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A Vision for Smarter Cities in Africa
Seizing the opportunity now
AITEC East Africa ICT Summit
October 24, 2012




                                        © 2012 IBM Corporation
It’s an exciting time for Smarter in Africa


     The world is at an unprecedented level of urbanization

     Cities contain an increasingly large share of the world's
      highly skilled, educated, creative and entrepreneurial
      population …

     … and also can support large-scale networks that
      absorb and extend innovation

     In Africa, the potential is palpable



2                                                         © 2012 IBM Corporation
There are many different visions of a “smarter city”




        An Accessible City         The Healthy and Safe City       The Sustainable Eco-City




    The Cultural-Convention Hub   The City of Digital Innovation    The City of Commerce
3                                                                                © 2012 IBM Corporation
As focal points of economic activity, cities are strongly positioned to
benefit from the new talent-intensive economic growth

                                                                Top cities act as economic activity hubs
     (size of the bubble – ratio of city share of national GDP to its share of national population, 2009)

                                                      30                                                     Lisbon
         City share of country population, %




                                                                                  Sydney
                                                                                             Mexico

                                                      20                                                                     Seoul
                                                                                                Paris
                                                                                                                  Brussels

                                                      10                  Cape Town
                                                            Beijing              Johannesburg
                                                  New
                                                  Delhi                           Shanghai
                                                       0
                                                 -5             5          15          25               35            45             55
                                               Bangalore
                                                              Guangzhou

                                                      -10
                                                                                City share of country GDP, %

    Source: UN Habitat 2010, and IBM Global Center for Economics Development analysis
4                                                                                                                                         © 2012 IBM Corporation
Links between talent and innovation in jointly driving economic
vitality and growth are growing stronger

                          Links between skills, knowledge, creativity and
                         technological innovation contributions to growth
                                                                             Annual average correlation
                                                                   25

                                                                   20
                          Correlation coefficient, rescaled x100




                                                                             Traditional industries
                                                                   15
                                                                             Modern industries
                                                                   10

                                                                    5

                                                                    0

                                                                    -5

                                                                   -10

                                                                   -15

                                                                   -20

                                                                   -25
                                                                     1980s          1990s             2000s   2010s(f)


Source: KLEMS data base (2010) and IBM Global Center for Economics Development analysis
5                                                                                                                        © 2012 IBM Corporation
Youth bulge, consumer class
and room to grow




                                                  Projected population 2020
                                                  Source: UN
Source: McKinsey Global Institute Cityscope 2.0



              East Africa Burundi                                   Tanzania
              Population • Age: 45.8% (0-14), 51.7% (15-64)         • Age: 41.4% (0-14); 55.6% (15-64)
               Structure Kenya                                      Uganda
                          • Age: 42.5% (0-14); 54.8% (15-64)        • Age: 49.8% (0-14); 48.2% (15-64)
                          Rwanda
                          • Age: 42.6% (0-14), 55% (15-64)                         Source: CIA World Factbook
6                                                                                             © 2012 IBM Corporation
Attracting, retaining, developing and enabling talent and innovation
can act as a powerful, long-term competitive advantage for cities
                          Cities, as focal points for economic growth and activity, are best
                           positioned to benefit from the rising importance of talent and innovation
      There is an
    urgent need for       Cities are facing intensifying competition globally for talent and
                           innovation as demand for higher quality and more diversified workers is
      cities to act
                           increasing
                          Business and businesses go to where the talent is

                          Over the next 20 years, cities will need to attract, retain, create and
                           enable the right and diverse mix of talents necessary for sustained
                           growth by cultivating:
    All cities need to
    grow their talent        – a thriving academic and creative culture
           base              – a critical mass of skills and learning
                             – business conduits through which knowledge and innovation flow
                               across all these communities


        Achieving         Cities that possess the right mix of diverse talent will hold a powerful
      competitive          competitive advantage in the economy based on skills, knowledge,
       advantage           creativity and innovation

7                                                                                          © 2012 IBM Corporation
Our world is becoming

    INSTRUMENTED
    Our world is becoming

    INTERCONNECTED
    All things are becoming

    INTELLIGENT


8                             © 2012 IBM Corporation
For the first time, CEOs identify technology as the most significant
force affecting their organizations

                                    External forces that will impact the organization

    2004                    2006                   2008                    2010                   2012
                                                                                                         71%
                                                                                                                  Technology factors
                                                                                                         69%
                                                                                                                  People skills
                                                                                                         68%
                                                                                                                  Market factors

                                                                                                                  Macro-economic factors

                                                                                                                  Regulatory concerns

                                                                                                                  Globalization

                                                                                                                  Socio-economic factors

                                                                                                                  Environmental issues

                                                                                                                  Geopolitical factors

Source: 2012 CEO Study, IBM Institute for Business Value
Q1 “What are the most important external forces that will impact your organization over the next 3 to 5 years?”

