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MACROECONOMIC THEORY
TOPIC 1
INTRODUCTION TO MACROECONOMICS
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 1
MR. ELISA N. EBIYAMU
Lesson 1.1
The science of Macroeconomics
2
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
Lesson Objectives
• By the end of this lesson you must be able to;
– Define Macroeconomics
– Explain macroeconomic objectives
– Justify the learning of macroeconomics
– Define economic models
3
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
DEFINING MACROECONOMICS
4
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
Economics and its Branches
• Economics is the study of how limited resources are allocated or distributed
among the people in order to satisfy their wants.
• It is a social science that studies efficient allocation of scarce resources
among competing alternative uses in order to maximise satisfaction.
• Think of human wants as being all the goods and services that individuals
desire that enhances the quality of life.
• Since we can always think of ways to improve our well-being with more or
better goods and services, our wants are unlimited
• Economics has two main branches called microeconomics and
macroeconomics.
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 5
Microeconomics
• The prefix micro is derived from the Greek word mikros, which means
“small.”
• Microeconomics is the study of how individual economic decision makers
(households or firms) make their decisions and how they interact in the
market place.
• Microeconomics examines the economic behavior of individual economic
decision units, such as a consumer or a firm, as well as groups of economic
agents, such as households or industries.
• It also analyzes the behavior of individual households, industries, markets,
labor unions, or trade associations.
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 6
Macroeconomics
• The prefix macro comes from the Greek word makros, which
means “large.”
• Macroeconomics is the study of economy wide phenomena.
• Macroeconomics examines either the economy as a whole or its
basic subdivisions or aggregates, such as the government,
household, and business sectors.
• An aggregate is a collection of specific economic units treated as if
they were one unit.
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 7
Differences
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
Microeconomics Macroeconomics
Study of individual economic units
of an economy
Study of economy as a whole and its
aggregates
Deals with Individual Income,
Individual prices, Individual output
Deals with aggregates like national Income,
general price level, national output
Solve the central problem of ‘what,
how and for whom’ to produce
Solve the central problem of full
employment of resources in the economy
Price is the main determinant of
micro- economic problems
Income is the major determinant of
macroeconomic problems.
8
Macroeconomics and Microeconomics
Microeconomics and macroeconomics are also related.
• Economy wide events arise from the interaction of many individual
decisions.
– The national output studied in macroeconomics arises from decisions
made by individual producers.
• Macroeconomic environment influences decisions made at micro level.
– High inflation might reduce household demand for goods and services.
• Macroeconomists use many of the tools of microeconomics.
– This is because macroeconomic events arise from many microeconomic interactions.
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 9
MACROECONOMIC VARIABLES
AND
MACROECONMIC OBJECTIVES
10
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
Macroeconomics Variables
• In analyzing various economic problems, macroeconomists speaks of such
economic measures as
Total output,
Unemployment,
The general level of prices.
Balance of payment
Aggregate expenditures,
Exchange rate,
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 11
Macroeconomic Objectives
• Broadly, the objective of macroeconomic policies is to maximize the level
and growth of national income to raise the utility and standard of living of
participants in the economy.
• There are also a number of secondary objectives which include
– Sustainable economic growth and economic development
– Full employment
– Price stability
– Balance of payments equilibrium and exchange rate stability
– Increasing productivity
– Equitable distribution of income and wealth
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 12
Economic Growth
• Sustainable economic growth rate of growth which allows an increase in
living standards without undue structural and environmental difficulties.
• Sustainable Economic Development is the economic development that
meets the needs of the present generation without compromising the
ability of the future generations to meet their own needs.
• There are three major’ sources of economic growth,
– The growth of the labour force,
– Capital formation
– Technological progress.
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 13
Full Employment
• Unemployment refers to involuntary idleness of mainly labour force and
other productive resources.
• Where those who are able and willing to have a job can get one, given that
there will be a certain amount of frictional, seasonal and structural
unemployment (referred to as the natural rate of unemployment).
• Full employment does not necessarily means zero unemployment rate.
