, the industries with in the economy also may also be prosperous although few may be in the bad shape. Which industry is really having the potentiality for growth? Knowing these factors through comparing performances between the industries enables the investors to compare the industries and finally can select the company which is having the opportunity for growth. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 19
  • 20. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD OBJECTIVE OF THE STUDY The study was conducted with a view to, a) The main purpose of this study is to comparatively analyze the deferent industry performance and selecting the appropriate security by considering potentiality of the industry. b) Identify the returns of the securities in considering the risk, growth, and other related variables and Understand the factor influencing the security prices in different industries. c) Analyzing the environmental factors affect the security prices and assess the future potential of the companies in the industry and aid to investor in assessing the worth of the securities SCOPE OF THE STUDY a)The security analysis starts from broad environmental factors to the industry, which influences the share price and finally analyzing the company’s potentiality by considering possible risks associated with securities. b) Since share price of the company is empirically found to depend up to 50% on the performance of the industry and the economy, studying those related field provide insights for selecting the securities. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 20
  • 21. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD c) Budget plays a significant role while selecting the industry, as it may create a opportunity for one industry and may not for other, the analyzing impact of budget plan and its polices is important. d) As research studies shows more than 35% of the share price movements depend on the company’s performance. So analyzing the company’s potential growth through ratio analysis provides the valuable insights. Comparability between the companies enables the investors selecting particular securities REASEARCH METHODOLOGY a) Since the study is principally intended to examine the potential growth of securities, which might be affected of different risk variables on security returns, a sample of 4 industries, and selecting the profitable scrip through selecting potential growth industries, whose scrips are actively traded during the period 2005 to 2010 has been considered. In order to identifying the influence of exogenous variables of economy and market in security prices information on different indicators like Gross domestic product, Monsoon, Money supplies, Fiscal deficit etc. and for the market observation Sensex has been used. b) For analyzing the relationship between economic indicators and stock market movement, the correlation tools has been used, and selecting the industry by comparing their sales growth, dividend and its ratios has been comparatively analyzed. On the other hand, groups of 18 financial ratios capturing the Size, Dividend Policy, Leverage, Productivity, Liquidity, Profitability, Earnings Variability, P/E ratios and Certain Growth Variables constituted the company specific fundamentals of financial risk variables. The estimation of ‘Accounting Beta ‘(the ration of EPS of a firm in relation to the average EPS of THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 21
  • 22. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD all firms), Sales, and Earnings have been measured as linear growth rates the testing period of most recent five-year period. SAMPLE DESIGN Definitions of the Population Since the study is mainly related to selecting the appropriate security, analyzing industries and comparison between those is necessary. Their potentiality for growth also to be consider for selecting particular industry, where the companies in that industry has to be analyzed through comparing between the companies considering their relative advantages over the others. Sample Size All the four industries under the study are randomly selected reconsidering differentialities in the way they do business and the product they produced has been considered as sample and the four companies in that particular industry has been considered as representative sample. Sample Technique Adopted Techniques for selecting industries is nothing but the way they doing business since the product they produce also different. However, for the companies, the out performing industry over the other out of the sample has been selected and the highest sales in the latest period in the Computer and Software industry has been selected for studying their performance. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 22
  • 23. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD SOURCES OF THE DATA Primary data: The fundamental and technical analysts are consulted and opinions of them about various parameters of the fundamental factors which influences the stock valuation are collected Secondary data Major part of the data has been collected through secondary sources. These data are a) Finance Ministry b) Various magazines books and journals and papers c) Web sites of the companies and indices has been collected from Bombay stock exchange OPERATIONAL DEFINITIONS Economic Analysis Economic analysis refers to analyze the factors or indicators of the economy that affects the stock market. This is also called non-diversifiable risk analysis where the risk associated with the securities can not be diversified. Industry analysis Industry analysis refers to analyze the plan, priorities and vulnerability of an industry for government regulations. The competitive conditions as reflected in any barriers to industry also taken in to consideration. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 23
  • 24. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Company Analysis Company analysis includes analyze the company as potentiality for growth, present performance, risk associated with securities are considered as important. Correlation Correlation is a statistical measure of the degree to which the security returns move together. The positive correlation means the variables move together. The negative correlation suggests that move in opposite direction and zero correlation shows that no tendency to very either positive or negative direction. Beta It measures the sensitivity of the return of a security to changes in returns to the market portfolio. It may be positive or negative. The positive beta measures that if1% changes market index, more than 1% in individual security and vice versa. PERIOD OF STUDY  The period of study is undertaken for duration five years  The data related to the economy are gathered from the financial year 2005 to 3rd financial quarter ending 2009. LIMITATION OF THE STUDY a) The economy and industry are so wide and comprehensive that is difficult to encompass all the likely factors influencing to be captured in any set of possible indicators. b) Besides, the study has the limitation of the time and resources. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 24