9                                                                                                                                 © 2012 IBM Corporation
Societal expectations are shifting with sociotechnical change




Source:   IBM Institute for Business Value




                               Source:   Forrester Research
10                                                              © 2012 IBM Corporation
People, and the communities they belong to (business, social,
other), are expecting more



       People and their communities expect …


       Security       Access       Opportunity    Prosperity    Progress


Time



        Walls,        Water,          Jobs,        Lifestyle,
                                                                “Place”
        Roads         Energy        Education       Culture

       Leaders set conditions for serendipity and deliver …



11                                                                  © 2012 IBM Corporation
We all have the power to know



                           Top 3 factors affecting organizations*
                              (to a large extent over the next 5 years)

                            Information                  73%
     Smarter          Smarter        Smarter food       Smarter              Smarter              Smarter retail
     transportation   education explosion
                                     systems          57%
                                                        healthcare           energy grids

                                                      62%
                       Talent shortagess                                               Public sector
                                                     54%
                                                                                       Private sector
                            Shorter time               61%
                                        s
                                 cycles               57%
      Smarter         Smarter         SmarterSource: 2010 CEO Study
                                                       Smarter               Smarter              Smarter
                                                     IBM Institute for Business Value
      Public Safety   government      countries        water                 regions              cities
                      services                         management



                             “We will go beyond … to systems that enable humanity to reach its
                              greatest potential for human creativity, innovation and ingenuity.”
12                                                                                                 © 2012 IBM Corporation
                                                                 - IBM Global Technology Outlook 2010, Frontiers of IT
We all have the power to know



                Top 3 factors affecting organizations*
                  (to a large extent over the next 5 years)

                 Information                 73%
                   explosion               57%

                                            62%
             Talent shortagess                                                  Public sector
                                           54%
                                                                                Private sector
                 Shorter time               61%
                             s
                      cycles               57%
                                 Source:    2010 CEO Study
                                            IBM Institute for Business Value




                  “We will go beyond … to systems that enable humanity to reach its
                   greatest potential for human creativity, innovation and ingenuity.”
13                                                                                       © 2012 IBM Corporation
                                                       - IBM Global Technology Outlook 2010, Frontiers of IT
Here’s where it gets really interesting

         Role of Information

      “See”, “Discover”
      Understand, learn
                                                 Role of ICTs
      Define
      Prioritize                      Low and high-level mediation
                                        within and among urban systems
      Make choices
                                       Sensing urban system activity
      Act / catalyze action
                                       Visualizing, analyzing, optimizing
      Measure, evaluate
                                       Transparency among people,
      Tell the story                   government, commerce
                                       New forms of urban infrastructure
                                       2-way interaction beyond portals


14                                                                  © 2012 IBM Corporation
What is a Smarter City?

A city, district, metro area or urbanizing region …
… with communities of people and organizations / businesses that interact …
… using pervasive and integrated information from ICT-enabled urban systems to …


         Address common issues …                         … for shared outcomes
                       (examples)                                    (examples)
     Competing effectively for more diversified and   An attractive place in which to live, work,
             internationally mobile talent                         play, and thrive
             Assuring safety and security                       “Worry-free” mobility
            Extending urban infrastructure              Infrastructure capacity and longevity
Balancing today’s growth, tomorrow’s stewardship              Sustainable development
       Increasing efficiency while reducing costs     Optimized city services and operations
          Preserving culture while opening up           A modern platform for African voices



15                                                                                    © 2012 IBM Corporation
1. Engaging people to co-define / co-                                2. Integrating and leveraging
   produce “what’s important” in                                       information to make better
   context                                                                               decisions



                              Government
                              and Agency                         Urban Planning  
                              Administration

                                               Planning and
                    Public Safety              Management                  Environmental 
      Central /                                                                              Citizens
       Federal
     government

                                          Human     Infrastructure
                      Social                                                 Energy 
                      and Health                                          and Water

        City                                                                                Businesses
     government
                                      Education               Transportation




