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2010 AMC Preconference Program

AMC-Managed vs. Standalone Models:
   Evidenced-based Comparisons

             Michael T. LoBue, CAE
             President
             LoBue & Majdalany Management Group
             August 21, 2010
Table of Contents
  Context – The AMC “business case”
  General approach common to both studies
  Study #1: Operating Ratio Comparisons
  Study #2: Surplus – Deficit Analysis
  So What? What good are these results?


                                      2
    August 21, 2010
Marketing the AMC-model
Case Studies:                        Feature-set collateral:
show how we got all of the           good to describe the AMC
client’s ducks in a row…             service model…
                                       Provide specialized staffing
                                        services
                                       Overhead costs, like occupancy,
                                        are shared across numerous client
                                        organizations
                                       Access to typical capital goods

                                     …but enumerating our services,
                                     or how we deliver them, only
…but generally lack sufficient       implies what the received
information that allows audience     benefits might be for the
to know if the spectacular results   organization or their governing
apply to their situation.            board.



                                                           3
      August 21, 2010
New line of inquiry
  What: Head on comparisons between AMC-
   managed and standalone organizations

  Uses: Conventional metrics for organizational
   performance

  Goal: To establish a baseline of credible,
   evidence-based distinctions between these two
   leading management models for membership-
   based organizations

                                            4
    August 21, 2010
Study Limitations
  Data – type, reliability & quantity
  Metrics – at best, proxies for what really
   matters       impact and performance outside
   the organization
  “But the organization is an abstraction. Mathematically, it would have to
  be represented as a point – that is, as having neither size nor
  extension. Even the largest organization is unreal compared to the
  reality of the environment in which it exists.

  “Specifically, there are no results within the organization. All the results
  are on the outside.” ‡
  ‡   “The Effective Executive”; Peter F. Drucker, © 1966; pg. 13



                                                                    5
        August 21, 2010
Why head on comparisons to
         standalone organizations?
  Because, there are so many of them!




                        89,409
                                   6
    August 21, 2010
… and …
    More than half of the business leagues are in
     our sweet spot in terms of annual budgets




Potential?
                                          More than 50%
                                          are ≤$5M




                                            7
        August 21, 2010
Tale of Two Studies
  AMC Managed and Standalone Organizations – A Sibling
   Study
  May 2009; by: Michael T. LoBue, CAE

     Compares the operating ratio studies by ASAE (13th Edition) and
      AMC Institute (2007 Client Operating and Financial
      Benchmarking Survey Report)

  Are AMC-Managed Organizations Recession Resistant?
  April 2010; by Michael T. LoBue, CAE

     Compares surplus and deficit trends of two groups of
      organizations by examining 990 returns for 2006, 2007 and
      2008


                                                         8
     August 21, 2010
General approach common to both
  Comparison of two management models:
    Organizations ≤ $5M in annual operating revenue
    AMC-managed organizations are “full management”

  Used existing data from known sources:
    13th Edition of ASAE OR Study (© 2007)
    Institute’s 2007 Client Operating and Financial
      Benchmarking Survey Report
    990 returns for FYE 12/31 for 2006, 2007 & 2008




                                               9
    August 21, 2010
#1: AMC Managed and Standalone
  Organizations – A Sibling Study, May 2009

                                 Net Profitability
                              Operating Efficiency
                                     Leverage
                                Revenue Profiles
                                 Expense Profiles
13th Edition ASAE Operating                                   2007 Client Operating &
Ratio Study                   Organization Profiles:          Financial Benchmarking
                                        Tax Status                      Survey Report
                                      Member Type
                                   Geographic Scope
                              Primary Interest/Subject Area

                                                                 10
          August 21, 2010
How samples compare:
                                Standalone Organizations          AMC-Managed Organizations
                                  ASAE 13th Edition ORR              AMC Institute Survey
Total Orgs in Studies                     660                                317

Size of Pool Solicited                   8,000                              1,134
                                        (8.25%)*                            (28%)*

$1M or Less                              74 (1)                              235
                                         (16%)*                             (76%)*

$1M to $2M                               73 (2)                               45
                                         (15%)*                             (14%)*

$2M to $5M                               110 (3)                             25
                                         (22%)*                             (8%)*

$5M or More                               310                                 6
                                         (47%)*                             (2%)*

        * Percent of Sample               (1)  Page 47 of ASAE OR Report
                                          (2)  Page 73 of ASAE OR Report
                                          (3)  Page 93 of ASAE OR Report

                                                                             11
              August 21, 2010
Performance Ratios
        Net Profitability – The amount of revenue collected less total
         expenses incurred over a period of time (e.g., one year).


