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INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT: COMBINING LISTED WITH UNLISTED 
SEPTEMBER 2014 
PREPARED BY CONSILIA CAPITAL
1 
About the author 
Alex formed Consilia Capital in 2012 and has over 30 years 
experience in real estate finance and global capital markets. 
He is a visiting lecturer at Cass Business School. 
ALEX MOSS 
Managing Director, 
Consilia Capital
2 
Although there has been significant work undertaken by both practitioners and academics on the beneficial impact 
of adding listed real estate to an unlisted real estate portfolio (Moss and Farrelly 2013), and indeed the role of real 
estate in a multi-asset portfolio, there has been little work undertaken on the impact of combining listed and unlisted 
infrastructure funds. We believe that now is the time to look at this topic, given the noticeable increase in allocations 
to infrastructure by both institutional and retail investors over the last five years. This has been driven by a desire 
from investors for income, inflation hedging characteristics, a low correlation with other asset classes, and, where 
possible, liquidity. 
The listed real estate market has grown from a small niche opportunity in the 1960’s to a stand-alone asset 
class today. The early years of the United States (US) Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) market showed strong 
performance. Many investors would have likely questioned the future opportunity and potentially missed out on 
a rewarding investment opportunity over the next 50 years. 
Evidence suggests listed infrastructure as an asset class is at the same place where US REITS was in its development 
in the mid to late 1980s, as the chart below shows. 
In this paper we discuss… 
>> The term ‘infrastructure assets’ and the key investment characteristics investors look for 
>> How the listed and unlisted sectors differ and how allocations to listed infrastructure 
are determined 
>> The benefits of combining listed and unlisted infrastructure and the benchmarks that 
can be used for unlisted infrastructure 
>> The most appropriate methodology for determining the impact of combining listed and 
unlisted infrastructure 
>>The impact of combining listed and unlisted infrastructure and the practical applications 
for adding listed infrastructure to a portfolio of unlisted infrastructure assets 
Source: Bloomberg. Global Infrastructure Securities measured by Dow Jones Brookfield Global Infrastructure Index TR USD from 
31/12/2002-31/12/2013. US REITS measured by FTSE NAREIT US Real Estate TR USD from 31/12/1971-31/12/2001 
US REITS Global Infrastructure Securities 
- 
500 
1,000 
1,500 
2,000 
2,500 
3,000 
3,500 
4,000 
5 
10 
15 
20 
25 
Years 
Index , since inception =100 
30 
Intuitively, we would expect that listed infrastructure, like REITs can act as both a return and liquidity enhancer 
when combined with unlisted infrastructure, and also as diversifier in a mixed asset portfolio.
3 
We believe there are three factors in particular that should be considered when looking at the impact of 
including listed infrastructure compared to that of listed real estate. 
Differences in the nature of the investible universe 
Unlike real estate where the geography of the assets (both regional and country level), and structure of the vehicle (e.g. REIT v.s. REOC) can be as important as the generic sub-sector type (e.g. retail, office etc.), for infrastructure the key clusters are defined by specific industrial, rather than geographic groupings. 
Lack of a universal unlisted infrastructure benchmark 
Real estate has benefitted enormously from the existence of private market indices, at both the fund and asset level. Although there are regional variations in the frequency and quality of data, IPD now produce a Global Property Index that can be used as a benchmark proxy for unlisted real estate. For infrastructure there is not currently a standard global infrastructure Index commonly used, and there are a number of different return requirements from infrastructure investors. We therefore have to examine the impact of adding listed infrastructure to a variety of different benchmarks to assess the impact. 
Smaller time series available 
In broad terms, global infrastructure data is available from around 2007 compared to real estate data which is available back to the early 1980’s. It is therefore not possible to undertake an analysis of infrastructure performance over several cycles. 
Defining infrastructure assets 
Bachher et al (2012) describe the asset class as consisting of a heterogeneous collection of core physical assets and essential service businesses that support an economy’s day to day functioning. Most private investment in the area has gone into civil infrastructure. This is generally defined to include the communications, energy, transportation, and water and waste sectors. In the UK and Europe, significant private investment has also gone into social infrastructure, including schools, government buildings, and health care facilities. AMP Capital define the infrastructure investment universe by splitting the industries into four categories, based on risk and reward as shown in Figure 1 below. 
Source: AMP Capital 
Figure 1 Risk and return characteristics of listed infrastructure 
Water utilitiesOil & gas storage/transportTransmission & Distribution SocialInfrastructure Ring 1Ring 2Risk Return Ring 3Ring 4Toll roadsAirportsPortsCommunicationsDiversifiedMLPs* Integrated utilitiesContracted GenerationPostalRailwaysConstructionEngineeringInfrastructure ServicesShipping LogisticsMerchant Generation 
As Figure 1 shows, the ’purest’ level provides lowest risk. It is important to note that in infrastructure (unlike real estate) the risk-adjusted return characteristics are key to investment decision making, rather than the underlying asset itself. 
This makes it possible to clearly distinguish between positive characteristics inherent in an asset (Ring 1) and those characteristics which increase risk and decrease attractiveness. 
In summary, the positive characteristics of infrastructure can be classified as: 
>> 
Assets with monopoly-like characteristics 
>> 
Long term (10 years plus) contracts 
>> 
Clear inflation linkage 
>> 
Track record 
>> 
High visibility of cash flow 
Similarly, the characteristics which deviate from ’pure’ infrastructure investment would include: 
>> 
Participation in highly competitive markets 
>> 
Significant turnover sensitivity to volume changes in variables such as traffic 
>> 
Significant negative sensitivity to commodity prices 
>> 
Lack of income certainty (such as investments in Greenfield assets) 
>> 
Volatile cash flow
4 
What are the key investment characteristics investors look for? 
Unlike other asset classes, investors use infrastructure for a variety of different roles in portfolio management. One of the best ways of understanding the requirements from an infrastructure allocation is to look at the institutional benchmarks for that asset class. Bachher et al (2012) looked at the available benchmark families for infrastructure and found that investors have different goals, leaving no single ‘right’ way to benchmark the asset class. In a survey of the benchmarks used by institutional investors, they found that there was not even a consensus on the style of the benchmark. The types used, which by definition reflect the investment characteristics of infrastructure, were: 
>> 
Absolute return 
>> 
Inflation based (CPI + ) 
>> 
Inflation plus risk premium (CPI + Bond and equity premiums) 
>> 
Fixed income index 
>> 
Hybrid approaches 
The variety of benchmarks used reflects not only the lack of long–term time series data for the asset class, but more particularly the different roles infrastructure can be expected to play in portfolio management. Unsurprisingly, different strategic approaches necessitate different benchmarks. Despite the differences, there does appear to be a consensus among institutional investors that infrastructure fits somewhere between regular equities and fixed income on the risk-reward spectrum. They found that some investors were looking to infrastructure to provide equity- like returns with bond-like risks and serving as a first-order proxy for long-dated liabilities. 
