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AI in AdTech:
• when you need it/
• when it’s harmful..
Ruslan Shevchenko
<ruslan@shevchenko.kiev.ua>
Overview
• AI
• Models [ black-box, … ]
• Predict, Recognize, Recommend, Optimize
• Control, Interact; be part of ecosystem
• BIAS;
• Machine [BIAS-Variance]
• Human [in => out]
• World [Complexity]
Naive approach
Just insert AI as black box
Naive approach
Just insert AI as black box
- Confidence
- Speed
- Effects
S0
- Confidence [check against basemodel]
- Speed
- History size
- Effects
- Feature set [changing over time ?]
- Interaction (other AI)
S1
- Q1. How to balance discover/usage (?)
- Many-armed bandits
- constant split
- Q2. Bayes / Variance problem
- validation process
Simple Complex.
Feature engineering
• What is important ?
• cross-validation, correlated subsets, etc …
• Second-order features
• distribution of requests, banner-lifetime, etc
• Automatic feature engineering.
• Learning to learn by gradient descent by gradient
descent
S2
- Q3. Behind obvious
- Expect some internal structure
- [hipotese + PCA]
- Q4. Set of models
- combine to see the best
- (boost, vote, random forest, etc .. )
- classify: what model is valid for some specific case
S2
- It is not pure machine learning now.
- It is research
- of real decision making process
- (fundamental model)
- using ML methods
S3
Feedback Loop
• We change the world
• We receive information from changed world
• AdSearch example (by LÉON BOTTOU):
• if we have word from search request in ad-
description, than probability of click is higher
• but: engagement ring ~~ cheap diamonds
• What to do: Increase variance, violate search-state limits
• Hidden Technical Debt in Machine Learning
Systems. (google)
• Dependencies
• Model boundaries. (CACE : Changing Anything Changes
Everything)
• Data
• Feedback loops.
• ML-Antipatterns
• Glue Code, Pipeline jungles, Abstraction debt.
• Measure, prioritize, refactor:
• As software engineering but harder.
Conclusion
• Avoid ‘blackbox with magic’ approach
• Machine Learning ~~ building approximators
• Try to explore fundamental models
• Track feedback loops;
• Keep space for new ideas
Thanks for attention
• Q?
AI in AdTech by Ruslan Shevchenko  Tech Hangout #6

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AI in AdTech by Ruslan Shevchenko Tech Hangout #6

  • 1. AI in AdTech: • when you need it/ • when it’s harmful.. Ruslan Shevchenko <ruslan@shevchenko.kiev.ua>
  • 2. Overview • AI • Models [ black-box, … ] • Predict, Recognize, Recommend, Optimize • Control, Interact; be part of ecosystem • BIAS; • Machine [BIAS-Variance] • Human [in => out] • World [Complexity]
  • 3. Naive approach Just insert AI as black box
  • 4. Naive approach Just insert AI as black box - Confidence - Speed - Effects
  • 5. S0 - Confidence [check against basemodel] - Speed - History size - Effects - Feature set [changing over time ?] - Interaction (other AI)
  • 6. S1 - Q1. How to balance discover/usage (?) - Many-armed bandits - constant split - Q2. Bayes / Variance problem - validation process
  • 8. Feature engineering • What is important ? • cross-validation, correlated subsets, etc … • Second-order features • distribution of requests, banner-lifetime, etc • Automatic feature engineering. • Learning to learn by gradient descent by gradient descent
  • 9. S2 - Q3. Behind obvious - Expect some internal structure - [hipotese + PCA] - Q4. Set of models - combine to see the best - (boost, vote, random forest, etc .. ) - classify: what model is valid for some specific case
  • 10. S2 - It is not pure machine learning now. - It is research - of real decision making process - (fundamental model) - using ML methods
  • 11. S3
  • 12.
  • 13.
  • 14. Feedback Loop • We change the world • We receive information from changed world • AdSearch example (by LÉON BOTTOU): • if we have word from search request in ad- description, than probability of click is higher • but: engagement ring ~~ cheap diamonds • What to do: Increase variance, violate search-state limits
  • 15. • Hidden Technical Debt in Machine Learning Systems. (google) • Dependencies • Model boundaries. (CACE : Changing Anything Changes Everything) • Data • Feedback loops. • ML-Antipatterns • Glue Code, Pipeline jungles, Abstraction debt. • Measure, prioritize, refactor: • As software engineering but harder.
  • 16. Conclusion • Avoid ‘blackbox with magic’ approach • Machine Learning ~~ building approximators • Try to explore fundamental models • Track feedback loops; • Keep space for new ideas