3. Coordinating resources to operate                     4. Anticipating problems to resolve
   efficiently and effectively                            them proactively and manage risk
16                                                                                            © 2012 IBM Corporation
Four core systems play a crucial role in attracting and expanding
 skills and innovation


             Retain                                                              Attract
  Cities that invest and enable human                                   Cities that can attract mobile
capital must ensure increasingly mobile                                 human capital and innovation
           human capital stays                                         will gain competitive advantage




           Enable                                                       Create / Develop
  Successful cities ensure people                                     Cities need to invest in people and
  make use of skills and abilities,                                      their skills through education,
enabling innovation and investment                                    training and learning opportunities
          in human capital

 17     Source: IBM Global Center for Economic Development analysis                  © 2012 IBM Corporation
These core systems make up the enabling environment


Smarter transport                           Improving education
improves the                                delivery and streamlining
attractiveness of a city for                government services
highly skilled, diversified                 helps cities to support
citizens and innovation                     talent-focused growth and
intensive businesses                        enable innovation




                                            Better emergency
 Improving access to                        response and lower crime
 patient-centric healthcare                 helps cities to attract and
 boosts quality of care and                 retain skilled people and
 the attractiveness of a city               knowledge intensive
 for creative and innovative                businesses
 workers
18                                                           © 2012 IBM Corporation
Leaders can take steps today …



     1   Define / Decide what the city’s Smarter brand should be and
         how it might be experienced

     2   Adopt policies conducive to skills, creativity and knowledge-
         driven growth


     3   Understand what you have today and use the information to
         engage communities and optimize services around them

     4   Employ systems thinking in all aspects of planning, design,
         execution and management

     5   Apply the fundamental enabling information technologies to
         core city systems

19                                                                  © 2012 IBM Corporation
… and chart a path of progress forward



               INSTRUMENTED                          INTERCONNECTED                                  INTELLIGENT

                                                                                 Unified and
                                                                                 interactive
                                                                                 response and risk
     Value
     Value




                                                               Proactive         management
                                                               planning and
                                                               decision making


                                            Stakeholder and                                    EXPANDING
                                            context relevant
                                            operational
                                            insight

                             Integrated,                                     EXTENDING
                             trusted
                             information

             Access to
             relevant data
                                                           EMBEDDING


                                           EVOLVING


               EMERGING

20                                                                                                        Maturity © 2012 IBM Corporation
It’s an exciting time for Smarter
in Africa




                                                   Projected population 2020
                                                   Source: UN
 Source: McKinsey Global Institute Cityscope 2.0



               East Africa Burundi                                   Tanzania
               Population • Age: 45.8% (0-14), 51.7% (15-64)         • Age: 41.4% (0-14); 55.6% (15-64)
                Structure Kenya                                      Uganda
                           • Age: 42.5% (0-14); 54.8% (15-64)        • Age: 49.8% (0-14); 48.2% (15-64)
                           Rwanda
                           • Age: 42.6% (0-14), 55% (15-64)                         Source: CIA World Factbook
21                                                                                             © 2012 IBM Corporation
Cities (and regions) in Africa have a profound opportunity to
accelerate and sustain progress in their Smarter journey

 As cities in rapidly developing economies continue to mature, talent becomes an
  increasingly valued resource, especially when combined with technological
  innovation
 The core systems of a city – transport, government services and education,
  public safety and health – profoundly influence the quality of life and the
  attractiveness of a city
 Smarter Cities continuously strive to create an enabling environment conducive
  to attracting, retaining, creating, developing and enabling talent and innovation
     1. Define / Decide what your Smarter brand should be for your city and how it might be
        experienced
     2. Adopt policies conducive to skills, creativity and knowledge-driven growth
     3. Understand what your have today and use the information to optimize services
     4. Employ systems thinking
     5. Apply the enabling ICTs to core city systems
22                                                                                   © 2012 IBM Corporation

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AITEC East Africa ICT Conference (24 Oct12)