In summary, we can identify the main required investment characteristics of infrastructure as: 
>> 
Attractive risk-adjusted returns, complementing a diversified portfolio 
>> 
Reliable inflation-linked returns 
>> 
Low correlation and volatility compared with traditional asset classes 
>> 
Stable long-term yields, with the potential for capital growth 
>> 
Defensive characteristics emanating from the provision of essential services 
>> 
Potential for value enhancement through active management of the assets 
How do the listed and unlisted sectors differ? 
As with real estate, the underlying returns of listed and unlisted infrastructure can be expected to converge over the medium term, but over the shorter term there are obvious structural differences relating to liquidity and volatility. These are summarised in Figure 2 below. 
There are also however, differences in terms of the investable universe of listed and unlisted infrastructure. This includes by asset and industry type (whereby listed infrastructure can provide opportunities not available in the unlisted sector), in addition to its structural benefits, such as liquidity and diversification. 
Source: AMP Capital 
Figure 2 Characteristics of listed and unlisted infrastructure 
Listed 
Unlisted 
Geographic Diversity 
Very high 
Low 
Asset Diversity 
Very high 
Low 
Liquidity 
Very high 
Low 
Daily Valuations 
Yes 
No 
Control 
Low 
Low to Very high 
Volatility of valuation 
High 
Low 
Transaction cost 
Low 
High 
Portfolio Turnover 
High 
Low 
Investment horizon 
Medium Term (5 years) 
Long Term (10 years)
5 
How are allocations to listed infrastructure determined? 
One of the key issues to understand is how allocators and investment consultants view the exposure to listed infrastructure. We undertook a brief, informal, and non-attributable survey of allocators and consultants and asked three questions: 
1) Does the allocation to listed infrastructure come from the infrastructure allocation, or from elsewhere 
(i.e. bonds, equities, other real assets)? 
2) Typically, who will cover the listed infrastructure holdings? 
3) What are the key factors in comparing listed with unlisted (e.g. tax, asset quality etc)? 
The responses received suggest: 
>> 
The allocation typically comes from the infrastructure bucket, rather than equity or bond allocations. In particular, as well as permanent allocations, there appears to be a trend for temporary allocations to listed infrastructure, prior to investment in unlisted infrastructure funds. This can last for around 12 months, and also helps reduce the impact of fund vintage on performance. 
>> 
Listed infrastructure holdings tend to be monitored primarily by the infrastructure team. 
>> 
In general terms, allocators focus on factors such as liquidity and general diversification when assessing the merits of listed infrastructure rather than a comparison of the quality of assets available, and any differences in tax treatment. 
Combining listed and unlisted infrastructure 
Complementary or substitutes? 
Rob Pereira (2008) looked at whether listed assets and their unlisted counterparts should be treated by investors as substitutes or complements. If these two forms of investment are substitutes, then investors can swap one for the other. However, if it can be established that there are benefits to holding both together in a portfolio, then they should be treated as complementary. The notion that listed and unlisted counterparts may be complements derives from their differences. Some of the key points of difference include: 
>> 
Drivers of risk and return 
>> 
Sources of excess returns 
>> 
Basis of pricing 
>> 
Liquidity 
>> 
Implementation and Governance 
He concluded that economic theory might suggest that it should not matter to an investor whether an asset was in a listed or an unlisted form. However, in reality it does matter, as there are material differences between the listed and unlisted sectors of most asset classes. The report highlighted some of these differences, which occur in aspects such as the underlying sources of risk and return, basis of pricing, liquidity, implementation and governance. 
The appropriate response in terms of allocation can be expected to vary across investors. Tolerance for illiquidity and time horizon can be key decision variables in this respect. Investors with a strong need for liquidity should place tight constraints on the use of unlisted assets. Time horizon can influence the degree to which listed and unlisted counterparts might be viewed as substitutes or complements. When performance is viewed from a short time perspective using monthly or quarterly data, returns on unlisted assets lag their listed counterparts and have significantly lower volatility and correlations. Therefore, listed and unlisted assets in the same asset class can behave in a complementary fashion. As the time frame lengthens, risk and returns for listed and their unlisted counterparts tend to converge so they become closer to being substitutes. Nevertheless, there will still remain enough differences in the underlying exposures and the drivers of risk and return to ensure that listed and unlisted assets are never complete substitutes. 
For most investors there are likely to be clear advantages from holding both forms, unless severely constrained by liquidity or other binding concerns. This approach provides investors with greater flexibility to take advantage opportunistically of any significant pricing divergences that occur between listed assets and their unlisted counterparts. 
The impact of including global listed infrastructure in a mixed asset portfolio 
Oyedele et al (2012) looked at global listed infrastructure investment performance compared with other global asset classes such as stocks, bonds, real estate investment trusts, property, hedge funds and private equity over the timeframe 2001-2010. The study is supportive of the argument that the inclusion of infrastructure in a mixed asset portfolio enhances investment performance. The role of global infrastructure in a multiasset portfolio is shown to be more risk reduction rather than enhancement of return. From a practical viewpoint, the systematic allocation of between 10 and 18% of infrastructure into a global investment portfolio can significantly enhance diversification benefits for investors.
6 
So, which benchmarks should we use for listed and unlisted infrastructure? 
To determine whether there are benefits for investors to combine listed and unlisted assets in a portfolio, 
we need to identify the most suitable benchmarks. Here, we analyse a number of possibilities. 
Unlisted infrastructure indices: 
An Australian Unlisted Infrastructure index is now available from IPD dating back to 2001. The 
Preqin Private Infrastructure Index is global and goes back to 2007. 
Unlisted infrastructure fund actual returns 
Using Preqin data, we are able to group global infrastructure indices returns by vintage. 
Unlisted infrastructure target returns 
Looking at the data provided by infrastructure fund research, we are able to group together target internal 
rate of return (IRR) to provide an unlisted benchmark. This currently equates to a net IRR target of 10-12%, 
representing a gross IRR target of 15%-20%. 