5.2% isn’t
exciting, but it is                                                       8.4% is 22%
10x’s greater than                                                   greater than 6.9%
what standalone                                                                    and
organizations ≤                                                      55% greater than
$1M produced!                                                                     5.4%




                                  From page 11 in report

                                                                12
                August 21, 2010
Performance Ratios, continued
     Operating Efficiency – tells us how many dollars in revenue are
      generated by each dollar of assets employed in running the organization

                                                                      AMC-managed
Slight advantage by                                                    orgs >$1M are
AMC-managed, but                                                  enjoying 38% better
probably not                                                         OE performance;
material
                                                                                 plus
                                                                     75% of the AMC-
                                                                             managed
                                                                  organizations are at
                                                                      or above where
                                                                      only 50% of the
                                                                      standalone orgs
                                                                                are…




                                From page 12 in report
                                                             13
              August 21, 2010
Performance Ratios, continued
     Leverage Ratio – is a measure of an organization’s ability to cover its
      financial commitments – this is a good proxy for a risk profile – lower is
      more desirable.

Slight advantage by
AMC-managed, but
probably not
material




                                From page 13 in report
                                                                14
              August 21, 2010
Revenue Profiles
  Standalone
   organizations derive             Revenue Profiles by Management Model
   85% (≤$1M) and 90%
   ($1M-$5M) of revenue
   from 3 sources.
  AMC-managed
   organizations are less
   dependent on these
   three sources.
  Conclusion: An
   organization with a
   more varied revenue
   profile is less at risk
   during volatile times.



                                                           15
           August 21, 2010
Expense Profile: Meeting Expenses
  AMC-managed organizations spend more
   resources on member programs!




                                      16
    August 21, 2010
Expense Profile: Insurance (risk)
  Not big #’s – but differences are striking:
     Organizations between $1M and $5M in revenue operate at twice the
      risk of AMC-managed organizations…
     …for organizations ≤$1m, the AMC-managed model is 16% less risky



                                             50% less risky?


                                                                16% less risky?




                                                               17
     August 21, 2010
Expense Profiles: Infrastructure
    Aka: the “Standalone Premium”…


14.1%
      = 46%
30.5%




                                     18
       August 21, 2010
How do organizations compare?
  …or, “how are the organizations managed under these
   two models similar?”




                                              19
     August 21, 2010
By primary interest/subject area
  While some differences
   exist between the two
   models (e.g., Business/
   Commercial, Education and
   Healthcare/Medical), each
   management model has a
   strong presence across the
   range of organizations by
   Interests/Subject Areas




                                  20
       August 21, 2010
Summary of OR Comparisons


                     ✓           ✓
                                 ✓
                     ✓

                                 ✓
                     ✓           ✓



                     ✓           ✓
                     ✓           ✓


                            21
August 21, 2010
Data supports:
  Organizations ≤$5M managed by these two
   models are essentially the same in terms of:
    Tax status                               $Member type
    Geographic scope                          $Interest area

  Organizations ≤$5M managed by AMCs:
      Generate greater surpluses
      Generate greater revenue from each $ of asset in running the organization
      Operate under a lower risk profile
      Have a more diverse revenue profile
      Spend a higher percentage on meetings and member programs
      Spend about a 1/3 less for infrastructure



                                                                 22
       August 21, 2010
Analyzing costs using a bell curve
  The bell curve is the shape of a “normal distribution of
   observations” for independent, random variables, like
   the percent of revenue organizations spend on
   infrastructure services