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 14
• Price stability is when prices remain largely the same, and there is no rapid
inflation or deflation.
• Inflation refers to a sustained rise in the general price level in an economy
over a given time period. It is a good measure of 'price stability'.
• Price stability is not necessarily the same as zero inflation, but instead steady
levels of low-moderate inflation is often regarded as ideal and zero inflation is
often undesirable in an economy.
• It is worth noting that prices of some goods and services often fall as a result
of productivity improvements during periods of inflation, as inflation is only a
measure of general price levels.
Price Stability
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 15
• The balance of payments is a record of a country’s financial transactions
with the rest of the world.
• It is composed of three accounts
i. Current account: This measures trade balance.
ii. Capital account: it measure financial transactions that do not affect a country’s
income, production and savings. Eg trademarks and copyrights.
iii. Financial account. It measure changes in domestic ownership of foreign assets and
foreign ownership of domestic assets.
• Balance of payments equilibrium or external balance occurs when induced
balance of payments transactions are zero.
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
Balance of Payment Rate equilibrium
16
Exchange Rate Stability
• Exchange rate is the amount of foreign currency required to purchase one
unit of the domestic currency.
• Depreciation of the currency makes imports to become expensive but
makes domestic goods and services cheaper to foreign consumers while
appreciation makes lowers the nominal price of imports while making
exports expensive.
• The foreign exchange rate should be stable as far as possible.
• This is what one may call it external stability in price.
• Excessive importation erodes value of the domestic currency.
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 17
Increasing Productivity
• Increase in productivity implies more output per unit of labour
per hour.
• Also, since labor is but one of many inputs to produce goods and
services, it could also be described as output per unit of factor
inputs per hour.
• Technological advancement is key for achievement of this
objective.
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 18
REASONS FOR LEARNING MACROECONOMICS
19
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
Why learn macroeconomics?
1. The macroeconomy affects society’s well-being.
– For example: each one-point increase in the unemployment rate in the
US is associated with:
• 920 more suicides
• 650 more homicides
• 4000 more people admitted to state mental institutions
• 3300 more people sent to state prisons
• 37,000 more deaths
• increases in domestic
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
20
Why learn macroeconomics?
2. The macroeconomy affects well-being of individuals.
 Unemployment and earnings growth
-3
-2
-1
0
1
2
3
4
5
1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005
-7
-5
-3
-1
1
3
5
unemployment rate inflation-adjusted mean wage (right scale)
change
from
12
mos
earlier
percent
change
from
12
mos
earlier
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
21
Why learn macroeconomics?
2. The macroeconomy affects well-being of individuals.
 Interest rates and mortgage payments
For a $150,000 30-year mortgage:
$9,888
$824
5.21%
$11,520
$960
6.63%
6/21/02
annual
payment
monthly
payment
actual rate on
30-year
mortgage
date
6/20/03
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
22
Why learn macroeconomics?
3. Macroeconomics affects politics and current events.
• Performance of an economy has a baring on popularity of
national political leaders.
• Although the job of making economic policy falls to world
leaders, the job of explaining how the economy as a whole
works falls to macroeconomists.
• In developed societies politicians are put in power or
removed from power on the basis of economic performance
of their country.
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
23
USA politics and macro economy
Every era has its own economic problems.
• In the 1970s, Presidents Richard Nixon, Gerald Ford, and Jimmy Carter all
wrestled in vain with a rising rate of inflation.
• In the 1980s, inflation subsided, but Presidents Ronald Reagan and George
Bush presided over large federal budget deficits.
• In the 1990s, with President Bill Clinton in the Oval Office, the budget
deficit shrank and even turned into a budget surplus, but federal taxes as a
share of national income reached a historic high.
• So it was no surprise that when President George W. Bush moved into the
White House in 2001, he put a tax cut high on his agenda.
When the economy is doing poorly, people change governing the party.
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
24
ECONOMIC MODELS
25
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
Economic models
• Economic models illustrate, often in mathematical terms, the
relationships among the variables.