Source: IPD, Preqin 
Figure 3 Unlisted infrastructure indices 
0 
20 
40 
60 
80 
100 
120 
140 
160 
180 
IPD Australia 
Prequin Global Index 
1/07/2008 
1/02/2009 
1/09/2009 
1/04/2010 
1/11/2010 
1/06/2011 
1/01/2012 
1/01/2012 
1/03/2013 
1/12/2007 
Source: Preqin 
Figure 4 Unlisted infrastructure returns by vintage 
-50% 
-40% 
-30% 
-20% 
-10% 
0% 
10% 
20% 
30% 
40% 
50% 
60% 
1992-1999 
2000-2005 
2006 
2007 
2008 
2009 
2010 
2011 
Net IRR since Inception 
Vintage Year 
Maximum IRR (%) Median IRR (%) Minimum IRR (%)
7 
Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg 
Figure 6 Listed Infrastructure indices 
0 
0.5 
1 
1.5 
2 
2.5 
3 
3.5 
4 
4.5 
Brookfield Macquarie NMX S&P 
31/10/2003 
31/08/2004 
31/12/2002 
31/12/2012 
31/12/2007 
30/06/2005 
30/04/2006 
28/02/2007 
30/06/2010 
Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg 
Figure 5 NAV indices 
0 
20 
40 
60 
80 
100 
120 
ishares NAV Index MacQ NAV Index 
1/09/2008 
1/06/2009 
1/03/2010 
1/12/2010 
1/09/2011 
1/12/2007 
1/03/2013 
1/06/2012 
Figure 7 Equal weighted fund indicators 
0 
20 
40 
60 
80 
100 
120 
140 
160 
180 
31/08/2007 
30/06/2008 
31/10/2006 
26/02/2010 
31/12/2010 
30/04/2009 
31/08/2012 
28/06/2013 
31/10/2011 
30/04/2014 
Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg 
Listed infrastructure Net Asset Value (NAV) indices 
These indices provide the underlying NAV progression of the constituent members rather than the total 
return profiles of the units in the funds. 
Listed infrastructure indices 
There are a number of benchmarks available, including Brookfield, Macquarie and S&P. 
Listed infrastructure funds 
Using the Consilia Capital database, we can construct a representative sample of listed infrastructure fund returns. 
The chart below shows the equal weighted average of 14 of these funds, returns are all rebased in US$.
Unlisted Listed 
0 
20 
40 
60 
80 
100 
120 
140 
160 
1/10/2008 
1/08/2009 
1/12/2007 
1/06/2010 
1/02/2012 
1/12/2012 
1/04/2011 
Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg. For further details on how performance has been calculated, please contact Consilia Capital. 
Figure 8 Listed v.s. unlisted performance 
It can therefore be seen, that there are a wide range of benchmarks that could be used, both absolute and relative, 
global and domestic, but there are limitations (particularly in terms of the length of time series available) that 
investors need to be aware of in all of them. 
Which methodology is most appropriate to understand the impact of combining listed 
and unlisted infrastructure? 
Given the variety of benchmarks available, and the lack of global comparisons it is important that we make our 
analysis as rigorous and explicit possible. We therefore decided to split the study into two sections: 
>> Combining global unlisted and global listed: There is no broadly acceptable global unlisted infrastructure index 
available prior to 2007. Therefore the initial part of the study will look at the impact of combining listed and unlisted 
global infrastructure since 2007. 
>> Combining domestic unlisted and global listed: There is an IPD based Australian Index available from 2001 so for the 
second stage we can look at a domestic unlisted portfolio combined with a global listed exposure (which has been 
done for real estate) over this longer time period. 
Combining global listed infrastructure with global unlisted infrastructure funds since 2007 
In the first example, we compare the Preqin Unlisted Index with an equal weighted average of the four global 
infrastructure indices. At first glance, there appears to be little benefit in adding listed to an unlisted portfolio 
(ignoring liquidity benefits and assuming low volatilities for unlisted are realistic). 
However, this disguises the fact that there are significant (divergent) changes on a quarterly basis. The more 
volatile listed infrastructure exposure actually has a correlation of -1% with unlisted infrastructure over this period. 
We can therefore see that in this instance, adding listed both increased liquidity and diversification. 
8 
Figure 9 Listed vs unlisted performance – quarterly returns 
-20 
-15 
-10 
-5 
0 
5 
10 
15 
20 
Listed 
31/03/2009 
30/06/2008 
30/09/2010 
31/12/2009 
31/03/2012 
31/12/2012 
30/06/2011 
30/09/2013 
Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg. For further details on how performance has been calculated, please contact Consilia Capital.
Turning now to the impact of combining listed and unlisted exposure, Figure 10 shows the initial results. We show 
initially a 100% unlisted portfolio, then a 100% listed portfolio, and then the impact of combining a 70% unlisted weighting 
with a 30% listed weighting. The final column shows the difference between this 70/30 blended return and the unlisted 
return in that calendar year. 
What is noticeable is that, with the exception of 2008 where the returns of the unlisted funds were at odds with 
all liquid asset classes, adding listed infrastructure exposure to unlisted infrastructure has a neutral to positive impact 
on raw returns, before taking into account any benefit for improved liquidity, or diversification of risk. 
Combining global listed infrastructure with domestic unlisted infrastructure funds since 2002 
With a longer time series we can now start to look at the impact of combining listed and unlisted infrastructure 
over the cycle. Unlike the previous period, this captures the run up to the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the 
outperformance of listed infrastructure in that period. 
Undertaking the same analysis, we see again the increased volatility of listed on a quarterly basis, and interestingly 
the correlation is only 18.6% over the period. 
9 
Figure 11 Domestic unlisted and global listed 
0 
0.5 
1 
1.5 
2 
2.5 
3 
3.5 
4 
Unlisted Listed 
Dec 02 
Dec 03 
Dec 04 
Dec 05 
Dec 06 
Dec 07 
Dec 08 
Dec 09 
Dec 10 
Dec 11 
Dec 12 
Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg. For further details on how performance has been calculated, please contact Consilia Capital. 
Figure 12 Domestic unlisted and global listed - quarterly 
-20 
-15 
-10 
-5 
0 
5 
10 
15 
20 
Unlisted Listed 
Dec 02 
Jan 04 
Feb 05 
Mar 06 
Apr 07 
May 08 
Jun 09 
Jul 10 
Aug 11 
Sep 12 
Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg. For further details on how performance has been calculated, please contact Consilia Capital. 
Annual changes % 
Unlisted Listed 70/30 Change % 
2008 21.40 -33.51 4.93 -16.47 
2009 -16.31 26.33 -3.52 12.79 
2010 11.02 8.31 10.21 -0.81 
2011 8.07 7.27 7.83 -0.24 
2012 8.70 13.07 10.01 1.31 
2013 8.15 9.49 8.55 0.40 
Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg. For further details on how performance has been calculated, please contact Consilia Capital. 
Figure 10 Listed v.s. unlisted performance
10 
Impact of the cycle on blended returns 
Turning finally to the annual changes and the impact of adding listed infrastructure, we observe that in only one year (2008) out of the period would the addition of listed infrastructure have been a negative factor on absolute performance. 