  • 25. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD c) Again the study has limited to four big industries and many other sub industries within the industries and small units have been left out. Hence, the applicability of the study is limited to that extent. Chapter Scheme Chapter one started with the introduction of the concept of security analysis, where the investment scenario in the security takes place. The introduction part explains about different approaches to the security that is the fundamental approach, modern approach and technical approach. And investor’s perception about the characteristics of growth and the value associated with securities. Then the second part explains the background of the study, where the different theories and tools like leverages and betas are supported for studying securities. The second chapter starts with the statement of the problem for studying security and explains the areas of the analysis. And it covers source of the data literature review and operation definition of the study. The third chapter deals with the profile of the respondents. It highlights the economy of India, industries and the companies. In industries, it deals with growth rate of sales and dividend of four industries namely, Computer and Software, Pharmaceutical, Cement, and Automobile industries and also analysis of government policies that affects performances. The export performance and competitive positions of said industries provides the guidelines about the future of industries. And come to the companies, it provides overview of three companies in computer and software industry, namely Infosys, Wipro and HCL. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 25
  • 26. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Then in analysis part it deals with primarily the global economy, where the Indian stock market no longer is limited to the Indian situation. It also deals with the analysis of the economic factor affect to the stock market. In the second part of analyzing, analyzing industries through comparison of different ratios, sales and dividend growth that helps to select the appropriate industry which out perform other industries. The third part emphasizes on the companies within the Computer and Software industry, where comparison between Infosys, Wipro, and HCL which are all highly traded in that related industry in the stock market, guides the investor for selecting appropriate security which is really doing well than other selected companies. Finally, the conclusions and suggestions at the end provides the proper guidelines which is drawn after analyzing the economy, industries and company enables the investors getting perspective above overall better performance industry and company. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 26
  • 27. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD CHAPTER-3 COMPANY PROFILE Angel Broking's tryst with excellence in customer relations began in 1987. Today, Angel has emerged as one of the most respected Stock-Broking and Wealth Management Companies in India. With its unique retail-focused stock trading business model, Angel is committed to providing ‘Real Value for Money’ to all its clients. The Angel Group is a member of the Bombay Stock Exchange (BSE), National Stock Exchange (NSE) and the two leading Commodity Exchanges in the country: NCDEX & MCX. Angel is also registered as a Depository Participant with CDSL. It is the only 100% retail stock broking house offering a gamut of retail centric services like: ► E-broking, ► Investment Advisory, ► Wealth Management Services, ► Portfolio Management Services & ► Commodities The Angel Group of Companies was brought to life by Mr. Dinesh Thakkar. He ventured into stock trading with an intention to raise capital for his own independent enterprise. However, he recognized the opportunity offered by the stock market to serve individual investors. Thus THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 27
  • 28. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD India’s first retail-focused stock-broking house was established in 1987. Under his leadership, Angel became the first broking house to embrace new technology for faster, more effective and affordable services to retail investors. The Angel group is managed by a team of 5100+ direct employees. It has a nationwide network comprising 21 Regional centers, 175 branches, 3 PCG (Private Client Group), 6810+ registered sub brokers and business associates and 12720+ active trading terminals which cater to the requirements of 589700+ retail clients. Angel Broking has been awarded the prestigious ‘Major Volume Driver’ award consecutively for 5 years, from 2005 to 2009 from Bombay stock exchange of India. Vision of the Company To provide best value for money to investors through innovative products, trading / investment strategies, state-of-the-art technology and personalized service. Philosophy of the Company Ethical practices & transparency in our entire dealings customer interest above our own always deliver what we promise effective cost management. Quality Assurance Policy We are committed to being the leader in providing World Class Product & Services which exceed the expectations of our customers Achieved by teamwork and a process of continuous improvement. CRM Policy THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 28
  • 29. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD A Customer is the most important visitor on our premises. He is not dependent on us but we are dependent on him. He is not interruption in our work, but is the Purpose of it. We are not doing him a favour by serving. He is doing us a favour by giving us an opportunity to do so. Products of Angel Broking ● Online Trading ● Mutual Fund ● Personal loans ● IPO Advisory ● Commodities ● Insurance ● DP Services Angel Group Companies Angel Broking Ltd.: Member on the BSE and Depository Participant with CDSL Angel Capital & Debt Market Ltd.: Membership on the NSE Cash and Futures & Options Segment Angel Commodities Broking Ltd.: Member on the NCDEX & MCX Angel Securities Ltd: Member on the BSE • · Incorporated :1987 • · BSE Membership :1997 • · NSE membership :1998 • · Member of NCDEX and MCX • · Depository Participants with CDSL Angel’s presence- THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 29