  • 1. A Vision for Smarter Cities in Africa Seizing the opportunity now AITEC East Africa ICT Summit October 24, 2012 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 2. It’s an exciting time for Smarter in Africa  The world is at an unprecedented level of urbanization  Cities contain an increasingly large share of the world's highly skilled, educated, creative and entrepreneurial population …  … and also can support large-scale networks that absorb and extend innovation  In Africa, the potential is palpable 2 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 3. There are many different visions of a “smarter city” An Accessible City The Healthy and Safe City The Sustainable Eco-City The Cultural-Convention Hub The City of Digital Innovation The City of Commerce 3 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 4. As focal points of economic activity, cities are strongly positioned to benefit from the new talent-intensive economic growth Top cities act as economic activity hubs (size of the bubble – ratio of city share of national GDP to its share of national population, 2009) 30 Lisbon City share of country population, % Sydney Mexico 20 Seoul Paris Brussels 10 Cape Town Beijing Johannesburg New Delhi Shanghai 0 -5 5 15 25 35 45 55 Bangalore Guangzhou -10 City share of country GDP, % Source: UN Habitat 2010, and IBM Global Center for Economics Development analysis 4 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 5. Links between talent and innovation in jointly driving economic vitality and growth are growing stronger Links between skills, knowledge, creativity and technological innovation contributions to growth Annual average correlation 25 20 Correlation coefficient, rescaled x100 Traditional industries 15 Modern industries 10 5 0 -5 -10 -15 -20 -25 1980s 1990s 2000s 2010s(f) Source: KLEMS data base (2010) and IBM Global Center for Economics Development analysis 5 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 6. Youth bulge, consumer class and room to grow Projected population 2020 Source: UN Source: McKinsey Global Institute Cityscope 2.0 East Africa Burundi Tanzania Population • Age: 45.8% (0-14), 51.7% (15-64) • Age: 41.4% (0-14); 55.6% (15-64) Structure Kenya Uganda • Age: 42.5% (0-14); 54.8% (15-64) • Age: 49.8% (0-14); 48.2% (15-64) Rwanda • Age: 42.6% (0-14), 55% (15-64) Source: CIA World Factbook 6 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 7. Attracting, retaining, developing and enabling talent and innovation can act as a powerful, long-term competitive advantage for cities  Cities, as focal points for economic growth and activity, are best positioned to benefit from the rising importance of talent and innovation There is an urgent need for  Cities are facing intensifying competition globally for talent and innovation as demand for higher quality and more diversified workers is cities to act increasing  Business and businesses go to where the talent is  Over the next 20 years, cities will need to attract, retain, create and enable the right and diverse mix of talents necessary for sustained growth by cultivating: All cities need to grow their talent – a thriving academic and creative culture base – a critical mass of skills and learning – business conduits through which knowledge and innovation flow across all these communities Achieving  Cities that possess the right mix of diverse talent will hold a powerful competitive competitive advantage in the economy based on skills, knowledge, advantage creativity and innovation 7 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 8. Our world is becoming INSTRUMENTED Our world is becoming INTERCONNECTED All things are becoming INTELLIGENT 8 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 9. For the first time, CEOs identify technology as the most significant force affecting their organizations External forces that will impact the organization 2004 2006 2008 2010 2012 71% Technology factors 69% People skills 68% Market factors Macro-economic factors Regulatory concerns Globalization Socio-economic factors Environmental issues Geopolitical factors Source: 2012 CEO Study, IBM Institute for Business Value Q1 “What are the most important external forces that will impact your organization over the next 3 to 5 years?” 9 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 10. Societal expectations are shifting with sociotechnical change Source: IBM Institute for Business Value Source: Forrester Research 10 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 11. People, and the communities they belong to (business, social, other), are expecting more People and their communities expect … Security Access Opportunity Prosperity Progress Time Walls, Water, Jobs, Lifestyle, “Place” Roads Energy Education Culture Leaders set conditions for serendipity and deliver … 11 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 12. We all have the power to know Top 3 factors affecting organizations* (to a large extent over the next 5 years) Information 73% Smarter Smarter Smarter food Smarter Smarter Smarter retail transportation education explosion systems 57% healthcare energy grids 62% Talent shortagess  Public sector 54%  Private sector Shorter time 61% s cycles 57% Smarter Smarter SmarterSource: 2010 CEO Study Smarter Smarter Smarter IBM Institute for Business Value Public Safety government countries water regions cities services management “We will go beyond … to systems that enable humanity to reach its greatest potential for human creativity, innovation and ingenuity.” 12 © 2012 IBM Corporation - IBM Global Technology Outlook 2010, Frontiers of IT