Figure 13 Impact of blending 
Applications in practice 
Given the positive contribution of adding listed infrastructure to an unlisted portfolio, we believe there are a number of potential applications of this strategy in providing a liquid source of long term income, which has inflation hedging properties and low correlation with other asset classes. These include but are not limited to: 
> A simple 70/30 fixed blend of global unlisted and global listed infrastructure to enhance risk adjusted returns and liquidity 
> Similarly, using a fixed blend of domestic unlisted, (which typically is easier to access than global ) and global listed infrastructure to reduce risk correlations whilst gaining exposure to the asset class and enhancing liquidity 
> Using an actively managed listed portfolio to provide exposure to asset and industry types not accessible through the unlisted market. 
> Varying the weighting of an actively managed listed portfolio from an initial 30% to take account of differing valuations in the listed and unlisted sector to enhance risk-adjusted returns 
> Using a listed infrastructure portfolio to gain access to the sector pending investment into specific unlisted funds/ projects. 
Conclusions 
In this paper, we have defined the infrastructure opportunity as comprising four categories of industries, ranging from the lowest risk of ‘pure’ infrastructure industries, such as utilities, to the highest risk industries, such as infrastructure services. 
We have identified the key investment characteristics that investors are looking for as: 
>> 
Attractive risk-adjusted returns, complementing a diversified portfolio 
>> 
Reliable inflation-linked returns 
>> 
Low correlation and volatility compared with traditional asset classes 
>> 
Stable long-term yields, with the potential for capital growth 
>> 
Defensive characteristics emanating from the provision of essential services 
>> 
Potential for value enhancement through active management of the assets 
Annual changes % 
Unlisted 
Listed 
70/30 
Change % 
2003 
10.13 
27.73 
15.41 
5.28 
2004 
17.64 
29.97 
21.34 
3.70 
2005 
17.91 
16.26 
17.42 
-0.49 
2006 
12.58 
31.34 
18.21 
5.63 
2007 
21.68 
18.35 
20.69 
-1.00 
2008 
4.89 
-33.51 
-6.63 
-11.52 
2009 
-0.58 
26.33 
7.49 
8.07 
2010 
11.96 
8.31 
10.87 
-1.10 
2011 
12.49 
7.27 
10.92 
-1.56 
2012 
11.33 
13.07 
11.85 
0.52 
2013 
15.45 
11.63 
14.30 
-1.15 
Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg. For further details on how performance has been calculated, please contact Consilia Capital.
11 
The table below outlines how the listed and unlisted sectors differ. 
Previous academic studies have shown that listed infrastructure is complementary to unlisted infrastructure (assuming no liquidity constraints) and that adding listed infrastructure to a mixed asset portfolio enhances performance, predominantly through risk reduction. 
We examined a variety of potential benchmarks, including indices from IPD and Preqin, fund NAVs, actual and target returns, listed indices and custom listed fund indicators, and found the longest available domestic time series for unlisted infrastructure as well as the shorter global series is the most appropriate methodology for determining the impact of combining listed and unlisted infrastructure. 
Using the longest time series available and recognised benchmark indices, we found that in only 1 year out of the period (2008), would the addition of listed infrastructure have been a negative factor on absolute performance. Overall, combing global listed infrastructure with both global and unlisted infrastructure has a neutral to positive impact on raw performance, with the additional benefits of liquidity and risk diversification. 
Annual changes % 
Unlisted 
Listed 
70/30 
Change % 
2003 
10.13 
27.73 
15.41 
5.28 
2004 
17.64 
29.97 
21.34 
3.70 
2005 
17.91 
16.26 
17.42 
-0.49 
2006 
12.58 
31.34 
18.21 
5.63 
2007 
21.68 
18.35 
20.69 
-1.00 
2008 
4.89 
-33.51 
-6.63 
-11.52 
2009 
-0.58 
26.33 
7.49 
8.07 
2010 
11.96 
8.31 
10.87 
-1.10 
2011 
12.49 
7.27 
10.92 
-1.56 
2012 
11.33 
13.07 
11.85 
0.52 
2013 
15.45 
11.63 
14.30 
-1.15 
Source: AMP Capital 
Listed 
Unlisted 
Geographic Diversity 
Very high 
Low 
Asset Diversity 
Very high 
Low 
Liquidity 
Very high 
Low 
Daily Valuations 
Yes 
No 
Control 
Low 
Low to Very high 
Volatility of valuation 
High 
Low 
Transaction cost 
Low 
High 
Portfolio Turnover 
High 
Low 
Investment horizon 
Medium Term (5 years) 
Long Term (10 years) 
What are the current and potential practical applications of adding listed infrastructure to a portfolio of unlisted infrastructure assets? 
Given the positive contribution of adding listed infrastructure to an unlisted portfolio we believe there are a number of potential applications in providing a liquid source of long term income, which has inflation hedging properties and low correlation with other asset classes. 
These include but are not limited to: 
>> 
A simple 70/30 fixed blend of global unlisted and global listed infrastructure to enhance risk adjusted returns and liquidity 
>> 
Similarly, using a fixed blend of domestic unlisted, (which typically is easier to access than global) and global listed infrastructure to reduce risk correlations whilst gaining exposure to the asset class and enhancing liquidity 
>> 
Using an actively managed listed portfolio to provide exposure to asset and industry types not accessible through the unlisted market 
>> 
Varying the weighting of an actively managed listed portfolio from an initial 30% to take account of differing valuations in the listed and unlisted sector to enhance risk-adjusted returns 
>> 
Using a listed infrastructure portfolio to gain access to the sector pending investment into specific unlisted 
funds/projects.
12 
References 
Bachher, J, Orr, R. and Settel D. (2012), Benchmarks for Unlisted Infrastructure, CFA Institute. 
Bailey, Jeffrey V. (1992a) Are Manager Universes Acceptable Performance Benchmarks? 
Journal of Portfolio Management, vol.18, no.3 (spring):9-12. 
Bailey, Jeffrey V. (1992b). Evaluating Benchmark Quality, Financial Analysts Journal, vol 48, no 3 (May/June):33-39. 
Foster P. (2007), Infrastructure Investment: Crossing the divide from Asset to Investment Characteristics 
Portfolio Construction Conference, Sydney. 
Moss A., Farrelly K, (2013), The performance implications of adding global listed real estate to an unlisted 
real estate portfolio: A case study for UK Defined Contribution funds. EPRA. 
Moss A, Baum A, (2012), Are listed real estate stocks managed as part of the real estate allocation?, EPRA. 
Moss A., Baum A., (2012), The use of listed real estate securities in asset management. A literature review 
and summary of current practical applications, EPRA. 
Oyedele J., Adair A., & McGreal S. (2014), Performance of Global listed infrastructure investment in a 
mixed asset portfolio, Journal of Property Research, 31:1, 1-25. 