  • 30. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD · Nation- wide network of 21 regional hubs · Presence 124 cities · 6800 + sub brokers & business associates · 5.9 lakh +clients Management 1. Mr. Dinesh Thakkar, Founder Chairman & Managing Director 2. Mr. Lalit Thakkar Director – Research 3. Mr. Amit Majumdar Executive Director – Strategy and Finance 4. Mr. Rajiv Phadke Executive Director – HR & Corp 5. Mr. Vinay Agrawal Executive Director – Equity Broking 6. Mr. Nikhil Daxini Executive Director - Sales and Marketing 7 Mr. Hitungshu Debnath Executive Director - Distribution & Wealth Management 8. Mr. Mudit Kulshreshtha Executive Director – Operations Competitor’s information  Motilal Oswal  ICICI Direct  Indiabulls  Sharekhan  HDFC Securities Milestones  Awarded with 'Broking House with Largest Distribution Network' and 'Best Retail Broking House' at Dun & Bred street Equity Broking Awards 2009  August, 2008 Crossed 500000 trading accounts  November, 2007 ‘Major Volume Driver’ for 2007  December, 2006 Created 2500 business associates  October, 2006 ‘Major Volume Driver’ award for 2006  September, 2006 Launched Mutual Fund and IPO business  July, 2006 Launched the PMS function  October, 2005 ‘Major Volume Driver’ award for 2005 THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 30
  • 31. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD  September, 2004 Launched Online Trading Platform  April, 2004 Initiated Commodities Broking division  April, 2003 First published research report  November, 2002 Angel’s first investor seminar  March, 2002 Developed web-enabled back office software THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 31
  • 32. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 32
  • 33. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Depositary Participant Services Angel Broking Ltd. is a DP services provider though CDSL. We offer depository services to create a seamless transaction platform to execute trades through Angel group of companies and settle these transactions through Angel Depository services. ● Wide branch coverage ● Personalized/attentive services of trained a dedicated staff ● Centralized billing & accounting ● Acceptance & execution of instruction on fax ● Daily statement of transaction & holdings statement on e-mail ● No charges for extra transaction statement & holdings statement Portfolio Management Services Successful investing in Capital Markets demands ever more time and expertise. Investment Management is an art and a science in itself. Portfolio Management Services (PMS) is one such service that is fast gaining eminence as an investment avenue of choice for High Net worth Investors (HNI). PMS is a sophisticated investment vehicle that offers a range of specialized investment strategies to capitalize on opportunities in the market. The Portfolio Management Service combined with competent fund management, dedicated research and technology, ensures a rewarding experience for its clients. Angel PMS brings with it years of experience, expertise, research and the backing of India's leading stock broking house. At Angel, experienced portfolio management is the difference. It will advise you on a suitable product based on factors such as your investment horizon, return expectations and risk tolerance. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 33
  • 34. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD 3. Mckensy’s7s frame work with special reference to organization under study The organization is not just the structure; rather it is made up of seven elements, shown above. These are divided into two types: Hard and Soft. Elements in green are hard; they are easy to identify and feasible. They can be found in strategy elements, corporate plans, organizational structures and other documentations. The soft elements are hard to describe. They are sort of intangible. Hence it is more difficult to plan or influence these elements Effective organizations achieve a fit between all these seven elements. If one element changes then this will affect all the others. For example, a change in HR-systems like internal career plans and management training will have an impact on organizational culture (management style) and thus will affect structures, processes, and finally characteristic competences of the organization. Hence 7S model is an effective tool in initiating change process in the organization. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 34
  • 35. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD The elements of 7s model are: Strategy: Action plan of a company in response to changes in the external environment. Structure: Roles and responsibilities and basis for speculation. System: Formal and informal procedures that support strategy and structure. Style Culture: Management style and organizational culture. Staff: Human: resource management processes- training and development process, socialization process, how new managers are introduced to the organization. Skill: competencies prevailing in the organization and how these are being developed and expanded by the organization. Shared values: Guiding concepts among the employees must be simple and at an abstract level, must not be easily understood by the people from outside. The model is based on the theory that, for an organization to perform well, these seven elements need to be aligned and mutually reinforcing. So, the model can be used to help identify what needs to be realigned to improve performance, or to maintain alignment (and performance) during other types of change. Whatever the type of change - restructuring, new processes, organizational merger, new systems, change of leadership, and so on - the model can be used to understand how the organizational elements are interrelated, and so ensure that the wider impact of changes made in one area is taken into consideration. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 35