                                          Mean, Mode and
                                          Median values are
                                          the same




                         % of revenue

                                                  23
     August 21, 2010
Standalone Infrastructure Costs
  Average % of revenue spent by standalone organizations for the
   basket of services they could obtain from an AMC is 44.6%




                             % of revenue

                                                         24
      August 21, 2010
AMC-Managed Infrastructure Costs
  Average % of revenue spent by AMC-managed organizations for the
   basket of services they would have to shoulder on their own is
   30.5%




                            % of revenue

                                                       25
      August 21, 2010
Compare Infrastructure Costs
  The only valid comparison of this data is that “on average”
   standalone organizations pay >46% premium to own their resources




                        1st Quartile                  3rd Quartile
                                       % of revenue

                                                                     26
      August 21, 2010
#2: Are AMC-Managed Organizations
 Recession Resistant?
On October 30, 2009, CEO
Update publishes shocking
results about their analysis
of “more than half of the
national associations…”
WOW! The number of
associations operating at a
deficit on 12/31/08 was
“DOUBLE the rate of the
past two years.”


                               27
      August 21, 2010
So, Are AMC-Managed Organizations
           Recession Resistant?
YES – at least at the
outset of a
recession! The data
strongly suggests
that AMC-managed
organizations are
better able to handle
a recession than
their standalone
siblings!


                               28
      August 21, 2010
How samples compare by revenue size
  Average standalone in study was more than 2x
   larger than AMC-managed organization




                                        29
    August 21, 2010
How samples compare by organization type
   Standalone organizations more prone to trades
    vs. societies… does this account for differences?




                       doesn’t appear to matter
                                                  30
     August 21, 2010
Surplus profiles by organization type
  Societies and trades managed under the
   standalone model have dropped proportionally




                                       31
    August 21, 2010
Surplus profiles by age of organization
  Standalones, on average, were older (42 yrs. vs. 34
   yrs.), but 3 out of 4 oldest were AMC-managed orgs




                                                32
     August 21, 2010
Surplus profiles by exemption type
  Very consistent with operating ratio comparisons (see
   slide #19)




                                                33
     August 21, 2010
Summary of Surplus – Deficit Study
  The number of standalone organizations operating with a
   surplus between 2006 and 2008 dropped 45%, whereas
   the number of AMC-managed organizations operating
   with a surplus over the same period dropped only 3%.


  The profile of AMC-managed to standalone organizations
   supports the findings of the 2009 OR study – there’s
   basically no difference between organizations regardless
   of their management models – apart from AMC-managed
   organizations enjoying greater operational benefits.



                                                34
      August 21, 2010
So what? • Why do these #’s matter?
  Today, claims about the value
   of the AMC-model are based
   more on faith than evidence!

  Like a building without a
  foundation…


  These results are important
   because they substantiate
   claims of value and results
                                   ?   ?
   delivered.




                                       35
      August 21, 2010
Calls to action
  Update firm collateral with findings
   (see example)


  Add a boilerplate statement
   emphasizing one or more of the
   results

  Educate other association service
   professionals you know (e.g.,
   lawyers, accountants, consultants,
   etc.) about these findings and the
   AMC-value proposition




                                          36
      August 21, 2010
Further Research Opportunities
  L&M is already gathering 2009 990 returns on the study groups
   to update the Deficit - Surplus study

  ASAE & The Center’s new Form 990 Online Database – help get
   AMC-managed organization data included!

Questions / Areas of Exploration:

HR Comparisons – tenure, professional certifications, benefit packages, etc.

Professional Development – comparison of two models

FTE Assignments – comparison of two models

Standalone ROI – What justifies the 46% premium a standalone would pay vs.
using an AMC?