  • 13. We all have the power to know Top 3 factors affecting organizations* (to a large extent over the next 5 years) Information 73% explosion 57% 62% Talent shortagess  Public sector 54%  Private sector Shorter time 61% s cycles 57% Source: 2010 CEO Study IBM Institute for Business Value “We will go beyond … to systems that enable humanity to reach its greatest potential for human creativity, innovation and ingenuity.” 13 © 2012 IBM Corporation - IBM Global Technology Outlook 2010, Frontiers of IT
  • 14. Here’s where it gets really interesting Role of Information  “See”, “Discover”  Understand, learn Role of ICTs  Define  Prioritize  Low and high-level mediation within and among urban systems  Make choices  Sensing urban system activity  Act / catalyze action  Visualizing, analyzing, optimizing  Measure, evaluate  Transparency among people,  Tell the story government, commerce  New forms of urban infrastructure  2-way interaction beyond portals 14 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 15. What is a Smarter City? A city, district, metro area or urbanizing region … … with communities of people and organizations / businesses that interact … … using pervasive and integrated information from ICT-enabled urban systems to … Address common issues … … for shared outcomes (examples) (examples) Competing effectively for more diversified and An attractive place in which to live, work, internationally mobile talent play, and thrive Assuring safety and security “Worry-free” mobility Extending urban infrastructure Infrastructure capacity and longevity Balancing today’s growth, tomorrow’s stewardship Sustainable development Increasing efficiency while reducing costs Optimized city services and operations Preserving culture while opening up A modern platform for African voices 15 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 16. 1. Engaging people to co-define / co- 2. Integrating and leveraging produce “what’s important” in information to make better context decisions Government and Agency Urban Planning   Administration Planning and Public Safety Management Environmental  Central / Citizens Federal government Human Infrastructure Social Energy  and Health and Water City Businesses government Education Transportation 3. Coordinating resources to operate 4. Anticipating problems to resolve efficiently and effectively them proactively and manage risk 16 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 17. Four core systems play a crucial role in attracting and expanding skills and innovation Retain Attract Cities that invest and enable human Cities that can attract mobile capital must ensure increasingly mobile human capital and innovation human capital stays will gain competitive advantage Enable Create / Develop Successful cities ensure people Cities need to invest in people and make use of skills and abilities, their skills through education, enabling innovation and investment training and learning opportunities in human capital 17 Source: IBM Global Center for Economic Development analysis © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 18. These core systems make up the enabling environment Smarter transport Improving education improves the delivery and streamlining attractiveness of a city for government services highly skilled, diversified helps cities to support citizens and innovation talent-focused growth and intensive businesses enable innovation Better emergency Improving access to response and lower crime patient-centric healthcare helps cities to attract and boosts quality of care and retain skilled people and the attractiveness of a city knowledge intensive for creative and innovative businesses workers 18 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 19. Leaders can take steps today … 1 Define / Decide what the city’s Smarter brand should be and how it might be experienced 2 Adopt policies conducive to skills, creativity and knowledge- driven growth 3 Understand what you have today and use the information to engage communities and optimize services around them 4 Employ systems thinking in all aspects of planning, design, execution and management 5 Apply the fundamental enabling information technologies to core city systems 19 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 20. … and chart a path of progress forward INSTRUMENTED INTERCONNECTED INTELLIGENT Unified and interactive response and risk Value Value Proactive management planning and decision making Stakeholder and EXPANDING context relevant operational insight Integrated, EXTENDING trusted information Access to relevant data EMBEDDING EVOLVING EMERGING 20 Maturity © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 21. It’s an exciting time for Smarter in Africa Projected population 2020 Source: UN Source: McKinsey Global Institute Cityscope 2.0 East Africa Burundi Tanzania Population • Age: 45.8% (0-14), 51.7% (15-64) • Age: 41.4% (0-14); 55.6% (15-64) Structure Kenya Uganda • Age: 42.5% (0-14); 54.8% (15-64) • Age: 49.8% (0-14); 48.2% (15-64) Rwanda • Age: 42.6% (0-14), 55% (15-64) Source: CIA World Factbook 21 © 2012 IBM Corporation
  • 22. Cities (and regions) in Africa have a profound opportunity to accelerate and sustain progress in their Smarter journey  As cities in rapidly developing economies continue to mature, talent becomes an increasingly valued resource, especially when combined with technological innovation  The core systems of a city – transport, government services and education, public safety and health – profoundly influence the quality of life and the attractiveness of a city  Smarter Cities continuously strive to create an enabling environment conducive to attracting, retaining, creating, developing and enabling talent and innovation 1. Define / Decide what your Smarter brand should be for your city and how it might be experienced 2. Adopt policies conducive to skills, creativity and knowledge-driven growth 3. Understand what your have today and use the information to optimize services 4. Employ systems thinking 5. Apply the enabling ICTs to core city systems 22 © 2012 IBM Corporation