  • 36. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD STRATEGIES Angel Diet and Angel Trade is focused on capturing the significant growth opportunities in the financial services market and its strategy is driven by the following key principles Client Referral Programs: Client referrals are the most reliable and most cost-effective source of new clients. We help firms maximize their success by creating process and tools that make generating client a referrals a natural and systematic part of the practice. Client Retention Programs: Maintaining and leveraging existing client relationships is far less expensive and more productive than trying to acquire new clients. We help organizations develop effective client communication programs that build stronger client relationships, encourage referrals, and produce incremental business. New Client Acquisition Programs: A diverse mix of campaigns including events, public relations, advertising and direct marketing can be an effective means of acquiring new clients. We help firms create and implement integrated marketing strategies to reach their goals. PARTNERSHIP STRATEGY Focused Approach to Volumes – By means of Deferred Partners Referral Partners Associate Referral Partners THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 36
  • 37. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD STRUCTURE: CSO (Central Statistical Organization) Branches and Branches and Branches and Franchise Franchise Franchise branches branches branches Regional Office Regional Office Regional Office Angel Clients Business Associates System System consists of all formal and informal procedures that allow the organization to function including Risk Management System Risk management logic built into Portfolio Management and Internet Trading Application. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 37
  • 38. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Back office support for centralized control and risk management for non-internet transactions. Order Execution System The telecaller is provided with database and is required to make call to numbers provided by relationship manager and fix an appointment with them. The relationship manager then goes and meets the client at the fixed location and time and tries to convince the client to buy his product and close the deal. If the deal is successful, the relationship manger gets the required documents from the client and had over them to the backend operations people. Management information system. A management information system (MIS) is a subset of the overall internal controls of a business covering the application of people, documents, technologies, and procedures by management to solve business problems such as costing a product, service or a business-wide strategy. Merit rating system Based on the sales and performance appraisal will be done. Depending on the products which are sold by particular team, appraisal is done. Style Top-Down Decision Making THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 38
  • 39. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Top-down" approach is one where an executive, decision maker, or other person or body makes a decision. This approach is disseminated under their authority to lower levels in the hierarchy, who are, to a greater or lesser extent, bound by them. The management style followed by Allegro is “TOP-DOWN” style of decision making. The decisions are made by the higher authority and are followed by the employees. The employees are not given the right to make decisions but amend on the decisions made by the decision making heads. Staff There are the following three types of groups of staff:  There are about 300+ professionals working at Angel Broking Ltd  Every employee is effectively trained to execute their work.  There are different groups of staff such as technical support team, sales groups and investment management groups. Skills THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 39
  • 40. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Board Of Directors: The skills of BOD are somewhat similar to the qualities to be possessed by the CEO. They should be capable of handling and controlling all the managers under them. Regional Manager: In order to become the regional manager of Angel Broking, a person must be competent enough to manage the whole region under him/her. He/she should also be able to motivate the employees under him from time to time. He/she should know when he/she is required to boost the morale of the employees. He/she should also know how to work with other regions in country. Area Manager: The area manager needs to be capable enough of managing whole area under him/her. He/she should also know how to control and handle all cluster managers under them. Cluster Manager: The cluster manager should be capable enough to manage and control his/her cluster efficiently and effectively. Relationship Manager: The relationship manager should have Good communication skill in order to pitch the consumers. He/she should have full information about the market and competitors offerings. Shared Values Angel Broking Ltd constantly strives to share its experience in order to serve its customers better. Its research reports are made available to the investor. The investors are educated by organising investor’s camps to share the information regarding the trends in the market. 4. SWOT Analysis of the company THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 40
  • 41. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Strengths:  Angel provides better service  Angel has wide range of distribution network  The marketing team is proficient enough to cover various segments  Angel has better products to serve the customers Weakness:  Angel still could not meet the fuller customer satisfaction  Branding is the concern  There is a stiff competition from banks Opportunities:  Ever increasing market in investment field  Improving technology  Unfulfilled needs of the customer  Education level Threats  New competitors  Technology based business THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 41
  • 42. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD 5. Analysis of Financial statement Particulars Year started Year ended 31.12.2009 31.03.2010 1. a) Income from Operations 6,828.21 33080.30 b)Other Operating Income 1,060.99 6107.91 Total 7,889.20 39188.21 2. Expenditure a) Employees Cost 3,273.20 11,160.62 b) Depreciation 525.40 2,422.20 c) Operating Expenses 678.57 3,089.73 d) Administrative & Other Expenses 1,129.81 23,658.27 Total 5,606.98 40,330.82 3. Profit/(loss) from the operations before 2282.22 (1142.61) other income, interest & exceptional item 4 Other income 61.34 1139.77 5. interest and finance charges 440.82 1945.34 6. Profit before exceptional items 1902.45 (1948.08) 7. Profit/(Loss) from Ordinary activities 1902.65 (1948.08) before Tax 8. Tax expenses 758.83 (659.77) 9. Net Profit/loss 1144.87 (1288.91) 6. Learning Experience This project work has helped me to know the nature of working in a business unit. During this project I have approached various professionals who have sufficient knowledge about share THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 42