                                                               37
      August 21, 2010
Suggested reading
(The) Effective Executive
By: Peter F. Drucker
© 1966

Hard Facts Dangerous Half-Truths & Total Nonsense
By: Jeffrey Pfeffer & Robert I. Sutton
© 2006

How to Lie with Statistics
By: Darrell Huff
© 1954


                                             38
     August 21, 2010
Contact Information:

                  Michael T. LoBue, CAE
                  President, LoBue & Majdalany Management Group
                  Phone: +1.415.561.6111
                  E-mail: lobue@lm-mgmt.com
                  Website: www.lm-mgmt.com


Special thanks and acknowledgement to the following for their assistance in
contributing data and guidance: Rick Cristol, John Dee, CPA, Bryce Denton, Steve
Drake, Taylor Fernley, Jay Hauck, Esq., CAE, Jaime Nolan, CAE, John Ruffin, CAE,
Greg Schultz, and Gregg Talley, CAE; and to Francine Butler, PhD.
And a special thanks to Ms. Cheryl McKinney for assisting in the creation of the bell
curves used in this presentation.




August 21, 2010

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AMC-Managed Organizations Outperform Standalone Peers

  • 1. 2010 AMC Preconference Program AMC-Managed vs. Standalone Models: Evidenced-based Comparisons Michael T. LoBue, CAE President LoBue & Majdalany Management Group August 21, 2010
  • 2. Table of Contents   Context – The AMC “business case”   General approach common to both studies   Study #1: Operating Ratio Comparisons   Study #2: Surplus – Deficit Analysis   So What? What good are these results? 2 August 21, 2010
  • 3. Marketing the AMC-model Case Studies: Feature-set collateral: show how we got all of the good to describe the AMC client’s ducks in a row… service model…   Provide specialized staffing services   Overhead costs, like occupancy, are shared across numerous client organizations   Access to typical capital goods …but enumerating our services, or how we deliver them, only …but generally lack sufficient implies what the received information that allows audience benefits might be for the to know if the spectacular results organization or their governing apply to their situation. board. 3 August 21, 2010
  • 4. New line of inquiry   What: Head on comparisons between AMC- managed and standalone organizations   Uses: Conventional metrics for organizational performance   Goal: To establish a baseline of credible, evidence-based distinctions between these two leading management models for membership- based organizations 4 August 21, 2010
  • 5. Study Limitations   Data – type, reliability & quantity   Metrics – at best, proxies for what really matters impact and performance outside the organization “But the organization is an abstraction. Mathematically, it would have to be represented as a point – that is, as having neither size nor extension. Even the largest organization is unreal compared to the reality of the environment in which it exists. “Specifically, there are no results within the organization. All the results are on the outside.” ‡ ‡ “The Effective Executive”; Peter F. Drucker, © 1966; pg. 13 5 August 21, 2010
  • 6. Why head on comparisons to standalone organizations?   Because, there are so many of them! 89,409 6 August 21, 2010
  • 7. … and …   More than half of the business leagues are in our sweet spot in terms of annual budgets Potential? More than 50% are ≤$5M 7 August 21, 2010
  • 8. Tale of Two Studies   AMC Managed and Standalone Organizations – A Sibling Study May 2009; by: Michael T. LoBue, CAE   Compares the operating ratio studies by ASAE (13th Edition) and AMC Institute (2007 Client Operating and Financial Benchmarking Survey Report)   Are AMC-Managed Organizations Recession Resistant? April 2010; by Michael T. LoBue, CAE   Compares surplus and deficit trends of two groups of organizations by examining 990 returns for 2006, 2007 and 2008 8 August 21, 2010
  • 9. General approach common to both   Comparison of two management models:   Organizations ≤ $5M in annual operating revenue   AMC-managed organizations are “full management”   Used existing data from known sources:   13th Edition of ASAE OR Study (© 2007)   Institute’s 2007 Client Operating and Financial Benchmarking Survey Report   990 returns for FYE 12/31 for 2006, 2007 & 2008 9 August 21, 2010