Newell G., Peng & De Francesco (2011), The Performance of unlisted infrastructure in investment portfolios, 
Journal of Property Research, 28:1, 59-74. 
Russell Research 2008 – Listed vs Unlisted – Substitutes or Complements? 
RARE Guide to Listed vs Unlisted Infrastructure, January 2013.
All investing involves risk, and you should consider investment risks before making an investment decision. One of the key risks of investing in infrastructure assets is illiquidity, and it should be noted that this risk still remains even if listed and unlisted infrastructure assets are blended. While every care has been taken in the preparation of this paper, AMP Capital Investors Limited (ABN 59 001 777 591, AFSL 232497) and makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any statement in it including, without limitation, any forecasts. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. This paper has been prepared for the purpose of providing general information, without taking account of any particular investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. An investor should, before making any investment decisions, consider the appropriateness of the information in this paper, and seek professional advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation and needs. This paper is solely for the use of the party to whom it is provided and must not be provided to any other person or entity without the express written consent of AMP Capital. 
This paper, unless otherwise specified, is current at the date of publication and will not be updated or otherwise revised to reflect information that subsequently becomes available, or circumstances existing or changes occurring after that date.

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Infrastructure investment combining listed with unlisted

  • 1. INFRASTRUCTURE INVESTMENT: COMBINING LISTED WITH UNLISTED SEPTEMBER 2014 PREPARED BY CONSILIA CAPITAL
  • 2. 1 About the author Alex formed Consilia Capital in 2012 and has over 30 years experience in real estate finance and global capital markets. He is a visiting lecturer at Cass Business School. ALEX MOSS Managing Director, Consilia Capital
  • 3. 2 Although there has been significant work undertaken by both practitioners and academics on the beneficial impact of adding listed real estate to an unlisted real estate portfolio (Moss and Farrelly 2013), and indeed the role of real estate in a multi-asset portfolio, there has been little work undertaken on the impact of combining listed and unlisted infrastructure funds. We believe that now is the time to look at this topic, given the noticeable increase in allocations to infrastructure by both institutional and retail investors over the last five years. This has been driven by a desire from investors for income, inflation hedging characteristics, a low correlation with other asset classes, and, where possible, liquidity. The listed real estate market has grown from a small niche opportunity in the 1960’s to a stand-alone asset class today. The early years of the United States (US) Real Estate Investment Trust (REIT) market showed strong performance. Many investors would have likely questioned the future opportunity and potentially missed out on a rewarding investment opportunity over the next 50 years. Evidence suggests listed infrastructure as an asset class is at the same place where US REITS was in its development in the mid to late 1980s, as the chart below shows. In this paper we discuss… >> The term ‘infrastructure assets’ and the key investment characteristics investors look for >> How the listed and unlisted sectors differ and how allocations to listed infrastructure are determined >> The benefits of combining listed and unlisted infrastructure and the benchmarks that can be used for unlisted infrastructure >> The most appropriate methodology for determining the impact of combining listed and unlisted infrastructure >>The impact of combining listed and unlisted infrastructure and the practical applications for adding listed infrastructure to a portfolio of unlisted infrastructure assets Source: Bloomberg. Global Infrastructure Securities measured by Dow Jones Brookfield Global Infrastructure Index TR USD from 31/12/2002-31/12/2013. US REITS measured by FTSE NAREIT US Real Estate TR USD from 31/12/1971-31/12/2001 US REITS Global Infrastructure Securities - 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000 5 10 15 20 25 Years Index , since inception =100 30 Intuitively, we would expect that listed infrastructure, like REITs can act as both a return and liquidity enhancer when combined with unlisted infrastructure, and also as diversifier in a mixed asset portfolio.
  • 4. 3 We believe there are three factors in particular that should be considered when looking at the impact of including listed infrastructure compared to that of listed real estate. Differences in the nature of the investible universe Unlike real estate where the geography of the assets (both regional and country level), and structure of the vehicle (e.g. REIT v.s. REOC) can be as important as the generic sub-sector type (e.g. retail, office etc.), for infrastructure the key clusters are defined by specific industrial, rather than geographic groupings. Lack of a universal unlisted infrastructure benchmark Real estate has benefitted enormously from the existence of private market indices, at both the fund and asset level. Although there are regional variations in the frequency and quality of data, IPD now produce a Global Property Index that can be used as a benchmark proxy for unlisted real estate. For infrastructure there is not currently a standard global infrastructure Index commonly used, and there are a number of different return requirements from infrastructure investors. We therefore have to examine the impact of adding listed infrastructure to a variety of different benchmarks to assess the impact. Smaller time series available In broad terms, global infrastructure data is available from around 2007 compared to real estate data which is available back to the early 1980’s. It is therefore not possible to undertake an analysis of infrastructure performance over several cycles. Defining infrastructure assets Bachher et al (2012) describe the asset class as consisting of a heterogeneous collection of core physical assets and essential service businesses that support an economy’s day to day functioning. Most private investment in the area has gone into civil infrastructure. This is generally defined to include the communications, energy, transportation, and water and waste sectors. In the UK and Europe, significant private investment has also gone into social infrastructure, including schools, government buildings, and health care facilities. AMP Capital define the infrastructure investment universe by splitting the industries into four categories, based on risk and reward as shown in Figure 1 below. Source: AMP Capital Figure 1 Risk and return characteristics of listed infrastructure Water utilitiesOil & gas storage/transportTransmission & Distribution SocialInfrastructure Ring 1Ring 2Risk Return Ring 3Ring 4Toll roadsAirportsPortsCommunicationsDiversifiedMLPs* Integrated utilitiesContracted GenerationPostalRailwaysConstructionEngineeringInfrastructure ServicesShipping LogisticsMerchant Generation As Figure 1 shows, the ’purest’ level provides lowest risk. It is important to note that in infrastructure (unlike real estate) the risk-adjusted return characteristics are key to investment decision making, rather than the underlying asset itself. This makes it possible to clearly distinguish between positive characteristics inherent in an asset (Ring 1) and those characteristics which increase risk and decrease attractiveness. In summary, the positive characteristics of infrastructure can be classified as: >> Assets with monopoly-like characteristics >> Long term (10 years plus) contracts >> Clear inflation linkage >> Track record >> High visibility of cash flow Similarly, the characteristics which deviate from ’pure’ infrastructure investment would include: >> Participation in highly competitive markets >> Significant turnover sensitivity to volume changes in variables such as traffic >> Significant negative sensitivity to commodity prices >> Lack of income certainty (such as investments in Greenfield assets) >> Volatile cash flow