  • 43. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD valuation. Their thoughts regarding how a particular share will be overvalued or undervalued has enlightened my knowledge of securities. I have gained knowledge regarding various sectors in the stock market. I am able to know how a stock price is affected by studying variables like Dividend, earning, growth etc. through this study I came to know that fundamental analysis has more weightage than technical analysis which mainly moves based on speculation. The project work gave me an opportunity to know many business related aspects which has influence on the profit of the company which in turn influences share valuation. The study made me to learn how people in an organization behave in a particular way. It exposed me to organizational climate in a company. The study enabled me to apply my theoretical knowledge of my course on the organizational working condition. Especially in the field of shares, I have gained immense knowledge. CHAPTER-4 THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 43
  • 44. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD ANALYSIS AND INTERPRETATION OF DATA The forgoing section in this report had a perspective of overall Economy in India. The next step is to analyze particular industry and compare them for selecting potential growth industry. Once the economics analysis is over; getting the prospects of the likely trend in the economy, analyzing the industry would be taken importance, knowing Which groups are promising in the coming year makes possible better entry into the company. There is however, no perfect correlation between the economy and the industry on one hand and of industries and companies on the other. India has mixed economy, where private and public sectors play a complementary role and promote a planned development. Since the initiation of the reforms in 1991, even foreign enterprises and MNCs given a due role to play in the development of the economy. As per the latest policy barring about 18 scheduled industrial groups, others are both open to public and private sector. But as the security market comprise only marketable securities and they are mostly form private corporate sector and pubic undertakings which are being shifted to the joint sector. Many financial services are thrown open to foreign sector now. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 44
  • 45. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Fundamental analysis is the cornerstone of investing. In fact, some would say that you aren't really investing if you aren't performing fundamental analysis. Because the subject is so broad; however, it's tough to know where to start. There are an endless number of investment strategies that are very different from each other, yet almost all use the fundamentals The biggest part of fundamental analysis involves delving into the financial statements. Also known as quantitative analysis, this involves looking at revenue, expenses, assets, liabilities and all the other financial aspects of a company. Fundamental analysts look at this information to gain insight on a company's future performance Qualitative factors Business Model Even before an investor looks at a company's financial statements or does any research, one of the most important questions that should be asked is: What exactly does the company do? This is referred to as a company's business model – it's how a company makes money Competitive Advantage Another business consideration for investors is competitive advantage. A company's long- term success is driven largely by its ability to maintain a competitive advantage - and keep it. Powerful competitive advantages, such as Coca Cola's brand name and Microsoft's domination of the personal computer operating system, create a moat around a business allowing it to keep competitors at bay and enjoy growth and profits. When a company can achieve competitive advantage, its shareholders can be well rewarded for decades Quantitative Factors Customers THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 45
  • 46. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Some companies serve only a handful of customers, while others serve millions. If a business relies on a small number of customers for a large portion of its sales because the loss of each customer could dramatically affect revenues. One change in government policy could potentially wipe out all of its sales. Market Share Understanding a company's present market share can tell volumes about the company's business. The fact that a company possesses an 85% market share tells you that it is the largest player in its market by far. When the firm is bigger than the rest of its rivals, it is in a better position to absorb the high fixed costs of a capital-intensive industry. Industry Growth One way of examining a company's growth potential is to first examine whether the amount of customers in the overall market will grow. This is crucial because without new customers, a company has to steal market share in order to grow. Regulation Certain industries are heavily regulated due to the importance or severity of the industry's products and/or services. As important as some of these regulations are to the public, they can drastically affect the attractiveness of a company for investment purposes. In industries where one or two companies represent the entire industry for a region (such as utility companies), governments usually specify how much profit each company can make. In these instances, while there is the potential for sizable profits, they are limited due to regulation COMPUTER AND SOFTWARE INDUSTRY THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 46
  • 47. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Indian software industry has a mix of a few large companies and several small to medium sized companies. Currently 31 Indian companies have exports of more than Rs1billion. These few large companies would however be classified as small companies by US standards. First generation entrepreneurs, who had limited access to finance and low risk taking capability, operate most of these large companies. Smaller companies, which are also typically entrepreneur run companies, have a similar potential to strike it rich. (a) Competitive Advantage- Low Cost and Location Much of India's strong growth in software in the past is attributable to the low cost of Indian programmers. Indian programmers repaid only about 15-20% of his/her counterpart in developed nations. Even among competing countries Indian software professionals were paid the least. India enjoys a location advantage. The advantage it enjoys over other countries is a 12-hour difference with the world's largest market - the USA. This enables US companies to establish round the clock software factories by subcontracting to Indian companies. (b) Export Performance The performance of the Indian software and service exports sector for the first three quarters, April to December 2009, FY 2009-10, India's software and services exports rise 5.5 percent in the year to March 2010 to $49.7 billion. Business has been picking up and leading companies such as Tata Consultancy services, Infosys Technologies and Wipro beat quarterly forecasts. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 47