  • 10. #1: AMC Managed and Standalone Organizations – A Sibling Study, May 2009 Net Profitability Operating Efficiency Leverage Revenue Profiles Expense Profiles 13th Edition ASAE Operating 2007 Client Operating & Ratio Study Organization Profiles: Financial Benchmarking Tax Status Survey Report Member Type Geographic Scope Primary Interest/Subject Area 10 August 21, 2010
  • 11. How samples compare: Standalone Organizations AMC-Managed Organizations ASAE 13th Edition ORR AMC Institute Survey Total Orgs in Studies 660 317 Size of Pool Solicited 8,000 1,134 (8.25%)* (28%)* $1M or Less 74 (1) 235 (16%)* (76%)* $1M to $2M 73 (2) 45 (15%)* (14%)* $2M to $5M 110 (3) 25 (22%)* (8%)* $5M or More 310 6 (47%)* (2%)* * Percent of Sample (1)  Page 47 of ASAE OR Report (2)  Page 73 of ASAE OR Report (3)  Page 93 of ASAE OR Report 11 August 21, 2010
  • 12. Performance Ratios   Net Profitability – The amount of revenue collected less total expenses incurred over a period of time (e.g., one year). 5.2% isn’t exciting, but it is 8.4% is 22% 10x’s greater than greater than 6.9% what standalone and organizations ≤ 55% greater than $1M produced! 5.4% From page 11 in report 12 August 21, 2010
  • 13. Performance Ratios, continued   Operating Efficiency – tells us how many dollars in revenue are generated by each dollar of assets employed in running the organization AMC-managed Slight advantage by orgs >$1M are AMC-managed, but enjoying 38% better probably not OE performance; material plus 75% of the AMC- managed organizations are at or above where only 50% of the standalone orgs are… From page 12 in report 13 August 21, 2010
  • 14. Performance Ratios, continued   Leverage Ratio – is a measure of an organization’s ability to cover its financial commitments – this is a good proxy for a risk profile – lower is more desirable. Slight advantage by AMC-managed, but probably not material From page 13 in report 14 August 21, 2010
  • 15. Revenue Profiles   Standalone organizations derive Revenue Profiles by Management Model 85% (≤$1M) and 90% ($1M-$5M) of revenue from 3 sources.   AMC-managed organizations are less dependent on these three sources.   Conclusion: An organization with a more varied revenue profile is less at risk during volatile times. 15 August 21, 2010
  • 16. Expense Profile: Meeting Expenses   AMC-managed organizations spend more resources on member programs! 16 August 21, 2010
  • 17. Expense Profile: Insurance (risk)   Not big #’s – but differences are striking:   Organizations between $1M and $5M in revenue operate at twice the risk of AMC-managed organizations…   …for organizations ≤$1m, the AMC-managed model is 16% less risky 50% less risky? 16% less risky? 17 August 21, 2010
  • 18. Expense Profiles: Infrastructure Aka: the “Standalone Premium”… 14.1% = 46% 30.5% 18 August 21, 2010
  • 19. How do organizations compare?   …or, “how are the organizations managed under these two models similar?” 19 August 21, 2010
  • 20. By primary interest/subject area   While some differences exist between the two models (e.g., Business/ Commercial, Education and Healthcare/Medical), each management model has a strong presence across the range of organizations by Interests/Subject Areas 20 August 21, 2010
  • 21. Summary of OR Comparisons ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ ✓ 21 August 21, 2010
  • 22. Data supports:   Organizations ≤$5M managed by these two models are essentially the same in terms of:   Tax status  $Member type   Geographic scope  $Interest area   Organizations ≤$5M managed by AMCs:   Generate greater surpluses   Generate greater revenue from each $ of asset in running the organization   Operate under a lower risk profile   Have a more diverse revenue profile   Spend a higher percentage on meetings and member programs   Spend about a 1/3 less for infrastructure 22 August 21, 2010
  • 23. Analyzing costs using a bell curve   The bell curve is the shape of a “normal distribution of observations” for independent, random variables, like the percent of revenue organizations spend on infrastructure services Mean, Mode and Median values are the same % of revenue 23 August 21, 2010
  • 24. Standalone Infrastructure Costs   Average % of revenue spent by standalone organizations for the basket of services they could obtain from an AMC is 44.6% % of revenue 24 August 21, 2010