  • 5. 4 What are the key investment characteristics investors look for? Unlike other asset classes, investors use infrastructure for a variety of different roles in portfolio management. One of the best ways of understanding the requirements from an infrastructure allocation is to look at the institutional benchmarks for that asset class. Bachher et al (2012) looked at the available benchmark families for infrastructure and found that investors have different goals, leaving no single ‘right’ way to benchmark the asset class. In a survey of the benchmarks used by institutional investors, they found that there was not even a consensus on the style of the benchmark. The types used, which by definition reflect the investment characteristics of infrastructure, were: >> Absolute return >> Inflation based (CPI + ) >> Inflation plus risk premium (CPI + Bond and equity premiums) >> Fixed income index >> Hybrid approaches The variety of benchmarks used reflects not only the lack of long–term time series data for the asset class, but more particularly the different roles infrastructure can be expected to play in portfolio management. Unsurprisingly, different strategic approaches necessitate different benchmarks. Despite the differences, there does appear to be a consensus among institutional investors that infrastructure fits somewhere between regular equities and fixed income on the risk-reward spectrum. They found that some investors were looking to infrastructure to provide equity- like returns with bond-like risks and serving as a first-order proxy for long-dated liabilities. In summary, we can identify the main required investment characteristics of infrastructure as: >> Attractive risk-adjusted returns, complementing a diversified portfolio >> Reliable inflation-linked returns >> Low correlation and volatility compared with traditional asset classes >> Stable long-term yields, with the potential for capital growth >> Defensive characteristics emanating from the provision of essential services >> Potential for value enhancement through active management of the assets How do the listed and unlisted sectors differ? As with real estate, the underlying returns of listed and unlisted infrastructure can be expected to converge over the medium term, but over the shorter term there are obvious structural differences relating to liquidity and volatility. These are summarised in Figure 2 below. There are also however, differences in terms of the investable universe of listed and unlisted infrastructure. This includes by asset and industry type (whereby listed infrastructure can provide opportunities not available in the unlisted sector), in addition to its structural benefits, such as liquidity and diversification. Source: AMP Capital Figure 2 Characteristics of listed and unlisted infrastructure Listed Unlisted Geographic Diversity Very high Low Asset Diversity Very high Low Liquidity Very high Low Daily Valuations Yes No Control Low Low to Very high Volatility of valuation High Low Transaction cost Low High Portfolio Turnover High Low Investment horizon Medium Term (5 years) Long Term (10 years)
  • 6. 5 How are allocations to listed infrastructure determined? One of the key issues to understand is how allocators and investment consultants view the exposure to listed infrastructure. We undertook a brief, informal, and non-attributable survey of allocators and consultants and asked three questions: 1) Does the allocation to listed infrastructure come from the infrastructure allocation, or from elsewhere (i.e. bonds, equities, other real assets)? 2) Typically, who will cover the listed infrastructure holdings? 3) What are the key factors in comparing listed with unlisted (e.g. tax, asset quality etc)? The responses received suggest: >> The allocation typically comes from the infrastructure bucket, rather than equity or bond allocations. In particular, as well as permanent allocations, there appears to be a trend for temporary allocations to listed infrastructure, prior to investment in unlisted infrastructure funds. This can last for around 12 months, and also helps reduce the impact of fund vintage on performance. >> Listed infrastructure holdings tend to be monitored primarily by the infrastructure team. >> In general terms, allocators focus on factors such as liquidity and general diversification when assessing the merits of listed infrastructure rather than a comparison of the quality of assets available, and any differences in tax treatment. Combining listed and unlisted infrastructure Complementary or substitutes? Rob Pereira (2008) looked at whether listed assets and their unlisted counterparts should be treated by investors as substitutes or complements. If these two forms of investment are substitutes, then investors can swap one for the other. However, if it can be established that there are benefits to holding both together in a portfolio, then they should be treated as complementary. The notion that listed and unlisted counterparts may be complements derives from their differences. Some of the key points of difference include: >> Drivers of risk and return >> Sources of excess returns >> Basis of pricing >> Liquidity >> Implementation and Governance He concluded that economic theory might suggest that it should not matter to an investor whether an asset was in a listed or an unlisted form. However, in reality it does matter, as there are material differences between the listed and unlisted sectors of most asset classes. The report highlighted some of these differences, which occur in aspects such as the underlying sources of risk and return, basis of pricing, liquidity, implementation and governance. The appropriate response in terms of allocation can be expected to vary across investors. Tolerance for illiquidity and time horizon can be key decision variables in this respect. Investors with a strong need for liquidity should place tight constraints on the use of unlisted assets. Time horizon can influence the degree to which listed and unlisted counterparts might be viewed as substitutes or complements. When performance is viewed from a short time perspective using monthly or quarterly data, returns on unlisted assets lag their listed counterparts and have significantly lower volatility and correlations. Therefore, listed and unlisted assets in the same asset class can behave in a complementary fashion. As the time frame lengthens, risk and returns for listed and their unlisted counterparts tend to converge so they become closer to being substitutes. Nevertheless, there will still remain enough differences in the underlying exposures and the drivers of risk and return to ensure that listed and unlisted assets are never complete substitutes. For most investors there are likely to be clear advantages from holding both forms, unless severely constrained by liquidity or other binding concerns. This approach provides investors with greater flexibility to take advantage opportunistically of any significant pricing divergences that occur between listed assets and their unlisted counterparts. The impact of including global listed infrastructure in a mixed asset portfolio Oyedele et al (2012) looked at global listed infrastructure investment performance compared with other global asset classes such as stocks, bonds, real estate investment trusts, property, hedge funds and private equity over the timeframe 2001-2010. The study is supportive of the argument that the inclusion of infrastructure in a mixed asset portfolio enhances investment performance. The role of global infrastructure in a multiasset portfolio is shown to be more risk reduction rather than enhancement of return. From a practical viewpoint, the systematic allocation of between 10 and 18% of infrastructure into a global investment portfolio can significantly enhance diversification benefits for investors.
