Ahli bank weekly capital markets newsletter 10th 14th of may 2020

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The document discusses expectations for US Federal Reserve interest rate decisions at upcoming FOMC meetings in 2020. It shows the market probabilities for rates to be cut, remain unchanged, or increased at each meeting based on the "Jordanian Government Curve". At the January 2020 meeting, there was a 99.20% chance rates would be cut to 1.50-1.75%, and small chances of no change or a hike. Subsequent meetings in March and April had high probabilities of rates remaining at 0-0.25%.

2
INVESTMENT ‫استثمار‬
“Jordanian Government Curve”
Next Meeting Expectations
Rate Cut No Change Rate Hike
99.20% 0.80% 0%
FOMC 2020 Meeting FED Rate
Jan 29,2020 1.75-1.50
March 03,2020 1.00-1.25
March 18,2020 0.00-.025
April 29,2020 0.00-.025
June 10 ,2020
July 29,2020
September 16,2020
November 05,2020
December 16,2020

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