• They are simplified versions of a more complex reality
 irrelevant details are stripped away
• Models are used to
 show relationships between variables
 explain the economy’s behavior
 devise policies to improve economic performance
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
26
Economic models
• To understand the economy, economists use models—theories that simplify
reality in order to reveal how exogenous variables influence endogenous
variables.
• Models may lead to incorrect conclusions if they assume away features of
the economy that are crucial to the issue at hand.
• Economic modeling therefore requires care and common sense.
• The art in the science of economics is in judging whether a model captures
the important economic relationships for the matter at hand.
• Because no single model can answer all questions, macroeconomists use
different models to look at different issues.
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
27
Example of a model
• AD-AS Model
• IS-LM model
• Mundell Flemmings Model
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
28
Endogenous and Exogenous Variables
• The values of endogenous variables are determined in the model.
• The values of exogenous variables are determined outside the model.
• The model takes values & behavior of exogenous variables as given.
In the model of supply & demand for cars,
𝑄𝑑 = 𝐷 𝑃, 𝑌
𝑄𝑠 = 𝑆(𝑃, 𝑃𝑠)
endogenous: , ,
d s
P Q Q
exogenous: , s
Y P
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
29
Endogenous and Exogenous Variables
• It is easiest to consider what a macro-econometric model is like by
considering a simple example.
• The following is a simple multiplier model. Ct is consumption, It is
investment, Yt is total income or GDP, Gt is government spending, and rt is
the interest rate. The t subscripts refer to period t.
(1) Ct = a1 + a2Yt + et
(2) It = b1 + b2rt + ut
(3) Yt = Ct + It + Gt
• Identify endogenous and exogenous variables
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
30
Topic Review Exercise
• Analyse branches of economics.
• How would you ensure that economic models give useful
results with adequate accuracy?
• Discuss any four macroeconomic objectives.
31
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
Conclusion
• In this lesson you have defined economics and its branches.
• You have also explained macroeconomic variables and
objectives.
• At the end of the lesson you have learnt that economists use
models as simplified presentation of complex reality.
• In the next lesson you will learn about macroeconomic data.
32
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
THANK YOU
33
AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory

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AAE 321 Lesson 1.1.pdf

  • 1. MACROECONOMIC THEORY TOPIC 1 INTRODUCTION TO MACROECONOMICS AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 1 MR. ELISA N. EBIYAMU
  • 2. Lesson 1.1 The science of Macroeconomics 2 AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
  • 3. Lesson Objectives • By the end of this lesson you must be able to; – Define Macroeconomics – Explain macroeconomic objectives – Justify the learning of macroeconomics – Define economic models 3 AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
  • 4. DEFINING MACROECONOMICS 4 AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
  • 5. Economics and its Branches • Economics is the study of how limited resources are allocated or distributed among the people in order to satisfy their wants. • It is a social science that studies efficient allocation of scarce resources among competing alternative uses in order to maximise satisfaction. • Think of human wants as being all the goods and services that individuals desire that enhances the quality of life. • Since we can always think of ways to improve our well-being with more or better goods and services, our wants are unlimited • Economics has two main branches called microeconomics and macroeconomics. AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 5
  • 6. Microeconomics • The prefix micro is derived from the Greek word mikros, which means “small.” • Microeconomics is the study of how individual economic decision makers (households or firms) make their decisions and how they interact in the market place. • Microeconomics examines the economic behavior of individual economic decision units, such as a consumer or a firm, as well as groups of economic agents, such as households or industries. • It also analyzes the behavior of individual households, industries, markets, labor unions, or trade associations. AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 6
  • 7. Macroeconomics • The prefix macro comes from the Greek word makros, which means “large.” • Macroeconomics is the study of economy wide phenomena. • Macroeconomics examines either the economy as a whole or its basic subdivisions or aggregates, such as the government, household, and business sectors. • An aggregate is a collection of specific economic units treated as if they were one unit. AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 7