  • 7. 6 So, which benchmarks should we use for listed and unlisted infrastructure? To determine whether there are benefits for investors to combine listed and unlisted assets in a portfolio, we need to identify the most suitable benchmarks. Here, we analyse a number of possibilities. Unlisted infrastructure indices: An Australian Unlisted Infrastructure index is now available from IPD dating back to 2001. The Preqin Private Infrastructure Index is global and goes back to 2007. Unlisted infrastructure fund actual returns Using Preqin data, we are able to group global infrastructure indices returns by vintage. Unlisted infrastructure target returns Looking at the data provided by infrastructure fund research, we are able to group together target internal rate of return (IRR) to provide an unlisted benchmark. This currently equates to a net IRR target of 10-12%, representing a gross IRR target of 15%-20%. Source: IPD, Preqin Figure 3 Unlisted infrastructure indices 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 IPD Australia Prequin Global Index 1/07/2008 1/02/2009 1/09/2009 1/04/2010 1/11/2010 1/06/2011 1/01/2012 1/01/2012 1/03/2013 1/12/2007 Source: Preqin Figure 4 Unlisted infrastructure returns by vintage -50% -40% -30% -20% -10% 0% 10% 20% 30% 40% 50% 60% 1992-1999 2000-2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 Net IRR since Inception Vintage Year Maximum IRR (%) Median IRR (%) Minimum IRR (%)
  • 8. 7 Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg Figure 6 Listed Infrastructure indices 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 4.5 Brookfield Macquarie NMX S&P 31/10/2003 31/08/2004 31/12/2002 31/12/2012 31/12/2007 30/06/2005 30/04/2006 28/02/2007 30/06/2010 Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg Figure 5 NAV indices 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 ishares NAV Index MacQ NAV Index 1/09/2008 1/06/2009 1/03/2010 1/12/2010 1/09/2011 1/12/2007 1/03/2013 1/06/2012 Figure 7 Equal weighted fund indicators 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 180 31/08/2007 30/06/2008 31/10/2006 26/02/2010 31/12/2010 30/04/2009 31/08/2012 28/06/2013 31/10/2011 30/04/2014 Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg Listed infrastructure Net Asset Value (NAV) indices These indices provide the underlying NAV progression of the constituent members rather than the total return profiles of the units in the funds. Listed infrastructure indices There are a number of benchmarks available, including Brookfield, Macquarie and S&P. Listed infrastructure funds Using the Consilia Capital database, we can construct a representative sample of listed infrastructure fund returns. The chart below shows the equal weighted average of 14 of these funds, returns are all rebased in US$.
  • 9. Unlisted Listed 0 20 40 60 80 100 120 140 160 1/10/2008 1/08/2009 1/12/2007 1/06/2010 1/02/2012 1/12/2012 1/04/2011 Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg. For further details on how performance has been calculated, please contact Consilia Capital. Figure 8 Listed v.s. unlisted performance It can therefore be seen, that there are a wide range of benchmarks that could be used, both absolute and relative, global and domestic, but there are limitations (particularly in terms of the length of time series available) that investors need to be aware of in all of them. Which methodology is most appropriate to understand the impact of combining listed and unlisted infrastructure? Given the variety of benchmarks available, and the lack of global comparisons it is important that we make our analysis as rigorous and explicit possible. We therefore decided to split the study into two sections: >> Combining global unlisted and global listed: There is no broadly acceptable global unlisted infrastructure index available prior to 2007. Therefore the initial part of the study will look at the impact of combining listed and unlisted global infrastructure since 2007. >> Combining domestic unlisted and global listed: There is an IPD based Australian Index available from 2001 so for the second stage we can look at a domestic unlisted portfolio combined with a global listed exposure (which has been done for real estate) over this longer time period. Combining global listed infrastructure with global unlisted infrastructure funds since 2007 In the first example, we compare the Preqin Unlisted Index with an equal weighted average of the four global infrastructure indices. At first glance, there appears to be little benefit in adding listed to an unlisted portfolio (ignoring liquidity benefits and assuming low volatilities for unlisted are realistic). However, this disguises the fact that there are significant (divergent) changes on a quarterly basis. The more volatile listed infrastructure exposure actually has a correlation of -1% with unlisted infrastructure over this period. We can therefore see that in this instance, adding listed both increased liquidity and diversification. 8 Figure 9 Listed vs unlisted performance – quarterly returns -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 Listed 31/03/2009 30/06/2008 30/09/2010 31/12/2009 31/03/2012 31/12/2012 30/06/2011 30/09/2013 Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg. For further details on how performance has been calculated, please contact Consilia Capital.
  • 10. Turning now to the impact of combining listed and unlisted exposure, Figure 10 shows the initial results. We show initially a 100% unlisted portfolio, then a 100% listed portfolio, and then the impact of combining a 70% unlisted weighting with a 30% listed weighting. The final column shows the difference between this 70/30 blended return and the unlisted return in that calendar year. What is noticeable is that, with the exception of 2008 where the returns of the unlisted funds were at odds with all liquid asset classes, adding listed infrastructure exposure to unlisted infrastructure has a neutral to positive impact on raw returns, before taking into account any benefit for improved liquidity, or diversification of risk. Combining global listed infrastructure with domestic unlisted infrastructure funds since 2002 With a longer time series we can now start to look at the impact of combining listed and unlisted infrastructure over the cycle. Unlike the previous period, this captures the run up to the Global Financial Crisis (GFC) and the outperformance of listed infrastructure in that period. Undertaking the same analysis, we see again the increased volatility of listed on a quarterly basis, and interestingly the correlation is only 18.6% over the period. 9 Figure 11 Domestic unlisted and global listed 0 0.5 1 1.5 2 2.5 3 3.5 4 Unlisted Listed Dec 02 Dec 03 Dec 04 Dec 05 Dec 06 Dec 07 Dec 08 Dec 09 Dec 10 Dec 11 Dec 12 Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg. For further details on how performance has been calculated, please contact Consilia Capital. Figure 12 Domestic unlisted and global listed - quarterly -20 -15 -10 -5 0 5 10 15 20 Unlisted Listed Dec 02 Jan 04 Feb 05 Mar 06 Apr 07 May 08 Jun 09 Jul 10 Aug 11 Sep 12 Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg. For further details on how performance has been calculated, please contact Consilia Capital. Annual changes % Unlisted Listed 70/30 Change % 2008 21.40 -33.51 4.93 -16.47 2009 -16.31 26.33 -3.52 12.79 2010 11.02 8.31 10.21 -0.81 2011 8.07 7.27 7.83 -0.24 2012 8.70 13.07 10.01 1.31 2013 8.15 9.49 8.55 0.40 Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg. For further details on how performance has been calculated, please contact Consilia Capital. Figure 10 Listed v.s. unlisted performance
  • 11. 10 Impact of the cycle on blended returns Turning finally to the annual changes and the impact of adding listed infrastructure, we observe that in only one year (2008) out of the period would the addition of listed infrastructure have been a negative factor on absolute performance. Figure 13 Impact of blending Applications in practice Given the positive contribution of adding listed infrastructure to an unlisted portfolio, we believe there are a number of potential applications of this strategy in providing a liquid source of long term income, which has inflation hedging properties and low correlation with other asset classes. These include but are not limited to: > A simple 70/30 fixed blend of global unlisted and global listed infrastructure to enhance risk adjusted returns and liquidity > Similarly, using a fixed blend of domestic unlisted, (which typically is easier to access than global ) and global listed infrastructure to reduce risk correlations whilst gaining exposure to the asset class and enhancing liquidity > Using an actively managed listed portfolio to provide exposure to asset and industry types not accessible through the unlisted market. > Varying the weighting of an actively managed listed portfolio from an initial 30% to take account of differing valuations in the listed and unlisted sector to enhance risk-adjusted returns > Using a listed infrastructure portfolio to gain access to the sector pending investment into specific unlisted funds/ projects. Conclusions In this paper, we have defined the infrastructure opportunity as comprising four categories of industries, ranging from the lowest risk of ‘pure’ infrastructure industries, such as utilities, to the highest risk industries, such as infrastructure services. We have identified the key investment characteristics that investors are looking for as: >> Attractive risk-adjusted returns, complementing a diversified portfolio >> Reliable inflation-linked returns >> Low correlation and volatility compared with traditional asset classes >> Stable long-term yields, with the potential for capital growth >> Defensive characteristics emanating from the provision of essential services >> Potential for value enhancement through active management of the assets Annual changes % Unlisted Listed 70/30 Change % 2003 10.13 27.73 15.41 5.28 2004 17.64 29.97 21.34 3.70 2005 17.91 16.26 17.42 -0.49 2006 12.58 31.34 18.21 5.63 2007 21.68 18.35 20.69 -1.00 2008 4.89 -33.51 -6.63 -11.52 2009 -0.58 26.33 7.49 8.07 2010 11.96 8.31 10.87 -1.10 2011 12.49 7.27 10.92 -1.56 2012 11.33 13.07 11.85 0.52 2013 15.45 11.63 14.30 -1.15 Source: Consilia Capital, Bloomberg. For further details on how performance has been calculated, please contact Consilia Capital.