  • 48. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD (c) Government Policies Government policies so far have been favorable to software companies. If tax exemption on exports is withdrawn it could affect software companies adversely. WTO regards tax exemptions on exports as an indirect subsidy and hence the government may phase out exemption in the near future. Growth of Net Profit of Computer and Software Industry 2009-10 Profit after Tax Q1 Q2 Q3 Infosys 1527 1540 1641 Wipro 785 1162 1217 HCL 300 344 255 TCS 1333 1540 1642 Source: Value Notes.com. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 48
  • 49. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Figure Showing growth of Net Profit of Indian Software companies Inference: The above graph depicts that there is major market share from Infosys and TCS. Wipro is closer to these two companies. Good amount of sales will increase the companies operating profit. As there is a consistent growth in sales of TCS, the investor can get good return. THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 49
  • 50. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD PHARMACEUTICAL INDUSTRY Global pharmaceutical market, western markets are the largest and fastest growing due to introduction of newer molecules at high prices. A well-established reimbursement and insurance system implies that per capita drug expenditure is a Billion normally high in Western Countries as compared to the developing nations. The Indian pharmaceutical industry is highly fragmented, but has grown rapidly due to the friendly patent regime and low cost manufacturing structure. Intense competition, high volumes and low prices characterize the Indian domestic market. Exports have been rising at around 30% over last five years. (a) Export Performance India’s Pharmaceutical exports are to the tune of Rs 275 bn of which formulations contribute nearly 55% and the rest 45% comes from bulk drugs. In FY2010 exports grew by 21% year. India’s Pharmaceutical imports were to the tune of Rs60.3bn in FY2010. Imports have registered a CAGR of only 2% in the past 5 years. Imports of bulk drugs have slowed down in the past 2-3 years. Exports have been rising at around 30% CAGR over last five years. (b) Competitive Position and Advantage The Indian pharmaceutical industry is highly fragmented, but has grown rapidly due to the friendly patent regime and low cost manufacturing structure. Intense competition, high volumes and low prices characterize the Indian domestic market. Over 20,000 registered pharmaceutical manufacturers exist in the country. The market share of MNCs has fallen from 75% in 1971 to around 35% in the Indian pharmaceuticals market, while the share of Indian companies has increased from 20% in 1971 to nearly 65%. PSUs have almost lost out completely. The sector has undergone several policy as well as attitudinal changes over the past two years. Patents are the main competitive advantage. Profit comparison of Major Pharma players 2009-10 THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 50
  • 51. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Net profit after tax Q1 Q2 Q3 Ranbaxy 675.45 186.08 488.23 Cipla 241.71 275.74 289.03 Fortis Healthcare -1.56 2.28 12.40 Dr Reddy Lab 227.44 197.06 168.42 Source: Value Notes.com Figure showing the Net profit growth of Pharmaceutical companies 2009-10 Inference: Among the above Pharma companies the net profit has seen volatility. The Q2 profit of Ranbaxy has drastically come down. Dr Reddy Lab has posted consistent losses and Cipla has posted a consistent profits. AUTOMOBILE INDUSTRY Since commercial vehicles sales have a linkage with industrial growth and diesel prices, the demand may fall on account purchase deferment due to prolonged THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 51
  • 52. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD uncertainties in respect of fuel prices and uniform sales taxes. The crude oil has grown by 0.6% in the current fiscal and the sustained increase in the global crude oil prices has led to a hefty increase in the diesel prices. (a) Government Policy The differential in duty structure also affects the demand for respective segments e.g. differential duty provisions between 8-seater and 10-seater changed the demand for each of the segments. Over and above state governments charge sales tax and control to effect the final prices to customer. In the current year, uniform sales tax to the tune of 04% has been levied in all the states across India. (i) Policy on Scrapping of Old Vehicles: The recent notification by judicial body to ban commercial vehicles above 20 years in age in New Delhi will lead to a demand for at least 15,000 vehicles to be satisfied in short period of time. If similar measures are implemented in other parts of the country will boost demand for new vehicle Net Profit comparison of major Automobile companies 2009-10 Q1 Q2 Q3 THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 52
  • 53. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Amtek Auto 62.27 30.50 35.08 Bajaj Auto 293.49 402.83 475.14 Tata Motors 513.76 729.14 400.14 Mahindra and Mahindra 400.85 702.94 413.70 Source: Value Notes.com Figure Showing the Profit comparison of Major Automobile companies Inference: The automobile majors Tata Motors and Mahindra and Mahindra have posted stellar profits during second quarter of the fiscal year 2009-10. There is a sharp decline in the profits during the 3rd quarter. Bajaj Auto which continued to serve rural segment has seen a consistent profit in all the quarters. Earnings Per Share EPS Comparison of Major IT companies Mar-05 Mar-06 Mar-07 Mar-08 Mar-09 THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 53
  • 54. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Infosys 80.30 102.70 74.44 87.69 113.70 Wipro 23.89 16.22 21.95 24.08 23.94 HCL 12.43 24.03 19.29 14.99 18.64 TCS 40.92 60.79 41.90 50.76 52.18 Source: Value Notes.com Figure Showing the EPS comparison of the Major IT Companies 120 100 80 Infosys Wipro 60 HCL 40 TCS 20 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Inference: Infosys provides highest EPS compared to its competitors. Inspite of the financial crisis post 2008, Infosys is able to manage higher EPS compared to its competitors. TCS also falls in line with Infosys in terms of EPS. So Infosys and TCS look attractive for investors. EPS Comparison of Major Pharma companies 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 54