  • 8. Differences AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory Microeconomics Macroeconomics Study of individual economic units of an economy Study of economy as a whole and its aggregates Deals with Individual Income, Individual prices, Individual output Deals with aggregates like national Income, general price level, national output Solve the central problem of ‘what, how and for whom’ to produce Solve the central problem of full employment of resources in the economy Price is the main determinant of micro- economic problems Income is the major determinant of macroeconomic problems. 8
  • 9. Macroeconomics and Microeconomics Microeconomics and macroeconomics are also related. • Economy wide events arise from the interaction of many individual decisions. – The national output studied in macroeconomics arises from decisions made by individual producers. • Macroeconomic environment influences decisions made at micro level. – High inflation might reduce household demand for goods and services. • Macroeconomists use many of the tools of microeconomics. – This is because macroeconomic events arise from many microeconomic interactions. AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 9
  • 11. Macroeconomics Variables • In analyzing various economic problems, macroeconomists speaks of such economic measures as Total output, Unemployment, The general level of prices. Balance of payment Aggregate expenditures, Exchange rate, AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 11
  • 12. Macroeconomic Objectives • Broadly, the objective of macroeconomic policies is to maximize the level and growth of national income to raise the utility and standard of living of participants in the economy. • There are also a number of secondary objectives which include – Sustainable economic growth and economic development – Full employment – Price stability – Balance of payments equilibrium and exchange rate stability – Increasing productivity – Equitable distribution of income and wealth AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 12
  • 13. Economic Growth • Sustainable economic growth rate of growth which allows an increase in living standards without undue structural and environmental difficulties. • Sustainable Economic Development is the economic development that meets the needs of the present generation without compromising the ability of the future generations to meet their own needs. • There are three major’ sources of economic growth, – The growth of the labour force, – Capital formation – Technological progress. AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 13
  • 14. Full Employment • Unemployment refers to involuntary idleness of mainly labour force and other productive resources. • Where those who are able and willing to have a job can get one, given that there will be a certain amount of frictional, seasonal and structural unemployment (referred to as the natural rate of unemployment). • Full employment does not necessarily means zero unemployment rate. AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 14
  • 15. • Price stability is when prices remain largely the same, and there is no rapid inflation or deflation. • Inflation refers to a sustained rise in the general price level in an economy over a given time period. It is a good measure of 'price stability'. • Price stability is not necessarily the same as zero inflation, but instead steady levels of low-moderate inflation is often regarded as ideal and zero inflation is often undesirable in an economy. • It is worth noting that prices of some goods and services often fall as a result of productivity improvements during periods of inflation, as inflation is only a measure of general price levels. Price Stability AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 15
  • 16. • The balance of payments is a record of a country’s financial transactions with the rest of the world. • It is composed of three accounts i. Current account: This measures trade balance. ii. Capital account: it measure financial transactions that do not affect a country’s income, production and savings. Eg trademarks and copyrights. iii. Financial account. It measure changes in domestic ownership of foreign assets and foreign ownership of domestic assets. • Balance of payments equilibrium or external balance occurs when induced balance of payments transactions are zero. AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory Balance of Payment Rate equilibrium 16
  • 17. Exchange Rate Stability • Exchange rate is the amount of foreign currency required to purchase one unit of the domestic currency. • Depreciation of the currency makes imports to become expensive but makes domestic goods and services cheaper to foreign consumers while appreciation makes lowers the nominal price of imports while making exports expensive. • The foreign exchange rate should be stable as far as possible. • This is what one may call it external stability in price. • Excessive importation erodes value of the domestic currency. AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 17
  • 18. Increasing Productivity • Increase in productivity implies more output per unit of labour per hour. • Also, since labor is but one of many inputs to produce goods and services, it could also be described as output per unit of factor inputs per hour. • Technological advancement is key for achievement of this objective. AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 18
  • 19. REASONS FOR LEARNING MACROECONOMICS 19 AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