  • 12. 11 The table below outlines how the listed and unlisted sectors differ. Previous academic studies have shown that listed infrastructure is complementary to unlisted infrastructure (assuming no liquidity constraints) and that adding listed infrastructure to a mixed asset portfolio enhances performance, predominantly through risk reduction. We examined a variety of potential benchmarks, including indices from IPD and Preqin, fund NAVs, actual and target returns, listed indices and custom listed fund indicators, and found the longest available domestic time series for unlisted infrastructure as well as the shorter global series is the most appropriate methodology for determining the impact of combining listed and unlisted infrastructure. Using the longest time series available and recognised benchmark indices, we found that in only 1 year out of the period (2008), would the addition of listed infrastructure have been a negative factor on absolute performance. Overall, combing global listed infrastructure with both global and unlisted infrastructure has a neutral to positive impact on raw performance, with the additional benefits of liquidity and risk diversification. Annual changes % Unlisted Listed 70/30 Change % 2003 10.13 27.73 15.41 5.28 2004 17.64 29.97 21.34 3.70 2005 17.91 16.26 17.42 -0.49 2006 12.58 31.34 18.21 5.63 2007 21.68 18.35 20.69 -1.00 2008 4.89 -33.51 -6.63 -11.52 2009 -0.58 26.33 7.49 8.07 2010 11.96 8.31 10.87 -1.10 2011 12.49 7.27 10.92 -1.56 2012 11.33 13.07 11.85 0.52 2013 15.45 11.63 14.30 -1.15 Source: AMP Capital Listed Unlisted Geographic Diversity Very high Low Asset Diversity Very high Low Liquidity Very high Low Daily Valuations Yes No Control Low Low to Very high Volatility of valuation High Low Transaction cost Low High Portfolio Turnover High Low Investment horizon Medium Term (5 years) Long Term (10 years) What are the current and potential practical applications of adding listed infrastructure to a portfolio of unlisted infrastructure assets? Given the positive contribution of adding listed infrastructure to an unlisted portfolio we believe there are a number of potential applications in providing a liquid source of long term income, which has inflation hedging properties and low correlation with other asset classes. These include but are not limited to: >> A simple 70/30 fixed blend of global unlisted and global listed infrastructure to enhance risk adjusted returns and liquidity >> Similarly, using a fixed blend of domestic unlisted, (which typically is easier to access than global) and global listed infrastructure to reduce risk correlations whilst gaining exposure to the asset class and enhancing liquidity >> Using an actively managed listed portfolio to provide exposure to asset and industry types not accessible through the unlisted market >> Varying the weighting of an actively managed listed portfolio from an initial 30% to take account of differing valuations in the listed and unlisted sector to enhance risk-adjusted returns >> Using a listed infrastructure portfolio to gain access to the sector pending investment into specific unlisted funds/projects.
  • 13. 12 References Bachher, J, Orr, R. and Settel D. (2012), Benchmarks for Unlisted Infrastructure, CFA Institute. Bailey, Jeffrey V. (1992a) Are Manager Universes Acceptable Performance Benchmarks? Journal of Portfolio Management, vol.18, no.3 (spring):9-12. Bailey, Jeffrey V. (1992b). Evaluating Benchmark Quality, Financial Analysts Journal, vol 48, no 3 (May/June):33-39. Foster P. (2007), Infrastructure Investment: Crossing the divide from Asset to Investment Characteristics Portfolio Construction Conference, Sydney. Moss A., Farrelly K, (2013), The performance implications of adding global listed real estate to an unlisted real estate portfolio: A case study for UK Defined Contribution funds. EPRA. Moss A, Baum A, (2012), Are listed real estate stocks managed as part of the real estate allocation?, EPRA. Moss A., Baum A., (2012), The use of listed real estate securities in asset management. A literature review and summary of current practical applications, EPRA. Oyedele J., Adair A., & McGreal S. (2014), Performance of Global listed infrastructure investment in a mixed asset portfolio, Journal of Property Research, 31:1, 1-25. Newell G., Peng & De Francesco (2011), The Performance of unlisted infrastructure in investment portfolios, Journal of Property Research, 28:1, 59-74. Russell Research 2008 – Listed vs Unlisted – Substitutes or Complements? RARE Guide to Listed vs Unlisted Infrastructure, January 2013.
  • 14. All investing involves risk, and you should consider investment risks before making an investment decision. One of the key risks of investing in infrastructure assets is illiquidity, and it should be noted that this risk still remains even if listed and unlisted infrastructure assets are blended. While every care has been taken in the preparation of this paper, AMP Capital Investors Limited (ABN 59 001 777 591, AFSL 232497) and makes no representation or warranty as to the accuracy or completeness of any statement in it including, without limitation, any forecasts. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance. This paper has been prepared for the purpose of providing general information, without taking account of any particular investor’s objectives, financial situation or needs. An investor should, before making any investment decisions, consider the appropriateness of the information in this paper, and seek professional advice, having regard to the investor’s objectives, financial situation and needs. This paper is solely for the use of the party to whom it is provided and must not be provided to any other person or entity without the express written consent of AMP Capital. This paper, unless otherwise specified, is current at the date of publication and will not be updated or otherwise revised to reflect information that subsequently becomes available, or circumstances existing or changes occurring after that date.