  • 55. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD March March March March March Ranbaxy 32.78 8.41 13.08 19.74 -21.18 Cipla 15.50 22.94 9.92 10.71 11.95 Fortis -0.20 -1.20 -2.00 0.58 0.20 Dr Reddy 21.32 43.78 79.12 39.12 45.96 Lab Source: Value Notes.com Figure showing EPS Comparison of Major Pharma companies 100 80 60 Ranbaxy 40 Cipla 20 Fortis Dr Reddy Lab 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 -20 March March March March March -40 Inference: During the year 2007 Dr Reddy Lab managed to earn higher EPS than its competitors. Fortis, since it has less market share managed to earn meager EPS. Post Financial crisis Ranbaxy has negative EPS. Its share price has seen lows in 2010 because of its poor performance. EPS Comparison of major Automobile companies 2005 March 2006 March 2007 March 2008 March 2009 March THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 55
  • 56. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Amtek Auto 13.32 17.60 23.03 25.39 19.64 Bajaj Auto - 128.11 141.19 64.35 54.34 Tata Motors 48.49 55.47 67.07 71.22 37.49 M&M 62.42 45.30 53.70 56.16 41.39 Source: Value Notes.com Figure showing the EPS Comparison of major Automobile companies 160 140 120 100 Amtek Auto Bajaj Auto 80 Tata Motors 60 M&M 40 20 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Inference: Bajaj Auto has seen a huge jump in its EPS rate in 2006 and continued in 2007 but has taken a huge beat from world financial crisis. Even though the other competitors had felt the heat of financial crisis, they are less affected. Dividend per share Dividend per share comparison of major IT companies THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 56
  • 57. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD 2005 March 2006 March 2007 March 2008 March 2009 March Infosys 11.50 45.00 11.50 33.25 23.50 Wipro 5.00 5.00 6.00 6.00 4.00 HCL 16.00 16.00 8.00 9.00 7.00 TCS 11.50 13.50 11.50 14.00 14.00 Source: Value Notes.com Figure showing Dividend per share comparison of major IT companies 50 45 40 35 Infosys 30 Wipro 25 HCL 20 TCS 15 10 5 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Inference: Infosys pays high dividend compared to its competitors. Post financial crisis all the IT companies cautious of dividing profits. So there is a reduction in the dividend rate for all the above mentioned companies. Dividend per share comparison of major Pharma companies 2005 March 2006 March 2007 March 2008 March 2009 March THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 57
  • 58. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Ranbaxy 17.00 8.50 8.50 8.50 - Cipla 3.50 2.00 2.00 2.00 2.00 Fortis - - - - - Dr Reddy Lab 5.00 5.00 3.75 3.75 6.25 Source: Value Notes.com Figure showing Dividend per share comparison of major Pharma companies 18 16 14 12 Ranbaxy 10 Cipla 8 Fortis 6 Dr Reddy Lab 4 2 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Inference: Among all the above mentioned companies Ranbaxy is very poor in Dividend record. Fortis is not yielding any returns for the investor in terms of Dividend. Cipla has shown upward trend in 2009. Except Ranbaxy all the pharma companies have maintained a consistency in terms of dividend payment. Dividend per share comparison of major Automobile companies THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 58
  • 59. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Amtek 1.40 2.00 3.00 0.50 0.50 Auto Bajaj Auto - 40.00 40.00 20.00 22.00 Tata 12.50 13.00 15.00 15.00 12.50 Motors M&M 13.00 10.00 11.50 11.50 10.00 Source: Value Notes.com Figure showing Dividend per share comparison of major Automobile companies 45 40 35 30 Amtek Auto 25 Bajaj Auto 20 Tata Motors 15 M&M 10 5 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Inference: During the year 2006 and 2007 Amtek Auto has witnessed a huge jump in its net profit, so it has paid high dividend in these two years. All the other above mentioned companies have maintained same dividend record. Book Value Per Share Book Value (inclusive of reserves) per share comparison of major IT companies THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 59
  • 60. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Infosys 28.91 26.56 29.13 25.96 27.51 Wipro 69.54 45.03 63.86 79.05 85.42 HCL 89.59 79.64 51.61 48.22 - TCS 69.17 114.64 82.35 111.43 136.38 Source: Value Notes.com Figure showing Book Value (inclusive of reserves) per share comparison of major IT companies 160 140 120 100 Infosys Wipro 80 HCL 60 TCS 40 20 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Inference: The above graph shows that both TCS and Wipro have increased their book value consistently. Infosys is maintaining the same book value. In contrast HCL book value is consistently decreased because of its decrease in its profit. Book Value (inclusive of reserves) per share comparison of major Pharma companies THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 60
  • 61. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Ranbaxy 134.85 63.82 63.82 68.01 -8.70 Cipla 51.81 66.14 41.64 12.25 - Fortis 2.85 4.82 23.06 0.24 - Dr Reddy 271.05 294.95 225.31 198.84 237.40 Lab Source: Value Notes.com Figure showing Book Value (inclusive of reserves) per share comparison of major Pharma companies 350 300 250 200 Ranbaxy Cipla 150 Fortis 100 Dr Reddy Lab 50 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 -50 March March March March March Inference: The Pharma Company’s book value has hit a new low since 2008 financial crisis. Dr Reddy Lab has increased its book value inspite of world financial crisis. The year 2010 looks good for the Pharma sector. Book Value (inclusive of reserves) per share comparison of major Automobile companies 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 61
  • 62. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Amtek 67.21 107.60 128.82 5.20 - Auto Bajaj - 11.05 10.60 15.30 10.87 Auto Tata 113.15 144.26 178.00 7.77 2.61 Motors M&M 178.05 123.86 148.52 181.39 10.23 Source: Value Notes.com Figure showing Book Value (inclusive of reserves) per share comparison of major Automobile companies 200 180 160 140 Amtek Auto 120 Bajaj Auto 100 Tata Motors 80 M&M 60 40 20 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Inference: The world financial crisis made all the automobile companies incur losses and in turn the book value of these companies decreased. Tata Motors and Mahindra and Mahindra companies have international exposure and due to financial crisis their book value has decreased drastically. Debt Equity Ratio Debt Equity comparison of major IT companies 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 62