  • 20. Why learn macroeconomics? 1. The macroeconomy affects society’s well-being. – For example: each one-point increase in the unemployment rate in the US is associated with: • 920 more suicides • 650 more homicides • 4000 more people admitted to state mental institutions • 3300 more people sent to state prisons • 37,000 more deaths • increases in domestic AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 20
  • 21. Why learn macroeconomics? 2. The macroeconomy affects well-being of individuals.  Unemployment and earnings growth -3 -2 -1 0 1 2 3 4 5 1965 1970 1975 1980 1985 1990 1995 2000 2005 -7 -5 -3 -1 1 3 5 unemployment rate inflation-adjusted mean wage (right scale) change from 12 mos earlier percent change from 12 mos earlier AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 21
  • 22. Why learn macroeconomics? 2. The macroeconomy affects well-being of individuals.  Interest rates and mortgage payments For a $150,000 30-year mortgage: $9,888 $824 5.21% $11,520 $960 6.63% 6/21/02 annual payment monthly payment actual rate on 30-year mortgage date 6/20/03 AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 22
  • 23. Why learn macroeconomics? 3. Macroeconomics affects politics and current events. • Performance of an economy has a baring on popularity of national political leaders. • Although the job of making economic policy falls to world leaders, the job of explaining how the economy as a whole works falls to macroeconomists. • In developed societies politicians are put in power or removed from power on the basis of economic performance of their country. AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 23
  • 24. USA politics and macro economy Every era has its own economic problems. • In the 1970s, Presidents Richard Nixon, Gerald Ford, and Jimmy Carter all wrestled in vain with a rising rate of inflation. • In the 1980s, inflation subsided, but Presidents Ronald Reagan and George Bush presided over large federal budget deficits. • In the 1990s, with President Bill Clinton in the Oval Office, the budget deficit shrank and even turned into a budget surplus, but federal taxes as a share of national income reached a historic high. • So it was no surprise that when President George W. Bush moved into the White House in 2001, he put a tax cut high on his agenda. When the economy is doing poorly, people change governing the party. AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 24
  • 25. ECONOMIC MODELS 25 AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
  • 26. Economic models • Economic models illustrate, often in mathematical terms, the relationships among the variables. • They are simplified versions of a more complex reality  irrelevant details are stripped away • Models are used to  show relationships between variables  explain the economy’s behavior  devise policies to improve economic performance AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 26
  • 27. Economic models • To understand the economy, economists use models—theories that simplify reality in order to reveal how exogenous variables influence endogenous variables. • Models may lead to incorrect conclusions if they assume away features of the economy that are crucial to the issue at hand. • Economic modeling therefore requires care and common sense. • The art in the science of economics is in judging whether a model captures the important economic relationships for the matter at hand. • Because no single model can answer all questions, macroeconomists use different models to look at different issues. AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 27
  • 28. Example of a model • AD-AS Model • IS-LM model • Mundell Flemmings Model AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 28
  • 29. Endogenous and Exogenous Variables • The values of endogenous variables are determined in the model. • The values of exogenous variables are determined outside the model. • The model takes values & behavior of exogenous variables as given. In the model of supply & demand for cars, 𝑄𝑑 = 𝐷 𝑃, 𝑌 𝑄𝑠 = 𝑆(𝑃, 𝑃𝑠) endogenous: , , d s P Q Q exogenous: , s Y P AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 29
  • 30. Endogenous and Exogenous Variables • It is easiest to consider what a macro-econometric model is like by considering a simple example. • The following is a simple multiplier model. Ct is consumption, It is investment, Yt is total income or GDP, Gt is government spending, and rt is the interest rate. The t subscripts refer to period t. (1) Ct = a1 + a2Yt + et (2) It = b1 + b2rt + ut (3) Yt = Ct + It + Gt • Identify endogenous and exogenous variables AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory 30
  • 31. Topic Review Exercise • Analyse branches of economics. • How would you ensure that economic models give useful results with adequate accuracy? • Discuss any four macroeconomic objectives. 31 AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
  • 32. Conclusion • In this lesson you have defined economics and its branches. • You have also explained macroeconomic variables and objectives. • At the end of the lesson you have learnt that economists use models as simplified presentation of complex reality. • In the next lesson you will learn about macroeconomic data. 32 AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory
  • 33. THANK YOU 33 AAE 321: Macroeconomic Theory