  • 25. AMC-Managed Infrastructure Costs   Average % of revenue spent by AMC-managed organizations for the basket of services they would have to shoulder on their own is 30.5% % of revenue 25 August 21, 2010
  • 26. Compare Infrastructure Costs   The only valid comparison of this data is that “on average” standalone organizations pay >46% premium to own their resources 1st Quartile 3rd Quartile % of revenue 26 August 21, 2010
  • 27. #2: Are AMC-Managed Organizations Recession Resistant? On October 30, 2009, CEO Update publishes shocking results about their analysis of “more than half of the national associations…” WOW! The number of associations operating at a deficit on 12/31/08 was “DOUBLE the rate of the past two years.” 27 August 21, 2010
  • 28. So, Are AMC-Managed Organizations Recession Resistant? YES – at least at the outset of a recession! The data strongly suggests that AMC-managed organizations are better able to handle a recession than their standalone siblings! 28 August 21, 2010
  • 29. How samples compare by revenue size   Average standalone in study was more than 2x larger than AMC-managed organization 29 August 21, 2010
  • 30. How samples compare by organization type   Standalone organizations more prone to trades vs. societies… does this account for differences? doesn’t appear to matter 30 August 21, 2010
  • 31. Surplus profiles by organization type   Societies and trades managed under the standalone model have dropped proportionally 31 August 21, 2010
  • 32. Surplus profiles by age of organization   Standalones, on average, were older (42 yrs. vs. 34 yrs.), but 3 out of 4 oldest were AMC-managed orgs 32 August 21, 2010
  • 33. Surplus profiles by exemption type   Very consistent with operating ratio comparisons (see slide #19) 33 August 21, 2010
  • 34. Summary of Surplus – Deficit Study   The number of standalone organizations operating with a surplus between 2006 and 2008 dropped 45%, whereas the number of AMC-managed organizations operating with a surplus over the same period dropped only 3%.   The profile of AMC-managed to standalone organizations supports the findings of the 2009 OR study – there’s basically no difference between organizations regardless of their management models – apart from AMC-managed organizations enjoying greater operational benefits. 34 August 21, 2010
  • 35. So what? • Why do these #’s matter?   Today, claims about the value of the AMC-model are based more on faith than evidence! Like a building without a foundation…   These results are important because they substantiate claims of value and results ? ? delivered. 35 August 21, 2010
  • 36. Calls to action   Update firm collateral with findings (see example)   Add a boilerplate statement emphasizing one or more of the results   Educate other association service professionals you know (e.g., lawyers, accountants, consultants, etc.) about these findings and the AMC-value proposition 36 August 21, 2010
  • 37. Further Research Opportunities   L&M is already gathering 2009 990 returns on the study groups to update the Deficit - Surplus study   ASAE & The Center’s new Form 990 Online Database – help get AMC-managed organization data included! Questions / Areas of Exploration: HR Comparisons – tenure, professional certifications, benefit packages, etc. Professional Development – comparison of two models FTE Assignments – comparison of two models Standalone ROI – What justifies the 46% premium a standalone would pay vs. using an AMC? 37 August 21, 2010
  • 38. Suggested reading (The) Effective Executive By: Peter F. Drucker © 1966 Hard Facts Dangerous Half-Truths & Total Nonsense By: Jeffrey Pfeffer & Robert I. Sutton © 2006 How to Lie with Statistics By: Darrell Huff © 1954 38 August 21, 2010
  • 39. Contact Information: Michael T. LoBue, CAE President, LoBue & Majdalany Management Group Phone: +1.415.561.6111 E-mail: lobue@lm-mgmt.com Website: www.lm-mgmt.com Special thanks and acknowledgement to the following for their assistance in contributing data and guidance: Rick Cristol, John Dee, CPA, Bryce Denton, Steve Drake, Taylor Fernley, Jay Hauck, Esq., CAE, Jaime Nolan, CAE, John Ruffin, CAE, Greg Schultz, and Gregg Talley, CAE; and to Francine Butler, PhD. And a special thanks to Ms. Cheryl McKinney for assisting in the creation of the bell curves used in this presentation. August 21, 2010