  • 63. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Infosys - - - - - Wipro 0.01 0.01 0.02 0.33 0.40 HCL 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.14 TCS 0.03 0.01 0.01 0.01 0.01 Source: Value Notes.com Figure showing Debt Equity comparison of major IT companies 0.45 0.4 0.35 0.3 Infosys 0.25 Wipro 0.2 HCL 0.15 TCS 0.1 0.05 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Inference: Wipro’s Debt-Equity ratio has increased rapidly in 2008. Infosys has no debt. HCL has little debt compared to rivals. TCS has decreased its debt in 2006 after that it maintains same level of debt. Debt Equity comparison of major Pharma companies 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Ranbaxy 0.05 0.43 1.35 1.38 1.05 THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 63
  • 64. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Cipla 0.12 0.23 0.03 0.15 0.21 Fortis 1.44 5.69 1.06 0.26 0.37 Dr Reddy 0.13 0.40 0.07 0.09 0.12 Lab Source: Value Notes.com Figure showing Debt Equity comparison of major Pharma companies 6 5 4 Ranbaxy Cipla 3 Fortis 2 Dr Reddy Lab 1 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Inference: Fortis had a huge debt during the year 2006. It has reduced this ratio within a year. During the year it has marginally increased its debt to acquire extra capacity. Ranbaxy is reducing its debt level Debt Equity comparison of major Automobile companies 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Amtek 1.24 1.24 0.75 0.99 1.32 Auto THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 64
  • 65. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Bajaj - 0.30 0.29 0.84 0.83 Auto Tata 0.60 0.53 0.58 0.80 1.06 Motors M&M 0.52 0.30 0.46 0.59 0.77 Source: Value Notes.com Figure showing Debt Equity comparison of major Automobile companies 1.4 1.2 1 Amtek Auto 0.8 Bajaj Auto 0.6 Tata Motors M&M 0.4 0.2 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Inference: Post financial crisis all major Automobile companies has increased its debt level to expand their business. Amtek auto share value is coming down since its decision to increase its debt level. Current Ratio Current Ratio comparison of major IT companies 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 65
  • 66. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Infosys 2.80 2.75 4.96 3.30 4.71 Wipro 1.54 1.46 1.68 2.54 1.83 HCL 0.81 0.99 1.41 1.12 1.83 TCS 1.77 2.25 1.99 1.99 1.83 Source: Value Notes.com Figure showing Current Ratio comparison of major IT companies 6 5 4 Infosys Wipro 3 HCL 2 TCS 1 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Inference: Above diagram shows that Infosys has high current ratio compared to its rivals. The current ratio has reduced for Wipro and TCS in 2009. Current Ratio comparison of major Pharma companies 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Ranbaxy 1.53 1.72 1.74 1.53 1.42 THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 66
  • 67. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Cipla 2.02 2.28 2.69 2.68 2.82 Fortis 0.93 2.52 3.07 7.55 3.08 Dr Reddy 3.15 3.00 3.21 2.41 2.65 Lab Source: Value Notes.com Figure showing Current Ratio comparison of major Pharma companies 8 7 6 5 Ranbaxy Cipla 4 Fortis 3 Dr Reddy Lab 2 1 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Inference: In the above graph it is clear that Fortis had increased its current ratio since 2005 up to 2008, but after financial crisis its current ratio had reduced significantly. Cipla had consistently increased its current ratio. Ranbaxy and Dr Reddy Lab has maintained more or less same level of current ratio Current Ratio comparison of major Automobile companies 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Amtek 10.88 11.96 4.42 6.52 6.97 Auto THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 67
  • 68. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Bajaj - 0.78 0.85 0.88 0.92 Auto Tata 0.99 1.24 1.24 0.89 0.84 Motors M&M 1.19 1.24 1.37 1.10 1.06 Source: Value Notes.com Figure showing Current Ratio comparison of major Automobile companies 14 12 10 Amtek Auto 8 Bajaj Auto 6 Tata Motors M&M 4 2 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 March March March March March Inference: Amtek auto has seen more volatility in its current ratio compared to rival companies. As shown in the above graph Bajaj auto, Tata Motors and M & M have maintained same level of current ratio. TRENDS IN DEFICITS OF CENTRAL GOVERNMENT Fiscal deficit measure the difference between government spending and revenues. Since government borrowing must offset the budgetary shortfall, large amounts of government THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 68
  • 69. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD borrowing can force up the interest rate by increasing the total demand for credit in the economy. Year Fiscal deficit Sensex return 2005 104717 7.7 2006 118816 -22.8 2007 140955 -4.5 2008 135524 -3.8 2009 145466 8.8 2010 153637 58.4 Correlation 0.546908 Source: Value Notes.com THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 69
  • 70. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Figure showing correlation between Fiscal deficit and Sensex return 180000 160000 140000 120000 100000 Fiscal deficit 80000 Sensex return 60000 40000 20000 0 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 -20000 Inference: THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 70
  • 71. FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS OF SECURITIES AT ANGEL BROKING LTD Shows there has been positive 0.546908924 between the fiscal deficit and Sensex indicates that deficit does not have direct influence on Sensex. However the relationship is negative, the above variable may move in opposite direction TRENDS IN GROWTH RATE OF INFRASTRUCTURE Investment in infrastructure developments indicates positive signal to the sectors in the economy, especially manufacturing companies related to transportation. In order to gain from the trade the transaction costs should be low. So the better facility reduces the cost of trade and enables the companies for making profit. Table Trends in the Savings and Investmen Year Total Energy Steel Transport and Growth rate of communication Sensex 2005-06 2.96 3.85 1.4 1.7 26.7 2006-07 10.06 6.68 15 11.6 7.7 2007-08 6.12 4.65 6.5 8.3 -22.7 2008-09 -1.56 1.61 2.4 -5.8 -4.5 2009-10 7.5 2.1 9.7 83.2 -3.8 Source: Value Notes.com THE OXFORD COLLEGE OF BUSINESS MANAGEMENT Page 71